[{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1550941314},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1576662471},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.45497045},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1685143199},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4504102233},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0c20162bae6257b7fcaa67c009a710e82f0faad0ce168d775b2bc3524121f83a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1647474026},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0c20162bae6257b7fcaa67c009a710e82f0faad0ce168d775b2bc3524121f83a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1668053323},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0c20162bae6257b7fcaa67c009a710e82f0faad0ce168d775b2bc3524121f83a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.170700068},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0c20162bae6257b7fcaa67c009a710e82f0faad0ce168d775b2bc3524121f83a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1752425398},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0c20162bae6257b7fcaa67c009a710e82f0faad0ce168d775b2bc3524121f83a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1810752529},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0d4a0bfb8b28c7884d4a22a6570a4ea4411980b99bcccc03d81c9767be90e768","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0575221782},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0d4a0bfb8b28c7884d4a22a6570a4ea4411980b99bcccc03d81c9767be90e768","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0599650355},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0d4a0bfb8b28c7884d4a22a6570a4ea4411980b99bcccc03d81c9767be90e768","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642964591},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0d4a0bfb8b28c7884d4a22a6570a4ea4411980b99bcccc03d81c9767be90e768","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618496775},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0d4a0bfb8b28c7884d4a22a6570a4ea4411980b99bcccc03d81c9767be90e768","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0680507508},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1046cad489447b1c0dd4fb695cddf48bd3d7e6a66f15b0a2f81080b4398ca387","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0423985451},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1046cad489447b1c0dd4fb695cddf48bd3d7e6a66f15b0a2f81080b4398ca387","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0434599723},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1046cad489447b1c0dd4fb695cddf48bd3d7e6a66f15b0a2f81080b4398ca387","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0422389031},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1046cad489447b1c0dd4fb695cddf48bd3d7e6a66f15b0a2f81080b4398ca387","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0417003225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1046cad489447b1c0dd4fb695cddf48bd3d7e6a66f15b0a2f81080b4398ca387","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0468852285},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1189191f304052c00dd55b9c4818297bbe491768917856324f963b97e95d1b8f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0667728012},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1189191f304052c00dd55b9c4818297bbe491768917856324f963b97e95d1b8f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0667870913},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1189191f304052c00dd55b9c4818297bbe491768917856324f963b97e95d1b8f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.073732804},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1189191f304052c00dd55b9c4818297bbe491768917856324f963b97e95d1b8f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782085196},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1189191f304052c00dd55b9c4818297bbe491768917856324f963b97e95d1b8f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788670944},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1a0426c8b3d715290f3ad93dae8dfc9f84d6f6e38ea1fd4d20f11496049204b5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502972024},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1a0426c8b3d715290f3ad93dae8dfc9f84d6f6e38ea1fd4d20f11496049204b5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503265267},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1a0426c8b3d715290f3ad93dae8dfc9f84d6f6e38ea1fd4d20f11496049204b5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0481256987},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1a0426c8b3d715290f3ad93dae8dfc9f84d6f6e38ea1fd4d20f11496049204b5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0471912601},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1a0426c8b3d715290f3ad93dae8dfc9f84d6f6e38ea1fd4d20f11496049204b5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0464892088},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.041003504},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.048377787},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0496549342},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0479525925},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0482725917},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1f7b3ef2436775c7530d7858dc141a4cf7a5692745e9f476e1bbd534d183f3f2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1270398855},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1f7b3ef2436775c7530d7858dc141a4cf7a5692745e9f476e1bbd534d183f3f2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1324513329},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1f7b3ef2436775c7530d7858dc141a4cf7a5692745e9f476e1bbd534d183f3f2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1408648645},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1f7b3ef2436775c7530d7858dc141a4cf7a5692745e9f476e1bbd534d183f3f2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1520912238},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1f7b3ef2436775c7530d7858dc141a4cf7a5692745e9f476e1bbd534d183f3f2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1559329005},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0362817179},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0408145768},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0416545739},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0431635499},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0446321223},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2434623374},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2431823364},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2381509095},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2339823359},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2368923371},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3527af895c3fba5850bad3c91193244d88ef272e0bc7251e828b9b2029236ad9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2928706075},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3527af895c3fba5850bad3c91193244d88ef272e0bc7251e828b9b2029236ad9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2845346825},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3527af895c3fba5850bad3c91193244d88ef272e0bc7251e828b9b2029236ad9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2844009957},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3527af895c3fba5850bad3c91193244d88ef272e0bc7251e828b9b2029236ad9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2669966754},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3527af895c3fba5850bad3c91193244d88ef272e0bc7251e828b9b2029236ad9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2801474439},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"39f1ff2b98ec6f5f85699fde53f5fb2f6746325a4e0320027bf618e7e40f9c7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4545346623},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"39f1ff2b98ec6f5f85699fde53f5fb2f6746325a4e0320027bf618e7e40f9c7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4375732302},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"39f1ff2b98ec6f5f85699fde53f5fb2f6746325a4e0320027bf618e7e40f9c7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4140475216},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"39f1ff2b98ec6f5f85699fde53f5fb2f6746325a4e0320027bf618e7e40f9c7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3950646567},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"39f1ff2b98ec6f5f85699fde53f5fb2f6746325a4e0320027bf618e7e40f9c7c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3839503726},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3d8c7edc8a70211d39a3e4827f448e5908cd5e98dbbb1e3d7501c7761a877788","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0825037381},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3d8c7edc8a70211d39a3e4827f448e5908cd5e98dbbb1e3d7501c7761a877788","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0854453994},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3d8c7edc8a70211d39a3e4827f448e5908cd5e98dbbb1e3d7501c7761a877788","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087531216},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3d8c7edc8a70211d39a3e4827f448e5908cd5e98dbbb1e3d7501c7761a877788","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093270485},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3d8c7edc8a70211d39a3e4827f448e5908cd5e98dbbb1e3d7501c7761a877788","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09732503},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0696023905},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0719900475},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704958167},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0720543863},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0836700795},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"447c809c60421e327f266315b62b36749b6362b8b688c133985c93c9ad9be608","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1166758512},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"447c809c60421e327f266315b62b36749b6362b8b688c133985c93c9ad9be608","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1172637632},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"447c809c60421e327f266315b62b36749b6362b8b688c133985c93c9ad9be608","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1175721064},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"447c809c60421e327f266315b62b36749b6362b8b688c133985c93c9ad9be608","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1258185627},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"447c809c60421e327f266315b62b36749b6362b8b688c133985c93c9ad9be608","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1297646906},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0378118648},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042161928},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0403840703},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0431960193},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0443083947},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"46b630b92f887abf75c7d2c530f0d70f7cc1c398227da6ef8b682cfcaa7815c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3085346624},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"46b630b92f887abf75c7d2c530f0d70f7cc1c398227da6ef8b682cfcaa7815c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2984878591},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"46b630b92f887abf75c7d2c530f0d70f7cc1c398227da6ef8b682cfcaa7815c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2503610707},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"46b630b92f887abf75c7d2c530f0d70f7cc1c398227da6ef8b682cfcaa7815c6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.305292161},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"46b630b92f887abf75c7d2c530f0d70f7cc1c398227da6ef8b682cfcaa7815c6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3154592345},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa59262070b24c69f8ad98ddedd5eba84a94a7fd8737e4728c54d6182e5c4db","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1155146832},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa59262070b24c69f8ad98ddedd5eba84a94a7fd8737e4728c54d6182e5c4db","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1181697569},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa59262070b24c69f8ad98ddedd5eba84a94a7fd8737e4728c54d6182e5c4db","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1205309682},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa59262070b24c69f8ad98ddedd5eba84a94a7fd8737e4728c54d6182e5c4db","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1238246879},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa59262070b24c69f8ad98ddedd5eba84a94a7fd8737e4728c54d6182e5c4db","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262128574},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4b0cdaeb4874d9d9aec17bb16a7f36ea9fecc746476f84df1584a572ae3c1ad5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.098910338},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4b0cdaeb4874d9d9aec17bb16a7f36ea9fecc746476f84df1584a572ae3c1ad5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992154709},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4b0cdaeb4874d9d9aec17bb16a7f36ea9fecc746476f84df1584a572ae3c1ad5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987065688},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4b0cdaeb4874d9d9aec17bb16a7f36ea9fecc746476f84df1584a572ae3c1ad5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988059273},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4b0cdaeb4874d9d9aec17bb16a7f36ea9fecc746476f84df1584a572ae3c1ad5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993571272},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4d0226bb7d28b3509344cecbac6e7003dbb7cb5ac9ffc68518218fb163925931","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2575872127},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4d0226bb7d28b3509344cecbac6e7003dbb7cb5ac9ffc68518218fb163925931","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.262541707},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4d0226bb7d28b3509344cecbac6e7003dbb7cb5ac9ffc68518218fb163925931","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583024842},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4d0226bb7d28b3509344cecbac6e7003dbb7cb5ac9ffc68518218fb163925931","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2669569916},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4d0226bb7d28b3509344cecbac6e7003dbb7cb5ac9ffc68518218fb163925931","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2678302739},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"51641f21873dd7734140740107c7b5ff8375d86f14637855f0292c6696e5b7b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0878623263},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"51641f21873dd7734140740107c7b5ff8375d86f14637855f0292c6696e5b7b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915353466},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"51641f21873dd7734140740107c7b5ff8375d86f14637855f0292c6696e5b7b6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951481992},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"51641f21873dd7734140740107c7b5ff8375d86f14637855f0292c6696e5b7b6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1012367718},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"51641f21873dd7734140740107c7b5ff8375d86f14637855f0292c6696e5b7b6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022067706},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"535b6436c6cc9eba749153f2878872daba10219f5b12b6cd94d64f6dba931541","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0745645917},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"535b6436c6cc9eba749153f2878872daba10219f5b12b6cd94d64f6dba931541","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786174496},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"535b6436c6cc9eba749153f2878872daba10219f5b12b6cd94d64f6dba931541","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0802060211},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"535b6436c6cc9eba749153f2878872daba10219f5b12b6cd94d64f6dba931541","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0878703081},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"535b6436c6cc9eba749153f2878872daba10219f5b12b6cd94d64f6dba931541","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0934988813},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"54cccd2dd254ef101fc5a2d46172dc0ee2cc6f6d54461d091c5970df91a17c37","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1204196168},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"54cccd2dd254ef101fc5a2d46172dc0ee2cc6f6d54461d091c5970df91a17c37","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1148493846},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"54cccd2dd254ef101fc5a2d46172dc0ee2cc6f6d54461d091c5970df91a17c37","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1181643141},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"54cccd2dd254ef101fc5a2d46172dc0ee2cc6f6d54461d091c5970df91a17c37","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1357767629},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"54cccd2dd254ef101fc5a2d46172dc0ee2cc6f6d54461d091c5970df91a17c37","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.141336761},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"570966f9caa62dc73ea1ee2424b821f1e8df53a35ee979c121584c9982bf63ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1819529364},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"570966f9caa62dc73ea1ee2424b821f1e8df53a35ee979c121584c9982bf63ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1824352222},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"570966f9caa62dc73ea1ee2424b821f1e8df53a35ee979c121584c9982bf63ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1831317807},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"570966f9caa62dc73ea1ee2424b821f1e8df53a35ee979c121584c9982bf63ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1843818384},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"570966f9caa62dc73ea1ee2424b821f1e8df53a35ee979c121584c9982bf63ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1872377957},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"5713f8a61c04fa270a3a9e1791e4d9b5fa8e0d1cc1c1c232aef84d80c5b89c09","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.287661716},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"5713f8a61c04fa270a3a9e1791e4d9b5fa8e0d1cc1c1c232aef84d80c5b89c09","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2871137917},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"5713f8a61c04fa270a3a9e1791e4d9b5fa8e0d1cc1c1c232aef84d80c5b89c09","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798128521},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"5713f8a61c04fa270a3a9e1791e4d9b5fa8e0d1cc1c1c232aef84d80c5b89c09","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2751139378},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"5713f8a61c04fa270a3a9e1791e4d9b5fa8e0d1cc1c1c232aef84d80c5b89c09","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2836400631},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"600e496f50daaa9743707de63ce115d974431d123cd136ff68b8f92bc74eb435","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0349399996},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"600e496f50daaa9743707de63ce115d974431d123cd136ff68b8f92bc74eb435","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0384191426},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"600e496f50daaa9743707de63ce115d974431d123cd136ff68b8f92bc74eb435","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0384482522},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"600e496f50daaa9743707de63ce115d974431d123cd136ff68b8f92bc74eb435","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0384482522},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"600e496f50daaa9743707de63ce115d974431d123cd136ff68b8f92bc74eb435","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0385621931},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"607789976d54f4e876b6a60e9d196886af0d768824ad7bd357b59bcd3e1e90d8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1802929637},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"607789976d54f4e876b6a60e9d196886af0d768824ad7bd357b59bcd3e1e90d8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1800872477},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"607789976d54f4e876b6a60e9d196886af0d768824ad7bd357b59bcd3e1e90d8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1722786754},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"607789976d54f4e876b6a60e9d196886af0d768824ad7bd357b59bcd3e1e90d8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1691201042},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"607789976d54f4e876b6a60e9d196886af0d768824ad7bd357b59bcd3e1e90d8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.175110105},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0421896017},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0421317471},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0420810337},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0423246063},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042418176},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"66b6a2d010663acd0151084028b848f1fabb2f0104caef851775a7cb75e634b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1503932054},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"66b6a2d010663acd0151084028b848f1fabb2f0104caef851775a7cb75e634b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1437203474},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"66b6a2d010663acd0151084028b848f1fabb2f0104caef851775a7cb75e634b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1307260603},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"66b6a2d010663acd0151084028b848f1fabb2f0104caef851775a7cb75e634b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1222317706},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"66b6a2d010663acd0151084028b848f1fabb2f0104caef851775a7cb75e634b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1157717724},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"679aca5c46d7e9a3966503abc06f64d74369b3c5ea29ffbc5607c7497927975c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653741014},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"679aca5c46d7e9a3966503abc06f64d74369b3c5ea29ffbc5607c7497927975c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562843137},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"679aca5c46d7e9a3966503abc06f64d74369b3c5ea29ffbc5607c7497927975c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2512502129},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"679aca5c46d7e9a3966503abc06f64d74369b3c5ea29ffbc5607c7497927975c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2485495274},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"679aca5c46d7e9a3966503abc06f64d74369b3c5ea29ffbc5607c7497927975c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2513016426},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"6eee18f909f384a15b0d936d3d07b7151a285118f994cc75e04fcf9e709812cb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0996763517},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"6eee18f909f384a15b0d936d3d07b7151a285118f994cc75e04fcf9e709812cb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048590814},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"6eee18f909f384a15b0d936d3d07b7151a285118f994cc75e04fcf9e709812cb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1086689813},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"6eee18f909f384a15b0d936d3d07b7151a285118f994cc75e04fcf9e709812cb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1165074863},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"6eee18f909f384a15b0d936d3d07b7151a285118f994cc75e04fcf9e709812cb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1226046257},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1297263809},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1385120957},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1405720994},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1391410106},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1532692268},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76b5a922d6379f14838bbb051a7f3c70001b3661b6af959d4db6749a946e3efb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0787526862},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76b5a922d6379f14838bbb051a7f3c70001b3661b6af959d4db6749a946e3efb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0780412497},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76b5a922d6379f14838bbb051a7f3c70001b3661b6af959d4db6749a946e3efb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0814183994},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76b5a922d6379f14838bbb051a7f3c70001b3661b6af959d4db6749a946e3efb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0830641105},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76b5a922d6379f14838bbb051a7f3c70001b3661b6af959d4db6749a946e3efb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0868926848},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"7de1da056e3c1cf3e02778d4631cd6d10a716795d083dd2f64d3988d10b27848","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1117602116},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"7de1da056e3c1cf3e02778d4631cd6d10a716795d083dd2f64d3988d10b27848","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1162897462},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"7de1da056e3c1cf3e02778d4631cd6d10a716795d083dd2f64d3988d10b27848","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1162102775},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"7de1da056e3c1cf3e02778d4631cd6d10a716795d083dd2f64d3988d10b27848","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1219366436},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"7de1da056e3c1cf3e02778d4631cd6d10a716795d083dd2f64d3988d10b27848","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1333782688},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0735102795},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0763063527},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782617086},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0833499222},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0877449354},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"89aa41e4f8fcce6aebc49ed9abc3b7be16f6356c50ec20ba14f6d5b8490bbf06","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738669879},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"89aa41e4f8fcce6aebc49ed9abc3b7be16f6356c50ec20ba14f6d5b8490bbf06","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2730542013},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"89aa41e4f8fcce6aebc49ed9abc3b7be16f6356c50ec20ba14f6d5b8490bbf06","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2770528749},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"89aa41e4f8fcce6aebc49ed9abc3b7be16f6356c50ec20ba14f6d5b8490bbf06","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2686462013},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"89aa41e4f8fcce6aebc49ed9abc3b7be16f6356c50ec20ba14f6d5b8490bbf06","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2768509305},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d2ba46db9e608f4c68374e40a33076c33f58219df26b504135b506194d1622c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0709772598},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d2ba46db9e608f4c68374e40a33076c33f58219df26b504135b506194d1622c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0734929741},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d2ba46db9e608f4c68374e40a33076c33f58219df26b504135b506194d1622c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0781204721},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d2ba46db9e608f4c68374e40a33076c33f58219df26b504135b506194d1622c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0825858305},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d2ba46db9e608f4c68374e40a33076c33f58219df26b504135b506194d1622c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0861033281},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d5c97e6c9d26429339b3bf1ca0bfc816f9927f2bb0214ca584d483f306bed01","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.408647161},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d5c97e6c9d26429339b3bf1ca0bfc816f9927f2bb0214ca584d483f306bed01","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4057614602},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d5c97e6c9d26429339b3bf1ca0bfc816f9927f2bb0214ca584d483f306bed01","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.400366712},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d5c97e6c9d26429339b3bf1ca0bfc816f9927f2bb0214ca584d483f306bed01","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.382438585},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d5c97e6c9d26429339b3bf1ca0bfc816f9927f2bb0214ca584d483f306bed01","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3987003749},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9043472375a02690dfb338bd3d11605105562e5cae9672a989961b0c5bef9b51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1234841771},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9043472375a02690dfb338bd3d11605105562e5cae9672a989961b0c5bef9b51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.126742341},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9043472375a02690dfb338bd3d11605105562e5cae9672a989961b0c5bef9b51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1310593414},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9043472375a02690dfb338bd3d11605105562e5cae9672a989961b0c5bef9b51","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1365037995},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9043472375a02690dfb338bd3d11605105562e5cae9672a989961b0c5bef9b51","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1440173252},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9338de937aee2ca6a5a892e879683a60310ddb3a4f16c3b352056b450abce9e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1461828984},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9338de937aee2ca6a5a892e879683a60310ddb3a4f16c3b352056b450abce9e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1478066176},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9338de937aee2ca6a5a892e879683a60310ddb3a4f16c3b352056b450abce9e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1519632019},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9338de937aee2ca6a5a892e879683a60310ddb3a4f16c3b352056b450abce9e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1568624019},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9338de937aee2ca6a5a892e879683a60310ddb3a4f16c3b352056b450abce9e4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1608987897},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"97e9467176cf6658b3bd9c9ebf89d8510df5e3aabff8c3d14cdcb5d9dfa596c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1923853523},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"97e9467176cf6658b3bd9c9ebf89d8510df5e3aabff8c3d14cdcb5d9dfa596c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1959582102},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"97e9467176cf6658b3bd9c9ebf89d8510df5e3aabff8c3d14cdcb5d9dfa596c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2011067843},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"97e9467176cf6658b3bd9c9ebf89d8510df5e3aabff8c3d14cdcb5d9dfa596c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2085267841},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"97e9467176cf6658b3bd9c9ebf89d8510df5e3aabff8c3d14cdcb5d9dfa596c5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2242007135},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9d683eff8747219752163f7d11d94ff96bbf3b3386a147b59c4829ddb5dac130","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566048173},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9d683eff8747219752163f7d11d94ff96bbf3b3386a147b59c4829ddb5dac130","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0547129072},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9d683eff8747219752163f7d11d94ff96bbf3b3386a147b59c4829ddb5dac130","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568111574},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9d683eff8747219752163f7d11d94ff96bbf3b3386a147b59c4829ddb5dac130","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0588618852},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9d683eff8747219752163f7d11d94ff96bbf3b3386a147b59c4829ddb5dac130","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0623543449},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"a6df218adf1cf6a40983148234c46052bc83c7d2b8e31157dfdd6e58a9f83f5d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3536320821},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"a6df218adf1cf6a40983148234c46052bc83c7d2b8e31157dfdd6e58a9f83f5d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3384725688},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"a6df218adf1cf6a40983148234c46052bc83c7d2b8e31157dfdd6e58a9f83f5d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3183859199},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"a6df218adf1cf6a40983148234c46052bc83c7d2b8e31157dfdd6e58a9f83f5d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3164942857},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"a6df218adf1cf6a40983148234c46052bc83c7d2b8e31157dfdd6e58a9f83f5d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2555873379},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0606866567},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065364518},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641104867},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649370411},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0664025489},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b2c16b3c0744a315c41326c635faea3d15d8206e657856b721a43bd2592d169f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1429150666},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b2c16b3c0744a315c41326c635faea3d15d8206e657856b721a43bd2592d169f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1447011369},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b2c16b3c0744a315c41326c635faea3d15d8206e657856b721a43bd2592d169f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1448407817},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b2c16b3c0744a315c41326c635faea3d15d8206e657856b721a43bd2592d169f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1475664968},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b2c16b3c0744a315c41326c635faea3d15d8206e657856b721a43bd2592d169f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1517007835},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b48c0a80ed5a62b128815b699b93d3d167bf2a3265058028871320c0a5c85913","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097354924},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b48c0a80ed5a62b128815b699b93d3d167bf2a3265058028871320c0a5c85913","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0978161363},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b48c0a80ed5a62b128815b699b93d3d167bf2a3265058028871320c0a5c85913","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0998655344},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b48c0a80ed5a62b128815b699b93d3d167bf2a3265058028871320c0a5c85913","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983743802},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b48c0a80ed5a62b128815b699b93d3d167bf2a3265058028871320c0a5c85913","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968803472},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ba55ec8fa639399c7008a2a1c50e255936187a9bd722f8b3a66334ea4709f00d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1789627068},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ba55ec8fa639399c7008a2a1c50e255936187a9bd722f8b3a66334ea4709f00d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1825741343},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ba55ec8fa639399c7008a2a1c50e255936187a9bd722f8b3a66334ea4709f00d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1827841345},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ba55ec8fa639399c7008a2a1c50e255936187a9bd722f8b3a66334ea4709f00d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1946455639},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ba55ec8fa639399c7008a2a1c50e255936187a9bd722f8b3a66334ea4709f00d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2049084217},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ccda7990a2565cabd7c375a036751bd3b953b8bed45d859010919cd3a84d7e78","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590601784},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ccda7990a2565cabd7c375a036751bd3b953b8bed45d859010919cd3a84d7e78","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600559698},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ccda7990a2565cabd7c375a036751bd3b953b8bed45d859010919cd3a84d7e78","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602034548},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ccda7990a2565cabd7c375a036751bd3b953b8bed45d859010919cd3a84d7e78","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.06106567},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ccda7990a2565cabd7c375a036751bd3b953b8bed45d859010919cd3a84d7e78","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627212875},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d2f53c35645247d8ff5bdd09147c7409afb6752ace3d5863ea759e821c619b07","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4313315834},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d2f53c35645247d8ff5bdd09147c7409afb6752ace3d5863ea759e821c619b07","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4133719331},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d2f53c35645247d8ff5bdd09147c7409afb6752ace3d5863ea759e821c619b07","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4193507796},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d2f53c35645247d8ff5bdd09147c7409afb6752ace3d5863ea759e821c619b07","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4005493448},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d2f53c35645247d8ff5bdd09147c7409afb6752ace3d5863ea759e821c619b07","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3808350691},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d53c1683bf29c37c17aed31f5b2e2403aa5c040883b280940f946138800ac1fb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510571931},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d53c1683bf29c37c17aed31f5b2e2403aa5c040883b280940f946138800ac1fb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0523902355},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d53c1683bf29c37c17aed31f5b2e2403aa5c040883b280940f946138800ac1fb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541934104},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d53c1683bf29c37c17aed31f5b2e2403aa5c040883b280940f946138800ac1fb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054642309},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d53c1683bf29c37c17aed31f5b2e2403aa5c040883b280940f946138800ac1fb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.061335498},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1866142206},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1905352255},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1967182009},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.195779467},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2076936991},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"df90cdceaad74c30e35c84791dd12ac5120b233928a6bc4ff3af2c8ece3f306b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0765704287},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"df90cdceaad74c30e35c84791dd12ac5120b233928a6bc4ff3af2c8ece3f306b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797289976},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"df90cdceaad74c30e35c84791dd12ac5120b233928a6bc4ff3af2c8ece3f306b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0854089984},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"df90cdceaad74c30e35c84791dd12ac5120b233928a6bc4ff3af2c8ece3f306b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834047187},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"df90cdceaad74c30e35c84791dd12ac5120b233928a6bc4ff3af2c8ece3f306b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0885932869},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.185566158},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1812649563},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1826373718},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1860496429},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1934905735},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e53dabd31f71786f3b044bd12e498deee5a732a43de2d9be7468ebaced466977","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1886741031},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e53dabd31f71786f3b044bd12e498deee5a732a43de2d9be7468ebaced466977","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.361506141},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e53dabd31f71786f3b044bd12e498deee5a732a43de2d9be7468ebaced466977","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3638360447},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e53dabd31f71786f3b044bd12e498deee5a732a43de2d9be7468ebaced466977","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3496095579},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e53dabd31f71786f3b044bd12e498deee5a732a43de2d9be7468ebaced466977","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3531546132},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1971094809},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2039794808},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2093951965},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3373031522},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2159369828},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f0535b536401f2bfa43ed741298dd8d89c745701593f04a8b410115c8a3c6142","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1907166195},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f0535b536401f2bfa43ed741298dd8d89c745701593f04a8b410115c8a3c6142","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3950829861},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f0535b536401f2bfa43ed741298dd8d89c745701593f04a8b410115c8a3c6142","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3741680735},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f0535b536401f2bfa43ed741298dd8d89c745701593f04a8b410115c8a3c6142","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3636998967},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f0535b536401f2bfa43ed741298dd8d89c745701593f04a8b410115c8a3c6142","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.369051969},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f29228009a407cdf130062251d274b898fc8e925f21b5d9c16376e35fd5a9fbd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1662954135},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f29228009a407cdf130062251d274b898fc8e925f21b5d9c16376e35fd5a9fbd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1682086552},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f29228009a407cdf130062251d274b898fc8e925f21b5d9c16376e35fd5a9fbd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1670068384},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f29228009a407cdf130062251d274b898fc8e925f21b5d9c16376e35fd5a9fbd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1702208417},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f29228009a407cdf130062251d274b898fc8e925f21b5d9c16376e35fd5a9fbd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1743054752},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f4c38ca3c45ac8dea0e76cc1fbe7e0a89b58f854a04174b0078a5ee5aefc66d8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0296843415},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f4c38ca3c45ac8dea0e76cc1fbe7e0a89b58f854a04174b0078a5ee5aefc66d8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0313002116},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f4c38ca3c45ac8dea0e76cc1fbe7e0a89b58f854a04174b0078a5ee5aefc66d8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0302529097},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f4c38ca3c45ac8dea0e76cc1fbe7e0a89b58f854a04174b0078a5ee5aefc66d8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278786546},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f4c38ca3c45ac8dea0e76cc1fbe7e0a89b58f854a04174b0078a5ee5aefc66d8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0289456982},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0931135733},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0947195219},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989409846},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103262477},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1097245913},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa2e38da1538dba16674994feb8bf783ced8b7d5763bd089a6905794dcf90f68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1599995441},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa2e38da1538dba16674994feb8bf783ced8b7d5763bd089a6905794dcf90f68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1616238298},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa2e38da1538dba16674994feb8bf783ced8b7d5763bd089a6905794dcf90f68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1765509783},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa2e38da1538dba16674994feb8bf783ced8b7d5763bd089a6905794dcf90f68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.390115642},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa2e38da1538dba16674994feb8bf783ced8b7d5763bd089a6905794dcf90f68","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1741566884},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1531587599},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4096080214},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2610861429},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2026989951},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3768518708},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3253774527},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.295211742},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.193764808},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1547953939},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3066645115},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4311201995},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1723199357},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2597136619},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2141914977},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1835746913},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2729481458},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.299099105},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1807335621},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1529789154},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2508189282},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.298468219},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2843763736},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1846792905},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1574675034},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123350192},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4090803166},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3915074579},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28858316},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2455545846},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.397523172},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.193837045},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2023662014},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2743706103},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2330928717},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1784620629},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4044651353},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1860853831},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2348486324},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1907165391},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3863385953},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1852070936},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.364738856},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2345138465},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.192790606},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2076374919},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3591660852},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3352083849},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2220203543},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1862989205},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3550360834},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4276766064},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3841837382},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2259237258},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1916965793},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3512094525},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4670753728},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4457182343},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3217796426},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2671439233},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.404405369},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3978655433},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3812498264},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2237573377},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1799101913},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3714041126},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4386412008},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4122508799},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2489306784},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1915234417},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3704263268},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2161432067},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3298661931},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2288994827},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1797309072},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3592434289},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4093043667},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3921652838},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.242441504},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.199788764},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.368176025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.213190552},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.326290583},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2165443249},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.189352906},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3426359221},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4054613598},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3762494176},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2227795535},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1774340348},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3402310831},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.324513223},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2026196371},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1673078477},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3287092941},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2086630701},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3634153681},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2380172118},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.202200579},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3880768091},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.274524723},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2890051248},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1728475288},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1405091255},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.272989484},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1825346496},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3777909056},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2331953196},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1894731445},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1839039658},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3809196678},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2732060724},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2130053523},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3739546582},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2028676838},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3460411302},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2150227622},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1826233463},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3580784},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1854904005},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3518766728},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2295175833},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1900165058},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3715718825},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1606373745},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1769178799},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701802445},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2059131093},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3746502558},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1722131474},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2048106569},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2337360262},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1823460054},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3518217393},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2747275763},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3113951491},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1592079445},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1284679965},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3098053486},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1803892749},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1932154523},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2554013365},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2073262316},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.176880611},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2537778232},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2666787865},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1966650055},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1497632985},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2631836166},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1540280035},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1676724295},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2649580521},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1957428462},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2054732142},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1456178038},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1665505867},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2430245985},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1802172717},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.169991776},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1762494305},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2303017832},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1908532067},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1614258766},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1757633902},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734507571},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2094744561},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1950300209},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1587066303},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1698708477},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2712650009},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.218923568},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1730978463},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1805960625},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2004517797},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2175517808},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1626764185},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3555175114},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1860331244},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3627069678},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2371223987},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1851276588},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3544908748},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.147465434},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.431373936},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3144160797},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4478018033},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4354524875},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1466039213},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1412764435},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2473717848},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3547889419},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.152198923},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1727615604},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1706913446},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2573746418},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2029532067},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4131383863},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3524542235},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2227722241},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3166357043},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3397631291},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2276459689},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3391681202},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2118684554},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4282006844},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4142021037},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3299842993},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748229367},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4216346296},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1360385075},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1506156432},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707613734},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4333221799},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2052064816},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2112844148},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.272880659},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.338775929},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3567157044},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1983981885},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1890097999},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3784432293},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3858087041},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1608358696},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1917471831},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.168034824},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4242391198},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4633691557},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.484768867},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2611737826},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2419972213},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152893615},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3447943764},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3639804465},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2354039836},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2213826206},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3438459079},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3670364547},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3983082524},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2013131864},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1782643187},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4080661268},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4447339774},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4657545829},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3411560178},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3529680532},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3609853218},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1888117006},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.376375288},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2115446177},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2118247303},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2136607557},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1987011162},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2017612514},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3412829444},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3549851309},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3599894504},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3843817998},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3979271607},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2200450796},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2008799014},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.17944065},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.405752636},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4299727914},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2395986047},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2142029231},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3728255818},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4030681797},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1553651761},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.333798442},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3481323825},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3630084761},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3801752157},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3911433576},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3326676024},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3451044971},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3607787842},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3759521758},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.396548663},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2090865827},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1925156762},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3681785636},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3855413864},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4072479673},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.412147556},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4031004413},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.392858065},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3872695827},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1857838889},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835194551},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3048864456},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.333030746},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2100841135},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1935997973},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2155677},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3473930165},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3758809963},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1734184825},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1654410177},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.356261402},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3499718304},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3435736598},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3365254214},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3308382733},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127628497},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3187896676},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3198232302},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2143330016},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.32310761},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701960701},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2688504815},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2686064775},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683460138},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2705864421},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3289354288},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3398226681},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3492935876},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2025006834},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2035226593},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2051822739},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3512887128},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3649724433},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.178041824},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1830018603},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.252507728},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2639805378},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2820493984},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2980421302},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3179987315},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3319790519},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3424832482},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3605916215},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1688265925},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1648677541},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3049819853},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3233462448},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3465841436},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1829396434},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1748357125},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3506729021},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3662979782},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3963080293},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4008425144},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4219925924},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226291093},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2293596557},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2367827289},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2501090901},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2759364048},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2199034175},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2234106358},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365118104},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2509738506},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2696525348},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1256452402},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1223752718},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1239571094},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1285683127},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1347812213},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2161899851},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2199667966},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2240634151},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2447176149},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2556071887},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2679228683},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2721551468},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2682886748},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2749949356},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2860996091},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2806101334},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2922596588},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3101364502},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3258248274},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3490386439},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.431263949},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4295878927},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4350089486},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4361191895},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4403361697},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1704515972},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1660883264},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1721488293},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1781267285},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1957452898},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3663661903},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3704780433},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1809431678},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1814750675},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3501693348},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3486421391},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1974107264},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3541895607},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3290277416},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3601500784},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4031327535},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.436517074},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4799558266},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4077763485},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4181732159},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4345732085},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4401055111},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4629720597},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2090548504},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1955657367},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1879395774},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1816058609},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1795071847},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583164856},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2344755309},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2158531939},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3628519765},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3964344401},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1901632469},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3531269149},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3457495159},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3427478174},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3383783415},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3008340545},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3053291473},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3139550314},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3294754479},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3519203884},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3461010933},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3351815458},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3436648261},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3491700879},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3585327692},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1731934931},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.403789613},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4163629103},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1625601206},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4422645705},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3947701539},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1660321543},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1677593847},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1695778148},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1743467497},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2970733028},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.309026047},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3204009125},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3418307223},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3523210556},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3443606299},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.359352127},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3737916239},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3865599746},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3994343802},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2876186239},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3057845963},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3302866863},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2120936746},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.205022188},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2942061822},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2998427876},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2227808854},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3308821665},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2031749045},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3460256064},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3531275207},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3594474141},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3686791817},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2000247101},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3814727886},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3845557117},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3934904379},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4044972902},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2023374524},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2004120987},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3545077777},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3578621844},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3626706876},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1553177639},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1601105231},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1694442796},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1645784448},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.169626196},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3651668062},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1830666203},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1948775914},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1781533188},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1771710238},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2830238784},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878654682},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2973868819},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2473097075},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2503851165},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3040535535},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3134759609},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3322726437},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3523133763},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3735138079},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2759939891},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2828392793},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.247532165},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2388810814},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2093764717},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3783388408},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1735471238},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1708071705},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1764516603},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1829583451},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2857670546},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3064448168},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2171380638},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3466296626},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1958044309},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3312454288},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2276701522},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2918902351},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640477232},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2824675904},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2341370625},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131883311},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3132248752},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3260655054},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3285217642},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1085261813},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4982478932},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1449788999},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1698831875},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3684244778},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3250760636},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3055332046},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2881574897},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2700721306},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2622597846},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0828628306},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096307124},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1119056944},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1326614138},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1594542753},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2700764161},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2669427182},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2709483698},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2773442715},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2826811368},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0723628857},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0746927411},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0832799507},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0921284895},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1154993388},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2235502248},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.221120224},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2194273671},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2179687955},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2201630813},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0970285045},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109010231},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1285695426},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.149882985},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4009792154},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527056428},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522382824},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052969533},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557278146},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613878893},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1076790773},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1166360781},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4729572189},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4399781971},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4045731595},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064021262},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0653783784},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677513053},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0727935201},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789466062},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0689683754},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0728780961},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791259915},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0879829127},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1031121184},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f4e9bef478eb0032ddb58280d4bcdfa31f5934dccd230a28cc22eaaae6f3411","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.237546184},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f4e9bef478eb0032ddb58280d4bcdfa31f5934dccd230a28cc22eaaae6f3411","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.244179199},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f4e9bef478eb0032ddb58280d4bcdfa31f5934dccd230a28cc22eaaae6f3411","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2443911422},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f4e9bef478eb0032ddb58280d4bcdfa31f5934dccd230a28cc22eaaae6f3411","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.241703484},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f4e9bef478eb0032ddb58280d4bcdfa31f5934dccd230a28cc22eaaae6f3411","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498125701},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f7f3d8ce69dbc5297e9bebded95b3e4e3204845a2667894806c89c869b01e32","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2238996562},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f7f3d8ce69dbc5297e9bebded95b3e4e3204845a2667894806c89c869b01e32","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2151227548},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f7f3d8ce69dbc5297e9bebded95b3e4e3204845a2667894806c89c869b01e32","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2131504696},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f7f3d8ce69dbc5297e9bebded95b3e4e3204845a2667894806c89c869b01e32","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2118895404},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f7f3d8ce69dbc5297e9bebded95b3e4e3204845a2667894806c89c869b01e32","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2172159439},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030898624},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1095986272},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1202773889},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1439385122},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1787594511},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0596187835},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638232725},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701577046},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0812340344},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983242917},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.082251516},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.08821804},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0967301687},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1103308605},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1299120992},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0875371242},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0967571259},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1103103418},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1297269698},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1613042753},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4c98ccd0d64f8cad6896b50e8131b7173dcc95e40e1492413d69a7bf75d3328c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1477186937},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4c98ccd0d64f8cad6896b50e8131b7173dcc95e40e1492413d69a7bf75d3328c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4374550528},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4c98ccd0d64f8cad6896b50e8131b7173dcc95e40e1492413d69a7bf75d3328c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4035126084},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4c98ccd0d64f8cad6896b50e8131b7173dcc95e40e1492413d69a7bf75d3328c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3861183306},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4c98ccd0d64f8cad6896b50e8131b7173dcc95e40e1492413d69a7bf75d3328c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3623382687},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0581897247},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578765947},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0585787874},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609917123},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676784781},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545755491},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0562498749},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0606758876},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678026756},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0778912494},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603281911},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625985505},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681828371},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0762856907},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0924814112},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435271727},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0442592505},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0470665099},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519385568},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0587937289},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1989828693},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2103206908},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2194326764},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2412583549},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2718140163},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0827611939},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.084050108},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0886020519},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960900274},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1092868538},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0478475755},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0494749373},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518726623},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563998488},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0643950077},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0866985522},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1012799806},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1192699836},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.154729987},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1870942775},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0887984386},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1006780233},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4918020575},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.14462537},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1796446915},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0947931832},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5245777558},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1248197145},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1480684264},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1783160628},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1641742131},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1725158818},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1837547453},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2022797318},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2218852595},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590991895},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633559818},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.06879562},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771113408},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0927599128},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.040895954},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0436734543},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0474109546},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052990285},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618235016},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704863654},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0772213949},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0851988074},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962248252},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1135768113},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c7985d78360e28f5bb4bc303f157919422a4963fd9ab6d37515f6c5581cbe06","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604280329},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c7985d78360e28f5bb4bc303f157919422a4963fd9ab6d37515f6c5581cbe06","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618301764},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c7985d78360e28f5bb4bc303f157919422a4963fd9ab6d37515f6c5581cbe06","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c7985d78360e28f5bb4bc303f157919422a4963fd9ab6d37515f6c5581cbe06","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0741644661},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c7985d78360e28f5bb4bc303f157919422a4963fd9ab6d37515f6c5581cbe06","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895190939},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3310875913},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3251762734},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.326248217},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3287031169},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3338529259},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549555709},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0574293361},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614827696},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678531372},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0766013949},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625285583},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0661150209},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0714139503},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797903635},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0927413831},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0559471371},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0588071368},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636728882},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0705374769},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813628341},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4347839414},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4284210741},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1696466462},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4280145137},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4333993431},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0455021183},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0482803333},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533717626},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0612603362},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0730474817},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0785256207},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0808396089},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0859508793},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0936208836},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1090317585},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658682539},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0688261209},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0734047315},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0810377653},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0921470246},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1804138032},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2014287436},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2380826528},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2732143901},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701010644},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0599309646},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060777476},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631391499},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0680241928},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0763102066},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660293226},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678587541},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0710871624},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770656795},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0846285303},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cfecaf75abdfe4be7627c5e61a5d7c88541a74fbf3f030dd0b3b81e3f456e655","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2485056464},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cfecaf75abdfe4be7627c5e61a5d7c88541a74fbf3f030dd0b3b81e3f456e655","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2409663924},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cfecaf75abdfe4be7627c5e61a5d7c88541a74fbf3f030dd0b3b81e3f456e655","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2449959119},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cfecaf75abdfe4be7627c5e61a5d7c88541a74fbf3f030dd0b3b81e3f456e655","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2505153714},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cfecaf75abdfe4be7627c5e61a5d7c88541a74fbf3f030dd0b3b81e3f456e655","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2580606035},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3324351666},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3336291208},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2449759558},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3385828376},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3453021303},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1000583985},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1151412529},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1353083999},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1654841176},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2043269796},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3320912829},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.324034038},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3217715605},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3178650153},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3238671782},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782324138},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0807709859},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0855231291},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0930716978},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057159883},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3583735252},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3306867098},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3039013494},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2797045889},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2598878577},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2465131988},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2457589127},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2530960569},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562632},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2685251204},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.041404629},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0420145317},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0436262667},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0474267515},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531139402},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788018729},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813289094},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.085854693},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0934046051},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039972529},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0643890596},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0722519638},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0831084649},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0901686971},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043769125},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3544956714},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3569343655},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3596590014},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3709540606},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.381326271},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2068543316},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3396619754},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1858643588},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1767034959},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1702978574},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.379119825},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1666384528},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1614388274},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4149191678},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1580994563},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1750407642},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1711400319},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1689628274},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3832128176},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1650305926},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1766383396},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1706943655},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1670905826},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1648091187},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1662983552},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.187382308},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3607350472},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1780960952},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3807272838},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1746429222},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CBRE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2068198235},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CBRE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2092587092},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CBRE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2065553579},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CBRE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2087503831},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CBRE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2053351499},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3689309427},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3647615369},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1854051629},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.195936813},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1961188816},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3583495076},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1757000712},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3908444416},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1583420786},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1506678681},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1999834593},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1994042003},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1939647094},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1958468338},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1876574508},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2347541007},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2304859729},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2220796699},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2235734196},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2187627318},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3137532952},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2199889827},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2228598968},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2240310766},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3294484051},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3777219998},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1697776966},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1687141305},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1733009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3860438336},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1638305334},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1585701967},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1577804542},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4234797856},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1490541182},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155403709},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3218481719},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3307213107},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3432258621},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3575339137},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.173532193},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1717292094},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.169669917},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1710271768},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1743775594},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3233678033},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3269809226},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2031273273},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3383571947},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3495393819},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3224003299},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1989933209},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1899524694},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1773996477},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1680841287},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1697157677},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1631186467},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1595186962},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1629205029},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.428647572},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.175756682},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1727717964},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1688846538},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1691777986},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1710517009},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3619147239},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1823166765},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1837206977},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1841822981},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1848389092},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1905299347},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1872912725},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1840685574},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1804598817},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1757245314},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3723426099},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3695527717},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3679090979},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3694541263},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3762348354},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FFIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2061050927},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FFIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2075429085},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FFIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.204846993},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FFIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2056807345},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FFIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2007601699},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1555476087},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1553019574},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1520056369},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1553821832},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1573443844},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3716501529},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3674004967},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1824279514},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1880447639},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1939338002},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1944865778},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1941721277},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1920312532},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1936754117},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1946709773},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3488300904},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3506627409},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3568043471},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3624353041},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.373148952},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3630979001},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1741377196},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.168678024},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1632459066},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1605321104},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2205706527},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3218821004},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3202464403},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3316120876},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3517933549},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2161416155},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2149850473},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2032660716},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2119889132},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2022393255},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3949562324},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.156723258},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4025664824},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4124239976},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1539010208},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3376828028},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1895397139},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1801514938},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1746310259},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1715548223},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1797970307},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3745568069},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.165387259},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1544042434},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1528012457},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2223530536},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2210181344},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2193887532},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3239407493},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3351835209},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3674765708},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1780375712},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1763789445},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3722724682},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3780177275},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3679047003},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1738748875},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1710470745},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1695067979},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1738300835},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3426620782},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3498289328},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1998497732},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2019505052},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3588801838},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3322307279},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3402793777},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1884600766},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1899944702},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1860025665},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2085446591},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2034809475},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1946370024},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1917720245},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3751366795},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1847294078},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3665266203},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1758195073},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.384048517},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1737465219},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1934934125},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1853893566},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1762543306},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1707982902},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1628821352},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3513748705},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1861865663},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1883642328},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3575557919},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3612299105},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.224507971},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3099632066},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3175045087},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3297242585},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3401237288},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1746241555},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3813832147},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1719747586},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3845636399},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3985814788},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1837516679},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.357072736},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1789493273},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1813337485},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1808909016},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1876620917},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1808858227},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1749769005},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1693222759},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1655408135},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2124111608},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2078291085},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.203940343},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2040369507},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2039742709},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3609633696},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1770177608},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1759329769},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1735522549},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1745219477},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1844814102},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1867960651},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1911866693},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1957908522},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3604066181},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2176725832},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2044097418},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1944588371},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1841358749},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1759492626},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2089748233},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.206389689},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.201543901},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1984356355},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1948228301},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1860584046},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3470080691},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1876802599},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1887903843},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.192645275},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3137753517},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2145912478},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2077765709},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2019003487},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1986059676},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.339330544},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3386225739},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1942916617},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1893007518},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1862641339},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3836420411},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.379995321},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1733508892},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3838352956},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1715236263},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3666605633},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1731023523},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1699032295},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.166805947},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1637763188},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1901050023},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.187263557},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1806052592},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3693722694},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1727104548},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3688968953},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.370390986},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3795884004},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3917490812},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1597011432},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3637597486},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3568908209},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1896810642},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1903080553},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1975675007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0666e0e9870b24a330020ab0360019637b400f4ccfd948582ac981ce09c5bb3b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2061140274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0666e0e9870b24a330020ab0360019637b400f4ccfd948582ac981ce09c5bb3b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2113774236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0666e0e9870b24a330020ab0360019637b400f4ccfd948582ac981ce09c5bb3b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562253106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0666e0e9870b24a330020ab0360019637b400f4ccfd948582ac981ce09c5bb3b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2426245571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0666e0e9870b24a330020ab0360019637b400f4ccfd948582ac981ce09c5bb3b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2728574554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"06fcdbcc3f927d4733c938ca693d8c5efbbdd86136f9510600497df456a77068","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620422439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"06fcdbcc3f927d4733c938ca693d8c5efbbdd86136f9510600497df456a77068","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0475788435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"06fcdbcc3f927d4733c938ca693d8c5efbbdd86136f9510600497df456a77068","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0481961361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"06fcdbcc3f927d4733c938ca693d8c5efbbdd86136f9510600497df456a77068","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0491478607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"06fcdbcc3f927d4733c938ca693d8c5efbbdd86136f9510600497df456a77068","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0507653236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0f920e9e2b328ab275f921e8358491ac592627108b56254fc1001ac728ffd829","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526718982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0f920e9e2b328ab275f921e8358491ac592627108b56254fc1001ac728ffd829","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552223326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0f920e9e2b328ab275f921e8358491ac592627108b56254fc1001ac728ffd829","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590542351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0f920e9e2b328ab275f921e8358491ac592627108b56254fc1001ac728ffd829","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638800568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0f920e9e2b328ab275f921e8358491ac592627108b56254fc1001ac728ffd829","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0689621723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1392580038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1368908507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1000801448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1122262132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1509769994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509341023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520217875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543284303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0575164732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625188876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"147dd89b0b7983e83a136804ca8542fb89839c30ff00b1e2aef91a40969fed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0906736819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"147dd89b0b7983e83a136804ca8542fb89839c30ff00b1e2aef91a40969fed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0869724892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"147dd89b0b7983e83a136804ca8542fb89839c30ff00b1e2aef91a40969fed11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0881706932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"147dd89b0b7983e83a136804ca8542fb89839c30ff00b1e2aef91a40969fed11","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0905834166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"147dd89b0b7983e83a136804ca8542fb89839c30ff00b1e2aef91a40969fed11","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915675216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"14e21caf983148a951015e7cdd31e9fec4060c8ea4604f74e3ce9339f568fb3c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0605919969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"14e21caf983148a951015e7cdd31e9fec4060c8ea4604f74e3ce9339f568fb3c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638800568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"14e21caf983148a951015e7cdd31e9fec4060c8ea4604f74e3ce9339f568fb3c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0699498404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"14e21caf983148a951015e7cdd31e9fec4060c8ea4604f74e3ce9339f568fb3c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0785137988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"14e21caf983148a951015e7cdd31e9fec4060c8ea4604f74e3ce9339f568fb3c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0930178311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2887386597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.284306905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3072145559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3084181984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220677727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"240bdbc9f3406309ca238c696fc073cd04be6f9d131dab465f81de93455f6b97","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0491416096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"240bdbc9f3406309ca238c696fc073cd04be6f9d131dab465f81de93455f6b97","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480991821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"240bdbc9f3406309ca238c696fc073cd04be6f9d131dab465f81de93455f6b97","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480086042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"240bdbc9f3406309ca238c696fc073cd04be6f9d131dab465f81de93455f6b97","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0486790308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"240bdbc9f3406309ca238c696fc073cd04be6f9d131dab465f81de93455f6b97","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505434108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0765585283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0849824628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0942945485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043807036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.689039263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"26d1840d9d1771bd02ff900e1c3595aa6e0e60b1190179796ce1423dfaecc7b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0465474178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"26d1840d9d1771bd02ff900e1c3595aa6e0e60b1190179796ce1423dfaecc7b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0466676883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"26d1840d9d1771bd02ff900e1c3595aa6e0e60b1190179796ce1423dfaecc7b6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473037966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"26d1840d9d1771bd02ff900e1c3595aa6e0e60b1190179796ce1423dfaecc7b6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484930616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"26d1840d9d1771bd02ff900e1c3595aa6e0e60b1190179796ce1423dfaecc7b6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503980735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2b6dfa51c453c3f82d6740304ba6d6c8e967b40107f35257522b245e20bdf6e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0922629526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2b6dfa51c453c3f82d6740304ba6d6c8e967b40107f35257522b245e20bdf6e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094555843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2b6dfa51c453c3f82d6740304ba6d6c8e967b40107f35257522b245e20bdf6e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962898883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2b6dfa51c453c3f82d6740304ba6d6c8e967b40107f35257522b245e20bdf6e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981447041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2b6dfa51c453c3f82d6740304ba6d6c8e967b40107f35257522b245e20bdf6e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045045371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2d174ea076671029f5f979a23e79ea4dfa45348b432508da0815b05578e94f19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1263060274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2d174ea076671029f5f979a23e79ea4dfa45348b432508da0815b05578e94f19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1292032708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2d174ea076671029f5f979a23e79ea4dfa45348b432508da0815b05578e94f19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.178377332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2d174ea076671029f5f979a23e79ea4dfa45348b432508da0815b05578e94f19","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1337884891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2d174ea076671029f5f979a23e79ea4dfa45348b432508da0815b05578e94f19","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1494426548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2e152139083c10ed2b508c60781748e8c988994da5d342de00a06b9e897bdc97","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3495537032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2e152139083c10ed2b508c60781748e8c988994da5d342de00a06b9e897bdc97","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3349277751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2e152139083c10ed2b508c60781748e8c988994da5d342de00a06b9e897bdc97","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3764707868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2e152139083c10ed2b508c60781748e8c988994da5d342de00a06b9e897bdc97","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956733406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2e152139083c10ed2b508c60781748e8c988994da5d342de00a06b9e897bdc97","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3079001101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531469791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537970899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560724773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604169671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0682198584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"326e9de32577009f974d5865b247139d08461aa41209775260848be9d64f3048","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813470312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"326e9de32577009f974d5865b247139d08461aa41209775260848be9d64f3048","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0846399045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"326e9de32577009f974d5865b247139d08461aa41209775260848be9d64f3048","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0864789676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"326e9de32577009f974d5865b247139d08461aa41209775260848be9d64f3048","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986040324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"326e9de32577009f974d5865b247139d08461aa41209775260848be9d64f3048","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1074784811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3dc58efa4d7bcd5d611bd112e0fc7d204d5b2eadcf653c4ab30fdf41235996ba","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2384387818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3dc58efa4d7bcd5d611bd112e0fc7d204d5b2eadcf653c4ab30fdf41235996ba","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2326602978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3dc58efa4d7bcd5d611bd112e0fc7d204d5b2eadcf653c4ab30fdf41235996ba","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2312386182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3dc58efa4d7bcd5d611bd112e0fc7d204d5b2eadcf653c4ab30fdf41235996ba","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2328606444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3dc58efa4d7bcd5d611bd112e0fc7d204d5b2eadcf653c4ab30fdf41235996ba","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2387910918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3e1289c57ea52f9ce28b72f4249fc56d015cb760c0f4de8122ae96ffe69c4df8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1200043641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3e1289c57ea52f9ce28b72f4249fc56d015cb760c0f4de8122ae96ffe69c4df8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1163202367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3e1289c57ea52f9ce28b72f4249fc56d015cb760c0f4de8122ae96ffe69c4df8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.11937857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3e1289c57ea52f9ce28b72f4249fc56d015cb760c0f4de8122ae96ffe69c4df8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1256040676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3e1289c57ea52f9ce28b72f4249fc56d015cb760c0f4de8122ae96ffe69c4df8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1253158935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3ea48306007417558e6d9e3082151f0c65eed77eb3dd9621fa2de76cae252eb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0896594467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3ea48306007417558e6d9e3082151f0c65eed77eb3dd9621fa2de76cae252eb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0871405178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3ea48306007417558e6d9e3082151f0c65eed77eb3dd9621fa2de76cae252eb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0923224627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3ea48306007417558e6d9e3082151f0c65eed77eb3dd9621fa2de76cae252eb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979001625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3ea48306007417558e6d9e3082151f0c65eed77eb3dd9621fa2de76cae252eb0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1052589156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"41ef1c3360bafba4b6aecb6cde6870d5f84500f3ad0be39cdd4d40f1f697e724","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3991934062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"41ef1c3360bafba4b6aecb6cde6870d5f84500f3ad0be39cdd4d40f1f697e724","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3876164348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"41ef1c3360bafba4b6aecb6cde6870d5f84500f3ad0be39cdd4d40f1f697e724","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3768583528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"41ef1c3360bafba4b6aecb6cde6870d5f84500f3ad0be39cdd4d40f1f697e724","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3691757946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"41ef1c3360bafba4b6aecb6cde6870d5f84500f3ad0be39cdd4d40f1f697e724","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3642624579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"43f1c15641c235294c3ac293947171fca2cc468d9266f8ea6a3471faae907109","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3466922784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"43f1c15641c235294c3ac293947171fca2cc468d9266f8ea6a3471faae907109","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3405474195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"43f1c15641c235294c3ac293947171fca2cc468d9266f8ea6a3471faae907109","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2943067954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"43f1c15641c235294c3ac293947171fca2cc468d9266f8ea6a3471faae907109","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3166178447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"43f1c15641c235294c3ac293947171fca2cc468d9266f8ea6a3471faae907109","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3216665169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0741255515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783512711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0850524122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0929475066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1071061677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"524d8228bdba3a16a5591f5de0373847d1186c0b789e078d87d8364434dc7e99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2156734677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"524d8228bdba3a16a5591f5de0373847d1186c0b789e078d87d8364434dc7e99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2361953998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"524d8228bdba3a16a5591f5de0373847d1186c0b789e078d87d8364434dc7e99","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2436754236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"524d8228bdba3a16a5591f5de0373847d1186c0b789e078d87d8364434dc7e99","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2060780837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"524d8228bdba3a16a5591f5de0373847d1186c0b789e078d87d8364434dc7e99","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4232885092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0494651022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0506465534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527656642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553973624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0588604521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"6e9bac5f477266f4b6768411cd4ba4d2c9d065b42eeda14eb73ddeca49338e64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0864619647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"6e9bac5f477266f4b6768411cd4ba4d2c9d065b42eeda14eb73ddeca49338e64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0882142631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"6e9bac5f477266f4b6768411cd4ba4d2c9d065b42eeda14eb73ddeca49338e64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.089652508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"6e9bac5f477266f4b6768411cd4ba4d2c9d065b42eeda14eb73ddeca49338e64","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.092928816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"6e9bac5f477266f4b6768411cd4ba4d2c9d065b42eeda14eb73ddeca49338e64","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987148012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.363913961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167944372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2630082782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3080716394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2980339926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"734e27101e4087730723824d0cdf18b0bca67d89cb6bb9c686117d52b06ac9dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1460178563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"734e27101e4087730723824d0cdf18b0bca67d89cb6bb9c686117d52b06ac9dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1871698014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"734e27101e4087730723824d0cdf18b0bca67d89cb6bb9c686117d52b06ac9dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1611791881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"734e27101e4087730723824d0cdf18b0bca67d89cb6bb9c686117d52b06ac9dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1841920443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"734e27101e4087730723824d0cdf18b0bca67d89cb6bb9c686117d52b06ac9dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2035723445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7bfeb70a394235fc918bf2335240307747ede7f90984fe7d285addccc40bed24","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066259462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7bfeb70a394235fc918bf2335240307747ede7f90984fe7d285addccc40bed24","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0702487038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7bfeb70a394235fc918bf2335240307747ede7f90984fe7d285addccc40bed24","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0753445716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7bfeb70a394235fc918bf2335240307747ede7f90984fe7d285addccc40bed24","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0825519864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7bfeb70a394235fc918bf2335240307747ede7f90984fe7d285addccc40bed24","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0926934634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7c03640d48debf66a4a4764e82b6b8a2e75000c9f9f7b86f64dc0c264c6bbcc9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636425164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7c03640d48debf66a4a4764e82b6b8a2e75000c9f9f7b86f64dc0c264c6bbcc9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651302697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7c03640d48debf66a4a4764e82b6b8a2e75000c9f9f7b86f64dc0c264c6bbcc9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0675869381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7c03640d48debf66a4a4764e82b6b8a2e75000c9f9f7b86f64dc0c264c6bbcc9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.07135633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7c03640d48debf66a4a4764e82b6b8a2e75000c9f9f7b86f64dc0c264c6bbcc9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791013988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"812b5c3b04dd2b850e5629f852618d974c6cada2db57ae9412c4ddd25dac8419","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1133735474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"812b5c3b04dd2b850e5629f852618d974c6cada2db57ae9412c4ddd25dac8419","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059637856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"812b5c3b04dd2b850e5629f852618d974c6cada2db57ae9412c4ddd25dac8419","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1091530162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"812b5c3b04dd2b850e5629f852618d974c6cada2db57ae9412c4ddd25dac8419","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1268720335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"812b5c3b04dd2b850e5629f852618d974c6cada2db57ae9412c4ddd25dac8419","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5864315403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0463350067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620948153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0623709874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0626917295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636628949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8b6e62ac7f89d03b59f15f5dcfa721c9515a9d8f7c50e5529d28eb0f007afae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2016097603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8b6e62ac7f89d03b59f15f5dcfa721c9515a9d8f7c50e5529d28eb0f007afae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2090250856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8b6e62ac7f89d03b59f15f5dcfa721c9515a9d8f7c50e5529d28eb0f007afae6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2603045053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8b6e62ac7f89d03b59f15f5dcfa721c9515a9d8f7c50e5529d28eb0f007afae6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2517610504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8b6e62ac7f89d03b59f15f5dcfa721c9515a9d8f7c50e5529d28eb0f007afae6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2420979049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8feddb5c9091b11630ebb135ef715546db087ce0a021fcad2dc30f7532c626e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3328968668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8feddb5c9091b11630ebb135ef715546db087ce0a021fcad2dc30f7532c626e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2814284149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8feddb5c9091b11630ebb135ef715546db087ce0a021fcad2dc30f7532c626e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3426713437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8feddb5c9091b11630ebb135ef715546db087ce0a021fcad2dc30f7532c626e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2945818422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8feddb5c9091b11630ebb135ef715546db087ce0a021fcad2dc30f7532c626e4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916215881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a13e6cd780ae1fbcb151c32b5bd8b74890a3fa5e9dce73a8b196d7ba805e183","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0474288804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a13e6cd780ae1fbcb151c32b5bd8b74890a3fa5e9dce73a8b196d7ba805e183","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0474554475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a13e6cd780ae1fbcb151c32b5bd8b74890a3fa5e9dce73a8b196d7ba805e183","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.047585157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a13e6cd780ae1fbcb151c32b5bd8b74890a3fa5e9dce73a8b196d7ba805e183","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0477554986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a13e6cd780ae1fbcb151c32b5bd8b74890a3fa5e9dce73a8b196d7ba805e183","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0499498097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a678195eae4d8f4654163c8c29239d1d605cf4a63f426c75ad2b3953f6bc97b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0673243934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a678195eae4d8f4654163c8c29239d1d605cf4a63f426c75ad2b3953f6bc97b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560912305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a678195eae4d8f4654163c8c29239d1d605cf4a63f426c75ad2b3953f6bc97b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618359588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a678195eae4d8f4654163c8c29239d1d605cf4a63f426c75ad2b3953f6bc97b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0694810106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a678195eae4d8f4654163c8c29239d1d605cf4a63f426c75ad2b3953f6bc97b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0820581523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9ad5b743657885d225f4025fdc949f3837be8f60e2a5f84c4c0cbf33114556fe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783243568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9ad5b743657885d225f4025fdc949f3837be8f60e2a5f84c4c0cbf33114556fe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1376078895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9ad5b743657885d225f4025fdc949f3837be8f60e2a5f84c4c0cbf33114556fe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096944465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9ad5b743657885d225f4025fdc949f3837be8f60e2a5f84c4c0cbf33114556fe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1120032794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9ad5b743657885d225f4025fdc949f3837be8f60e2a5f84c4c0cbf33114556fe","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1307422829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a10db9c50d2b3dba376a5acf76c520875d01af6a7a08c265d4c62695eac0a146","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077105809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a10db9c50d2b3dba376a5acf76c520875d01af6a7a08c265d4c62695eac0a146","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077179259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a10db9c50d2b3dba376a5acf76c520875d01af6a7a08c265d4c62695eac0a146","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077299592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a10db9c50d2b3dba376a5acf76c520875d01af6a7a08c265d4c62695eac0a146","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0774152367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a10db9c50d2b3dba376a5acf76c520875d01af6a7a08c265d4c62695eac0a146","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0777383542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a65027a87e70449d043d6c03d753009ec11cf4caa1240902918f29e58ea77aee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0491212936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a65027a87e70449d043d6c03d753009ec11cf4caa1240902918f29e58ea77aee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0481789457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a65027a87e70449d043d6c03d753009ec11cf4caa1240902918f29e58ea77aee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0478148212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a65027a87e70449d043d6c03d753009ec11cf4caa1240902918f29e58ea77aee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0479664095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a65027a87e70449d043d6c03d753009ec11cf4caa1240902918f29e58ea77aee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0490306532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a6865d299e7891a26084c8d2327334ddbcd34b8eabf9061c7d2626867948df5c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3690305198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a6865d299e7891a26084c8d2327334ddbcd34b8eabf9061c7d2626867948df5c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3730342641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a6865d299e7891a26084c8d2327334ddbcd34b8eabf9061c7d2626867948df5c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2718029633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a6865d299e7891a26084c8d2327334ddbcd34b8eabf9061c7d2626867948df5c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3763150728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a6865d299e7891a26084c8d2327334ddbcd34b8eabf9061c7d2626867948df5c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2862054158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473147985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04755859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0479586581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0486103316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504030119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"aec3f78b7bcd5b919dcdd2e7061217a31ec5886e57e8f49e6d64d88d190e7808","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0844398079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"aec3f78b7bcd5b919dcdd2e7061217a31ec5886e57e8f49e6d64d88d190e7808","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.083670927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"aec3f78b7bcd5b919dcdd2e7061217a31ec5886e57e8f49e6d64d88d190e7808","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0850649143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"aec3f78b7bcd5b919dcdd2e7061217a31ec5886e57e8f49e6d64d88d190e7808","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.086490157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"aec3f78b7bcd5b919dcdd2e7061217a31ec5886e57e8f49e6d64d88d190e7808","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0919973448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b7117581b74f845358760575c9ef5d47d3bdc27b054963ff8c5efcff7f23042b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0466397461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b7117581b74f845358760575c9ef5d47d3bdc27b054963ff8c5efcff7f23042b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0471960908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b7117581b74f845358760575c9ef5d47d3bdc27b054963ff8c5efcff7f23042b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0481901976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b7117581b74f845358760575c9ef5d47d3bdc27b054963ff8c5efcff7f23042b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0495469911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b7117581b74f845358760575c9ef5d47d3bdc27b054963ff8c5efcff7f23042b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520986131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b9644f0584c7a45d3ee725dd4bd74a8cb230e3cda5d83cb294914daf99670587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1422711836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b9644f0584c7a45d3ee725dd4bd74a8cb230e3cda5d83cb294914daf99670587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1433588688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b9644f0584c7a45d3ee725dd4bd74a8cb230e3cda5d83cb294914daf99670587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1465844181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b9644f0584c7a45d3ee725dd4bd74a8cb230e3cda5d83cb294914daf99670587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1528354825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b9644f0584c7a45d3ee725dd4bd74a8cb230e3cda5d83cb294914daf99670587","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1640186369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"be0b0754eb17bbd0bc449c471243d3b24ee4e5f711ed49e01e34c9f5446af77e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473084849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"be0b0754eb17bbd0bc449c471243d3b24ee4e5f711ed49e01e34c9f5446af77e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0470896977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"be0b0754eb17bbd0bc449c471243d3b24ee4e5f711ed49e01e34c9f5446af77e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0475272722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"be0b0754eb17bbd0bc449c471243d3b24ee4e5f711ed49e01e34c9f5446af77e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0482086382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"be0b0754eb17bbd0bc449c471243d3b24ee4e5f711ed49e01e34c9f5446af77e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0499855033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c0519eef069a9f3181d365e780e41c8269095dace0623cce322651fde8f6c88f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0611777217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c0519eef069a9f3181d365e780e41c8269095dace0623cce322651fde8f6c88f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641829209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c0519eef069a9f3181d365e780e41c8269095dace0623cce322651fde8f6c88f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0653584336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c0519eef069a9f3181d365e780e41c8269095dace0623cce322651fde8f6c88f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652619172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c0519eef069a9f3181d365e780e41c8269095dace0623cce322651fde8f6c88f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650931384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c08b57f404bdbb645efdc7fa09a1bad1130eb88b89d38471e4f8b0ea084d3f9e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1828378137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c08b57f404bdbb645efdc7fa09a1bad1130eb88b89d38471e4f8b0ea084d3f9e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.197502811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c08b57f404bdbb645efdc7fa09a1bad1130eb88b89d38471e4f8b0ea084d3f9e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226008348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c08b57f404bdbb645efdc7fa09a1bad1130eb88b89d38471e4f8b0ea084d3f9e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2611824048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c08b57f404bdbb645efdc7fa09a1bad1130eb88b89d38471e4f8b0ea084d3f9e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3108721162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c2f855cdf819c8583f43bbe6ad849fdfb75532f3f3b120a8b566f35e9ceaebcb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2141618978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c2f855cdf819c8583f43bbe6ad849fdfb75532f3f3b120a8b566f35e9ceaebcb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2203697674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c2f855cdf819c8583f43bbe6ad849fdfb75532f3f3b120a8b566f35e9ceaebcb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2295145121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c2f855cdf819c8583f43bbe6ad849fdfb75532f3f3b120a8b566f35e9ceaebcb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2379159428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c2f855cdf819c8583f43bbe6ad849fdfb75532f3f3b120a8b566f35e9ceaebcb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.248023914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4556210c1c530bd94a602094abc8875e53804b3befd5141a966766774b570eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0500089448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4556210c1c530bd94a602094abc8875e53804b3befd5141a966766774b570eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503965108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4556210c1c530bd94a602094abc8875e53804b3befd5141a966766774b570eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052165562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4556210c1c530bd94a602094abc8875e53804b3befd5141a966766774b570eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550222985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4556210c1c530bd94a602094abc8875e53804b3befd5141a966766774b570eb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633424653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771401274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8034594972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0872908559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966233826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1110445883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d295dfbd06c894f65bfa757d04df9fb8f124253b4f3f3c6832e0724680a2538b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613563146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d295dfbd06c894f65bfa757d04df9fb8f124253b4f3f3c6832e0724680a2538b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614065106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d295dfbd06c894f65bfa757d04df9fb8f124253b4f3f3c6832e0724680a2538b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614693338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d295dfbd06c894f65bfa757d04df9fb8f124253b4f3f3c6832e0724680a2538b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0615891042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d295dfbd06c894f65bfa757d04df9fb8f124253b4f3f3c6832e0724680a2538b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0619174726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d31f61bf54fe860a6c9dc94c32d0a5f19b8873a776eeb22593520027d206df16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553989251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d31f61bf54fe860a6c9dc94c32d0a5f19b8873a776eeb22593520027d206df16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548691474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d31f61bf54fe860a6c9dc94c32d0a5f19b8873a776eeb22593520027d206df16","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555552017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d31f61bf54fe860a6c9dc94c32d0a5f19b8873a776eeb22593520027d206df16","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0571882923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d31f61bf54fe860a6c9dc94c32d0a5f19b8873a776eeb22593520027d206df16","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0619507283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3384033669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3760654678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3254105919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3456273471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2914803141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2986325945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2984262469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2733622288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2436979274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2594149163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"dbfa8b923d0016c40e12589fe3def61537569e9f8a098540e27cca33e26a1860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532532472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"dbfa8b923d0016c40e12589fe3def61537569e9f8a098540e27cca33e26a1860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543721878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"dbfa8b923d0016c40e12589fe3def61537569e9f8a098540e27cca33e26a1860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595105628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"dbfa8b923d0016c40e12589fe3def61537569e9f8a098540e27cca33e26a1860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066805555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"dbfa8b923d0016c40e12589fe3def61537569e9f8a098540e27cca33e26a1860","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783200158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e59eb396ef8d1427e82a4f5c3e9c3079a6f09b4967b70c02635e1541df0f213f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0715376108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e59eb396ef8d1427e82a4f5c3e9c3079a6f09b4967b70c02635e1541df0f213f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0766884879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e59eb396ef8d1427e82a4f5c3e9c3079a6f09b4967b70c02635e1541df0f213f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0838084504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e59eb396ef8d1427e82a4f5c3e9c3079a6f09b4967b70c02635e1541df0f213f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0924724257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e59eb396ef8d1427e82a4f5c3e9c3079a6f09b4967b70c02635e1541df0f213f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057934441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e77cb71ed23241744d20d10a4f8cd3d1d71d74edb41ee8c7512b567890e13e9c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2181750812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e77cb71ed23241744d20d10a4f8cd3d1d71d74edb41ee8c7512b567890e13e9c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2234322264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e77cb71ed23241744d20d10a4f8cd3d1d71d74edb41ee8c7512b567890e13e9c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.432198339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e77cb71ed23241744d20d10a4f8cd3d1d71d74edb41ee8c7512b567890e13e9c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4262010677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e77cb71ed23241744d20d10a4f8cd3d1d71d74edb41ee8c7512b567890e13e9c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4168526633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"eb1f8fe4a204741916dea409f18e806711408b361f96017b9ba617a74e3958c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549175932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"eb1f8fe4a204741916dea409f18e806711408b361f96017b9ba617a74e3958c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0608232863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"eb1f8fe4a204741916dea409f18e806711408b361f96017b9ba617a74e3958c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.069377493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"eb1f8fe4a204741916dea409f18e806711408b361f96017b9ba617a74e3958c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0805168899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"eb1f8fe4a204741916dea409f18e806711408b361f96017b9ba617a74e3958c9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0971935422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0796108606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0795482874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0796514925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0840976246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0850357844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0497542764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0482102635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0492418767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0508299596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.05323987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f2f5a87614d54bbf15bb82e3780b11ecc17b796b5ed59f6203d853f22e1ac02b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1885238445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f2f5a87614d54bbf15bb82e3780b11ecc17b796b5ed59f6203d853f22e1ac02b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2262499562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f2f5a87614d54bbf15bb82e3780b11ecc17b796b5ed59f6203d853f22e1ac02b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2066559321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f2f5a87614d54bbf15bb82e3780b11ecc17b796b5ed59f6203d853f22e1ac02b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4281505872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f2f5a87614d54bbf15bb82e3780b11ecc17b796b5ed59f6203d853f22e1ac02b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2597014651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046166181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046166181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0462364899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0463211293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0469184185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f9a2a27d9881905bd2ae860175c4428a0fddf07fc79c7cca18fe239c4b15b65d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0735275747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f9a2a27d9881905bd2ae860175c4428a0fddf07fc79c7cca18fe239c4b15b65d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911165073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f9a2a27d9881905bd2ae860175c4428a0fddf07fc79c7cca18fe239c4b15b65d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7615961184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f9a2a27d9881905bd2ae860175c4428a0fddf07fc79c7cca18fe239c4b15b65d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1170271696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f9a2a27d9881905bd2ae860175c4428a0fddf07fc79c7cca18fe239c4b15b65d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6883478952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"fb7cc1364d0ecc77a915a6e189edd1cd07ca72d2bbfbbf4568e4a0c0f9b33752","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3498093092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"fb7cc1364d0ecc77a915a6e189edd1cd07ca72d2bbfbbf4568e4a0c0f9b33752","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2857246465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"fb7cc1364d0ecc77a915a6e189edd1cd07ca72d2bbfbbf4568e4a0c0f9b33752","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3658217234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"fb7cc1364d0ecc77a915a6e189edd1cd07ca72d2bbfbbf4568e4a0c0f9b33752","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3944676014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"fb7cc1364d0ecc77a915a6e189edd1cd07ca72d2bbfbbf4568e4a0c0f9b33752","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2532262999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.218864316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.11959682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060792031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0586041584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2658549896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1982981774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1253607024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.076013373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2452636917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2054639765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.082508229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.082895795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2744136799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082869216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1122385401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0622250875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0493213902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2561350169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2023828245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1036305758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.05914175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066024172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2283992002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1966513222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1100534252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660992472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630924859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2283221491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2338420423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1444750311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.069618534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.235275704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2462436312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.137431686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0826832588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0680495168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2536285571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2240704372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1087877476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624923205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0581540818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2520913265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2108557152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1180935002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637425334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0673259561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2534865725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1912205498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0999987074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0589729712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055891384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2291734876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1921457681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1004026698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552848432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0634299802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2426700708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.168674101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099092303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0753820155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526719608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2068149641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2183592128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1150387075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628423801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0688997241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2274052366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1224637587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0639425675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2854117999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2253994416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1223058066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0587416818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536049321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2344849372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2070558553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1194270157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062248529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590792393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2281874814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1983254629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0999299457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565913157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681682871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2205056945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2146206879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1169185714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0745818792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797265053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2529967914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2286671674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.130991822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0762759177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782512541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27579113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2321649149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1203959307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652990485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054878524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2221677936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2228489844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1174579304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677682189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0709313201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2328096485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.211547164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1189049893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0740160954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0792332963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2276163931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1979726636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1100941765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0719064236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834521397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2234439339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2390004843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1250529738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0667367933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0683058105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.232226143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1160889473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624235588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0575727328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2293847791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2210046886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1158951643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642113633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0683058105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2018039961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1031492439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.057591486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554349313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2312978253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2202528861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6445539377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0621797673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540346303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3712500337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2329173008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1300350721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647614569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065255291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2414433433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2273371242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1222149905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.061567163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648552229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.240337525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2240448014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1165577771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620109886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2418086725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.21951021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1166515431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0610733289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645426697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2261642284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.234726436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1176829688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0619109715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543096771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.241722917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2239360976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1209960329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650802612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0547738187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2548685266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.237513322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1300600764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0755945517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666992869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2759077775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2439476851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1201833945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0612546098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538971069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3271261082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3431860207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2873056032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3248100104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3490911244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2817672967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.257421811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3517247584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3217364663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3237680622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2570504511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3037584049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2708465504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2853802753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3857545607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.300883827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3316627405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4114392415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4807760486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3397270298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2893023568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3378769208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2241010649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2598199309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3365638384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220639495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2769215517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3193925151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757099201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.355154657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3512477417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3786899147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4472503285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039591845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0586119723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532673746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.420411487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2631179955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1910642146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1303913828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1229588672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2664574415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3189172362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1773493791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1338732257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3364540262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1961746719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.243097513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3425230389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1847082922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.122946365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1088689678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3838781304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2424542156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2080858631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.169981391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1382114645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.219976269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3391622162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3107412989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2845159732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2608870794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2311134375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3398010735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3005985002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619172847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3763010353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4250808685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2849103842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2600766485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2377012096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2191506283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1975738897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3079324319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3180842574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2578648763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3731753408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4079162433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2593568283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161749826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2700506807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3680732768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4165332417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2813297674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.249012224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2244273554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.423742546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4703861758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3355340521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3627311968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3954149527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1969844724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1790886396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3137682019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2805906308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2511531186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3801531407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2001746386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.31168049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2908770076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2704687952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3586518334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3860943743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2912170047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2679904503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440018568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3922800906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1998447667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.278633241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2897215909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.259941239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3743476282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.426662577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3719364847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3929388541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4136181194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4290613779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4675958338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3556600811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3091554716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2564693392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2212166659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4724834817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3291389199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3685868569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3741830185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2313799872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2096092064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2817154564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676337845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.258278149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2471918145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2373047553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2909160207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2728099584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.252350554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2395076861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2206032636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3222349089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2575092629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3511592189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3691025986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2327549621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794747157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3012380786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3213275603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3470096739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3792542929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2787131898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3012180071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276894994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3567351117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3944968173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2191532905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2611243576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3190997708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3814809438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4118550924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3021956826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.322847684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2457837207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3926817183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4380380681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2781887322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2585657516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2429696976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2255935288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2109823585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2946547637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3303277107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2363075508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3961198831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4432445909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.309867213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3342760406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2459467571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3801922958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.39858913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2790142971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3320284508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2497225821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3684247301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3904538695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3270527005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3386557332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3529627257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3625695104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3787416916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2877077626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203053127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.338176924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3567356036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3749406604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2807701253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3350150168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.246683902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3766657786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3962048279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2899453882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3208079777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2577589469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3562678286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3815376813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.293146023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2874830405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3270345418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3510812067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3704834652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3565860666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2986270817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3292856538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3575662237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3886890701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3299527723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2179809125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1722920774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1668272011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5272776865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3056181588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2809306062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2613929308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2465976746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2327333746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2524518134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2893822161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653167626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2244877582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4715629709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3551244266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3816075469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4095304928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4259571216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4382514803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2900684151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2597875719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2265054821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1965772092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.171483027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1071933819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1413492243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1927174443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2540667858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3431513543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.319321874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3506229575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2210558735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1939663444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1687286828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3666769948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3252318464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3379671548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2413221958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2077437944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3859770596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3265914229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2712355657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3896380163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4476566301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3163519425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3381933735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2373221403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2208466569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1997115635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3115427818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.353059543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2283994464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4404708181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4729038917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3032241434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3258058056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3567599973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3989661956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3045639016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.339945497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3869376946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4363283306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5110084103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4449483112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2781693515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3202906875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3834210619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.471061648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2888016907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3096091623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3353064903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3645047991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4026646905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2866453542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152979984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3497077494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3916568437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2192265987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3457425535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3552313584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2558573849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3849303161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4038190578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3066017458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3400329187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3741097943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.41094514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.419715038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3485010366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3710071245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3977121879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2427522816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4624817176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4106441782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2677604296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2941392413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3288571977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3699000868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968809025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3172415884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3387170867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2448902968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3763882119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2299898839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1862834221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1555580227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.133489042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1149168792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3620043755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3978354976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4351447236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4783196179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5451943617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3094519356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3798630346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3854275918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2172809106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1910066077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3056245134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714683346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2523043241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.377966178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4055996736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2848692309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120063882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2591781714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3696241648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4095057791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2391339022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2664390739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2950620079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3143247926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3868776902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2828928808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2560251075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3908943652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4367523869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4854087872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2939267863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3125599607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3325718849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2944540722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3050921717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.187869452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1519370783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1288271755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1125590395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0953317398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3347106317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3548765945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3787316689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4110256342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4496804942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2685395483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2616143459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3656882145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.386078969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4245495593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1986967643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2099736846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2381159769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2681359513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2929987557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0957794187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057709703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1201113411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1439985558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4725050722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024428736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039134365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1069952113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1132697172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1284535528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1164390069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1239027779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1384052475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1515012275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1540400632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022819093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1032758435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1062208294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1115042916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1268407782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1210460414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1280472336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1389553411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1572209515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1868822525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022697816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028138117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1055405886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1104507997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1242981577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1894514399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2037226201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2293707377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2580943789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2698219386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1081750997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1238902758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1447125715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5338163306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4563656418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1021194591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1021571999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102765741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1049594271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1099253977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027618654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10344967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1066452767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1120823275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1223658287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1021257571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1026135276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039703212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10713436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1142779514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1186722622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1194350796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1220493373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1270283101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1431685586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1957025044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2711778568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901623396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152916188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3569487125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1021506988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027447375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1056847381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1116171858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1301538424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1025835225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038821812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1091393264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1195848551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1514887254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1021210063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027775556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058355763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1123070533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1284035443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1179158834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1184224072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.120274035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1246122112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1336169321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1012098389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1214235045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1478600067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4771734126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316280348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027367361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033120216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1073765262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1142698875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1340295023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024212449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1034529831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1074451629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1153278802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.141582351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024258082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030511021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1054215683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1091643932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1157078824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0731628876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0817956076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965481198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1200271179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1651910587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1479488587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1941369877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.446457085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3783268696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3304992696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057559377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1131634491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1249154503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1435498735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1857883162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102894638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1037699746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1088800947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1176772803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1389256486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030492268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.673277579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5969145754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1659786929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4394627635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027507541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033071457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1067707355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1129252211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1323182734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030448511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103570253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059216535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105108099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.122091782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1021319456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1021883927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028450671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1051533976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1104794921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103049305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045308541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1091510784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1171696938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1432685756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102750801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1032948311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1067217272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1136525949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1266657484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1508810294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1768821682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5231681678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4722131443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3999500751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027445499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1034010992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057425605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1099659672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1233026757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022634055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022825338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030790444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1055763447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105023085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022834714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028100611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1054276943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1101066786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1256843313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2156809065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2360156192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2632827624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3006016173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3467702168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1035243702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046685026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1116835096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1235089608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1505510657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.117915899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1185285502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1212295102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1260205135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1343436183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1531993767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1574100429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1754853911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4741104929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4062551968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024212474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1034896168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1072960775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1138651336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1340672588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0882467062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960230304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1076375081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1287160975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.171135821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2022548242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2306094852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3083921831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3747267398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627887934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1055934101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.113826062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1255718121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427747415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1745739065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1128446449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1172391432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1330418342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1522370817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1800959826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d19e7dae2cc81341d2a1863ee45319a0430d345e8e2d9a987c3d4f2659dee954","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022945358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d19e7dae2cc81341d2a1863ee45319a0430d345e8e2d9a987c3d4f2659dee954","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028885745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d19e7dae2cc81341d2a1863ee45319a0430d345e8e2d9a987c3d4f2659dee954","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1062169537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d19e7dae2cc81341d2a1863ee45319a0430d345e8e2d9a987c3d4f2659dee954","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1124883967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d19e7dae2cc81341d2a1863ee45319a0430d345e8e2d9a987c3d4f2659dee954","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1250795408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0858269106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1073591406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1327564886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1725985701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2404050791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1019757315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1025010085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046542501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1085767931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1161670856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2000532453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2310147676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114972227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3494474351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4035191428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1497821848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2171100704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2480046495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885742297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3570856697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1021086298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102127383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1031900658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1060452426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1125279659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1342545407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1469191973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.174236349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2027537051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2363451599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1032148957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103740032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.107768968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1146965227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1327667873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194816099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2571742553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2420138038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3850082942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2071776735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167798308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3264325341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3387263557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3549076809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2254682617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194263135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2572444688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3554516332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2337864251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2185202278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.263399284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3527795948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3752455155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4011022708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1978414397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3177287438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3358318684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3621945757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2206310333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2015562159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3110574074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.270006269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3352271164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25117501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.244213065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3143821192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3350143882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3639308444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2190790728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1950763177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3149365641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2610494878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3514859953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2322023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2152284198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3180486408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3342583463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3582224792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3807144959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4152825998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2712535307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2584999543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2460306604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2317027294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4143054774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CHD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2731664024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CHD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3377286377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CHD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3543885271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CHD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3736086115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CHD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4064271824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714141258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2592901899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3551395188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3731741658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4045013589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690066451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2509991082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3668501889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3943532777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4271243724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3260604594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3457432377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3745290989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4005609784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.442617745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3259793928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3361133435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3509534648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3661008179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3940080701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3150206681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3390013586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2329849441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2163013501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4341066829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2777814968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3280353386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3431453323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3605800612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3896205722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3111902308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2662675968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2528126523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2360340297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2107507529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.272741014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2585951484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2459498065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2323422902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.214192613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2744036916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644253676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3466696008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3666277619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3987510773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707265643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3391921733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3567907676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2340495413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2170599071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128850251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3204877099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3395092696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3597171752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.39190598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3195587825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3383088942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3650863043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.39266939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4311983108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3108990895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229607586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3365510235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2468691725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3735053761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2783982065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3414555396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2304270603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2098366633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1885709258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3285004232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.343341633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3657025441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3855301769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4194482283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3105517108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3309506243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2477000695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2314996924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2047772669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3177140924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3243791055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330602257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2560471014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2422562772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3175269009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2624210017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2472479409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2348347104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.213498897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3178302086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3324618055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3458853469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3609235862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3845740856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3068682837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3206877091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3364076994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3514439041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3735195287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717659235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3337171569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3514907006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2334907781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4025420093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27395479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3346108741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3585146576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3831223476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2066763492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2703896947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3417234522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3686585181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2188847041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1946080565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.270479892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3437482769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316511397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2137128773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1914646804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3137618438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3218986508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3312722121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3414052822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3606159825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121910396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3315557036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3542000903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316715137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2090142101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.303775681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2758851075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2588220885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2490064885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2310319021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2730506158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3384600244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3580310097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.22452845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.205471817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2695529158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2512469599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2343782002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3951316462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4358596484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3105439528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3237009419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3387262946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2445957052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2288450161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3100464827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3274680035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3467881871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.233961244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2132779013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3333196024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3451471821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2394218865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2280501024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2177889925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3172383201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3341299126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2393613455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2240553011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.201314422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2739097295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3325157973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2445462233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2285352008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2099898589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3202032306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3439241131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2309101325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4061205884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4505598156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2739080799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3317296443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3518086739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2308660156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2084414758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229946263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.252449206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2370085191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2203381544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.418645855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3149330145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3303663716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2477760083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2343543788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2123657311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3153714764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2647191037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3522846031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3764876597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2099767466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3232746939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.340160175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3621590588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2244367925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4290365927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.307000769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3237482788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2557523924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2393143133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2168318341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314488312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3318002895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3544724372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3810594903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4147060593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2780153932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2571391092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2411550209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3844678749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2105827518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3244067151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3425879803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.363981763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2298505861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4124572254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.32970731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3528778534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3762927646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2083105231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1849640308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126303164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2709349783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2573415832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2428750078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2249584174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2661251676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3404557741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2420423791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2285858448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4071073334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"V","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3237068386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"V","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3476519222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"V","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2332291618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"V","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4031676259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"V","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.450130699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3148103353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3318506209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3456046324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.240295218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2225041781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.319396589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3354453372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3506922497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3720478815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3998386399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3178581937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2633356287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3461692661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2379277286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2187941253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3162454621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3346788653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3529196496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2313897265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3997347387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"01dc4820f1d157556d2143201cb14f45ec4d8db486fd02261713184772e3f13f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0744432696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"01dc4820f1d157556d2143201cb14f45ec4d8db486fd02261713184772e3f13f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0744214359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"01dc4820f1d157556d2143201cb14f45ec4d8db486fd02261713184772e3f13f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0753895095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"01dc4820f1d157556d2143201cb14f45ec4d8db486fd02261713184772e3f13f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0773117676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"01dc4820f1d157556d2143201cb14f45ec4d8db486fd02261713184772e3f13f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0798828711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"03d9155ee98e3e628ef7fde02f8e637025e74baf1bcdc884eed4e3746162241c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0728979213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"03d9155ee98e3e628ef7fde02f8e637025e74baf1bcdc884eed4e3746162241c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0728979213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"03d9155ee98e3e628ef7fde02f8e637025e74baf1bcdc884eed4e3746162241c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0729814229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"03d9155ee98e3e628ef7fde02f8e637025e74baf1bcdc884eed4e3746162241c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0730705912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"03d9155ee98e3e628ef7fde02f8e637025e74baf1bcdc884eed4e3746162241c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0732437117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602142264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0599767219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628087192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0687310519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0790493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09b8cab569dc098dae932334f999e6a5270647f83f3a848b0da4fb17ccdc1829","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1925876835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09b8cab569dc098dae932334f999e6a5270647f83f3a848b0da4fb17ccdc1829","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1800201712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09b8cab569dc098dae932334f999e6a5270647f83f3a848b0da4fb17ccdc1829","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2036059446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09b8cab569dc098dae932334f999e6a5270647f83f3a848b0da4fb17ccdc1829","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2556644713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09b8cab569dc098dae932334f999e6a5270647f83f3a848b0da4fb17ccdc1829","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2998396842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600253895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600422232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0601313915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602878389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0606322897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09e8449ecef759940a0753fde27422f775de8900e2297afd570fd8a2decece9f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902316285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09e8449ecef759940a0753fde27422f775de8900e2297afd570fd8a2decece9f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3078564017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09e8449ecef759940a0753fde27422f775de8900e2297afd570fd8a2decece9f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.297663156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09e8449ecef759940a0753fde27422f775de8900e2297afd570fd8a2decece9f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3289181835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09e8449ecef759940a0753fde27422f775de8900e2297afd570fd8a2decece9f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3184084319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0493043006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0477028819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0478528847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0479806648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0483084487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"141f95a02ac3f48c7c9fbce011abe0c0a24a501efc13a5ecead4cc6b05aadae0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1122374191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"141f95a02ac3f48c7c9fbce011abe0c0a24a501efc13a5ecead4cc6b05aadae0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058150771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"141f95a02ac3f48c7c9fbce011abe0c0a24a501efc13a5ecead4cc6b05aadae0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041928246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"141f95a02ac3f48c7c9fbce011abe0c0a24a501efc13a5ecead4cc6b05aadae0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033039191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"141f95a02ac3f48c7c9fbce011abe0c0a24a501efc13a5ecead4cc6b05aadae0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.107870671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"15c2659874faee783be845d3b1cc83775390929d8521e5f367f7692ec4af1b89","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0596475491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"15c2659874faee783be845d3b1cc83775390929d8521e5f367f7692ec4af1b89","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0653587668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"15c2659874faee783be845d3b1cc83775390929d8521e5f367f7692ec4af1b89","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0726644586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"15c2659874faee783be845d3b1cc83775390929d8521e5f367f7692ec4af1b89","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0824590858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"15c2659874faee783be845d3b1cc83775390929d8521e5f367f7692ec4af1b89","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968093535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1cd3eb2885aa031e2fccb89e40415a0a5b899b49991ccb89e5ebdbe45df4c98d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0467375861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1cd3eb2885aa031e2fccb89e40415a0a5b899b49991ccb89e5ebdbe45df4c98d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0469889241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1cd3eb2885aa031e2fccb89e40415a0a5b899b49991ccb89e5ebdbe45df4c98d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0475639904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1cd3eb2885aa031e2fccb89e40415a0a5b899b49991ccb89e5ebdbe45df4c98d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484320621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1cd3eb2885aa031e2fccb89e40415a0a5b899b49991ccb89e5ebdbe45df4c98d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050177928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1efcbd3211a7cede0d1096d16e076887993bded8098ef4a90c2025f7b110a616","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801312646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1efcbd3211a7cede0d1096d16e076887993bded8098ef4a90c2025f7b110a616","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0795618095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1efcbd3211a7cede0d1096d16e076887993bded8098ef4a90c2025f7b110a616","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818259629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1efcbd3211a7cede0d1096d16e076887993bded8098ef4a90c2025f7b110a616","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0846536267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1efcbd3211a7cede0d1096d16e076887993bded8098ef4a90c2025f7b110a616","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.090164799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"28142a17fbd561cbc2a21368f991c853b87ab5761f6737fd30b7bf9b6c08c225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0459806831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"28142a17fbd561cbc2a21368f991c853b87ab5761f6737fd30b7bf9b6c08c225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0459308488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"28142a17fbd561cbc2a21368f991c853b87ab5761f6737fd30b7bf9b6c08c225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0461977982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"28142a17fbd561cbc2a21368f991c853b87ab5761f6737fd30b7bf9b6c08c225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0464153578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"28142a17fbd561cbc2a21368f991c853b87ab5761f6737fd30b7bf9b6c08c225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0475751017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"319472955f13a394ef7ec8092a37290110e809d2a53960b83a4789d2a6ed15ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2483215688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"319472955f13a394ef7ec8092a37290110e809d2a53960b83a4789d2a6ed15ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2432099179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"319472955f13a394ef7ec8092a37290110e809d2a53960b83a4789d2a6ed15ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3776424258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"319472955f13a394ef7ec8092a37290110e809d2a53960b83a4789d2a6ed15ed","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.277778785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"319472955f13a394ef7ec8092a37290110e809d2a53960b83a4789d2a6ed15ed","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3754312178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"33342b89d642c0bfe67f5789010fa7fa504789f2bb708a4716075d81cc312c31","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4415726739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"33342b89d642c0bfe67f5789010fa7fa504789f2bb708a4716075d81cc312c31","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4210422909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"33342b89d642c0bfe67f5789010fa7fa504789f2bb708a4716075d81cc312c31","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3948894142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"33342b89d642c0bfe67f5789010fa7fa504789f2bb708a4716075d81cc312c31","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3644832914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"33342b89d642c0bfe67f5789010fa7fa504789f2bb708a4716075d81cc312c31","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3861591958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"35b9b01ffb939d92e022dca223372393c792c1019e884c358b8745bd858f5509","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0499473682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"35b9b01ffb939d92e022dca223372393c792c1019e884c358b8745bd858f5509","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050797384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"35b9b01ffb939d92e022dca223372393c792c1019e884c358b8745bd858f5509","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0524474148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"35b9b01ffb939d92e022dca223372393c792c1019e884c358b8745bd858f5509","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541418909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"35b9b01ffb939d92e022dca223372393c792c1019e884c358b8745bd858f5509","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557974773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"45a87395232f6db78b837ccc197c25db3b0aacd8d25fd9a6d4c7f440ae6aa827","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565641583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"45a87395232f6db78b837ccc197c25db3b0aacd8d25fd9a6d4c7f440ae6aa827","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0608142376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"45a87395232f6db78b837ccc197c25db3b0aacd8d25fd9a6d4c7f440ae6aa827","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0682477096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"45a87395232f6db78b837ccc197c25db3b0aacd8d25fd9a6d4c7f440ae6aa827","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788090177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"45a87395232f6db78b837ccc197c25db3b0aacd8d25fd9a6d4c7f440ae6aa827","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911314698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0872758423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0864258265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0903703445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955759972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061706392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"481aa3a68c0f2d81d989b94dbf311987c84291c12de58c2a10736915eb4cb83a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2145762171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"481aa3a68c0f2d81d989b94dbf311987c84291c12de58c2a10736915eb4cb83a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2341861385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"481aa3a68c0f2d81d989b94dbf311987c84291c12de58c2a10736915eb4cb83a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2538289494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"481aa3a68c0f2d81d989b94dbf311987c84291c12de58c2a10736915eb4cb83a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2458166332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"481aa3a68c0f2d81d989b94dbf311987c84291c12de58c2a10736915eb4cb83a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2541581222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4b3b0fae087e0d55113b373536295bb507b079119bd02e538b982adadd46147d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539821657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4b3b0fae087e0d55113b373536295bb507b079119bd02e538b982adadd46147d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545363427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4b3b0fae087e0d55113b373536295bb507b079119bd02e538b982adadd46147d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595475473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4b3b0fae087e0d55113b373536295bb507b079119bd02e538b982adadd46147d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609975743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4b3b0fae087e0d55113b373536295bb507b079119bd02e538b982adadd46147d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662865619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4e50ffb834adbf6af03d1e143e9a558cb1e8b50a459ed91fa597fefe9c4ac2e8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1189486554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4e50ffb834adbf6af03d1e143e9a558cb1e8b50a459ed91fa597fefe9c4ac2e8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1126610381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4e50ffb834adbf6af03d1e143e9a558cb1e8b50a459ed91fa597fefe9c4ac2e8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.109059582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4e50ffb834adbf6af03d1e143e9a558cb1e8b50a459ed91fa597fefe9c4ac2e8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.105148398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4e50ffb834adbf6af03d1e143e9a558cb1e8b50a459ed91fa597fefe9c4ac2e8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1037205935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940315239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0825090867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0872202857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0929315034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043206047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"52bf60c761bac91a28752ce0c93efe7745edae97141c10cb338412a1b2107cd8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0485542866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"52bf60c761bac91a28752ce0c93efe7745edae97141c10cb338412a1b2107cd8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0494862485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"52bf60c761bac91a28752ce0c93efe7745edae97141c10cb338412a1b2107cd8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518099029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"52bf60c761bac91a28752ce0c93efe7745edae97141c10cb338412a1b2107cd8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540918899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"52bf60c761bac91a28752ce0c93efe7745edae97141c10cb338412a1b2107cd8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0591919851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"5cd966511a679ab0d39ea5d711a48072a480ca76846762357cc76ffca706993e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2012595798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"5cd966511a679ab0d39ea5d711a48072a480ca76846762357cc76ffca706993e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2060147796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"5cd966511a679ab0d39ea5d711a48072a480ca76846762357cc76ffca706993e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2167813694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"5cd966511a679ab0d39ea5d711a48072a480ca76846762357cc76ffca706993e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2325076627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"5cd966511a679ab0d39ea5d711a48072a480ca76846762357cc76ffca706993e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2624804996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"608c702ed4bad261f6e4c774c4214084cd6b3fdc17e7ea19830d29909d32c264","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0494543034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"608c702ed4bad261f6e4c774c4214084cd6b3fdc17e7ea19830d29909d32c264","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0485458976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"608c702ed4bad261f6e4c774c4214084cd6b3fdc17e7ea19830d29909d32c264","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.048580676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"608c702ed4bad261f6e4c774c4214084cd6b3fdc17e7ea19830d29909d32c264","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505432126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"608c702ed4bad261f6e4c774c4214084cd6b3fdc17e7ea19830d29909d32c264","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529640911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"60f01c83f5ec1b7c0e0aeb46de28b7b21b80e28cc858aba05afafa14be7ab22e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1185764818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"60f01c83f5ec1b7c0e0aeb46de28b7b21b80e28cc858aba05afafa14be7ab22e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1227567264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"60f01c83f5ec1b7c0e0aeb46de28b7b21b80e28cc858aba05afafa14be7ab22e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.132071178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"60f01c83f5ec1b7c0e0aeb46de28b7b21b80e28cc858aba05afafa14be7ab22e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1678454009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"60f01c83f5ec1b7c0e0aeb46de28b7b21b80e28cc858aba05afafa14be7ab22e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1580754409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613045245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0883686405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0896063858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913051397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956287759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6268886886fec42fd812446e5a6f646a9f09c2368c6f81199c3b9cfb5a4ffd30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0859378174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6268886886fec42fd812446e5a6f646a9f09c2368c6f81199c3b9cfb5a4ffd30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938037419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6268886886fec42fd812446e5a6f646a9f09c2368c6f81199c3b9cfb5a4ffd30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1026547959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6268886886fec42fd812446e5a6f646a9f09c2368c6f81199c3b9cfb5a4ffd30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1135354433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6268886886fec42fd812446e5a6f646a9f09c2368c6f81199c3b9cfb5a4ffd30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1127476508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"68bb8dc76bd44d3fe76210dc0ec58f8d882ddb785ff0616293ab48742fb79e0d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3721347119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"68bb8dc76bd44d3fe76210dc0ec58f8d882ddb785ff0616293ab48742fb79e0d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2527156508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"68bb8dc76bd44d3fe76210dc0ec58f8d882ddb785ff0616293ab48742fb79e0d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2285318663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"68bb8dc76bd44d3fe76210dc0ec58f8d882ddb785ff0616293ab48742fb79e0d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2237503882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"68bb8dc76bd44d3fe76210dc0ec58f8d882ddb785ff0616293ab48742fb79e0d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3944649063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6cc13f8928a503f53c02e79d90ec44e80e9efc83b6ffa25fbf7a50ef3b7031af","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0680010939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6cc13f8928a503f53c02e79d90ec44e80e9efc83b6ffa25fbf7a50ef3b7031af","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0752589515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6cc13f8928a503f53c02e79d90ec44e80e9efc83b6ffa25fbf7a50ef3b7031af","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0933068437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6cc13f8928a503f53c02e79d90ec44e80e9efc83b6ffa25fbf7a50ef3b7031af","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1166597238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6cc13f8928a503f53c02e79d90ec44e80e9efc83b6ffa25fbf7a50ef3b7031af","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1394657048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4184633539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2249530774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3544857716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2516924651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690125659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"749d1a20eff8580abbf2a1bfe90e79d7381da8fc2614fb693e09c3669035b522","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0891423216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"749d1a20eff8580abbf2a1bfe90e79d7381da8fc2614fb693e09c3669035b522","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0846685159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"749d1a20eff8580abbf2a1bfe90e79d7381da8fc2614fb693e09c3669035b522","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1327211345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"749d1a20eff8580abbf2a1bfe90e79d7381da8fc2614fb693e09c3669035b522","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050539517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"749d1a20eff8580abbf2a1bfe90e79d7381da8fc2614fb693e09c3669035b522","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.68621596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"784d7f61078dc6e24c9e0cfdfe1bea7672efe7a20bf2ce1e9cd58ed2311f92c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4492714842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"784d7f61078dc6e24c9e0cfdfe1bea7672efe7a20bf2ce1e9cd58ed2311f92c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2732459783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"784d7f61078dc6e24c9e0cfdfe1bea7672efe7a20bf2ce1e9cd58ed2311f92c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2668194139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"784d7f61078dc6e24c9e0cfdfe1bea7672efe7a20bf2ce1e9cd58ed2311f92c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2787905261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"784d7f61078dc6e24c9e0cfdfe1bea7672efe7a20bf2ce1e9cd58ed2311f92c7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690736782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7995b87ae1e77b1eb0fdd1822f47def9c15fa3c4e53d94310b2cc30c2b18298b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0506307143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7995b87ae1e77b1eb0fdd1822f47def9c15fa3c4e53d94310b2cc30c2b18298b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514585075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7995b87ae1e77b1eb0fdd1822f47def9c15fa3c4e53d94310b2cc30c2b18298b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535641023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7995b87ae1e77b1eb0fdd1822f47def9c15fa3c4e53d94310b2cc30c2b18298b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0574641751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7995b87ae1e77b1eb0fdd1822f47def9c15fa3c4e53d94310b2cc30c2b18298b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0611823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7bac3cf9ebcb22130dc397027bcfd98f286cc36cb8de9e63ef0447c88f163891","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505084898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7bac3cf9ebcb22130dc397027bcfd98f286cc36cb8de9e63ef0447c88f163891","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529696468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7bac3cf9ebcb22130dc397027bcfd98f286cc36cb8de9e63ef0447c88f163891","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614364714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7bac3cf9ebcb22130dc397027bcfd98f286cc36cb8de9e63ef0447c88f163891","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0702199686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7bac3cf9ebcb22130dc397027bcfd98f286cc36cb8de9e63ef0447c88f163891","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0866536085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0497501423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502098731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511695576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521531871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0547225128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8ac7bdaa41ff40aeb4bde4f0d5000078733b864ad687933e50bbc73a7bce462f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614985281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8ac7bdaa41ff40aeb4bde4f0d5000078733b864ad687933e50bbc73a7bce462f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624705462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8ac7bdaa41ff40aeb4bde4f0d5000078733b864ad687933e50bbc73a7bce462f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0634727872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8ac7bdaa41ff40aeb4bde4f0d5000078733b864ad687933e50bbc73a7bce462f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637239585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8ac7bdaa41ff40aeb4bde4f0d5000078733b864ad687933e50bbc73a7bce462f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660012232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8bc2ac1ebb303b411aeecda4b906cb5f3311650c74526302d8f6d7f7ee6eedaf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0722422285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8bc2ac1ebb303b411aeecda4b906cb5f3311650c74526302d8f6d7f7ee6eedaf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0814035105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8bc2ac1ebb303b411aeecda4b906cb5f3311650c74526302d8f6d7f7ee6eedaf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940870805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8bc2ac1ebb303b411aeecda4b906cb5f3311650c74526302d8f6d7f7ee6eedaf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079984511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8bc2ac1ebb303b411aeecda4b906cb5f3311650c74526302d8f6d7f7ee6eedaf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1263487934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8cb98794394458da6db4e043eb45c84c099a5a79f91f4eb6bbafc8b43de7c0fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0461306303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8cb98794394458da6db4e043eb45c84c099a5a79f91f4eb6bbafc8b43de7c0fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0737724793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8cb98794394458da6db4e043eb45c84c099a5a79f91f4eb6bbafc8b43de7c0fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0741825425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8cb98794394458da6db4e043eb45c84c099a5a79f91f4eb6bbafc8b43de7c0fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.074597828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8cb98794394458da6db4e043eb45c84c099a5a79f91f4eb6bbafc8b43de7c0fd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0754825668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0457222894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595558252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.059715606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0599489436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0607447918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"975fde53bd3e829fa5147bfd5b30ee090ac81fcb8220e0e2829a2cde3dfc43e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0453362822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"975fde53bd3e829fa5147bfd5b30ee090ac81fcb8220e0e2829a2cde3dfc43e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0592978204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"975fde53bd3e829fa5147bfd5b30ee090ac81fcb8220e0e2829a2cde3dfc43e6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595092132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"975fde53bd3e829fa5147bfd5b30ee090ac81fcb8220e0e2829a2cde3dfc43e6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0598213857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"975fde53bd3e829fa5147bfd5b30ee090ac81fcb8220e0e2829a2cde3dfc43e6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0601702811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"980df3710afe2a71e904ecae61419a511057ea082f0d5c29b9af02783af99a47","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.048825125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"980df3710afe2a71e904ecae61419a511057ea082f0d5c29b9af02783af99a47","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0506362699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"980df3710afe2a71e904ecae61419a511057ea082f0d5c29b9af02783af99a47","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531752062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"980df3710afe2a71e904ecae61419a511057ea082f0d5c29b9af02783af99a47","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0564974904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"980df3710afe2a71e904ecae61419a511057ea082f0d5c29b9af02783af99a47","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618753685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"9a8103fa5b3f321c8241255f845078bf3c695730fa4735c39f547397dc16d401","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541363352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"9a8103fa5b3f321c8241255f845078bf3c695730fa4735c39f547397dc16d401","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502251511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"9a8103fa5b3f321c8241255f845078bf3c695730fa4735c39f547397dc16d401","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503751539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"9a8103fa5b3f321c8241255f845078bf3c695730fa4735c39f547397dc16d401","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516251773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"9a8103fa5b3f321c8241255f845078bf3c695730fa4735c39f547397dc16d401","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543252276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"a4289c4419e5d033301de801a3ea245c5c36ae07a75cdc168e02dcee989e4474","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1479090984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"a4289c4419e5d033301de801a3ea245c5c36ae07a75cdc168e02dcee989e4474","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1464171262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"a4289c4419e5d033301de801a3ea245c5c36ae07a75cdc168e02dcee989e4474","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1650863078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"a4289c4419e5d033301de801a3ea245c5c36ae07a75cdc168e02dcee989e4474","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1913503533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"a4289c4419e5d033301de801a3ea245c5c36ae07a75cdc168e02dcee989e4474","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2250930383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"aa1c24fb54d794e52e188956f7b2d90073a38969252512710a65eb8207e8812c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046173325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"aa1c24fb54d794e52e188956f7b2d90073a38969252512710a65eb8207e8812c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1063655873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"aa1c24fb54d794e52e188956f7b2d90073a38969252512710a65eb8207e8812c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1094664785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"aa1c24fb54d794e52e188956f7b2d90073a38969252512710a65eb8207e8812c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110940506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"aa1c24fb54d794e52e188956f7b2d90073a38969252512710a65eb8207e8812c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7001037191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1644717269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1816442694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1744830247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1693551513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1670495527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602920056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602767275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631309475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0687588302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775089935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3815186647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3895310364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2716591153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2728740269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3666644432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0776932191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089751916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1138138929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1239543043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1338489334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c258d05b6aa40658c2a86d037ad231c3988ea9eba10405dbcbdbcb431e947f79","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625934374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c258d05b6aa40658c2a86d037ad231c3988ea9eba10405dbcbdbcb431e947f79","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625628257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c258d05b6aa40658c2a86d037ad231c3988ea9eba10405dbcbdbcb431e947f79","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620323158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c258d05b6aa40658c2a86d037ad231c3988ea9eba10405dbcbdbcb431e947f79","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062127651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c258d05b6aa40658c2a86d037ad231c3988ea9eba10405dbcbdbcb431e947f79","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628156638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"cafd095fe3a221cf37cc55b60c476dd9ff579bc01e10be2d9d31cfc6273ae60a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1875922137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"cafd095fe3a221cf37cc55b60c476dd9ff579bc01e10be2d9d31cfc6273ae60a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1679797923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"cafd095fe3a221cf37cc55b60c476dd9ff579bc01e10be2d9d31cfc6273ae60a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1545215412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"cafd095fe3a221cf37cc55b60c476dd9ff579bc01e10be2d9d31cfc6273ae60a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.150415298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"cafd095fe3a221cf37cc55b60c476dd9ff579bc01e10be2d9d31cfc6273ae60a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1473941305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d10acc492b637f535691d9be726842f4241cc9dc8490e1c42bb7f54752b89b51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0626920504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d10acc492b637f535691d9be726842f4241cc9dc8490e1c42bb7f54752b89b51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645434738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d10acc492b637f535691d9be726842f4241cc9dc8490e1c42bb7f54752b89b51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678754804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d10acc492b637f535691d9be726842f4241cc9dc8490e1c42bb7f54752b89b51","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0724700106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d10acc492b637f535691d9be726842f4241cc9dc8490e1c42bb7f54752b89b51","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788812413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d5f3b9fc7c1e800bd99566e31d0251f126048d9f73cd3971f93622271a2cd69e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0606316786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d5f3b9fc7c1e800bd99566e31d0251f126048d9f73cd3971f93622271a2cd69e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0757002375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d5f3b9fc7c1e800bd99566e31d0251f126048d9f73cd3971f93622271a2cd69e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.074532549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d5f3b9fc7c1e800bd99566e31d0251f126048d9f73cd3971f93622271a2cd69e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0755186785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d5f3b9fc7c1e800bd99566e31d0251f126048d9f73cd3971f93622271a2cd69e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770792077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2353119928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2559220995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2763540362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3291667992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3196871224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3144ff38ca35aa20403268d762f53b627df261d5eb3cba55145ce2bec47d76f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1949778515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3144ff38ca35aa20403268d762f53b627df261d5eb3cba55145ce2bec47d76f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2072294689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3144ff38ca35aa20403268d762f53b627df261d5eb3cba55145ce2bec47d76f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2192727492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3144ff38ca35aa20403268d762f53b627df261d5eb3cba55145ce2bec47d76f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2566623356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3144ff38ca35aa20403268d762f53b627df261d5eb3cba55145ce2bec47d76f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2780961243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3acddb9c29a6f5d97a04ad8b209aebf5fbd5d03fd1f0e1f5e0957355230a8d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046559805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3acddb9c29a6f5d97a04ad8b209aebf5fbd5d03fd1f0e1f5e0957355230a8d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604113967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3acddb9c29a6f5d97a04ad8b209aebf5fbd5d03fd1f0e1f5e0957355230a8d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.061508695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3acddb9c29a6f5d97a04ad8b209aebf5fbd5d03fd1f0e1f5e0957355230a8d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632378939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3acddb9c29a6f5d97a04ad8b209aebf5fbd5d03fd1f0e1f5e0957355230a8d5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659921119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e50f69a359f2ce4be943a2ee4801291035b25334323febfdf1e63596326db9b1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2509820074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e50f69a359f2ce4be943a2ee4801291035b25334323febfdf1e63596326db9b1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2184829567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e50f69a359f2ce4be943a2ee4801291035b25334323febfdf1e63596326db9b1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2811683483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e50f69a359f2ce4be943a2ee4801291035b25334323febfdf1e63596326db9b1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791185323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e50f69a359f2ce4be943a2ee4801291035b25334323febfdf1e63596326db9b1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.256851228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e5e7326536f22814234b9d726ec82624b5aae786fe974f34821a41081058faed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.05135295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e5e7326536f22814234b9d726ec82624b5aae786fe974f34821a41081058faed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526585299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e5e7326536f22814234b9d726ec82624b5aae786fe974f34821a41081058faed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550974643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e5e7326536f22814234b9d726ec82624b5aae786fe974f34821a41081058faed","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0583253022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e5e7326536f22814234b9d726ec82624b5aae786fe974f34821a41081058faed","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642531906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e6750dee35cefca653620998ba97516000ce7fbf2c00d12b16f30b145daea25d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0471473159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e6750dee35cefca653620998ba97516000ce7fbf2c00d12b16f30b145daea25d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0468417547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e6750dee35cefca653620998ba97516000ce7fbf2c00d12b16f30b145daea25d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480639997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e6750dee35cefca653620998ba97516000ce7fbf2c00d12b16f30b145daea25d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0485862317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e6750dee35cefca653620998ba97516000ce7fbf2c00d12b16f30b145daea25d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0517251791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e79b6ce29b4d554f08659deccf0ccf239eb6b61f15d0cc07b85225c3dcbd11d4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3838007629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e79b6ce29b4d554f08659deccf0ccf239eb6b61f15d0cc07b85225c3dcbd11d4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4189764746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e79b6ce29b4d554f08659deccf0ccf239eb6b61f15d0cc07b85225c3dcbd11d4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4044150919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e79b6ce29b4d554f08659deccf0ccf239eb6b61f15d0cc07b85225c3dcbd11d4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2467565952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e79b6ce29b4d554f08659deccf0ccf239eb6b61f15d0cc07b85225c3dcbd11d4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4401268692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1875001564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4272155172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1896679747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2050060386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.213683756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f2ca1bb6cd322cd6a3a82f6b54f06cca58c42265a35aa50949b7cb7bcd7bbf05","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3577600549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f2ca1bb6cd322cd6a3a82f6b54f06cca58c42265a35aa50949b7cb7bcd7bbf05","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3062744277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f2ca1bb6cd322cd6a3a82f6b54f06cca58c42265a35aa50949b7cb7bcd7bbf05","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3426319949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f2ca1bb6cd322cd6a3a82f6b54f06cca58c42265a35aa50949b7cb7bcd7bbf05","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653469976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f2ca1bb6cd322cd6a3a82f6b54f06cca58c42265a35aa50949b7cb7bcd7bbf05","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714014994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f603aac5459005105dbd3021e3113dd57fc1afa4f51984f1f97458bfb4ec4e25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0594920462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f603aac5459005105dbd3021e3113dd57fc1afa4f51984f1f97458bfb4ec4e25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595366582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f603aac5459005105dbd3021e3113dd57fc1afa4f51984f1f97458bfb4ec4e25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0597656069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f603aac5459005105dbd3021e3113dd57fc1afa4f51984f1f97458bfb4ec4e25","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0601420028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f603aac5459005105dbd3021e3113dd57fc1afa4f51984f1f97458bfb4ec4e25","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0612531346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"fb3b2dc4c3c1f5a0e9e8331418dca4b1c633d2af59118433252db5dd18596637","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2766309858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"fb3b2dc4c3c1f5a0e9e8331418dca4b1c633d2af59118433252db5dd18596637","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.381998007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"fb3b2dc4c3c1f5a0e9e8331418dca4b1c633d2af59118433252db5dd18596637","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627457824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"fb3b2dc4c3c1f5a0e9e8331418dca4b1c633d2af59118433252db5dd18596637","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3646921842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"fb3b2dc4c3c1f5a0e9e8331418dca4b1c633d2af59118433252db5dd18596637","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2780960687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2542984845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1076408167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0561085942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651809857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1981690903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1062258915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565919366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0742533772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2528805649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2084728899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1293210711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0758256287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0755256231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2529969849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2182432484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1080609471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560363707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0695588451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2398460137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2611290855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1160819353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0703533044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0927981676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868363357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.208782929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.100781319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0583364136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0757707455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2442491978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.24668109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1314933339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0643587481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834702158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2593805799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2309679076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1034316993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576030666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647920896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2419676676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2214898749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.113020767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565252687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630698352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2335187867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2296877309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1117542233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546141219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0718199984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2543142837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2202724948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1085335082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0586975314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0667587929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2342988649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.193881444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0953611004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534085439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060514232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2415946815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2254557425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.108111053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604697867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0723200078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2335623987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.193080059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041277481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533863212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0683532671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2549223864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.210996546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1151646299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0612920243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0653420998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2252571255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2692125697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061317496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555308057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0703699714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2591018664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2945463756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1090429151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0571308355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0734478066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3264869295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2024335461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.108848467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557808103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065680995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2211356571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079858966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1131414884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0617864779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0808535003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.252900144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2529122656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1466380608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0737033669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913481405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2336874204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1953223024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1083206794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0547307907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636698464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2056891624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2432898639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1226820584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0610475753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0855091427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2324785511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.211222599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1094151442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0616753647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701421894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2258784279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3016465081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1199042288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0608420159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821257462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.293185136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2630957889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1246543174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0712255429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771367643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2789131914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2237950557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1177430774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567363837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0688310538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2561845489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963204555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053536324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0753867316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.23032908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2254650058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1255432229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0709922052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0798034807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.264855254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1943445063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1103262723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0589586474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0906647944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2360397286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2705514835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1271932536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0734644736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0799868175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640513623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2251228583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1156597052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576808458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2343619195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2161060234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1168541719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.07166444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791590242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2244950688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1999946118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047428348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0561419282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0640420756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2156115698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2189954292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045094971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0577975146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666476797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2025470646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2178782787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1087095755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0562863753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0781923395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676530734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1847501642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.107773935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550752416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070408861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2292400906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2678292105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.341554738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.253817838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.263240236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675680946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2204518859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2904703525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.243712094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2564678875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2687615213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3788390355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2740502124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2617790977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2652958299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.324974721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3318685555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2941297012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.311085573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2752515712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3259969623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3208301993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3402716097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3582055254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3514955397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3257491676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3206627655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3794983513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2636966969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3771732275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.358247564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.270495927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2517789111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3614200872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2103320789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1137620719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0690310575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078103449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4660925499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2674017295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1996326762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1246876513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1375767807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2928591866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2630596162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1729107732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0883814185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2258903355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2527678185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1989557035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1087206868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994316246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2499923628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2576439934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2468476411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2607735234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2958394834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3552086184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4434324864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4888423073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3616142934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3091868465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2610698378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3697884409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3888206105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4061748389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3039845131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2840951827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2528109865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.394715248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.217740523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3107529876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2616351204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3799115379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.418145155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4643450978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835245696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3021963196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3308024272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3736357257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3975838094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2681078324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3586823501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2140481667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.192016072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16708769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2917477252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2571574849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2268676223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4171487247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4528233272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2976364649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2721469972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3763421929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4192397513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1832541098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3448005161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2478575786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3950513259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4167703409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4418202235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3035321475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2818303012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3502310082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3799997094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.213378621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2862419909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2877384424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3449064239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3765006111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4109971027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3308346726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2592089423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3452621389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3552318949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365548568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2927066827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816478341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3717459536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4194882554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4787735154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2721990322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3079595364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.344899196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3860882295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1998738135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2377954654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1953943248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1608453444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1334738914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1115400578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2328152729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717110936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2838902833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2375303768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4484693863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2049334917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4738565363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5193708649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1392064418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1224876116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3958201674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.281627619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885384036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2488327017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4440675087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.107650931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0874236803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0756833342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2774263275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3387882777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2381533423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3965302478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.215371811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2967171138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3083105241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3188083794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3271071868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3496301481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3514165207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2853098668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3090209894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.328660527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2680979809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3442081578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2755997774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2856435653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.294364161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3112994147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3235877722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2614050229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.255658008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2576400865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618947655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1001411535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1249621374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1757490646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2451999712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3462051351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314685637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2532129706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2259426264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4114489066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4474030326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3236549115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2496665339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2283991514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4071873304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4417977257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3148392913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2609747084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2453984159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2314399912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.211482779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3051558027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3298193955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3595108761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3876491901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4202402364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2976664021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3197085414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3545420852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3883586177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4437750785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1021465316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262590965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1727309927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2311701477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3047832658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2304039649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2513617659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.360084098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122578171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3487322971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3495760877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2049140562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1740274726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2208570428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2034446044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2990632211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2825805522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2697686893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.358412807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2462781196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2350061167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2203716706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2118944177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2041493818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2003135587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.234643049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690993837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106335059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3631139677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3455805054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3047970979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2650286648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.388079596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4235796769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4345030519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3824339303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2767481232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3180740382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3666107191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.43750883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3852353302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3013714325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3532812179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4338585464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.266750641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3527488969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2220144051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2032290609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1820158553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2943737089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2711219823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2552662524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3970999148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.44900535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3002905705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2845317751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2693515779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.352797096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2563701921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2729791958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2942174751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3346085092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3759889105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123221218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3250113043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3414596057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2505761875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3647482004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3262350346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3182336214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3479512344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3681425963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3733836531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916267051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3347553857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3386557964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3701060889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2913355669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644305553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3974082702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4585586094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1488973346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734283913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2857549664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2369217108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4353159931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1573141123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2962355882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327477864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3634220417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3976216312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1977536794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3060588646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3221491923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2501283361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2241363551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.218453844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.298926343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772851411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2436552961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4185874275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1905752185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1945947387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1636988493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1358728184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1177047096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033764215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2715697167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2443543777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2162220246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1948720247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1699801215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3608666008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4087242928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1765362542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1525704289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1278518326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933927012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2869828742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2725267946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3526442836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25812654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.246035454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2688378445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3016177749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3459682408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4178341553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2521261936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.355478004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3234967683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2898341882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619469444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2932346534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3208723893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3066838052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.298002764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901502152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.349839325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2371673006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.390707067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4095779416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.433519566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4243218624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4166824054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3964107099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.236975605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2274962777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1866279413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1609174806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1454435651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1314989142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.117267827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3036608092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903866624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2759501198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3458828444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3783869615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2134283838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2011173995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1811118516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1778626782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1743727645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958677248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0967387411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1010461548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1082956233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1275488158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0e36430bac2b279a6b4ef515b349bc26437a0d4a3a7f5311f91aecde2d66e46b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1909124979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0e36430bac2b279a6b4ef515b349bc26437a0d4a3a7f5311f91aecde2d66e46b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1935278244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0e36430bac2b279a6b4ef515b349bc26437a0d4a3a7f5311f91aecde2d66e46b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683236642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0e36430bac2b279a6b4ef515b349bc26437a0d4a3a7f5311f91aecde2d66e46b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2893796126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0e36430bac2b279a6b4ef515b349bc26437a0d4a3a7f5311f91aecde2d66e46b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3222191141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965774047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983843273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047539462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1175722408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.155160442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960052274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968887439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1003844202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1062539741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1260821218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1790837692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1910688718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2363932572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2639889116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155726305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1421935335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1450435866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1684440232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1905722138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2021075052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0673754711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0751145043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0888092043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1124318672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1614994492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955872196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0970040794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005165893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1066345368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1247820976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1968834426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1926278077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1945000648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2072558583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2395358917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1037205935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.120732022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6033931993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5464286123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4641439839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0923203277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6687836087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5933717162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5150103216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4328731845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0953218813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959053922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981648788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023872353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1143166245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0953107705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095744112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0969330247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0997441999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1060919711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960093941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966431837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005372008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1081928992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1430935503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0973607527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1019150043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1113318466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1294988522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1808053649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0957218338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0971163176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022837334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111529517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1365212054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0928759468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6824813903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1364100923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1662217595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2155282349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0953163256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962053978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989285597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1037302604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1199931193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0923649784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1097064449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1347433945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1688273637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4294711149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961385632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975887569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033830872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1139818961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1507159147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1092054181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1101221018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.112811652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1174966283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1323002934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0806868305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6645532781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5529456405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2033557856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3713644753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958718499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0967885753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.100423032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.107060267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1272835331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958663498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096183064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984176613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1037393717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1149499697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1233598488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1298710814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1403490546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1573493718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1846943263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989593936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1110262854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1205764635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1307266529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1467380627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958663498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096427513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995295709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1053627353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1233112368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1780719806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1665217651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1701107209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1754108198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1797401668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958608497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962943994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981957683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1020002837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1111645657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982371579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005205338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1101762695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262821255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1757719377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960051724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965663073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0999059113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059905248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1256376691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0953163262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0957831699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981738928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024011245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1152333083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1100207805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1113486247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1162548829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1240416949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1442907948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1531761055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1569733461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5170903555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4784175309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4006654027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.109331976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.109798818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111654686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1159667664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.126249236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1097665402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106832373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1141402324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1200556205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1399546028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0212ecdf18becdbb0888cd48fe3fb2327af271cef9d19ad7e7eaa50d893b001","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960093525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0212ecdf18becdbb0888cd48fe3fb2327af271cef9d19ad7e7eaa50d893b001","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097087192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0212ecdf18becdbb0888cd48fe3fb2327af271cef9d19ad7e7eaa50d893b001","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1025377381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0212ecdf18becdbb0888cd48fe3fb2327af271cef9d19ad7e7eaa50d893b001","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1123576436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0212ecdf18becdbb0888cd48fe3fb2327af271cef9d19ad7e7eaa50d893b001","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1363059236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1127039637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1405425267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5677514722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.207472529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.252334477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.140832397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1532104057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1859165713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2360063947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3262287064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1582104989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1605994324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1754108198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1974945651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2372183037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954551755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959455041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990060611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048366699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1226112237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958607941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968608545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1011839351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1084187923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1294502402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059650799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6374749952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5253951265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2184449559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3438639623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954760092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959760602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990985073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1052220104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1240654175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1060815527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6530507354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5640016897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4742932342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.375256261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1665606547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1849665536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2288840396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2959464017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4008094691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1392768124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1538493065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2499344323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3148856439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4031706242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0819312982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0909314661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1054817375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1304488699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1870554815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1268988037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1371545506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1528326208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1802511879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2408343181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961398966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0980218761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033844206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1131263246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1411212912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968219093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975943126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1016413325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.108815133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1354211849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0877480734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1138596716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1471936268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4826176135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3909526888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1345489464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.153482633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1798275689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2143282125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653569422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09614273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976095907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103321975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1136541122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1453491479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3370439392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3643175418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.396896259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4340344123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1763214517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3248597354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3569669832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3994900924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4403923005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.493948761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3150045059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3404518815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2349112641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2156963169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1907105448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2670320809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3501084262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3827193852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.417047976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.179368803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2725262167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3445008535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2285949405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.209442902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1861970979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3523532659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.382865496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2091857967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.189686328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1673966402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2687825268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.349884307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2256014248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2051076427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4677959824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.262346764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3612218459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2185193633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2002202747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1819138824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2947617317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3241547437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2417746305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2165172801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1866098057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BBY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701707657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BBY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3391663663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BBY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3563277661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BBY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2362178051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BBY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4037879288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.248598263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3747039275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2273033595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2168521607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2042217025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2632330304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.238720913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2169368083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1969921116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4811468066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2628602902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2433591234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3895360651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4226290141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.468753874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3214889125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3437778983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2326082275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2142686376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1930113111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2575032031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.238901264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.22184377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2052798408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1883920203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2623071314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3575574054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3873103383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2108230425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1944528544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2654572486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3603190337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2252057436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.20586312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1859999157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2555235351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2329409108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2120141594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1926058581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1724631203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301604168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2381332335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2173053338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1983304613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4707250656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3213648066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3539341827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2219414123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2009863463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1742076554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.267095695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2473311253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2271733338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2081235983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1896322298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.275641481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.340217826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2324124876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2118096188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1903042776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DLTR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885466141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DLTR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2669666006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DLTR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2437238426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DLTR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2250738951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DLTR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2009850195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2652378235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3522820037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2370566257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2213079994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2092385957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3249310106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3453047003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.37402309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4054364608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4452379075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3227217038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.35150598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3817334051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4147916262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4574489454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3171023668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3435474428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3745742799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4034869002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4439428275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3201744277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.345249751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2306308175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.210259866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4496603052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2659592986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3521682536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3861931778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4246881831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4742762794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2563878009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2368765415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2166992999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1986839531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1781965413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2570253826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2401718245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2205554935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.201815113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1814347503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3254026588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2446445665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2221323777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2040204452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4720471129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2461577969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3778199648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2270167157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2185854908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.20890532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2927273962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2622867159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3642883394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2187797368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4399896404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"K","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753441571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"K","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2751790097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"K","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3180807479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"K","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3254613544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"K","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2784636218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3227751663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2482974324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3781398293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4072935476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4454023607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3376585473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3638741118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2229186276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2049088067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.185015054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724231635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3448834999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3724648071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2151062401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.193511459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2812228945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.335061996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3635148796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3955364741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2006496199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2687606398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2471309076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2267548802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2093972265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1874571623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3175770863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3419455501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.367854141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2217365098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4347698052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2681216058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3494296633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.228028685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2121388918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1937734152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2558133073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3731587813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2095256643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1884941449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1681251119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2514800431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.231180441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2105797787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1914873336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1714189819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3390629592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.363334967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.221175436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2036496564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4721656489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2650529204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3572176067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.388237205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4224095835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4661461096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3198464058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2641739327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2523332341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3759447955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4084603669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2634383688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2427795152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3933490106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2051424985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1820953627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155747128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3492527043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.384662418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1994490709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1744377985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.267773473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2526022457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3689516704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3945492876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2034229258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3252667881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3556455531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3830761197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4174080664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.462873357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3213663156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2467443415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2259279893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2072858538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1836991298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3195265356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2537307973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3664460774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3949810241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4274669619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3180585171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3384495219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3663618897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3939345059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4346625134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2464253015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3835221842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2179512536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2065008874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4454256007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3445110334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3738918262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4047357135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4341199003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.454583844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2574214033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3713719338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3848914147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2166692372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2022847914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653860023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2406365453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2194490778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.198554378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1747370648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3380761946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3685900916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4055215462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4446266488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4986637446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3217867276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3473007236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2274750806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2069639979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.183247835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3351672421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.348415659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3694506193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2231174054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4160522681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3100582245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220472428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2560589739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2420478665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2267368252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675772367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3478141013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2352866956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.220337885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4359253477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912394025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914348556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094793922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988938921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1063347468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.171707724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1808503845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.173941344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1957097305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1905469046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0cf75124c554391dec92b387feb1f60e5aa8e81ddf9d8f6abb2d4af7f8a8f242","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0376173395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0cf75124c554391dec92b387feb1f60e5aa8e81ddf9d8f6abb2d4af7f8a8f242","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0376673392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0cf75124c554391dec92b387feb1f60e5aa8e81ddf9d8f6abb2d4af7f8a8f242","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0378005655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0cf75124c554391dec92b387feb1f60e5aa8e81ddf9d8f6abb2d4af7f8a8f242","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0379653824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0cf75124c554391dec92b387feb1f60e5aa8e81ddf9d8f6abb2d4af7f8a8f242","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0381913013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ede0d4cfdb9f310caf636c590882c0d330b985db0b97a497000c65aac4d809f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2863416596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ede0d4cfdb9f310caf636c590882c0d330b985db0b97a497000c65aac4d809f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.303440762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ede0d4cfdb9f310caf636c590882c0d330b985db0b97a497000c65aac4d809f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3093251281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ede0d4cfdb9f310caf636c590882c0d330b985db0b97a497000c65aac4d809f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3384239611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ede0d4cfdb9f310caf636c590882c0d330b985db0b97a497000c65aac4d809f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3509647786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0448761047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0468397267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051189695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573941951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0664350382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"1f46d8affd83fdab6badfffb996d70737a7f2e2e06f81d430770269e4e51da66","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511781951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"1f46d8affd83fdab6badfffb996d70737a7f2e2e06f81d430770269e4e51da66","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502817016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"1f46d8affd83fdab6badfffb996d70737a7f2e2e06f81d430770269e4e51da66","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0523920044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"1f46d8affd83fdab6badfffb996d70737a7f2e2e06f81d430770269e4e51da66","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502815198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"1f46d8affd83fdab6badfffb996d70737a7f2e2e06f81d430770269e4e51da66","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0507476982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"222f8a6a9ccf0329bca648cb438c7ac208f57103aa3b62e731fd3283cd07abbc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537242674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"222f8a6a9ccf0329bca648cb438c7ac208f57103aa3b62e731fd3283cd07abbc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552142565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"222f8a6a9ccf0329bca648cb438c7ac208f57103aa3b62e731fd3283cd07abbc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0606785348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"222f8a6a9ccf0329bca648cb438c7ac208f57103aa3b62e731fd3283cd07abbc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660418138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"222f8a6a9ccf0329bca648cb438c7ac208f57103aa3b62e731fd3283cd07abbc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0740235737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520669613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531033174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549396676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0570032889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0607487161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"25c33e0bdcb6b13dfe3774b119dee3f92dd6cbcfe7c16c56fa48fa2deefc7ee0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3557431074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"25c33e0bdcb6b13dfe3774b119dee3f92dd6cbcfe7c16c56fa48fa2deefc7ee0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3388705488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"25c33e0bdcb6b13dfe3774b119dee3f92dd6cbcfe7c16c56fa48fa2deefc7ee0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586213166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"25c33e0bdcb6b13dfe3774b119dee3f92dd6cbcfe7c16c56fa48fa2deefc7ee0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2727799405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"25c33e0bdcb6b13dfe3774b119dee3f92dd6cbcfe7c16c56fa48fa2deefc7ee0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3881008711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0403227293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.041130678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0427943022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0450715583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484533531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0382091079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0383136526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0385966051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0390954651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0403959556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0657969065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0670824426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658890422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651499112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0646397786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051707873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526260481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537624035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550987573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0577987376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550215306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0597169509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0629345638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0705361446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784696776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"443a7b85b1256b7ede89fe5ee9857f4cb8222aa705bfe80af68484309a3f7502","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.045317056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"443a7b85b1256b7ede89fe5ee9857f4cb8222aa705bfe80af68484309a3f7502","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0449511042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"443a7b85b1256b7ede89fe5ee9857f4cb8222aa705bfe80af68484309a3f7502","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0462217312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"443a7b85b1256b7ede89fe5ee9857f4cb8222aa705bfe80af68484309a3f7502","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484215788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"443a7b85b1256b7ede89fe5ee9857f4cb8222aa705bfe80af68484309a3f7502","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525306056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"519689a520e7e15fe54f6d85ad40f6e0186b5b1ce657e41144abfe398812749c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0425261219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"519689a520e7e15fe54f6d85ad40f6e0186b5b1ce657e41144abfe398812749c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0451761025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"519689a520e7e15fe54f6d85ad40f6e0186b5b1ce657e41144abfe398812749c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0494397078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"519689a520e7e15fe54f6d85ad40f6e0186b5b1ce657e41144abfe398812749c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548942134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"519689a520e7e15fe54f6d85ad40f6e0186b5b1ce657e41144abfe398812749c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636896037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"51b38397c43736d778e9f90307debfc5d6979ccfda77f1911d7454506ccbb9a6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0839826373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"51b38397c43736d778e9f90307debfc5d6979ccfda77f1911d7454506ccbb9a6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0616742548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"51b38397c43736d778e9f90307debfc5d6979ccfda77f1911d7454506ccbb9a6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620981153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"51b38397c43736d778e9f90307debfc5d6979ccfda77f1911d7454506ccbb9a6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0623957495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"51b38397c43736d778e9f90307debfc5d6979ccfda77f1911d7454506ccbb9a6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0635861499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"53ee9dae07e4a565c700d8d7b39010b52c6f5ce128822c5b47137a4d92f925f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7137814019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"53ee9dae07e4a565c700d8d7b39010b52c6f5ce128822c5b47137a4d92f925f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093059571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"53ee9dae07e4a565c700d8d7b39010b52c6f5ce128822c5b47137a4d92f925f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.113081243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"53ee9dae07e4a565c700d8d7b39010b52c6f5ce128822c5b47137a4d92f925f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1306937053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"53ee9dae07e4a565c700d8d7b39010b52c6f5ce128822c5b47137a4d92f925f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.148796664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5550267c0daf6cc0e615a7a419655d3c3f7c552d08de876bd52e961d91f8a902","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3892421809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5550267c0daf6cc0e615a7a419655d3c3f7c552d08de876bd52e961d91f8a902","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3744691524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5550267c0daf6cc0e615a7a419655d3c3f7c552d08de876bd52e961d91f8a902","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2673165258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5550267c0daf6cc0e615a7a419655d3c3f7c552d08de876bd52e961d91f8a902","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.311228887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5550267c0daf6cc0e615a7a419655d3c3f7c552d08de876bd52e961d91f8a902","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3405839908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5679eee039862319d3edf183b065371fa415f414ca2bd4188b4e914970e9bda5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628089283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5679eee039862319d3edf183b065371fa415f414ca2bd4188b4e914970e9bda5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627498378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5679eee039862319d3edf183b065371fa415f414ca2bd4188b4e914970e9bda5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0629396092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5679eee039862319d3edf183b065371fa415f414ca2bd4188b4e914970e9bda5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630259722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5679eee039862319d3edf183b065371fa415f414ca2bd4188b4e914970e9bda5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642452815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2050926166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2262315531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2672926624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2788118964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3361077962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5fbfe97225ce257fd1694dfb5ec42ccb90960041885669c12b7c5f570f53e2c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0499352496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5fbfe97225ce257fd1694dfb5ec42ccb90960041885669c12b7c5f570f53e2c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0496976604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5fbfe97225ce257fd1694dfb5ec42ccb90960041885669c12b7c5f570f53e2c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515101926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5fbfe97225ce257fd1694dfb5ec42ccb90960041885669c12b7c5f570f53e2c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0523663682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5fbfe97225ce257fd1694dfb5ec42ccb90960041885669c12b7c5f570f53e2c5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522738234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2650403606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3209363161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2952188675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3530329453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3491540646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"754e9f1d2529920fd6542ebc31d21beb6fa07756a094b65410db99dee7611b30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1272868211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"754e9f1d2529920fd6542ebc31d21beb6fa07756a094b65410db99dee7611b30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1315725625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"754e9f1d2529920fd6542ebc31d21beb6fa07756a094b65410db99dee7611b30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423064841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"754e9f1d2529920fd6542ebc31d21beb6fa07756a094b65410db99dee7611b30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1611707555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"754e9f1d2529920fd6542ebc31d21beb6fa07756a094b65410db99dee7611b30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.158572729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0390954656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0393045549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0396147345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0401608669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0408579541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7cd6b1abe26d83449b075db16c760d3f40d86ebaa75c6b4c2a048730b65401f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0741341638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7cd6b1abe26d83449b075db16c760d3f40d86ebaa75c6b4c2a048730b65401f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0752713828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7cd6b1abe26d83449b075db16c760d3f40d86ebaa75c6b4c2a048730b65401f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0761796034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7cd6b1abe26d83449b075db16c760d3f40d86ebaa75c6b4c2a048730b65401f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0769824612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7cd6b1abe26d83449b075db16c760d3f40d86ebaa75c6b4c2a048730b65401f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0799716212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0386216504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0395364164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0411579955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0434261608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0464000027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663134482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0703857366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0739035746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0798410312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0871621596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"89d627dfaec0d96a1554e40989164649cc07bc23b585459369daf7e9edb1f82e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2515953224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"89d627dfaec0d96a1554e40989164649cc07bc23b585459369daf7e9edb1f82e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3403541288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"89d627dfaec0d96a1554e40989164649cc07bc23b585459369daf7e9edb1f82e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3019225913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"89d627dfaec0d96a1554e40989164649cc07bc23b585459369daf7e9edb1f82e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3297149338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"89d627dfaec0d96a1554e40989164649cc07bc23b585459369daf7e9edb1f82e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114057948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2003158787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2064498339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4507133684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226648064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4054316536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"912ac9eafede388b736805cc0c15056677c6986a52e68704ed96644402a0ac19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0835313224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"912ac9eafede388b736805cc0c15056677c6986a52e68704ed96644402a0ac19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0891389179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"912ac9eafede388b736805cc0c15056677c6986a52e68704ed96644402a0ac19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984593952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"912ac9eafede388b736805cc0c15056677c6986a52e68704ed96644402a0ac19","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1103490811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"912ac9eafede388b736805cc0c15056677c6986a52e68704ed96644402a0ac19","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6258991346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1242175708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1303868439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1330538699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1389140544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.147208312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"9afa4a414049550328d40bf9ae4e56ed3fc2d9332875ccc23e095271c6b9fc25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513215122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"9afa4a414049550328d40bf9ae4e56ed3fc2d9332875ccc23e095271c6b9fc25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533351338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"9afa4a414049550328d40bf9ae4e56ed3fc2d9332875ccc23e095271c6b9fc25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0580123724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"9afa4a414049550328d40bf9ae4e56ed3fc2d9332875ccc23e095271c6b9fc25","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0640941462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"9afa4a414049550328d40bf9ae4e56ed3fc2d9332875ccc23e095271c6b9fc25","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.073325897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a59ba97c72c26ee3ed404b731fc85b6e6d45777ba7f610201cc8bc34b90c8d6f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0413499941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a59ba97c72c26ee3ed404b731fc85b6e6d45777ba7f610201cc8bc34b90c8d6f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0428170288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a59ba97c72c26ee3ed404b731fc85b6e6d45777ba7f610201cc8bc34b90c8d6f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0457351893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a59ba97c72c26ee3ed404b731fc85b6e6d45777ba7f610201cc8bc34b90c8d6f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0491351645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a59ba97c72c26ee3ed404b731fc85b6e6d45777ba7f610201cc8bc34b90c8d6f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548942134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a9ed9408f27bc84512158be10fbb5d310a582d00022f22ea8d554c3a0fa98c10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0399990494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a9ed9408f27bc84512158be10fbb5d310a582d00022f22ea8d554c3a0fa98c10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0414444934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a9ed9408f27bc84512158be10fbb5d310a582d00022f22ea8d554c3a0fa98c10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0442944726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a9ed9408f27bc84512158be10fbb5d310a582d00022f22ea8d554c3a0fa98c10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480944448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a9ed9408f27bc84512158be10fbb5d310a582d00022f22ea8d554c3a0fa98c10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548673499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aead6661e5dea40d13f87d38b729746c75c0362bcc0e864fe2f14a0a66a188fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522487781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aead6661e5dea40d13f87d38b729746c75c0362bcc0e864fe2f14a0a66a188fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525305943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aead6661e5dea40d13f87d38b729746c75c0362bcc0e864fe2f14a0a66a188fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0524896855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aead6661e5dea40d13f87d38b729746c75c0362bcc0e864fe2f14a0a66a188fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536396771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aead6661e5dea40d13f87d38b729746c75c0362bcc0e864fe2f14a0a66a188fa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555669357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aee89ca59ca9f1c624a1944bc04a1cf73450e6b408e2b5efa51b05cea0a64e7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0501442481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aee89ca59ca9f1c624a1944bc04a1cf73450e6b408e2b5efa51b05cea0a64e7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522078694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aee89ca59ca9f1c624a1944bc04a1cf73450e6b408e2b5efa51b05cea0a64e7f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603578098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aee89ca59ca9f1c624a1944bc04a1cf73450e6b408e2b5efa51b05cea0a64e7f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0689850196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aee89ca59ca9f1c624a1944bc04a1cf73450e6b408e2b5efa51b05cea0a64e7f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0835576404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0646805055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0580123724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638532389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0703668277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0809656139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b0b838588fe5a1d44df81dd386091dc415044109f8e96b8ac1bdcb7da6e620ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3335234969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b0b838588fe5a1d44df81dd386091dc415044109f8e96b8ac1bdcb7da6e620ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2496382458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b0b838588fe5a1d44df81dd386091dc415044109f8e96b8ac1bdcb7da6e620ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2507759193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b0b838588fe5a1d44df81dd386091dc415044109f8e96b8ac1bdcb7da6e620ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2526037242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b0b838588fe5a1d44df81dd386091dc415044109f8e96b8ac1bdcb7da6e620ab","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3649935853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2223631723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3848918036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2443396027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.283232046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3008696899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0804406177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0767371902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0733588513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0702554648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678816185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"be0ac29e0992ec3157aecf4180f7eab3f254e16c7b56dc13af1ac313db94e16d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545226706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"be0ac29e0992ec3157aecf4180f7eab3f254e16c7b56dc13af1ac313db94e16d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534488148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"be0ac29e0992ec3157aecf4180f7eab3f254e16c7b56dc13af1ac313db94e16d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532535435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"be0ac29e0992ec3157aecf4180f7eab3f254e16c7b56dc13af1ac313db94e16d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545333978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"be0ac29e0992ec3157aecf4180f7eab3f254e16c7b56dc13af1ac313db94e16d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528029559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"bedd7e209670c913bc7df49f7d99a3e0d98111482c2cf4d24c27ea1036d18d0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0724363125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"bedd7e209670c913bc7df49f7d99a3e0d98111482c2cf4d24c27ea1036d18d0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0779189998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"bedd7e209670c913bc7df49f7d99a3e0d98111482c2cf4d24c27ea1036d18d0b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818404257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"bedd7e209670c913bc7df49f7d99a3e0d98111482c2cf4d24c27ea1036d18d0b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0893814161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"bedd7e209670c913bc7df49f7d99a3e0d98111482c2cf4d24c27ea1036d18d0b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029520897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c7578180a214aeca97c41bc2b56db57940cc6c2422c6822c8c0c3f91474f0ba7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3038153047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c7578180a214aeca97c41bc2b56db57940cc6c2422c6822c8c0c3f91474f0ba7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2904697658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c7578180a214aeca97c41bc2b56db57940cc6c2422c6822c8c0c3f91474f0ba7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276396762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c7578180a214aeca97c41bc2b56db57940cc6c2422c6822c8c0c3f91474f0ba7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3068673279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c7578180a214aeca97c41bc2b56db57940cc6c2422c6822c8c0c3f91474f0ba7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2722198991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c8cce97d5978df9dea5943b3467189646d06ea57e4ad23b1251b1bddd1fbd530","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0606680803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c8cce97d5978df9dea5943b3467189646d06ea57e4ad23b1251b1bddd1fbd530","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0607191708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c8cce97d5978df9dea5943b3467189646d06ea57e4ad23b1251b1bddd1fbd530","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0612214854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c8cce97d5978df9dea5943b3467189646d06ea57e4ad23b1251b1bddd1fbd530","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614680745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c8cce97d5978df9dea5943b3467189646d06ea57e4ad23b1251b1bddd1fbd530","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624680672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0430273455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544590802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553738008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568453809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0587146855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613113597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0608284541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0616419027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613274959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.061409484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4fa357174eb852edc176c03fca1ef95e43c37ad947c148356a606f23b11bf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510056509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4fa357174eb852edc176c03fca1ef95e43c37ad947c148356a606f23b11bf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504329278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4fa357174eb852edc176c03fca1ef95e43c37ad947c148356a606f23b11bf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0507567436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4fa357174eb852edc176c03fca1ef95e43c37ad947c148356a606f23b11bf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515374652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4fa357174eb852edc176c03fca1ef95e43c37ad947c148356a606f23b11bf8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527976832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc6a04275c6e01921b897c77526a7779f2b07c6cc5d2b7f13ee8ffc7c2c860e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0483080806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc6a04275c6e01921b897c77526a7779f2b07c6cc5d2b7f13ee8ffc7c2c860e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0483080806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc6a04275c6e01921b897c77526a7779f2b07c6cc5d2b7f13ee8ffc7c2c860e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0483445817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc6a04275c6e01921b897c77526a7779f2b07c6cc5d2b7f13ee8ffc7c2c860e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0483991267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc6a04275c6e01921b897c77526a7779f2b07c6cc5d2b7f13ee8ffc7c2c860e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0485131295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d2cd2a3f71b6e4ba866cc006d45ff5a1e9fbecaad79873d36d0253d3a174803d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0486318614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d2cd2a3f71b6e4ba866cc006d45ff5a1e9fbecaad79873d36d0253d3a174803d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0486318614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d2cd2a3f71b6e4ba866cc006d45ff5a1e9fbecaad79873d36d0253d3a174803d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0486546226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d2cd2a3f71b6e4ba866cc006d45ff5a1e9fbecaad79873d36d0253d3a174803d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0487046222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d2cd2a3f71b6e4ba866cc006d45ff5a1e9fbecaad79873d36d0253d3a174803d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0488230759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d4f699577a5fc967f0291e1a2b9efd51913104344456aeca00a35eebd433aaca","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511510134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d4f699577a5fc967f0291e1a2b9efd51913104344456aeca00a35eebd433aaca","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513374212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d4f699577a5fc967f0291e1a2b9efd51913104344456aeca00a35eebd433aaca","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531944076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d4f699577a5fc967f0291e1a2b9efd51913104344456aeca00a35eebd433aaca","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555625721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d4f699577a5fc967f0291e1a2b9efd51913104344456aeca00a35eebd433aaca","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0594078168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0721865416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0750704751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0805126172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0874814754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0937170662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dbdbe1690ef850b339d0d60e51153e30ef4af6b88817ee62b8221b747341a737","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516681006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dbdbe1690ef850b339d0d60e51153e30ef4af6b88817ee62b8221b747341a737","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052481731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dbdbe1690ef850b339d0d60e51153e30ef4af6b88817ee62b8221b747341a737","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540317197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dbdbe1690ef850b339d0d60e51153e30ef4af6b88817ee62b8221b747341a737","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0564226113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dbdbe1690ef850b339d0d60e51153e30ef4af6b88817ee62b8221b747341a737","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0606089444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"ddd18a73c4823a3ba57b64e9bab2cdf7deb6c22c57ff0077c7da2ee71e60c357","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.044426108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"ddd18a73c4823a3ba57b64e9bab2cdf7deb6c22c57ff0077c7da2ee71e60c357","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0457079168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"ddd18a73c4823a3ba57b64e9bab2cdf7deb6c22c57ff0077c7da2ee71e60c357","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0496078883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"ddd18a73c4823a3ba57b64e9bab2cdf7deb6c22c57ff0077c7da2ee71e60c357","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542908087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"ddd18a73c4823a3ba57b64e9bab2cdf7deb6c22c57ff0077c7da2ee71e60c357","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614851198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0405773179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0403511378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0408989065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0424318498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0456863715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e3ef966eb26d20c6c2a8172a53e5704680407c185d648bdabe478fe1c083ff39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1145210507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e3ef966eb26d20c6c2a8172a53e5704680407c185d648bdabe478fe1c083ff39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1067040623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e3ef966eb26d20c6c2a8172a53e5704680407c185d648bdabe478fe1c083ff39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6640170381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e3ef966eb26d20c6c2a8172a53e5704680407c185d648bdabe478fe1c083ff39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1187721105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e3ef966eb26d20c6c2a8172a53e5704680407c185d648bdabe478fe1c083ff39","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1510396931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e4f57450c0f49ead93af2a13e1c5c5d2535dfe581a480924609b22743ce69e26","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2997424254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e4f57450c0f49ead93af2a13e1c5c5d2535dfe581a480924609b22743ce69e26","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3062260599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e4f57450c0f49ead93af2a13e1c5c5d2535dfe581a480924609b22743ce69e26","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.325242421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e4f57450c0f49ead93af2a13e1c5c5d2535dfe581a480924609b22743ce69e26","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.296415177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e4f57450c0f49ead93af2a13e1c5c5d2535dfe581a480924609b22743ce69e26","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3001742404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e91585433a9ab0fb3af4330a28521cee4ead897545f1a99f6f0fd1f21f14d1bd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0475715396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e91585433a9ab0fb3af4330a28521cee4ead897545f1a99f6f0fd1f21f14d1bd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0495999339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e91585433a9ab0fb3af4330a28521cee4ead897545f1a99f6f0fd1f21f14d1bd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055462391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e91585433a9ab0fb3af4330a28521cee4ead897545f1a99f6f0fd1f21f14d1bd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620407521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e91585433a9ab0fb3af4330a28521cee4ead897545f1a99f6f0fd1f21f14d1bd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0720997696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f0020c1789458f92258ab6591b0fcc66d703390f14bfeb1dec1151ab7c57c43f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532260437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f0020c1789458f92258ab6591b0fcc66d703390f14bfeb1dec1151ab7c57c43f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054512398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f0020c1789458f92258ab6591b0fcc66d703390f14bfeb1dec1151ab7c57c43f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568078358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f0020c1789458f92258ab6591b0fcc66d703390f14bfeb1dec1151ab7c57c43f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0597487234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f0020c1789458f92258ab6591b0fcc66d703390f14bfeb1dec1151ab7c57c43f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650486847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f15d3dd84304b541d22281aab3b140ac77536242d43572c98ae612db0069eeb9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0754451997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f15d3dd84304b541d22281aab3b140ac77536242d43572c98ae612db0069eeb9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0774042763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f15d3dd84304b541d22281aab3b140ac77536242d43572c98ae612db0069eeb9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915510366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f15d3dd84304b541d22281aab3b140ac77536242d43572c98ae612db0069eeb9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024730023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f15d3dd84304b541d22281aab3b140ac77536242d43572c98ae612db0069eeb9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1133272412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f5aa930803057d3a60c16779206b5614990e3ef0e5187643992207b436df4595","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.148835391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f5aa930803057d3a60c16779206b5614990e3ef0e5187643992207b436df4595","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1449891918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f5aa930803057d3a60c16779206b5614990e3ef0e5187643992207b436df4595","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.184199451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f5aa930803057d3a60c16779206b5614990e3ef0e5187643992207b436df4595","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1649574551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f5aa930803057d3a60c16779206b5614990e3ef0e5187643992207b436df4595","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1697717836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f75086a635c11f2ea32d0711dacad8f7b6b38a5295ef577ea60da927eed5bd41","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0434897512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f75086a635c11f2ea32d0711dacad8f7b6b38a5295ef577ea60da927eed5bd41","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0424283953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f75086a635c11f2ea32d0711dacad8f7b6b38a5295ef577ea60da927eed5bd41","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0430283909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f75086a635c11f2ea32d0711dacad8f7b6b38a5295ef577ea60da927eed5bd41","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0450920122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f75086a635c11f2ea32d0711dacad8f7b6b38a5295ef577ea60da927eed5bd41","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480226726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"fc801585512581ef182934d9a851e09c37b442e80346ccecf19d2592d6acb139","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480442634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"fc801585512581ef182934d9a851e09c37b442e80346ccecf19d2592d6acb139","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636759674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"fc801585512581ef182934d9a851e09c37b442e80346ccecf19d2592d6acb139","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0702395559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"fc801585512581ef182934d9a851e09c37b442e80346ccecf19d2592d6acb139","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0792815353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"fc801585512581ef182934d9a851e09c37b442e80346ccecf19d2592d6acb139","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0896178234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1507730536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.092313479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0468260905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0558559542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3948450928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1841131094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1197841952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0594078168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075349779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3882936216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4284981803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1350787474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531851349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0812485664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3470485034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5117518706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1049069015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0583123702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078593847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3501927857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.228524265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1743661191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0810985675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7122617601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3600398776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2164712731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1605424634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1076586008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1379606932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2818505709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2256834858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1639246008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0599759944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.748002685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146587134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4393570406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1274956542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604396274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813636614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3179223404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1615363503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1074421606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0496033429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0697929524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3554376042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2055040909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1482217321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0950762996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.112602666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.339124927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1278012164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077598593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094240748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3474072615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1785331542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1272452693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0684668415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1011916632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2484250328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1686733786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1118795889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0496169792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665169419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4021009077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2120349511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1696542551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0778759092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993389295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3888690877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2005723288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1449823814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511124228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631861354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2435684773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2312693857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1501624037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1122598157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2769503022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1580497977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1074782652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0597259963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0744351995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2332922254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1850459775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1332680478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0881469705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988755903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3756696529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1831550652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1265475462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0698804676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.089464143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3671655386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.207491266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1507266914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0610487139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0725577972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676304094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1678647675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1141291236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662941301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976984463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.362320991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1965870218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1438198542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033142689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.118245978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3980171466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1767717812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1143450592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0470897249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0702850101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.405136428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1669863208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109421361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060003267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.083106193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3539175061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.178906154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1118404281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0597169054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0730258992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2312877032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2104793119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531078628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915439457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3746357572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1444285241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0873162996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0479624458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0719213618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4078563262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1647552342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1127723966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530987719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0737634082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3750387243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1951319024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1312704073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0472351784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0727713556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3714084881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1723922562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089534894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604532637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789758557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2385454835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1686917891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1097333136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613441663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0766576908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3858511081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1752427777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1066125502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513260576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3886842573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1894151759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1326605606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0900780587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094288653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3699779706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1747512448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059370786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604169003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0682532067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3499628358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5000293899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1036997805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0577033292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0759849685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3832219806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1898937941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1274958608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0610259868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0694941068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3564475123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1790438232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1069331201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0599759944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0828576455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3636952879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3231121188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3450200948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3965733547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3242686554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2904649437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3304223143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3475511672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3880690531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3724009857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734562537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2910802203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3584794849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3818827489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.40289488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3746782561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.372563662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4729496068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6202498672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5345914018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3779698182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2855689014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3391240236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.329705843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3600465305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753219556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120238063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3444101539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2744937461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2542348032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4636559953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4441541696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.408737084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4520565034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1138346921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614214384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3968769934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3419253358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2051277072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424736193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1662416275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3317329336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4229226461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1402481355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4058964036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2091146608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1645405751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1242546616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1525502649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3773268559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3362114949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.270593942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6237278192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3479284372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2593965903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2536363426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2489981066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2206157753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3045972463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2932411577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618770462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2280913878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4045951822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1853736872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3181097771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2792573232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.341069677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3807883088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4311256615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3117674004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3463911487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.388671773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4098539376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2018922987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3164032464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28046541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3428883832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3826727643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1917430461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2831142396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169724315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3507992693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3811043802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2272760456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3529076001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3116502781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3362176051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3679273661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4113343449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.274539601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2511731497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.375798278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3964758976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1928330649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3076609917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3400979541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3722508411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3941047141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4212125251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734105348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2490976566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3633921105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3927270036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4291218052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816376417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3240217873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3531536607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3774424049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2090811045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3339149825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2319476538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2171494958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.20598633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1926836162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2040831029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1756697492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1503945857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1343655593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1176850361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4003150561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1880828044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1664476514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1499754688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1355170276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1036422813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895730187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0852825055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3038147076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2599828385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2408848913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3762187245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2174448119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3002608865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586787732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2297666531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3961739002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1937688479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161632259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3339907646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3550177381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3744073005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2123809413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.287284389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993652474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3118695491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3284265247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3481365325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3356166872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3050809544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3253808156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3589746116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3958165091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3042811303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2615436168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.242367572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.229680918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.219362417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2983809233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772157757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2509781774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3820876293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4237105189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3055772601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.328158982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3556131111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.377468378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4043918771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3439285672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3617706602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2125104704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2012882032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1883767893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1828531266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2279167297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3002165569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3852769825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4758253391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1822425151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1620580937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1453166283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1360569718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1316522273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3443114048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3676485517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4006775505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4134293643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4234756955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3241634895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3523318968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2358249131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3949322375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4224858211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2920579089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3270940479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3690643311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3968655018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.423810979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2680409015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3004931473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3542950869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3889752251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4268354621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126269368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2844178355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676012015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2493714631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2702413231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2553024369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2485623179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2426316788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2354183238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2978417441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.311179245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3341355912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3558579293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.388951412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3651899801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3080161471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2527456654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2075262241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4735325251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2708199829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2501424941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2255081515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2122502723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1897981689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2752223066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3108549572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3654575686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3884854645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4053868371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3115373059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3394483178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3677960431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4084180345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138652224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2387974702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4045337453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4500448249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4926818072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3223629044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.235369278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.20651786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.441255099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4677936185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3522542414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2189252002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2037503849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1917293535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1779080698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3529304033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3910542164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4315557352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4771605968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968117834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772195414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2423030745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4140781285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4417586708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3023187055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3029346848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3051145576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3011853432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2599721053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2959241549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3483302496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3991975954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4692521588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3453040319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3655241497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3846743313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.402616786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4135489191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3357331327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3615454373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3941179051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4245808643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4573476884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276851161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3656126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4093919539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4621753579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.298750726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627603138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2480311195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4132012525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4316894396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738171967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2395478984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4185385717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4393475666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4510201726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1440044017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1293398192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1211209823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1191690128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1218323884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3333782859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3719071366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1900208493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.167066536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1422193659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3660283595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3176394047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3225621512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2283742818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1888347695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2621789759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2989288288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3325879616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2300019874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.186951213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2877750734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3284239219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2173364261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1845311538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1499761752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2655991106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3177357046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3028621073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921120854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3415624777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2341060232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2264004275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2218592484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2196043859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226567811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2012701112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1721929881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1517247249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1378328407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1235833429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123597568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3415244398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3728303849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3938509494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2455386417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3457477691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2208480198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2086183715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1992543535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1913640892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2299196348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2180937033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3958340837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4129897591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2110131876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3105679895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748803852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2698380323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2697701254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2767047465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.172719678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5556493724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1207767149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1053870832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0973262737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3362482066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3459760248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3640205228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3932102239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4286816882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788622315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803895272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0853943997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0952831912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1167948977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782941789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791183092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0814601103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0850853111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962825475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078521359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.079639669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0842451354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.092539393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1165210361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0780669532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0781216347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788364931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0810910675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0860680312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"12486c21df689124f8fdad70760247dffe2b7696599748bcb5c7a738735285d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0900485021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"12486c21df689124f8fdad70760247dffe2b7696599748bcb5c7a738735285d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10054388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"12486c21df689124f8fdad70760247dffe2b7696599748bcb5c7a738735285d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1186755658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"12486c21df689124f8fdad70760247dffe2b7696599748bcb5c7a738735285d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5825994508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"12486c21df689124f8fdad70760247dffe2b7696599748bcb5c7a738735285d5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5084545377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1624979731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1842523597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4503867799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3956144526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3024333148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0896587777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0901634558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0927273007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0972961765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1086483663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078225918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0787442665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811635215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0854401721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0928939359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.089675823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0909998134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951223287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029347717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.124643704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1123348394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1127805634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1143362793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1176903912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1252438815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895440967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.090063502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0924898479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0977587185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109131225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0898939692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0909587682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951534194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1021024596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1206039608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.07819418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0785988603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0796909982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0822410591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0883091512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0379670756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0389534661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0835305497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915041733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1112301656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1812932904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1916068514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2134976006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2298565721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2510393455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5467497126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.493927371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1983431659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2347247184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2785698527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0814440195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915939454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.11300288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1429481158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1909568562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1583434579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.178452402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4778865791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356616726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.276365301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0896712776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0901168653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0927541642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0980848071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1118256158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0894270071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0897679151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915714496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0953507929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1012485112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1007894691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1009121955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.101657781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1035125402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1070599233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7290392905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6699942671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6066901839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1522071391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4665457528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895417785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0902784095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0926666648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0973643578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1065301999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7288759794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6706811644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1217142193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.144836548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1845507425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0893168711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0893715525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.090054593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913682652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965452274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2174702989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2376883331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724062614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155349861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3769503467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.181979649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.188334148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2009476923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2179518419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356023966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078980492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803544365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867087538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0998484306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1412663099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782043159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786055857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0807372065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0847099047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962723203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1137983287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1295936679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1497071574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4931137406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4297051127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1009075705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1009894222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1019126428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048433486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1116665261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2151612249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.221161181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2225838979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2319792839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440057484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0902212395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0918576253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974359482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079392806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1325663735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1849387183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1950840987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2117294317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316883769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2348272605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782941334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0790442643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818542892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867394808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1018985974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.333114909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3496102431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3616556096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3816372819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.408682539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0894270635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0897952426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0908044966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09320557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989343918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783987236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784590867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797590318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0827145102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0894759608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0896531868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0905260441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940181549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1004825168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1173767116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2270020475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2366974312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2553882038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2920872559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.333073971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1301618456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.148343531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.179779665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2127021519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3680990511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786497676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0790999007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0816690292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0863678926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1010677398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2072112829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2202566422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2425039644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2742312086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933786913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813622019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0893939614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1171801222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1305936606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1714115443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0694986522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801076656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981302613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1253346081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1682297494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6851759744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6240355118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5495906009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4883435775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2193622167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5842929221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.531664983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4668622683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4081472638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3441880861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690244679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2763380509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2914288497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3043651189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3334558156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2744744281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2837152697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3163615172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.364546599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3987756538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1068120161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1203255538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1450435551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1845432666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2285702179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1631387983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1755067368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2366383408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2230020767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3375103388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786305855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803080732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867189355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0999313845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.139325415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0695333633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915678092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0970620873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1066620172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1314231466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1009031047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1009168773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1015490545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1035143583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1082313239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788441294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0805351625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0853088095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940485184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.117035805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.089644096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0900534566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915599002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0948531943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1020450054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3397482657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3625570357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3950982239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1940114777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1774864835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3230407952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3399488812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3613404897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2221880052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2077381629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3326999756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2341310354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2195338782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2067089593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1903749514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3341012608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.361799036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079029476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4179457464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4598532775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3247515505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3497068634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2184098905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2024374038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1820383186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3271648298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3349137699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3521750985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3684944948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.393097318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BALL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3306146756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BALL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2320674804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BALL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2207621267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BALL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4073022866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BALL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1948694147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3210159509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3472021446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2122173015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1987946432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1738861545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3355314059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3574984202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2128480087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2007388809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4537634477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3051371354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3207471302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440256203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2305616775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3879683806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123359249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3363154014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2319661511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2229603427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2104854601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3287196749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2403409864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.224318399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3871658206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4224007297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3175555935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2460692118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2354376739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2283762778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2125536464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3368208249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2254562257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3957343877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4280153637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4697507041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3261152354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.341629122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3505206607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3643156121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3837834259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.334037749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3521148425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2197432343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3980713557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.427430344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3781902809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2125321382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1928639139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1781099057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4852897461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3269435301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.348686935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3747671146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.402912884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4352132936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3185406998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3364703264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2342769098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3743049786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2062903221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3223511753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2405888099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2222393734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2094089206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1891200244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3173918003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.334053518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3529914143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3698390571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3977393061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3280757475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3482899388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3684452152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3873050836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4187784048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138071501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3395981643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3662683496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3888234054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4208414195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3166051066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2524843658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3454134442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2340629901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.223790535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.326090186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3379121863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2373958257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2318331323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2258139295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.325474354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3457656264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3687304716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3947148083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4259696736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3063691947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3306442699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356469834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2208028402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.422132778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3231011645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.340305466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3592468186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2280960561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2219435762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.317717285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2444750211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2294766175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2145205388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1950352595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3414263519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2224815606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2006935255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1800850123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1555261315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HES","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226456939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HES","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3382052156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HES","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3564036676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HES","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3723421045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HES","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3974413665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220284121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3419177677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2317466354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3862750793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2037423275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3098516602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3225851488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2447088485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2335768247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2213720083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"JNPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.318772517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"JNPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3323107808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"JNPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2320809178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"JNPR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2191831779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"JNPR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2040039294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3111200927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3259512026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2424265046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3721321497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2148805883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3208548446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3392211922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3565176491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3751445574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4018239189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3422618059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.36778952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.209103371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.422683086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4612186668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3172058323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3394111893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3681682715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2076030298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4387385034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3189666238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3358493234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2312585865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2203402146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4062855065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3066355678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.321581099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2448076624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2322954501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3987464409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3401323492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2297649505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2116715349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1970244726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.178102383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3133257755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2629827834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653911868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2674904239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675226087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3287864219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3481240192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.223295843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2123135414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2046436737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3252973112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3433626636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2219266594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2052735907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1874313885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3261869171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3465764145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3718695837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3940568561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4250165024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3267535715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.342954609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3644661479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3881970088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4175147612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3398011738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2322843892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2190625619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.208348377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1953320924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3223528088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3424156562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3571295107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3745280728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.210977225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3218335431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3393240242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2340106907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2258107389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2162331822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3223840688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2520701851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2455424486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2389265028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2273096302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3379452456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3556160845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3746910044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3937899909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4243548728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3374742139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3596087541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2104046724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4180628066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4535851718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3313011575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2403024699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2294145612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2205062815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2113073999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312492364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3392337544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3698728598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3981499481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4377415288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3441457594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2267242862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2095266814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1972304717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4451582323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3287058596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2337086802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2102732923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1960319284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1722542559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3286197267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2418097688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3594789235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3707301708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3981941247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TRGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3333154962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TRGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3502609063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TRGP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3703495039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TRGP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3929643144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TRGP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1958307029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.321115939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3414972216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3664796183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3898211027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1931092312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3344750639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2279619636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2126200207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2003932156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1840778958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3142218775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3253135995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.338080137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2348699388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3735254002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3214299964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2416096618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2273217216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2125091156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4274994681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3264934904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3493794768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2188833056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2052308104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4414465403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"01346d2f460ef9641cbbfd76f83cd6c68f49ca5505adbd7b92226bba95c0acd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0489496187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"01346d2f460ef9641cbbfd76f83cd6c68f49ca5505adbd7b92226bba95c0acd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0495116184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"01346d2f460ef9641cbbfd76f83cd6c68f49ca5505adbd7b92226bba95c0acd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510616173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"01346d2f460ef9641cbbfd76f83cd6c68f49ca5505adbd7b92226bba95c0acd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053199616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"01346d2f460ef9641cbbfd76f83cd6c68f49ca5505adbd7b92226bba95c0acd9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0572256133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"04ef52919fbff0c898a66545abe81eb03f40128e63e348a09f662d1524035f59","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440560519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"04ef52919fbff0c898a66545abe81eb03f40128e63e348a09f662d1524035f59","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2492685285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"04ef52919fbff0c898a66545abe81eb03f40128e63e348a09f662d1524035f59","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3281278773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"04ef52919fbff0c898a66545abe81eb03f40128e63e348a09f662d1524035f59","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2699664351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"04ef52919fbff0c898a66545abe81eb03f40128e63e348a09f662d1524035f59","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3307388756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"06bf81855d0b29e01f018e03f1a7f5e7d14d7d4a874f2a644d360da8671f18eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3521774217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"06bf81855d0b29e01f018e03f1a7f5e7d14d7d4a874f2a644d360da8671f18eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3447534265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"06bf81855d0b29e01f018e03f1a7f5e7d14d7d4a874f2a644d360da8671f18eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2636574792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"06bf81855d0b29e01f018e03f1a7f5e7d14d7d4a874f2a644d360da8671f18eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.239285655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"06bf81855d0b29e01f018e03f1a7f5e7d14d7d4a874f2a644d360da8671f18eb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2919494608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2111532333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2170126295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2057947168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2372394564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2250105043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"0dd12a60709b51a48dc9ecfb7cbcfef768e7ba9e9c6003a20439531ac9691359","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2896373023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"0dd12a60709b51a48dc9ecfb7cbcfef768e7ba9e9c6003a20439531ac9691359","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3045244926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"0dd12a60709b51a48dc9ecfb7cbcfef768e7ba9e9c6003a20439531ac9691359","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2999174556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"0dd12a60709b51a48dc9ecfb7cbcfef768e7ba9e9c6003a20439531ac9691359","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2944534592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"0dd12a60709b51a48dc9ecfb7cbcfef768e7ba9e9c6003a20439531ac9691359","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.291725461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1678ff4d972c0e2681335a82169058b070b29e29d6f61603d2599df99658c6aa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566048137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1678ff4d972c0e2681335a82169058b070b29e29d6f61603d2599df99658c6aa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560108941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1678ff4d972c0e2681335a82169058b070b29e29d6f61603d2599df99658c6aa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573240533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1678ff4d972c0e2681335a82169058b070b29e29d6f61603d2599df99658c6aa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.057790173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1678ff4d972c0e2681335a82169058b070b29e29d6f61603d2599df99658c6aa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.057811813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1db71fd02cb758d7185a72907ddb21b70de676e5495c2ffe5ecaec5575cea1cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0466056202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1db71fd02cb758d7185a72907ddb21b70de676e5495c2ffe5ecaec5575cea1cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527696162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1db71fd02cb758d7185a72907ddb21b70de676e5495c2ffe5ecaec5575cea1cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0615576105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1db71fd02cb758d7185a72907ddb21b70de676e5495c2ffe5ecaec5575cea1cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0711056043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1db71fd02cb758d7185a72907ddb21b70de676e5495c2ffe5ecaec5575cea1cc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0845425956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0758786012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0764946008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797665987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0856385949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955385884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"289abed405f394cb2086add019b4ebbbf42e4b5eff27aa0736d2019941e4d87e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0926120303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"289abed405f394cb2086add019b4ebbbf42e4b5eff27aa0736d2019941e4d87e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103943023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"289abed405f394cb2086add019b4ebbbf42e4b5eff27aa0736d2019941e4d87e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6397879948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"289abed405f394cb2086add019b4ebbbf42e4b5eff27aa0736d2019941e4d87e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1381214008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"289abed405f394cb2086add019b4ebbbf42e4b5eff27aa0736d2019941e4d87e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.153137551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"291ffb284a54ae015ded44e3721c9a02a3cc401c44adb359bc158cb30b37883a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0453306611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"291ffb284a54ae015ded44e3721c9a02a3cc401c44adb359bc158cb30b37883a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.045431101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"291ffb284a54ae015ded44e3721c9a02a3cc401c44adb359bc158cb30b37883a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0456722208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"291ffb284a54ae015ded44e3721c9a02a3cc401c44adb359bc158cb30b37883a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0459616607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"291ffb284a54ae015ded44e3721c9a02a3cc401c44adb359bc158cb30b37883a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0465536603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2280350001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2666077751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748986497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2817605652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2821828449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2e9bf49fbd8cf69bb990cacdfd11a224aad78e42e2596dcaa07cc0e927ab9f60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650416083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2e9bf49fbd8cf69bb990cacdfd11a224aad78e42e2596dcaa07cc0e927ab9f60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662456075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2e9bf49fbd8cf69bb990cacdfd11a224aad78e42e2596dcaa07cc0e927ab9f60","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0699296051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2e9bf49fbd8cf69bb990cacdfd11a224aad78e42e2596dcaa07cc0e927ab9f60","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0764176009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2e9bf49fbd8cf69bb990cacdfd11a224aad78e42e2596dcaa07cc0e927ab9f60","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.085449595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0572056134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576016131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0591456121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0615146106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649276083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"32ecb5fbf7ab2c59696abf324eb8a90efc1ec8eac6d200a3381c2b3b5a8a3e25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0363336269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"32ecb5fbf7ab2c59696abf324eb8a90efc1ec8eac6d200a3381c2b3b5a8a3e25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0370136265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"32ecb5fbf7ab2c59696abf324eb8a90efc1ec8eac6d200a3381c2b3b5a8a3e25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0382136257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"32ecb5fbf7ab2c59696abf324eb8a90efc1ec8eac6d200a3381c2b3b5a8a3e25","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0398616246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"32ecb5fbf7ab2c59696abf324eb8a90efc1ec8eac6d200a3381c2b3b5a8a3e25","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0429596226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"34c7dd508c00dc86583a6e768ad4a7064663f6e9369dbc86be68408195bf3cbb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0601717714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"34c7dd508c00dc86583a6e768ad4a7064663f6e9369dbc86be68408195bf3cbb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620135702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"34c7dd508c00dc86583a6e768ad4a7064663f6e9369dbc86be68408195bf3cbb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663928474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"34c7dd508c00dc86583a6e768ad4a7064663f6e9369dbc86be68408195bf3cbb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0721166037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"34c7dd508c00dc86583a6e768ad4a7064663f6e9369dbc86be68408195bf3cbb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0799602386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"36ab4a290a05f75d8eb1e71171c9e8e0c6f5d8297be1c8866dfd38886e145a93","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567186937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"36ab4a290a05f75d8eb1e71171c9e8e0c6f5d8297be1c8866dfd38886e145a93","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555293744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"36ab4a290a05f75d8eb1e71171c9e8e0c6f5d8297be1c8866dfd38886e145a93","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568100136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"36ab4a290a05f75d8eb1e71171c9e8e0c6f5d8297be1c8866dfd38886e145a93","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0559676142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"36ab4a290a05f75d8eb1e71171c9e8e0c6f5d8297be1c8866dfd38886e145a93","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567772136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"47b122a15d33dccb5903da83e0bb13cc3cb06893b0cfe6419c6cca692285ce7d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1688755008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"47b122a15d33dccb5903da83e0bb13cc3cb06893b0cfe6419c6cca692285ce7d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1831082915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"47b122a15d33dccb5903da83e0bb13cc3cb06893b0cfe6419c6cca692285ce7d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1995448809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"47b122a15d33dccb5903da83e0bb13cc3cb06893b0cfe6419c6cca692285ce7d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2397424547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"47b122a15d33dccb5903da83e0bb13cc3cb06893b0cfe6419c6cca692285ce7d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1996925608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3350894328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3339654335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3715214491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3372934313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3339894335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1725136184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1542036303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.137761921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1233540104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1094866294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5182040bcc5023c539f2179cdbb79210af27d717f12924ea1de4f4d8469def46","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641732492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5182040bcc5023c539f2179cdbb79210af27d717f12924ea1de4f4d8469def46","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0640398593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5182040bcc5023c539f2179cdbb79210af27d717f12924ea1de4f4d8469def46","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638849306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5182040bcc5023c539f2179cdbb79210af27d717f12924ea1de4f4d8469def46","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652130198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5182040bcc5023c539f2179cdbb79210af27d717f12924ea1de4f4d8469def46","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0646167721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0399016246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0418816233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0455266209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0498866181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573857732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"61b3cdc53bca4d48c5fd124c3f8545264a0aa971f01eb39818b57c26b1cc1a39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525072564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"61b3cdc53bca4d48c5fd124c3f8545264a0aa971f01eb39818b57c26b1cc1a39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536914556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"61b3cdc53bca4d48c5fd124c3f8545264a0aa971f01eb39818b57c26b1cc1a39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565653738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"61b3cdc53bca4d48c5fd124c3f8545264a0aa971f01eb39818b57c26b1cc1a39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1006546251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"61b3cdc53bca4d48c5fd124c3f8545264a0aa971f01eb39818b57c26b1cc1a39","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0817712374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"6b6534d83caa2ab09073e8cf5621b00727e3e5fa2163fa164a5c8bf0120a6e45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1491973936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"6b6534d83caa2ab09073e8cf5621b00727e3e5fa2163fa164a5c8bf0120a6e45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1587129074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"6b6534d83caa2ab09073e8cf5621b00727e3e5fa2163fa164a5c8bf0120a6e45","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1715255791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"6b6534d83caa2ab09073e8cf5621b00727e3e5fa2163fa164a5c8bf0120a6e45","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1879992884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"6b6534d83caa2ab09073e8cf5621b00727e3e5fa2163fa164a5c8bf0120a6e45","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1581425078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0787815993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940089494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111634738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1308401255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1484133941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"72a1ee6ec5369a218ebd324247b811acef9e1f29eda329bd8b62d688ee8171dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543976152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"72a1ee6ec5369a218ebd324247b811acef9e1f29eda329bd8b62d688ee8171dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056249614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"72a1ee6ec5369a218ebd324247b811acef9e1f29eda329bd8b62d688ee8171dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603216113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"72a1ee6ec5369a218ebd324247b811acef9e1f29eda329bd8b62d688ee8171dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663776074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"72a1ee6ec5369a218ebd324247b811acef9e1f29eda329bd8b62d688ee8171dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0750216018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1602353064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.174710977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1964367629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2172858693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2342914583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0605176112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.06234961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656376079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0698696051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.076238601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8a25a2cb44d0e40e39c32a0b1358e9e9b81dbd8e28297a5ed67c1789d5f75867","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4298693223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8a25a2cb44d0e40e39c32a0b1358e9e9b81dbd8e28297a5ed67c1789d5f75867","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2105927181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8a25a2cb44d0e40e39c32a0b1358e9e9b81dbd8e28297a5ed67c1789d5f75867","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.230770745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8a25a2cb44d0e40e39c32a0b1358e9e9b81dbd8e28297a5ed67c1789d5f75867","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2542433698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8a25a2cb44d0e40e39c32a0b1358e9e9b81dbd8e28297a5ed67c1789d5f75867","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3010212594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0752776416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0655946479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662146475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668666471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681986462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"93aa2a0ea71cd9e300047c9bf899b60e5fdaf27d94d2e7a2a0df99bcfa308436","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663470074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"93aa2a0ea71cd9e300047c9bf899b60e5fdaf27d94d2e7a2a0df99bcfa308436","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0673710067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"93aa2a0ea71cd9e300047c9bf899b60e5fdaf27d94d2e7a2a0df99bcfa308436","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0691592856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"93aa2a0ea71cd9e300047c9bf899b60e5fdaf27d94d2e7a2a0df99bcfa308436","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0710876443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"93aa2a0ea71cd9e300047c9bf899b60e5fdaf27d94d2e7a2a0df99bcfa308436","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0741526023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989057063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0876817136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0765818408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0696340453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666909272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"97cedbe084f58bc06c3f359c95175c8ad2dc6b7f0f42c4f46f351cee04545b5f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0459466207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"97cedbe084f58bc06c3f359c95175c8ad2dc6b7f0f42c4f46f351cee04545b5f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0466226202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"97cedbe084f58bc06c3f359c95175c8ad2dc6b7f0f42c4f46f351cee04545b5f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0482875792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"97cedbe084f58bc06c3f359c95175c8ad2dc6b7f0f42c4f46f351cee04545b5f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503096178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"97cedbe084f58bc06c3f359c95175c8ad2dc6b7f0f42c4f46f351cee04545b5f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537986156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"99f588e6c99abd595cf5966b589ee96d47b79f60e1fe4a6854d2c202707fa254","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0750056018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"99f588e6c99abd595cf5966b589ee96d47b79f60e1fe4a6854d2c202707fa254","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0767616006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"99f588e6c99abd595cf5966b589ee96d47b79f60e1fe4a6854d2c202707fa254","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789775992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"99f588e6c99abd595cf5966b589ee96d47b79f60e1fe4a6854d2c202707fa254","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0830495966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"99f588e6c99abd595cf5966b589ee96d47b79f60e1fe4a6854d2c202707fa254","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895095924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a0d2baecd6388ca8f245a6513ac524fbd2bb7373b731507ca867f83dff32160f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0455605809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a0d2baecd6388ca8f245a6513ac524fbd2bb7373b731507ca867f83dff32160f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0441359018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a0d2baecd6388ca8f245a6513ac524fbd2bb7373b731507ca867f83dff32160f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0452741411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a0d2baecd6388ca8f245a6513ac524fbd2bb7373b731507ca867f83dff32160f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0453041811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a0d2baecd6388ca8f245a6513ac524fbd2bb7373b731507ca867f83dff32160f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0459497807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a2b7d2eef6052a544f0c41f8b37d78fdc2ef0142c75beaec35e470404ca66e45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658922577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a2b7d2eef6052a544f0c41f8b37d78fdc2ef0142c75beaec35e470404ca66e45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770623605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a2b7d2eef6052a544f0c41f8b37d78fdc2ef0142c75beaec35e470404ca66e45","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770522805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a2b7d2eef6052a544f0c41f8b37d78fdc2ef0142c75beaec35e470404ca66e45","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789661992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a2b7d2eef6052a544f0c41f8b37d78fdc2ef0142c75beaec35e470404ca66e45","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0807137581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0355576674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0356226674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0358786672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0363056669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0373866662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b489198fc9888524b4b01cdb8c998d7e789c3cc90cc055c12af051d14dec9f44","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528056562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b489198fc9888524b4b01cdb8c998d7e789c3cc90cc055c12af051d14dec9f44","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053177656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b489198fc9888524b4b01cdb8c998d7e789c3cc90cc055c12af051d14dec9f44","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549256548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b489198fc9888524b4b01cdb8c998d7e789c3cc90cc055c12af051d14dec9f44","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.057809653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b489198fc9888524b4b01cdb8c998d7e789c3cc90cc055c12af051d14dec9f44","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627986497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b645702d9ab82f363e85a7a5b29284b4f8c7c37605751c248de2368116deab0a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604618512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b645702d9ab82f363e85a7a5b29284b4f8c7c37605751c248de2368116deab0a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0644196087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b645702d9ab82f363e85a7a5b29284b4f8c7c37605751c248de2368116deab0a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678276065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b645702d9ab82f363e85a7a5b29284b4f8c7c37605751c248de2368116deab0a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0733565629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b645702d9ab82f363e85a7a5b29284b4f8c7c37605751c248de2368116deab0a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791341591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b6df1144753f09655180469ba0dbefbb2d85ed8dbbede072091e18e2a4892c9b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0409656239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b6df1144753f09655180469ba0dbefbb2d85ed8dbbede072091e18e2a4892c9b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0417896234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b6df1144753f09655180469ba0dbefbb2d85ed8dbbede072091e18e2a4892c9b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.043941622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b6df1144753f09655180469ba0dbefbb2d85ed8dbbede072091e18e2a4892c9b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0472776198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b6df1144753f09655180469ba0dbefbb2d85ed8dbbede072091e18e2a4892c9b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8536220958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"bd1840614a15c545c07afcd710445f23a31d995c45513709f17eab6295015796","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2614217306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"bd1840614a15c545c07afcd710445f23a31d995c45513709f17eab6295015796","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2991263461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"bd1840614a15c545c07afcd710445f23a31d995c45513709f17eab6295015796","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2825751969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"bd1840614a15c545c07afcd710445f23a31d995c45513709f17eab6295015796","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2828069967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"bd1840614a15c545c07afcd710445f23a31d995c45513709f17eab6295015796","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2778941999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c3a81dc8c2f068e7ca9dd3d25639ed1f2f373f98f657e1b416487a41e0d41b39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053083616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c3a81dc8c2f068e7ca9dd3d25639ed1f2f373f98f657e1b416487a41e0d41b39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0446546215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c3a81dc8c2f068e7ca9dd3d25639ed1f2f373f98f657e1b416487a41e0d41b39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0478876194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c3a81dc8c2f068e7ca9dd3d25639ed1f2f373f98f657e1b416487a41e0d41b39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0517386169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c3a81dc8c2f068e7ca9dd3d25639ed1f2f373f98f657e1b416487a41e0d41b39","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0575815731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c8d60c43bf2daee08cf23fbcf43bb1bca6d6ab9c78b1afa098980503d27c5a21","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0450406613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c8d60c43bf2daee08cf23fbcf43bb1bca6d6ab9c78b1afa098980503d27c5a21","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.045400101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c8d60c43bf2daee08cf23fbcf43bb1bca6d6ab9c78b1afa098980503d27c5a21","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0461336206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c8d60c43bf2daee08cf23fbcf43bb1bca6d6ab9c78b1afa098980503d27c5a21","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0470732199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c8d60c43bf2daee08cf23fbcf43bb1bca6d6ab9c78b1afa098980503d27c5a21","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0483916591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb29650b335fca5835a355588909fac8272a36c806b962d5e4b387fa79dc4531","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3230498006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb29650b335fca5835a355588909fac8272a36c806b962d5e4b387fa79dc4531","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.274681312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb29650b335fca5835a355588909fac8272a36c806b962d5e4b387fa79dc4531","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327364743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb29650b335fca5835a355588909fac8272a36c806b962d5e4b387fa79dc4531","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.263907719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb29650b335fca5835a355588909fac8272a36c806b962d5e4b387fa79dc4531","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.313173487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb932dbe1f047788e6c93dbf758ba668616058a1a8d51231540e0191317bc5e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1386291204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb932dbe1f047788e6c93dbf758ba668616058a1a8d51231540e0191317bc5e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1638093841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb932dbe1f047788e6c93dbf758ba668616058a1a8d51231540e0191317bc5e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1708242995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb932dbe1f047788e6c93dbf758ba668616058a1a8d51231540e0191317bc5e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2258375038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb932dbe1f047788e6c93dbf758ba668616058a1a8d51231540e0191317bc5e3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1899269671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0599896115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0606216111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631896095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0671376069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.073174603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d149d458a84b8af482a7f3192891cc49d422e10dd35cd8ee7eca63dbf654f973","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054701615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d149d458a84b8af482a7f3192891cc49d422e10dd35cd8ee7eca63dbf654f973","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.059245612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d149d458a84b8af482a7f3192891cc49d422e10dd35cd8ee7eca63dbf654f973","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658976077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d149d458a84b8af482a7f3192891cc49d422e10dd35cd8ee7eca63dbf654f973","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0735256027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d149d458a84b8af482a7f3192891cc49d422e10dd35cd8ee7eca63dbf654f973","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0846175955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1706786996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1678911814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1714042991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1849346904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2058493568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0826473568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975539471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1166902147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1202542124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1290505667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d39e95460bd2384aade687b3a48a43a25ebc2b40af32e909e16059ff217df3fb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0683736061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d39e95460bd2384aade687b3a48a43a25ebc2b40af32e909e16059ff217df3fb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0729176031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d39e95460bd2384aade687b3a48a43a25ebc2b40af32e909e16059ff217df3fb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0815695975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d39e95460bd2384aade687b3a48a43a25ebc2b40af32e909e16059ff217df3fb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0919135908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d39e95460bd2384aade687b3a48a43a25ebc2b40af32e909e16059ff217df3fb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1056615819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3005504152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2746312321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3258380788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3265703983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3395878699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d4b970811ce22f5d73dedc6e95ee9114d05c84d28295b1464e0bef8321b5fb5f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516816169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d4b970811ce22f5d73dedc6e95ee9114d05c84d28295b1464e0bef8321b5fb5f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054689615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d4b970811ce22f5d73dedc6e95ee9114d05c84d28295b1464e0bef8321b5fb5f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0571976134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d4b970811ce22f5d73dedc6e95ee9114d05c84d28295b1464e0bef8321b5fb5f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0605976112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d4b970811ce22f5d73dedc6e95ee9114d05c84d28295b1464e0bef8321b5fb5f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660936076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"dd94c666b5ce990c07314ec545df22d59b849ccf8cb47d5ea16a99c5370db7e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543896152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"dd94c666b5ce990c07314ec545df22d59b849ccf8cb47d5ea16a99c5370db7e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0582416127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"dd94c666b5ce990c07314ec545df22d59b849ccf8cb47d5ea16a99c5370db7e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650986082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"dd94c666b5ce990c07314ec545df22d59b849ccf8cb47d5ea16a99c5370db7e2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0735906027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"dd94c666b5ce990c07314ec545df22d59b849ccf8cb47d5ea16a99c5370db7e2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0843305957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e16aa58414ab685dcbf27d5676d53540a64c6885367888f37e33104c10830b4b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0569656135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e16aa58414ab685dcbf27d5676d53540a64c6885367888f37e33104c10830b4b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0580096128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e16aa58414ab685dcbf27d5676d53540a64c6885367888f37e33104c10830b4b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600336115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e16aa58414ab685dcbf27d5676d53540a64c6885367888f37e33104c10830b4b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0616456105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e16aa58414ab685dcbf27d5676d53540a64c6885367888f37e33104c10830b4b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650696082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e18b494129e21e38576f3660e4860f03204be6e21fe472ce8f819b0dddc65f7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0495376183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e18b494129e21e38576f3660e4860f03204be6e21fe472ce8f819b0dddc65f7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0523056165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e18b494129e21e38576f3660e4860f03204be6e21fe472ce8f819b0dddc65f7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566416137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e18b494129e21e38576f3660e4860f03204be6e21fe472ce8f819b0dddc65f7e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624656099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e18b494129e21e38576f3660e4860f03204be6e21fe472ce8f819b0dddc65f7e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704336048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e1c4f9a9452636eb6e31eedf81a584bdd7b12454aa527fe1c09a897a61e2aa12","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0348557483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e1c4f9a9452636eb6e31eedf81a584bdd7b12454aa527fe1c09a897a61e2aa12","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0349467494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e1c4f9a9452636eb6e31eedf81a584bdd7b12454aa527fe1c09a897a61e2aa12","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0350357514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e1c4f9a9452636eb6e31eedf81a584bdd7b12454aa527fe1c09a897a61e2aa12","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0352387576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e1c4f9a9452636eb6e31eedf81a584bdd7b12454aa527fe1c09a897a61e2aa12","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0358719072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e637425ec78336f6e8acd29b79225f27778c9c236b868d80390ab62a72a45ce1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534616158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e637425ec78336f6e8acd29b79225f27778c9c236b868d80390ab62a72a45ce1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573736132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e637425ec78336f6e8acd29b79225f27778c9c236b868d80390ab62a72a45ce1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645176086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e637425ec78336f6e8acd29b79225f27778c9c236b868d80390ab62a72a45ce1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0751416017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e637425ec78336f6e8acd29b79225f27778c9c236b868d80390ab62a72a45ce1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0894215924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e695043883121c76960bc3b860860e325016c2756d85e900d10438cb06953227","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0694856054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e695043883121c76960bc3b860860e325016c2756d85e900d10438cb06953227","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071645604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e695043883121c76960bc3b860860e325016c2756d85e900d10438cb06953227","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0748176019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e695043883121c76960bc3b860860e325016c2756d85e900d10438cb06953227","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784895995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e695043883121c76960bc3b860860e325016c2756d85e900d10438cb06953227","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.083907596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e79c1be1b29a98b535d7a6ff51d1bd13b47d52d48f227be80a1c010eaa831448","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3312854352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e79c1be1b29a98b535d7a6ff51d1bd13b47d52d48f227be80a1c010eaa831448","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3341814334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e79c1be1b29a98b535d7a6ff51d1bd13b47d52d48f227be80a1c010eaa831448","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2892334626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e79c1be1b29a98b535d7a6ff51d1bd13b47d52d48f227be80a1c010eaa831448","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3426414279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e79c1be1b29a98b535d7a6ff51d1bd13b47d52d48f227be80a1c010eaa831448","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3004134553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"eec5a3f4a5b21837462ec4a0655d61d9ba268f27fe67895815faf8106313fbcd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0390176252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"eec5a3f4a5b21837462ec4a0655d61d9ba268f27fe67895815faf8106313fbcd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0394386249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"eec5a3f4a5b21837462ec4a0655d61d9ba268f27fe67895815faf8106313fbcd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0404256243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"eec5a3f4a5b21837462ec4a0655d61d9ba268f27fe67895815faf8106313fbcd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0419696233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"eec5a3f4a5b21837462ec4a0655d61d9ba268f27fe67895815faf8106313fbcd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0448226214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0468136601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0482346592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0508536575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542626553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590256522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f65749ad3b8944a143570b2d6cd637d4403ca99adce244370d94fe0103513a25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3484854241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f65749ad3b8944a143570b2d6cd637d4403ca99adce244370d94fe0103513a25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879775034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f65749ad3b8944a143570b2d6cd637d4403ca99adce244370d94fe0103513a25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2997854557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f65749ad3b8944a143570b2d6cd637d4403ca99adce244370d94fe0103513a25","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3207894421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f65749ad3b8944a143570b2d6cd637d4403ca99adce244370d94fe0103513a25","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3211854418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f7989f0020b1bef6f2c996d436a026789ba7c39ed63e336e5f39efa8f78e3a0a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2138615116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f7989f0020b1bef6f2c996d436a026789ba7c39ed63e336e5f39efa8f78e3a0a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3629038547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f7989f0020b1bef6f2c996d436a026789ba7c39ed63e336e5f39efa8f78e3a0a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.365547173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f7989f0020b1bef6f2c996d436a026789ba7c39ed63e336e5f39efa8f78e3a0a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3502638629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f7989f0020b1bef6f2c996d436a026789ba7c39ed63e336e5f39efa8f78e3a0a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2412054938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"fc8cfdcf5a4ac34bdd7c926c9425a3763038eb1a7d20ab356d41e2be4e8f8176","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2473304898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"fc8cfdcf5a4ac34bdd7c926c9425a3763038eb1a7d20ab356d41e2be4e8f8176","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226352659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"fc8cfdcf5a4ac34bdd7c926c9425a3763038eb1a7d20ab356d41e2be4e8f8176","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2264386634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"fc8cfdcf5a4ac34bdd7c926c9425a3763038eb1a7d20ab356d41e2be4e8f8176","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2257103439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"fc8cfdcf5a4ac34bdd7c926c9425a3763038eb1a7d20ab356d41e2be4e8f8176","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2415693335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3576214181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1645102769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096242998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2912477975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3094734494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.376321406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1509453498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867225898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2979029812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3063374515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3692620939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1391979202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0792015991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2348084936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3279214374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3464193283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1664340283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.069231385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3711899562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3431374275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2421854931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1623619475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0849099796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.343704145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146534461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3910905782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1480766025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.058621971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3824890803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3517894219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3541630604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1533827276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0828456779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2742847768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3571079785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.342152766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1684519189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786586884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2735921337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3251014393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3699183216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1415005309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0746569151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.333480964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3321739259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3672738324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1429329781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0793866724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3367204044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3024816826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3559204153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1558627782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818839116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3637372105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3561828035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3720147787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1542347507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0946227777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3917664099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.317849444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4188053784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1295916053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602268437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4074879576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3575654182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3570396215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1678080233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.059195993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3839143903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3348494329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3469303269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1697352604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0751500396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3257400318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3196226028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4004518187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1233791907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0581184913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.221678581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.398438807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.401813742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1311978269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0846455955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2716876757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3494785531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4209510689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1080486222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4097905731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3602937415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3735694078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1412344301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0700370668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3714036661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3526654214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3780429022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1413998464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0719803028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2668615372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3157212871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3576622462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1245894956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0571651675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2403984341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.328255846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3817050533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1457176014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0756472325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2367351407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3502776937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.378222164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5718921467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602016114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2179864615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3549091771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4027373888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1302028203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609145718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.398482716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3677134116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.363728932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1405233831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0761065467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2825266713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169336085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3561602536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0899151745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4274644951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3475499496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3999484511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0588936123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2505463006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3543257442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2401694945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1381475306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649896483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2447640268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3202214424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2297980813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1227303246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636096092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2386706262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3515217694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3554736271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1439511691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0582889235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226372137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.310105449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3682137757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1602848094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0887450698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2616397926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3244901832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3864013994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1396199402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0574512596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2971824085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3355854325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3765797109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1435659938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666096072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2520132734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3191287216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4108274293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1234125273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0695096054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1863441766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3873038536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2123833355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1167695746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0694776054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1983695216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2433770886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4084048597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1367439241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677736065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2298507664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3905573967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3626893022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1474613945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0760016011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2046695175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2652768066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2856054649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.307005451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3589174173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2810054679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2802694684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.310177449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3430614276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4091933846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3210414419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3403654293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3180148484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3088574498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3335974337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2973974573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3651174133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3619075222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4625453499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6670492171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3153454456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3625414149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2986593573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3247148294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3796985863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3316220722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3491376306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.334769581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3758574063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4652053482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2979934569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3244866734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2201669538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1134215768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0667896071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1848695304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2201254597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.24210023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4715773441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976455871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3802789096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3370814315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4773940222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2694765782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3686702682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4730854776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1492128658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4649856323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3849487642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2969738751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4409537816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2182219263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3590938348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2808060032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3098385609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3503512337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.39173178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4402491783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2770797338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3039157783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3337823111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3654738495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4055113362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717916533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3020034816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3356201292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3766275935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4213109756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2934989363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152103976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.345682603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3731195537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4136209777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2862676092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3151416178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3476327401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3801907436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4176792303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2323256801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2135509963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1925985665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1755048289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1565579282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933600426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3216263306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3574754173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3963811684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4385235764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2684004665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2969596892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3286253568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3621882516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3991292486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.281361358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3043123543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3359110077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3623835559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.398978431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3086000879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3302267541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3557865537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3866162264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4245810285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.301260008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3326631148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.365140616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4046460799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.440917133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2822818173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3090157539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3410837371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3740281568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4079986416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2331643453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2179372578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2057286195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1949543931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.446379231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3608858937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3217778692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2909411341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2597475766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3999775897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4158718065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1804488817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1660405202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1565777768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1418157469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1070657301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895393072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797455925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2553836666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2420091876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3707441393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2207213154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2152316941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2952785555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3277190176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3660671338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4038910577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4378352037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2515874215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2400995357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2333971027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3606701735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2301555305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2932859912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2684840295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3230365114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2501700176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3512039271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2984245977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2948800166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3187100725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3439676889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3755310504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2651525209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2970705831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2830122057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.271153512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2615832088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2667305037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25559189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2490801502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2482377755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2465599535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220885523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2433971908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.35739102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3785122305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4005354944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916170571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.261723166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3479298908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3824476196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4231666979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3170603852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.238072529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2228844188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3958594742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1968665607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3061535225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2476767169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2276424133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3874535556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.412868584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717078322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2508968181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2263032824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3889300994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4197037422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902640614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3088623036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3409411266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3889332552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4167895192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.339903116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2127806056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1914972996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1714468893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1522968219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1713502665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1503281579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1355050412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1244787481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.121240819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3210321826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2479371843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.228546442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.405184778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4466976125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2740546839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2525522708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2355500011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3923208469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4203116903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2045008752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2375962405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2839787497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3353938291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3956338029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2525970468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2981006286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3410958617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3899945738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4286210637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2787465557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3044638127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276601295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2543463267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.264377278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2950175533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3258293526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2431586585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1544361861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.173938231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2005814844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2288359105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2674691172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3913673098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4050549129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4152083889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.430202918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4483860605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3267621368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3519098183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2167664417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1939927382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1714545551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2810176364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3326327277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3533372536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3717853834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3989985591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3455530271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2159636973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1949925298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1794514998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1631431089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3947141027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2569262954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2937181141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2598539342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2192762704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3448425387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2817237284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3090806217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3383098713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3650866096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3034284069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3425622831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3821891769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4202335157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4625363762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2905028105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120398029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3381441876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3703399585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3037227834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3075639955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2883307348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2942979955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3325985557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2328062513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2330451147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3881638247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4034200185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3315836958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3215148194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3576642708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.384429675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4219949717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3870724562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618025442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2881969742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3154532858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3087208196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2308701022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2744991918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3272126845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3769058005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1972595006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3050803454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2857049548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2692566286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2604368413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2523722563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2467987883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2774714395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3125547361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3481889399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2250750008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1831084203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1615190961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1462849903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1353776078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.126485751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2850427318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2950672357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3099250257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3240118608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3411209902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562319782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2680129113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2840308333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3009959026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3259378937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2150974992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2033456402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4344896444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1759246664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1624166378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753999845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.246157341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2235506959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.396227059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4194419668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.271333367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.288683844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3009501406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2958832008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2919212074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2695885391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816400259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3061457033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2991353451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891390782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3595739459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3831122428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4091019677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4366402791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4708060396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3636486376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3583721598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2604812626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3618751135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3719089295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1011216648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022507841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061547415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1143945762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1367175617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821146372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0832697564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0877579535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0953465886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1137495766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2264055034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2251415042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2300015011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2412678483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.264081673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1890735277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1980655218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2122215126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2308015005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2527095312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818136074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0828296367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087045954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955401484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1191945731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2056695169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2205975072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2459854907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2710054744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3013254547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0810176879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0817737174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0845940356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0910371914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1112069383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2663094775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2769974705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2988014564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3202254424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3535343622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1019655843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1098775791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1263295684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1458935557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1861455296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913176312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0924657504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968385876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1055855819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1291615666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0712177642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0720538837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0755558014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0829017967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1015275846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1012346363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.101806668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045510022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1099134591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1264915683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0910216714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0921257907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956619884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1037306231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.12387857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912217512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0920019907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960630281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1032987834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1163987349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0743656022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797375987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0919055908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1125535774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1578855479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1018135844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050975822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1119855778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1247335695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535695507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914256411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0928066702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096173908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1020512242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1168401346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1012455947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1025136239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1076619406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1183761336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1443625567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1316370502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5657818136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1681115963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.455082277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3912576422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0997295857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106095787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1195335729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1316935649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1520695517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913146012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0930035901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975899471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1056971418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1282185672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0910266714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0918119109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0952885886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027985837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1213135717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1065695813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1166975747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1385495605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1663225424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2083895551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.210105514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2204215073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2319694998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.248622293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2773105443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0936465935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1192429765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5245450436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4530184664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3752851749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1009297849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1017909844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048586224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111549578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1266975682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821816071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.083977636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0886699529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097748147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1189105733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1010337049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1017068244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047143025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1110772183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1274618877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1702695399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1790735342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1970015225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2130232073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2088027624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911256013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0925586304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968945876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058495817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.128561567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.236189497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2420574932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2538014856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2698118538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3066182131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913146312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0927336303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983176266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1111616183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.147074555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"91e191b62004ae99aeefa0037c2e5412ac308a9ef2aaa6f6bb7e6b4095567f5e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1017296344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"91e191b62004ae99aeefa0037c2e5412ac308a9ef2aaa6f6bb7e6b4095567f5e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102313664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"91e191b62004ae99aeefa0037c2e5412ac308a9ef2aaa6f6bb7e6b4095567f5e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061939815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"91e191b62004ae99aeefa0037c2e5412ac308a9ef2aaa6f6bb7e6b4095567f5e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1123161775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"91e191b62004ae99aeefa0037c2e5412ac308a9ef2aaa6f6bb7e6b4095567f5e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1259707287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1139055765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1260735686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1456215559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1707175396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2123695125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1137025766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1166175747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1249225693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1409545589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1819815323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1514945228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1775775351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1986655214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2251695042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2633694794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.081422598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0823145986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0861146346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0934875898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111621578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2514054872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.264005479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2813407012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3342174333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3598259527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913176812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914948311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939509095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987835863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1071625809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1173215843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1151096157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1156587354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1202459324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1356121224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1940735244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2057775168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2213775067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2396454948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2666073746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1019266243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103873623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1077616205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1144417362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1297225662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1317255649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.119344598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5497058309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4948693289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3849132926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.081521638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834556063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0881296333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097738587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1232455704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1980055219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2187575084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2403974943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2527374863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2673806282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2034815183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2089935147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2119815128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2227175058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2410714833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1213216117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1219417313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1242305698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1294055664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427855577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2351854977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2587614824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2919854608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330125436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.387143361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841854659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3010374549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327299667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3815694026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4214483975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.254645525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586024825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2693614755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2935226382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3351295158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.06240561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071661604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094741589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1171935744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1653695431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2212735067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2301975009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2476414896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644894213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924901961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2445934916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2476174896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.254785485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2679318641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895127665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0920146307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0933496299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988297463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079299404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1309385654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0820146472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0845377956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091530951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057881418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1407065591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.323486839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2329740496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2168172423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2008906607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1843622632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2561659263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2373788228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3651040269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2086596555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1863786923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3463151466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2152822823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.407891737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4422254137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4787104561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3254912339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2307125383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.209969818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1936730342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1746961325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3077804476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2513221875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2360035991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2229061631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1920500938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2503308479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2381860584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2304191197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3697015245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2090564008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2474754366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2326061693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2195074841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2127565509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1976823161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2502633273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2355932026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2276660811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2185840582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2091262068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3451896299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2153407541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1977361469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1806617211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1615107776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2552689906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2616850529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683277107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2730263541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2779388643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.269099036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3272310148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2271500348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.384109315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4249340633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2517277833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2288252133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2104343526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4175685852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.177283195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3358408762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3601565751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3881004814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.411454363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4464510562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2541472639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2413636938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2275644541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2161778209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2019815656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2558027923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2455526653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2375849657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365815124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2290504837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2494279975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2329515428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2201491103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2066867194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1867060497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3263934207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3400583256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3569891263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2152083979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1998422956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2565201722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2431381421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2321641782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2199357381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2067113478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2582549278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3269757431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2380688803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3626846416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3879006255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3096519862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2392772666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2224656443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3920398448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1918230018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.318316318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2392369295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2210533249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3974147445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1872920841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2502331699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3326326976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3435302003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3620626401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2183117999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2471360392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2351261585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2221585588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3885496166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2025098973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.315780259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.247777487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2352137797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2249897359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2122947825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2419530133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2257198886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2099167176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1964456331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1802201383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2511539013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2409407261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3597448002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2186368412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2080823227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2501010755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365937517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3599673972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3784884666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.40489374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2567816697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2408440851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2289305295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2175324981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1997454536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3270040377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3480504625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2185246983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2073697327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1925567294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3217113929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.341999425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3669945258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3916897953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4319008074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3470316726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2201434088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2018953026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.190048341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1806256565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2565520596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2405156887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2312206805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2250039512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2118325123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2529991526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2280867205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2060426537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1851929282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1671654743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2565612176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2389651216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2236229761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2110927509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1920682748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ICE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.241923611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ICE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2241858816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ICE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.205482026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ICE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.189360877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ICE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1731873888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2535064806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3378542965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3601675173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3847778523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4190581442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627800194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.249532739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.234257506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2242622544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2076865303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276509639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2309774928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2131400725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2018216924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1862913423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2524437239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3382508075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3615934445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3877731522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4183770428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2469306098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3454102961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3670261602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.389748503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.192535005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"LDOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3255302218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"LDOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2299632772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"LDOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.212467177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"LDOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1984753579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"LDOS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1856799696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3224795985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2354352113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2169580853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2008886431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1826104824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2495781462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2405961276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2303537315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.225761425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.216326179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3243709444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2351372245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2167067695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2028832908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1871094498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229332783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2323393463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2165932502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2019555603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1848825926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2507911038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2388132024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2312978568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2258881009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.219204868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2530956458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2385419265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2264423471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.216756376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.202828165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2459501505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2246399582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.206458836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1897998537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1686918192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2502030601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2361630812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2248734828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2131656643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2021029625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3185233685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2364934171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2162698104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2072718626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1860188911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3281006758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2379333574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2291914124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2212134028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2122055781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2566060182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2385883004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2215732258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2025641714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1856451794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2512937162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2411019105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.229379606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2189793971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2016241813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2429231615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2322927937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2244155524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.21740013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2087411812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2463147584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3528984976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3767905216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4065322345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4413326196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2514745285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.238766711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2246325155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.390565977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4257871477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3185763604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2403940932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2247240878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.21287515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2013596083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2880878484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2812484005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2726246365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2654007108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2596061346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2606942892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2384353346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2175444675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1975387378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1747636745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.254909553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2402369972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2252513349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2147243178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.419507394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3212508674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3328012149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3492484018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3668285899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3943060137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3281833652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.230561423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2175381728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4019085072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4390531834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0b91490dc38bdc5b6fcaef9cc8084bb101f50bef357b89adbe23098955649b2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0706391737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0b91490dc38bdc5b6fcaef9cc8084bb101f50bef357b89adbe23098955649b2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0740029323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0b91490dc38bdc5b6fcaef9cc8084bb101f50bef357b89adbe23098955649b2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0796013116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0b91490dc38bdc5b6fcaef9cc8084bb101f50bef357b89adbe23098955649b2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0865482771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0b91490dc38bdc5b6fcaef9cc8084bb101f50bef357b89adbe23098955649b2f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956874151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0bad119606d7890329c6982b23f86f826b845f4015b3064ce8c021b684475a39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637032426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0bad119606d7890329c6982b23f86f826b845f4015b3064ce8c021b684475a39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064965553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0bad119606d7890329c6982b23f86f826b845f4015b3064ce8c021b684475a39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676560013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0bad119606d7890329c6982b23f86f826b845f4015b3064ce8c021b684475a39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0709058978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0bad119606d7890329c6982b23f86f826b845f4015b3064ce8c021b684475a39","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0751787599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"141c201122df7e14cf2ddb48607ce290b0d3e8dca7d5852b19ed0f167ad56178","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600733116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"141c201122df7e14cf2ddb48607ce290b0d3e8dca7d5852b19ed0f167ad56178","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624781392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"141c201122df7e14cf2ddb48607ce290b0d3e8dca7d5852b19ed0f167ad56178","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663582771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"141c201122df7e14cf2ddb48607ce290b0d3e8dca7d5852b19ed0f167ad56178","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070944622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"141c201122df7e14cf2ddb48607ce290b0d3e8dca7d5852b19ed0f167ad56178","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0772267599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1c13719ba23f46950f7871d662127e0b573edeb6e830e73ab71c7a50da880dbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0727537947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1c13719ba23f46950f7871d662127e0b573edeb6e830e73ab71c7a50da880dbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0748249326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1c13719ba23f46950f7871d662127e0b573edeb6e830e73ab71c7a50da880dbf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784119326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1c13719ba23f46950f7871d662127e0b573edeb6e830e73ab71c7a50da880dbf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0832145189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1c13719ba23f46950f7871d662127e0b573edeb6e830e73ab71c7a50da880dbf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7639710025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1e4b09b761a4a5184ec8781031add2f084f2acfbcbdfaef7c7673988af48e959","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543012771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1e4b09b761a4a5184ec8781031add2f084f2acfbcbdfaef7c7673988af48e959","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566007944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1e4b09b761a4a5184ec8781031add2f084f2acfbcbdfaef7c7673988af48e959","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618638288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1e4b09b761a4a5184ec8781031add2f084f2acfbcbdfaef7c7673988af48e959","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0686064495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1e4b09b761a4a5184ec8781031add2f084f2acfbcbdfaef7c7673988af48e959","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078105484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"21982fcca1cc5db737404b185cbbd6143ffca6c69cd072914ab04d4274f8908e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613029323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"21982fcca1cc5db737404b185cbbd6143ffca6c69cd072914ab04d4274f8908e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066124484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"21982fcca1cc5db737404b185cbbd6143ffca6c69cd072914ab04d4274f8908e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.789206381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"21982fcca1cc5db737404b185cbbd6143ffca6c69cd072914ab04d4274f8908e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0853313806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"21982fcca1cc5db737404b185cbbd6143ffca6c69cd072914ab04d4274f8908e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027305185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2780fd8e8824fafeeb8bed36c955fad96f9f38cb69ec0df94b1330613b547a2e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0599142771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2780fd8e8824fafeeb8bed36c955fad96f9f38cb69ec0df94b1330613b547a2e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636744495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2780fd8e8824fafeeb8bed36c955fad96f9f38cb69ec0df94b1330613b547a2e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.068788484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2780fd8e8824fafeeb8bed36c955fad96f9f38cb69ec0df94b1330613b547a2e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0764389323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2780fd8e8824fafeeb8bed36c955fad96f9f38cb69ec0df94b1330613b547a2e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0859003461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2815a94cd2c6ccc2950c00b5edff981500bb090d99485029205b8df0fb5b68e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3435581049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2815a94cd2c6ccc2950c00b5edff981500bb090d99485029205b8df0fb5b68e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3449305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2815a94cd2c6ccc2950c00b5edff981500bb090d99485029205b8df0fb5b68e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3559167256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2815a94cd2c6ccc2950c00b5edff981500bb090d99485029205b8df0fb5b68e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3071822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2815a94cd2c6ccc2950c00b5edff981500bb090d99485029205b8df0fb5b68e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3164408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052739593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527590013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538848978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543881392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0569207944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2f25fb2ff990d10a07f8729c29755b25ad1dec1b9fdbbfb33b3f8af30b50af9c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4154201739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2f25fb2ff990d10a07f8729c29755b25ad1dec1b9fdbbfb33b3f8af30b50af9c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2360925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2f25fb2ff990d10a07f8729c29755b25ad1dec1b9fdbbfb33b3f8af30b50af9c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2489443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2f25fb2ff990d10a07f8729c29755b25ad1dec1b9fdbbfb33b3f8af30b50af9c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2626236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2f25fb2ff990d10a07f8729c29755b25ad1dec1b9fdbbfb33b3f8af30b50af9c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3666615532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"30852037dde9d127bc0c0c6a9230fef1321d7fb2ce22bed487693e22a8bad51e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0629808978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"30852037dde9d127bc0c0c6a9230fef1321d7fb2ce22bed487693e22a8bad51e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637751047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"30852037dde9d127bc0c0c6a9230fef1321d7fb2ce22bed487693e22a8bad51e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665058978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"30852037dde9d127bc0c0c6a9230fef1321d7fb2ce22bed487693e22a8bad51e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678559323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"30852037dde9d127bc0c0c6a9230fef1321d7fb2ce22bed487693e22a8bad51e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0722213116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"3383dfd82875c789d329ad5369d6ddbfd782912d15286cc9e68bd94e67bce862","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551306219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"3383dfd82875c789d329ad5369d6ddbfd782912d15286cc9e68bd94e67bce862","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553307254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"3383dfd82875c789d329ad5369d6ddbfd782912d15286cc9e68bd94e67bce862","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0592727254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"3383dfd82875c789d329ad5369d6ddbfd782912d15286cc9e68bd94e67bce862","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0653535185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"3383dfd82875c789d329ad5369d6ddbfd782912d15286cc9e68bd94e67bce862","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0750578978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"38572a61e1ba56cb16578f043b4a474bfe30fbcf9bdaa26c12a59f719629a7e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652408633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"38572a61e1ba56cb16578f043b4a474bfe30fbcf9bdaa26c12a59f719629a7e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0763443116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"38572a61e1ba56cb16578f043b4a474bfe30fbcf9bdaa26c12a59f719629a7e6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0920512082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"38572a61e1ba56cb16578f043b4a474bfe30fbcf9bdaa26c12a59f719629a7e6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050925875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"38572a61e1ba56cb16578f043b4a474bfe30fbcf9bdaa26c12a59f719629a7e6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1249891392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.299871898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2958339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.297409829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2982650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3240960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0454556568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.045898175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0468872168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0482229323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503378288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0863477599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0929106909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1053339668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1186925875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1199727599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"444da803de93756d4b54f49ae7ffafd2aa66eb112576a140dbbbd9f5f641cb40","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0524290357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"444da803de93756d4b54f49ae7ffafd2aa66eb112576a140dbbbd9f5f641cb40","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526187944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"444da803de93756d4b54f49ae7ffafd2aa66eb112576a140dbbbd9f5f641cb40","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532437599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"444da803de93756d4b54f49ae7ffafd2aa66eb112576a140dbbbd9f5f641cb40","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538871047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"444da803de93756d4b54f49ae7ffafd2aa66eb112576a140dbbbd9f5f641cb40","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551413806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"4fa969ae82cfb55a82a74cd8216328b5282322a72ba2bb821c22e10fd0aa8650","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038685875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"4fa969ae82cfb55a82a74cd8216328b5282322a72ba2bb821c22e10fd0aa8650","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1018546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"4fa969ae82cfb55a82a74cd8216328b5282322a72ba2bb821c22e10fd0aa8650","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1064029323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"4fa969ae82cfb55a82a74cd8216328b5282322a72ba2bb821c22e10fd0aa8650","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1110753461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"4fa969ae82cfb55a82a74cd8216328b5282322a72ba2bb821c22e10fd0aa8650","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1257650013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094399553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0850683806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0862658633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0883305185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0928555185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"52d12ff46535191cc31053e70d088d519103190834e0074d034c834d2142466d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595279754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"52d12ff46535191cc31053e70d088d519103190834e0074d034c834d2142466d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0619390702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"52d12ff46535191cc31053e70d088d519103190834e0074d034c834d2142466d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0657832426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"52d12ff46535191cc31053e70d088d519103190834e0074d034c834d2142466d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0700187599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"52d12ff46535191cc31053e70d088d519103190834e0074d034c834d2142466d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783141392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"5667d1d7a4170b2ae7efd79b166b4eb95d63a1991db9ce52406ce6ea7a74f845","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567962426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"5667d1d7a4170b2ae7efd79b166b4eb95d63a1991db9ce52406ce6ea7a74f845","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590665271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"5667d1d7a4170b2ae7efd79b166b4eb95d63a1991db9ce52406ce6ea7a74f845","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627360357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"5667d1d7a4170b2ae7efd79b166b4eb95d63a1991db9ce52406ce6ea7a74f845","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0671920357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"5667d1d7a4170b2ae7efd79b166b4eb95d63a1991db9ce52406ce6ea7a74f845","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0730094151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6041ad121df11c802df748a652f7b6fc6b41c0c124abc15075465ae8debda146","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0878731047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6041ad121df11c802df748a652f7b6fc6b41c0c124abc15075465ae8debda146","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0793362771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6041ad121df11c802df748a652f7b6fc6b41c0c124abc15075465ae8debda146","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0739561047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6041ad121df11c802df748a652f7b6fc6b41c0c124abc15075465ae8debda146","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0736401392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6041ad121df11c802df748a652f7b6fc6b41c0c124abc15075465ae8debda146","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783493116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576459409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573010578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0581515271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600021133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0634508978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6ba13517dcb7ae71be29436bf40e975ab88ac8ded291358f85b162dedb0d98d7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546656219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6ba13517dcb7ae71be29436bf40e975ab88ac8ded291358f85b162dedb0d98d7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556453461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6ba13517dcb7ae71be29436bf40e975ab88ac8ded291358f85b162dedb0d98d7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8883362087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6ba13517dcb7ae71be29436bf40e975ab88ac8ded291358f85b162dedb0d98d7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.864632519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6ba13517dcb7ae71be29436bf40e975ab88ac8ded291358f85b162dedb0d98d7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666900013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7136deef44e4876117dc7f7bcc724765fbeb120c47fc4dd3b7710059c304e9dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0670240099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7136deef44e4876117dc7f7bcc724765fbeb120c47fc4dd3b7710059c304e9dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624933547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7136deef44e4876117dc7f7bcc724765fbeb120c47fc4dd3b7710059c304e9dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.059118803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7136deef44e4876117dc7f7bcc724765fbeb120c47fc4dd3b7710059c304e9dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567011478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7136deef44e4876117dc7f7bcc724765fbeb120c47fc4dd3b7710059c304e9dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556751823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0467961399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473376241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0494868333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527242513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.057742613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"831f7bd0d58fcdc6f4b917f43b1065794f0743609baf0f04716bc862d496a415","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627877254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"831f7bd0d58fcdc6f4b917f43b1065794f0743609baf0f04716bc862d496a415","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632563461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"831f7bd0d58fcdc6f4b917f43b1065794f0743609baf0f04716bc862d496a415","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641772771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"831f7bd0d58fcdc6f4b917f43b1065794f0743609baf0f04716bc862d496a415","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651361392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"831f7bd0d58fcdc6f4b917f43b1065794f0743609baf0f04716bc862d496a415","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668109668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"88900c75a92d2261c172c97391a85adfe65ca38664d1c91e09956eb459d899dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0814753461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"88900c75a92d2261c172c97391a85adfe65ca38664d1c91e09956eb459d899dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"88900c75a92d2261c172c97391a85adfe65ca38664d1c91e09956eb459d899dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057856909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"88900c75a92d2261c172c97391a85adfe65ca38664d1c91e09956eb459d899dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1211512082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"88900c75a92d2261c172c97391a85adfe65ca38664d1c91e09956eb459d899dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1428925875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"8ab1e9f1ba8379b3f7c1916316a7e410f285c7761e2fdebdc28c05674e484e9c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4158891394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"8ab1e9f1ba8379b3f7c1916316a7e410f285c7761e2fdebdc28c05674e484e9c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4124753463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"8ab1e9f1ba8379b3f7c1916316a7e410f285c7761e2fdebdc28c05674e484e9c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4054512084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"8ab1e9f1ba8379b3f7c1916316a7e410f285c7761e2fdebdc28c05674e484e9c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2397029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"8ab1e9f1ba8379b3f7c1916316a7e410f285c7761e2fdebdc28c05674e484e9c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2282650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a443fb4ea2879aea67ce7de62be2127f7863db520ffe40b4bdb941e6d46a96e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0735270702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a443fb4ea2879aea67ce7de62be2127f7863db520ffe40b4bdb941e6d46a96e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7375856913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a443fb4ea2879aea67ce7de62be2127f7863db520ffe40b4bdb941e6d46a96e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0892167254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a443fb4ea2879aea67ce7de62be2127f7863db520ffe40b4bdb941e6d46a96e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1000822427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a443fb4ea2879aea67ce7de62be2127f7863db520ffe40b4bdb941e6d46a96e4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1148753461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551558288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0561228633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0588406909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062437484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0673495875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a5f7d9636dc46332fd716b067f480d107d08185680c24fceeeb7ac376dcb11ec","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0433074378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a5f7d9636dc46332fd716b067f480d107d08185680c24fceeeb7ac376dcb11ec","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0433246995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a5f7d9636dc46332fd716b067f480d107d08185680c24fceeeb7ac376dcb11ec","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0433802599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a5f7d9636dc46332fd716b067f480d107d08185680c24fceeeb7ac376dcb11ec","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435081823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a5f7d9636dc46332fd716b067f480d107d08185680c24fceeeb7ac376dcb11ec","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0437148375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624764154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0634180733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0680111737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.074262622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0832206909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ac331aa22943f476fa00b24217a37b140046927564e329b03f2da1e65e3a141f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0690280793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ac331aa22943f476fa00b24217a37b140046927564e329b03f2da1e65e3a141f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0693661148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ac331aa22943f476fa00b24217a37b140046927564e329b03f2da1e65e3a141f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0699111479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ac331aa22943f476fa00b24217a37b140046927564e329b03f2da1e65e3a141f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0707566565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ac331aa22943f476fa00b24217a37b140046927564e329b03f2da1e65e3a141f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0721622773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b23ebe3ac41a1db83fbc4bf7cb8be2a5793af2248a5af94873c932d54549800d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0501305188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b23ebe3ac41a1db83fbc4bf7cb8be2a5793af2248a5af94873c932d54549800d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531658647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b23ebe3ac41a1db83fbc4bf7cb8be2a5793af2248a5af94873c932d54549800d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576589754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b23ebe3ac41a1db83fbc4bf7cb8be2a5793af2248a5af94873c932d54549800d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633245185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b23ebe3ac41a1db83fbc4bf7cb8be2a5793af2248a5af94873c932d54549800d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0713694495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3751615532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2334132772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2389305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3825167256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3707029325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b4746cfe25d3d473b6fa397045743b6803afb77914c7f733beefca082cc50e0d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0441875533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b4746cfe25d3d473b6fa397045743b6803afb77914c7f733beefca082cc50e0d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0458887957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b4746cfe25d3d473b6fa397045743b6803afb77914c7f733beefca082cc50e0d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0483554926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b4746cfe25d3d473b6fa397045743b6803afb77914c7f733beefca082cc50e0d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0523389323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b4746cfe25d3d473b6fa397045743b6803afb77914c7f733beefca082cc50e0d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0570776219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.199548622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4591451739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4423787946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4266546566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2373891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2693663893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3450629411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3370043204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3324663894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2986629411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c1c621382bb3454268fdff59c61a9acb0599aa87bbb1ccd2edefb3a02c0f1690","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5595236222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c1c621382bb3454268fdff59c61a9acb0599aa87bbb1ccd2edefb3a02c0f1690","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1457684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c1c621382bb3454268fdff59c61a9acb0599aa87bbb1ccd2edefb3a02c0f1690","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1552960358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c1c621382bb3454268fdff59c61a9acb0599aa87bbb1ccd2edefb3a02c0f1690","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1687201737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c1c621382bb3454268fdff59c61a9acb0599aa87bbb1ccd2edefb3a02c0f1690","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1682925875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c2c447e34d901f61aaeba8112969ae66147a42885b87f798534c22f54f91f6a9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.045560803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c2c447e34d901f61aaeba8112969ae66147a42885b87f798534c22f54f91f6a9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0461262857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c2c447e34d901f61aaeba8112969ae66147a42885b87f798534c22f54f91f6a9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473043892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c2c447e34d901f61aaeba8112969ae66147a42885b87f798534c22f54f91f6a9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0490030788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c2c447e34d901f61aaeba8112969ae66147a42885b87f798534c22f54f91f6a9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051565665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c5acc7371ebd008b20a2d64230ba58ab9cdebc1395a5eb9c5e2aadd3f4ac646f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650280016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c5acc7371ebd008b20a2d64230ba58ab9cdebc1395a5eb9c5e2aadd3f4ac646f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0619065544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c5acc7371ebd008b20a2d64230ba58ab9cdebc1395a5eb9c5e2aadd3f4ac646f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0616449064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c5acc7371ebd008b20a2d64230ba58ab9cdebc1395a5eb9c5e2aadd3f4ac646f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062790553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c5acc7371ebd008b20a2d64230ba58ab9cdebc1395a5eb9c5e2aadd3f4ac646f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662759668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0579840013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.059131415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614854495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662979323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.073811553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c999d83feefec6fc54c864168dac5c68171ad939033f345836502b2089413ed7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3474787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c999d83feefec6fc54c864168dac5c68171ad939033f345836502b2089413ed7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2740994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c999d83feefec6fc54c864168dac5c68171ad939033f345836502b2089413ed7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3243581049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c999d83feefec6fc54c864168dac5c68171ad939033f345836502b2089413ed7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3095167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c999d83feefec6fc54c864168dac5c68171ad939033f345836502b2089413ed7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3211443118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531453295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618109761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625629771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0626702892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0640989509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0635522513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0646980357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668284151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0696453116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0735223806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d624c97fc49aa38ea304558cb0d1e84d38c6f7e8b3ddb3bdcd65adefd6945fbd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0721246564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d624c97fc49aa38ea304558cb0d1e84d38c6f7e8b3ddb3bdcd65adefd6945fbd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0742838289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d624c97fc49aa38ea304558cb0d1e84d38c6f7e8b3ddb3bdcd65adefd6945fbd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803000702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d624c97fc49aa38ea304558cb0d1e84d38c6f7e8b3ddb3bdcd65adefd6945fbd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0837978978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d624c97fc49aa38ea304558cb0d1e84d38c6f7e8b3ddb3bdcd65adefd6945fbd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938383461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d7878e307f9c32d542171d8c5a0d2697e99749446c2514da642a28e958a98356","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051453415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d7878e307f9c32d542171d8c5a0d2697e99749446c2514da642a28e958a98356","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530412771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d7878e307f9c32d542171d8c5a0d2697e99749446c2514da642a28e958a98356","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557806564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d7878e307f9c32d542171d8c5a0d2697e99749446c2514da642a28e958a98356","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0594778288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d7878e307f9c32d542171d8c5a0d2697e99749446c2514da642a28e958a98356","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642612082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0478106909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0507589668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556770702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618520702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0715339668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4032650015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.375833967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3008270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128581049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"dc9fe064f3baa6742b8c2b03c39ab53dbb9d24f2950e3f2dcb0b62d959df2e2e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0464980702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"dc9fe064f3baa6742b8c2b03c39ab53dbb9d24f2950e3f2dcb0b62d959df2e2e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0460043116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"dc9fe064f3baa6742b8c2b03c39ab53dbb9d24f2950e3f2dcb0b62d959df2e2e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046533484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"dc9fe064f3baa6742b8c2b03c39ab53dbb9d24f2950e3f2dcb0b62d959df2e2e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0478447944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"dc9fe064f3baa6742b8c2b03c39ab53dbb9d24f2950e3f2dcb0b62d959df2e2e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509363461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3334063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3368339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2920994842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2909063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0c6b102bb7ddfc5c10fd66e8e4f82fbf057dd16052794c6b92c54bc2f51d825","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0569790016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0c6b102bb7ddfc5c10fd66e8e4f82fbf057dd16052794c6b92c54bc2f51d825","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0570274499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0c6b102bb7ddfc5c10fd66e8e4f82fbf057dd16052794c6b92c54bc2f51d825","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.057652243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0c6b102bb7ddfc5c10fd66e8e4f82fbf057dd16052794c6b92c54bc2f51d825","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0584136233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0c6b102bb7ddfc5c10fd66e8e4f82fbf057dd16052794c6b92c54bc2f51d825","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0596151478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.332671898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2930512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.30074776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3111650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2790581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e1b7a404b3848363b040dc8005535f710fb0e42f2c99ab7522105761b11aaf92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e1b7a404b3848363b040dc8005535f710fb0e42f2c99ab7522105761b11aaf92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3101408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e1b7a404b3848363b040dc8005535f710fb0e42f2c99ab7522105761b11aaf92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3072960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e1b7a404b3848363b040dc8005535f710fb0e42f2c99ab7522105761b11aaf92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3384167256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e1b7a404b3848363b040dc8005535f710fb0e42f2c99ab7522105761b11aaf92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3087408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e48e3772ddd1f14d017b4c9103f5c2c58463b77c760a07695bf82a92e1ea1bcf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0465858288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e48e3772ddd1f14d017b4c9103f5c2c58463b77c760a07695bf82a92e1ea1bcf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.047927415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e48e3772ddd1f14d017b4c9103f5c2c58463b77c760a07695bf82a92e1ea1bcf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502288633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e48e3772ddd1f14d017b4c9103f5c2c58463b77c760a07695bf82a92e1ea1bcf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532857599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e48e3772ddd1f14d017b4c9103f5c2c58463b77c760a07695bf82a92e1ea1bcf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578273461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e4f594a0a81c749c69b5ade5d1aa44e149c1677bc72a61fc6814d91e6d922f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0833600361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e4f594a0a81c749c69b5ade5d1aa44e149c1677bc72a61fc6814d91e6d922f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0847874154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e4f594a0a81c749c69b5ade5d1aa44e149c1677bc72a61fc6814d91e6d922f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0893625889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e4f594a0a81c749c69b5ade5d1aa44e149c1677bc72a61fc6814d91e6d922f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0936107978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e4f594a0a81c749c69b5ade5d1aa44e149c1677bc72a61fc6814d91e6d922f23","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1012282513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e6c8934f55ad5c913cec5bdead27bb4869b851ac1bb03882af49251b067df9b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3104063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e6c8934f55ad5c913cec5bdead27bb4869b851ac1bb03882af49251b067df9b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3132960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e6c8934f55ad5c913cec5bdead27bb4869b851ac1bb03882af49251b067df9b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3193787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e6c8934f55ad5c913cec5bdead27bb4869b851ac1bb03882af49251b067df9b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3261546566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e6c8934f55ad5c913cec5bdead27bb4869b851ac1bb03882af49251b067df9b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2936374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.122018493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1173806654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1151369682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1167584165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1221105561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f1a26e1b856a583cd0bc87a54dbd38c55374f264c0ef7fcceabf437ee82a0544","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1240452082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f1a26e1b856a583cd0bc87a54dbd38c55374f264c0ef7fcceabf437ee82a0544","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1229799668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f1a26e1b856a583cd0bc87a54dbd38c55374f264c0ef7fcceabf437ee82a0544","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1265451737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f1a26e1b856a583cd0bc87a54dbd38c55374f264c0ef7fcceabf437ee82a0544","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6255735878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f1a26e1b856a583cd0bc87a54dbd38c55374f264c0ef7fcceabf437ee82a0544","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1475762082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f67c4303f61bb8c8f005544c42034dd02151e61bdf3600fd1a7bbe1c9723585b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630629323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f67c4303f61bb8c8f005544c42034dd02151e61bdf3600fd1a7bbe1c9723585b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638025185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f67c4303f61bb8c8f005544c42034dd02151e61bdf3600fd1a7bbe1c9723585b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0654024302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f67c4303f61bb8c8f005544c42034dd02151e61bdf3600fd1a7bbe1c9723585b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0672654582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f67c4303f61bb8c8f005544c42034dd02151e61bdf3600fd1a7bbe1c9723585b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0706982771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642832085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658839682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0684128375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071928553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770055875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fce2c9e19842f641b1e4ba334fcdf796acaedbbc9548adc5446d9afbe300901b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1167797254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fce2c9e19842f641b1e4ba334fcdf796acaedbbc9548adc5446d9afbe300901b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1111901737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fce2c9e19842f641b1e4ba334fcdf796acaedbbc9548adc5446d9afbe300901b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1072650013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fce2c9e19842f641b1e4ba334fcdf796acaedbbc9548adc5446d9afbe300901b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1081702082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fce2c9e19842f641b1e4ba334fcdf796acaedbbc9548adc5446d9afbe300901b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1078547944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3985960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.163748622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1200960703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2702270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4142725191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1823070017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1443449672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2595138983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3200173466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2128270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1575443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1219218978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2986891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2814718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4607856912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1503167254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1260374496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3107374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3323408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4081207287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1789939755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1130520703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3046762083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.31047901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4309374153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5819891395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1190900013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2815718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3160339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2199064496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.154718622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.117108553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4303782773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2647898979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2134270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1659934496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1337589668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.360709829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3049615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1859891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1309925875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1013727599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3655615532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2705615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4475236222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1500822427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1232546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.32374776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.283285691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4180029325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5789753464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1179753461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3199822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3971443118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.159510691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1147443461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2181615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4475947946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.169466691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734582428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3040549669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3745670277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1980877172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1554092689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2538670276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3336325449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4485615532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1399477599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0969684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.350771898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4540236222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1419132772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1055305185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3329201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.273909829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4721443118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1455305185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1117236565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2831650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2958615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4176361739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1766810013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757396221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3171154842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3906899811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1891175672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1526348086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2479313603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3097934293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4715615532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1339684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0927684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3041512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2959856911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1987615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1346891392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1004693116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3932236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2824650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1955098289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1350098289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987762082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3387822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2643167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2072167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1522201737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1213141737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3076787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2985891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2256753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1818141393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1361374496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3075615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.303671898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1949546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1419003461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1155245185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3626684497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2554615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1901960358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1338624151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039374496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.358709829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.259909829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2234980224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1617988844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1289049534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3830600915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835359535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.420196036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1632029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2858029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1949615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033271047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2797512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2710718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2101047838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1607194389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1353599906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3932599563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2928599562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1648417255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1181410013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0833891737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4347994842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2468063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1811753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1331925875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1100727944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4210753463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2512925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1957098289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1483201737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1242106909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3179374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2856925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2450603117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1775637599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1384853116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3079307342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3110007255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4875408636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1328167254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1026822427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.279985691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.327871898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.175285691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1140684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0746693116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4025891394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2419615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2469800359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1897563462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1524655272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3476342773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2985762083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3160581049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2939856911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2979063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2687960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3196167256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3125063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2985581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2880787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3261527409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3035354995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2810837753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3091217064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3336699823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2950802273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2900698825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.278576779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734043652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3407112618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3057753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2888512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2829221274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2609083343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2309945412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4017669551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583591357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3717512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2518201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2727925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2983167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3111029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1751451737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1254348289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834762082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.21384776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4145994842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3789305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2228960358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1904305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3393650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3107822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2174822427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1231339668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2749512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2519443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2305925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1923270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1554718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2479408634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2629891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3652825294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4424239087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1756366127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.193217012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2692928742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2643787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3828374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2379374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25634776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2608339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3350891394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3016063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3383822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3770236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4194477601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2871925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2606029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3638822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3842477601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4010236222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4069960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3038408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.337909829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3806822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3023201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2848822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3294201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701132772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3060063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2887787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3315063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3474443118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3542477601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3387546566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3718477601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2049891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1881098289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1707201737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2773167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.30944776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3483167256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3938856911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4468305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2899167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3162167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3457994842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3737408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4062546566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2898822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.360671898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3811581049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4059098291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3460891394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2940822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3342443118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3777270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4218305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2374408634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1954650013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.162885691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1418512082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1244339668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3769787946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3800581049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2406718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3886650015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4043856911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3187167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2549615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2278201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2106512082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.458596036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1958684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1613339668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1343477599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1198063806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1118718978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1188066909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.092848622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.079742553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121581049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3309650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2463443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3706201739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2363891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3052856911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3183167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3360856911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3509201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3685787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3105029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3219615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3378408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3524408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.246709829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2910132773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2992512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2896029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33364776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2758201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2378684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.304809829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3417684497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3754270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3159063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2869374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3432925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3773063808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4149305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3826132773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3569374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3396167256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3532891394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3058132773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2863443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2680546566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.366409829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2572581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3200925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2991374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2827132773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3649201739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2527236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2783753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2572891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2390374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3857443118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2215098289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2324374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2382994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2334029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1334460358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.163986553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2067787944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2616546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3338512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1687900013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2144072427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2669960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3143408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.372071898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2171029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2022718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1845374151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1809684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1762029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3661305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33934776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3230925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3221132773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3496236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1343408634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1603650013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2104994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2564132772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2758753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3585201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3294305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3370167256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3488477601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3766994842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2567167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2815443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2871994842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3016822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.315171898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2634374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2850650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2698167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2971891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2995339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3377270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3753925877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2084753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1865546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1637925875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3290650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3385960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3547374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3711512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3982167256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3001167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.313371898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2770960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2436994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2064305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2545412676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2795998883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3094481642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3482240263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2951063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2804374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3475201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.370933967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4016787946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2820522708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3079833053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3398729605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.381166064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2836132773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2634443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2417512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2228581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.200185691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3119167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3443891394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2770684497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2279270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3047201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3443891394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3914132773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3455684497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3380305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3361994842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3292374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3565374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226971897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3506171297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3704895435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3960895435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4427270705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.256185691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3912305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3613201739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3963787946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3316925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3356615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3589236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1507464151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1327963461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1149723806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028763634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0927338378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701684497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2963787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3275856911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.358733967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4018029325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2148994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2263546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.409733967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2751753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3451305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2784684497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2996132773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3284856911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3569650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2441063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2853201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2839960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25894776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2394305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2219443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3112374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2943408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2777787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.341309829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2492753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2470063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3414374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.319171898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3115443118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2818029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2075270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1784305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1515718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1333477599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1185201737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3177546566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3319270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3455339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3707925877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3956270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2802244841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906934497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3172305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3492408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4052512084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3341546566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2739305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2613718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.396409829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4467512084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3704305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2680581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4155891394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2596201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2659167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5054443119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5417718981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1546408634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1388787944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1128968978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537702513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557911392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620420357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0720232426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963520702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519479671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527136913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554224581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0607733116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0746818289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516972175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522770461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0547967813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602292609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075101832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.142285691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1560718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1785925875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4606546567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3857512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051704045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518663554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052980865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557268668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620587344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262374151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1486650013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4894753463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4100753463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3279443118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603178292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0608564499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632557957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0674676651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775412771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0972556565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1054179668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1317098289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1557581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2025270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1595822427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1694408634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1813718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2006753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2204063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0606651402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620139082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648528678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0706198751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.084147803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.069192761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0694720726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0712929857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0759483895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0863543475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604859323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614589323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651712426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.072238553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0935382771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078637484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0805556909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0852624495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0933832427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1140037944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054375415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578330013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648813806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0773512082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109925875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0780823809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0799307613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0843415271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0922673461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1126903461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0517755878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525414154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0558534154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063466243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0820361133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1302960358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1452339668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5158270705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4520925877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2564787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1051624151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1152512082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1642201737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1849960358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2340650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1107925875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1292374151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1603718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2000305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2558615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603997602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613520016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636270361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677417268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0773573837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1448546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1594408634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1926822427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2349270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2864063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.671420174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6222443119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5239305188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4462856911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3628374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1725718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1884581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2133201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2414201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2680822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519618637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535597613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056488763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609843202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704660357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.132186553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1383994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1710305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.197085691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2539753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1208650013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.135061553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1641650013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.202723622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2725512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1514753461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1713581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4370512084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3628270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2861891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.085411553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0936051392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.125386553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1497443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2029546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0606548313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0611661444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0635002561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0688261737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0820094509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0894218978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1083208978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1305451737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1476960358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2131167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775517602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784419682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0812158633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0859230702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954032082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1495098634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1669857255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4675132774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3971615532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276856911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775616916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0780067692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0798451075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0837116971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0948702168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0699874844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0719152513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0777383116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0883150013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1151201737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1263589668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1376443116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1684822427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.182185691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2276787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052813415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552136219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609842426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704932082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0933425875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1344891392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1490925875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1731167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2049615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2547581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518618288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527517944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552112771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0601846219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0719782082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520685885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533688988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0562731068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.061548283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0710081195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ac59948243d13c19d7d1191d7c3aabe8a44edfd0d1fb9972a2eefd319233d16c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060397073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ac59948243d13c19d7d1191d7c3aabe8a44edfd0d1fb9972a2eefd319233d16c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604074357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ac59948243d13c19d7d1191d7c3aabe8a44edfd0d1fb9972a2eefd319233d16c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618352219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ac59948243d13c19d7d1191d7c3aabe8a44edfd0d1fb9972a2eefd319233d16c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649533806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ac59948243d13c19d7d1191d7c3aabe8a44edfd0d1fb9972a2eefd319233d16c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0705188402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0693584237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0705484582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0752019792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0832746095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1019998376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609972085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620080716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0653831133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.072147553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0903532427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1806787944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1941339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2189305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2396615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2776994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604066313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0610896226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632157961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0672287633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078947494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1211822427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1422270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1869960358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2428718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2865408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0606592775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613192516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641864164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0700775271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0861193461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1516270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1631305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1888581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2106258289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.238610691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0619841478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645723116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0690915875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0760790357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0905917254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1994546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2071960358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2277925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2509374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4908029326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4428684498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3787856911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.322771898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1267718978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1406787944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.513933967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4497063808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2647201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1586589668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1667753461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1792581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1966925875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2171063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2167512082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2251098289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2504581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2807822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602410364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0605377357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620311837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0661872802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0750642513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0621348637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638099682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0690072513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784340013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079132771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0689239757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0696792775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0713487268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0745399009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0824968375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.120223622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1483201737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1878822427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2486581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051693795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521082099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538965619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0574387947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650260371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3014512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2813753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2625029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2455063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2256822427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2736063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2558443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2322029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2189960358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.199523622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2881236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2625960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2493684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3970753463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2821382773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2610270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2399900014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2207615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4412201739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2778891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3260787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2550167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3597270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2409201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2544684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2386167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2230891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2108063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.19664776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2669270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2613236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2545443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3534925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3763891394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2654270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.252685691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2386822427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2263512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.210123622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2702201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2564512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2390063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3811684497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4172891394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2848305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3354650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2454994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2306718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4293132773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3272443118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3441960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2439236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3896029325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2852934497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314871898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26918876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619349669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2505991048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.250185691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2368512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2245512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3998029325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4291546567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26147276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2416784152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2334090014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2208060014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2694822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2503443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2317132772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2141718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1935994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3396374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3467891394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.360033967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3756650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3976477601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2718029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2566650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.24224776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2262443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2624132772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3766305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2215650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2008650013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2721132772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2401994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2275718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2134822427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2641650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3466270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3712581049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.396871898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4304787946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2888684497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3272236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3554029325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3824063808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4226063808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2581718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2497443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2417546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3926167256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2680374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2525960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2364581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2214546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2041787944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2898546566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2832443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2638718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2502546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2529210359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2408029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2256658634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2124270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1974339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2941753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2869029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2751718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2673925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2572994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2686029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3420305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2324167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2142029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1945650013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2723581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2656270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2609684497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2512339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"IRM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2898891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"IRM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27964776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"IRM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.266585691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"IRM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2531925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"IRM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2370236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2822270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3187029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3410753463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3648374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2996167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.284785691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26974776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25644776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2391684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3137167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3264339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2523408634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.363709829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2292201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2561063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2445581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2343753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2248305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644381393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2646660014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2713490014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2846215876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2595718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2537753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2416684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.237185691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2262339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2674650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2480167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2274650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2084167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1856374151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816486221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2766753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2688853117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.265286691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2661094497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2804037945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2674994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2528577255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2397970358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226301393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2602650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2533063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2418305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3745236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4014615532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NUE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2658581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NUE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33874776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NUE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2407305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NUE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.231423622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NUE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2227167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2704891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3373960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2383684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2234512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2036994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PEP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660684497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PEP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3481270704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PEP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2234443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PEP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2023029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PEP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1747581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2732925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2606339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2495512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2357167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2836994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2728063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2602753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2525718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2414581048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2874512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2781546566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2648408634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2532994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2398960358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2869960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2571063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2428684496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2274201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PTC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2920443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PTC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2762822428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PTC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2600270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PTC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2460270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PTC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4116925877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"REG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"REG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2641339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"REG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3466408635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"REG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"REG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2235029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2727546566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2566132772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3666546566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2289029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.21584776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2825718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2669718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2491615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.23274776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2151063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2692512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2557408634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3578201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3817374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4140925877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2955753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2849684497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2569925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2442994841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2739718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2694132772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2656443117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3451684497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3598512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2652132772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33794776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3566960359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.376409829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4033063808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2563029324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2377718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2176408634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4245615532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4693718981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2544650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.240909829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2271167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.216785691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2088167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2694132772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2621374152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.256809829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2469270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2317546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2912718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2755753462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2592270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2452787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2301512083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.269809829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.258709829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.249985691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2387236221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.29887276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748546566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2626650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2479718979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683925876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2569063807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2462270703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2414787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2292787945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2538546565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2362615531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2176167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4182650015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4588305187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2578684497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2529167255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2416201738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2331339669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2201305186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0aafe67a867f3ef3a885f3e457f93ee60b2ec588164878953dd73a42e5186f24","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520540918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0aafe67a867f3ef3a885f3e457f93ee60b2ec588164878953dd73a42e5186f24","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519631834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0aafe67a867f3ef3a885f3e457f93ee60b2ec588164878953dd73a42e5186f24","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519313668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0aafe67a867f3ef3a885f3e457f93ee60b2ec588164878953dd73a42e5186f24","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519086397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0aafe67a867f3ef3a885f3e457f93ee60b2ec588164878953dd73a42e5186f24","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519178706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f625614e627f20ecd22043655e85213f2fd46622dbcc9d3bfb65facc3bef57e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2778959418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f625614e627f20ecd22043655e85213f2fd46622dbcc9d3bfb65facc3bef57e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2778775328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f625614e627f20ecd22043655e85213f2fd46622dbcc9d3bfb65facc3bef57e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3268042664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f625614e627f20ecd22043655e85213f2fd46622dbcc9d3bfb65facc3bef57e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3042333403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f625614e627f20ecd22043655e85213f2fd46622dbcc9d3bfb65facc3bef57e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3235190631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f76c09f2836705ede48640cce5afef3de7f5b3b52539cdd46aec63578f2002d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0586526337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f76c09f2836705ede48640cce5afef3de7f5b3b52539cdd46aec63578f2002d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600671688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f76c09f2836705ede48640cce5afef3de7f5b3b52539cdd46aec63578f2002d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0639416859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f76c09f2836705ede48640cce5afef3de7f5b3b52539cdd46aec63578f2002d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0643898645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f76c09f2836705ede48640cce5afef3de7f5b3b52539cdd46aec63578f2002d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0694811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"11812e52b4313c70875c0f970476806c4bece3d2505b7c39adf84a7c6bef49a8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540631217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"11812e52b4313c70875c0f970476806c4bece3d2505b7c39adf84a7c6bef49a8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540414855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"11812e52b4313c70875c0f970476806c4bece3d2505b7c39adf84a7c6bef49a8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540619854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"11812e52b4313c70875c0f970476806c4bece3d2505b7c39adf84a7c6bef49a8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541403939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"11812e52b4313c70875c0f970476806c4bece3d2505b7c39adf84a7c6bef49a8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542989836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"15ab9ade31e3d06c11bbb5904ad9512315bd8d04d4ead999b4cb3915058f8771","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0465518129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"15ab9ade31e3d06c11bbb5904ad9512315bd8d04d4ead999b4cb3915058f8771","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.049292702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"15ab9ade31e3d06c11bbb5904ad9512315bd8d04d4ead999b4cb3915058f8771","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532381277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"15ab9ade31e3d06c11bbb5904ad9512315bd8d04d4ead999b4cb3915058f8771","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0584335444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"15ab9ade31e3d06c11bbb5904ad9512315bd8d04d4ead999b4cb3915058f8771","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648927245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"19b6840b22cac51862630f9b4263f79336108a1aae22b0283829d476fc62b2af","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1180586999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"19b6840b22cac51862630f9b4263f79336108a1aae22b0283829d476fc62b2af","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1253546466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"19b6840b22cac51862630f9b4263f79336108a1aae22b0283829d476fc62b2af","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1351220753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"19b6840b22cac51862630f9b4263f79336108a1aae22b0283829d476fc62b2af","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1842234894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"19b6840b22cac51862630f9b4263f79336108a1aae22b0283829d476fc62b2af","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1613827471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1ae1e1dda977f7369da77940683d2029f632c1044d884ab22cd7b911fffaddc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0598062616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1ae1e1dda977f7369da77940683d2029f632c1044d884ab22cd7b911fffaddc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613336595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1ae1e1dda977f7369da77940683d2029f632c1044d884ab22cd7b911fffaddc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637293239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1ae1e1dda977f7369da77940683d2029f632c1044d884ab22cd7b911fffaddc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0673482065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1ae1e1dda977f7369da77940683d2029f632c1044d884ab22cd7b911fffaddc0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.072490169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0691601478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0687949232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071417495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.074852379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0799447054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c30974220af4e3352fb824c080992e6863e22e7d59cf55b16ab449ae1567b4f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0429711123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c30974220af4e3352fb824c080992e6863e22e7d59cf55b16ab449ae1567b4f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0436711085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c30974220af4e3352fb824c080992e6863e22e7d59cf55b16ab449ae1567b4f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0446665653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c30974220af4e3352fb824c080992e6863e22e7d59cf55b16ab449ae1567b4f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046107498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c30974220af4e3352fb824c080992e6863e22e7d59cf55b16ab449ae1567b4f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0481001653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0421996179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0420178024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0423135298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0429101691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0438563326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1d102eec5b3c899fa95096e68d7ff084443d712e67dc91d3256737e3fb321449","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053475581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1d102eec5b3c899fa95096e68d7ff084443d712e67dc91d3256737e3fb321449","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542721675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1d102eec5b3c899fa95096e68d7ff084443d712e67dc91d3256737e3fb321449","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557033484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1d102eec5b3c899fa95096e68d7ff084443d712e67dc91d3256737e3fb321449","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0574494152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1d102eec5b3c899fa95096e68d7ff084443d712e67dc91d3256737e3fb321449","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603377123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2447254c0dc0dad5a5497ed8cf5cb47daa35ff07f8e5530db7e1cabd92144c57","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0465609038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2447254c0dc0dad5a5497ed8cf5cb47daa35ff07f8e5530db7e1cabd92144c57","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0501426958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2447254c0dc0dad5a5497ed8cf5cb47daa35ff07f8e5530db7e1cabd92144c57","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557882455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2447254c0dc0dad5a5497ed8cf5cb47daa35ff07f8e5530db7e1cabd92144c57","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625609233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2447254c0dc0dad5a5497ed8cf5cb47daa35ff07f8e5530db7e1cabd92144c57","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0716519933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628695574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064937315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647415533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627903507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627037263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0764061858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0687210147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0735357523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0793245282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867790192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2cf9f1407c7a35ae3cdffa19aeab70f0718138bc61434b157ee53590a956c1f7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0746238357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2cf9f1407c7a35ae3cdffa19aeab70f0718138bc61434b157ee53590a956c1f7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077428362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2cf9f1407c7a35ae3cdffa19aeab70f0718138bc61434b157ee53590a956c1f7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775754541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2cf9f1407c7a35ae3cdffa19aeab70f0718138bc61434b157ee53590a956c1f7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0793570847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2cf9f1407c7a35ae3cdffa19aeab70f0718138bc61434b157ee53590a956c1f7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818998275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"365ebbc4669aef1d1455160bcfbb55156bd5a05e9fb3cfe7a6aededccbd69f64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939855575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"365ebbc4669aef1d1455160bcfbb55156bd5a05e9fb3cfe7a6aededccbd69f64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0922639791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"365ebbc4669aef1d1455160bcfbb55156bd5a05e9fb3cfe7a6aededccbd69f64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0928878382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"365ebbc4669aef1d1455160bcfbb55156bd5a05e9fb3cfe7a6aededccbd69f64","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951105492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"365ebbc4669aef1d1455160bcfbb55156bd5a05e9fb3cfe7a6aededccbd69f64","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995106535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0451120057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0465801782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0493721673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527699493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578575486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4b9cf739b31ef0ddec1c66a0b6d9dffcab6dad3a8c0e518d8bda1cf74927d76e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2802039249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4b9cf739b31ef0ddec1c66a0b6d9dffcab6dad3a8c0e518d8bda1cf74927d76e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289157905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4b9cf739b31ef0ddec1c66a0b6d9dffcab6dad3a8c0e518d8bda1cf74927d76e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3037843436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4b9cf739b31ef0ddec1c66a0b6d9dffcab6dad3a8c0e518d8bda1cf74927d76e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194110931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4b9cf739b31ef0ddec1c66a0b6d9dffcab6dad3a8c0e518d8bda1cf74927d76e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2955703581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.329604246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3256837746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3247415997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3236951982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3090043964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"52ccc876c702113b429db82ea4e6c66481a3fd1274a0003b8012becdfc88b1ca","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0418905288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"52ccc876c702113b429db82ea4e6c66481a3fd1274a0003b8012becdfc88b1ca","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0415361223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"52ccc876c702113b429db82ea4e6c66481a3fd1274a0003b8012becdfc88b1ca","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0414828045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"52ccc876c702113b429db82ea4e6c66481a3fd1274a0003b8012becdfc88b1ca","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0415399404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"52ccc876c702113b429db82ea4e6c66481a3fd1274a0003b8012becdfc88b1ca","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0418547563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0428972942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0439654682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0448155983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0460203623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0476585776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"56049d9346ec16d8289932a40a7f78b675235e6737ace75eb471c7105e27a569","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1593338984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"56049d9346ec16d8289932a40a7f78b675235e6737ace75eb471c7105e27a569","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.155865742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"56049d9346ec16d8289932a40a7f78b675235e6737ace75eb471c7105e27a569","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1539213925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"56049d9346ec16d8289932a40a7f78b675235e6737ace75eb471c7105e27a569","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1540918913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"56049d9346ec16d8289932a40a7f78b675235e6737ace75eb471c7105e27a569","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1542112086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5df98290d20fc7021ca89a43e4284a2b120b54f6a2473ee0cc309dd34de2b9c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2754648686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5df98290d20fc7021ca89a43e4284a2b120b54f6a2473ee0cc309dd34de2b9c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3359496542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5df98290d20fc7021ca89a43e4284a2b120b54f6a2473ee0cc309dd34de2b9c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2911725266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5df98290d20fc7021ca89a43e4284a2b120b54f6a2473ee0cc309dd34de2b9c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3049502896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5df98290d20fc7021ca89a43e4284a2b120b54f6a2473ee0cc309dd34de2b9c9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3054101045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"613133dbd19489d25cd4d49bf32a22a11a2986d9361eee0b5b19eabbd41499b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0486427068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"613133dbd19489d25cd4d49bf32a22a11a2986d9361eee0b5b19eabbd41499b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531621283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"613133dbd19489d25cd4d49bf32a22a11a2986d9361eee0b5b19eabbd41499b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602895763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"613133dbd19489d25cd4d49bf32a22a11a2986d9361eee0b5b19eabbd41499b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8360744112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"613133dbd19489d25cd4d49bf32a22a11a2986d9361eee0b5b19eabbd41499b0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0826912308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"62d4ffc7ac1aba2046cd0ee9d2d580c343095aa6f55bdd9233964662b85eb4a7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.043562062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"62d4ffc7ac1aba2046cd0ee9d2d580c343095aa6f55bdd9233964662b85eb4a7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0447995075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"62d4ffc7ac1aba2046cd0ee9d2d580c343095aa6f55bdd9233964662b85eb4a7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0467928566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"62d4ffc7ac1aba2046cd0ee9d2d580c343095aa6f55bdd9233964662b85eb4a7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0495214731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"62d4ffc7ac1aba2046cd0ee9d2d580c343095aa6f55bdd9233964662b85eb4a7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0508540088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2672717921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3206088571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3139241787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2771046748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2965297602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"734cc2c67c3a3a85a323d41b21f7462267979f4d115aced0b28f63e8a1d0eb08","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0838287685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"734cc2c67c3a3a85a323d41b21f7462267979f4d115aced0b28f63e8a1d0eb08","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0874162436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"734cc2c67c3a3a85a323d41b21f7462267979f4d115aced0b28f63e8a1d0eb08","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0929468946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"734cc2c67c3a3a85a323d41b21f7462267979f4d115aced0b28f63e8a1d0eb08","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0999105142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"734cc2c67c3a3a85a323d41b21f7462267979f4d115aced0b28f63e8a1d0eb08","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.108866267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3810993245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2709878104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129354586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3375360062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2997635548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"7dc70394daa920e16360916cada735fd518555af86433d2ff0fff9446b849803","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566576482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"7dc70394daa920e16360916cada735fd518555af86433d2ff0fff9446b849803","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590861759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"7dc70394daa920e16360916cada735fd518555af86433d2ff0fff9446b849803","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0607593455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"7dc70394daa920e16360916cada735fd518555af86433d2ff0fff9446b849803","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620759723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"7dc70394daa920e16360916cada735fd518555af86433d2ff0fff9446b849803","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648359067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"801fe80e4399ce14328807001d519916c28c11898779ff0c43fa01f0ebf61c25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.057552869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"801fe80e4399ce14328807001d519916c28c11898779ff0c43fa01f0ebf61c25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0579426388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"801fe80e4399ce14328807001d519916c28c11898779ff0c43fa01f0ebf61c25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604529841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"801fe80e4399ce14328807001d519916c28c11898779ff0c43fa01f0ebf61c25","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0643745464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"801fe80e4399ce14328807001d519916c28c11898779ff0c43fa01f0ebf61c25","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0705815466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"87bdcf532a0d3d7b1061ec9118a866cff99577ecf4644dedaf8bd7af78b7fed3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1131058724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"87bdcf532a0d3d7b1061ec9118a866cff99577ecf4644dedaf8bd7af78b7fed3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1199207317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"87bdcf532a0d3d7b1061ec9118a866cff99577ecf4644dedaf8bd7af78b7fed3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094500781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"87bdcf532a0d3d7b1061ec9118a866cff99577ecf4644dedaf8bd7af78b7fed3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1054828826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"87bdcf532a0d3d7b1061ec9118a866cff99577ecf4644dedaf8bd7af78b7fed3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1373115138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8a61408039d409dd2defc7077c78d9ed0565d44b5eb78def7147e1236143ca09","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538813049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8a61408039d409dd2defc7077c78d9ed0565d44b5eb78def7147e1236143ca09","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535778525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8a61408039d409dd2defc7077c78d9ed0565d44b5eb78def7147e1236143ca09","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539256227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8a61408039d409dd2defc7077c78d9ed0565d44b5eb78def7147e1236143ca09","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544267554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8a61408039d409dd2defc7077c78d9ed0565d44b5eb78def7147e1236143ca09","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555676562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8adecc3b9cefc00205f870e78b00c6cb48436cca2a0c503fb6dce563aa2c5e09","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0427722951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8adecc3b9cefc00205f870e78b00c6cb48436cca2a0c503fb6dce563aa2c5e09","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0437818786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8adecc3b9cefc00205f870e78b00c6cb48436cca2a0c503fb6dce563aa2c5e09","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0457205917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8adecc3b9cefc00205f870e78b00c6cb48436cca2a0c503fb6dce563aa2c5e09","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0483836177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8adecc3b9cefc00205f870e78b00c6cb48436cca2a0c503fb6dce563aa2c5e09","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526712228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"94a703650024b7c355023a0d91fce37a5adf1f07234efd26881732a4f0e2e27b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3570211367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"94a703650024b7c355023a0d91fce37a5adf1f07234efd26881732a4f0e2e27b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.338350773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"94a703650024b7c355023a0d91fce37a5adf1f07234efd26881732a4f0e2e27b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3654130754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"94a703650024b7c355023a0d91fce37a5adf1f07234efd26881732a4f0e2e27b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3304137401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"94a703650024b7c355023a0d91fce37a5adf1f07234efd26881732a4f0e2e27b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205847209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9b11cea95fabc92c5dbe17eb24c49cf5aa858f54725038ecd1702138663f985c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0584153627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9b11cea95fabc92c5dbe17eb24c49cf5aa858f54725038ecd1702138663f985c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0608347995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9b11cea95fabc92c5dbe17eb24c49cf5aa858f54725038ecd1702138663f985c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651065865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9b11cea95fabc92c5dbe17eb24c49cf5aa858f54725038ecd1702138663f985c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070675455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9b11cea95fabc92c5dbe17eb24c49cf5aa858f54725038ecd1702138663f985c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783401263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519973314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520576945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522295128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0524264228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528177517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a1996ce7bdc102ddae2d4665090c6be7e1c78fb2f516ba0a2cc500b7e82a2133","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2255405059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a1996ce7bdc102ddae2d4665090c6be7e1c78fb2f516ba0a2cc500b7e82a2133","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2499841001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a1996ce7bdc102ddae2d4665090c6be7e1c78fb2f516ba0a2cc500b7e82a2133","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2639230892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a1996ce7bdc102ddae2d4665090c6be7e1c78fb2f516ba0a2cc500b7e82a2133","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2706410402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a1996ce7bdc102ddae2d4665090c6be7e1c78fb2f516ba0a2cc500b7e82a2133","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2909908916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0626244228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651165865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0712758597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786265333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0905684461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0596710353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604323934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633755537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676380226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0728472118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a7a970800d7cd2df5923a81bbb8fafda0792d1867330f4223adb817b799033da","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0423484345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a7a970800d7cd2df5923a81bbb8fafda0792d1867330f4223adb817b799033da","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0427075228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a7a970800d7cd2df5923a81bbb8fafda0792d1867330f4223adb817b799033da","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0431211562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a7a970800d7cd2df5923a81bbb8fafda0792d1867330f4223adb817b799033da","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0436393342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a7a970800d7cd2df5923a81bbb8fafda0792d1867330f4223adb817b799033da","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0447417352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3955557644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3744448731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3766948112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3645369454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3711993968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0444813735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0465631765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503960576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557392458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642914561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b21952b29a054cfba1953aab6e15b322a13e7352de820f9b220aaf171c4a248a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0466211306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b21952b29a054cfba1953aab6e15b322a13e7352de820f9b220aaf171c4a248a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0479409392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b21952b29a054cfba1953aab6e15b322a13e7352de820f9b220aaf171c4a248a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502137862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b21952b29a054cfba1953aab6e15b322a13e7352de820f9b220aaf171c4a248a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537028971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b21952b29a054cfba1953aab6e15b322a13e7352de820f9b220aaf171c4a248a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0588927683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b74ea990b7d074931723dfadf46d3f00532b0b441fee7ec41c0c83fabd299657","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075735918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b74ea990b7d074931723dfadf46d3f00532b0b441fee7ec41c0c83fabd299657","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0807451996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b74ea990b7d074931723dfadf46d3f00532b0b441fee7ec41c0c83fabd299657","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944475995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b74ea990b7d074931723dfadf46d3f00532b0b441fee7ec41c0c83fabd299657","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1066131925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b74ea990b7d074931723dfadf46d3f00532b0b441fee7ec41c0c83fabd299657","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1060213787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b93c42646135319279acffe697d376f25a55b139e1445ec594c1243571f875b5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0800282957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b93c42646135319279acffe697d376f25a55b139e1445ec594c1243571f875b5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0950596405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b93c42646135319279acffe697d376f25a55b139e1445ec594c1243571f875b5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.11243565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b93c42646135319279acffe697d376f25a55b139e1445ec594c1243571f875b5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1300652031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b93c42646135319279acffe697d376f25a55b139e1445ec594c1243571f875b5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1367769723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641800933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638375503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0657937179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.068451653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0723244884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bd4556bc6b041da6a292e12d1e2d5562fc3a8a60ab9eb97b0e5e1070df8fb2c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0571903262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bd4556bc6b041da6a292e12d1e2d5562fc3a8a60ab9eb97b0e5e1070df8fb2c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0585834069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bd4556bc6b041da6a292e12d1e2d5562fc3a8a60ab9eb97b0e5e1070df8fb2c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0607062096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bd4556bc6b041da6a292e12d1e2d5562fc3a8a60ab9eb97b0e5e1070df8fb2c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0634357351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bd4556bc6b041da6a292e12d1e2d5562fc3a8a60ab9eb97b0e5e1070df8fb2c0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0688516046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bdaa857ecd2b6515c694bd0ebf6888baa2dee88f618fa6a018bada5a24e72608","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557278823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bdaa857ecd2b6515c694bd0ebf6888baa2dee88f618fa6a018bada5a24e72608","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595278545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bdaa857ecd2b6515c694bd0ebf6888baa2dee88f618fa6a018bada5a24e72608","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633570084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bdaa857ecd2b6515c694bd0ebf6888baa2dee88f618fa6a018bada5a24e72608","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0684386077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bdaa857ecd2b6515c694bd0ebf6888baa2dee88f618fa6a018bada5a24e72608","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0747757886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"cfd52ce9f61cdac0900077fac761edc4aad270e46ad1857a7ab06c68f455527e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0466984482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"cfd52ce9f61cdac0900077fac761edc4aad270e46ad1857a7ab06c68f455527e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0481858919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"cfd52ce9f61cdac0900077fac761edc4aad270e46ad1857a7ab06c68f455527e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512443241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"cfd52ce9f61cdac0900077fac761edc4aad270e46ad1857a7ab06c68f455527e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552585221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"cfd52ce9f61cdac0900077fac761edc4aad270e46ad1857a7ab06c68f455527e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0608320268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3481524742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3423905162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3478568854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2649176274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2930091041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1312420581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022408608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111919881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1238877482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1800826106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d730705224f3cb2611f688d5e91096b2d0b085203cfc95a2d7f2b10142a1345f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0876514674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d730705224f3cb2611f688d5e91096b2d0b085203cfc95a2d7f2b10142a1345f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1010705057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d730705224f3cb2611f688d5e91096b2d0b085203cfc95a2d7f2b10142a1345f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1184410607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d730705224f3cb2611f688d5e91096b2d0b085203cfc95a2d7f2b10142a1345f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1399212675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d730705224f3cb2611f688d5e91096b2d0b085203cfc95a2d7f2b10142a1345f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521877688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d804ec3793f7d324347ed01f930fab78714b6bf68f0840e5889248481fbdfe41","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0416760763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d804ec3793f7d324347ed01f930fab78714b6bf68f0840e5889248481fbdfe41","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0417502589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d804ec3793f7d324347ed01f930fab78714b6bf68f0840e5889248481fbdfe41","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0420074938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d804ec3793f7d324347ed01f930fab78714b6bf68f0840e5889248481fbdfe41","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0425552058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d804ec3793f7d324347ed01f930fab78714b6bf68f0840e5889248481fbdfe41","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0433485636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"de704df3f9a5ab634b0f7a4dd86460e158ef26411e258216f738207652781671","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0464892679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"de704df3f9a5ab634b0f7a4dd86460e158ef26411e258216f738207652781671","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0495619728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"de704df3f9a5ab634b0f7a4dd86460e158ef26411e258216f738207652781671","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545630272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"de704df3f9a5ab634b0f7a4dd86460e158ef26411e258216f738207652781671","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603925755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"de704df3f9a5ab634b0f7a4dd86460e158ef26411e258216f738207652781671","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0685036072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3671919715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3222822994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.348409745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3041635227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226315696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0506654193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521837264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0547202987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0591937206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666083937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5adefd3f744ff7949571692d7da3fd2304ea6fdb6fbe51a124475930c92178f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3067316857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5adefd3f744ff7949571692d7da3fd2304ea6fdb6fbe51a124475930c92178f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3320178647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5adefd3f744ff7949571692d7da3fd2304ea6fdb6fbe51a124475930c92178f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3002317332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5adefd3f744ff7949571692d7da3fd2304ea6fdb6fbe51a124475930c92178f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3409268906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5adefd3f744ff7949571692d7da3fd2304ea6fdb6fbe51a124475930c92178f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921545194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813663314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0865026576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989981118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.109306991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1227296203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ee283973ade277059ffce181c11edcc4ad1d9c2f01d4fbf8df02243e7da4a5f1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3935128702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ee283973ade277059ffce181c11edcc4ad1d9c2f01d4fbf8df02243e7da4a5f1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3741376026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ee283973ade277059ffce181c11edcc4ad1d9c2f01d4fbf8df02243e7da4a5f1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3721857532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ee283973ade277059ffce181c11edcc4ad1d9c2f01d4fbf8df02243e7da4a5f1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3584496717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ee283973ade277059ffce181c11edcc4ad1d9c2f01d4fbf8df02243e7da4a5f1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2787500719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fac1490cb1ce92d7144b57bb7dc858a8ffc0b374849b37ac2147b5d38dbf9d3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519292287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fac1490cb1ce92d7144b57bb7dc858a8ffc0b374849b37ac2147b5d38dbf9d3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0406429474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fac1490cb1ce92d7144b57bb7dc858a8ffc0b374849b37ac2147b5d38dbf9d3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0407440831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fac1490cb1ce92d7144b57bb7dc858a8ffc0b374849b37ac2147b5d38dbf9d3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0409169454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fac1490cb1ce92d7144b57bb7dc858a8ffc0b374849b37ac2147b5d38dbf9d3d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0414170795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fe9af79b3fa9b610f03bbbfb13282b9b8787246d935519fd1965ae00d07019a4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0414268622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fe9af79b3fa9b610f03bbbfb13282b9b8787246d935519fd1965ae00d07019a4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0414632255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fe9af79b3fa9b610f03bbbfb13282b9b8787246d935519fd1965ae00d07019a4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0416689413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fe9af79b3fa9b610f03bbbfb13282b9b8787246d935519fd1965ae00d07019a4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0420463022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fe9af79b3fa9b610f03bbbfb13282b9b8787246d935519fd1965ae00d07019a4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0423574386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"feba82eb6fa6331fbfef78b9eec18775abc23832436a84147e2ed75990ce6313","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066762029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"feba82eb6fa6331fbfef78b9eec18775abc23832436a84147e2ed75990ce6313","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0675295234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"feba82eb6fa6331fbfef78b9eec18775abc23832436a84147e2ed75990ce6313","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0671549807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"feba82eb6fa6331fbfef78b9eec18775abc23832436a84147e2ed75990ce6313","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0686534697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"feba82eb6fa6331fbfef78b9eec18775abc23832436a84147e2ed75990ce6313","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0725133506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ff59c5034850f3cf551c4fc91e421b155085a5b7eb040c9534e9f396081c82ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0719750364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ff59c5034850f3cf551c4fc91e421b155085a5b7eb040c9534e9f396081c82ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803792023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ff59c5034850f3cf551c4fc91e421b155085a5b7eb040c9534e9f396081c82ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914803485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ff59c5034850f3cf551c4fc91e421b155085a5b7eb040c9534e9f396081c82ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7015981204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ff59c5034850f3cf551c4fc91e421b155085a5b7eb040c9534e9f396081c82ff","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1071360523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3411059075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5319523003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7335648924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1617508425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2984432901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.323422521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4813298181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.668261878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1244150171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2821993257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3799951365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1235241214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0761106425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1617579711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314775076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3590762989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5403753773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0831125878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1527989816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3148530549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.360439715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5397515769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0863083361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1506642769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2931373479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4164887604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079906001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701890949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.133611038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3330084543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2575476441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1750951375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1278511738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1829052931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3040113966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3699567964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1320516519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0765424576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1461115117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956529801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2712663578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1782597493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1270193617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.174084619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2793267489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3763651772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1330256694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.080128795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1742930222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.375240229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1474543259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0934818947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1327375018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717484542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3409568968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.154070307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1161557963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1641281816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867790704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3987476203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1239960222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956752724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1426911276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128569361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3723115264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1602919513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1165285292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1428507862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.282269209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2565143109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1446931332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0925939057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1619376237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2792709995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2658860553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1354781404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0902969026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1757171592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895139668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2606191568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105922089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1460958471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2944468236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3621557683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.143209576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1100149404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1741388097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2743394907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3877267877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1273829954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939514213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1354993217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3166535547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2736802808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1537898026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1080422275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1240433281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2681514329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2589514799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1511555491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1111467503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1486566919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885816716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2145298379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.113891683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811742419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1412189015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2912694058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2155637182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1337738578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0998104695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1843783596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3012020737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2432202389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1408626083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.101801364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1699937872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2908178674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2491887273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.134617566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0897960426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1551814912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2997640287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1279784456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0863923856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2739249043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2049248622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.119601234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0830844552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2790740258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2000796681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1182830619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0800890226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1638228079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106518141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2559514811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1369450639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0842969464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1628518645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3324897186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2352737929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1358584421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0897105432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1785574708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2687498376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2384401041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1252289049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0908605348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1756417339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3073278126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.225231007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1261826543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0971013983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535881127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2735119426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2036107053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1224512132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0903741747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1597475682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644212761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4023924342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1280920811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0872481067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1964635224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906596172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.189383859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0999286504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603664393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1746361104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2687266229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.43355761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.106255877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0716424933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1777700642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2504983462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3055833187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.342722332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3996100931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3210201635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128498787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3236162365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3541949755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3998264605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3245951142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.319676057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3343178479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3685448707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3006314081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.305181697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3144143932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3101907514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220588465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3031321816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3318542295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3444814101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4144308993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.495816714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2896006305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121981513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3838681628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2611331551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2969272573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4336718143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2979634873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203326896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3419700704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3917165054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203322025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3547323151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.315615196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3370178282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3855629283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2581602767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.31872436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4289277131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1403931731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1035013971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956313326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3531929102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3664850477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1695518783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1200875941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2460019415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3184541338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3572753839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4664359575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1569115766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3595358456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.307236137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3578898074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4882812838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3696150447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3562879654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4087858158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1858273176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690183248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2159496921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.270336473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3036122271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3409229457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3835719675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4319772073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2805835304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3006314286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3341833431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.36446163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3981075376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2488413154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.281412416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3213464884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3639548206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4139358946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365712187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2655740721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3050953177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.34819552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3976578888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2667804513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.296522536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3279735544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3550780652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3930387546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791064724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3058713457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327599809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3604067996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3880205052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2776583683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3000456886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3293086049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3603065319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.393855182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2715305059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2943899028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3269610885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3619570412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3967090579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2869380865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306864874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3295960369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3543256145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.386388578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3038217801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229297422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3488249026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3621145529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3777254884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2548913629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2324412861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2114914373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1960602355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1825101051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2022003136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1751027992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1524686939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1401486094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1188205756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3428599285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2373488365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2325287646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3867060942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4121712306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2609906601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2390630969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2198689707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2046983625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4618419405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3991005321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3587185651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3258670658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2777805904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3889701593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3842042631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327996153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2983079838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2416490299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.459528444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050193776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0809688413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.311894265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28235984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901315725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3065985473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3137411314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1415660623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1706293502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2160211083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2699185713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3461820702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1484366826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1757057067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2233514791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.282054335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3721391399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2298602976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.260578151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127948907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3533815521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3949495531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2722961513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2575589984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.350965703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3761828648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.406396469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2904525126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2666812526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3538876695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3789131675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2211574182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3008655537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205747665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2820513858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.335989356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.354587857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2781423994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2603655176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3500114679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3708525587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2350913077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2767914608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683458563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3458417307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3600474048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2457377696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2747440308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2602702978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3495545711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3726691599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2157507599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3089310653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3233922835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3528599361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2217766123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4078321761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1380536987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1726003699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2250908564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2850835986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3682482257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4084322922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3730869687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129079896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.347497252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.388244593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3425128055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2850323453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3056842248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2731750938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2740045297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916342913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2873079236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2696657212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4581799944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3930642506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2862260264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3417617706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4077700615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2319057004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3901338251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4173195452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4377328787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4808273016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1311104513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1614215088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2056893832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2677666766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.350308694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.272284479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2939320802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3210538626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3527421331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.387306341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.283089947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3091930927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3272029096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3473053457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3717702535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2597010157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2458680835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2312491589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2143913215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1986667238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2395780574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2710508312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161560079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3472924427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3870655899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2935188911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3254160952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3560731754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3839413729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.419405643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138621766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2708639227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3647227193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4042557522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4526009385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2837000171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891540546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2960098783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3043419536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3424599829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2954910345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2655668599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3600840425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3943114747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3396752512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3279024016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3563557854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3821432243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4152215534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2450319438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2725127841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3062965562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.34879215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.419266327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2755398463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122101942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3353789059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.360163935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3883226024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2370242742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4083311887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2989863906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3458402528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3818842852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2750258728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3113611631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3591309291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4136856413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4319754825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2819581321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3231666457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.370225827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4236823554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3450754972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3682727167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3885371554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3900816559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3900911839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2966977498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276577828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3739340563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2476508101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2488779033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3746935457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3198830511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.333935029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2459530056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079784423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906604426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138186576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2564044983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3603053936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2212771161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3545661169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3288068503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3058857491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859472808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2648301253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3515928141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3190687825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308531778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3451231987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2219993902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2069775781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1732958221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1438410223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1229371347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102676888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2210788715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1903594031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1587395621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1369311511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1172509124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2697947557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2790839456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921314589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161327631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3305009618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3698120298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226020386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3502262284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.399235745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4527232043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3476794154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3656346869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.226801253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2283621069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2272147829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2966934419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.292066225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2887827738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3471420011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3813266979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.242517115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2335835146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2314325979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2285615442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2361402489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3864818772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3003098588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3275708573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.361692444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2559735547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"048b354eb4a2d24ea29fd579964f996a67e3acb40f67a3f9d6d41d8d431be560","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1158445001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"048b354eb4a2d24ea29fd579964f996a67e3acb40f67a3f9d6d41d8d431be560","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1169217991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"048b354eb4a2d24ea29fd579964f996a67e3acb40f67a3f9d6d41d8d431be560","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.120760771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"048b354eb4a2d24ea29fd579964f996a67e3acb40f67a3f9d6d41d8d431be560","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1285177598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"048b354eb4a2d24ea29fd579964f996a67e3acb40f67a3f9d6d41d8d431be560","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1447239597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2011733656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1991188352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2017142708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2094460325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2242159775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938389676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0950212772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.098426525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1052653842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1281466262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1219012172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6120521834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1625862969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4806156349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3998696762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0931480186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944571108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.098525297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1071399614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1286284409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1276580388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1425299757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1622095138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1846817133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2195015954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0817743294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.082734551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0865608053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944336456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1112481132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1617551329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.529600049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4944534078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4543105182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4105051398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2478184796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2599774817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2783728019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3082228812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3062219803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0848094427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0946500072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1095358985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.130940424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1688710561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046082526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1053617926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1075801855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1128672378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1269399986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1054297921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1112744312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1202205477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1323465955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1554327906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1065707383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1082435897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1122582877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1196064158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1408192609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1303284853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1341205371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1422527959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1538724838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1826985006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0935014815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0949753684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993379729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1091294923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1362931576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1314846046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1493713519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4974224982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4375758934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2439388826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0934196525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0943207823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0977606663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058106075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1294242987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0932561537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940155118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0970084445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1036298052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1227968471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1555948249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.168563045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1802024504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2028787688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2425246496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0820299629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0831710001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0868946547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0947934607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1139649116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0815528301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0822847794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0843669463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0877541502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944622926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047298431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1055573839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1086729161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1155422182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1308740608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0816572843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0823971894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0848746808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0898481331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041390288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1256321659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.584314523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.506589933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4323180154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3518426833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1487611509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1660069124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1879577962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2161587057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2567773909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0932741995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094074195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0972378178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043241638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1194434625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1664690736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1774462662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1946279589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2139596245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2239582245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1066922374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.108769495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1140012749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1261193683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1783008054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0933652443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944754648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0972610904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102795175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1194224172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0930470189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0942016922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981071637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1074606409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1341069918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.213259641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2118414696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2146050857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2215004899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2355733555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2044687961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2160187118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2284186212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4448034047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4246321736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d6816578f7adcb1e66eae05cd291216e812656e831c2a6f009143d5b0bfa898","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0933517212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d6816578f7adcb1e66eae05cd291216e812656e831c2a6f009143d5b0bfa898","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0937472069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d6816578f7adcb1e66eae05cd291216e812656e831c2a6f009143d5b0bfa898","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962631886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d6816578f7adcb1e66eae05cd291216e812656e831c2a6f009143d5b0bfa898","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005451573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d6816578f7adcb1e66eae05cd291216e812656e831c2a6f009143d5b0bfa898","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089429028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1594611702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1736099306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.19124162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2061733291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2300595183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050833401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058881069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105853453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1203250924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1462374032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2576865893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2686728727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2926110349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3218150207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3729236305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0932673359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940491484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0970707186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038649871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225284968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0831391821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0849882595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913980309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041542559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1361511132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0819971109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0830800916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0866473042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941126474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1139926955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047151159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1056516105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10901105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1163483487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1324888218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0933845164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0945394171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984482067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1066979646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1302977468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1654736263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1728962994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.186905288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2069005966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.236338043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0823674718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.084264083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0884428252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0952647299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1128346471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1477283014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5346800212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4660123408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4000400953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3339314871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c457c0e8ded5941d94854d81e267fbb7aec5144c479947cd9178c689d660af00","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1156105373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c457c0e8ded5941d94854d81e267fbb7aec5144c479947cd9178c689d660af00","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1163197607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c457c0e8ded5941d94854d81e267fbb7aec5144c479947cd9178c689d660af00","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1192110146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c457c0e8ded5941d94854d81e267fbb7aec5144c479947cd9178c689d660af00","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1257027472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c457c0e8ded5941d94854d81e267fbb7aec5144c479947cd9178c689d660af00","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1431535643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2391321794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2951772246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127407328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2940408693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.351535904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0884525979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033286256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1276966295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1567827807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2183005133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047207068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057979717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1094422646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1172285809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1411878037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0886869325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1194334566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1325834258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1910769526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2389082018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2417969326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2432821491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2531911676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2833049204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.316251187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.086051479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0967514009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1186557864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1522464502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2152050814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0838265862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0856801181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0902009942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0973207604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1184559697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043696298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1054527483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1097344993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1185475145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.138895275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3567237641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2371836246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2342140394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2351383379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2238833716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2591388421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2446227676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2332542539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2209091133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2087200641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2636575627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3369249548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2349787167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3815093318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4155609862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2642188545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327544018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2414627886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3690789108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3954442952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ATO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194472189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ATO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301712419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ATO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.240864997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ATO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2277391763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ATO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2128163709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3186084626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.338528791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3650696437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3893070097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4218539362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2507134679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2405190845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.229594002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3845698605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4094147721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2806482492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2681511452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3436940485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3689225153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4061903703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2699904963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.262176521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2522833908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2427754997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2320494459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2632428343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3302846494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3392269431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3545116498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.375551398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2626849578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.246182079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3665574991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3929976932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4269335812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2737019368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2626788122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2517204489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2399773104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.22786777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2639700665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.246516988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2297109033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2148135739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2003543243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2564453919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2418599875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2267134994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.400978624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.44008801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644927326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3363491808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2368781711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2264448104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2139254901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2542657887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2420911245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3745566376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3999321383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4350464367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2600573477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2427369982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2286128415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2146375957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4251938886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3112850947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3232899746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3425471221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3605190799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3832087222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.263820661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2481852829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3625936055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3915386719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4276346181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3345803733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.347468265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3623496717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.379008907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4039805438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2720783814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2591493552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498568973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2399291963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.230871086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2604657988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3518196224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3807257797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4139730616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.46303764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2665319749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2558974963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2458251209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2357240544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2245297236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2700376903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3335076012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3496605033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3730194741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4064599367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2436064853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2290326657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2111809995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1945956372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1748779071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2628874561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.246184322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2296498711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2141040026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4265752561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2580958255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2420172775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226839285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2035167082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4482801232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3373891043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3508850187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2303796583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2245189183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2177643434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HLT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2637747804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HLT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.247341603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HLT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.22845525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HLT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2109610565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HLT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1932800427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660527737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2570199824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2479073582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2353951261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2210348854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3168552153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3356979336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.231125545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3914538969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1947555799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2657083834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2478364016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2304504631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2186404413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2010686346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"KR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3142626411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"KR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3286637188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"KR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2434182311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"KR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3651372608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"KR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3939335231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2508160165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2393033949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3713950111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.216277078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2059923493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675649378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3256209321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2511902272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2413587383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316010828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627497522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2499441341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2355900591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226397295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2107095401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2670236626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.335332085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3640837233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3955741861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4297291927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3265890646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.338612013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3543122124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3722120445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3979092337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2765106138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2666503409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583972344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.250109835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2416226687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2620683397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2518512783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2405448604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2309286095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2172852906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2612381979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2448769746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226014793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2080157579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1898852156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627796902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2500373565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2344008212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2170136598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2039000635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3249900682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.249689099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.239709847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2313388962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2187194858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3293257563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2396456976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2256205252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2115838363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1970575336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NWSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2786312564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NWSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128561121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NWSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2642798633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NWSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3429029065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NWSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3664199207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3158910092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2520677978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2373552611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2211854552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2006323587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.266774206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3237916155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3370221087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3536902969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3731304798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2548335542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2367845508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3801752141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.203989672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1867137178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2542664967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.247759182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2355285187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3836797696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2095961553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3237165045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3374228015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2393329721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2299108101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2192782936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2712478723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3245540838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3409712015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3548498718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2264901581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2648931209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2475209088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2271135245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2101457657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.193089889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2626512115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2480934669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2324528972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2183310241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2052257799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2534485596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2385540096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3790563202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4007268393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4282864151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2582390783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2443395244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2344704246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2249045463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2153214727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2588423455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.334356408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.349136663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3661836558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3909934148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653975718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2584202441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2449475741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2331747904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.214746417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2594677634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2461200487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2306261261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2158239604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.199898154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601764734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2429869592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2255631979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.210171591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1931012542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2451568823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2260453747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3973359733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4227607916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1781304398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167693315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3291247907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2438418591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2334658966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2177043144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2650685083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2454520529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3719982799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.216674783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2014881399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2656978615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2558322509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2419601329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3682055732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3948474042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"00fc71a02fb3b50786c62e16fb709f746e9999ffacf8e426a0463fa32dcc5eb2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0723866152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"00fc71a02fb3b50786c62e16fb709f746e9999ffacf8e426a0463fa32dcc5eb2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0754445474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"00fc71a02fb3b50786c62e16fb709f746e9999ffacf8e426a0463fa32dcc5eb2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0796128351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"00fc71a02fb3b50786c62e16fb709f746e9999ffacf8e426a0463fa32dcc5eb2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.085649382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"00fc71a02fb3b50786c62e16fb709f746e9999ffacf8e426a0463fa32dcc5eb2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941136838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"08d84b25ed07be4862d40e4e51ca9c4b15cc0b8dca370d401ddf860470a49fc4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536992516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"08d84b25ed07be4862d40e4e51ca9c4b15cc0b8dca370d401ddf860470a49fc4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540594763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"08d84b25ed07be4862d40e4e51ca9c4b15cc0b8dca370d401ddf860470a49fc4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551459684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"08d84b25ed07be4862d40e4e51ca9c4b15cc0b8dca370d401ddf860470a49fc4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565914123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"08d84b25ed07be4862d40e4e51ca9c4b15cc0b8dca370d401ddf860470a49fc4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0588589867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600894777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.061331605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063106092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659824801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.068558825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"19b556f956794f40ad784891ce428e3c56a29724203ab83b52d20d94532e9ec0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0806747365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"19b556f956794f40ad784891ce428e3c56a29724203ab83b52d20d94532e9ec0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0825740862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"19b556f956794f40ad784891ce428e3c56a29724203ab83b52d20d94532e9ec0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0861552419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"19b556f956794f40ad784891ce428e3c56a29724203ab83b52d20d94532e9ec0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0907375721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"19b556f956794f40ad784891ce428e3c56a29724203ab83b52d20d94532e9ec0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956977631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1fe32dcda8eabebcb3233c7468799d8a7be39dbb8e035c7607f3cb96e86fb193","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0464810771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1fe32dcda8eabebcb3233c7468799d8a7be39dbb8e035c7607f3cb96e86fb193","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0476083416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1fe32dcda8eabebcb3233c7468799d8a7be39dbb8e035c7607f3cb96e86fb193","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0498446889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1fe32dcda8eabebcb3233c7468799d8a7be39dbb8e035c7607f3cb96e86fb193","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531673919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1fe32dcda8eabebcb3233c7468799d8a7be39dbb8e035c7607f3cb96e86fb193","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0581264466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"23958ce12af866b9fcb3506c3e56d19b436074e51e4b3fb804bfe1f2ffb644f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0735876519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"23958ce12af866b9fcb3506c3e56d19b436074e51e4b3fb804bfe1f2ffb644f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788183409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"23958ce12af866b9fcb3506c3e56d19b436074e51e4b3fb804bfe1f2ffb644f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834421254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"23958ce12af866b9fcb3506c3e56d19b436074e51e4b3fb804bfe1f2ffb644f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915455207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"23958ce12af866b9fcb3506c3e56d19b436074e51e4b3fb804bfe1f2ffb644f5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024318049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"27e70022df39c1286195f35f6e73ff0a3bc9823ff281628630e4e38c3f246a1b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0702820396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"27e70022df39c1286195f35f6e73ff0a3bc9823ff281628630e4e38c3f246a1b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0710513522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"27e70022df39c1286195f35f6e73ff0a3bc9823ff281628630e4e38c3f246a1b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0744967361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"27e70022df39c1286195f35f6e73ff0a3bc9823ff281628630e4e38c3f246a1b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0785035705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"27e70022df39c1286195f35f6e73ff0a3bc9823ff281628630e4e38c3f246a1b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0839194401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"374d20db009e901bb92d4ab0f5b1d2e33ce1019cf561eee1e75b4fc68a290808","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0416698395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"374d20db009e901bb92d4ab0f5b1d2e33ce1019cf561eee1e75b4fc68a290808","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0425795601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"374d20db009e901bb92d4ab0f5b1d2e33ce1019cf561eee1e75b4fc68a290808","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0437492334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"374d20db009e901bb92d4ab0f5b1d2e33ce1019cf561eee1e75b4fc68a290808","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.045369767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"374d20db009e901bb92d4ab0f5b1d2e33ce1019cf561eee1e75b4fc68a290808","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0474889334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"37bb9720a8980c257e8b6ec59b1d9e6a30c36e5ddf38293eeccbb98175dcda18","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0422141082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"37bb9720a8980c257e8b6ec59b1d9e6a30c36e5ddf38293eeccbb98175dcda18","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0426016054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"37bb9720a8980c257e8b6ec59b1d9e6a30c36e5ddf38293eeccbb98175dcda18","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0433403727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"37bb9720a8980c257e8b6ec59b1d9e6a30c36e5ddf38293eeccbb98175dcda18","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0445655911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"37bb9720a8980c257e8b6ec59b1d9e6a30c36e5ddf38293eeccbb98175dcda18","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0468094838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531913008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539503862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550641508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565325491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0592059842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3bbe65cba1ada663992b871337c71ee014f315503897beae00550619c0886cba","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0467220299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3bbe65cba1ada663992b871337c71ee014f315503897beae00550619c0886cba","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0496194633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3bbe65cba1ada663992b871337c71ee014f315503897beae00550619c0886cba","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543322016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3bbe65cba1ada663992b871337c71ee014f315503897beae00550619c0886cba","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0597719346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3bbe65cba1ada663992b871337c71ee014f315503897beae00550619c0886cba","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676674678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3978956826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082851278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2131149562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2428808752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2327904489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3fc41392cc7af95f3974c74323958db08c9756f63f159770ff0fae2ad3867a2d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065644619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3fc41392cc7af95f3974c74323958db08c9756f63f159770ff0fae2ad3867a2d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0670400633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3fc41392cc7af95f3974c74323958db08c9756f63f159770ff0fae2ad3867a2d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0698731335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3fc41392cc7af95f3974c74323958db08c9756f63f159770ff0fae2ad3867a2d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.073206291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3fc41392cc7af95f3974c74323958db08c9756f63f159770ff0fae2ad3867a2d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0781365277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"436b56dbec711452fc8eaab9dd4f18eb80112950cda18c11a54c9e242f78caa3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0452049955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"436b56dbec711452fc8eaab9dd4f18eb80112950cda18c11a54c9e242f78caa3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0456686285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"436b56dbec711452fc8eaab9dd4f18eb80112950cda18c11a54c9e242f78caa3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0467903475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"436b56dbec711452fc8eaab9dd4f18eb80112950cda18c11a54c9e242f78caa3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.048364427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"436b56dbec711452fc8eaab9dd4f18eb80112950cda18c11a54c9e242f78caa3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504105938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"45effc3f2f4b36c0bdd3705be79836c6f20685f189da217126fd2105dd504b34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.844914383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"45effc3f2f4b36c0bdd3705be79836c6f20685f189da217126fd2105dd504b34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070124359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"45effc3f2f4b36c0bdd3705be79836c6f20685f189da217126fd2105dd504b34","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0773638061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"45effc3f2f4b36c0bdd3705be79836c6f20685f189da217126fd2105dd504b34","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7531308714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"45effc3f2f4b36c0bdd3705be79836c6f20685f189da217126fd2105dd504b34","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0949032689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0580764924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0482038372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0506356377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545674271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0597720709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1355184269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1403135282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1526492109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1736994663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1728978358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4940d17de83bf8e1a4992fdf8fd7296279f28fb4ef3934dbd0aff74632b39538","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0664002953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4940d17de83bf8e1a4992fdf8fd7296279f28fb4ef3934dbd0aff74632b39538","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0688775499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4940d17de83bf8e1a4992fdf8fd7296279f28fb4ef3934dbd0aff74632b39538","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0747469161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4940d17de83bf8e1a4992fdf8fd7296279f28fb4ef3934dbd0aff74632b39538","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834357618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4940d17de83bf8e1a4992fdf8fd7296279f28fb4ef3934dbd0aff74632b39538","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951739033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0890014029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0920738805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976072946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050285586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058940069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620866449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650275326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0692275019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0762490415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834455799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0669684275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0688275048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071508167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075467229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811683238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"649ef19adcff9d71b160d0b800a1763bace6cefa008d641ba9862fd123f24f04","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2662671539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"649ef19adcff9d71b160d0b800a1763bace6cefa008d641ba9862fd123f24f04","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2805748676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"649ef19adcff9d71b160d0b800a1763bace6cefa008d641ba9862fd123f24f04","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2735203282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"649ef19adcff9d71b160d0b800a1763bace6cefa008d641ba9862fd123f24f04","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2849215632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"649ef19adcff9d71b160d0b800a1763bace6cefa008d641ba9862fd123f24f04","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3058220924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6550e9c72e857dd6927499208796557e812571de330f74aefd10799aa9fe32ec","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554856022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6550e9c72e857dd6927499208796557e812571de330f74aefd10799aa9fe32ec","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0562219606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6550e9c72e857dd6927499208796557e812571de330f74aefd10799aa9fe32ec","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0574175431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6550e9c72e857dd6927499208796557e812571de330f74aefd10799aa9fe32ec","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0588813974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6550e9c72e857dd6927499208796557e812571de330f74aefd10799aa9fe32ec","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.061050293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6abd7481f55934eaf6403849337b5b166b7b001a5914c2aa3c82f5966e3b6251","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0908664348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6abd7481f55934eaf6403849337b5b166b7b001a5914c2aa3c82f5966e3b6251","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0931667816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6abd7481f55934eaf6403849337b5b166b7b001a5914c2aa3c82f5966e3b6251","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0877142305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6abd7481f55934eaf6403849337b5b166b7b001a5914c2aa3c82f5966e3b6251","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058325073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6abd7481f55934eaf6403849337b5b166b7b001a5914c2aa3c82f5966e3b6251","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1013999488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6ddad58cd4547581fa3bfda4e1afcf2fbc3c6c7a83676679f0212232623832b5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0635328617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6ddad58cd4547581fa3bfda4e1afcf2fbc3c6c7a83676679f0212232623832b5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701765859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6ddad58cd4547581fa3bfda4e1afcf2fbc3c6c7a83676679f0212232623832b5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0772047164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6ddad58cd4547581fa3bfda4e1afcf2fbc3c6c7a83676679f0212232623832b5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087180689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6ddad58cd4547581fa3bfda4e1afcf2fbc3c6c7a83676679f0212232623832b5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984783337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7020f827b201715cd1abfd774f2cec168daa8227aabf2be4e3dcd3d47a12b776","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3468572927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7020f827b201715cd1abfd774f2cec168daa8227aabf2be4e3dcd3d47a12b776","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3439027688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7020f827b201715cd1abfd774f2cec168daa8227aabf2be4e3dcd3d47a12b776","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3414391505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7020f827b201715cd1abfd774f2cec168daa8227aabf2be4e3dcd3d47a12b776","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2822577644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7020f827b201715cd1abfd774f2cec168daa8227aabf2be4e3dcd3d47a12b776","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3365164591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"711409a039d2c1fb4b00672768d92cb9a092282d3096c8f673be2fd44915dd4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2646129387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"711409a039d2c1fb4b00672768d92cb9a092282d3096c8f673be2fd44915dd4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2492570509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"711409a039d2c1fb4b00672768d92cb9a092282d3096c8f673be2fd44915dd4e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2426915079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"711409a039d2c1fb4b00672768d92cb9a092282d3096c8f673be2fd44915dd4e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2420503762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"711409a039d2c1fb4b00672768d92cb9a092282d3096c8f673be2fd44915dd4e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2946360377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"72092650debefbf0c8c973d60983f5ca636e7d717ea6d584c53f2de1aa9cf049","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520868089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"72092650debefbf0c8c973d60983f5ca636e7d717ea6d584c53f2de1aa9cf049","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527788493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"72092650debefbf0c8c973d60983f5ca636e7d717ea6d584c53f2de1aa9cf049","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539062047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"72092650debefbf0c8c973d60983f5ca636e7d717ea6d584c53f2de1aa9cf049","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055635283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"72092650debefbf0c8c973d60983f5ca636e7d717ea6d584c53f2de1aa9cf049","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0579952203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0626719134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649129425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0683729627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0730865646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0787762958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519492644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052015173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522253988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525015331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531288922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"88fd3752ee3838fb46f66b14503061e658c46f12d26909b975c1b1f5da69dde4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609807439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"88fd3752ee3838fb46f66b14503061e658c46f12d26909b975c1b1f5da69dde4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0611246065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"88fd3752ee3838fb46f66b14503061e658c46f12d26909b975c1b1f5da69dde4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650100327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"88fd3752ee3838fb46f66b14503061e658c46f12d26909b975c1b1f5da69dde4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071984709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"88fd3752ee3838fb46f66b14503061e658c46f12d26909b975c1b1f5da69dde4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0751558677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"938371b1a1a68ec787a1c1c24976264e7042e9227d6a95d8fcbc2e3fb08b83b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0517208115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"938371b1a1a68ec787a1c1c24976264e7042e9227d6a95d8fcbc2e3fb08b83b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535184348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"938371b1a1a68ec787a1c1c24976264e7042e9227d6a95d8fcbc2e3fb08b83b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.05815031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"938371b1a1a68ec787a1c1c24976264e7042e9227d6a95d8fcbc2e3fb08b83b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650530324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"938371b1a1a68ec787a1c1c24976264e7042e9227d6a95d8fcbc2e3fb08b83b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0731649277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9994df23bccf6fbeb343126c2f01a84231237f2970106e143ae6a44d110f884d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0777751667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9994df23bccf6fbeb343126c2f01a84231237f2970106e143ae6a44d110f884d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797894702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9994df23bccf6fbeb343126c2f01a84231237f2970106e143ae6a44d110f884d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.079351837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9994df23bccf6fbeb343126c2f01a84231237f2970106e143ae6a44d110f884d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0823283153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9994df23bccf6fbeb343126c2f01a84231237f2970106e143ae6a44d110f884d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7557432614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"99aa6344239ecc2cedd893fc6527bd6b7d82b6e61f78b0f3364b9a3ec5ab4416","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0425447876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"99aa6344239ecc2cedd893fc6527bd6b7d82b6e61f78b0f3364b9a3ec5ab4416","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0437504607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"99aa6344239ecc2cedd893fc6527bd6b7d82b6e61f78b0f3364b9a3ec5ab4416","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0461721702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"99aa6344239ecc2cedd893fc6527bd6b7d82b6e61f78b0f3364b9a3ec5ab4416","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0498189618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"99aa6344239ecc2cedd893fc6527bd6b7d82b6e61f78b0f3364b9a3ec5ab4416","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549321517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9cd72948f0b09ec8d0e6e9d8443bcfad462a80a7d044de3c15ba6076ee498520","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1363356937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9cd72948f0b09ec8d0e6e9d8443bcfad462a80a7d044de3c15ba6076ee498520","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1454747178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9cd72948f0b09ec8d0e6e9d8443bcfad462a80a7d044de3c15ba6076ee498520","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1789757459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9cd72948f0b09ec8d0e6e9d8443bcfad462a80a7d044de3c15ba6076ee498520","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1741594175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9cd72948f0b09ec8d0e6e9d8443bcfad462a80a7d044de3c15ba6076ee498520","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1743301889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9fbd7500f94298949defd9d8e8f06567e1cde07e760ed93ccc79025279961114","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628095033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9fbd7500f94298949defd9d8e8f06567e1cde07e760ed93ccc79025279961114","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628471394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9fbd7500f94298949defd9d8e8f06567e1cde07e760ed93ccc79025279961114","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0629775475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9fbd7500f94298949defd9d8e8f06567e1cde07e760ed93ccc79025279961114","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632043641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9fbd7500f94298949defd9d8e8f06567e1cde07e760ed93ccc79025279961114","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0640812667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a110951cb1e6878652f5697b879f988626c2ff2dbe44be50f42469b63b219e80","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2800879621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a110951cb1e6878652f5697b879f988626c2ff2dbe44be50f42469b63b219e80","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2821895831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a110951cb1e6878652f5697b879f988626c2ff2dbe44be50f42469b63b219e80","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3013292161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a110951cb1e6878652f5697b879f988626c2ff2dbe44be50f42469b63b219e80","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3268639842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a110951cb1e6878652f5697b879f988626c2ff2dbe44be50f42469b63b219e80","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3091219319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a4d24c43cb10f0fe11e49b7ae2194a39433d4e71218b24a6296f92bcf7183310","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633413181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a4d24c43cb10f0fe11e49b7ae2194a39433d4e71218b24a6296f92bcf7183310","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633004093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a4d24c43cb10f0fe11e49b7ae2194a39433d4e71218b24a6296f92bcf7183310","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636772715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a4d24c43cb10f0fe11e49b7ae2194a39433d4e71218b24a6296f92bcf7183310","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637498187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a4d24c43cb10f0fe11e49b7ae2194a39433d4e71218b24a6296f92bcf7183310","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645325021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0454776753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473878886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0498855977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053433299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0580991741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0468493017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0461265797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0481767011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520314456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056877183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520572182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525060785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538072054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546424266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0569255008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ae45dbc5ad3d8f7b9e405255b4201e97aee7fbef1f895794f03074f96cee9a53","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0735867091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ae45dbc5ad3d8f7b9e405255b4201e97aee7fbef1f895794f03074f96cee9a53","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0744790222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ae45dbc5ad3d8f7b9e405255b4201e97aee7fbef1f895794f03074f96cee9a53","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0745524744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ae45dbc5ad3d8f7b9e405255b4201e97aee7fbef1f895794f03074f96cee9a53","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768913096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ae45dbc5ad3d8f7b9e405255b4201e97aee7fbef1f895794f03074f96cee9a53","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0766794929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567765019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0587673965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062426597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676858768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0747592797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"c3792ed73906350a1ec5495c99397d11ef3873284bb5ad8bccf9f70df9dfda73","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1261766769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"c3792ed73906350a1ec5495c99397d11ef3873284bb5ad8bccf9f70df9dfda73","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1299621038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"c3792ed73906350a1ec5495c99397d11ef3873284bb5ad8bccf9f70df9dfda73","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1393629443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"c3792ed73906350a1ec5495c99397d11ef3873284bb5ad8bccf9f70df9dfda73","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1468257989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"c3792ed73906350a1ec5495c99397d11ef3873284bb5ad8bccf9f70df9dfda73","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1536712034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"caf8045bf0832f64838bf7728a5a1f30ea5c6f739f6c3528930d71f749569ec5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029167559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"caf8045bf0832f64838bf7728a5a1f30ea5c6f739f6c3528930d71f749569ec5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1008820889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"caf8045bf0832f64838bf7728a5a1f30ea5c6f739f6c3528930d71f749569ec5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1002341391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"caf8045bf0832f64838bf7728a5a1f30ea5c6f739f6c3528930d71f749569ec5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045062897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"caf8045bf0832f64838bf7728a5a1f30ea5c6f739f6c3528930d71f749569ec5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089428482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d154ff8967515b7656737f09bdca9d620a6e5aac0809301ee6f461d0bde3e8bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.072921884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d154ff8967515b7656737f09bdca9d620a6e5aac0809301ee6f461d0bde3e8bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0733926987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d154ff8967515b7656737f09bdca9d620a6e5aac0809301ee6f461d0bde3e8bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0756661821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d154ff8967515b7656737f09bdca9d620a6e5aac0809301ee6f461d0bde3e8bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0773493517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d154ff8967515b7656737f09bdca9d620a6e5aac0809301ee6f461d0bde3e8bb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803942385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1697483588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1585322588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1641966266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1753201817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2147753027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d2bb7badb3d0a1acccc864328504d7f226b4097adff8a57f8e43aab0a051ad65","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4304739094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d2bb7badb3d0a1acccc864328504d7f226b4097adff8a57f8e43aab0a051ad65","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2180372789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d2bb7badb3d0a1acccc864328504d7f226b4097adff8a57f8e43aab0a051ad65","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3726889223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d2bb7badb3d0a1acccc864328504d7f226b4097adff8a57f8e43aab0a051ad65","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3456056655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d2bb7badb3d0a1acccc864328504d7f226b4097adff8a57f8e43aab0a051ad65","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3279892487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d392b398d3410b7720e8ebc58aeaf9b4746299387caf1a09992bb7529093a77c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3174756891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d392b398d3410b7720e8ebc58aeaf9b4746299387caf1a09992bb7529093a77c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3283399734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d392b398d3410b7720e8ebc58aeaf9b4746299387caf1a09992bb7529093a77c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2898218456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d392b398d3410b7720e8ebc58aeaf9b4746299387caf1a09992bb7529093a77c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2887077173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d392b398d3410b7720e8ebc58aeaf9b4746299387caf1a09992bb7529093a77c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2731489219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d847df467fc41d7e9893d00a03b3422162b5d1c83088dfe91685acaaec55c1b7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0754439119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d847df467fc41d7e9893d00a03b3422162b5d1c83088dfe91685acaaec55c1b7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0745021006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d847df467fc41d7e9893d00a03b3422162b5d1c83088dfe91685acaaec55c1b7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0733458832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d847df467fc41d7e9893d00a03b3422162b5d1c83088dfe91685acaaec55c1b7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0754578223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d847df467fc41d7e9893d00a03b3422162b5d1c83088dfe91685acaaec55c1b7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0737732473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3001167249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921481922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3231245115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3160336542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3339880685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"dc7827b14e38f0e6c78e5404377b02793ba6dec39990f72ec85310600a5313b7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5132458504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"dc7827b14e38f0e6c78e5404377b02793ba6dec39990f72ec85310600a5313b7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5157606048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"dc7827b14e38f0e6c78e5404377b02793ba6dec39990f72ec85310600a5313b7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4975516468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"dc7827b14e38f0e6c78e5404377b02793ba6dec39990f72ec85310600a5313b7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1951867639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"dc7827b14e38f0e6c78e5404377b02793ba6dec39990f72ec85310600a5313b7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2066128623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e1df9b16b73d978f78d31a83ea2d6aa84f7c081b60fb27810b249389bae2eab4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2363387816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e1df9b16b73d978f78d31a83ea2d6aa84f7c081b60fb27810b249389bae2eab4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586099371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e1df9b16b73d978f78d31a83ea2d6aa84f7c081b60fb27810b249389bae2eab4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3088798882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e1df9b16b73d978f78d31a83ea2d6aa84f7c081b60fb27810b249389bae2eab4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3148518446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e1df9b16b73d978f78d31a83ea2d6aa84f7c081b60fb27810b249389bae2eab4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.324833999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e24c62f161efe95f5a1b28f394fe3562e3f1f6357f1b0c8e8306328ec8c354aa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2345311029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e24c62f161efe95f5a1b28f394fe3562e3f1f6357f1b0c8e8306328ec8c354aa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2468755582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e24c62f161efe95f5a1b28f394fe3562e3f1f6357f1b0c8e8306328ec8c354aa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2678324506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e24c62f161efe95f5a1b28f394fe3562e3f1f6357f1b0c8e8306328ec8c354aa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4111567828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e24c62f161efe95f5a1b28f394fe3562e3f1f6357f1b0c8e8306328ec8c354aa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2552503606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3449334431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3324648524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3581553466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2959656189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2803520965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e35510d7e711ec7a2001e4046137a30cfea9fbc946e11b99cc2d319ef5b3c652","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0562440512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e35510d7e711ec7a2001e4046137a30cfea9fbc946e11b99cc2d319ef5b3c652","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0586067613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e35510d7e711ec7a2001e4046137a30cfea9fbc946e11b99cc2d319ef5b3c652","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0594565278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e35510d7e711ec7a2001e4046137a30cfea9fbc946e11b99cc2d319ef5b3c652","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.061476013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e35510d7e711ec7a2001e4046137a30cfea9fbc946e11b99cc2d319ef5b3c652","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0669213824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e429dc1fb30f687799c41892ca15a669110805570c9a2e1626af03b6c834142e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0682919178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e429dc1fb30f687799c41892ca15a669110805570c9a2e1626af03b6c834142e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704371294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e429dc1fb30f687799c41892ca15a669110805570c9a2e1626af03b6c834142e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0772693977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e429dc1fb30f687799c41892ca15a669110805570c9a2e1626af03b6c834142e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0781085734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e429dc1fb30f687799c41892ca15a669110805570c9a2e1626af03b6c834142e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0822672248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3372791354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2990396419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3227340143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.29581762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3408743819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e7843625e3901e4111e68ee658d5eff63d1a329fb5bc7f62b5e79246c1125adc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529322572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e7843625e3901e4111e68ee658d5eff63d1a329fb5bc7f62b5e79246c1125adc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539010684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e7843625e3901e4111e68ee658d5eff63d1a329fb5bc7f62b5e79246c1125adc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554707387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e7843625e3901e4111e68ee658d5eff63d1a329fb5bc7f62b5e79246c1125adc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578094489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e7843625e3901e4111e68ee658d5eff63d1a329fb5bc7f62b5e79246c1125adc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0596378446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f13c393f0493e0f437d7667b05bc11404a2ea470d9e202e996d9b884ee03d465","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801445131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f13c393f0493e0f437d7667b05bc11404a2ea470d9e202e996d9b884ee03d465","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0794274729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f13c393f0493e0f437d7667b05bc11404a2ea470d9e202e996d9b884ee03d465","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0809128256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f13c393f0493e0f437d7667b05bc11404a2ea470d9e202e996d9b884ee03d465","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0851766581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f13c393f0493e0f437d7667b05bc11404a2ea470d9e202e996d9b884ee03d465","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.092713694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f5bc3f62ca6ec4b95b69d3419a5c1d261a1942da4746a5416bfbb2fc7e628869","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3971694253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f5bc3f62ca6ec4b95b69d3419a5c1d261a1942da4746a5416bfbb2fc7e628869","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.222416156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f5bc3f62ca6ec4b95b69d3419a5c1d261a1942da4746a5416bfbb2fc7e628869","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3722877888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f5bc3f62ca6ec4b95b69d3419a5c1d261a1942da4746a5416bfbb2fc7e628869","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3542197389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f5bc3f62ca6ec4b95b69d3419a5c1d261a1942da4746a5416bfbb2fc7e628869","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3450334424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1208964882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1131999535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1128181381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1124807769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1163309761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4485713454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1372167781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1512488301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717156344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2064947746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1413122028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1178453287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3250732785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2002167209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1305898225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0918443822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1610302406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4572255806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1211780496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033456096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.13982585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895753031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1624916123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057785742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0779626654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1302441018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2830343706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1792712869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.114107856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7129943918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1273271894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.299991378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1766417188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1189263326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986569034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1898800299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660400442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4451827466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044913724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0736214364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1325895392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3199058362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1948455301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1309132123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960454879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423985585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2892762728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786088897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.119272591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995545532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1354622455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675945848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.168996607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1180623725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0900137137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1364349657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601577412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1894859145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1382531342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6810866702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2656050075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1638575038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1090851654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963443493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1146851245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676649427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1654628006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057942803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0796671984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1369577346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2995648075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1643305533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1097538036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770092632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1520030338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2493476758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.180001001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1207259895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0889864485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1334168513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2667930901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1790578346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1379758635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1236498317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2700056862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1629667275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1087488042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944079998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1102942475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2674024535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1872188279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1318713626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1126033215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1530802987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3026571554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1783661679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1102062149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.08081719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1341122553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738374906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1861844428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1395440339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1359588328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1520166701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2536124232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1587278505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939580031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7821938864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1269304896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2643345206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1583579556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1111862864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0967727553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1640893092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724988751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1879487068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1493894165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6659185992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1417712903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2775175331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1940815036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1237714218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.088789859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1220862068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2887011888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1435167561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0879273653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666957022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1517801434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2333103587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.163399452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1094408446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0764399947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.197506502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2391891536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1814144604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1010499968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423985585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2615287976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1616561499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.105930643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0839910304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1393485807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2605339516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521828057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104919961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0899591687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1721937954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2452941099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1627528933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1241298902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987772861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1620360423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586957908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.163638857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1074579045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0909398433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1789873467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583423255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1664818107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1200089492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0977898388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1366531459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2622622387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1642272884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.109477208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0917046105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1827255367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2636690942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.176943243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1136362685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0815455938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1301577388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2591917873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4909830884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028443019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0865262392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1430894625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2694418399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1732391346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.119790769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0930853277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1567529991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2741314064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3457787572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3306973424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.384970219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3190472685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3173064354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.304602022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3004969352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203108957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3626878589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2696919863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3464968234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3844195184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3073064452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2638920361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3415408289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3445107189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3851979218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3341198857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3107975106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2410410664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4004067508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4641912614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3747741343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2591386151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2915259972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2894900331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.305821525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2551477351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3614997063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3424190781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2871203991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3396459006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4092215222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3434139929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3400672922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3527572496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3879833106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3905921748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3004011676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.15129832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1095352075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096185305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.206860915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2438743463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2123662269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1745859212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.15503725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1996617767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2935474547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2249807164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1999072294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.179726695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.214207125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3068052625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2186156897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.183483101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1686807754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2023072119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3270472101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2122955107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1940569693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1617711443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.269515812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2236297991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2915985649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3068341699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3231157866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3432574025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3617870241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2764882786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.294395552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152198419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3463681216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2449921745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.275959348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879787799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3137282316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.333714949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.359274838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2430729352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2241534133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2067521317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.193661193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1779388243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3424926509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2925421707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3367999212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3840409273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4280888466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.282363117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3027177904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3253657817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3459748798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3740271125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2978313639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3159287999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3416783271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3680748179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3990001435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3308896425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.345849353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2331527396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.385085273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4094136336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4097886318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.35403328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2990273014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2396832976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4285696632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4509172974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1596733398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1346751989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1192621055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110205076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3884890223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3554362921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.321520954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2740983107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3924098498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1167362654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.101442104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3073860423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114400463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2678530676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2698903149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2786162343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2812980591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127234466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3467234287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.387572657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4191499353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2887226092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2828165829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2682961433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601818095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2536195689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1930211646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2165508097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2508515566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3044812921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3661887961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1767065693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1955317249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2242875394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2739307856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3374451214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2827331079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3082168855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3370485695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3688325491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2129658714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2927989527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169925306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867100456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3510451861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3743074212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2821928089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3061299439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3312904545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3512894681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2539858375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3115020664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3423312032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3731839181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4033506913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1920667139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627218709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3254588949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306916714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3190729689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3450424256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2555114963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2375707489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2225677492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2073376687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1898038915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1921274978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1698839592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1532916937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1443073711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1414187263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3174905278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3150733048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127592006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3198591131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167613838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2689327523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308365422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2975645669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3054583571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2800033137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2352837799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2643603447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3036144236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3415752491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3968319422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220780239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3002975267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3221356294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2628561024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4074624513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3535302233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2988830234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3566899371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3737508446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3632822525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3528929151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3480786541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3491373274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3658591237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1826981977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2038625139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365788324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2764971421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3339632775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3160403996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859180633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3249341006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3436625468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3670500188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3044347084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3103515999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3206656972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3251760231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3008534227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3280905435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.360644245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3879247668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4112625406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956966983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3283934994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3678541121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.403323017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4296765596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2531159244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2425792271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316789723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2269401359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2202221034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835292995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2978617818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3512100384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.389678636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2396342377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2552460584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3077167713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.288816436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2699406197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2578578184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286453944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3232741501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3594945472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4044848058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2781862955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2684170131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301366523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3392414861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.290559196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3174879149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3464730487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3654063328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3919268685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2236780158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498778083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816596344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3130089783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3582423735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2931044812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2767800343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3572774441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3712685763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3830432636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3219537544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165652195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3186612474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3313243644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3418695901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3057385338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3320491938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3582306555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3923242633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3731658016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3902607362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3886534784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3813661247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3774620658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3067136413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3174072671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2934704238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3409963482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3535122324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1890559251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1673441791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1471834868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.133717009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1243824679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2209026641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2647510278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3202372362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2337110367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4173055881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.279045953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2536165426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2270158846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2056725856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4531836715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2809929499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3191062611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3555725909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2083078494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1752164279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2910642316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3189911927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3564071581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4041671674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1793779915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3507168192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3160991181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.283056158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3430024284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3802447516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2428586271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2577864703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.283501747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155303432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2546621358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1997164615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1719337987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.149149017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.137059837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1284574224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2061553793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.183017303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1609737636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1486809314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.13844695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3330006957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3544944096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2294262271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2274551577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2134731442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3689965965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.23588233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2455724654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562898086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2697762309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3851708717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3609889048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3681316217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.365652869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3602811526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3418771041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3313863973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2715526403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2697231855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2647581719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3212217706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3362178567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2419206232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2314478814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2185536998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033354805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033991178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103962896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058450072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1100069768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1260670868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1265993102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1284794328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1318061813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1418635169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061216529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079492191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1135969052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225077946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1436621856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0926717852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939356851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0969913901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1025000316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1164271572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1128457928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6258520924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5615254489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4961191432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4079246566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042467012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046651527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1076424491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1125647313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1252397765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1404510442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5433858077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4801134987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4212449104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690299321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1170976069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1231941533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1335758956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1485712407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1716983445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.092100199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0928129774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095482492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1010106334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1175135129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939638213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095359402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1004015015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1087730767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1282861615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2e88b046538e239140043da9471c2b4894615a12173c3a52ee707321acf2ed8d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.089926578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2e88b046538e239140043da9471c2b4894615a12173c3a52ee707321acf2ed8d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990173298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2e88b046538e239140043da9471c2b4894615a12173c3a52ee707321acf2ed8d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6896131534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2e88b046538e239140043da9471c2b4894615a12173c3a52ee707321acf2ed8d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6381965743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2e88b046538e239140043da9471c2b4894615a12173c3a52ee707321acf2ed8d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5563537629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0930411007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939964119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987716952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1068205455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1248316413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042648369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043320183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.106254686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1103128382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1180908269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0925807859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0935309153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0971454798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0640400398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1258759519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041762467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1049900135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1085961689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1144832623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1270316252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1217259822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.139707669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1643711253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1986799657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2427250986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813536861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0822992701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0840923933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0871921434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962227593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039352939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041945193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1055583729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1084499882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1188307306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077804712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834262618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0923534694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1062715496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1295622886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0948182241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044397448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1199032682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1449258127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1904572984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0815730026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0826151769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0852662029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0900641679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050410585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1140648814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1291986474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1500148572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1770527097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2190794519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1307247801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1438456388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1609331504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1823119034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5569546221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.107999946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1180896451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1343940715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1591166182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2050890098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2096753399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2237336209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.261324025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3190588224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.357709461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0921016985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0928536475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0943921363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979739283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1082126263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0949602685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974034325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040442931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.117398741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1517439448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0814582308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0824901778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0859149255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0934580522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1130135458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039637482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050242405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1095587528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1178386924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1385217231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0922081982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0926733779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940888772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965777567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043920178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2250161824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.226625398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2348490197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2482705126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2739203253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0926194674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0936413236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976784305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1056351906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1274213951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094622771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991306926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1094760716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1265168563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1706983518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0924626508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0930447389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960368175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029182104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1216498464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0927854212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0945585446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983977452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043318024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1179635551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1452905828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1557450519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1757074061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1995583683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2401524355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0929728739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951536762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1003501837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1083810342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1240589197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1129033193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1348395228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1653574817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4523872039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3650651143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1172283332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1198351323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262987215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1382713613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1647349408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2271252125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2324888097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.285933874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2623431371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3286517438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1191373647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1285259325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1456758073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1631393161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1944754509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0923636966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1001988666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1149805769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1329895363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16771201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038227947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043967905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1064140485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1103829286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1235852413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2254115886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2212979823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2283570217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2447779964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2778766026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2489341441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2447750836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2484659657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2568310975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2737149835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1794411075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.164552738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1874073207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4342055185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3710877976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0926016948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0933792346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962072594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1007279991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1113215127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1149284409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1156875263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1171329702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1193590904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1260273144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938354131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0952413574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.101778446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1101988391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1307624616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1678120093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1853482448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082026234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.236861505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3769004185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2662537784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2570593346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2502460445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2444803515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356160257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2550297268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2401165952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2252512665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3956770093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4288646108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618878765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2524096553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.242731078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2335524455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2233038223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2628131072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2486359899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.235841712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3759769901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4034308625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2602863097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2484835511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3546811504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3781588569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4052014648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2626446633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2466385275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2314190095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3836405627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4133709337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2719150117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3268434179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2415229502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3733714714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2121115098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644905694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2546919879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2417431312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2296352222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2157643979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2588582129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2482769345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2358193634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3745274139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4002975466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2555632524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2453660499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2321154934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2203054003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2038368705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.277579362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2630845349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2449675649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3670985421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2134957171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2678940178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2515674674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2354102803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.221952195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2040920725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2604072008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2477159057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3519189823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2299012249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2126760627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220693395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3362470272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3498313577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3639095619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.388059779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2632368439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2523730483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2393193881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2274735018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.211147164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3255244906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2501356759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2475504779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2458422936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.243263878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2613555139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3325514487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3532437272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3759817636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4052525541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619606729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2539029799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.245270649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2409349156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2349014774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2499891866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2366845132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3697412841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3836666775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2138537445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3526716011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3618203746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3743020968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3934304623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4218180517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203447218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2600806792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583390042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2598426276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2581032361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2474344071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2401224128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.233160713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.368996641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3877541572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2679064912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2540314593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2402008048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2280917097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2162131665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3284618102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2531551133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2499604884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2483708741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2461830362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2513378863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2403848862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.372255049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2193153222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4083878637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2575258124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2482946739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2393665676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.228824377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2135900558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2641245137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2463544697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.228960401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.394425069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4248073643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2512995195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2436928602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2369730312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316517209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2293813866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2612669156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3324929101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2462366545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.243408885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2364557445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.267135278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2540486257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.245920658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2446352273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2340986211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145609495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2599139486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2503585407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2431116722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.238683789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2597512934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2441815729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2273489599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.212917508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1958283547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2620545369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2528275191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2443925299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2384890122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.230079834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2550747646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3391453468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3518803844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2309858883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226626607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KVUE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.261704837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KVUE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3280055792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KVUE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3439084276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KVUE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3577916688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KVUE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3795408844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2631616316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2475367169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3557971809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3799604533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4117479288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2602751697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2456610576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2336412128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2217332022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2022702389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2685011908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2716941009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772377875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3115878095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2961562153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2712180494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2596330298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3384408109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3533469074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3745518829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2594323491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2456220472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2335902904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.229011959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2060018834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2652019481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2489629236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2350431143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2189661806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2065159374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2580211083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.248974901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2396295747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2318013954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2220530867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2720710289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.260252106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2542162107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2473811782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3669333785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3224783044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2442438385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3664464882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3887137436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2017839214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2525413529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2371624508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.222397477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2128855978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2030775059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2439714661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3617123873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3719367984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3882682568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4132846324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3195621536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3259528247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3323704459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3406519549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3541358498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2931491302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798325935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2600583878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2465063607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2283776382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2628753402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3302729031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2487232152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2446077742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2345104095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2684593449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3342977852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2387673675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2260413405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4038850696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676340031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2567177471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2429598317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2291588476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.394971576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2659841314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2525731891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2375389296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3745016406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4081164222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314870583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3307831903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2353699301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3756735031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4053897593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644306794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2553235715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2460986496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2375725126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2277265479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653390533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.250658657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2397507795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3698300619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4020814386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2549771729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2467861416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2371565166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.229685572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2196324618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3290083076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3358040137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3392030547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3444236208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3638778598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2628416108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2501858978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2359273668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2251499473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2118028338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3334211507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2412161297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3681457597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3889287304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.201467127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2345016991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2303147728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3691913663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3748052731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3836808514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618041296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2520000175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3509229122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3697029378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.394911351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26908479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2652763784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2614303394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2558026829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2472985024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0bbebaa2c975f9b4ddee2db64f2630dff8a3978f18e9522d0d9e768fb3b43e9a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1859654617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0bbebaa2c975f9b4ddee2db64f2630dff8a3978f18e9522d0d9e768fb3b43e9a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2061633854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0bbebaa2c975f9b4ddee2db64f2630dff8a3978f18e9522d0d9e768fb3b43e9a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2051832435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0bbebaa2c975f9b4ddee2db64f2630dff8a3978f18e9522d0d9e768fb3b43e9a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.221925667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0bbebaa2c975f9b4ddee2db64f2630dff8a3978f18e9522d0d9e768fb3b43e9a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2384480586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0d2f01f665eb2ba1bdc98a0827c9bd6b885bd6b6b6eb3940ca5c14268f350b98","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278977813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0d2f01f665eb2ba1bdc98a0827c9bd6b885bd6b6b6eb3940ca5c14268f350b98","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278977813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0d2f01f665eb2ba1bdc98a0827c9bd6b885bd6b6b6eb3940ca5c14268f350b98","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278977813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0d2f01f665eb2ba1bdc98a0827c9bd6b885bd6b6b6eb3940ca5c14268f350b98","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278977813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0d2f01f665eb2ba1bdc98a0827c9bd6b885bd6b6b6eb3940ca5c14268f350b98","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278983814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"13d316bde5b42878373d60756d8b44aea44719b36d5140fd01dc4a39e4dc669a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0283976537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"13d316bde5b42878373d60756d8b44aea44719b36d5140fd01dc4a39e4dc669a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0283976537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"13d316bde5b42878373d60756d8b44aea44719b36d5140fd01dc4a39e4dc669a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0283976537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"13d316bde5b42878373d60756d8b44aea44719b36d5140fd01dc4a39e4dc669a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0284576624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"13d316bde5b42878373d60756d8b44aea44719b36d5140fd01dc4a39e4dc669a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0284576624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801815494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0738708359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0760583526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0823176586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0792258111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b821deda9429dbe4a11f4f9e2273482924641c8c5d9f8a5cf140a5cc6b4cf9e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2046319637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b821deda9429dbe4a11f4f9e2273482924641c8c5d9f8a5cf140a5cc6b4cf9e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2463374006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b821deda9429dbe4a11f4f9e2273482924641c8c5d9f8a5cf140a5cc6b4cf9e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4727219699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b821deda9429dbe4a11f4f9e2273482924641c8c5d9f8a5cf140a5cc6b4cf9e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4034121372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b821deda9429dbe4a11f4f9e2273482924641c8c5d9f8a5cf140a5cc6b4cf9e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4104729593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b89485888b4ccaf75f0d9bbb699035705875a20289f045617fd5f94e058e281","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0391792143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b89485888b4ccaf75f0d9bbb699035705875a20289f045617fd5f94e058e281","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0345377424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b89485888b4ccaf75f0d9bbb699035705875a20289f045617fd5f94e058e281","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0346267553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b89485888b4ccaf75f0d9bbb699035705875a20289f045617fd5f94e058e281","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0344985368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b89485888b4ccaf75f0d9bbb699035705875a20289f045617fd5f94e058e281","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0356387018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1ecedf1339eab28c215082edfbdf55116d606bb98da6b07c2d9d1a3f68df2557","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0785611149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1ecedf1339eab28c215082edfbdf55116d606bb98da6b07c2d9d1a3f68df2557","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0840769133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1ecedf1339eab28c215082edfbdf55116d606bb98da6b07c2d9d1a3f68df2557","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0805484025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1ecedf1339eab28c215082edfbdf55116d606bb98da6b07c2d9d1a3f68df2557","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821456337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1ecedf1339eab28c215082edfbdf55116d606bb98da6b07c2d9d1a3f68df2557","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0848500252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2db9a683dc3c509378b6c64f74a9b2fc09c99d93b3e40d505165ae53dcaa91be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0779498264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2db9a683dc3c509378b6c64f74a9b2fc09c99d93b3e40d505165ae53dcaa91be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0779520267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2db9a683dc3c509378b6c64f74a9b2fc09c99d93b3e40d505165ae53dcaa91be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0780546415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2db9a683dc3c509378b6c64f74a9b2fc09c99d93b3e40d505165ae53dcaa91be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078057642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2db9a683dc3c509378b6c64f74a9b2fc09c99d93b3e40d505165ae53dcaa91be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782048633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2e089db53f54ed4247a51722d1430bc44d33f34c2c831d722ebddeec4eea8846","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1892691399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2e089db53f54ed4247a51722d1430bc44d33f34c2c831d722ebddeec4eea8846","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2616482168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2e089db53f54ed4247a51722d1430bc44d33f34c2c831d722ebddeec4eea8846","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4209312731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2e089db53f54ed4247a51722d1430bc44d33f34c2c831d722ebddeec4eea8846","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3052339259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2e089db53f54ed4247a51722d1430bc44d33f34c2c831d722ebddeec4eea8846","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2435986041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1288521945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1290722264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1295522959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1301123769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1311325246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"36687d3bebf951b40778ba2f114cc2a1d58b1e17c2e6d69e851e1ed1d16f5855","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2925680925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"36687d3bebf951b40778ba2f114cc2a1d58b1e17c2e6d69e851e1ed1d16f5855","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3817760054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"36687d3bebf951b40778ba2f114cc2a1d58b1e17c2e6d69e851e1ed1d16f5855","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4311959589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"36687d3bebf951b40778ba2f114cc2a1d58b1e17c2e6d69e851e1ed1d16f5855","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3036656989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"36687d3bebf951b40778ba2f114cc2a1d58b1e17c2e6d69e851e1ed1d16f5855","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2146878193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0311380503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0336384123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0374989711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042299666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0482805317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"404a8ce920f7ea0dcef124bdcc07f6a03e736c8720ad663860d407db30c781f3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0428197413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"404a8ce920f7ea0dcef124bdcc07f6a03e736c8720ad663860d407db30c781f3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0456201466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"404a8ce920f7ea0dcef124bdcc07f6a03e736c8720ad663860d407db30c781f3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0495207112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"404a8ce920f7ea0dcef124bdcc07f6a03e736c8720ad663860d407db30c781f3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540213627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"404a8ce920f7ea0dcef124bdcc07f6a03e736c8720ad663860d407db30c781f3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0623425672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"42bf94fbe729e5a33ade25e1ceb2599f9fc55d2310ee41420f19a06f12076c36","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0313380793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"42bf94fbe729e5a33ade25e1ceb2599f9fc55d2310ee41420f19a06f12076c36","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.031018033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"42bf94fbe729e5a33ade25e1ceb2599f9fc55d2310ee41420f19a06f12076c36","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0309180185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"42bf94fbe729e5a33ade25e1ceb2599f9fc55d2310ee41420f19a06f12076c36","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0313380793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"42bf94fbe729e5a33ade25e1ceb2599f9fc55d2310ee41420f19a06f12076c36","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0334583862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278777784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278777784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278777784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278777784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278777784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2941043149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3029143901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.22104894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2735205353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3412319366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0343785194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.034403523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0350586178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0357637199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0365788379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4694372f99f6236f495badc4707b58d724d5bc40f6e91be8be914c6826359858","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.241373482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4694372f99f6236f495badc4707b58d724d5bc40f6e91be8be914c6826359858","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2597543427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4694372f99f6236f495badc4707b58d724d5bc40f6e91be8be914c6826359858","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3130926634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4694372f99f6236f495badc4707b58d724d5bc40f6e91be8be914c6826359858","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3261199491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4694372f99f6236f495badc4707b58d724d5bc40f6e91be8be914c6826359858","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3255334642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0732379443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789747747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834106168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0855517267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0760797557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"48f47b7008c99ef265cdd5b778d04880fd1ab7464b85d5e4223cd3fc30836331","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0295778245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"48f47b7008c99ef265cdd5b778d04880fd1ab7464b85d5e4223cd3fc30836331","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0310780417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"48f47b7008c99ef265cdd5b778d04880fd1ab7464b85d5e4223cd3fc30836331","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0338984499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"48f47b7008c99ef265cdd5b778d04880fd1ab7464b85d5e4223cd3fc30836331","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0377990145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"48f47b7008c99ef265cdd5b778d04880fd1ab7464b85d5e4223cd3fc30836331","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0429597615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4965044a81b3a0df40724eb16d09aaff4ab3afb166af5b6a54dd960f853d847c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2157079669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4965044a81b3a0df40724eb16d09aaff4ab3afb166af5b6a54dd960f853d847c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3344027481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4965044a81b3a0df40724eb16d09aaff4ab3afb166af5b6a54dd960f853d847c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3419830453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4965044a81b3a0df40724eb16d09aaff4ab3afb166af5b6a54dd960f853d847c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498419078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4965044a81b3a0df40724eb16d09aaff4ab3afb166af5b6a54dd960f853d847c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.350319452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"53890f771d8cfb8ed330fbef2e3509bf65102455d7b205c2f38ef76e431a8487","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2581825152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"53890f771d8cfb8ed330fbef2e3509bf65102455d7b205c2f38ef76e431a8487","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2919384013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"53890f771d8cfb8ed330fbef2e3509bf65102455d7b205c2f38ef76e431a8487","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2097905104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"53890f771d8cfb8ed330fbef2e3509bf65102455d7b205c2f38ef76e431a8487","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2550220577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"53890f771d8cfb8ed330fbef2e3509bf65102455d7b205c2f38ef76e431a8487","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2904543865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"593eaeefbaa4a037bfc14cdc487ba9ffc4f8e10938291cc2814ae5ee269a3751","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278779784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"593eaeefbaa4a037bfc14cdc487ba9ffc4f8e10938291cc2814ae5ee269a3751","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278779784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"593eaeefbaa4a037bfc14cdc487ba9ffc4f8e10938291cc2814ae5ee269a3751","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278785785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"593eaeefbaa4a037bfc14cdc487ba9ffc4f8e10938291cc2814ae5ee269a3751","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278795787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"593eaeefbaa4a037bfc14cdc487ba9ffc4f8e10938291cc2814ae5ee269a3751","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278827791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5b473ffd3b0a98afd2f6e6ecd922cd40881b63c276a75738501290cc10b19566","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.378436522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5b473ffd3b0a98afd2f6e6ecd922cd40881b63c276a75738501290cc10b19566","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4849525402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5b473ffd3b0a98afd2f6e6ecd922cd40881b63c276a75738501290cc10b19566","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1626082807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5b473ffd3b0a98afd2f6e6ecd922cd40881b63c276a75738501290cc10b19566","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5302903029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5b473ffd3b0a98afd2f6e6ecd922cd40881b63c276a75738501290cc10b19566","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1287321771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5c4848dc44539a8c3a98fc902ffbbffd439ba3955cb1e82f37080efef9f22f9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278779784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5c4848dc44539a8c3a98fc902ffbbffd439ba3955cb1e82f37080efef9f22f9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278779784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5c4848dc44539a8c3a98fc902ffbbffd439ba3955cb1e82f37080efef9f22f9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278779784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5c4848dc44539a8c3a98fc902ffbbffd439ba3955cb1e82f37080efef9f22f9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278779784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5c4848dc44539a8c3a98fc902ffbbffd439ba3955cb1e82f37080efef9f22f9d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0278785785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0279175842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0279175842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0279175842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0279175842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0280025965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6ae5f6f9b6cbcd807fe5c6d7e35aa1c25cf0bda40ff43f8667c4bc7b1f605585","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.081325315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6ae5f6f9b6cbcd807fe5c6d7e35aa1c25cf0bda40ff43f8667c4bc7b1f605585","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0816253584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6ae5f6f9b6cbcd807fe5c6d7e35aa1c25cf0bda40ff43f8667c4bc7b1f605585","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0819654076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6ae5f6f9b6cbcd807fe5c6d7e35aa1c25cf0bda40ff43f8667c4bc7b1f605585","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0823454626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6ae5f6f9b6cbcd807fe5c6d7e35aa1c25cf0bda40ff43f8667c4bc7b1f605585","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834456219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6bfe94e960b30db21ced0a03062b489eba64a0936ed204a33cc5caa2447e6a8f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791962068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6bfe94e960b30db21ced0a03062b489eba64a0936ed204a33cc5caa2447e6a8f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0847570117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6bfe94e960b30db21ced0a03062b489eba64a0936ed204a33cc5caa2447e6a8f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1063539379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6bfe94e960b30db21ced0a03062b489eba64a0936ed204a33cc5caa2447e6a8f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1272911686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6bfe94e960b30db21ced0a03062b489eba64a0936ed204a33cc5caa2447e6a8f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1458738584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"734c95295ab4009bc60b70b548574b22fb3eefb2b0cb571c338e6ea0a6bd728d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554265661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"734c95295ab4009bc60b70b548574b22fb3eefb2b0cb571c338e6ea0a6bd728d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0634765314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"734c95295ab4009bc60b70b548574b22fb3eefb2b0cb571c338e6ea0a6bd728d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1080891891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"734c95295ab4009bc60b70b548574b22fb3eefb2b0cb571c338e6ea0a6bd728d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0572890357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"734c95295ab4009bc60b70b548574b22fb3eefb2b0cb571c338e6ea0a6bd728d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538413367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"75173b97044c7040dafe3f970e74bfb8917e05ebc9aea6c91eb142b7f7186a91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.038859168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"75173b97044c7040dafe3f970e74bfb8917e05ebc9aea6c91eb142b7f7186a91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.038859168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"75173b97044c7040dafe3f970e74bfb8917e05ebc9aea6c91eb142b7f7186a91","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0394792577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"75173b97044c7040dafe3f970e74bfb8917e05ebc9aea6c91eb142b7f7186a91","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0401393533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"75173b97044c7040dafe3f970e74bfb8917e05ebc9aea6c91eb142b7f7186a91","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0408994633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7843183d36133f789733ef2e1552051cf95c63f62e03afade54db9de66c52a16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0793450283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7843183d36133f789733ef2e1552051cf95c63f62e03afade54db9de66c52a16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0793450283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7843183d36133f789733ef2e1552051cf95c63f62e03afade54db9de66c52a16","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0793450283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7843183d36133f789733ef2e1552051cf95c63f62e03afade54db9de66c52a16","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0795650602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7843183d36133f789733ef2e1552051cf95c63f62e03afade54db9de66c52a16","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0798250978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1246507864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1302515971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1310773166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1312847466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1305174356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7e7852258088a24d9da2f4081c522af7f1e85dd101b64810d17665c0cd58b0f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078444898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7e7852258088a24d9da2f4081c522af7f1e85dd101b64810d17665c0cd58b0f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078444898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7e7852258088a24d9da2f4081c522af7f1e85dd101b64810d17665c0cd58b0f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786049212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7e7852258088a24d9da2f4081c522af7f1e85dd101b64810d17665c0cd58b0f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786049212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7e7852258088a24d9da2f4081c522af7f1e85dd101b64810d17665c0cd58b0f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788449559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"817bb443605c60f25576ddcd80659e2b4e8a7b326071a74dc070058db9bb5873","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783698872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"817bb443605c60f25576ddcd80659e2b4e8a7b326071a74dc070058db9bb5873","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783848893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"817bb443605c60f25576ddcd80659e2b4e8a7b326071a74dc070058db9bb5873","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078409893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"817bb443605c60f25576ddcd80659e2b4e8a7b326071a74dc070058db9bb5873","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0785049067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"817bb443605c60f25576ddcd80659e2b4e8a7b326071a74dc070058db9bb5873","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788449559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"883f4bb1daee85df8423b282ac50ec899721d8366315887b92904aa4f13197ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0308580098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"883f4bb1daee85df8423b282ac50ec899721d8366315887b92904aa4f13197ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0316381227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"883f4bb1daee85df8423b282ac50ec899721d8366315887b92904aa4f13197ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.032358227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"883f4bb1daee85df8423b282ac50ec899721d8366315887b92904aa4f13197ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0332383544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"883f4bb1daee85df8423b282ac50ec899721d8366315887b92904aa4f13197ab","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0349185976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"932ca6c16ead137f4a1c5b0518e8cb6de2389d12b776ea06feaf49d35a8716e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0348585889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"932ca6c16ead137f4a1c5b0518e8cb6de2389d12b776ea06feaf49d35a8716e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0353386584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"932ca6c16ead137f4a1c5b0518e8cb6de2389d12b776ea06feaf49d35a8716e6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0365988408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"932ca6c16ead137f4a1c5b0518e8cb6de2389d12b776ea06feaf49d35a8716e6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0376389914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"932ca6c16ead137f4a1c5b0518e8cb6de2389d12b776ea06feaf49d35a8716e6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0392192201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1108295857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.109249357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1077691427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089093078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1103495162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9f49f8f716d03bb62b6cb6b68bf139d1b09da6887139aa97088595c7878417ea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2336881696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9f49f8f716d03bb62b6cb6b68bf139d1b09da6887139aa97088595c7878417ea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2347925294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9f49f8f716d03bb62b6cb6b68bf139d1b09da6887139aa97088595c7878417ea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3855693545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9f49f8f716d03bb62b6cb6b68bf139d1b09da6887139aa97088595c7878417ea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2258160301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9f49f8f716d03bb62b6cb6b68bf139d1b09da6887139aa97088595c7878417ea","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2826744604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0817553772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0781692581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811672921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0835300341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0805510029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ab054d501ea266ed64af76a677b23c28a6691ff9e1cd2797426935f9842ea04c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2608080952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ab054d501ea266ed64af76a677b23c28a6691ff9e1cd2797426935f9842ea04c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2508130484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ab054d501ea266ed64af76a677b23c28a6691ff9e1cd2797426935f9842ea04c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4127132836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ab054d501ea266ed64af76a677b23c28a6691ff9e1cd2797426935f9842ea04c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2718528939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ab054d501ea266ed64af76a677b23c28a6691ff9e1cd2797426935f9842ea04c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2048431943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ad6e543adcb486b3f1155624e23640457a18412e271cc670deea7f5ec3503fa6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0283580479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ad6e543adcb486b3f1155624e23640457a18412e271cc670deea7f5ec3503fa6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0283580479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ad6e543adcb486b3f1155624e23640457a18412e271cc670deea7f5ec3503fa6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.028358648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ad6e543adcb486b3f1155624e23640457a18412e271cc670deea7f5ec3503fa6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0283596482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ad6e543adcb486b3f1155624e23640457a18412e271cc670deea7f5ec3503fa6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0284210571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"b5e565a0588235f3f9a72a8469039348eac66aa367b6fb76b6c0af1a71d05a40","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1330728055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"b5e565a0588235f3f9a72a8469039348eac66aa367b6fb76b6c0af1a71d05a40","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1346130284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"b5e565a0588235f3f9a72a8469039348eac66aa367b6fb76b6c0af1a71d05a40","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1371333932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"b5e565a0588235f3f9a72a8469039348eac66aa367b6fb76b6c0af1a71d05a40","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1395337407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"b5e565a0588235f3f9a72a8469039348eac66aa367b6fb76b6c0af1a71d05a40","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1432342763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"bb357ae548b498b5e8d73a4297dacf2c7dc74e9789f69b4af5d593656c96ae33","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0798250978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"bb357ae548b498b5e8d73a4297dacf2c7dc74e9789f69b4af5d593656c96ae33","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801251412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"bb357ae548b498b5e8d73a4297dacf2c7dc74e9789f69b4af5d593656c96ae33","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0804651905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"bb357ae548b498b5e8d73a4297dacf2c7dc74e9789f69b4af5d593656c96ae33","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0810652773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"bb357ae548b498b5e8d73a4297dacf2c7dc74e9789f69b4af5d593656c96ae33","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0822054424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c115d0f3d9ed99b416c1acac322433a0f63c6f5b82e7622f0828ca76972a48fb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.074569337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c115d0f3d9ed99b416c1acac322433a0f63c6f5b82e7622f0828ca76972a48fb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0904948423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c115d0f3d9ed99b416c1acac322433a0f63c6f5b82e7622f0828ca76972a48fb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045936831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c115d0f3d9ed99b416c1acac322433a0f63c6f5b82e7622f0828ca76972a48fb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1257165406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c115d0f3d9ed99b416c1acac322433a0f63c6f5b82e7622f0828ca76972a48fb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1309717013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c572935b3b46f3baeeb57a73a941872d68f8bcd9f9045a103e6ff9dfbac6ccc9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2413806831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c572935b3b46f3baeeb57a73a941872d68f8bcd9f9045a103e6ff9dfbac6ccc9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2385658756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c572935b3b46f3baeeb57a73a941872d68f8bcd9f9045a103e6ff9dfbac6ccc9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2286866456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c572935b3b46f3baeeb57a73a941872d68f8bcd9f9045a103e6ff9dfbac6ccc9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2382762337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c572935b3b46f3baeeb57a73a941872d68f8bcd9f9045a103e6ff9dfbac6ccc9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.22567741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c5c8db63d8aee4250acd2b86c3986169c7e70342eb3aaba08e6d610ca391c3e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0283976537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c5c8db63d8aee4250acd2b86c3986169c7e70342eb3aaba08e6d610ca391c3e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0283976537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c5c8db63d8aee4250acd2b86c3986169c7e70342eb3aaba08e6d610ca391c3e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0284226573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c5c8db63d8aee4250acd2b86c3986169c7e70342eb3aaba08e6d610ca391c3e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0284576624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c5c8db63d8aee4250acd2b86c3986169c7e70342eb3aaba08e6d610ca391c3e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0285026689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1278530499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.128054079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.127612215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1342179712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1304614275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0283976537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0283976537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0283976537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0284576624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.028517671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0817377767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0832009885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.085111065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0825714974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0759453382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ccf20622d7b0a338afc1db330d214a4789c9d92f6b36334b52b64e39b02dbde4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0293577926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ccf20622d7b0a338afc1db330d214a4789c9d92f6b36334b52b64e39b02dbde4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0296378332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ccf20622d7b0a338afc1db330d214a4789c9d92f6b36334b52b64e39b02dbde4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0305179606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ccf20622d7b0a338afc1db330d214a4789c9d92f6b36334b52b64e39b02dbde4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0318181488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ccf20622d7b0a338afc1db330d214a4789c9d92f6b36334b52b64e39b02dbde4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0329983196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cdce03b5df9aafaeb98d177e2edc315f722ce0ddc6f4ddcc1cac7e73d2e58778","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788649588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cdce03b5df9aafaeb98d177e2edc315f722ce0ddc6f4ddcc1cac7e73d2e58778","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791449994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cdce03b5df9aafaeb98d177e2edc315f722ce0ddc6f4ddcc1cac7e73d2e58778","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0810052686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cdce03b5df9aafaeb98d177e2edc315f722ce0ddc6f4ddcc1cac7e73d2e58778","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0839456943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cdce03b5df9aafaeb98d177e2edc315f722ce0ddc6f4ddcc1cac7e73d2e58778","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0883463313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d4e491c66f1ba53f7f4422c8e7bfbff0277cbdc506d10158710ad5551d046358","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078845156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d4e491c66f1ba53f7f4422c8e7bfbff0277cbdc506d10158710ad5551d046358","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788457561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d4e491c66f1ba53f7f4422c8e7bfbff0277cbdc506d10158710ad5551d046358","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0790699885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d4e491c66f1ba53f7f4422c8e7bfbff0277cbdc506d10158710ad5551d046358","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0793450283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d4e491c66f1ba53f7f4422c8e7bfbff0277cbdc506d10158710ad5551d046358","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801851499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d686c629266c383d7353ff4203150104fb408fca1c9c66c20d65921e80da5cb4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1870614203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d686c629266c383d7353ff4203150104fb408fca1c9c66c20d65921e80da5cb4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1527798581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d686c629266c383d7353ff4203150104fb408fca1c9c66c20d65921e80da5cb4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648631321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d686c629266c383d7353ff4203150104fb408fca1c9c66c20d65921e80da5cb4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1789892519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d686c629266c383d7353ff4203150104fb408fca1c9c66c20d65921e80da5cb4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0923471104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbcf0bca92e968c391588e3206e6d37bd74db276e9fd73c98835531911c47c88","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2358676851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbcf0bca92e968c391588e3206e6d37bd74db276e9fd73c98835531911c47c88","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3387033706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbcf0bca92e968c391588e3206e6d37bd74db276e9fd73c98835531911c47c88","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868008577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbcf0bca92e968c391588e3206e6d37bd74db276e9fd73c98835531911c47c88","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3030822144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbcf0bca92e968c391588e3206e6d37bd74db276e9fd73c98835531911c47c88","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2805941592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbdf65cf02f739a66134264ff7d3446374ad8a0202cb62772c5c78bcbd69ddd3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1741315487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbdf65cf02f739a66134264ff7d3446374ad8a0202cb62772c5c78bcbd69ddd3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4962975824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbdf65cf02f739a66134264ff7d3446374ad8a0202cb62772c5c78bcbd69ddd3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4670211447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbdf65cf02f739a66134264ff7d3446374ad8a0202cb62772c5c78bcbd69ddd3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4738429321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbdf65cf02f739a66134264ff7d3446374ad8a0202cb62772c5c78bcbd69ddd3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4228547515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"e5876adf70b842a154d5a404049cdc3c1eead76dda25c7546af5c22c84a729d4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1350858968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"e5876adf70b842a154d5a404049cdc3c1eead76dda25c7546af5c22c84a729d4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1457994476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"e5876adf70b842a154d5a404049cdc3c1eead76dda25c7546af5c22c84a729d4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1637772499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"e5876adf70b842a154d5a404049cdc3c1eead76dda25c7546af5c22c84a729d4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1788212276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"e5876adf70b842a154d5a404049cdc3c1eead76dda25c7546af5c22c84a729d4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1698133237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ed656cf1b80dd86e71859fed0e7b431597b7042a2f5e403ea077cc989960517d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0413195241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ed656cf1b80dd86e71859fed0e7b431597b7042a2f5e403ea077cc989960517d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0454801264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ed656cf1b80dd86e71859fed0e7b431597b7042a2f5e403ea077cc989960517d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512209574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ed656cf1b80dd86e71859fed0e7b431597b7042a2f5e403ea077cc989960517d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600222313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ed656cf1b80dd86e71859fed0e7b431597b7042a2f5e403ea077cc989960517d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0721239831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ee4549481de2289f2c7923d1998b6be87e44213e00b767c46478f78091b3e853","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0333583717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ee4549481de2289f2c7923d1998b6be87e44213e00b767c46478f78091b3e853","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0368588784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ee4549481de2289f2c7923d1998b6be87e44213e00b767c46478f78091b3e853","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0415795618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ee4549481de2289f2c7923d1998b6be87e44213e00b767c46478f78091b3e853","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473403956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ee4549481de2289f2c7923d1998b6be87e44213e00b767c46478f78091b3e853","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541413801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"f8e3180ab8d161a1e5d000747e28e4893f80d130b080e443f5d1af062db49f8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2135356525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"f8e3180ab8d161a1e5d000747e28e4893f80d130b080e443f5d1af062db49f8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4439578062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"f8e3180ab8d161a1e5d000747e28e4893f80d130b080e443f5d1af062db49f8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4278826793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"f8e3180ab8d161a1e5d000747e28e4893f80d130b080e443f5d1af062db49f8b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3857093747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"f8e3180ab8d161a1e5d000747e28e4893f80d130b080e443f5d1af062db49f8b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4406173227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"fccbb1072be1e149157e3eb05962bff41f58a33fdf4cc92f98776876e6579dfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0316381227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"fccbb1072be1e149157e3eb05962bff41f58a33fdf4cc92f98776876e6579dfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.032358227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"fccbb1072be1e149157e3eb05962bff41f58a33fdf4cc92f98776876e6579dfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0335183949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"fccbb1072be1e149157e3eb05962bff41f58a33fdf4cc92f98776876e6579dfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0358187279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"fccbb1072be1e149157e3eb05962bff41f58a33fdf4cc92f98776876e6579dfa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0395992751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ff4a928c0fc68c73a530dbea40ca40214affebc7b2363825f99f645177e24ec1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0318181488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ff4a928c0fc68c73a530dbea40ca40214affebc7b2363825f99f645177e24ec1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0321181922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ff4a928c0fc68c73a530dbea40ca40214affebc7b2363825f99f645177e24ec1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0326782733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ff4a928c0fc68c73a530dbea40ca40214affebc7b2363825f99f645177e24ec1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0333183659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ff4a928c0fc68c73a530dbea40ca40214affebc7b2363825f99f645177e24ec1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0344985368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1828601318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1160294638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2893897175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521210876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2393745772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1696464869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1304120688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2793755798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528411919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2292330689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2123108382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1404221962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2183651516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1563561757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.265437197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1855474093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1399748405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3004558643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0373389479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2571476918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1739378438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1217863461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.279223435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513409747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.225960925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2223566148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1709588711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2954470324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968475618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.305470185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1652093793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1328264143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2549504473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553415538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2135669415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1888808131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1383535698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330381366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0373389479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3406676012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1994459523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1798770644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2762360719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965275155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3951289626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1752675961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1715237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2537197184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0865260678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3660086782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1566658825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1196010041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2883394753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513409747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2205306598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1955666121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1158754925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2516893424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648429291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2307663814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1758337343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5613449937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2143923573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0643428568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1799494119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5281592438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3323154268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0483405404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2504925163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2138248015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1965999908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2424106709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1603567548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3511116663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1743051041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1168927174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3059753532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0497207402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1891636768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4967247361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2645676629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528411919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2874031002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.257038313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4703984496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2541017025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.05034083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2869286491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1937880818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1508289631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3044195032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0425196978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2181581879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1980530492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1354269382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2743973994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1016282538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2091757676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2459864104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1293864663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3130140996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624225788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2606133368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1975450524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5422445914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2890679018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0468403233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2003709437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2726604145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3904046699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2130709574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968475618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2836326023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.430948766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1280117688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3007538786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528411919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3848496469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4136462779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1389339909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3325409434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0421196399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2212311837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2317008201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1421009744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536213048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.244402946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2178220466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1260236123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2759896389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512209574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2115330322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2125784818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5674156768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2548161292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0410194807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2418891601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3644528665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1330360946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3914644166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473403956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3088473889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3705417496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1395277709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2919536221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513409747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3271795383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1908673087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1515918979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968475618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2273829325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1661651198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0839472593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2202112129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0488406128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1896024119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1513726173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.632425087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3311918809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0388391651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.365404311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1712030758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0908466932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2063634143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528411919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3932458261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1628523626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1008481409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4671140716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1008481409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1498656425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1861885719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1188507468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3072545138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563416986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3796218138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2648483745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.275385311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5053866981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2065434404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4207329969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.276456745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2345084438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3179003393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2041430929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2561516267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.250229764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2564506645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2667521556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2594396762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2538302852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3521645191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2088437733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26584462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161212802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2774304077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194357858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4689014168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2246016461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226149676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3499842699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2864131348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2808741998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2456372027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123996547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3274589289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3257844073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2125702146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2142245522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2557505631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2832954288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.278963416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2415917164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1328527736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2023628352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1163503849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2474724756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3681564022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3516170092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.228932488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963474894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2529501578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3064436992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3313815107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0843457522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3692356605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3405371068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993209895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2585223492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1383535698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2374985961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2130022687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1967748639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2056433101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.353739676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2483041654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3300997501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2527342996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738876776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2517573746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3465969023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.288727877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2826979833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306096635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3318240893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3576284748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2239342006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2573286652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2931460179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220179049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3532289432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2383392775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2123851301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1884721115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1729722028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1451516448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3223911534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660180275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2864814518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3076228925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33368542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3375102296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2645095991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2949412152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3410932028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3807040261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3697921526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2415138025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841808417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3322728497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3736502292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660917598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2888240252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3091962282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3336714023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3449283855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3546510749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583648599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2554381783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3403923596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3847629938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2472441687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2515461346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.268950413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2843888068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308687095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2667243628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794466843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2995735327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3199181059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2613591777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3660417089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2504304636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.296636233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3361872265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3801301971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3729645077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3337313127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2749864937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.303856951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3428240663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.281625055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2925432055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2544762486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.250807545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2348276786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2568128675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675333494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.297179717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2910093232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3004210331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2813749365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2832863281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867280677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2874147373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2932525497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2645360943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2855649778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3033985561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.329991019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.373281371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2832772972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901673224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878464531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2847964183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2997585608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993570931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3413832035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4038545855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4581653764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5218731614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2939510152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3015739511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3235524652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3393782498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3306183307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2732978387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2890315735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3030064871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161063747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.258365001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203750454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2521224341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2632853833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891526057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924309935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2703939235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2940309306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3362957504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3724991323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1884955252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2685098251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3042916625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3264135937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3437816143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3207471495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798933179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2957616099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.268991017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690635816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2844573628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2735118482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2712700825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2664456421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2609326947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2665246731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2815836357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3397545876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3934133656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4331982247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4910623175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.328323137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1988735794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4267062128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4763545132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5308545774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3124509532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3643728953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4084616006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4509872055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4722412955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2967969912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3041877299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3084460426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3217309079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3376504616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.294259983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3304475321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.358169903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3933833275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4250083636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2632183516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.234619641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2045979851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1894217331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1665009476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1523102551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1818676114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2014727536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2272759443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.255113203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2118687396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2376454109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3173306538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3022306846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3498763257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.300193386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879498422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841668608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798251328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2893929519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3014308315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2542638576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2459591709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2427989887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2338249673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.263838008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.218397165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1866210738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1476689644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2201261151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2610128913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2961036212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2368139989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2032757875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2132356338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.232973224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3057652057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.270685935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2372483642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.194156611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2279741475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2584804183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2980966575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3471396627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2612064546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2459035062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2382055366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2299957673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2083550318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3219209865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2803050616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312638748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3486190121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082785314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2384370161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229629426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3248111373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3163100445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2596647855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26233254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3056627126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3492636108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3880619096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4289770353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3073167493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2073242637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1708298054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4830543178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3331597762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3707624334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3950149023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4357391497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4432483803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4438836609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2158768348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3245770924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841858819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3515734606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3835871293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3496788972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3303702458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2958999679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2709410023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2822746365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2667501218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2596757291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2613937484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129700771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2355647136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2360079512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2490818494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3102987078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2985358117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2625130362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867379919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3272585126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2160570226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.188648926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2130796064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1850450615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1614347188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1389476072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.11417347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2284268669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3840099381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1776983349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1520023226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1408043022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138474995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3271472359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2473487051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2571848637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3607705446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3014039115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2999242038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2450750922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2530558908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2461536071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757982372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2621142288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.236307659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.225925606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2193058396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1958814812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1719414463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1396095247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1209179554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1135336702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1729750011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1538217994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1381224931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1248282903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1130703734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3266633781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3392781723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2062365438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3877797271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1963154416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2352096963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3576581072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3987694264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4363499729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4865891888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2991331561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.32216729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2162094316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1933624704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1714960952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2579108778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2579108838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2579709345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.258071099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583917454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.207908838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079136387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079838489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.208108867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2084645184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079236402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2080086525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082036807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.208668748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2105640223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0868461141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962674779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1172305123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1357331905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1645003534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079238402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2080694613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2083086959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2090638052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2124442945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2084037096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2099639355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2125643119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2168649344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2303868917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6099642825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1438232349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5367328524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1609379828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4725012205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583911453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2598961632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.262471536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2661320659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2710527781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2085639328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2101241587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2128645554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2168699351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2236659189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.207943643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2081236691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2088037675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2110440918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2193452934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6811780903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6335430293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5889461307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.518995451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4479835331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079238402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079238402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2080444576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082454867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2088887799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079236402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079836488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2081636749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2086437444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2108840687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2084039097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2099689362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2126443235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2166248997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2233658754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0785049067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0806652194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0853258941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0932270378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1153502401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4915b3770f5c9ac893f684482dfcf6204390beea98faacd43b4dd0393ad93bf2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2084237125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4915b3770f5c9ac893f684482dfcf6204390beea98faacd43b4dd0393ad93bf2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.210008942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4915b3770f5c9ac893f684482dfcf6204390beea98faacd43b4dd0393ad93bf2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2127043322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4915b3770f5c9ac893f684482dfcf6204390beea98faacd43b4dd0393ad93bf2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2167249141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4915b3770f5c9ac893f684482dfcf6204390beea98faacd43b4dd0393ad93bf2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2223457278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1008481409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.098527805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984277906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027520042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1321846117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.207943643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2080286554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082836923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.208903782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2113641382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789249675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821654366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087826256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0967275445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1208510363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079040373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079688467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.208143872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2086245416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2105538209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079286409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2080486582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082636894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2089287856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.212489301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0741177043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6200078084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5902049807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6025864522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4795631936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079286409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2080136532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082108817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2087335574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2108802681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.207943643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2081236691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2088037675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2110440918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2203654411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789249675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811452889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0853258941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0932270378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1153502401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0317981459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0356387018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0433198137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557216088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0833456074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079238402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2081086669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2087437589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2109090723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2192252761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1638772644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1593166043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1606567982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1688207968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1895722078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1250676755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1315228931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1451246758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1635366359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1865890836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079238402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079838489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2081444721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2085687335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2104640079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0908466932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0853258941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0785249096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0734241713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0734703074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1183506744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1328527736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5504132157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4977053169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2180700618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1083492267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1228513259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1458546556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.174858854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2156543254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1682626207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.209950746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2946790953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3918379616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4428003375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2043631248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2068634867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2178650792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2348675403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683723901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.207943643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2081236691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2088037675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2100239442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2136444682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079040373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079094381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079854491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.208088664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2084837212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079286409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079886496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2081636749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2087037531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2110440918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2579308787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2579908874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2581509106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586309801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2608713044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1228513259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5784172693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3568852024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3183796287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.282584319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784298959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0800451297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0829255466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0873261836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968475618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0798651036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0829255466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0876062241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0942271825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1063489372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783848893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0800051239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0830255611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0883463313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1003480685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1863605189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1963619666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2178650792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.347267725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4015393577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1251914881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0684946916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811624193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2073877576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4387540899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2103639934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2363677575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683723901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3063778915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3588687028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079238402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.207984449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2081454723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2085687335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2104538064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2584109482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2589510264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601311972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26305162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683723901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2579108758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2579708845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2581309077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2585509685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.260371232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3003710017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128788325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330381366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3308814384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.279874055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079236402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079486438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2080436575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082436865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2093838515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079286409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079934503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082236836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2087687625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2109890839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2084237125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2086037386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.208903782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.209863921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2133444248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079238402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.207984449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2081704759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2086287422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2105090144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3196501997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2394884799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2410733496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2314398373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2271475312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2914920029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2856603794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738351274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675659195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2557676332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2600127875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2997926836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2524477618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.248728355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714539739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.264004428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878242002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3042475454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3173499499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3348154308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AXP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2978568584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AXP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2539803901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AXP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2396835443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AXP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.238290777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AXP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2299950201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707907391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841308325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878196487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2824389108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2880579163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2799455579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714610312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3000420662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3237082801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3421933439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CBOE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791589945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CBOE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841552445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CBOE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.281001933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CBOE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835837072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CBOE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2839341626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2582694102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2493002594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2347208816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.224258983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2140526496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891499302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660427458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3097625151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3200662216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3376210829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2826209848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2752479591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3029518946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3178665331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3416277207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2823381497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2880544753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2845211237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2927844284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145229508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2650131564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924214096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2549949871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2513290679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.236904988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653861903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2975567902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2723266482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2957954082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2958361923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2634220196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2650817006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619798001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2645639111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2762849629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921355251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891901183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2834218897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2965432391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2822377143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2784117813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2750179698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2814001923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2752057382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2771340431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2936959843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2883950704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2580747721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2527837686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2405821481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2894506688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2612490016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3119441439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3279450251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3323976693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2966378974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3074004744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3088087156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3268289225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3446447199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.273673397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2720748363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2765251144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2934065217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2976458155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2904028287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2950196791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2678511704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2558123636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498462422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2744139128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2960607718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3117442152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3245740909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3401403609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2669858254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2563442437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2458732746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2422479869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2386383249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2463600797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2366481184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2338306554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2209123757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2131280363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2900686009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.250343575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2360869534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2298145955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3653595352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902390212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2634211318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2523551984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2430274482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2326798187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2706247695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2862966147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2866972358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879803688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289444847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933481662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2579365785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2404621856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.228645228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.220361997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2941664081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2976737782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3051736596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203317464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3399027573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683813176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2638158473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.299907588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675860308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2698915802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KIM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2909604336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KIM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2702393168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KIM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2829971873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KIM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757702484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KIM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2634549035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2952216654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2594567992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.259215023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2585607027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3304027302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2671865475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2652922329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683481214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2767468743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891520789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772311572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2892679346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2836926839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2854936036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3041143434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2647166969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2697385868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2877467264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2773746052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3209521805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2949357743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3056575375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3256402312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3403294365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3540610991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2969286802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2468267732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3202617289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3369400548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3532678435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601345655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.254092508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2542888591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2447100613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2345122611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3037239509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3013860452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.319830457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.239121679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2376028483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2915207857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2447380331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3330438948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3493930967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2151191374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816002355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2812975531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2958162337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3031036243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868992159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2853591673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2829635033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28275481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2919029836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2982818136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.287074671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2577679855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2463236789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2374745625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2261665524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2648913618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2469643434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.240384368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2339107301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2221751973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286524244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2556757858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2406668162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2285060416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3652347509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2970890587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3037665479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169183301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.335855604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3485939428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2827059288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2606584395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2495713481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2257243684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2162775823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2838628426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2910988128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2824809121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2865498421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3007725801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2857031113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26137399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2500649713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2388598204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2272388137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289189336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2654361008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2507177173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2368473104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2266726074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2989179584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2548025354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2529952133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2482555837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3259865536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2617338179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2600087364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3113585307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3290202644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3562307378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583750349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.246381691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2300688352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3453757763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3586015728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2563707845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2411621709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3263932364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2315974084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3635747934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3014361125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2335534031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3455574709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2070390512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2035985868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921180507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3084014573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2444651724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.226846746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2121625969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2915999131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3013682986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2510927389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2380446437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3369501357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2994912658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365753396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2228025767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3578425652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3868760193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1278788767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1209859707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1211526351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1273618837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.125312245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"072996d2d8598234693622824f75c240134dae70efc8b611daa19b381a5007b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.168666284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"072996d2d8598234693622824f75c240134dae70efc8b611daa19b381a5007b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.499153779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"072996d2d8598234693622824f75c240134dae70efc8b611daa19b381a5007b6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1360080626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"072996d2d8598234693622824f75c240134dae70efc8b611daa19b381a5007b6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3246308247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"072996d2d8598234693622824f75c240134dae70efc8b611daa19b381a5007b6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0971935917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0876600916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941800027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0972009616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938476739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0899127276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0b169ca055db4159f29bf981ea529c369b0a0beb9e9ebaadbb507e963094206a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1249175837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0b169ca055db4159f29bf981ea529c369b0a0beb9e9ebaadbb507e963094206a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901099986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0b169ca055db4159f29bf981ea529c369b0a0beb9e9ebaadbb507e963094206a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2674106413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0b169ca055db4159f29bf981ea529c369b0a0beb9e9ebaadbb507e963094206a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3901623014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0b169ca055db4159f29bf981ea529c369b0a0beb9e9ebaadbb507e963094206a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3453092461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0c17d606a81026f7b82afbdcb8391a34d20e05118d440c118409734c87ad8084","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0c17d606a81026f7b82afbdcb8391a34d20e05118d440c118409734c87ad8084","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0c17d606a81026f7b82afbdcb8391a34d20e05118d440c118409734c87ad8084","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0c17d606a81026f7b82afbdcb8391a34d20e05118d440c118409734c87ad8084","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0c17d606a81026f7b82afbdcb8391a34d20e05118d440c118409734c87ad8084","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0f5c6aef52d92a3ea69734581adeb0dbaa0adc8e69cb889c88696e6b1b04e242","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2347070871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0f5c6aef52d92a3ea69734581adeb0dbaa0adc8e69cb889c88696e6b1b04e242","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2819264435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0f5c6aef52d92a3ea69734581adeb0dbaa0adc8e69cb889c88696e6b1b04e242","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3154926526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0f5c6aef52d92a3ea69734581adeb0dbaa0adc8e69cb889c88696e6b1b04e242","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3858716932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0f5c6aef52d92a3ea69734581adeb0dbaa0adc8e69cb889c88696e6b1b04e242","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4486411709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"16b038428ed580bfdd126798a0a0d92e1de156657542ce2986ef7fddef427486","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2961515829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"16b038428ed580bfdd126798a0a0d92e1de156657542ce2986ef7fddef427486","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2318311263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"16b038428ed580bfdd126798a0a0d92e1de156657542ce2986ef7fddef427486","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1778195293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"16b038428ed580bfdd126798a0a0d92e1de156657542ce2986ef7fddef427486","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.316074978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"16b038428ed580bfdd126798a0a0d92e1de156657542ce2986ef7fddef427486","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4486411709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"19276061861552ab5b4f6cc0859abc26f83e5bad9ba7063f7f6f5f5f68830cbb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"19276061861552ab5b4f6cc0859abc26f83e5bad9ba7063f7f6f5f5f68830cbb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0203136763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"19276061861552ab5b4f6cc0859abc26f83e5bad9ba7063f7f6f5f5f68830cbb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0261469301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"19276061861552ab5b4f6cc0859abc26f83e5bad9ba7063f7f6f5f5f68830cbb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0336468279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"19276061861552ab5b4f6cc0859abc26f83e5bad9ba7063f7f6f5f5f68830cbb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0428133696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"1b9cc53522d74386d1fc67fc84003a4c82ee2456ac19faa5743f75c7bc2a2ebb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"1b9cc53522d74386d1fc67fc84003a4c82ee2456ac19faa5743f75c7bc2a2ebb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"1b9cc53522d74386d1fc67fc84003a4c82ee2456ac19faa5743f75c7bc2a2ebb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"1b9cc53522d74386d1fc67fc84003a4c82ee2456ac19faa5743f75c7bc2a2ebb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"1b9cc53522d74386d1fc67fc84003a4c82ee2456ac19faa5743f75c7bc2a2ebb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"25b26edef1346e353e49d629f2d9b986d9280077452e25cb173b0125d29f2e19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1392483884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"25b26edef1346e353e49d629f2d9b986d9280077452e25cb173b0125d29f2e19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1407373681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"25b26edef1346e353e49d629f2d9b986d9280077452e25cb173b0125d29f2e19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1085794731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"25b26edef1346e353e49d629f2d9b986d9280077452e25cb173b0125d29f2e19","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1181660091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"25b26edef1346e353e49d629f2d9b986d9280077452e25cb173b0125d29f2e19","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4847740117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"26a77f0daf907c5f4eff80c4211d5b937ca4b8b6b701c79fefa8ba923c0ccce1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0228136422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"26a77f0daf907c5f4eff80c4211d5b937ca4b8b6b701c79fefa8ba923c0ccce1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.028646896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"26a77f0daf907c5f4eff80c4211d5b937ca4b8b6b701c79fefa8ba923c0ccce1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0361467938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"26a77f0daf907c5f4eff80c4211d5b937ca4b8b6b701c79fefa8ba923c0ccce1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0453133355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"26a77f0daf907c5f4eff80c4211d5b937ca4b8b6b701c79fefa8ba923c0ccce1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0561465212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"29bc2c5f909f6faa245771dd864c7059d25324ab8997b65b82b09feeca7dfa3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974796244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"29bc2c5f909f6faa245771dd864c7059d25324ab8997b65b82b09feeca7dfa3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0935356782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"29bc2c5f909f6faa245771dd864c7059d25324ab8997b65b82b09feeca7dfa3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106021122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"29bc2c5f909f6faa245771dd864c7059d25324ab8997b65b82b09feeca7dfa3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0945126649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"29bc2c5f909f6faa245771dd864c7059d25324ab8997b65b82b09feeca7dfa3d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961543092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"2eb2be80da401524c4ebf77fdee650e7f303999a03f1d7a93eda7f6290b72b78","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"2eb2be80da401524c4ebf77fdee650e7f303999a03f1d7a93eda7f6290b72b78","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"2eb2be80da401524c4ebf77fdee650e7f303999a03f1d7a93eda7f6290b72b78","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"2eb2be80da401524c4ebf77fdee650e7f303999a03f1d7a93eda7f6290b72b78","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"2eb2be80da401524c4ebf77fdee650e7f303999a03f1d7a93eda7f6290b72b78","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"322deb44a6f705c992536a51cf2fc1688bd5b8f2b825b2df64dc297bb8b09eb2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3490521951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"322deb44a6f705c992536a51cf2fc1688bd5b8f2b825b2df64dc297bb8b09eb2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791931474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"322deb44a6f705c992536a51cf2fc1688bd5b8f2b825b2df64dc297bb8b09eb2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2056111504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"322deb44a6f705c992536a51cf2fc1688bd5b8f2b825b2df64dc297bb8b09eb2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4286747764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"322deb44a6f705c992536a51cf2fc1688bd5b8f2b825b2df64dc297bb8b09eb2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3658409663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"34b8cdecf5639a1ac7ee91cc4f714064ec379e6455cfd12b8bb02e22248bbda8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3553091098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"34b8cdecf5639a1ac7ee91cc4f714064ec379e6455cfd12b8bb02e22248bbda8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2186443061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"34b8cdecf5639a1ac7ee91cc4f714064ec379e6455cfd12b8bb02e22248bbda8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1294871881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"34b8cdecf5639a1ac7ee91cc4f714064ec379e6455cfd12b8bb02e22248bbda8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3045594683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"34b8cdecf5639a1ac7ee91cc4f714064ec379e6455cfd12b8bb02e22248bbda8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4886406257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"38a90f4d27084c64ed365e74d96713193017c7be1a0133b46ef9c58353f91613","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"38a90f4d27084c64ed365e74d96713193017c7be1a0133b46ef9c58353f91613","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"38a90f4d27084c64ed365e74d96713193017c7be1a0133b46ef9c58353f91613","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"38a90f4d27084c64ed365e74d96713193017c7be1a0133b46ef9c58353f91613","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"38a90f4d27084c64ed365e74d96713193017c7be1a0133b46ef9c58353f91613","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"3ddd7acdc273d9aee082a214412412ea6acfc4d3b3815d9f391712cd66b896b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5328066903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"3ddd7acdc273d9aee082a214412412ea6acfc4d3b3815d9f391712cd66b896b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1328121428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"3ddd7acdc273d9aee082a214412412ea6acfc4d3b3815d9f391712cd66b896b9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"3ddd7acdc273d9aee082a214412412ea6acfc4d3b3815d9f391712cd66b896b9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.446974527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"3ddd7acdc273d9aee082a214412412ea6acfc4d3b3815d9f391712cd66b896b9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4186415798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"414d81ab4cd6b144d5d7ff8890deff16187131ef70ef561d23235e64a9e3a602","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2990645432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"414d81ab4cd6b144d5d7ff8890deff16187131ef70ef561d23235e64a9e3a602","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.391608615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"414d81ab4cd6b144d5d7ff8890deff16187131ef70ef561d23235e64a9e3a602","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"414d81ab4cd6b144d5d7ff8890deff16187131ef70ef561d23235e64a9e3a602","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3047327993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"414d81ab4cd6b144d5d7ff8890deff16187131ef70ef561d23235e64a9e3a602","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2063314739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"454929db574a2087112f905213f5ed6f42e966f4f174598d3c7656135a549ed3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"454929db574a2087112f905213f5ed6f42e966f4f174598d3c7656135a549ed3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"454929db574a2087112f905213f5ed6f42e966f4f174598d3c7656135a549ed3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"454929db574a2087112f905213f5ed6f42e966f4f174598d3c7656135a549ed3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"454929db574a2087112f905213f5ed6f42e966f4f174598d3c7656135a549ed3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054694541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532385608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.263770691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0517335813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0452696695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4c61c2a65075e437a0887c02650bd69c2ad0fbfc7d8a42c0489ac4d67b17bd54","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4323163934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4c61c2a65075e437a0887c02650bd69c2ad0fbfc7d8a42c0489ac4d67b17bd54","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3054217899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4c61c2a65075e437a0887c02650bd69c2ad0fbfc7d8a42c0489ac4d67b17bd54","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3396093238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4c61c2a65075e437a0887c02650bd69c2ad0fbfc7d8a42c0489ac4d67b17bd54","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2664439879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4c61c2a65075e437a0887c02650bd69c2ad0fbfc7d8a42c0489ac4d67b17bd54","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4728075081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"537fe838e624e3a945280a7f7ac3003e593a469790084243a4ccca7da60df456","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"537fe838e624e3a945280a7f7ac3003e593a469790084243a4ccca7da60df456","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"537fe838e624e3a945280a7f7ac3003e593a469790084243a4ccca7da60df456","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"537fe838e624e3a945280a7f7ac3003e593a469790084243a4ccca7da60df456","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"537fe838e624e3a945280a7f7ac3003e593a469790084243a4ccca7da60df456","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5717d66e2c928eb051a18ed6f061481d3a522f0a4cc96b4339db4313b140f6b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3581090717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5717d66e2c928eb051a18ed6f061481d3a522f0a4cc96b4339db4313b140f6b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3689422573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5717d66e2c928eb051a18ed6f061481d3a522f0a4cc96b4339db4313b140f6b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.35627443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5717d66e2c928eb051a18ed6f061481d3a522f0a4cc96b4339db4313b140f6b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.37118756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5717d66e2c928eb051a18ed6f061481d3a522f0a4cc96b4339db4313b140f6b8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4121553349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5b45afe11fc314e0a565a35fe82c809ec70f87b1c32ed22231317d666e1c344e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2641640189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5b45afe11fc314e0a565a35fe82c809ec70f87b1c32ed22231317d666e1c344e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1794781733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5b45afe11fc314e0a565a35fe82c809ec70f87b1c32ed22231317d666e1c344e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1353507748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5b45afe11fc314e0a565a35fe82c809ec70f87b1c32ed22231317d666e1c344e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1301788453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5b45afe11fc314e0a565a35fe82c809ec70f87b1c32ed22231317d666e1c344e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1483149315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60cabe14763f5d8760dc7140b049d11b8e23d847d3852b77e8e1d2df2bac0ae1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984809441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60cabe14763f5d8760dc7140b049d11b8e23d847d3852b77e8e1d2df2bac0ae1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1095314601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60cabe14763f5d8760dc7140b049d11b8e23d847d3852b77e8e1d2df2bac0ae1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103231546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60cabe14763f5d8760dc7140b049d11b8e23d847d3852b77e8e1d2df2bac0ae1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968159668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60cabe14763f5d8760dc7140b049d11b8e23d847d3852b77e8e1d2df2bac0ae1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0932126826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60f6289e0d1225ac2b3a945523d2194f3b9cde98a50f7ec2205ab35286673c04","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2107390805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60f6289e0d1225ac2b3a945523d2194f3b9cde98a50f7ec2205ab35286673c04","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2225762525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60f6289e0d1225ac2b3a945523d2194f3b9cde98a50f7ec2205ab35286673c04","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1584921261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60f6289e0d1225ac2b3a945523d2194f3b9cde98a50f7ec2205ab35286673c04","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1114671004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60f6289e0d1225ac2b3a945523d2194f3b9cde98a50f7ec2205ab35286673c04","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2190779669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0129471101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0131137745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0136471005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5058207248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1219802904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1182443414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.492407241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1489189232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"65c6d5bdebf8d240d9184eeabd6b0492439e4579c397cf243520da1122dfc659","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2802981323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"65c6d5bdebf8d240d9184eeabd6b0492439e4579c397cf243520da1122dfc659","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2457136038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"65c6d5bdebf8d240d9184eeabd6b0492439e4579c397cf243520da1122dfc659","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1961446128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"65c6d5bdebf8d240d9184eeabd6b0492439e4579c397cf243520da1122dfc659","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1628117338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"65c6d5bdebf8d240d9184eeabd6b0492439e4579c397cf243520da1122dfc659","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1328121428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"689b21fb8fa98b2dd5934cb288acbddc829ad6311f73ac7fd22f66d99d53ae9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"689b21fb8fa98b2dd5934cb288acbddc829ad6311f73ac7fd22f66d99d53ae9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0203136763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"689b21fb8fa98b2dd5934cb288acbddc829ad6311f73ac7fd22f66d99d53ae9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0261469301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"689b21fb8fa98b2dd5934cb288acbddc829ad6311f73ac7fd22f66d99d53ae9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0336468279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"689b21fb8fa98b2dd5934cb288acbddc829ad6311f73ac7fd22f66d99d53ae9d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0428133696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3176176236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3555237736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3824490732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1961446128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1841167768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"726282f70bce23d66c70376d1165031394e4a1cb010223109f243ff797e9486c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1828197944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"726282f70bce23d66c70376d1165031394e4a1cb010223109f243ff797e9486c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1798168354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"726282f70bce23d66c70376d1165031394e4a1cb010223109f243ff797e9486c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1771928711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"726282f70bce23d66c70376d1165031394e4a1cb010223109f243ff797e9486c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1828197944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"726282f70bce23d66c70376d1165031394e4a1cb010223109f243ff797e9486c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1781718578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"72c5df25b8d0483bc9a8ccdc387b72eeee488c31e508928662bc3a3aaa7d7aec","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1847744345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"72c5df25b8d0483bc9a8ccdc387b72eeee488c31e508928662bc3a3aaa7d7aec","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2179473156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"72c5df25b8d0483bc9a8ccdc387b72eeee488c31e508928662bc3a3aaa7d7aec","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586424275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"72c5df25b8d0483bc9a8ccdc387b72eeee488c31e508928662bc3a3aaa7d7aec","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3463162324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"72c5df25b8d0483bc9a8ccdc387b72eeee488c31e508928662bc3a3aaa7d7aec","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3235375429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0186470324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0228136422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.028646896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0361467938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0453133355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7c5a93873d2235677aa5541e3524368e507c99f49290774adc81221e569a2a55","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1862197481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7c5a93873d2235677aa5541e3524368e507c99f49290774adc81221e569a2a55","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1838327806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7c5a93873d2235677aa5541e3524368e507c99f49290774adc81221e569a2a55","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1824834657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7c5a93873d2235677aa5541e3524368e507c99f49290774adc81221e569a2a55","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1896863675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7c5a93873d2235677aa5541e3524368e507c99f49290774adc81221e569a2a55","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1964566086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"82fd8377d98a89237b105523a25b53958738c56084a0d3f3b701bc06112299f6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0889427408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"82fd8377d98a89237b105523a25b53958738c56084a0d3f3b701bc06112299f6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915400387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"82fd8377d98a89237b105523a25b53958738c56084a0d3f3b701bc06112299f6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1009665769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"82fd8377d98a89237b105523a25b53958738c56084a0d3f3b701bc06112299f6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1037558722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"82fd8377d98a89237b105523a25b53958738c56084a0d3f3b701bc06112299f6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0883000829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"a40b2f955080bc48a3eb5d3ebc8f65cf5e75597b82df9908f326db839f470dfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503745999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"a40b2f955080bc48a3eb5d3ebc8f65cf5e75597b82df9908f326db839f470dfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649534011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"a40b2f955080bc48a3eb5d3ebc8f65cf5e75597b82df9908f326db839f470dfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0640214138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"a40b2f955080bc48a3eb5d3ebc8f65cf5e75597b82df9908f326db839f470dfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0383654302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"a40b2f955080bc48a3eb5d3ebc8f65cf5e75597b82df9908f326db839f470dfb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0392547514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b060a47d1a901e049b86fbd919462dc0c07339380d89770f1ea6097b6dbfd25d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b060a47d1a901e049b86fbd919462dc0c07339380d89770f1ea6097b6dbfd25d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0203136763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b060a47d1a901e049b86fbd919462dc0c07339380d89770f1ea6097b6dbfd25d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0261469301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b060a47d1a901e049b86fbd919462dc0c07339380d89770f1ea6097b6dbfd25d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0336468279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b060a47d1a901e049b86fbd919462dc0c07339380d89770f1ea6097b6dbfd25d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0428133696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b21f8977cc0105a9ad354b08249bbbafdcf101ddd2fdedafc619c74f32f6e13d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b21f8977cc0105a9ad354b08249bbbafdcf101ddd2fdedafc619c74f32f6e13d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b21f8977cc0105a9ad354b08249bbbafdcf101ddd2fdedafc619c74f32f6e13d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b21f8977cc0105a9ad354b08249bbbafdcf101ddd2fdedafc619c74f32f6e13d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b21f8977cc0105a9ad354b08249bbbafdcf101ddd2fdedafc619c74f32f6e13d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b2d9e949a3c4b561a37e2ac0cd55f373886141fd1aa1a8b5ae31769657008391","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955156545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b2d9e949a3c4b561a37e2ac0cd55f373886141fd1aa1a8b5ae31769657008391","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938473439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b2d9e949a3c4b561a37e2ac0cd55f373886141fd1aa1a8b5ae31769657008391","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0972006316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b2d9e949a3c4b561a37e2ac0cd55f373886141fd1aa1a8b5ae31769657008391","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968623028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b2d9e949a3c4b561a37e2ac0cd55f373886141fd1aa1a8b5ae31769657008391","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0886207485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6353052931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1161457033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993539322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0884197479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0728129607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bc472ae027654b674b06a9102f70c8c3b4e896cd5d6e2539eef76be98c12f446","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3708092319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bc472ae027654b674b06a9102f70c8c3b4e896cd5d6e2539eef76be98c12f446","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640853533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bc472ae027654b674b06a9102f70c8c3b4e896cd5d6e2539eef76be98c12f446","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1792635096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bc472ae027654b674b06a9102f70c8c3b4e896cd5d6e2539eef76be98c12f446","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4628076445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bc472ae027654b674b06a9102f70c8c3b4e896cd5d6e2539eef76be98c12f446","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2153110182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bd4e00026685af18a12993199a1468f8c1989014b1b656c7cd7b3b807fc3b2a3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974799577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bd4e00026685af18a12993199a1468f8c1989014b1b656c7cd7b3b807fc3b2a3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110961774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bd4e00026685af18a12993199a1468f8c1989014b1b656c7cd7b3b807fc3b2a3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991596015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bd4e00026685af18a12993199a1468f8c1989014b1b656c7cd7b3b807fc3b2a3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1001955874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bd4e00026685af18a12993199a1468f8c1989014b1b656c7cd7b3b807fc3b2a3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979459514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bf1a7ccdcab6f0def67bd1ce4d17c175ecce7043bf92782ed3e68262b5b33873","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128137785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bf1a7ccdcab6f0def67bd1ce4d17c175ecce7043bf92782ed3e68262b5b33873","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128137785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bf1a7ccdcab6f0def67bd1ce4d17c175ecce7043bf92782ed3e68262b5b33873","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128137785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bf1a7ccdcab6f0def67bd1ce4d17c175ecce7043bf92782ed3e68262b5b33873","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128137785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bf1a7ccdcab6f0def67bd1ce4d17c175ecce7043bf92782ed3e68262b5b33873","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128137785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c041a711a5eb71a70a018a2bb24ddaac31dcb70cf4dd50445fbada23176ef0b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2278938467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c041a711a5eb71a70a018a2bb24ddaac31dcb70cf4dd50445fbada23176ef0b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4011248186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c041a711a5eb71a70a018a2bb24ddaac31dcb70cf4dd50445fbada23176ef0b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2195762934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c041a711a5eb71a70a018a2bb24ddaac31dcb70cf4dd50445fbada23176ef0b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2900063333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c041a711a5eb71a70a018a2bb24ddaac31dcb70cf4dd50445fbada23176ef0b3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2930579584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c3285fd0b71b2857988631c7a8ceb54c619acfc09d4be7ff119fd4a947248a2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0120471223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c3285fd0b71b2857988631c7a8ceb54c619acfc09d4be7ff119fd4a947248a2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0120471223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c3285fd0b71b2857988631c7a8ceb54c619acfc09d4be7ff119fd4a947248a2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0120471223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c3285fd0b71b2857988631c7a8ceb54c619acfc09d4be7ff119fd4a947248a2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0120471223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c3285fd0b71b2857988631c7a8ceb54c619acfc09d4be7ff119fd4a947248a2f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0120471223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"d057dec75c310bd602515df56ba35332a3a77098702b8ab0b7014ec0a0c608b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0925980243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"d057dec75c310bd602515df56ba35332a3a77098702b8ab0b7014ec0a0c608b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.092375694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"d057dec75c310bd602515df56ba35332a3a77098702b8ab0b7014ec0a0c608b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986139423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"d057dec75c310bd602515df56ba35332a3a77098702b8ab0b7014ec0a0c608b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1093087965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"d057dec75c310bd602515df56ba35332a3a77098702b8ab0b7014ec0a0c608b3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0907740492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0261469301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0428133696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0661463849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dab1860d6eb61e1aef6d693a55cd14f12d30de1784bf4da5129dd9a88bff5ebb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128141119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dab1860d6eb61e1aef6d693a55cd14f12d30de1784bf4da5129dd9a88bff5ebb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128141119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dab1860d6eb61e1aef6d693a55cd14f12d30de1784bf4da5129dd9a88bff5ebb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128141119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dab1860d6eb61e1aef6d693a55cd14f12d30de1784bf4da5129dd9a88bff5ebb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128141119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dab1860d6eb61e1aef6d693a55cd14f12d30de1784bf4da5129dd9a88bff5ebb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128151119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db179ab9be5f29fb984145e24be4036d826a4b1242340317f7ef2a20c6c28080","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968156335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db179ab9be5f29fb984145e24be4036d826a4b1242340317f7ef2a20c6c28080","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988156062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db179ab9be5f29fb984145e24be4036d826a4b1242340317f7ef2a20c6c28080","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0935356782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db179ab9be5f29fb984145e24be4036d826a4b1242340317f7ef2a20c6c28080","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0978126199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db179ab9be5f29fb984145e24be4036d826a4b1242340317f7ef2a20c6c28080","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0906407176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db5802d72b241588205cd334105442c2e449aa8cb2b9919be7a311eb6a4eceb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db5802d72b241588205cd334105442c2e449aa8cb2b9919be7a311eb6a4eceb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db5802d72b241588205cd334105442c2e449aa8cb2b9919be7a311eb6a4eceb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db5802d72b241588205cd334105442c2e449aa8cb2b9919be7a311eb6a4eceb3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db5802d72b241588205cd334105442c2e449aa8cb2b9919be7a311eb6a4eceb3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dc24b0eb186a7a757609f2553b7a114b5da0519b9cda7d46cd1364c8834b70aa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3956648931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dc24b0eb186a7a757609f2553b7a114b5da0519b9cda7d46cd1364c8834b70aa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3763291566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dc24b0eb186a7a757609f2553b7a114b5da0519b9cda7d46cd1364c8834b70aa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1918196718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dc24b0eb186a7a757609f2553b7a114b5da0519b9cda7d46cd1364c8834b70aa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1537455241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dc24b0eb186a7a757609f2553b7a114b5da0519b9cda7d46cd1364c8834b70aa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5519730957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dee27f2d5ddeb03be31fba49da853e95cf43fdc4e67583a52b27eefe8e7ab4d8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2953099277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dee27f2d5ddeb03be31fba49da853e95cf43fdc4e67583a52b27eefe8e7ab4d8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2328107797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dee27f2d5ddeb03be31fba49da853e95cf43fdc4e67583a52b27eefe8e7ab4d8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dee27f2d5ddeb03be31fba49da853e95cf43fdc4e67583a52b27eefe8e7ab4d8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4705462056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dee27f2d5ddeb03be31fba49da853e95cf43fdc4e67583a52b27eefe8e7ab4d8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095312654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1281862058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1386790628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1438613255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1548095096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1696949734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e83211cf1de33090261c74bc976922a40bbdfc87b41a05e9d5e5cf23bf2ccbef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e83211cf1de33090261c74bc976922a40bbdfc87b41a05e9d5e5cf23bf2ccbef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e83211cf1de33090261c74bc976922a40bbdfc87b41a05e9d5e5cf23bf2ccbef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e83211cf1de33090261c74bc976922a40bbdfc87b41a05e9d5e5cf23bf2ccbef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e83211cf1de33090261c74bc976922a40bbdfc87b41a05e9d5e5cf23bf2ccbef","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e9c241882801d740d7d774f3bf19c20f380662f705ca2de66c4a1fa1210e257b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e9c241882801d740d7d774f3bf19c20f380662f705ca2de66c4a1fa1210e257b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e9c241882801d740d7d774f3bf19c20f380662f705ca2de66c4a1fa1210e257b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e9c241882801d740d7d774f3bf19c20f380662f705ca2de66c4a1fa1210e257b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e9c241882801d740d7d774f3bf19c20f380662f705ca2de66c4a1fa1210e257b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ec8fd3ac5400f902a068d0ee5553565016604fc02e0399d9e6b67e4dc191bd2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161470664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ec8fd3ac5400f902a068d0ee5553565016604fc02e0399d9e6b67e4dc191bd2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0186470324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ec8fd3ac5400f902a068d0ee5553565016604fc02e0399d9e6b67e4dc191bd2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0228136422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ec8fd3ac5400f902a068d0ee5553565016604fc02e0399d9e6b67e4dc191bd2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.028646896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ec8fd3ac5400f902a068d0ee5553565016604fc02e0399d9e6b67e4dc191bd2a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0361467938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ed016d23bdbad0ed0d781dba30d63644670f26271c5058aaf204a5d934e2a221","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1428120065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ed016d23bdbad0ed0d781dba30d63644670f26271c5058aaf204a5d934e2a221","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1361454307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ed016d23bdbad0ed0d781dba30d63644670f26271c5058aaf204a5d934e2a221","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1328121428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ed016d23bdbad0ed0d781dba30d63644670f26271c5058aaf204a5d934e2a221","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1328121428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ed016d23bdbad0ed0d781dba30d63644670f26271c5058aaf204a5d934e2a221","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1361454307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2978807483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136460374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5953058383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0261469301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2893510059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.389689737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3500285994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.255310473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2544112508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4374511095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3879556577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3119608405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3058057222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2153110182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1486452603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1086458055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3550197554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4088813659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.319890678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.255310473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.311845519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3244836933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3550288572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3086430793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3227743348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4486411709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2761435223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1186456692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.028646896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4492612181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2153110182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586437608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3086430793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4761943324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4186415798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3386426703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2386440335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095312654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4113008356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4486411709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786775271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1486452603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1086458055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2665711133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2207860235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1862965868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1486452603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1086458055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2145786575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2054065002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3211699976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2461439312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095312654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3524745874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2287984844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2739791811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3086430793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3457173532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2804377376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3691650025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2928099618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2853919693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4486411709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586437608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3086430793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3396462878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4359285714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1828064258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.125312245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2425100657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4486411709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586437608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1486452603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1086458055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3829192041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2315872134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2928099618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2011007775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3153167873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3290106862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786462145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.028646896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2433064995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4186415798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586437608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1186456692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.028646896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3452629806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4486411709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1791257918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1486452603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1086458055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3392746664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3505855744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.329581187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1094791275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0419800476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2236499621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3527773707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3681724629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2461439312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2667018809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440239684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3125878768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0686463508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0261469301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2578612408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4661409324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2592556821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061458396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0261469301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3542994953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4338332452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3758516109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2461439312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3992962426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4295434003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2992446029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3086430793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114433899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.335606733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.448975067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2786434882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961459759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2236923542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1602158882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5262418975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0686463508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0254469397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.46474169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4486411709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619917535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.125312245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4034478359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4486411709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2433470606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553131992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015447076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3340281242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.462075701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2517462637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786462145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0261469301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2716775087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4661409324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2605773688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0861461122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.025346941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3018671938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2380569945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4610844241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1186456692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.028646896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2178306422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2209502481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628616167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2786434882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1086458055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2349254417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4440454465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1996507168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1486452603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1086458055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3644810087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.202408118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5523909616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3086430793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2230002611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5153069288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.478640762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2153110182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3086430793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4225721894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2034406225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2503248273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1619784119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2286441698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1437019353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161268054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1453119724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2286441698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2153110182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1661450217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.270270189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2403715757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4066536277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2301762803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3019375736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4953072014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2181872963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2332759501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2157843404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2403589661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.188644715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2208139609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2954142304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2639696835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2537172841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1788075066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1870460929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2673543818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.188644715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2184459732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2057693323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1828114612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0661463849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3361427044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146602661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3549041652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1836198568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308289675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0461466575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4628076445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4415618565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.382808735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4086417162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028125517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4724733566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2294381116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2719540265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3894492635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4486411709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1949939625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194762649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0449500416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3232365294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1696504886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1791790218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1994779007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2461065774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1897695079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.283140926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.273408701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2680237922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.259166152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3009520325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2017763926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.211549765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.236596665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2846767962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33263991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.261776022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2616929498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2563364443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586912284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2569188603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2377670941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627809113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3019384065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3317079237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3729683199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2043477659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1904482286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1645686502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1451873438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1365330617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.241313575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2323804947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.283536551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3157483056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3561475792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3013075741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2710048461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2668654772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2492043061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2980956149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2358446876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2648293413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2939184356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3339766922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3751999702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1944056456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1757073858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1494365808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1342729672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.11564022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2273633367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2197279235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2122516307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1995168516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1895727577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2448491247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2242857917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3217277751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3542702859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3782332152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586011178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2821739712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3305686439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3611704962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3967625082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2420503223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2744124912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2950486018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3304791236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3601313474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2929762651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106091379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3102224432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2195566387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.231883522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2591329245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2793811564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3917796086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4527557228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4192178085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1942528076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2268564808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2585345971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2887698644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2221815268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3033787611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3049598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136504492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3190692579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2721561926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3207979146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3502074473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3900962886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4404388174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1274346732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3050627884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2174268503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3675899721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3769552773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.184385668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2732273439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365474838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122784756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.321030948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3812052946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2799380543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2406043449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3052540221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3254982847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3350236124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2499580925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2264326189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2059564996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1791273201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1606302551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2246570894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.303806952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3765781534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4534171785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4449531211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2681079767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3227496769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3987345003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4419137795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4816036436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2421247894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2698417057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3018719111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.356148093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3939960892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3102922084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3579840165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3872485174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4370666564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4310144528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.270868823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.268224186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2781335463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2691091266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2087592816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3519181226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.164797765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4464545312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1335813989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2132289166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2262376418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2634220851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2412523643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2128800993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2192000257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2614315486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2884869527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3140760344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2337673932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2621615426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3029666778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169375579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3429263556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.231049595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2388713981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2633513637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794376833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2920366757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2569997946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2823879608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3140573617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1850487556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1632650832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2985303837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167024938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3337512524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3659427799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3969206844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2419635157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2402421302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2291833741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2281613817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2256804021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701893403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3081462928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3445875204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3728106711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4308366498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.301096017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3198842049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3691280779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4066817593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4517330751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2302125009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2605619257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2992895157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.332286816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3702791861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2278551084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3104446826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3380595417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.386908981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4055465943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2443308539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2963886279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3395449135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3781407631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4011700945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28861681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3273693712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3887049325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4357830931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4608883913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3197468707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3767392415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1464652309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4268866663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4348674605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1474919076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1396107599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1419968808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.125661032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1147007533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1869589467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2162478254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2730096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2442798091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3262315032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2172471329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2103231399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2173388027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2246276577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3437110371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2363642998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2494583791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2343030735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1971695662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16815559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2871936065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2763201594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.250222962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2470898162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2436156758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3185524509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2208809077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2096254822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.337640829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2904280957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1968864628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2981649414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2655832913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3001248289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3363193395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690800385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3085432189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3449720258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4057400151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1305280493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2242695257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2425799522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.279911612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165821035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3481953101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2251588587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.248181211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2889147821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3291451599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2083464398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3179616569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3436300969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1605555918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1618362179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1401036989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3429201588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3695315376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4154667907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4633744905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1303724403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2991943149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.212988798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3546760413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4014229157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1565783612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2208082557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3201383746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3349670583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3387917408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3535139885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.491935447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5419657145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1258931731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1194338637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1123644887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2302267321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330648933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1937154758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1528940587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1352176082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2245306979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2096152636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2077059949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1978254984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2052019077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3050358484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3154722004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3434065982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3662217486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2016725924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120100334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120100334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120110334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.043960982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544348389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0769659434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5233785232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4748985881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097738695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1211830504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1492510893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1967904307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2542288467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120100334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312110032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122846963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312843022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3154429866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2371078293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2718130276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4161416139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2434594824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2246386556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0453133355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603131311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786462145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1003125858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.125312245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120100334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312110032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122776964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128110225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.315312655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1319788208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1428120065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786448514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1994779007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2470899638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120100334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120110334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121430316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120100334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120110334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121126987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122846963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312843022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128100225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128100225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128180224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128284389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312843022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565891344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0764743655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095312654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1203123132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1486452603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0136471005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0165137281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0211136654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0274469124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0361467938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136430111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3174429593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3228095528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301094533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3403093143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121180319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312309696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129430207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.315609651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0547606098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0766406393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111200026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4341119368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1901481818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1486452603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4961405234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.478640762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4628076445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4486411709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122430302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3124096946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131096851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3141430043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121430316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121430316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121180319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312309696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312843022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3154429866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312843022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312843022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312843022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312843022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129430207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312843022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129430207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131096851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136430111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152429893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312843022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3154429866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3197762609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3261428407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3361427044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121430316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3124096946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131096851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161429771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786462145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0828128243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095312654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1179371769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1716171206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015447076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0203136763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.028646896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0461466575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120100334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312110032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122776964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128126891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3153179883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120100334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312111032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122846963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312843022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3154429866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122430302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312576359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136430111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152429893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120097001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120097001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120097001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120097001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0686463508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0869794342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1086458055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1336454648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1824682132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121430316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0136471005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0186470324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0269802521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0386467597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062813097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121430316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3124096946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131096851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3158429811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120100334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120100334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120100334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120100334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312111032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120097834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120100334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120110334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553131992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6403052249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5953058383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5328066903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4486411709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0908612745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1117780172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1609403405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3377833228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2864701885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0136471005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0186470324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0269802521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0386467597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062813097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4353080193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4203082238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4161416139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.253643829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440606382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0978126199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1094791275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1286455329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1561451581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1919780029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0653130629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0561465212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553131992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0336468279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660843434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986459419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0996564941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1394787186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1736449195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2161443402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.252810507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3204821854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0128471114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015447076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0203136763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.028646896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0403134037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121430316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312309696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3125430261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312843022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128096892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3153096551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194762649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.325317852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3328427494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121430316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312309696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312843022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3154429866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516549052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0762019305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1118326341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1529603975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2006039124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128100225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128110225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128126891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128180224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128260223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120430329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121430316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121430316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312309696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2488633293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2303334496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2261298331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2280867931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2233089519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2803215112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2484579472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2693421036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968784383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3185994065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2491227741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2946698693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2959968806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3119866591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3201851067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2862363157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2460387388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2940283015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122718151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3160523457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2561581462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2477736948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.300899362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2234150554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2311621884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"APH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2321237033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"APH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2274900895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"APH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2078014108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"APH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1911337773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"APH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1760390983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2453470882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644401166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2652340877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717860547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.269576139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2337165926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2850895664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2984915926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3094787603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3234774199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2340655617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835154075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895907407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306571239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3243519449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2559566457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2457116116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2161784815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3490161176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3860616753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924652993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2624218013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2700275751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2807271346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2355423854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2362672921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2220078186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2297609128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2211892284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2140687155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2531684664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2674352927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2567801662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2478064936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2421996065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.252419872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2600697501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2961297698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2117665084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3464227378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2663612433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2962186127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2426880019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2314710215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3399162211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583173191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2806012822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2447668119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2351240832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2449720337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EPAM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2845318501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EPAM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2805131213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EPAM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2478992899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EPAM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3014687643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EPAM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2797010245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2432400925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2392347652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2268582622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2307715787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2397000566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2770591626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306182365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3488034477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3742060093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4116410495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2268838208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2155100851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082738912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2103692012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2164983607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2805616378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3041035983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2501316016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.24082464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2405621206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2545957686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2275018707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2428344262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2327276278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2380007148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2837161114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2972568033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2975613397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3088244256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152141671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.251139725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2691287469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772224692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2276854008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2083847275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2750526865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2508397486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.24907533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2629541526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2487693608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2474929064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2369243366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2422521495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2333126557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2279168841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2503325383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2484720334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2561779162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.248457887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2467805889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2423377066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2340802835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933818794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2261492084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2200063321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.248893901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2389931238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2370357223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2359597515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356755355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2763961276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2776506295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2825590978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2645786477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146602144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2634015659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2519349187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289428198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2914002553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3139074857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2503186406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791812957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2880123826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2961028228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314173466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2309328319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2777424892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2813844567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2940375927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3035105074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2641289114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2383924371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640562434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2550818297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2808012102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2417328191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2828300407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2410677898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316126703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2230326727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2631599982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2491134457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2455902026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2573250018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2559680194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2751587126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2976140376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2995639379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3100347095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2579141184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2504808884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993187797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3118099009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2213166839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.336858145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2424960271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2823099948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2935480957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3084689186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.281144924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.261532271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2746440293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2616098546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.274572517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3130689277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2751616708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2517475767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2560200757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2576743534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.272244546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2386987373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2319207154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2273597268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2288495239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2225311464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2546053204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2447427471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2376925478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2264544055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2211598833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229750409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3382984027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3353859158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3328791369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3472426226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2894991634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138336999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3132107764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3347442004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3506099521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2767621472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2987614179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2236045299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2355658062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2472306665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2528039797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2492094351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2547027601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2726412102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2930918154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2433572771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2347359722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2996538433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2240874847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.243619078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2802684399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2357145267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.284018124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2938445202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2264128305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2532354345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.240279073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2246685813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2279497419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3264517014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2389099698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2256629446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2229450874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2150578377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2161699762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SYY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2819158225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SYY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289698108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SYY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3034226216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SYY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2378262027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SYY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3313831223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2399685793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2775224952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2404058451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2506979144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2608779772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2779822609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2838521087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2338690012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2397549967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2484068994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2730184402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3101639354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3585708524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3830077846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3707133969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2782894442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2510807332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2434768786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2363643974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2219616054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2302729214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2112563469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2036847936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2036531357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2004402786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.228130456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2223944405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.309762041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3143328927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3199511316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VLTO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2770265268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VLTO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748987396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VLTO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2884211347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VLTO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3100201367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VLTO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2505723886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2983349257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3007733069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3239395765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3341515905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3480107633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.283728951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2941433928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3084751804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205513714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3397827166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"07dfb3bb74a3076bd819853f9b48cd43fb37f055c1d2cc529d7cb2b6e976bc2e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1773945934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"07dfb3bb74a3076bd819853f9b48cd43fb37f055c1d2cc529d7cb2b6e976bc2e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1797683999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"07dfb3bb74a3076bd819853f9b48cd43fb37f055c1d2cc529d7cb2b6e976bc2e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1813059967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"07dfb3bb74a3076bd819853f9b48cd43fb37f055c1d2cc529d7cb2b6e976bc2e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1838074438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"085aa9f35b860cf6846154b37a571c129546a81e327c7a189cc94998f8c55388","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2340436662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"085aa9f35b860cf6846154b37a571c129546a81e327c7a189cc94998f8c55388","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2473492012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"085aa9f35b860cf6846154b37a571c129546a81e327c7a189cc94998f8c55388","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3467689743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"085aa9f35b860cf6846154b37a571c129546a81e327c7a189cc94998f8c55388","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4010292401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"0d5c6d37045a7a4307f1d9eb41d5434eb5f1a83b03671247123b906c92c3a179","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0415606048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"0d5c6d37045a7a4307f1d9eb41d5434eb5f1a83b03671247123b906c92c3a179","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0423992691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"0d5c6d37045a7a4307f1d9eb41d5434eb5f1a83b03671247123b906c92c3a179","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0438720456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"0d5c6d37045a7a4307f1d9eb41d5434eb5f1a83b03671247123b906c92c3a179","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0458539299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"11952c0cffada5f7351c3fa6baa67c1c4ec4fc827ca8c80d645f37f44cd3e680","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0428061018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"11952c0cffada5f7351c3fa6baa67c1c4ec4fc827ca8c80d645f37f44cd3e680","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.041969713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"11952c0cffada5f7351c3fa6baa67c1c4ec4fc827ca8c80d645f37f44cd3e680","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0418609103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"11952c0cffada5f7351c3fa6baa67c1c4ec4fc827ca8c80d645f37f44cd3e680","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0424523618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"18099b217a418be18d794e3a55e1656853b754b5da1975a54e46f98808adc066","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632112384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"18099b217a418be18d794e3a55e1656853b754b5da1975a54e46f98808adc066","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633294242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"18099b217a418be18d794e3a55e1656853b754b5da1975a54e46f98808adc066","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0635180695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"18099b217a418be18d794e3a55e1656853b754b5da1975a54e46f98808adc066","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637362659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0415265127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0422538097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0434765778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0452850018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"25c3a05384df0a5476d6748d4afab4976ccb1cb76cb92a00da5d530f0a2453ef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1266747186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"25c3a05384df0a5476d6748d4afab4976ccb1cb76cb92a00da5d530f0a2453ef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518645851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"25c3a05384df0a5476d6748d4afab4976ccb1cb76cb92a00da5d530f0a2453ef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567109287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"25c3a05384df0a5476d6748d4afab4976ccb1cb76cb92a00da5d530f0a2453ef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0612085334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"267fec89553d2c302abf6e8b6addd6988bac43530611578b7103abf8f13e5fae","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2703158769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"267fec89553d2c302abf6e8b6addd6988bac43530611578b7103abf8f13e5fae","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1989763138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"267fec89553d2c302abf6e8b6addd6988bac43530611578b7103abf8f13e5fae","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2335895601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"267fec89553d2c302abf6e8b6addd6988bac43530611578b7103abf8f13e5fae","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2185283301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3011f3ca5ab20c1b4df3135b234271fda6db030aee606c6c6bf9569c12566b87","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1199408575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3011f3ca5ab20c1b4df3135b234271fda6db030aee606c6c6bf9569c12566b87","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1078774548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3011f3ca5ab20c1b4df3135b234271fda6db030aee606c6c6bf9569c12566b87","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958575081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3011f3ca5ab20c1b4df3135b234271fda6db030aee606c6c6bf9569c12566b87","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0870749422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2825503762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2789866209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3010401752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2651719779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2431746073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2692245678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2688249181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3813472195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3f802ec5fc16d34fde00be717473d482fe678d11997a13c470e1e759e24baeff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066136516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3f802ec5fc16d34fde00be717473d482fe678d11997a13c470e1e759e24baeff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652568503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3f802ec5fc16d34fde00be717473d482fe678d11997a13c470e1e759e24baeff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650584801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3f802ec5fc16d34fde00be717473d482fe678d11997a13c470e1e759e24baeff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659531463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0404107482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0404107482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.040457318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0404586589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"4414efffdcfc85cd65949cc0a0b44d6041bffbe9220919a4b12bf553f903aec2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.68190007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"4414efffdcfc85cd65949cc0a0b44d6041bffbe9220919a4b12bf553f903aec2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1149084167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"4414efffdcfc85cd65949cc0a0b44d6041bffbe9220919a4b12bf553f903aec2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1220086538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"4414efffdcfc85cd65949cc0a0b44d6041bffbe9220919a4b12bf553f903aec2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5962972126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939533536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0829734417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.07371886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0674713788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"495a07f5b0141a2afe2eaaa29f3dbc7bbc38c0a6bd8e76ea60dc3849de647407","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757956053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"495a07f5b0141a2afe2eaaa29f3dbc7bbc38c0a6bd8e76ea60dc3849de647407","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3001055076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"495a07f5b0141a2afe2eaaa29f3dbc7bbc38c0a6bd8e76ea60dc3849de647407","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3020361175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"495a07f5b0141a2afe2eaaa29f3dbc7bbc38c0a6bd8e76ea60dc3849de647407","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2662833787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"499050cf90d51025dbb9df6c7fbf23c49be924a378623e60e7b655e66af83caa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0411173182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"499050cf90d51025dbb9df6c7fbf23c49be924a378623e60e7b655e66af83caa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0438327725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"499050cf90d51025dbb9df6c7fbf23c49be924a378623e60e7b655e66af83caa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484038341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"499050cf90d51025dbb9df6c7fbf23c49be924a378623e60e7b655e66af83caa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0547816861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"59743be4d8773848a677d155ac7007dbe4cd5340237b093ece625ce1eadf6ce8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0432607525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"59743be4d8773848a677d155ac7007dbe4cd5340237b093ece625ce1eadf6ce8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0444244277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"59743be4d8773848a677d155ac7007dbe4cd5340237b093ece625ce1eadf6ce8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0460156626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"59743be4d8773848a677d155ac7007dbe4cd5340237b093ece625ce1eadf6ce8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480343663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"5f253a36f526abcc91e59bd66a280504c018faabcb46ff143736bdf11ce7c9f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0623400484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"5f253a36f526abcc91e59bd66a280504c018faabcb46ff143736bdf11ce7c9f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063486973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"5f253a36f526abcc91e59bd66a280504c018faabcb46ff143736bdf11ce7c9f0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624712119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"5f253a36f526abcc91e59bd66a280504c018faabcb46ff143736bdf11ce7c9f0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0686961469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650342065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665345293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0697441819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0725820948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1622337237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1779749764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2017909532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627974441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a67473236e2266010c820e9364ed7c8b1b3b30d08c41bff1c3f897d8eee82bf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0409195834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a67473236e2266010c820e9364ed7c8b1b3b30d08c41bff1c3f897d8eee82bf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0418195225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a67473236e2266010c820e9364ed7c8b1b3b30d08c41bff1c3f897d8eee82bf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0433787564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a67473236e2266010c820e9364ed7c8b1b3b30d08c41bff1c3f897d8eee82bf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0455992851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a958cca15ebaa05e71f6eafd78e13d86bdf0b23659b7ed78ce3d01970adb72c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0406357557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a958cca15ebaa05e71f6eafd78e13d86bdf0b23659b7ed78ce3d01970adb72c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0414426009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a958cca15ebaa05e71f6eafd78e13d86bdf0b23659b7ed78ce3d01970adb72c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0429272868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a958cca15ebaa05e71f6eafd78e13d86bdf0b23659b7ed78ce3d01970adb72c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0452528189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6c9dcca8afed3670d43f38ea1ef7cfbede16fc5944242189e56953ac59d7bdf5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04188107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6c9dcca8afed3670d43f38ea1ef7cfbede16fc5944242189e56953ac59d7bdf5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0436197644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6c9dcca8afed3670d43f38ea1ef7cfbede16fc5944242189e56953ac59d7bdf5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0464185851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6c9dcca8afed3670d43f38ea1ef7cfbede16fc5944242189e56953ac59d7bdf5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050194893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6e3c40ed55c7b13557d0d2f95b32238436f2f601db168eb3be6347d048709003","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063088687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6e3c40ed55c7b13557d0d2f95b32238436f2f601db168eb3be6347d048709003","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0646690125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6e3c40ed55c7b13557d0d2f95b32238436f2f601db168eb3be6347d048709003","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0657284115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6e3c40ed55c7b13557d0d2f95b32238436f2f601db168eb3be6347d048709003","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0674591056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"700a3c8b31ede5baecac6002b8ff9a79f689708b0e3cad952fd323e08c7870f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1143273974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"700a3c8b31ede5baecac6002b8ff9a79f689708b0e3cad952fd323e08c7870f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1187602726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"700a3c8b31ede5baecac6002b8ff9a79f689708b0e3cad952fd323e08c7870f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1236622544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"700a3c8b31ede5baecac6002b8ff9a79f689708b0e3cad952fd323e08c7870f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1303816605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"760ecad6cb71b7fc8741bd024f6bc478def8dc2c099401f2ef24acf2cc80a183","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2361798429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"760ecad6cb71b7fc8741bd024f6bc478def8dc2c099401f2ef24acf2cc80a183","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2247667347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"760ecad6cb71b7fc8741bd024f6bc478def8dc2c099401f2ef24acf2cc80a183","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3666711078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"760ecad6cb71b7fc8741bd024f6bc478def8dc2c099401f2ef24acf2cc80a183","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2438084612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.041551969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0431087483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.045617832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0486729367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7916ce32b62bb4854c28f2f04238b9aba973832cce9256dcd1892b28d20ba35e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0470813345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7916ce32b62bb4854c28f2f04238b9aba973832cce9256dcd1892b28d20ba35e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503089877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7916ce32b62bb4854c28f2f04238b9aba973832cce9256dcd1892b28d20ba35e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541378428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7916ce32b62bb4854c28f2f04238b9aba973832cce9256dcd1892b28d20ba35e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0586394476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7e748917059573511cc91af8da493df9980e0011961468515eae520c29626c78","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660250578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7e748917059573511cc91af8da493df9980e0011961468515eae520c29626c78","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0687796952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7e748917059573511cc91af8da493df9980e0011961468515eae520c29626c78","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0733821215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7e748917059573511cc91af8da493df9980e0011961468515eae520c29626c78","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0792257711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0411789557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0424517254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0444361553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.047125336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"881adb90c14ca001a2fd948d0e8df0a2db0cd228a165d81e1a56b97de65b6b67","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1882472284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"881adb90c14ca001a2fd948d0e8df0a2db0cd228a165d81e1a56b97de65b6b67","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4619328185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"881adb90c14ca001a2fd948d0e8df0a2db0cd228a165d81e1a56b97de65b6b67","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4545587541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"881adb90c14ca001a2fd948d0e8df0a2db0cd228a165d81e1a56b97de65b6b67","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4040453407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"893a3f3e93093c211b9d69c9bad46cfd062dd68bf59a8a66cc73a89e2bf7b8b4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2485802423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"893a3f3e93093c211b9d69c9bad46cfd062dd68bf59a8a66cc73a89e2bf7b8b4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1709863795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"893a3f3e93093c211b9d69c9bad46cfd062dd68bf59a8a66cc73a89e2bf7b8b4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5437468221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"893a3f3e93093c211b9d69c9bad46cfd062dd68bf59a8a66cc73a89e2bf7b8b4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1979444612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"940e88d2863b08fef33593f03434918a91e63f56b09844ad87e21e34879e19f1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1935587693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"940e88d2863b08fef33593f03434918a91e63f56b09844ad87e21e34879e19f1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2053864369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"940e88d2863b08fef33593f03434918a91e63f56b09844ad87e21e34879e19f1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.226987067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"940e88d2863b08fef33593f03434918a91e63f56b09844ad87e21e34879e19f1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2983759954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"9444c2fa89c1c39a3c986a5835e7b3fc67294b2f1fdcbcd195d1c177db308040","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0416333345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"9444c2fa89c1c39a3c986a5835e7b3fc67294b2f1fdcbcd195d1c177db308040","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0427333712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"9444c2fa89c1c39a3c986a5835e7b3fc67294b2f1fdcbcd195d1c177db308040","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0445629777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"9444c2fa89c1c39a3c986a5835e7b3fc67294b2f1fdcbcd195d1c177db308040","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0470266963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"962a548a44f3c489b4fa0be291849a53e79b263882e982cd181050c116a40c33","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0401812178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"962a548a44f3c489b4fa0be291849a53e79b263882e982cd181050c116a40c33","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0402701299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"962a548a44f3c489b4fa0be291849a53e79b263882e982cd181050c116a40c33","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0405367852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"962a548a44f3c489b4fa0be291849a53e79b263882e982cd181050c116a40c33","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0410180858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"96e5b654a67f7c33ff69d4ea01f2ae51b5d3e54dd75e884149666f3370e449be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4277279494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"96e5b654a67f7c33ff69d4ea01f2ae51b5d3e54dd75e884149666f3370e449be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4174571521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"96e5b654a67f7c33ff69d4ea01f2ae51b5d3e54dd75e884149666f3370e449be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4028344821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"96e5b654a67f7c33ff69d4ea01f2ae51b5d3e54dd75e884149666f3370e449be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2469204596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"972c722f84801889a79da76d8bf6128196f25393fb6cc62d3244712569372bd6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0413334154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"972c722f84801889a79da76d8bf6128196f25393fb6cc62d3244712569372bd6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0420609851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"972c722f84801889a79da76d8bf6128196f25393fb6cc62d3244712569372bd6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0433189362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"972c722f84801889a79da76d8bf6128196f25393fb6cc62d3244712569372bd6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0449960831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"98f6110cfbc4f72a90304ece74ed2a8bfe6c1d4dc199eae34efc27e8f9c930a3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0420969863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"98f6110cfbc4f72a90304ece74ed2a8bfe6c1d4dc199eae34efc27e8f9c930a3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0433811201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"98f6110cfbc4f72a90304ece74ed2a8bfe6c1d4dc199eae34efc27e8f9c930a3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0453519132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"98f6110cfbc4f72a90304ece74ed2a8bfe6c1d4dc199eae34efc27e8f9c930a3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0478524512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a5aa748caea44dda8caeb27ee28d9bd7222bbbe75adb908ceb510a7969582f7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435356707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a5aa748caea44dda8caeb27ee28d9bd7222bbbe75adb908ceb510a7969582f7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.045772109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a5aa748caea44dda8caeb27ee28d9bd7222bbbe75adb908ceb510a7969582f7f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0497780609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a5aa748caea44dda8caeb27ee28d9bd7222bbbe75adb908ceb510a7969582f7f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053720738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a9cd13e76f65efaecf94ef9d0a245ee2ebaf32533229f3bfbd0ff3466509e98f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1628173796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a9cd13e76f65efaecf94ef9d0a245ee2ebaf32533229f3bfbd0ff3466509e98f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1851380337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a9cd13e76f65efaecf94ef9d0a245ee2ebaf32533229f3bfbd0ff3466509e98f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4658474037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a9cd13e76f65efaecf94ef9d0a245ee2ebaf32533229f3bfbd0ff3466509e98f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.184856297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"ab03ce9b4b4ceab969c1bad45e9f7b360fbf88df20fcd9119736e345e77f577b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0410994076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"ab03ce9b4b4ceab969c1bad45e9f7b360fbf88df20fcd9119736e345e77f577b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0438267713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"ab03ce9b4b4ceab969c1bad45e9f7b360fbf88df20fcd9119736e345e77f577b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484251976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"ab03ce9b4b4ceab969c1bad45e9f7b360fbf88df20fcd9119736e345e77f577b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548531394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b790bf6d6145da160304a3660aebacb5b64aa9d3e405b5847c7bf122b3dbd481","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435378526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b790bf6d6145da160304a3660aebacb5b64aa9d3e405b5847c7bf122b3dbd481","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04479344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b790bf6d6145da160304a3660aebacb5b64aa9d3e405b5847c7bf122b3dbd481","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046677321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b790bf6d6145da160304a3660aebacb5b64aa9d3e405b5847c7bf122b3dbd481","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0493991392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b9da3ef2599e110e9db865b3f96a9685295efa58f13d4a75f5e687e4037abe83","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1019353473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b9da3ef2599e110e9db865b3f96a9685295efa58f13d4a75f5e687e4037abe83","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0905352395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b9da3ef2599e110e9db865b3f96a9685295efa58f13d4a75f5e687e4037abe83","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0828081634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b9da3ef2599e110e9db865b3f96a9685295efa58f13d4a75f5e687e4037abe83","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768094177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1483cbc3653995ed0ef1e87236e31e15e50c1d36184cc931e3da3464a7f9cbd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786731163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1483cbc3653995ed0ef1e87236e31e15e50c1d36184cc931e3da3464a7f9cbd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087435227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1483cbc3653995ed0ef1e87236e31e15e50c1d36184cc931e3da3464a7f9cbd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038275014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1483cbc3653995ed0ef1e87236e31e15e50c1d36184cc931e3da3464a7f9cbd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6224247211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1815663b5427dd027aac7f5cc1ae23d11b700bf596e9500c6cd834c21423b24","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0410448603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1815663b5427dd027aac7f5cc1ae23d11b700bf596e9500c6cd834c21423b24","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0419880736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1815663b5427dd027aac7f5cc1ae23d11b700bf596e9500c6cd834c21423b24","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.043952321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1815663b5427dd027aac7f5cc1ae23d11b700bf596e9500c6cd834c21423b24","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0464710414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c513d49a1eb02d16f2d3c6fe29d7a4d392240b02704b81382bd942c589620752","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546836792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c513d49a1eb02d16f2d3c6fe29d7a4d392240b02704b81382bd942c589620752","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560291787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c513d49a1eb02d16f2d3c6fe29d7a4d392240b02704b81382bd942c589620752","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553177913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c513d49a1eb02d16f2d3c6fe29d7a4d392240b02704b81382bd942c589620752","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566087435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6ae95b390b51644d30a7a4a089b6a8f92a53fbf2bd1726e77c43365d6f0ebb5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0723207225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6ae95b390b51644d30a7a4a089b6a8f92a53fbf2bd1726e77c43365d6f0ebb5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782613753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6ae95b390b51644d30a7a4a089b6a8f92a53fbf2bd1726e77c43365d6f0ebb5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0795030531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6ae95b390b51644d30a7a4a089b6a8f92a53fbf2bd1726e77c43365d6f0ebb5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.132753376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2913023956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.29173441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498325568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2657742708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c73f49b142df1c99713d0e6d585dc74d9243f57a234f768b09cd8faf2c807e1c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0420697127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c73f49b142df1c99713d0e6d585dc74d9243f57a234f768b09cd8faf2c807e1c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0422879018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c73f49b142df1c99713d0e6d585dc74d9243f57a234f768b09cd8faf2c807e1c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0442541492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c73f49b142df1c99713d0e6d585dc74d9243f57a234f768b09cd8faf2c807e1c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0467524145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435992183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0440310509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046026572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.049628965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d0282c2bfdc55698d49c300febe489d0d84378f6410e8b95e072286fd4ee9a39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0418606148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d0282c2bfdc55698d49c300febe489d0d84378f6410e8b95e072286fd4ee9a39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0419333445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d0282c2bfdc55698d49c300febe489d0d84378f6410e8b95e072286fd4ee9a39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0422904473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d0282c2bfdc55698d49c300febe489d0d84378f6410e8b95e072286fd4ee9a39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0431341119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d2fd7076d508b0892c62ae491a016c31d15553d9af3e9da5e45e2b7c13a866ac","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042551456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d2fd7076d508b0892c62ae491a016c31d15553d9af3e9da5e45e2b7c13a866ac","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0450174475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d2fd7076d508b0892c62ae491a016c31d15553d9af3e9da5e45e2b7c13a866ac","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0486062036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d2fd7076d508b0892c62ae491a016c31d15553d9af3e9da5e45e2b7c13a866ac","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530154417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0417357015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0436175825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0464655867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503253519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"dcf4c26235ad98ef014c5180b45ab0396a58a325003127d8a0c2bd1cb22fdd6d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0781941912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"dcf4c26235ad98ef014c5180b45ab0396a58a325003127d8a0c2bd1cb22fdd6d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0744518845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"dcf4c26235ad98ef014c5180b45ab0396a58a325003127d8a0c2bd1cb22fdd6d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0749253549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"dcf4c26235ad98ef014c5180b45ab0396a58a325003127d8a0c2bd1cb22fdd6d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0815527579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e487c129147954c97df847e0f83678a5459f94fcb7416403bd9a2cdb23922e26","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3070465575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e487c129147954c97df847e0f83678a5459f94fcb7416403bd9a2cdb23922e26","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3624006779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e487c129147954c97df847e0f83678a5459f94fcb7416403bd9a2cdb23922e26","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128296596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e487c129147954c97df847e0f83678a5459f94fcb7416403bd9a2cdb23922e26","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2814002469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e80e2885f72b6e23cde12bc0f586708fa968a853b3ff69f6f7bb11c671113c7b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.309059352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e80e2885f72b6e23cde12bc0f586708fa968a853b3ff69f6f7bb11c671113c7b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229263603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e80e2885f72b6e23cde12bc0f586708fa968a853b3ff69f6f7bb11c671113c7b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2703714242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e80e2885f72b6e23cde12bc0f586708fa968a853b3ff69f6f7bb11c671113c7b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2688441005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f3ab570eb7a356d8d677264640094b1cda6aff7313a217ff4beeb9b8aa0f6545","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480811861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f3ab570eb7a356d8d677264640094b1cda6aff7313a217ff4beeb9b8aa0f6545","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0494311402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f3ab570eb7a356d8d677264640094b1cda6aff7313a217ff4beeb9b8aa0f6545","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531699923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f3ab570eb7a356d8d677264640094b1cda6aff7313a217ff4beeb9b8aa0f6545","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0470743343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f699973d07a3cfbd2f7943ed5ea7f69c3b086c7931dc91ee541aec7281237366","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0457425644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f699973d07a3cfbd2f7943ed5ea7f69c3b086c7931dc91ee541aec7281237366","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473608002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f699973d07a3cfbd2f7943ed5ea7f69c3b086c7931dc91ee541aec7281237366","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0499520713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f699973d07a3cfbd2f7943ed5ea7f69c3b086c7931dc91ee541aec7281237366","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529617217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f7c50a64ac0e5c1fe250d1ff9df9fda3754b73c141f34e17a2133dcf2c80f927","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042008347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f7c50a64ac0e5c1fe250d1ff9df9fda3754b73c141f34e17a2133dcf2c80f927","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0430629277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f7c50a64ac0e5c1fe250d1ff9df9fda3754b73c141f34e17a2133dcf2c80f927","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0460610277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f7c50a64ac0e5c1fe250d1ff9df9fda3754b73c141f34e17a2133dcf2c80f927","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0500457062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f8c4630bd0774438cad39062456985c15faf696b3d7093049663634dba2b120e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768406915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f8c4630bd0774438cad39062456985c15faf696b3d7093049663634dba2b120e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0889835514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f8c4630bd0774438cad39062456985c15faf696b3d7093049663634dba2b120e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7037208892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f8c4630bd0774438cad39062456985c15faf696b3d7093049663634dba2b120e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1077012671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2760988969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1615216355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545794939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0457994054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2336623657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161480161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1801138836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668249936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528633457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.329599674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3162345269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2167550936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1091991353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2984145421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2908458789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2115416566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0853437935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649522947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.333997548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683234878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2055249045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0742349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.059488476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2822140013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2883319273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1774647254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1180723405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0742548788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2998656458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.219708257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.469079163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0753707334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0597521211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.262140604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3350474397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1674078512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0717251571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568065682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127968404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2871418912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.215598932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0735253081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0574452259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3436524158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3018289735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.180391603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0715160592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052870255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2672953215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3101428313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.215160346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0747093476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0597249384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3069511907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3172540378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1742831446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704433871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567247482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3030838398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2555066519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2508059606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0908348859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0669978175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.262981934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286416523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.560941806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0774072559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603975981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3101135507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2376569198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0828437101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0635704304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2831867611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2204151312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.217541114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0932986045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0794800751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2423035782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879833375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2069735749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0703705665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056508831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3210425701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2741400762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1844820465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701978334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567066558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3111597354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3424951579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2287062134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.125792871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0948988407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3418066439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2647545319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1890779733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0705978468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567248382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2861686788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3249579426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2120334059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0829701962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660886972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3330884268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3519347354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1708798683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771527928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603906888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3290890149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3984050144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1490376393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0740161427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595430232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3472601242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3319525149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1610891831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0815254843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630932326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2758775176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106320401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1995971658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0741742434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595089312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3037419927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4067343929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1636654671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0698820047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565430149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3535602907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906752904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1585849152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0644250053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519973168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2421737265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2295287306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1352199658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0667341733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052824799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2239528631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3475691468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.162159929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071506968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567632941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3677680692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3207259517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.206137448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0708070356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540610221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3040547736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3005495033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2092297341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0805618157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633340589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2818048968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3099666527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0933349694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0794914164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3219038116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3709817396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1635944139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.069670634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0564999216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3166333321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3289391903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.188066504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0928805906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648637463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3791387019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3439978818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1965028283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0705797553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567543856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3426432912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3535214232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1536531871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0742071491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567451126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3783172092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2975424159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5760267498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0697250904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054015566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2705124096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3638167252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.316460599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3569164949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3760649707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2965237913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2626215101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3024433275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3666077275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3965178168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2755713381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3725345748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3989815354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4064363296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.426152697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903629904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2520848744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4119183308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4154093564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301411695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2080478893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3530527295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4535560843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4809116338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27963635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3356139824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4406757543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5453682399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2955689926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3213598922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.188401779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.326424568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3467751569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3237981618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4616290811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3071188475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3757002415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3647713025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3395651806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2998668988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2425268336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0864620127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0606361506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675677005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4320964645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5393378698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821436867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0617611882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.220093746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3092804495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079871751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2930458115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987806057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0691909816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2733227955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2404367859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1764304129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0878166033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642885453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4521469464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2980872585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5953426353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7863309195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066801695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286919897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.390324036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2679089377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3906903495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5236521164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2368522379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2535055659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3184073941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2719088948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2461008037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.216242185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2451973393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2810344231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3322294508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3965511193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4610874389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2103467841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2389876606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3272274357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3374325796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2240994634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2220742731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2580718785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3047078712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3509394954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2111795963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.351078659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3113830671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3233374189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3472135073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2180034916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868857826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3042813478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3246722276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.344574242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2489278645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2454596228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2684551259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308002555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3598556537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4063003103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993838471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3105848858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3300863633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3602895647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2376712242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2572915172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2929053278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3353998762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3860284618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.436332447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2825112779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3177961634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.345933434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3754815981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1925326005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1973977685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1719445679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1525490178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1435624103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1399635261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2799529254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3313146082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3654944426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3950109974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4384272233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3824702263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1925328329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1542926791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262864477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1088699228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3551423099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165908963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106768166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.335266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2445149127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3108508322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3325383205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3596149709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3819969967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2093908846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2795042485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2945499761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2953643284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2967826578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3026925402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.294784228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2851974906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2750532752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2677553828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2635394951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2876186155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145082519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3461187612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3786736576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.416362869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28871985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2806493522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.319718628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2593308731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3483942169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1326177694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1719546916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2387241388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169214597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3653472795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3050048457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3260382276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3527034127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3798647592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2058123389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327527221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2980394997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3168427382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3171792404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3164560602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2769076751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2647140283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3244304462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2741914457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286998767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2691584512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3343380825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3556190035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3852363693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2206190586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2649829991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2870200336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3000150086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3157066963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2964154447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.343154335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3062110775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3331666137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2746620143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2650337456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3072319356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2907571308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2285819999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2062830034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3542542025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2028150403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2136609082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2284493426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2539793548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2805691425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2051523369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1688627467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1403066971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1208737806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1096924093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2441553323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675935871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2951137291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194426902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3494641949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.149644355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1774936274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2209706848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2812300462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3225590886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4184794431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4286019675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4373143459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4497157146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1907719784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3491429239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3262028574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3061965634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.340594131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3294731668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3183928393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3235586636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3525947889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3842315807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4104748287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1743536502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1199600178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1374282242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1497802219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1672056596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2561242321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3112918871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3834149051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1886272007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1438394772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3059874551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.300535282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2858111949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2850763924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3023199952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3551813621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.364657284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3718433311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.367286284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2691221823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933051655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2927966229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.293285028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2932205683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903915597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.252396966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3071850942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2797443494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2536011714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.233698243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2686975199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2428388263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2191192608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1955892931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1677804809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1710348837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1990328478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2302130706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.277570216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.336199582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28203539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601607595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2472909881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3746411367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4073958971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2527020186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3182976275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.299649241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27367413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2856568713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3008034271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2241004557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2542846562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3011286742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3672744575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1871290626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1433501983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1660595426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1925913584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.224745934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2689772894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2555849764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2661439763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2829800231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2979723806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226278176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3905426392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194097343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3916254696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895452496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.326403399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301755795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3467646317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3521322331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.339258956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660927819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3554435986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2475624832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3842109586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4264702286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4646493485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5144373087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1364198649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1267168898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791498173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933757498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3134722635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891684448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2638631055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2476023407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2568252705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2750336283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3023718646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3312050355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2840590588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2504845584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.221252083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2066599439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1895377905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3687480751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3568392936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3471749509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3378173503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2806177044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3093929108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3282798434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3486590699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3672288179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2324104558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301441956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2873189877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126512641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.338564523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3957838427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1930992038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1633775843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1352918936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1219508877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050288508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2811730064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660880149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.224273973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1969796277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1783490194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1229360493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1258088724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1308544981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1388184194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1510646236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1228657733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1241115421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1261823385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1296691822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1356682006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.122972505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1243273711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1267384707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1307844012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1380390979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1231382369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.126647445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1329726561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1433548208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1637191369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1066922334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1147993222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1267997228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1452125392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1863794679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1221906826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1229930502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262096122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1346750766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1546575617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1524096685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1616190668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1842743685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2202064021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891836973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"27de3022128eaef18b823e16c7d1ca4d670abb8f82815882d8789a53ba8561b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1228952288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"27de3022128eaef18b823e16c7d1ca4d670abb8f82815882d8789a53ba8561b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1241452705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"27de3022128eaef18b823e16c7d1ca4d670abb8f82815882d8789a53ba8561b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1261842477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"27de3022128eaef18b823e16c7d1ca4d670abb8f82815882d8789a53ba8561b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1295279957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"27de3022128eaef18b823e16c7d1ca4d670abb8f82815882d8789a53ba8561b0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1364754094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.122927139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1257726885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1309282242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1389207637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1525346727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1222270247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1229815953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1260095146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.134319792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1537142575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1780377967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1781832561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1845289225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1978589129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2230109866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1223974849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1231406915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262409768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1349204484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1553188565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1231201463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262818882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1325930989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1435275548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1637918703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509085859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0669096555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0949605918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1259857874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6184321478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1229020472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1257839616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1308369484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1387501217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1511278076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1660283049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6424623899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5570049919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4495923156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3474229629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.122890775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1256635948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1304119352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1374031713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1465663144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1221900026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1458360311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1794291024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2289071933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2802117988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1229361393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1257913255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1309680437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.13930014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1551461235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1229292308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1257747804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.130636579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1379009151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1489663945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1013897837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5743237518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4850025885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.403627145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3177242776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1221907507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1229546853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1259660586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1343659753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1547373826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0858889799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7116423643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6103214972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5180295725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4200525878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1267747219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.15411418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1918382574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2248870878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5585414069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1231633287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.126909181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1351931848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1557370523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2144026469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1220088356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.122081838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1224110308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1233542441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.12652735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1229293208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1257816888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.130636669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1378024537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1484096259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0692978034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0765798646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992806224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1258996927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1728194407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1456572613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1485303572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1536597103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1616645229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.180746978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1228998653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1230544159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1264641661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1333409411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1476280544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1221929326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1226020372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1235215224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1258598732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1309756803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.191258863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1940537248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2147033671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2766201447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.364369013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1220543826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.122245298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1228643187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1246394688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1304862095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1455868953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.14839708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1532341506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1603213872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1708674665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1251021206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1315136074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423936069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.158437597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1823952149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1219818347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1220845654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225045794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1237394388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1285051433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0585338077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0767525977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.659872062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.572405506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4633655026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1009806791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1171994023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6150887489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5514978943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4813388299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1229293208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1257748704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1307457636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1382740149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.149886857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1278505858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.163163656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2246137326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2359534065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.251816289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0477379928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602702293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0916349126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1383637451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2072569538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0999465537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1119083166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.137672813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1654101025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2095843043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0437151313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0585156253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941804521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1372273436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1860016989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1300725593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1315907918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1362091278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1437821078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1595817116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2353669831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2569404304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2951780704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3437615103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4047099818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0448242592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541791169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075097997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111453756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1649919067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1959202118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1832470615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1765922939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1781105264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1954202763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1035444011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1092627738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1172630408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1276997528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1403729031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1731720619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6019097889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2328941732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2853959257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3683623315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.12442928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1296092711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1386569367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1518278309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1775923273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1458822688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1494372057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1561757033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1674033508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1875835699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1221861142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1228962288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1258514184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1337560459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1518528318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f1a686347066a696609d38ed5b7aa593625685f86fa80c507a8c996aa39a97f1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1844108276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f1a686347066a696609d38ed5b7aa593625685f86fa80c507a8c996aa39a97f1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2762323471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f1a686347066a696609d38ed5b7aa593625685f86fa80c507a8c996aa39a97f1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2094956649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f1a686347066a696609d38ed5b7aa593625685f86fa80c507a8c996aa39a97f1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2299544388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f1a686347066a696609d38ed5b7aa593625685f86fa80c507a8c996aa39a97f1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.272293761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1486459974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1480663417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1529915061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1645009812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2089293138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.278850602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.32700218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3550100468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3871532646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4307916436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2825818006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2677948713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2552001204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.369143708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2668235585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2506519197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.365176733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3925869145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.311129455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3373719111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3686532532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4029265196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2520190891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2344909024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3873152651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4141560991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4497969432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2719806715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2578671859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.235366131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2234858904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3049142534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.256653893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3566433521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3875069805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4198129994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2713779364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2527765073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2332403444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2133491503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1941959693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3054149422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3281263615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3593199265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3970670779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2810044112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2557877834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.229709307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2050422155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1821413044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3271413406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3479787957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3735252972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4001878968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3077078659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3248643694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3456973598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.373431278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2657100261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440417386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2313378508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2230334498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2043579926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.262176964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2445108042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3745559318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4058748988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.444173244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3098600078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3274830304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2435272379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2302283178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2626386406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2476687584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2250497489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2063686251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1882316817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3031392565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2687374008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276867762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2439047541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.229282256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724830241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2648016482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2635344662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2599335836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3037977248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3265698052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2335847501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3916467548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1928096113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DELL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2651144154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DELL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3347741911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DELL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2392900839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DELL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3677974604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DELL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2155000286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2828466026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2550935674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3639118455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2015441797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1748710829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220280596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3426710306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.365308957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3949039923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2009056057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2575968899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301388736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2414342922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3649138415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2180790105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3460065939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3519498006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3516654277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3576216736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.239523556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3095196695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3313923601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3620476123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3916850888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1898662793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2806536318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.259742079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3460532982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.370741527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3063918732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3239390713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2424798599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2249178496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.204461441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3287013825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3563142559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2134941008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4242877834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3077069796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2493306876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3692939464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.39705295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4335224898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3010081644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2700058353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2625928307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2566188023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.251121966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.253691562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3664388338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3777090934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3847999521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.210726399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GRMN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2604373119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GRMN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2438457636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GRMN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3613696223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GRMN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.37301291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GRMN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.21547053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2641336881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2484176527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2239414266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2056521065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3056348524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3196970806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.252587375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2450399502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.224952766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3188879552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2416670859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2193139911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1959797927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1773253686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2979087672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3259306376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3582301496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2113028326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"INTC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2813544303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"INTC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2551853871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"INTC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2271026015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"INTC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.201592087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"INTC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1892871308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2743713436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2688255359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3254744307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3295284251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3147427457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3357770799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.236587257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2218877155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4349465425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3055917957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2537611264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2313395145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2111632446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1920923387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714887186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562648836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440912165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2332601199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312992989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.341476873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2194422454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2013827941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4478069249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3069113014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3314417479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3578693145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3873908112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4211000799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3496693221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2477448706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440346098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2453414043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2423630964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MRNA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2723062442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MRNA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2837243025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MRNA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3030687546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MRNA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.30099465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MRNA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2875350754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660016804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2466017834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2269941203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2075686437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.188950664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3776479748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4058280273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.43507642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4662569334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.506037783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PRU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2727845006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PRU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2526758775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PRU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2313038946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PRU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.214003081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PSX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3072548849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PSX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2605728075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PSX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2431343139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PSX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2323943227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PSX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2205229032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3010793296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.320783282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2458374234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316968533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2148463404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3100309838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2514332773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2318319596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2114182337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1924780738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2760205028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.262786747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2427247091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3852555136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1964851808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2725317432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3381102259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.365544294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2052675388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3081483162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3324393379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3613451298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3915440619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4291963742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3013904619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2612208711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2385768106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.223747963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2027048851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3657288153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3639807082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3581263666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.368111375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3242529654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2336239318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3928073086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4313068021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4809358492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"TGT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2709283822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"TGT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276882194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"TGT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.349343085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"TGT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2224155315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2659294598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2584854713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2551261107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.341561031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3549332993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"VZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2960594392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"VZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878969074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"VZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106419115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"VZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2780465289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"VZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2720170661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3191320924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3352846737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3671541505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4010908054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4413041379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0388a8962c51d5923e46e862e11b2c4e1c91120cb822172cbe1ee6948fe8077a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435105276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0388a8962c51d5923e46e862e11b2c4e1c91120cb822172cbe1ee6948fe8077a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0468993203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0388a8962c51d5923e46e862e11b2c4e1c91120cb822172cbe1ee6948fe8077a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526336726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0388a8962c51d5923e46e862e11b2c4e1c91120cb822172cbe1ee6948fe8077a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0606795591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"076252bac7b43dd18ee7db10dd99f0b47fde0b2eb4b1c98232ddbb1fde757884","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4927737038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"076252bac7b43dd18ee7db10dd99f0b47fde0b2eb4b1c98232ddbb1fde757884","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4625061362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"076252bac7b43dd18ee7db10dd99f0b47fde0b2eb4b1c98232ddbb1fde757884","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4749158312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"076252bac7b43dd18ee7db10dd99f0b47fde0b2eb4b1c98232ddbb1fde757884","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2030235762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0f07891857f427648e4e6633f88c8555a21c820bbe2df81a707f2ee658a3f944","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0950888394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0f07891857f427648e4e6633f88c8555a21c820bbe2df81a707f2ee658a3f944","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951151709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0f07891857f427648e4e6633f88c8555a21c820bbe2df81a707f2ee658a3f944","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048576064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0f07891857f427648e4e6633f88c8555a21c820bbe2df81a707f2ee658a3f944","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0946373152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"1130449a96eba1a771560509bd1fb23e71b93bb4bd0b4d0af37a426da91ffd0c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0424132703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"1130449a96eba1a771560509bd1fb23e71b93bb4bd0b4d0af37a426da91ffd0c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0425033752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"1130449a96eba1a771560509bd1fb23e71b93bb4bd0b4d0af37a426da91ffd0c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0427464694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"1130449a96eba1a771560509bd1fb23e71b93bb4bd0b4d0af37a426da91ffd0c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0430928899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"192c0715666e1585e6b2b3ea30c4af0c2fdd4225b995897dc89703cf0b3f3d20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070175235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"192c0715666e1585e6b2b3ea30c4af0c2fdd4225b995897dc89703cf0b3f3d20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701795714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"192c0715666e1585e6b2b3ea30c4af0c2fdd4225b995897dc89703cf0b3f3d20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701835944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"192c0715666e1585e6b2b3ea30c4af0c2fdd4225b995897dc89703cf0b3f3d20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0702308967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"19e88e9b09a731389bfc1e5d1c20493ef450b1f1234435c937a557ba1b8048f4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0442964731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"19e88e9b09a731389bfc1e5d1c20493ef450b1f1234435c937a557ba1b8048f4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0442968064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"19e88e9b09a731389bfc1e5d1c20493ef450b1f1234435c937a557ba1b8048f4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0444529067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"19e88e9b09a731389bfc1e5d1c20493ef450b1f1234435c937a557ba1b8048f4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0445981188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0434998616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435563022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0436348523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0437376229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"35e89bafa203b77fa24b0530842e6d6eee5ecbbdc02d3e79df14f5c3db54b4ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3177690629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"35e89bafa203b77fa24b0530842e6d6eee5ecbbdc02d3e79df14f5c3db54b4ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3491414427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"35e89bafa203b77fa24b0530842e6d6eee5ecbbdc02d3e79df14f5c3db54b4ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.296418988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"35e89bafa203b77fa24b0530842e6d6eee5ecbbdc02d3e79df14f5c3db54b4ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993675613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"3ecc72dacee2a2b4ca03ab7bd3bf40fb8403a55d7ac30905f99104bdecdd562e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2377829434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"3ecc72dacee2a2b4ca03ab7bd3bf40fb8403a55d7ac30905f99104bdecdd562e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4114931185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"3ecc72dacee2a2b4ca03ab7bd3bf40fb8403a55d7ac30905f99104bdecdd562e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4202369566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"3ecc72dacee2a2b4ca03ab7bd3bf40fb8403a55d7ac30905f99104bdecdd562e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4260698854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"425295e683656375e3fafef64e549bd04dee2cabd5afe5ebb055b1e86c6e2546","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0426688093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"425295e683656375e3fafef64e549bd04dee2cabd5afe5ebb055b1e86c6e2546","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0427270308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"425295e683656375e3fafef64e549bd04dee2cabd5afe5ebb055b1e86c6e2546","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042810475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"425295e683656375e3fafef64e549bd04dee2cabd5afe5ebb055b1e86c6e2546","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0429243738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"446f843e39d849a37dd2f59e3ce1ec612709bfd7cfaaa7762e4db8da8e42cb7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5184190364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"446f843e39d849a37dd2f59e3ce1ec612709bfd7cfaaa7762e4db8da8e42cb7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5106977941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"446f843e39d849a37dd2f59e3ce1ec612709bfd7cfaaa7762e4db8da8e42cb7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5072954745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"446f843e39d849a37dd2f59e3ce1ec612709bfd7cfaaa7762e4db8da8e42cb7e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4927412616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"49803a43a0e323040582abdc3009ef783278ed9370aebeb8abad206110df1e4b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3432979591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"49803a43a0e323040582abdc3009ef783278ed9370aebeb8abad206110df1e4b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2453601956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"49803a43a0e323040582abdc3009ef783278ed9370aebeb8abad206110df1e4b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3534888079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"49803a43a0e323040582abdc3009ef783278ed9370aebeb8abad206110df1e4b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4157261583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"4d5299262cdd63960ec1fef62ee0893f238443fcb914cc3fa1c92e4f15b61cc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435104176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"4d5299262cdd63960ec1fef62ee0893f238443fcb914cc3fa1c92e4f15b61cc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435104176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"4d5299262cdd63960ec1fef62ee0893f238443fcb914cc3fa1c92e4f15b61cc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.043511643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"4d5299262cdd63960ec1fef62ee0893f238443fcb914cc3fa1c92e4f15b61cc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.043511643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"51f89029c887797ea0c28703d519a0d772a2d1602ba6d43e02df7fc5032cdcf9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789816232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"51f89029c887797ea0c28703d519a0d772a2d1602ba6d43e02df7fc5032cdcf9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0909945678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"51f89029c887797ea0c28703d519a0d772a2d1602ba6d43e02df7fc5032cdcf9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1252769681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"51f89029c887797ea0c28703d519a0d772a2d1602ba6d43e02df7fc5032cdcf9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1134055691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"535a16d7079e064f16984e5ab8912262a7566f7a973d5d644b9df81b411381b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042677032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"535a16d7079e064f16984e5ab8912262a7566f7a973d5d644b9df81b411381b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0427352536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"535a16d7079e064f16984e5ab8912262a7566f7a973d5d644b9df81b411381b9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0428520399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"535a16d7079e064f16984e5ab8912262a7566f7a973d5d644b9df81b411381b9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0429569637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0438770577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0439326094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0440801547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0441819255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"54592d021e4c47b32cef8f3f0cfe99389ab285c0e3cdcd761589aa8b9746208d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064892378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"54592d021e4c47b32cef8f3f0cfe99389ab285c0e3cdcd761589aa8b9746208d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0722971978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"54592d021e4c47b32cef8f3f0cfe99389ab285c0e3cdcd761589aa8b9746208d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0746469238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"54592d021e4c47b32cef8f3f0cfe99389ab285c0e3cdcd761589aa8b9746208d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064918154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5881418e834b9c3b029ca2eecc88a10d4b9a873aa2e3f43207ad11a7ad5cffc3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0695086135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5881418e834b9c3b029ca2eecc88a10d4b9a873aa2e3f43207ad11a7ad5cffc3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0754763107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5881418e834b9c3b029ca2eecc88a10d4b9a873aa2e3f43207ad11a7ad5cffc3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0727528329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5881418e834b9c3b029ca2eecc88a10d4b9a873aa2e3f43207ad11a7ad5cffc3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.076389914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5965b7f8bce2c98d94c4a89e5a2532c705b8249d861d9943321606ac1896adbc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0427521357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5965b7f8bce2c98d94c4a89e5a2532c705b8249d861d9943321606ac1896adbc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0429299012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5965b7f8bce2c98d94c4a89e5a2532c705b8249d861d9943321606ac1896adbc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.043141331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5965b7f8bce2c98d94c4a89e5a2532c705b8249d861d9943321606ac1896adbc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435751898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"598c7e24ae08d3f0ac0ac4ebec715643c65f3cd114018860361c92ac2515a7cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0434575312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"598c7e24ae08d3f0ac0ac4ebec715643c65f3cd114018860361c92ac2515a7cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435143051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"598c7e24ae08d3f0ac0ac4ebec715643c65f3cd114018860361c92ac2515a7cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0438173952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"598c7e24ae08d3f0ac0ac4ebec715643c65f3cd114018860361c92ac2515a7cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0456629339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5cf6bb8a0c7ef53f1e36107ad116cbf905b4cc315afdaaccd70bb36986a6c454","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0690817542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5cf6bb8a0c7ef53f1e36107ad116cbf905b4cc315afdaaccd70bb36986a6c454","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.072398413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5cf6bb8a0c7ef53f1e36107ad116cbf905b4cc315afdaaccd70bb36986a6c454","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0738903096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5cf6bb8a0c7ef53f1e36107ad116cbf905b4cc315afdaaccd70bb36986a6c454","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0748260225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"60235dea3e58753b071b01083e32ef495124a139a870fe41bdc19ea6f0dc954a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3924851034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"60235dea3e58753b071b01083e32ef495124a139a870fe41bdc19ea6f0dc954a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4088626343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"60235dea3e58753b071b01083e32ef495124a139a870fe41bdc19ea6f0dc954a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4365719348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"60235dea3e58753b071b01083e32ef495124a139a870fe41bdc19ea6f0dc954a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2203014891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"63dec05c3692efa4131528ffa5f670c06a033ca49d449ddd485a88772f0663eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979399761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"63dec05c3692efa4131528ffa5f670c06a033ca49d449ddd485a88772f0663eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979399761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"63dec05c3692efa4131528ffa5f670c06a033ca49d449ddd485a88772f0663eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979538641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"63dec05c3692efa4131528ffa5f670c06a033ca49d449ddd485a88772f0663eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979538674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0980399681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979844164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979870829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979693063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"6f626eb1eab4e34d6061a384d9f7862af9708bba47e7430c11f1f04c33b4cbea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042932681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"6f626eb1eab4e34d6061a384d9f7862af9708bba47e7430c11f1f04c33b4cbea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0428104939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"6f626eb1eab4e34d6061a384d9f7862af9708bba47e7430c11f1f04c33b4cbea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0428412729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"6f626eb1eab4e34d6061a384d9f7862af9708bba47e7430c11f1f04c33b4cbea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0429225783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"84e8a33553bca96a7d38ce48abb191d8dbbfbb87c8a0d69b55ab1247bfa2a828","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070688976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"84e8a33553bca96a7d38ce48abb191d8dbbfbb87c8a0d69b55ab1247bfa2a828","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.043076891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"84e8a33553bca96a7d38ce48abb191d8dbbfbb87c8a0d69b55ab1247bfa2a828","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0432658779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"84e8a33553bca96a7d38ce48abb191d8dbbfbb87c8a0d69b55ab1247bfa2a828","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435103054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"896f6a521a1cd845180d2a5d957efea9ec169f6b3ddcffff8955c649159e7e96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0703975518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"896f6a521a1cd845180d2a5d957efea9ec169f6b3ddcffff8955c649159e7e96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0703975518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"896f6a521a1cd845180d2a5d957efea9ec169f6b3ddcffff8955c649159e7e96","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0703975518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"896f6a521a1cd845180d2a5d957efea9ec169f6b3ddcffff8955c649159e7e96","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0703978851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"89e5083c8ee7303d24a63bd25fe5ee8e4bb04f874d23072979a737436f2b0947","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1776428086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"89e5083c8ee7303d24a63bd25fe5ee8e4bb04f874d23072979a737436f2b0947","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1486810116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"89e5083c8ee7303d24a63bd25fe5ee8e4bb04f874d23072979a737436f2b0947","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1480897193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"89e5083c8ee7303d24a63bd25fe5ee8e4bb04f874d23072979a737436f2b0947","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1460043084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8ac832074fa141c02de481956bf1d26b7317bce6f4063da42e3f0f2cee3d3ef2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1443326465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8ac832074fa141c02de481956bf1d26b7317bce6f4063da42e3f0f2cee3d3ef2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1500445837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8ac832074fa141c02de481956bf1d26b7317bce6f4063da42e3f0f2cee3d3ef2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0717166825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8ac832074fa141c02de481956bf1d26b7317bce6f4063da42e3f0f2cee3d3ef2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701501245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0424104928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0424672666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0426464764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0429481221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8f241f64a166d7972b06fa09c6dd04cea5162a8ec1db4b5c8610c1354958a098","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0706863096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8f241f64a166d7972b06fa09c6dd04cea5162a8ec1db4b5c8610c1354958a098","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0708097454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8f241f64a166d7972b06fa09c6dd04cea5162a8ec1db4b5c8610c1354958a098","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071004843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8f241f64a166d7972b06fa09c6dd04cea5162a8ec1db4b5c8610c1354958a098","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0711760534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9101f21194ebeb198969cb5ed205b28e84da8007453817b4bbb6bd4268da3431","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0858272595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9101f21194ebeb198969cb5ed205b28e84da8007453817b4bbb6bd4268da3431","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0880128857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9101f21194ebeb198969cb5ed205b28e84da8007453817b4bbb6bd4268da3431","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0857561533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9101f21194ebeb198969cb5ed205b28e84da8007453817b4bbb6bd4268da3431","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1230230133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"92d16801fd9e1a5ae9572c79cfc9a6c7b3cdc6407ad25c95fe324e682825f776","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0712001628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"92d16801fd9e1a5ae9572c79cfc9a6c7b3cdc6407ad25c95fe324e682825f776","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0714680331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"92d16801fd9e1a5ae9572c79cfc9a6c7b3cdc6407ad25c95fe324e682825f776","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0720222169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"92d16801fd9e1a5ae9572c79cfc9a6c7b3cdc6407ad25c95fe324e682825f776","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0729946217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1236971898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1258925931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1260185844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1256832743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9d7e66fd0fa8d02b91ba55f5f2917802d1d8e521a7eec2a773d816d196d632f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2348221487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9d7e66fd0fa8d02b91ba55f5f2917802d1d8e521a7eec2a773d816d196d632f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2049908842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9d7e66fd0fa8d02b91ba55f5f2917802d1d8e521a7eec2a773d816d196d632f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2008260619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9d7e66fd0fa8d02b91ba55f5f2917802d1d8e521a7eec2a773d816d196d632f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1967740096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e344c349f723a4af7261b56c0c9ed253c106fa0956f2c5d3703ee5e5d6a4da8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0443853558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e344c349f723a4af7261b56c0c9ed253c106fa0956f2c5d3703ee5e5d6a4da8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0479521084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e344c349f723a4af7261b56c0c9ed253c106fa0956f2c5d3703ee5e5d6a4da8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541300133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e344c349f723a4af7261b56c0c9ed253c106fa0956f2c5d3703ee5e5d6a4da8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062808967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e91997d235cb3828f5ef0c0d32632929cfe5f9c8861c287eb0e5de5857a7443","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4652520569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e91997d235cb3828f5ef0c0d32632929cfe5f9c8861c287eb0e5de5857a7443","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2153907185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e91997d235cb3828f5ef0c0d32632929cfe5f9c8861c287eb0e5de5857a7443","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1969746624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e91997d235cb3828f5ef0c0d32632929cfe5f9c8861c287eb0e5de5857a7443","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1785074987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1016963812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1012791879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041726539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1084031383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a1903c1a07479a8c52b1c9f52b03a59762179b9d88dacab3df7901d1d41c1516","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0432753217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a1903c1a07479a8c52b1c9f52b03a59762179b9d88dacab3df7901d1d41c1516","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0433687596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a1903c1a07479a8c52b1c9f52b03a59762179b9d88dacab3df7901d1d41c1516","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0434974174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a1903c1a07479a8c52b1c9f52b03a59762179b9d88dacab3df7901d1d41c1516","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0445013477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a3e5164333e7fb0285a70c86caf5ca32175f03e08707256e5acdecefc6f66dad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0424411584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a3e5164333e7fb0285a70c86caf5ca32175f03e08707256e5acdecefc6f66dad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0424970701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a3e5164333e7fb0285a70c86caf5ca32175f03e08707256e5acdecefc6f66dad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042664364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a3e5164333e7fb0285a70c86caf5ca32175f03e08707256e5acdecefc6f66dad","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0428445738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a770921e12578eb8ea7e703a0f1ab513e4807f113d4b94f1037beb1b99e82330","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473073754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a770921e12578eb8ea7e703a0f1ab513e4807f113d4b94f1037beb1b99e82330","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480628785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a770921e12578eb8ea7e703a0f1ab513e4807f113d4b94f1037beb1b99e82330","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0491853562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a770921e12578eb8ea7e703a0f1ab513e4807f113d4b94f1037beb1b99e82330","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509746766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0709866221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0441112637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0456795994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0474309224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bad17045f7fa6c1dffcf6834aa4f962602ec354b47364e81aa9fa22734e4c567","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0706806433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bad17045f7fa6c1dffcf6834aa4f962602ec354b47364e81aa9fa22734e4c567","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0708138563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bad17045f7fa6c1dffcf6834aa4f962602ec354b47364e81aa9fa22734e4c567","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070997288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bad17045f7fa6c1dffcf6834aa4f962602ec354b47364e81aa9fa22734e4c567","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0712360492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bafb5f387bd9eb8d558e2f34ded05172c69fb2d41ac3b189b62199c9f0042d5d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308722468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bafb5f387bd9eb8d558e2f34ded05172c69fb2d41ac3b189b62199c9f0042d5d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2043307078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bafb5f387bd9eb8d558e2f34ded05172c69fb2d41ac3b189b62199c9f0042d5d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2086565189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bafb5f387bd9eb8d558e2f34ded05172c69fb2d41ac3b189b62199c9f0042d5d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1791870071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"c53896700f630837efea6a99bd40c9581d32e4b9a8835fe55e6d95234a0e8bf6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0493406788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"c53896700f630837efea6a99bd40c9581d32e4b9a8835fe55e6d95234a0e8bf6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557175699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"c53896700f630837efea6a99bd40c9581d32e4b9a8835fe55e6d95234a0e8bf6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550771699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"c53896700f630837efea6a99bd40c9581d32e4b9a8835fe55e6d95234a0e8bf6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503758292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cbad8021385851407236d46b1fafe5e78966cb0c5035f52d969e24de1ebf8d68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0763191411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cbad8021385851407236d46b1fafe5e78966cb0c5035f52d969e24de1ebf8d68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0787496392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cbad8021385851407236d46b1fafe5e78966cb0c5035f52d969e24de1ebf8d68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0842864775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cbad8021385851407236d46b1fafe5e78966cb0c5035f52d969e24de1ebf8d68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0886672848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cfb1f99217646618c04c2f69c4831d1a6d6e4fb87f9b5c0354e9acd02742fd7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2110319097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cfb1f99217646618c04c2f69c4831d1a6d6e4fb87f9b5c0354e9acd02742fd7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2258705473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cfb1f99217646618c04c2f69c4831d1a6d6e4fb87f9b5c0354e9acd02742fd7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3236880968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cfb1f99217646618c04c2f69c4831d1a6d6e4fb87f9b5c0354e9acd02742fd7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3239490787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"d8fd625887b1335ac000dfa80bd67b53c98c7db1b64c50a1026e0c2355034850","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0481433174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"d8fd625887b1335ac000dfa80bd67b53c98c7db1b64c50a1026e0c2355034850","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0494571152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"d8fd625887b1335ac000dfa80bd67b53c98c7db1b64c50a1026e0c2355034850","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514653092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"d8fd625887b1335ac000dfa80bd67b53c98c7db1b64c50a1026e0c2355034850","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548567407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0709195156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0753352094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0734522288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0777811508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e323255417b051f6086cc3afd73811b5df5a18073dacc8845911e4868edb5978","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110946073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e323255417b051f6086cc3afd73811b5df5a18073dacc8845911e4868edb5978","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1169714329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e323255417b051f6086cc3afd73811b5df5a18073dacc8845911e4868edb5978","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1336372771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e323255417b051f6086cc3afd73811b5df5a18073dacc8845911e4868edb5978","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1984773359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e3e725eb02935c09f998cf84d68f302915cf79fa84877535262ee3e263d9ff6f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0423967448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e3e725eb02935c09f998cf84d68f302915cf79fa84877535262ee3e263d9ff6f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0424522965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e3e725eb02935c09f998cf84d68f302915cf79fa84877535262ee3e263d9ff6f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0425302111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e3e725eb02935c09f998cf84d68f302915cf79fa84877535262ee3e263d9ff6f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0426304042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ea6df93328c2ac025c2e85e6e8e7f3ffbe287a69b267a91e394a3825f60963e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0453685098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ea6df93328c2ac025c2e85e6e8e7f3ffbe287a69b267a91e394a3825f60963e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0460911264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ea6df93328c2ac025c2e85e6e8e7f3ffbe287a69b267a91e394a3825f60963e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0458846963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ea6df93328c2ac025c2e85e6e8e7f3ffbe287a69b267a91e394a3825f60963e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0461212354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ed0d14ec9edc1c0e2c3e74388b2e26f87b1b9bef77d52ff821a94060a1e5edcb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0431992158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ed0d14ec9edc1c0e2c3e74388b2e26f87b1b9bef77d52ff821a94060a1e5edcb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0436019657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ed0d14ec9edc1c0e2c3e74388b2e26f87b1b9bef77d52ff821a94060a1e5edcb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0443601353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ed0d14ec9edc1c0e2c3e74388b2e26f87b1b9bef77d52ff821a94060a1e5edcb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0454296167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f0c322e138695ed94003cb146aa9fcad652b884dd25f71c442cd5510307997c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2767469078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f0c322e138695ed94003cb146aa9fcad652b884dd25f71c442cd5510307997c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2930346671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f0c322e138695ed94003cb146aa9fcad652b884dd25f71c442cd5510307997c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3156775412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f0c322e138695ed94003cb146aa9fcad652b884dd25f71c442cd5510307997c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3364872092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f12443caeb59f949548292c51ad75701260e0d93c4b76b003cfa44d5aa594a0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0443074723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f12443caeb59f949548292c51ad75701260e0d93c4b76b003cfa44d5aa594a0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0462434491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f12443caeb59f949548292c51ad75701260e0d93c4b76b003cfa44d5aa594a0b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0491293601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f12443caeb59f949548292c51ad75701260e0d93c4b76b003cfa44d5aa594a0b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525957864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f173608b7721fd8094e681ece6cae5d3a51043a55f317775d2830975f4898ef1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0423911619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f173608b7721fd8094e681ece6cae5d3a51043a55f317775d2830975f4898ef1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0423914952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f173608b7721fd8094e681ece6cae5d3a51043a55f317775d2830975f4898ef1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0423920507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f173608b7721fd8094e681ece6cae5d3a51043a55f317775d2830975f4898ef1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0423964948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0712862679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0713569297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0714555895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0715791365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0440104929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0446548927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0459359149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480425466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f7318125ae5a8420e03475a140651eb409bc32c74746311fc5ab124c48612cf2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0433297623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f7318125ae5a8420e03475a140651eb409bc32c74746311fc5ab124c48612cf2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.044363024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f7318125ae5a8420e03475a140651eb409bc32c74746311fc5ab124c48612cf2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0460295751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f7318125ae5a8420e03475a140651eb409bc32c74746311fc5ab124c48612cf2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.048373857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0437410671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0441635934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0450773078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0461527888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fd391776f0c81914a2aedd5a5e06b3fa5f74c5769a82bcfbeb3b606c9117abf1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5870031688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fd391776f0c81914a2aedd5a5e06b3fa5f74c5769a82bcfbeb3b606c9117abf1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.446662235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fd391776f0c81914a2aedd5a5e06b3fa5f74c5769a82bcfbeb3b606c9117abf1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4055046449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fd391776f0c81914a2aedd5a5e06b3fa5f74c5769a82bcfbeb3b606c9117abf1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3384338519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2507239971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0953022334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.061517501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052645784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2386331321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1227134903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618285905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2433311832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1187138928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0884932979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801938735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3109226294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.138530329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604425755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0523515822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2149576323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042033184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0615090571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0524294646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794324785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1731664607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0623284447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052806994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2756573634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057728621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512403248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0451629685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1749815977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0854268428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0607175565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0524070217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1653716346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0764941359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509431233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0451186383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2275940892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029546965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.048407188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.043840838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1623255189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0751053364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0471294988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0434438655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2022709264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0845491259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484516293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0437436225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1728624071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1107695297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0892710207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0804160792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1185912095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526485605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2261557218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045366286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065794871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537318187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2051700426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1019256986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0673308767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053443061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.206582138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0973260176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.06576154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053718153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.206466401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801049897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473851477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0434631986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1923619172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1223242839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1051144775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.100417581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.206120566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961038801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0617759275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526517836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1584457777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1018257055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0881518761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801394329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1763726655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0809604859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0605509013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0523431383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.167977934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1035923608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0881712136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801411005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1102808724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1128928147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10487005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1003813624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1694778577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0850935326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484628508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1581532615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0705389864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0482184233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435464417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1823297432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1128916048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0884489666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801496544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1955141728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0787606385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.047651907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435075567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2261161952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028922982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0616729358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526541168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2090064114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.100503575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0617758164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526847802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1851593351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0977593209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0610397563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0493405688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2277823724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1136471079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.089082256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803938597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1564398068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632728237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0475963553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0434630886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.193693934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1281572127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0880155522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801495422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1813918154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0845270163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0612953231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526180104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1929313139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042810908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648504921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534512826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3378537811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4034047906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3806397027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3982982651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2555810024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4030337421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4574454872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4970538514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4659360777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4577728312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5734152223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6142373912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3046872461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3028562082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3661851496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3223104146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3080564825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3947948612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4340248892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4451908926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126610345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3649793224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145220658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3515639414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5349632328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3771604355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.338731498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3411979936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2327379377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5390851794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4902098816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4987092921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4312752144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6777432926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0927485573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0871156146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2309310272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6687064903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0934201358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0812271341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4599947766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5916724477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1224252995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2128379348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2014248095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1274128199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951261702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921989074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4354228886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2282890046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1897739697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2808692983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916550243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3040992755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2981906632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229159627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.305829455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2945878012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2847904173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2865420281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2826747027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798568707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2900305665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4352078457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690987183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906238736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2543428441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3600035734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2789001541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2823896478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2542391196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2294442897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26185325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2957624033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2535716707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2325899637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2572484471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.298585875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2622524148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2783096913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3029560284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3303008154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3585391677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3073724506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3133030502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2655413889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3416314744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1959485754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1744643678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1561117184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1499866997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136407042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2600540646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3508964647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3777261252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2059611988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2342243263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2645572026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3053723758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2593937969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2716598653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2915396942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3097383583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2632209845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2429364253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3774583092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.403163501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3109133551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.326478055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3477704998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3555948753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748838524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2987958862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3237087515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3501853985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3050386666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.298511174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2977843377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2830277786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1679965323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2183183956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2073431795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2210986793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2650055439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2930063255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3190544481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3534630319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734578111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2763479375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2819809482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2910263973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2804135582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3086965017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194517703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3430926478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2834009512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2722282061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26547502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619967569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2698052736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2817316548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859974102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2804755979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2722437585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2407745001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2133467945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1816307994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0721689103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0825816224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099895861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1234206313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1603399963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1876975749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.201695242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2241825938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3899160995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2062677354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1764187188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.150324985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2529415764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2608390808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2654997006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701169797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1087579076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1391937332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1616411853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2002072418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4493649172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4276977206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4001198912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3896428458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3107715253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3063911797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3093044748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3664792468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3834434517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2235330068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312583864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3353438512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2801028728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3025457903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1123832034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050927787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1011581716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0985716887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1107785637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10851458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1025570997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0973242435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4570144024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3994966275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885127551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3353065799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3451573722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3257427909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3682328393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2105191252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3405732478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3144178113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3078603534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.292753427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3093265569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2984964327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753575342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2569580463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3221902564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2291612602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1982741013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1747263708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.266056058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2909651335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3382856768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3827896949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3014735181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2625362192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.230392068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2093587856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3619640143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3536255505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2802727559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2866728259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2591612139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2963271593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3380461569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3969126823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2155625497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.227290849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2349462037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2567165595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3872923781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2793653185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3023255944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.305791905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3643502912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2488874865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2486317355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.247787953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3740526344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.342728457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3489490037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2053264681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4986766607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2733904587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2994374075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3285131088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3591471244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2817014223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2429590143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4450730005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3323275149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2811930873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2483562975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1140212791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6562930988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1415355551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1452612227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2532061694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906762602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122542525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2836056763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2443769817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2811875657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2430480491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1946642097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.41631502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4538877761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5130625318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1439337394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2774853451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3426411403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3524719684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3605051713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2294483624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3772810748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3441250374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2682494336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3075440603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3082977572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3367337088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3658896806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2872443754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2967130937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3262527826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3607207009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316765137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2232646738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2271025182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2420967445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423842261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424738865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427424235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1435084814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423676717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.142368005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424749976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1426155434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424423332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.142764533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1443726437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1504695542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8258419789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821390783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7180691994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6338877063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424839969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1426700951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1433117173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1447560616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0429965632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0448745441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0483311933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536401584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d3ba574c5379ea8bfe688f6466fd7e65bc185c9f7e6726ce58dd3737766d704","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423815607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d3ba574c5379ea8bfe688f6466fd7e65bc185c9f7e6726ce58dd3737766d704","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424374457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d3ba574c5379ea8bfe688f6466fd7e65bc185c9f7e6726ce58dd3737766d704","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.142649431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d3ba574c5379ea8bfe688f6466fd7e65bc185c9f7e6726ce58dd3737766d704","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1431507296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424146684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1425122172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1428478606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1435783655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435908553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.045374065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0478183399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521513728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424036692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.142501218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1428038636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1435682551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071170553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595684874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1177932004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0892392524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0467795231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0461855643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046332443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0464545734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424146684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1425122172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1428478606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1436672482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427895313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1437561309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1459893094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1503890043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.076952875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803978583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0850157602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.092315254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423900035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424462218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1426752059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.143196392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424063357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1425507701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1430840664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1446370698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424478883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1428811916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1441005515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1465670471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0893566832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061751848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1293149465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1687348492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423898224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.142479305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427509395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1433867943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543067788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666836983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.090748696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1259129239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0427659125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0440519345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0468878489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518625039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1426813166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1429007458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1433788238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1447237305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424173349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424812194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427923089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1434561517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423953364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424925519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427675328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1435341463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7ee3e51cece25f65f1f145a1ac60fe3c4ceb0931b8b96831e389d3cbcc7841f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1440588877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7ee3e51cece25f65f1f145a1ac60fe3c4ceb0931b8b96831e389d3cbcc7841f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1487891152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7ee3e51cece25f65f1f145a1ac60fe3c4ceb0931b8b96831e389d3cbcc7841f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1660323638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7ee3e51cece25f65f1f145a1ac60fe3c4ceb0931b8b96831e389d3cbcc7841f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6623090574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1477746214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1845168683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2911792402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3660629358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424479994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427785321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1443673108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1489117734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553067095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063183941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0715722481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.081917345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423980029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424952184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427844205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.14348115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0767163358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0853157394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061365177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1430561795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0714639223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0738609783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784273283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0901820686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0872156077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0957816803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089585442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1268684132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427256468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.143889455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1466559298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.159155063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048254975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.119291161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1235464214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1293349088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1713208859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1781537454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2057407211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2359000663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424036692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1425342157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1428567489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1437683523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.142445333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1426567627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1436909132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1480724983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911486682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.092804109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038700082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1241574901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1434562628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1456561103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1526889559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1714102131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"adf5c1e65d1b1b0e53916adf2ed2b538cfe14b2e16da0991e2932b4e51dd7911","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423702282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"adf5c1e65d1b1b0e53916adf2ed2b538cfe14b2e16da0991e2932b4e51dd7911","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424395567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"adf5c1e65d1b1b0e53916adf2ed2b538cfe14b2e16da0991e2932b4e51dd7911","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427340951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"adf5c1e65d1b1b0e53916adf2ed2b538cfe14b2e16da0991e2932b4e51dd7911","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1438257094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986703688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1008813266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.106669814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1160802725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424589987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427811985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1441477704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1471447848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981949954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1201848482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1300678107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5556908111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1215270394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6696411298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2035742047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2559039089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.133767864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1476554609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5104420785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5090869291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423980029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1425288827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1428933019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1444467497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055495262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0830281777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1671230906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2054516787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2145401108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2514153313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2852463184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3109112051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1426895382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1429672968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1436561379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1451227028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7204390687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.66283787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2052296454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2386717706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1807313444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6129902555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5287405428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4432798029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424040025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424952184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.142759089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1434729284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2909905584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2881359993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.291739102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3047815059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2514200952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.353940715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3771961288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3980312029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AJG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2484191279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AJG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3710090738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AJG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3919639729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AJG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4090595859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2691600553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2685130765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2759528775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2770607578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2543052668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3397866983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3466525175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3576308098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2749642405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2599771845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3479863707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3720493615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738620845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3300575559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3525019441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3766109358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2494341565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3551353211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3578267935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3675943072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2948506131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2733578199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3317085572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3498242618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2837895111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3275105935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3597466906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2242433084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2896226624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126692698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3374030231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2407193284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3393585382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2422152702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2308430705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2195029941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895752041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902262821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3087226115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205616142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2584056751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2515835787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.244860237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.234450038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676672529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2521021719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3765647619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2071407417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DGX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27530467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DGX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757923884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DGX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2721887357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DGX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2637183227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2655017351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3397529133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3636473281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3866909403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.269848875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3260063449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2539071074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2486277522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902820589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3012953463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161596074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3173990467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2726785724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.328353024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2600191867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.257852504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2771576223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3182278061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3385090596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3651009874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2605461782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3332594313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3403794149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3466499967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2784108942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2731563339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2578297459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2507033779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2555780731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2423604803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356920737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.221053718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2709505211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3270422906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2496724636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2380777486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2777728399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169484906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3352642199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2450436504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2704450337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2590542756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.354828684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3754026139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2704310597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3265449225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.347187477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.370795907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2773675993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3134558999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3281011048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3379880016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.257523805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2651924635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2729706115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2865207543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2691766502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2622444954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2443752178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2351533358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2761494998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2641530914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.250068648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3579921128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.271976597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.333651861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3593944373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2235678617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717838198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2550322299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2372068766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2158241193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2670999128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3294177497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3386124371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.349724268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2703356776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2608453673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3365616922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.347043269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717100873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3319819886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2373666283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2221801252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2632605405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2532139982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2352871155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2149344312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2934616955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3082864133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3130115739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3255088486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2722710522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2646692784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3281931846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3451951586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2655796464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3339263654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.352569915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3773248428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794737012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714872041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3331380794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2491706504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"POOL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2768820163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"POOL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2807569007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"POOL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2980800134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"POOL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2998125748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2756438522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701154898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2604470547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2485581937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.385510698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3855778454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3820280603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3909113046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2765102837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701102521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3313626474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2486672437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3237854828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2844478389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2937237495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3090997692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2844892478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2915554837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2910544461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.304017495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2935674969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3218935031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.348682126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3803237817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794937683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2686215719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3295503362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2482968814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2784326336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3175223322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.261512056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2467575571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3586331024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2503964365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2616419188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2681318014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2673607322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3265048612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3323327085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3365503391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2746196013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3283177843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3471981223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2272182706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2684673468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2448349705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2201716372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4188734712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707117572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3219673257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2545034976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2479032281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2556864102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3517584292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3793233706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2010882771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3202953407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2427291719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2167332408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1949035748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6537169794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1011294571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1240579571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1096667528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"0dfed41d5b80fd0cb749ef54c3b62ca9e4ab90ce199c2ad8d9b779037fbf57c3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.06380682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"0dfed41d5b80fd0cb749ef54c3b62ca9e4ab90ce199c2ad8d9b779037fbf57c3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645663708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"0dfed41d5b80fd0cb749ef54c3b62ca9e4ab90ce199c2ad8d9b779037fbf57c3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663063767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"0dfed41d5b80fd0cb749ef54c3b62ca9e4ab90ce199c2ad8d9b779037fbf57c3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0688340165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111311479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1113838758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1168465123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1286570731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0479295697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0489897055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503670216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521327011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"212f531093f2fe0e8cfec3591ae5038d1c0d11b6b75f16b0eddb766b979ddc7b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3239325668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"212f531093f2fe0e8cfec3591ae5038d1c0d11b6b75f16b0eddb766b979ddc7b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3456593149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"212f531093f2fe0e8cfec3591ae5038d1c0d11b6b75f16b0eddb766b979ddc7b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3536753064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"212f531093f2fe0e8cfec3591ae5038d1c0d11b6b75f16b0eddb766b979ddc7b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3472354599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473412347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473194157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0474222999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0478258264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2515631601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3532586278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.253074201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3153702763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0464177731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046614803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0472290556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0483101193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1154122132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1205417421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1282895537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1234074444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3020f82ccded2f61b438ae7304da05098605e4f70a7a261c49f8aabdc1e6a1e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0463488967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3020f82ccded2f61b438ae7304da05098605e4f70a7a261c49f8aabdc1e6a1e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0464180019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3020f82ccded2f61b438ae7304da05098605e4f70a7a261c49f8aabdc1e6a1e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0465671505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3020f82ccded2f61b438ae7304da05098605e4f70a7a261c49f8aabdc1e6a1e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0468622166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0492773496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0495126686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505854324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527970491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3bc422d52f93246002a3425632561130af98a602d243a18c7f2f5e82b436d967","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.133522266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3bc422d52f93246002a3425632561130af98a602d243a18c7f2f5e82b436d967","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5370328905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3bc422d52f93246002a3425632561130af98a602d243a18c7f2f5e82b436d967","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1938553938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3bc422d52f93246002a3425632561130af98a602d243a18c7f2f5e82b436d967","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1613574584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"473739fe22871b88fcfc8d996aaa9c53dcbb02c087206692e7ef1355d0f6718f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0469367748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"473739fe22871b88fcfc8d996aaa9c53dcbb02c087206692e7ef1355d0f6718f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0469474337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"473739fe22871b88fcfc8d996aaa9c53dcbb02c087206692e7ef1355d0f6718f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0469624161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"473739fe22871b88fcfc8d996aaa9c53dcbb02c087206692e7ef1355d0f6718f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.047013641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"49dba3f6f7c5ca3332d34d40c12fc0db07347519a039307af49daea8798947f3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0621808029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"49dba3f6f7c5ca3332d34d40c12fc0db07347519a039307af49daea8798947f3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645748967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"49dba3f6f7c5ca3332d34d40c12fc0db07347519a039307af49daea8798947f3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642500814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"49dba3f6f7c5ca3332d34d40c12fc0db07347519a039307af49daea8798947f3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660137172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4a8d299b5cf8be9a1979273a6d5740453efadbd28976e46896963f8738bc8545","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0644529948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4a8d299b5cf8be9a1979273a6d5740453efadbd28976e46896963f8738bc8545","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.06590593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4a8d299b5cf8be9a1979273a6d5740453efadbd28976e46896963f8738bc8545","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0682989652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4a8d299b5cf8be9a1979273a6d5740453efadbd28976e46896963f8738bc8545","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.074382944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0471190318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0467615762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0468949604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473028797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"524b0478c524b80e74ce4a8f3c5b19cc0980418581e5d19ee30539c2a0c375bf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2970728787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"524b0478c524b80e74ce4a8f3c5b19cc0980418581e5d19ee30539c2a0c375bf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3151629662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"524b0478c524b80e74ce4a8f3c5b19cc0980418581e5d19ee30539c2a0c375bf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859915791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"524b0478c524b80e74ce4a8f3c5b19cc0980418581e5d19ee30539c2a0c375bf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306575622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"52ca6b6e4b38a184b77b9a06ae75db1b30762eb5f7838d2fa4596430555e993b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618920531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"52ca6b6e4b38a184b77b9a06ae75db1b30762eb5f7838d2fa4596430555e993b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627409954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"52ca6b6e4b38a184b77b9a06ae75db1b30762eb5f7838d2fa4596430555e993b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064082836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"52ca6b6e4b38a184b77b9a06ae75db1b30762eb5f7838d2fa4596430555e993b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663790935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"56e6cb8efd8016906e1de891ee994fd7e3365cb8264305dbe813d3119dc80dc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0479645038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"56e6cb8efd8016906e1de891ee994fd7e3365cb8264305dbe813d3119dc80dc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0478880578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"56e6cb8efd8016906e1de891ee994fd7e3365cb8264305dbe813d3119dc80dc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0481408221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"56e6cb8efd8016906e1de891ee994fd7e3365cb8264305dbe813d3119dc80dc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0485458561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6780d561f985ba882c9513c0be2c115922ff2f6b6a57409b38b5be3a46e204da","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641967984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6780d561f985ba882c9513c0be2c115922ff2f6b6a57409b38b5be3a46e204da","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0622856689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6780d561f985ba882c9513c0be2c115922ff2f6b6a57409b38b5be3a46e204da","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063321455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6780d561f985ba882c9513c0be2c115922ff2f6b6a57409b38b5be3a46e204da","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652547047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6c9255010941f6762f24096f66df89bdd1a02e3e302f5702b1e4a01252d87db5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063698019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6c9255010941f6762f24096f66df89bdd1a02e3e302f5702b1e4a01252d87db5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063388083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6c9255010941f6762f24096f66df89bdd1a02e3e302f5702b1e4a01252d87db5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645938358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6c9255010941f6762f24096f66df89bdd1a02e3e302f5702b1e4a01252d87db5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0657870012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6f4d823f3463ec32ca8461a180de0956f3be017cdac9f8292c0f369c03f453e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0472264214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6f4d823f3463ec32ca8461a180de0956f3be017cdac9f8292c0f369c03f453e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0476898551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6f4d823f3463ec32ca8461a180de0956f3be017cdac9f8292c0f369c03f453e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0488542029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6f4d823f3463ec32ca8461a180de0956f3be017cdac9f8292c0f369c03f453e2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0501252951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"715149aa6310841192f07abde9a0c88e354628b46009155b12947652b5f1febc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603476515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"715149aa6310841192f07abde9a0c88e354628b46009155b12947652b5f1febc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647428026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"715149aa6310841192f07abde9a0c88e354628b46009155b12947652b5f1febc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0720555276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"715149aa6310841192f07abde9a0c88e354628b46009155b12947652b5f1febc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0836818911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2797634536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993667579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2553567296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356431539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7a9662b3982076dfbcf944b2a87ffb0b70586d1c9d16d0e6565cfd41a6c87f7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0804340913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7a9662b3982076dfbcf944b2a87ffb0b70586d1c9d16d0e6565cfd41a6c87f7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0817619347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7a9662b3982076dfbcf944b2a87ffb0b70586d1c9d16d0e6565cfd41a6c87f7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0890441954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7a9662b3982076dfbcf944b2a87ffb0b70586d1c9d16d0e6565cfd41a6c87f7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0921886637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7c0826ceff3c1c5b9c54d4baaad26af69539b284d11d192966bd1de52a8b6053","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614965326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7c0826ceff3c1c5b9c54d4baaad26af69539b284d11d192966bd1de52a8b6053","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618441079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7c0826ceff3c1c5b9c54d4baaad26af69539b284d11d192966bd1de52a8b6053","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603937016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7c0826ceff3c1c5b9c54d4baaad26af69539b284d11d192966bd1de52a8b6053","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0622133847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"80e9b944dc4dbf3d85acc62b66a9ea924872ce939bca810fa74f0be902bd8ce7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2503189024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"80e9b944dc4dbf3d85acc62b66a9ea924872ce939bca810fa74f0be902bd8ce7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2412528336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"80e9b944dc4dbf3d85acc62b66a9ea924872ce939bca810fa74f0be902bd8ce7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2597294295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"80e9b944dc4dbf3d85acc62b66a9ea924872ce939bca810fa74f0be902bd8ce7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2656908453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"887c6db80cbbd1592bad675e72497a9d9730bc0746265d2f099a7412e48d437f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0802024033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"887c6db80cbbd1592bad675e72497a9d9730bc0746265d2f099a7412e48d437f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0904612846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"887c6db80cbbd1592bad675e72497a9d9730bc0746265d2f099a7412e48d437f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005262059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"887c6db80cbbd1592bad675e72497a9d9730bc0746265d2f099a7412e48d437f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788674437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050490452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554609549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062596834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0723895763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9127732d9421311419209f0e16a68dbce070c15a210bdf238391de73b190626a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0722211405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9127732d9421311419209f0e16a68dbce070c15a210bdf238391de73b190626a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056994991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9127732d9421311419209f0e16a68dbce070c15a210bdf238391de73b190626a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0575046504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9127732d9421311419209f0e16a68dbce070c15a210bdf238391de73b190626a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0587757997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9838b0de9d5e3e34fcbb8959a23f07211e0d2f9ba5e97d360fb36385ab9a9327","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0798754426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9838b0de9d5e3e34fcbb8959a23f07211e0d2f9ba5e97d360fb36385ab9a9327","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0798992018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9838b0de9d5e3e34fcbb8959a23f07211e0d2f9ba5e97d360fb36385ab9a9327","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0802785499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9838b0de9d5e3e34fcbb8959a23f07211e0d2f9ba5e97d360fb36385ab9a9327","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0808405956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a3d3642dd3fa06a603e9c5bc3375eb3e7311be5e912fc7783b5a264ca5f618b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638547507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a3d3642dd3fa06a603e9c5bc3375eb3e7311be5e912fc7783b5a264ca5f618b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0669032976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a3d3642dd3fa06a603e9c5bc3375eb3e7311be5e912fc7783b5a264ca5f618b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071474427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a3d3642dd3fa06a603e9c5bc3375eb3e7311be5e912fc7783b5a264ca5f618b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775115184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04862322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0494762056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0508368722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052348106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"af283189eab35fbe54e992751ff4f4e6ea26295bc4f7f0bc508652e9a88a1c19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513886782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"af283189eab35fbe54e992751ff4f4e6ea26295bc4f7f0bc508652e9a88a1c19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0523825906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"af283189eab35fbe54e992751ff4f4e6ea26295bc4f7f0bc508652e9a88a1c19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.05451615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"af283189eab35fbe54e992751ff4f4e6ea26295bc4f7f0bc508652e9a88a1c19","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0571173776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"afe81dfc1d70eddbaf80e8f7c2af20580ad51ac60ab1d343c661f45ea8c5be5f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620559486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"afe81dfc1d70eddbaf80e8f7c2af20580ad51ac60ab1d343c661f45ea8c5be5f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484480141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"afe81dfc1d70eddbaf80e8f7c2af20580ad51ac60ab1d343c661f45ea8c5be5f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0498845307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"afe81dfc1d70eddbaf80e8f7c2af20580ad51ac60ab1d343c661f45ea8c5be5f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519629457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2397451891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3887466514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3317131951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2667633738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0474735457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480179626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0486976458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0493388663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b9d431ef55b703b511f5d5ab5996e61ab3b6c58a476df4bfcf52075ccfab2dbb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062002605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b9d431ef55b703b511f5d5ab5996e61ab3b6c58a476df4bfcf52075ccfab2dbb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062343711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b9d431ef55b703b511f5d5ab5996e61ab3b6c58a476df4bfcf52075ccfab2dbb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632141948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b9d431ef55b703b511f5d5ab5996e61ab3b6c58a476df4bfcf52075ccfab2dbb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0657314278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bbd1e81785ef849b814fc628d05e9e15d5a13e70b1c4d93310c6e2dc00ce77d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628521342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bbd1e81785ef849b814fc628d05e9e15d5a13e70b1c4d93310c6e2dc00ce77d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625840132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bbd1e81785ef849b814fc628d05e9e15d5a13e70b1c4d93310c6e2dc00ce77d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638667482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bbd1e81785ef849b814fc628d05e9e15d5a13e70b1c4d93310c6e2dc00ce77d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656879603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bdc02d2039411e9e4fd27650a1a014f7549d7b4d8b59828433997acb956a8987","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077234164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bdc02d2039411e9e4fd27650a1a014f7549d7b4d8b59828433997acb956a8987","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077917611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bdc02d2039411e9e4fd27650a1a014f7549d7b4d8b59828433997acb956a8987","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0792955617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bdc02d2039411e9e4fd27650a1a014f7549d7b4d8b59828433997acb956a8987","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821764374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c12dd92e0dc4c0c79ce040c86e7d5b03486b998b13611d03f4a81cdb9b0177a4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775093424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c12dd92e0dc4c0c79ce040c86e7d5b03486b998b13611d03f4a81cdb9b0177a4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0749868046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c12dd92e0dc4c0c79ce040c86e7d5b03486b998b13611d03f4a81cdb9b0177a4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0766358169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c12dd92e0dc4c0c79ce040c86e7d5b03486b998b13611d03f4a81cdb9b0177a4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077525692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650622666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0644251041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0684805606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0712962144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c9bb93a3e74ced4b7add8f2100cdeaa46237c20255e9861c7d7ae5e4b159a542","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3196202221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c9bb93a3e74ced4b7add8f2100cdeaa46237c20255e9861c7d7ae5e4b159a542","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891276373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c9bb93a3e74ced4b7add8f2100cdeaa46237c20255e9861c7d7ae5e4b159a542","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3661176191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c9bb93a3e74ced4b7add8f2100cdeaa46237c20255e9861c7d7ae5e4b159a542","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2948497497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d0b89877a55aff1d755b286d4d6546142b0119a641bfea89f9acc72210190598","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0671597152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d0b89877a55aff1d755b286d4d6546142b0119a641bfea89f9acc72210190598","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0711197797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d0b89877a55aff1d755b286d4d6546142b0119a641bfea89f9acc72210190598","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768365402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d0b89877a55aff1d755b286d4d6546142b0119a641bfea89f9acc72210190598","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087506513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1087647108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1097492134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1152708965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1206668998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.061073561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0611327254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0612581117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614043781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0496700333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0491997188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0492792319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505039206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"dd4e5a9974475ddbbdaf357aae738fb3e1be853b5d6e17b6f384a38459871f9f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3149841796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"dd4e5a9974475ddbbdaf357aae738fb3e1be853b5d6e17b6f384a38459871f9f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968898577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"dd4e5a9974475ddbbdaf357aae738fb3e1be853b5d6e17b6f384a38459871f9f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3007120683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"dd4e5a9974475ddbbdaf357aae738fb3e1be853b5d6e17b6f384a38459871f9f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2324796308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0616042755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0616042755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0616058634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0616067474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e17e2e7cd9e6238f55dda4a87017b373ceb04a9d13047102ad336554831c95cf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0621439917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e17e2e7cd9e6238f55dda4a87017b373ceb04a9d13047102ad336554831c95cf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0623089458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e17e2e7cd9e6238f55dda4a87017b373ceb04a9d13047102ad336554831c95cf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627577567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e17e2e7cd9e6238f55dda4a87017b373ceb04a9d13047102ad336554831c95cf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633168618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e1c8b9c3a733ea28a201cf0c6db4a0301d2af390dd498641850055b4cdd4082e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0472705893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e1c8b9c3a733ea28a201cf0c6db4a0301d2af390dd498641850055b4cdd4082e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473593369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e1c8b9c3a733ea28a201cf0c6db4a0301d2af390dd498641850055b4cdd4082e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0475910567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e1c8b9c3a733ea28a201cf0c6db4a0301d2af390dd498641850055b4cdd4082e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480487951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533117687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544902971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0579808397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627936575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e7c2022e7d0304edeec2ba366307f468df90284b13c88a9b2df82d097fc4a730","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0470883352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e7c2022e7d0304edeec2ba366307f468df90284b13c88a9b2df82d097fc4a730","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0467887711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e7c2022e7d0304edeec2ba366307f468df90284b13c88a9b2df82d097fc4a730","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0469835182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e7c2022e7d0304edeec2ba366307f468df90284b13c88a9b2df82d097fc4a730","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0474967937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e9acbd3edd3958af273c8aa3a22ce3d4d012ae9865771dac15574d2b5aa1faba","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2260241429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e9acbd3edd3958af273c8aa3a22ce3d4d012ae9865771dac15574d2b5aa1faba","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4394440657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e9acbd3edd3958af273c8aa3a22ce3d4d012ae9865771dac15574d2b5aa1faba","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2406261272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e9acbd3edd3958af273c8aa3a22ce3d4d012ae9865771dac15574d2b5aa1faba","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2363260153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"eaa5bb6a84590ac40778a6a1be2403f6b7e60f1e636987566dbc5517c0ae406c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2286403426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"eaa5bb6a84590ac40778a6a1be2403f6b7e60f1e636987566dbc5517c0ae406c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2479594703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"eaa5bb6a84590ac40778a6a1be2403f6b7e60f1e636987566dbc5517c0ae406c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2259284321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"eaa5bb6a84590ac40778a6a1be2403f6b7e60f1e636987566dbc5517c0ae406c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2134968819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0722358433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0715302831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0702369032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0695845085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ee1af13e0e1b084471674205ce3f430629ab96a8241f7bb4731808ebbac23e3b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2553874323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ee1af13e0e1b084471674205ce3f430629ab96a8241f7bb4731808ebbac23e3b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2342453869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ee1af13e0e1b084471674205ce3f430629ab96a8241f7bb4731808ebbac23e3b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2543732888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ee1af13e0e1b084471674205ce3f430629ab96a8241f7bb4731808ebbac23e3b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.215913173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f46164652cf1876782c2731cc6f4db92ec9f2d58fc82e138c458f18cf604ec11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813533156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f46164652cf1876782c2731cc6f4db92ec9f2d58fc82e138c458f18cf604ec11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0816623459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f46164652cf1876782c2731cc6f4db92ec9f2d58fc82e138c458f18cf604ec11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.083094189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f46164652cf1876782c2731cc6f4db92ec9f2d58fc82e138c458f18cf604ec11","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0858041734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.047549707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0473644511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480012625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0489528337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f711e2325c82921b7b9d48c5dce1295c191a739b9b91533ad606abeeee6f6bb7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0723142389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f711e2325c82921b7b9d48c5dce1295c191a739b9b91533ad606abeeee6f6bb7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0730014499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f711e2325c82921b7b9d48c5dce1295c191a739b9b91533ad606abeeee6f6bb7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0744579726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f711e2325c82921b7b9d48c5dce1295c191a739b9b91533ad606abeeee6f6bb7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0763776938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"fc22a20eb8097689f94477098e3c6e5065be3ee90024a8349d16376c2dda8024","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2585767799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"fc22a20eb8097689f94477098e3c6e5065be3ee90024a8349d16376c2dda8024","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.257712723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"fc22a20eb8097689f94477098e3c6e5065be3ee90024a8349d16376c2dda8024","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3382867293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"fc22a20eb8097689f94477098e3c6e5065be3ee90024a8349d16376c2dda8024","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3519786662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4895410186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1173928458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0766531075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0687500926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.423740345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1418339519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0863916844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0759056201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4904772127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1182158537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0950346641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1115469021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4280010205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962978061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518762981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480526178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.413386784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1100373903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576391521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519375649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4193405099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1263775989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651789478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560628899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3892749095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.124793966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677604735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632553457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4746577418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1287742229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0713671405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0757551177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4047768247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1578152061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941085613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704540495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4732278187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1136529122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0722122599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666693459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3921894775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0985868583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566155987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516812661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.400525894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1110352021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0664785623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0571036309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1993214989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0907232073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568769571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0501435244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3707598043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.121994331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0582574949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521722523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5063112804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0949578001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563511239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516533895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4225320878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834617322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514888928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0479761577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2445684099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1189726572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0758174571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0680837602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2094559806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0935746652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0710303282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066369489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4184703833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1493063261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0757998719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0688379868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4364054809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1167664162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0569230646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529681173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4117765744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1096166304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0570588601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0517872589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4206316005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1158428323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0629405866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666786528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4467013594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1175920057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0695307696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.058887072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.441711791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1156425155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0604787421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526693555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.442300187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1293946973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0716658434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0611985352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1169491981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573922619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519005137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3055819611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.155032636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0675984481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0572133576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4771189318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.142153629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0712301692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665090267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4144325601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040664076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595565943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538588793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4447612985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1482401868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0856860066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0810633743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4249955419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1563156316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0922634129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783006508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2002278739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0847775799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0596810833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525282129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4571925794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1035040583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0714241292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663193599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2733552814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1400820119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0582504376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505705537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4699363463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1198494215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0860448149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0674648298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2384948803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2191761677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2194658835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2302799746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.225714352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.212165922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2219753885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2107541766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794106862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.541057849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2340802414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2318265892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2689594949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2279935068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.197592189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.200779766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4069136641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4997709571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5716855165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5900950085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2842467521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653661567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2358960429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2211652617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.415466674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5147866164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1694776707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.171315263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2294296352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2036933407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2018019666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2055447231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4533721101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1553138678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1232223814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1201361282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2689139712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1793582966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0881030369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0644976768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4497270328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954442552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3007279566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2168892342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1014355775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0740412352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968567877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.361550505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3290967833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2559178937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2778537608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2965896051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155375481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3354579133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2866623382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3135608009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3459571435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3787285501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748523255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3006481591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3463225617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2199219291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2928814433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3115959618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330140208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3475563592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2513094373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2234967397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1973532263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1662673881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276836232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3549179625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.22713718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082891469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2890185743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123301419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2809774789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.259363324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2900044551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3117291995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3420916983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2415715296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3164047249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2609445548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2419644835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2204310174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2996511579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3299280732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3739661077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4148718069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2540804549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2147137101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1789768505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1531483088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3309022526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.338589481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3624998096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3968500066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2831918554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2662969463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3623226036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3951909161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902619089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3002889487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312118833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3297006318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2949576683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2934999611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.290173476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3163518812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3271020313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114535202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3443832308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.372837753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301738438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2603276207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2530617118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2484435682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2876968373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3296738642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.362297452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4003913609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226723396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2989880723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3186071063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2585931662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0890142274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1174411013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.151725717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1926330856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1474404419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1790601516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1875558597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2049637655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.273323932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25508295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2344160896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2235222486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.343914269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3293559593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2404803063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2163209376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940087222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262311879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1599163775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1907540432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.109327334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1377553628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1728735592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2235450751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167477265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114790793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3027157556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3557053239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3580731964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2535927356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3359354952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3212365432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3054741642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3241510455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968913891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738494507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2615387843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4161277864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3554001175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.323346411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3780096582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3306883277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3174326097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3740419167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4319713407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2687032361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2367856554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2043281393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1753757553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1836249869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2203905481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2624572085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2971147503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2812535373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2554556568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.234819349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3011401426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.268530916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2412423135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2165772095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3296736057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3636712613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4021815209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4384835163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1643871563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1923688979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.22688666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2582528207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924707474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2997883502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3084360363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.325167597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2955803546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3056092298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3050109396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3073704734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2251414807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2050312821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1987422409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2239371399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4546438423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2559579515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3436208295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2494287107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3916169744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.37167104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3516212548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6088890598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1914327793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2241820122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2523749559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701779054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2306725532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1941949653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1687480505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3185639853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2606951409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2129691688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.184129839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5558129359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5052327046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4655892513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4090619569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2988847539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3223426674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.354051327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3977940201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906837017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2689714471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2130833867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1665601236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2988199812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138890073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3296799523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3449316081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903620179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2984869131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3097902538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.316156329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2516386151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3403196967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3029782746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3396156866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3413423428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3109710188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2805207886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2579855933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3557343078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1995079552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1570658439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1267576708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1432059123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.161165761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1900310062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4619647756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3076384438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3219520345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3342561168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3463554788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2928077617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229888796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3066807211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3141385534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2054749356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.191419151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1777764041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1697793967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2418630763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498054183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4375260845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2889779801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2434045474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2284435479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2289796201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2603012956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2810889651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2667625441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2721589318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3008523487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3573925904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2372473529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2188238139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2097645668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1139273517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992487379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994183641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09982568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1217020389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1316235193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1752556257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2343963526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638778722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0747677619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6864995044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5672972551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0852735203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989930013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5868144456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1991401578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1139745172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.114164478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1147954653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1160357974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660575899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0670211556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.067901562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0752380468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992553842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993779595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0997347534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005497616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1139274687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1139809283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1141838297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1145879266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1004366073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1021857755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1073616477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.115594418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"48e155af8c4210bd99ee995fb8f1db51314106460ad1e9ccc10f995e12f84523","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992891978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"48e155af8c4210bd99ee995fb8f1db51314106460ad1e9ccc10f995e12f84523","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995955463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"48e155af8c4210bd99ee995fb8f1db51314106460ad1e9ccc10f995e12f84523","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1014573383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"48e155af8c4210bd99ee995fb8f1db51314106460ad1e9ccc10f995e12f84523","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.105184215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1070486535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1127485351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1246962441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.139558057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994422832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0997780374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005148852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022291194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992659667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995089753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1006333314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030460096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1139553447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1140399155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1145792159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1162752185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992657321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099350187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0998200435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1012856084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.113964284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994028796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0998352022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1011353459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637665552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0733551823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6489323884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5362371253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992205643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992404426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994148771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099986465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992629091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993661819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995987368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1002762292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992541456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993209554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995190909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1000072254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6641487732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6596497024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5052815837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4230691511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992364434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992897265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995101516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1002528218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1204492976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1286828913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1484023481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1795581448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0957004686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.113383617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.147977896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.20111929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0713100431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0762903366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6966266552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5680073442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992598527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993439559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0996980045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1007186879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1471143788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1583355907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1882529414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2367218728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1283888344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1392101289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1656531971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2074372146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0601852733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660487682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109042101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1563889339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046673806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1152487246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1312860007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1494233725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992248605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993148449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995642875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1004203907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"af1719e4facbc21e03efea8315ce04cf3a6ab9dace4e5534b952f96e14e0063f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992675699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"af1719e4facbc21e03efea8315ce04cf3a6ab9dace4e5534b952f96e14e0063f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994111726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"af1719e4facbc21e03efea8315ce04cf3a6ab9dace4e5534b952f96e14e0063f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099849141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"af1719e4facbc21e03efea8315ce04cf3a6ab9dace4e5534b952f96e14e0063f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1010571268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993719448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0998853682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1010502453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1035555514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1139349377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1140011594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1141600677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1145458116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993908239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099703524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1003855596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1020218705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992891972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994191116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0999145975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1010324254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2055850787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2158436197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4907768607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4069598219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992536751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1083635584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6209988613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5376606324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1250483478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1530131605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4535216853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3110349886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0669776349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0806137381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6190927952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5688139228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6895641791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6104139865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4897200252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3829679675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992422663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993662995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099781098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1011279404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638316378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0735943274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913949722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1116569459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1004183758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103818203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1097021055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1205973259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994210523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995344995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1000464526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1020551554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1823953276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1920580378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2299443309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921138441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1195612458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1323115536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1881353186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2596205549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099378944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995322064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0999687651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1013804765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992833749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995075051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005234717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043096897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1141229572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1153570552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1269424272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1572299367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e9ae183b7e834f6311488072a7cbe5c8f887bfd2629b42d59bc83caa0d32fd07","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1000653898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e9ae183b7e834f6311488072a7cbe5c8f887bfd2629b42d59bc83caa0d32fd07","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1026179803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e9ae183b7e834f6311488072a7cbe5c8f887bfd2629b42d59bc83caa0d32fd07","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1083533252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e9ae183b7e834f6311488072a7cbe5c8f887bfd2629b42d59bc83caa0d32fd07","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1186556093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7131327743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6479638805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5417975715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4438648562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1139451292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1140298058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995282755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1001250463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2975291872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2788427759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.254499561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3700445015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2805564379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2537248878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.222170067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1987560406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106751799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33222649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3624906835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3902388381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3044119105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3244005334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2438452454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2244421216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2883929929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3098558187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2864114024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2621204022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AMZN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2746471161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AMZN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3470263987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AMZN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2279282381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AMZN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4212718901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902010238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2804800202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2641217157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2522374924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.311537114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3307094336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3665775026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4003129311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2875591407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276291581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3583357152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2239088748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3275750366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126595243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3423601427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3737718959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3038088914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3252737667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3533254172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3787331981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2831516345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2637547067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2403185891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2206554799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3043198828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3217337365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3507607463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3812027348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145891298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3427312471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3759746844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4132318386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3149000735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3424500389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3743607396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4106485093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138453739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3367685802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2368384738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4042012464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3066496412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2636768406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2397481358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3995429522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.276739532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3314789524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3526927327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3808856956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3118417449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2632155448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2441348049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2179526287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2858868922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3314979268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3680963917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4061630084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3082166482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640635344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2383714347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2160119074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EIX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3083433232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EIX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.325245294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EIX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2512008169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EIX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2360374835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"FIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3124385975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"FIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3341045386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"FIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3699943636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"FIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3989278698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3018415027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2625051089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3712224429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2111368839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.280709504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2617264827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2359549923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2123559053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.305346412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161280434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2648222991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2567713319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2869686369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.264074022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2375973805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2153377958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3087614772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2745600134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2548263848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2329174216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.288682744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683520456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3603164496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3930548919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.29575232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772950808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2599059869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2366552846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2851333118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.269256716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.249461985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3751783129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2928334142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2702473041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2523823795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2336686849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289304489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2741234321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3520828129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3825527499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167566548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.347624249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2248984029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2031582101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2857629123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.334104572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3625586395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2180845061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3056316678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3293177006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3537429897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2287554165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3119301488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3317478299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3594432172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3927300364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114931546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3425511771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3841253474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4287938732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3084732134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3213648572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3430676267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3713839557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3098884864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3337401916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3663608891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4019810055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128093017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2587169681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2351856616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.214343809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2866348714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757539304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2626302937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498511872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3070600729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2708875438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2434417021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2206599075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2855399326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3325404046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3588559826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3868016274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3111944229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3275802377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3527832035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2320128763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2918121497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748258549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.350077625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.381477573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993667841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165989421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3465274142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3795428738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3079779008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3234848841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3454544177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2378128642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2910267269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3143427535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3282280552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2435213842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3118953261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2557599182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.234812517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2114402694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2857963689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714032918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2532460635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2360422533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.296964147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3223307433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2533717238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2379334097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891248138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3040294772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26909523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2537625987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3103463887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3258451909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.34485227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3672816287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3100962412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3335715602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3606959196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3906509758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3057112531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2775408882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3414297234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2485742603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3062232745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.266789668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2435760734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2230360656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2807333321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2631940396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2424742896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2248449517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2890413842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.263631552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2390280235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2164359235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3064350385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.266156053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2477359368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2254051905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3089711346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2616593037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2387692594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2167701345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"083f66e07d74d628962b76e05defc427f50cc21ade66a6b775ea6af83ca833b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518304934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"083f66e07d74d628962b76e05defc427f50cc21ade66a6b775ea6af83ca833b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520921661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"083f66e07d74d628962b76e05defc427f50cc21ade66a6b775ea6af83ca833b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528502311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"083f66e07d74d628962b76e05defc427f50cc21ade66a6b775ea6af83ca833b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528933279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0a81aa2d53af747a506dc58c0cb97875d737f3f35f7d9a3678307fc029b4de69","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.088044308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0a81aa2d53af747a506dc58c0cb97875d737f3f35f7d9a3678307fc029b4de69","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0757306513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0a81aa2d53af747a506dc58c0cb97875d737f3f35f7d9a3678307fc029b4de69","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0756668504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0a81aa2d53af747a506dc58c0cb97875d737f3f35f7d9a3678307fc029b4de69","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0757133633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0cce8e2e3c7450545404b68c54bef00a17e1d48b0bec8d863ca3780cea83c9dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0639878161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0cce8e2e3c7450545404b68c54bef00a17e1d48b0bec8d863ca3780cea83c9dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642677252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0cce8e2e3c7450545404b68c54bef00a17e1d48b0bec8d863ca3780cea83c9dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0655803857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0cce8e2e3c7450545404b68c54bef00a17e1d48b0bec8d863ca3780cea83c9dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0674833689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"11b57e99712b298f2a97104d10205dd0dcaf858960e5cf32d2b612a87c43740e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0635463971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"11b57e99712b298f2a97104d10205dd0dcaf858960e5cf32d2b612a87c43740e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0639647672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"11b57e99712b298f2a97104d10205dd0dcaf858960e5cf32d2b612a87c43740e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628739369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"11b57e99712b298f2a97104d10205dd0dcaf858960e5cf32d2b612a87c43740e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632426317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"18e6bbf2ac288adbb5a18fa251494c80469f3a97d1e516aa664f1194b8b00dc2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516863592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"18e6bbf2ac288adbb5a18fa251494c80469f3a97d1e516aa664f1194b8b00dc2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518424104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"18e6bbf2ac288adbb5a18fa251494c80469f3a97d1e516aa664f1194b8b00dc2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0524935255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"18e6bbf2ac288adbb5a18fa251494c80469f3a97d1e516aa664f1194b8b00dc2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533310681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"1f6ea2b11a7e82ec63828373f1492524c696b15cedc9322255de817f1c902e9f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3821539913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"1f6ea2b11a7e82ec63828373f1492524c696b15cedc9322255de817f1c902e9f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2783088011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"1f6ea2b11a7e82ec63828373f1492524c696b15cedc9322255de817f1c902e9f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2777373597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"1f6ea2b11a7e82ec63828373f1492524c696b15cedc9322255de817f1c902e9f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2828898564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648999775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658530466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679409506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070553295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"24f48970b33655db3ef398f3f7e2b1312ff8f6a15ee8215caedefc18968d77ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2847319164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"24f48970b33655db3ef398f3f7e2b1312ff8f6a15ee8215caedefc18968d77ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.275665046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"24f48970b33655db3ef398f3f7e2b1312ff8f6a15ee8215caedefc18968d77ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2783174866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"24f48970b33655db3ef398f3f7e2b1312ff8f6a15ee8215caedefc18968d77ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.334833042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"25c3f1b2e05b73f6803f231e4f0f12b9c9e87f6fbbc9d8c2fd71044ab729fdd7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0561244471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"25c3f1b2e05b73f6803f231e4f0f12b9c9e87f6fbbc9d8c2fd71044ab729fdd7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0575362902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"25c3f1b2e05b73f6803f231e4f0f12b9c9e87f6fbbc9d8c2fd71044ab729fdd7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613540236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"25c3f1b2e05b73f6803f231e4f0f12b9c9e87f6fbbc9d8c2fd71044ab729fdd7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662200186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4046679443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3800340575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.337247382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3046228395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2914960684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2785853497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2740130565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2863238093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3808314069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2363786377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226582818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4246675822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"342a14e2377140e8a95d331b6c112002f902a6bacd1017b3ead112d3438b6bb1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515605945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"342a14e2377140e8a95d331b6c112002f902a6bacd1017b3ead112d3438b6bb1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0517963255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"342a14e2377140e8a95d331b6c112002f902a6bacd1017b3ead112d3438b6bb1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522854084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"342a14e2377140e8a95d331b6c112002f902a6bacd1017b3ead112d3438b6bb1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530036745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1302118944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1726251806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1432389966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1520761951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"3ca0979645976ff5355304f9b516663a361f953fa9ad0947f06f169c9b114c27","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0744193343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"3ca0979645976ff5355304f9b516663a361f953fa9ad0947f06f169c9b114c27","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0760600854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"3ca0979645976ff5355304f9b516663a361f953fa9ad0947f06f169c9b114c27","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791429642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"3ca0979645976ff5355304f9b516663a361f953fa9ad0947f06f169c9b114c27","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.083713305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0907828924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8525244347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.076556668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0859268785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638185723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641762946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650834578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0653569402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"51f25df1e65bb2ccc486f571efa06a85c0051cb8e151d74501691c214a7c895f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0792808725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"51f25df1e65bb2ccc486f571efa06a85c0051cb8e151d74501691c214a7c895f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077996226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"51f25df1e65bb2ccc486f571efa06a85c0051cb8e151d74501691c214a7c895f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0823100396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"51f25df1e65bb2ccc486f571efa06a85c0051cb8e151d74501691c214a7c895f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.085263685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"5407de55729fda0b39a70bfee6689e18fd527b9cf57dcb9ce050ff2f6d19eaf4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3858294258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"5407de55729fda0b39a70bfee6689e18fd527b9cf57dcb9ce050ff2f6d19eaf4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3734815294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"5407de55729fda0b39a70bfee6689e18fd527b9cf57dcb9ce050ff2f6d19eaf4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122563443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"5407de55729fda0b39a70bfee6689e18fd527b9cf57dcb9ce050ff2f6d19eaf4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3663337497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0635047124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518945363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525233204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532678233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"674ebd85626e739eb7a4b759c8afd13b9cb1900902fda976750ce2fa104c1573","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518378284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"674ebd85626e739eb7a4b759c8afd13b9cb1900902fda976750ce2fa104c1573","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514824123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"674ebd85626e739eb7a4b759c8afd13b9cb1900902fda976750ce2fa104c1573","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514253748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"674ebd85626e739eb7a4b759c8afd13b9cb1900902fda976750ce2fa104c1573","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514796422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2207246808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2350842891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2390780931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4020865173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7b22d178be713b7564ebe8fb1ae33270d26df6856613e85c58e30ff73467ed10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630630324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7b22d178be713b7564ebe8fb1ae33270d26df6856613e85c58e30ff73467ed10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631206648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7b22d178be713b7564ebe8fb1ae33270d26df6856613e85c58e30ff73467ed10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632187523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7b22d178be713b7564ebe8fb1ae33270d26df6856613e85c58e30ff73467ed10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633190449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512613997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512351439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513405316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514920482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"87c956de55d1ac0ea8afe8293c9447209ad5cc607a22c453043125c008ef7cc6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203169064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"87c956de55d1ac0ea8afe8293c9447209ad5cc607a22c453043125c008ef7cc6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3462451555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"87c956de55d1ac0ea8afe8293c9447209ad5cc607a22c453043125c008ef7cc6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2718649607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"87c956de55d1ac0ea8afe8293c9447209ad5cc607a22c453043125c008ef7cc6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.275641236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"8b2f4815aef61f9a0b81fce8bbc17136c8e6487509ceb57fcb3a54dff30b17f1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658099032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"8b2f4815aef61f9a0b81fce8bbc17136c8e6487509ceb57fcb3a54dff30b17f1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.067050312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"8b2f4815aef61f9a0b81fce8bbc17136c8e6487509ceb57fcb3a54dff30b17f1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0692314087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"8b2f4815aef61f9a0b81fce8bbc17136c8e6487509ceb57fcb3a54dff30b17f1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0720212809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"93a724b0c420f128e996e873a82865c23ea53aaf6a2956e8be8d6b375e6c2894","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2634600099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"93a724b0c420f128e996e873a82865c23ea53aaf6a2956e8be8d6b375e6c2894","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.370100501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"93a724b0c420f128e996e873a82865c23ea53aaf6a2956e8be8d6b375e6c2894","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3706386083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"93a724b0c420f128e996e873a82865c23ea53aaf6a2956e8be8d6b375e6c2894","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2831842626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"99dcc6f0d10b2c69f6a3c24415f4a480567edd3fdb2a54de50caf5ef91c17280","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3332018835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"99dcc6f0d10b2c69f6a3c24415f4a480567edd3fdb2a54de50caf5ef91c17280","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3579155339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"99dcc6f0d10b2c69f6a3c24415f4a480567edd3fdb2a54de50caf5ef91c17280","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2689064866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"99dcc6f0d10b2c69f6a3c24415f4a480567edd3fdb2a54de50caf5ef91c17280","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3701823333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9a32899e0bf1edb236fa826f670493274c7e0fca42b8e8022f56e7432fc5c3c4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052513795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9a32899e0bf1edb236fa826f670493274c7e0fca42b8e8022f56e7432fc5c3c4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534485822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9a32899e0bf1edb236fa826f670493274c7e0fca42b8e8022f56e7432fc5c3c4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055072405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9a32899e0bf1edb236fa826f670493274c7e0fca42b8e8022f56e7432fc5c3c4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9648456558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051461501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521351671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534019041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549766001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.137363505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1198230157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1244878348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106235233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9ed9286e52a16be3a5beb1a443e795bc2429300215c6ac967ec14cadbeb6e75f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2822985284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9ed9286e52a16be3a5beb1a443e795bc2429300215c6ac967ec14cadbeb6e75f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3172850287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9ed9286e52a16be3a5beb1a443e795bc2429300215c6ac967ec14cadbeb6e75f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.329166248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9ed9286e52a16be3a5beb1a443e795bc2429300215c6ac967ec14cadbeb6e75f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3185279138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1009201942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089180882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.148316259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1287608197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"acc636ad694b7666aeba3df0f4980bb294c650e6df097329ad7f91532d95b253","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641192309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"acc636ad694b7666aeba3df0f4980bb294c650e6df097329ad7f91532d95b253","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648745127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"acc636ad694b7666aeba3df0f4980bb294c650e6df097329ad7f91532d95b253","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0672271965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"acc636ad694b7666aeba3df0f4980bb294c650e6df097329ad7f91532d95b253","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0686529785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"afeef9ddc9b6c6d1773d7a0a0ba5bc1df5a1ceb0a01ff1b2995082894c463896","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519197354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"afeef9ddc9b6c6d1773d7a0a0ba5bc1df5a1ceb0a01ff1b2995082894c463896","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528013486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"afeef9ddc9b6c6d1773d7a0a0ba5bc1df5a1ceb0a01ff1b2995082894c463896","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543320736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"afeef9ddc9b6c6d1773d7a0a0ba5bc1df5a1ceb0a01ff1b2995082894c463896","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056380358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b56531512fb6a9e91e9af934df3b6f506a3f2103e10af0ce96705c79dec40ae9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1092932448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b56531512fb6a9e91e9af934df3b6f506a3f2103e10af0ce96705c79dec40ae9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1164392149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b56531512fb6a9e91e9af934df3b6f506a3f2103e10af0ce96705c79dec40ae9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1228938414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b56531512fb6a9e91e9af934df3b6f506a3f2103e10af0ce96705c79dec40ae9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1331191135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b6731f4873a909384d27d0ffdc950be2060df2966878f2b2edf8ab4d8fbae363","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052291279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b6731f4873a909384d27d0ffdc950be2060df2966878f2b2edf8ab4d8fbae363","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052833054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b6731f4873a909384d27d0ffdc950be2060df2966878f2b2edf8ab4d8fbae363","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539710396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b6731f4873a909384d27d0ffdc950be2060df2966878f2b2edf8ab4d8fbae363","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553299349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b835e277f744bcf6725ac1ee456a5bd4be38e8a39ee7b8a746917c25aaf0600a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609389004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b835e277f744bcf6725ac1ee456a5bd4be38e8a39ee7b8a746917c25aaf0600a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632789054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b835e277f744bcf6725ac1ee456a5bd4be38e8a39ee7b8a746917c25aaf0600a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641032625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b835e277f744bcf6725ac1ee456a5bd4be38e8a39ee7b8a746917c25aaf0600a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.067217672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c677c77ae293deb8ec68f74fa184fcd0ce5edd2636f5a4c193eb16f6bf8a829d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647848828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c677c77ae293deb8ec68f74fa184fcd0ce5edd2636f5a4c193eb16f6bf8a829d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066519257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c677c77ae293deb8ec68f74fa184fcd0ce5edd2636f5a4c193eb16f6bf8a829d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0691908485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c677c77ae293deb8ec68f74fa184fcd0ce5edd2636f5a4c193eb16f6bf8a829d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0726245156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2611861493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2502723803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146766368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3051907094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c8efef925f6ca8dda786a0ffd199765a7d0e6e61b577f1e23bcfda44abcb255e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4247993013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c8efef925f6ca8dda786a0ffd199765a7d0e6e61b577f1e23bcfda44abcb255e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4350792942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c8efef925f6ca8dda786a0ffd199765a7d0e6e61b577f1e23bcfda44abcb255e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3820531505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c8efef925f6ca8dda786a0ffd199765a7d0e6e61b577f1e23bcfda44abcb255e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3489666929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"de810b550ca9cbea5619bea116f1c8b00a9afcfcd965a349fa90f0a45ee324cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528199209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"de810b550ca9cbea5619bea116f1c8b00a9afcfcd965a349fa90f0a45ee324cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533077771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"de810b550ca9cbea5619bea116f1c8b00a9afcfcd965a349fa90f0a45ee324cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054120892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"de810b550ca9cbea5619bea116f1c8b00a9afcfcd965a349fa90f0a45ee324cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550240099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e0b9e5b9defdf81501ce852410053d9fda0f31b5d5f70d948fe3a2c591047595","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641764251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e0b9e5b9defdf81501ce852410053d9fda0f31b5d5f70d948fe3a2c591047595","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636655331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e0b9e5b9defdf81501ce852410053d9fda0f31b5d5f70d948fe3a2c591047595","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0643569772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e0b9e5b9defdf81501ce852410053d9fda0f31b5d5f70d948fe3a2c591047595","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0664206069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e2542e4e9629f8f80fe226a4129912b4f3f0219121807974e920c3b9589df19c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1299282004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e2542e4e9629f8f80fe226a4129912b4f3f0219121807974e920c3b9589df19c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1370982186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e2542e4e9629f8f80fe226a4129912b4f3f0219121807974e920c3b9589df19c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6899662111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e2542e4e9629f8f80fe226a4129912b4f3f0219121807974e920c3b9589df19c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1480041779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650200874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660560511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9085909324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0726092936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"edf3adf1735d53cb20af975a837c6076f11edbebb6551ac2d2e4f47c590f790a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.074817793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"edf3adf1735d53cb20af975a837c6076f11edbebb6551ac2d2e4f47c590f790a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0629556622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"edf3adf1735d53cb20af975a837c6076f11edbebb6551ac2d2e4f47c590f790a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630131761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"edf3adf1735d53cb20af975a837c6076f11edbebb6551ac2d2e4f47c590f790a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630899837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052129412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052359072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527866397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532889786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063171562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631757893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632634079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633918508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"fc9f2a466cd4e1b13920afdcdf403d468f31124894ee70f56b95d420d84c5c66","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.416292015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"fc9f2a466cd4e1b13920afdcdf403d468f31124894ee70f56b95d420d84c5c66","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2343784042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"fc9f2a466cd4e1b13920afdcdf403d468f31124894ee70f56b95d420d84c5c66","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2258734512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"fc9f2a466cd4e1b13920afdcdf403d468f31124894ee70f56b95d420d84c5c66","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675648641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"ff6ddb84aeb6fa873054302a4c05d0641384836ea11b3e4a40dc7c044d156aa5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541591238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"ff6ddb84aeb6fa873054302a4c05d0641384836ea11b3e4a40dc7c044d156aa5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055501064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"ff6ddb84aeb6fa873054302a4c05d0641384836ea11b3e4a40dc7c044d156aa5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0577483373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"ff6ddb84aeb6fa873054302a4c05d0641384836ea11b3e4a40dc7c044d156aa5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602844095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5416455586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1148719359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.107032686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3393273543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5520107589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0884931595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0764229031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3471072233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5272443033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096695549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0841190284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.177153135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5813374496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895285821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0598851982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4620907867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5129606685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979295814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609887944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2939569329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5403974358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914847177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631912249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3091351776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4921564811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1085783648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788672683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.485804874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1895655431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982136895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789034826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4479045284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5168116876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.092611534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0749196322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4480314506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.533093687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913792787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590156072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3761390736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5711234583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0900565903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0785791425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.380016413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5612332538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0880751172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0767605773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2948526062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4963446763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0910894707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0776986936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2585223139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5443548273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0871564776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768998186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2973145948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4720298002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1368138159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1239902098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3468638798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5303880357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0917718309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0739157023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3407174948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5141293108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0918634193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768903421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3204503916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.473644393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959145791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0738367021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2200847887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5186665777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0985801152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0643047261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3329153286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.495142516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089370196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2834022008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4936071363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039042117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0773516727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653612798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4729666377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1207936372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1055981776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2473669538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5084731968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1069374458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0952907555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583190663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5089437177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0901561164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0776661215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2294678852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5682711078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087844857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0734581698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3911661993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5243930688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912322361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.059385187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.386969548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5311257955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0907054016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0703330996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3228338483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4906975391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0949115766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0779653663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3499646191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5954741464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0814942659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0729295389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4739214541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4777667188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059124527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.084854283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.553811128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0932692339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0769142003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5098431866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.56938128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0917859987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0731729258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4615530286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.148803082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961848233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0776796932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1923310309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.557591856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940061553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0640467679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.457702175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5135960174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968419809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0583280204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1794813836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4064775088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2200161767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.573971748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3186555103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2397190803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1995194687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2075552385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734076586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5554427603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2323735972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3936215468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1951766201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1675102352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1428668244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2579551243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3370353558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3777145143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3748777988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3026729385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.211798702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1655590009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.151628926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2752221789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2213480978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1824702007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1695282974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3012900063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2065730176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.187691641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1714877055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2685220284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4668810211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.218288799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6641035788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4971888756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.24078331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.176329481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1570909535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2873557849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4648065651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1462402946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0850845739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1599957807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2382882059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1575872458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956666027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1795953134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4270189039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1616334616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1020220903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1978782563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5146770531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7032595453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042340041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2008776515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3087953804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841479146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2242400812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3184668768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3062596038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2801464012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3657740802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2287323216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3097313362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2766671011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365468615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082472357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2930994433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859545442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2872857871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2900995834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3102521382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3016120723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2962381176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.297776334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2913284883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724678406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2580343622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2396932855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3002999039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2763540978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3695206898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2269677924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933999337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2821332375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2737878669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2747856895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3031904591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903759381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3309253849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2779335219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3605611519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2198255502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1814040611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.151064503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306836682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3352242504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3787468051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4141978925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2158192322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1806873495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1575879606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1462828634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3015329881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2812760885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2682477422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2434100727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3315382678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2860590626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3188742981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2326757328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3037587721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2949039307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2967725988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306121552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3026710257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2960491791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2892244806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2856538954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813046151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0967514173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.128643166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1792828452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3295333443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3171976953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3027896141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2896080198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2946124245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2740761196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2673605267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2565668112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2948507053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2864906421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2749361869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2659509947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205619038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3147391653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.331753835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3507235205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3011264279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3191692829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2830516719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2821931227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2777318693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3609058186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2134418458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1882836548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0851504576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0894533707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1306943461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1835045865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3852913964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4392922763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1649434394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.137118089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.257311293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2610285396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2720944919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2819932865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3548968786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2795868797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.290258081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.305041088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2790843502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867845932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3946512889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3844171327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2570417755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2517736615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3736211836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3688247197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3411964675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3345917914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.276619755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2500595875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3907725044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2364827418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0909848263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960534621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044691771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.11385086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2917217587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229835064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3593772719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4093195055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3512467135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3140385439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2623447385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2170434782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0843797798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966765071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1352337862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1884591453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3271930948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3086943279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2900400061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2745121168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3204915363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3587696556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3999679575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2165646649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1265355073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1452748166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1824579874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2412052104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3018593034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2988505816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2967060466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3556974789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816040584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2774328639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3419496313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3498903572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3581033528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2925746659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3029433991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618306982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618274432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2670417096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2803512254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4557593159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4157277662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753556904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2982851853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1318624408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1422551647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1652950995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.189468473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2370996519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2739112707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3147592913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772233854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.288130512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3110366919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3243671244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2953227888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3217306558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3488129438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2680974475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3306551984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2403233834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2007405184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1698056054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.321362425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3379316085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2605891035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3739542138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2307242339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2371313608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2630408185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3827554622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.293077855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2870968155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2911507239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2976229285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.703688948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6625308805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1593910052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2039340729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0806892427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0906085075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1152219362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1542148984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939962036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940996835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944802273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951562806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0980209121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005332543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047237294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.112925866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.701250798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6296063312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5351946863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4442259602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102961166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1193091523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1689816968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2195018795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939852519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940623299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094296507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0947848875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057854318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058633383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061208084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1068151692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938612144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938899372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941019194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0945341838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649085954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0924138551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0945622344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0675091099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939756789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940450614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944019265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095294899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938660102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939331785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941111179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944770511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955723809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0972603712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050576416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1174686348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058771843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1060624266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1065631059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1077646115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093991083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940706688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0943270733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0948756315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0833559636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0964086378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1260140648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1717912838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.147529263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1501895608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1553602961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1655270007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938981533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940200132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0949937493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976289528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519573534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544445045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649723601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0872679563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938851525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939523921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0942465416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0949501288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057725634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058247089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1060432952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1065290099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1596143984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1812408216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2380532513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2944355804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1339380524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1391524553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1598195862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1862952152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057853275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058241517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1060915344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1066722327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939994889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941072532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0947552692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966253136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1264552176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1353697036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1559082603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1774087433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059056131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1060061391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1067406318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1087272003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518108263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544420759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0617369541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0757706503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058949476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059719365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1062842411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1069383987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094262352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0950097975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0970638925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027631691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938625459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939096621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941313476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094567275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0948574125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044897717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1316570488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1569480932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791796793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0887417989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111080396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5900721097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c11db639ef0a30ced800a69d5c3725b7f5b5e7c1df7735ceb4165154e82a05ac","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1162848793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c11db639ef0a30ced800a69d5c3725b7f5b5e7c1df7735ceb4165154e82a05ac","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1352641307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c11db639ef0a30ced800a69d5c3725b7f5b5e7c1df7735ceb4165154e82a05ac","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1853236564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c11db639ef0a30ced800a69d5c3725b7f5b5e7c1df7735ceb4165154e82a05ac","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2559895394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939958222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940917767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0946818866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966122657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1318058374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1484050441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2011348002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.383048411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516076789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532316678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0577903416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0670432638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1213270265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1353846896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5595285663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4662169461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057630027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057958487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059086608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061339039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1311665616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.141871564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.199834771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2569312918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1357476169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1547004236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2155922678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4225873945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1188186651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1279045835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1500669862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1835915489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939898706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094095133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0943462077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0949919037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939852034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940621113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0942803167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0947695062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075320788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0854770265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.115823542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5433660129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058961843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059623763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1063145271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1069967329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.773508238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6863918348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5772052299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4968323819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938614391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938871192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940237885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0942693159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165728103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3425097032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3699522653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4009168631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2853879418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2741694481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2549370077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2386337886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2907511489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2728433891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2477661598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2264992418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3142499379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3396389848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2416585255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4076681454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2807034897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2568082778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3880853909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2027099724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121676289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3244916343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3465929924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3666697012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2925058994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3275286937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3494842761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2380426877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.316540606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2641297303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2378282742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2153172457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3196857002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2686154143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2449209403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2244148257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3156165813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3348765947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2466535216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2228489948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3089840931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3302169979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3554544195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3808920103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3147988713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707294286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2437548826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3999484025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3130123266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.327169774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2621677118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3722056272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114113176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.270296971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3620283942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3919067086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3151567527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3368749307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3603071591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3873606347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3134836231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3238373671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3449856555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2475864225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3173454854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3347350709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3631350822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3940873576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3135058352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3299252891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3554139389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3817713315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3185125509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3330806925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2563372297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2392084568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2892509268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3388725252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3716101755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4054672763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3065061939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3207352875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3411237775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3620953883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3139965875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3316493052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3613715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2297191544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2869615472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2657635169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2429183638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.220039603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3054409279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859069795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3364693487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3571113355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2884154645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3353768447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3680159428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4025954642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.279273548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2603541272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2372380588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2151718834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3219057519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601514535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2348019421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4194920875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3179597726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3317569816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2570777577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3747714183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3156713201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2637022854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2382148908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2148010587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2788605146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2625709112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2458149017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2340923533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3158568782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2709375283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2475812649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2258646548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3192466935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3370559679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2489751665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2329281907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131295027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3225329787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724887482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2586958061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152034595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3414696908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3710397946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4001430342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131625947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2788664419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2545372373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2342571651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PYPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122104282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PYPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3337901545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PYPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.362559845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PYPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3953636339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2846780448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690902012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2444799604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2218933955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3107678804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2736292255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2487628818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2254281111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3189375388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3442782322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3751454617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2143189493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3208415016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.257478972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2300645533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4243771799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3044917346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2949308743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167833172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2852276087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3119012957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2742713005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2552041798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3812601889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.285298818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690210676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2477077224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2267167696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3211496193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2628041525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365733212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4123596571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.309044764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3251370834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2645668512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3613833517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161612137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3364881412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2452353044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2225713156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3172945805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2633861511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2393502169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2212679621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3183088569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.258681518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2322711295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2083049794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"064b119526fc5987a8e1d67039009fa4f0af5cd1c8270e91573cb6d7dc97f954","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2086275399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"064b119526fc5987a8e1d67039009fa4f0af5cd1c8270e91573cb6d7dc97f954","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.212830301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"064b119526fc5987a8e1d67039009fa4f0af5cd1c8270e91573cb6d7dc97f954","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4610829737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"064b119526fc5987a8e1d67039009fa4f0af5cd1c8270e91573cb6d7dc97f954","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.293080723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510378118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510382042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510772198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511029185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.07043434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0756478857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0766888138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1135254033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"14a7a20a9f1c2c96df98336dac569e523de1fa5c439058f5c1723d09fa7e84b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0629189916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"14a7a20a9f1c2c96df98336dac569e523de1fa5c439058f5c1723d09fa7e84b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0629442555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"14a7a20a9f1c2c96df98336dac569e523de1fa5c439058f5c1723d09fa7e84b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630111189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"14a7a20a9f1c2c96df98336dac569e523de1fa5c439058f5c1723d09fa7e84b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631624928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1738d25709cb374aed7f84e35fd58e45f2ca11b2f9f498f02ae5491f98d395ea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627420719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1738d25709cb374aed7f84e35fd58e45f2ca11b2f9f498f02ae5491f98d395ea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0623261578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1738d25709cb374aed7f84e35fd58e45f2ca11b2f9f498f02ae5491f98d395ea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966906441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1738d25709cb374aed7f84e35fd58e45f2ca11b2f9f498f02ae5491f98d395ea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071891706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"18a3eaf3f3072efb0d7ce2368758f37231b473f3fe2eebbf093acc33210b0c1f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8764069712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"18a3eaf3f3072efb0d7ce2368758f37231b473f3fe2eebbf093acc33210b0c1f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8311864791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"18a3eaf3f3072efb0d7ce2368758f37231b473f3fe2eebbf093acc33210b0c1f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1103101882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"18a3eaf3f3072efb0d7ce2368758f37231b473f3fe2eebbf093acc33210b0c1f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6850183381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1a5e379d6670bfe8564e978d9d627fc1ab82309d9ab68189df11062370c824e7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2166654348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1a5e379d6670bfe8564e978d9d627fc1ab82309d9ab68189df11062370c824e7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2197853144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1a5e379d6670bfe8564e978d9d627fc1ab82309d9ab68189df11062370c824e7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2396846186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1a5e379d6670bfe8564e978d9d627fc1ab82309d9ab68189df11062370c824e7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2595096831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1fd41b58c5c86d8a595e3eb462137f143bc01a1e718e705ef11d8e189fb2e745","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093546383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1fd41b58c5c86d8a595e3eb462137f143bc01a1e718e705ef11d8e189fb2e745","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0844683219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1fd41b58c5c86d8a595e3eb462137f143bc01a1e718e705ef11d8e189fb2e745","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.088382648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1fd41b58c5c86d8a595e3eb462137f143bc01a1e718e705ef11d8e189fb2e745","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.092484883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"237701ddf6119e28919865e295241bce1ca865485c4fd0dcb7c8d887584c4a78","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2383254452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"237701ddf6119e28919865e295241bce1ca865485c4fd0dcb7c8d887584c4a78","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2324940285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"237701ddf6119e28919865e295241bce1ca865485c4fd0dcb7c8d887584c4a78","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2055543757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"237701ddf6119e28919865e295241bce1ca865485c4fd0dcb7c8d887584c4a78","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2112236459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677631014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681178384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0740932265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0766555388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511519116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051218052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051440248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519748343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867145648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867160448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867628701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.08682037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"3db338f224fae1f451242b9d0a4a9d4794270b234aa2ade2b88918150345588f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2264719885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"3db338f224fae1f451242b9d0a4a9d4794270b234aa2ade2b88918150345588f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5229773166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"3db338f224fae1f451242b9d0a4a9d4794270b234aa2ade2b88918150345588f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2445533471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"3db338f224fae1f451242b9d0a4a9d4794270b234aa2ade2b88918150345588f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2544990467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650412307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.069916995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078391614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944139263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4a5dc440b8c896ff727c47ee44703f6989406e177ac6de9ae9446ddeafdff8f3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518498391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4a5dc440b8c896ff727c47ee44703f6989406e177ac6de9ae9446ddeafdff8f3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521150946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4a5dc440b8c896ff727c47ee44703f6989406e177ac6de9ae9446ddeafdff8f3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526457975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4a5dc440b8c896ff727c47ee44703f6989406e177ac6de9ae9446ddeafdff8f3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532006314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4bffb59ef6e138c3d53c69a2490b5a7b24fad812dbb28bf61bb9324602f74042","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2937749767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4bffb59ef6e138c3d53c69a2490b5a7b24fad812dbb28bf61bb9324602f74042","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4551357448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4bffb59ef6e138c3d53c69a2490b5a7b24fad812dbb28bf61bb9324602f74042","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3346377995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4bffb59ef6e138c3d53c69a2490b5a7b24fad812dbb28bf61bb9324602f74042","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3660813631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4f2be874bff16e09c3ce6611fc413654bdec80e424c95401535c43ebfb5b76ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631902588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4f2be874bff16e09c3ce6611fc413654bdec80e424c95401535c43ebfb5b76ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632716007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4f2be874bff16e09c3ce6611fc413654bdec80e424c95401535c43ebfb5b76ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063505499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4f2be874bff16e09c3ce6611fc413654bdec80e424c95401535c43ebfb5b76ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0639001413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676747065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0710199722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0736366976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770236785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"526ff622b728157065b9b3f1236205e16706819d62ee42706073056ce13adc45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.074818011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"526ff622b728157065b9b3f1236205e16706819d62ee42706073056ce13adc45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0748182494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"526ff622b728157065b9b3f1236205e16706819d62ee42706073056ce13adc45","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0629379368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"526ff622b728157065b9b3f1236205e16706819d62ee42706073056ce13adc45","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0629867137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"53a22dbab619912a0508c7ebd7347b9c9a6e264e0f77f7d8b502c8c5ec21eca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520185929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"53a22dbab619912a0508c7ebd7347b9c9a6e264e0f77f7d8b502c8c5ec21eca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526228446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"53a22dbab619912a0508c7ebd7347b9c9a6e264e0f77f7d8b502c8c5ec21eca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053701345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"53a22dbab619912a0508c7ebd7347b9c9a6e264e0f77f7d8b502c8c5ec21eca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550594707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513116246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513736736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515563087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520940351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"56cc71b68cc4e427db897229aa641d7ae27e86df817f95c53c42529332b22b25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513780314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"56cc71b68cc4e427db897229aa641d7ae27e86df817f95c53c42529332b22b25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051421199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"56cc71b68cc4e427db897229aa641d7ae27e86df817f95c53c42529332b22b25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515140225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"56cc71b68cc4e427db897229aa641d7ae27e86df817f95c53c42529332b22b25","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516040141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"57b6a2c4204ad2968e7545f1c576c8c13e9b34e95c36e7672c7d30cb0318da7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4129300347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"57b6a2c4204ad2968e7545f1c576c8c13e9b34e95c36e7672c7d30cb0318da7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3804769246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"57b6a2c4204ad2968e7545f1c576c8c13e9b34e95c36e7672c7d30cb0318da7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3547620612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"57b6a2c4204ad2968e7545f1c576c8c13e9b34e95c36e7672c7d30cb0318da7e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3446237382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5943cc320316116ea2cae4edccf97a70160a2beea0ef31525405ce2d1eca7160","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1111197778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5943cc320316116ea2cae4edccf97a70160a2beea0ef31525405ce2d1eca7160","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1214439145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5943cc320316116ea2cae4edccf97a70160a2beea0ef31525405ce2d1eca7160","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1456937927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5943cc320316116ea2cae4edccf97a70160a2beea0ef31525405ce2d1eca7160","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1781576173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5e92a41e03347de58db9ebbb5fc5972867c6b42d457adde9f667ed534ff11721","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518275891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5e92a41e03347de58db9ebbb5fc5972867c6b42d457adde9f667ed534ff11721","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520716417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5e92a41e03347de58db9ebbb5fc5972867c6b42d457adde9f667ed534ff11721","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0524290783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5e92a41e03347de58db9ebbb5fc5972867c6b42d457adde9f667ed534ff11721","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530048533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5fac76773cb65a80b04b7dd463d25d31b951b35205e0a2b253b5b130dc06a193","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2105303446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5fac76773cb65a80b04b7dd463d25d31b951b35205e0a2b253b5b130dc06a193","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2364154499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5fac76773cb65a80b04b7dd463d25d31b951b35205e0a2b253b5b130dc06a193","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2666382242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5fac76773cb65a80b04b7dd463d25d31b951b35205e0a2b253b5b130dc06a193","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4099843018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"605b2bbb61dba23dfc154d6cdd25223b72329a403c501221391a42e362ed8839","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1239375896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"605b2bbb61dba23dfc154d6cdd25223b72329a403c501221391a42e362ed8839","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1271683289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"605b2bbb61dba23dfc154d6cdd25223b72329a403c501221391a42e362ed8839","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1294861905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"605b2bbb61dba23dfc154d6cdd25223b72329a403c501221391a42e362ed8839","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1697248088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"62e2cd569275a850242faf89865fcf46ad6faca62bfdbcc83deec4800c47bc1f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520617372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"62e2cd569275a850242faf89865fcf46ad6faca62bfdbcc83deec4800c47bc1f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053067426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"62e2cd569275a850242faf89865fcf46ad6faca62bfdbcc83deec4800c47bc1f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550037552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"62e2cd569275a850242faf89865fcf46ad6faca62bfdbcc83deec4800c47bc1f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0579779174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"630a227b8c9a22cd96905d71fe573664967324396b0367f11dddcc9dc53b4228","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515921081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"630a227b8c9a22cd96905d71fe573664967324396b0367f11dddcc9dc53b4228","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522025542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"630a227b8c9a22cd96905d71fe573664967324396b0367f11dddcc9dc53b4228","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053365006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"630a227b8c9a22cd96905d71fe573664967324396b0367f11dddcc9dc53b4228","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552598129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0639355273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645051591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656778521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681670985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"79f3e0697d0811093fb8a16a596b4f60311d4780121cc01f3eb50e414360c31e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7897945015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"79f3e0697d0811093fb8a16a596b4f60311d4780121cc01f3eb50e414360c31e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7575836826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"79f3e0697d0811093fb8a16a596b4f60311d4780121cc01f3eb50e414360c31e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1359775744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"79f3e0697d0811093fb8a16a596b4f60311d4780121cc01f3eb50e414360c31e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1301450624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"85eff6afad240d20fc89ccfbf3c0b1773616fbb83a6bf384f4ddf05e64d1d29c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519973553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"85eff6afad240d20fc89ccfbf3c0b1773616fbb83a6bf384f4ddf05e64d1d29c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520723131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"85eff6afad240d20fc89ccfbf3c0b1773616fbb83a6bf384f4ddf05e64d1d29c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522579397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"85eff6afad240d20fc89ccfbf3c0b1773616fbb83a6bf384f4ddf05e64d1d29c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.05252395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"881adedbc4180ec5b42d7e3fcd356d2d67b4aebae171a9355827b73bc4b3cb41","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514423428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"881adedbc4180ec5b42d7e3fcd356d2d67b4aebae171a9355827b73bc4b3cb41","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516989195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"881adedbc4180ec5b42d7e3fcd356d2d67b4aebae171a9355827b73bc4b3cb41","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522790754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"881adedbc4180ec5b42d7e3fcd356d2d67b4aebae171a9355827b73bc4b3cb41","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534797805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"89b78a7a03ad8ee34ca6daa227bc3a617fff08e71c8f2112b872d2b73d0fe0eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2826442981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"89b78a7a03ad8ee34ca6daa227bc3a617fff08e71c8f2112b872d2b73d0fe0eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2845237689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"89b78a7a03ad8ee34ca6daa227bc3a617fff08e71c8f2112b872d2b73d0fe0eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933797297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"89b78a7a03ad8ee34ca6daa227bc3a617fff08e71c8f2112b872d2b73d0fe0eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3079128658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633330018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636610926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645329217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658267127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8abb89035e5c2ceec47fc96eed55dcb0df21982201df008039c17814d3d3e291","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510320593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8abb89035e5c2ceec47fc96eed55dcb0df21982201df008039c17814d3d3e291","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510322633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8abb89035e5c2ceec47fc96eed55dcb0df21982201df008039c17814d3d3e291","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510571589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8abb89035e5c2ceec47fc96eed55dcb0df21982201df008039c17814d3d3e291","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510920868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a4586e1506c85c6e237b152e42fd793e8d3e0b787a6efc307f8b8f343b366ce9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0765010001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a4586e1506c85c6e237b152e42fd793e8d3e0b787a6efc307f8b8f343b366ce9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7999356818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a4586e1506c85c6e237b152e42fd793e8d3e0b787a6efc307f8b8f343b366ce9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7781409064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a4586e1506c85c6e237b152e42fd793e8d3e0b787a6efc307f8b8f343b366ce9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955597616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519797373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526144177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537160639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553878191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"ae285b3ca766934d79d56f51488bcb3c05c304e7a7326c4d19e7f55d6c094d62","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775108323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"ae285b3ca766934d79d56f51488bcb3c05c304e7a7326c4d19e7f55d6c094d62","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659776684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"ae285b3ca766934d79d56f51488bcb3c05c304e7a7326c4d19e7f55d6c094d62","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.06570996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"ae285b3ca766934d79d56f51488bcb3c05c304e7a7326c4d19e7f55d6c094d62","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681557769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"aec0cd2acb5e18ac569ef9e71c5c53597288c5b94748521392ef63ee6ed2b4ac","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0572899504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"aec0cd2acb5e18ac569ef9e71c5c53597288c5b94748521392ef63ee6ed2b4ac","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0569127624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"aec0cd2acb5e18ac569ef9e71c5c53597288c5b94748521392ef63ee6ed2b4ac","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550467204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"aec0cd2acb5e18ac569ef9e71c5c53597288c5b94748521392ef63ee6ed2b4ac","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554497176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b01c3a8bdae44371f5917c6baffaef2b11e7977c1994d979d64f227f778c0f5e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0517662739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b01c3a8bdae44371f5917c6baffaef2b11e7977c1994d979d64f227f778c0f5e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534325051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b01c3a8bdae44371f5917c6baffaef2b11e7977c1994d979d64f227f778c0f5e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563366618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b01c3a8bdae44371f5917c6baffaef2b11e7977c1994d979d64f227f778c0f5e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602289321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b036b17c2b1b41097b241de55470381e25628027a379475d6348e1c0403c9b06","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526512262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b036b17c2b1b41097b241de55470381e25628027a379475d6348e1c0403c9b06","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549020386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b036b17c2b1b41097b241de55470381e25628027a379475d6348e1c0403c9b06","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0596840033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b036b17c2b1b41097b241de55470381e25628027a379475d6348e1c0403c9b06","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066176721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b0f0ae742679c116beee145bba48a18b8fd0aecadea1270e1348ec28e51e9520","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0839733108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b0f0ae742679c116beee145bba48a18b8fd0aecadea1270e1348ec28e51e9520","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.089088521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b0f0ae742679c116beee145bba48a18b8fd0aecadea1270e1348ec28e51e9520","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0977494298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b0f0ae742679c116beee145bba48a18b8fd0aecadea1270e1348ec28e51e9520","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057671338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b3b4a39eaa66758e33a89a5c2cf5ee94a969bd5b28c02c43484f878e0e245aa9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064898897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b3b4a39eaa66758e33a89a5c2cf5ee94a969bd5b28c02c43484f878e0e245aa9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650456641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b3b4a39eaa66758e33a89a5c2cf5ee94a969bd5b28c02c43484f878e0e245aa9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0672399072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b3b4a39eaa66758e33a89a5c2cf5ee94a969bd5b28c02c43484f878e0e245aa9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0702476934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"bbca237d399033e22dabcd6f2fad146631c75a743a2c2ef5eeb948a9c401a58d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8301673252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"bbca237d399033e22dabcd6f2fad146631c75a743a2c2ef5eeb948a9c401a58d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1221228346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"bbca237d399033e22dabcd6f2fad146631c75a743a2c2ef5eeb948a9c401a58d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1095641238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"bbca237d399033e22dabcd6f2fad146631c75a743a2c2ef5eeb948a9c401a58d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7251177151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c687506c847563d6d6fca34fb0ab2e248e35e1fbb725ba164fea6bee22a828b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0734382765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c687506c847563d6d6fca34fb0ab2e248e35e1fbb725ba164fea6bee22a828b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071363468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c687506c847563d6d6fca34fb0ab2e248e35e1fbb725ba164fea6bee22a828b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0718168115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c687506c847563d6d6fca34fb0ab2e248e35e1fbb725ba164fea6bee22a828b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0725785429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c8d909eb021c83582a7aaaca7c25270a44fa1d97459c4886bdd3981a5feda69f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6628939839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c8d909eb021c83582a7aaaca7c25270a44fa1d97459c4886bdd3981a5feda69f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6532651961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c8d909eb021c83582a7aaaca7c25270a44fa1d97459c4886bdd3981a5feda69f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1496431671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c8d909eb021c83582a7aaaca7c25270a44fa1d97459c4886bdd3981a5feda69f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1610112797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c929237ba08d3349ac630ca780bbb275f8c3376c0d064edcd142e494cf0ef266","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.24349699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c929237ba08d3349ac630ca780bbb275f8c3376c0d064edcd142e494cf0ef266","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2635423451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c929237ba08d3349ac630ca780bbb275f8c3376c0d064edcd142e494cf0ef266","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2848428237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c929237ba08d3349ac630ca780bbb275f8c3376c0d064edcd142e494cf0ef266","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4396129675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867287656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679474389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652857005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658432011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527911345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532141917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539062563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551929542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4897489321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6910919507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988199301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1235250127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4683080009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6760790485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028139205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1532142625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2064761053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976515229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4801194308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4409492162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6727591579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099812842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1418598309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4873449602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7330657985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813940148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1284136493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1947271061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.705919022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1003333598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.129980165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2766400484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.584336455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1173729172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1336576846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4650008639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6961686262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0740377236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1639768757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4497040322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6589650018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988729518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1435095887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4753942659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7228512833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811360618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1845014126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5214914205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7176625457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7801640765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1194342779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1952302049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7271275698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0735411312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1186167635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2095632407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6858249857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1179811085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912980944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4793909899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7436980924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8357311122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0946609795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4031831784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6694826123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0916426781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1546637085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4568569962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6561402607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.164587961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1147199752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.437964057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.670387676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005425085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1400967192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2064035101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1083136672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033406813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0931874113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4602552511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.71590544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0889976994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1318761013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4563646618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7117348992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8208087688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1454197137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.414910938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6601514622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976786372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.146497521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4290376863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7024968774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771140307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.113767555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4244277545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6523003731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1381706419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1034002959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4912097352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7209772321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0751139242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1276260485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4492925124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7060948416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7979562933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1476670098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4492075701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6606223138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7611770336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1382802466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4479650761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6844653049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043761373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1170500191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.450973002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6856742576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1018134317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1268201874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4080114494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6466448093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.760491903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1180438532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4199578506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1279536203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1116854457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106217622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3766772859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5970269982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1268546287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966135227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4150711437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6927660359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005658012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099008776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4579539783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6863885593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1076391758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1332882829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.459899301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1330856523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1212818157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1584136035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4585969797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939468011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0897498388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1142364329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4859191415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1009432583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0785115638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1920608814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627957983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4771413441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5854234091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3817360471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4029131526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2287592303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2262710857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3955405576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1955822945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.211192169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4916261179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2383569711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1752148673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.181591504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3726278606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4111679918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3352052913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3199686843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4680635541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3577875247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2055922141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1837775513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2615993937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2679290173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2078247333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1963209444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.403955827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901809541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1657198919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1307679335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5666463182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2368739968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1392488384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2728771739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2803365987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1975344665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1478273524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4498808101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145278239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2211124629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1700822353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3703766977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.515718849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1526718066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7411195508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3886152027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2989659322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3175881007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3477647799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3846406808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3323498007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3083225086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2749345766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2570147902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.295277678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3403772103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3771720003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4170810927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3070509016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3523258829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4030547987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4575294038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129045366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2961572762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3189736263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2907254333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2930967919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3353697517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.388769218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2132042178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3024325245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956613841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2989188071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2957924496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3115363542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3005975561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2938154444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2892718214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933751961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3264275687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3494462214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.246782904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2818877746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3768725459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2434615825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.211381316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.229835004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1827247506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1674142333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.134494682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3062432629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3055505795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3316308347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3878185001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3031768028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2940314966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2888005891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835464478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077066745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895784963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1258365905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1743856294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3015267478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2784638636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3555184525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.237956578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2950344768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2858613558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3376214004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286581728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120533574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2938782647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.284076961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2762669039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3291137022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2995904289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3151842796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3341503014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3015566881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3135161108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3311188551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3406757398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772044733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2476313742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2163617131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1921221244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.092002795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050366676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1349133237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1715355175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3853704989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2673986002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2994273421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3243066687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306657922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120772622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3148479492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3202997816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0950799542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1117374118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1454726491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1859287209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7567182251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6772321461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1736117641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.209940441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3382359196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.271732097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3533767349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3299293104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3304460591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3298048382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2938779667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3347003953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3558757446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356447617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3059090917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2942215365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3021839248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2003657219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2743475751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3069623252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3594988275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4102744511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651545573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0800745887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1091258335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1444519588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2159693566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.229567887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2572050517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3076115396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.297513888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968220723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3311772574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2934978139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3232666476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3324355812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2773647861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916097043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2848322595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3417159098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3567580655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2991495323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2982901609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2931022914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2346561447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.244857772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2458739227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2719435453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2517919389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2631858874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2814665239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3015928123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2211312095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2551161098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3067438023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5165098454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2088645322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2124862667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2473885066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1414070617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.151649587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1794902679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5046791348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2289618798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1999882943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1724480105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1540008563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6215668485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1993783766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5437608878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4717598644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2819842121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2664026226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2551549837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2473467696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2366772456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4130161413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2666939708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2984718103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2262323072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4344682419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2288368747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2423450778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4574577205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1594186366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1228336848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024258409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2434299091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2069158251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1869768264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1826050195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1168948547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1206313924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1280166228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1408900588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5630564096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2446992334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4491683126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3826917332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938803934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940262057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0943847519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951738129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1180234567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1331142244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1752485043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2144439003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532308125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567039534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0640001121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811457235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0730985903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895370548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.117147199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5470806676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940090134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941909713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951110496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968690772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939722978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094005401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0942769918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0949165686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057663718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058100871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1060285682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0945800729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940611565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094495071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097624808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1096636975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0848101589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941353015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051862066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663067216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057580221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057887081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058976372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061936319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938613453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939143028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941465641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0946445286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991745095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024738217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106961017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1281994949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0893718607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093370141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103235934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.121860543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0836559703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7055508946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1373286048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1808475022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521487387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542710244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0612283236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0827749505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938577724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939114417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941470398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0948413188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939911073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940999312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094593978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959762948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078543356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974796053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1355451622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1851950677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938518789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938678198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939648829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0942088031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939962503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941028241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944372602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956685736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0950447976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0920271584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.08790078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8286815181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983325382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0972281324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994062766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061945719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0857749477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6854890961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1395589059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1760856331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058801844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940721586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0945541319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963112547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057663842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.105849058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061366492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1067716806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939911568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940622822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0943436987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0950935611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1088042496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.128099826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1610910434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2017871958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059472812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061120468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1068974454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1090857917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1192091977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6563783613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5572523247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4592167889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110289902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.130128443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1636244336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2046110687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938624858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938957738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941139258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0947628984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938518204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938522504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939215967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940113511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1669495102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.156433797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1628625122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1760437605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645995898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0688746859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0847702811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1166805218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536328196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0588917473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0718659436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944203074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005039679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1020944798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1123375671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1202425066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0743521904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0765474773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0841321715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955574282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1111579706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1131095449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1160569845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1207130415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1132518734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.126075971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.174738969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2407071178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1091529717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1151804881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1338809082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1693140906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940253938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0946028353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974432325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1062767643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1177998337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059903334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1062938867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1068994568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0846369924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1100041813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1512687764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2124466321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938627239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939457734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0943108292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0953447572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0943377356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0949258526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097448675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039332397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940421561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0943104954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960779161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1012349843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2914873801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2718725753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2471993631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.395140019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2830799076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3445529245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2417446587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2201864045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2863560478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3364807259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3636248473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3938461505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3125085117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618170183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3870273327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2023278171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2889513631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3319225236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2548977383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2414964726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3140327679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3399565796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3757083439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2110495839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2861838313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3451564806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3791753213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4163025759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3079554183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3321311662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2616066758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3753101381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.30995349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3208065379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2723108952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3582964573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867836485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2672831088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3666264906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3998805964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127572681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757344858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2518628293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3932499892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3156265566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2702121939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2455023425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.223936666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2936702553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3350738694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3595968696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2286572168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2864822701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3342295959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2511388948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2311091223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2893730734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3317898761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2547087323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2386930206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2912318554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3303865196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.349436564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3711180962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ETSY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131223129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ETSY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3324050178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ETSY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3505165511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ETSY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2470407939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2836850845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2631923275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2401121444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2177177144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3180502284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3394218199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2437887804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2224259238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2943850341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.277623001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2576477516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2383452065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2894020649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2706029494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2467908593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2214309364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129965952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3385953636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2470487945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2266893574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3141445611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3422863346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3739226723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4086796741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155725841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3304148209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3465126062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3649811072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3171025649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.347126354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3828132028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4211713674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2852680462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2637555785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2343387988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2102228295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3198489067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3419862649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3728398303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4093121513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2896355468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2674684572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2445076311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2220347536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127602918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724182909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25216389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2336710607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956715774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3245134884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2616515492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3703517157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3188244608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3448697204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3796762492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2081114464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3182054478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2648615315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3761082962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2152568461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.293293325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.274706343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2580762994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2448760157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3134106145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3331964342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2501975412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2302257747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3175945425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.267321608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3680603925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2244685203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3124278241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701995755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2471114902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2271854202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859504471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3365911607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2495730257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2310479855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2834186027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3419813547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3733366128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4030325609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PSKY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924205894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PSKY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3156835984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PSKY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3241219639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PSKY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.334053463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3141711982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3382175178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2452317683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2245232937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3111427157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.329271024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2563499687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2387411318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3200411387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2725129849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2603516668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3688134829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2837310779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2625352192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2387140021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4098483182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3135873643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3393256773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2428527273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2189206859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3170273772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690338299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2484440011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2265686838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867642004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3377899718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2437472577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.225208979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312622619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2694529946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2486215234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2287623089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2830583144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2574725819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3868387248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4238494508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2908790277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2712532222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2482563757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2289102504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2863491324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.265267357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2444205628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4045686629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1013da778a92179ddad45b200e35715489ef1b9e233fb9238850d3e155330972","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553201137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1013da778a92179ddad45b200e35715489ef1b9e233fb9238850d3e155330972","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563115274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1013da778a92179ddad45b200e35715489ef1b9e233fb9238850d3e155330972","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578672662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1013da778a92179ddad45b200e35715489ef1b9e233fb9238850d3e155330972","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0601346529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"11eae91958ce653b31439c8ae25646932702bfc3c8539c9b8aef332ec0cfc9f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526819592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"11eae91958ce653b31439c8ae25646932702bfc3c8539c9b8aef332ec0cfc9f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526971052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"11eae91958ce653b31439c8ae25646932702bfc3c8539c9b8aef332ec0cfc9f0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528064625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"11eae91958ce653b31439c8ae25646932702bfc3c8539c9b8aef332ec0cfc9f0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529637279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"126d174394bd924ac2e825033e45af82987438683a304d28323d39d124371d27","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0778104767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"126d174394bd924ac2e825033e45af82987438683a304d28323d39d124371d27","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770370131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"126d174394bd924ac2e825033e45af82987438683a304d28323d39d124371d27","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786808694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"126d174394bd924ac2e825033e45af82987438683a304d28323d39d124371d27","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791087548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"17016efe277936b6eae64455c446b716f3a643da7982cee91db28f28a989f703","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704355104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"17016efe277936b6eae64455c446b716f3a643da7982cee91db28f28a989f703","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0718422563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"17016efe277936b6eae64455c446b716f3a643da7982cee91db28f28a989f703","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0731672385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"17016efe277936b6eae64455c446b716f3a643da7982cee91db28f28a989f703","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0744651248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1c001e5c84b5fd3c4a951b618b881a55da7bcd86e1d4b1ad190dde63c243e5dd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0879067006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1c001e5c84b5fd3c4a951b618b881a55da7bcd86e1d4b1ad190dde63c243e5dd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0909404354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1c001e5c84b5fd3c4a951b618b881a55da7bcd86e1d4b1ad190dde63c243e5dd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951231484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1c001e5c84b5fd3c4a951b618b881a55da7bcd86e1d4b1ad190dde63c243e5dd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030830415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2058fb6621e12cd52c6646d5383504e79ec9b0d9281b28637dd6fb31e4f03cfe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1638578355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2058fb6621e12cd52c6646d5383504e79ec9b0d9281b28637dd6fb31e4f03cfe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1434835682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2058fb6621e12cd52c6646d5383504e79ec9b0d9281b28637dd6fb31e4f03cfe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1391691856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2058fb6621e12cd52c6646d5383504e79ec9b0d9281b28637dd6fb31e4f03cfe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1352702885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656307239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704609277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0885144285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1171222617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649748649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0654077327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0661259203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0669436105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4578156302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4419357972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3770126244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4022131905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"30c3707c11c9a7b00631bd531a293949ae6d8741678899c0bb8572b3289bad07","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534817367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"30c3707c11c9a7b00631bd531a293949ae6d8741678899c0bb8572b3289bad07","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053956414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"30c3707c11c9a7b00631bd531a293949ae6d8741678899c0bb8572b3289bad07","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550486766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"30c3707c11c9a7b00631bd531a293949ae6d8741678899c0bb8572b3289bad07","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565632821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3572947da6aae4463525f4961072432105d4e007728a8b8b82188338845126bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.145858574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3572947da6aae4463525f4961072432105d4e007728a8b8b82188338845126bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7151652691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3572947da6aae4463525f4961072432105d4e007728a8b8b82188338845126bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6790366003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3572947da6aae4463525f4961072432105d4e007728a8b8b82188338845126bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6604761357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"38d3d006730c668958c31255bad84784678db5e511365cce4155c3d49c033ade","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0736612972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"38d3d006730c668958c31255bad84784678db5e511365cce4155c3d49c033ade","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063205098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"38d3d006730c668958c31255bad84784678db5e511365cce4155c3d49c033ade","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062811613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"38d3d006730c668958c31255bad84784678db5e511365cce4155c3d49c033ade","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0674074781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3ab117422024cfb0fc67251b6507c362a9e24e3cf888a1e4b5985d59d7342bc2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5465907675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3ab117422024cfb0fc67251b6507c362a9e24e3cf888a1e4b5985d59d7342bc2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5070645462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3ab117422024cfb0fc67251b6507c362a9e24e3cf888a1e4b5985d59d7342bc2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4710827854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3ab117422024cfb0fc67251b6507c362a9e24e3cf888a1e4b5985d59d7342bc2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4500870756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771008468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775125157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786073269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0774366601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"46a6ff7ba711ba6c4e3ca527ed36325943de38b17f11ab5a9ac88a30f1480a66","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0767394154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"46a6ff7ba711ba6c4e3ca527ed36325943de38b17f11ab5a9ac88a30f1480a66","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649348949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"46a6ff7ba711ba6c4e3ca527ed36325943de38b17f11ab5a9ac88a30f1480a66","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651268945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"46a6ff7ba711ba6c4e3ca527ed36325943de38b17f11ab5a9ac88a30f1480a66","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0654864435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0700225845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0751867481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775187529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0849127762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"48aca886c5c07a2f09e075d993e4f1d85f5ac011bc8332301e950a1d2fa870d9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8456910111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"48aca886c5c07a2f09e075d993e4f1d85f5ac011bc8332301e950a1d2fa870d9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981530736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"48aca886c5c07a2f09e075d993e4f1d85f5ac011bc8332301e950a1d2fa870d9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1072682784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"48aca886c5c07a2f09e075d993e4f1d85f5ac011bc8332301e950a1d2fa870d9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.119450695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"516439b3d17ba5c317b3b0472bed91b2699a3b338877dffa9e993299f986f66f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1315059182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"516439b3d17ba5c317b3b0472bed91b2699a3b338877dffa9e993299f986f66f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1314812986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"516439b3d17ba5c317b3b0472bed91b2699a3b338877dffa9e993299f986f66f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1370334709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"516439b3d17ba5c317b3b0472bed91b2699a3b338877dffa9e993299f986f66f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7017981117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"60168dd6efcae0849fcf2d9a7d565579caadab90cbfaf96f7aaa8f510507957c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5980509237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"60168dd6efcae0849fcf2d9a7d565579caadab90cbfaf96f7aaa8f510507957c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6191127778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"60168dd6efcae0849fcf2d9a7d565579caadab90cbfaf96f7aaa8f510507957c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1773605198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"60168dd6efcae0849fcf2d9a7d565579caadab90cbfaf96f7aaa8f510507957c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5482831389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"6642ccffacaa1ace44fee7f618b49d54db8da5422e88829f25b17818e581cbcc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165791238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"6642ccffacaa1ace44fee7f618b49d54db8da5422e88829f25b17818e581cbcc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306150318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"6642ccffacaa1ace44fee7f618b49d54db8da5422e88829f25b17818e581cbcc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2614433612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"6642ccffacaa1ace44fee7f618b49d54db8da5422e88829f25b17818e581cbcc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4411902567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"717dec8614b8f3b1cf149ebf7964569979d532b30a7185bb0a32a0807a3454dd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551699651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"717dec8614b8f3b1cf149ebf7964569979d532b30a7185bb0a32a0807a3454dd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056699428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"717dec8614b8f3b1cf149ebf7964569979d532b30a7185bb0a32a0807a3454dd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0598876425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"717dec8614b8f3b1cf149ebf7964569979d532b30a7185bb0a32a0807a3454dd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0615469179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1198888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1065691675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1093662779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1250801548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0761888706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0766174779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0766911753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0772211395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"86f573c0a1a22ba888a8b01c13552e8a547d1c4b2365be22d2fb4b8a3d5f5ad7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0671225669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"86f573c0a1a22ba888a8b01c13552e8a547d1c4b2365be22d2fb4b8a3d5f5ad7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0689739419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"86f573c0a1a22ba888a8b01c13552e8a547d1c4b2365be22d2fb4b8a3d5f5ad7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0711470859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"86f573c0a1a22ba888a8b01c13552e8a547d1c4b2365be22d2fb4b8a3d5f5ad7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0753883241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8a291ad29e8f622e44b8536559968f50ddee3ffd971c67878b3867b88b2e2ff0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6722547813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8a291ad29e8f622e44b8536559968f50ddee3ffd971c67878b3867b88b2e2ff0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6572831592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8a291ad29e8f622e44b8536559968f50ddee3ffd971c67878b3867b88b2e2ff0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1959508899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8a291ad29e8f622e44b8536559968f50ddee3ffd971c67878b3867b88b2e2ff0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5742991996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8c890f838064a395fd556d0a171a798e2a604d69372900325bd854f0ff1bf182","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542824332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8c890f838064a395fd556d0a171a798e2a604d69372900325bd854f0ff1bf182","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550180688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8c890f838064a395fd556d0a171a798e2a604d69372900325bd854f0ff1bf182","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563553369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8c890f838064a395fd556d0a171a798e2a604d69372900325bd854f0ff1bf182","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578227032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"9c9b1d1cfb9d8665e83e9464ad692a4560b1c6f8ff7fc00eb1e56d2b92271daf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0884505733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"9c9b1d1cfb9d8665e83e9464ad692a4560b1c6f8ff7fc00eb1e56d2b92271daf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0762242132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"9c9b1d1cfb9d8665e83e9464ad692a4560b1c6f8ff7fc00eb1e56d2b92271daf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0761516134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"9c9b1d1cfb9d8665e83e9464ad692a4560b1c6f8ff7fc00eb1e56d2b92271daf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0767170571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066203452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0670582136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0685362655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0699998821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a7129df83838b8c27b6c3537f357e16db8318cc36348ebb25e8a9789e0a312c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647131819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a7129df83838b8c27b6c3537f357e16db8318cc36348ebb25e8a9789e0a312c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648422014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a7129df83838b8c27b6c3537f357e16db8318cc36348ebb25e8a9789e0a312c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651042887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a7129df83838b8c27b6c3537f357e16db8318cc36348ebb25e8a9789e0a312c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0655219205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"aa21897e3fcb148dba1f9895e15a806de01461f8b5df910391f9dfe01245d48d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1439073873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"aa21897e3fcb148dba1f9895e15a806de01461f8b5df910391f9dfe01245d48d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6670239018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"aa21897e3fcb148dba1f9895e15a806de01461f8b5df910391f9dfe01245d48d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6120321902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"aa21897e3fcb148dba1f9895e15a806de01461f8b5df910391f9dfe01245d48d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5699741024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1201783304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1214461684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.123916462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1407930316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"afbc861892ad72ca526910ca9f287c842fe68b0b17950d3e8d13e6ac4919f6ad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782625739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"afbc861892ad72ca526910ca9f287c842fe68b0b17950d3e8d13e6ac4919f6ad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658772837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"afbc861892ad72ca526910ca9f287c842fe68b0b17950d3e8d13e6ac4919f6ad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656295244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"afbc861892ad72ca526910ca9f287c842fe68b0b17950d3e8d13e6ac4919f6ad","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662449191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"b1bd1dcc07e5e43b1d02d7f26edbda9df4116aaca2a266d6090e360a2f8f98e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786678263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"b1bd1dcc07e5e43b1d02d7f26edbda9df4116aaca2a266d6090e360a2f8f98e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768758813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"b1bd1dcc07e5e43b1d02d7f26edbda9df4116aaca2a266d6090e360a2f8f98e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783349141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"b1bd1dcc07e5e43b1d02d7f26edbda9df4116aaca2a266d6090e360a2f8f98e2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0816218451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651854758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0671825207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0692025661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0743186334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c99962f984641559c44a3dbf67a7bc08a63d9c07659275fd56f16ab9f9fdddf3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535782641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c99962f984641559c44a3dbf67a7bc08a63d9c07659275fd56f16ab9f9fdddf3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539693714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c99962f984641559c44a3dbf67a7bc08a63d9c07659275fd56f16ab9f9fdddf3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0547481723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c99962f984641559c44a3dbf67a7bc08a63d9c07659275fd56f16ab9f9fdddf3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557326015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955408245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040621588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1152693153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1538126574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531793499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534756242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541614186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549569336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3008156744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3246590672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161255421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.380088884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064510653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645107226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645253159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645261687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.873326251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8533136705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994699127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1013411095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2dd788be5180dc96b1202b861fc7a6ff3bc7c146b492d1a1686bb3c21adc9b4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528675953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2dd788be5180dc96b1202b861fc7a6ff3bc7c146b492d1a1686bb3c21adc9b4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529451818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2dd788be5180dc96b1202b861fc7a6ff3bc7c146b492d1a1686bb3c21adc9b4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531361589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2dd788be5180dc96b1202b861fc7a6ff3bc7c146b492d1a1686bb3c21adc9b4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533600158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e721600074095633a190332cac92768be409b095cc6656f46525e50beabdebe4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538039468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e721600074095633a190332cac92768be409b095cc6656f46525e50beabdebe4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545713845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e721600074095633a190332cac92768be409b095cc6656f46525e50beabdebe4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0559223386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e721600074095633a190332cac92768be409b095cc6656f46525e50beabdebe4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0583499622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e7abf9f2fd718177e40a4d0650d7369ae70b2d3db0cd8a10defba2fdd76e776c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1017828814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e7abf9f2fd718177e40a4d0650d7369ae70b2d3db0cd8a10defba2fdd76e776c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028519411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e7abf9f2fd718177e40a4d0650d7369ae70b2d3db0cd8a10defba2fdd76e776c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050376569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e7abf9f2fd718177e40a4d0650d7369ae70b2d3db0cd8a10defba2fdd76e776c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089546496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e9c055c39013de86ac9095f0d66d611e263137d6cb6ae995944f99078d3c70eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2000640299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e9c055c39013de86ac9095f0d66d611e263137d6cb6ae995944f99078d3c70eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2186488284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e9c055c39013de86ac9095f0d66d611e263137d6cb6ae995944f99078d3c70eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5309017008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e9c055c39013de86ac9095f0d66d611e263137d6cb6ae995944f99078d3c70eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2576871816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"eb4a991b0b9ea903c8685dde291165eb8f72a609e28743e624a7ec37bbacbebe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0879934644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"eb4a991b0b9ea903c8685dde291165eb8f72a609e28743e624a7ec37bbacbebe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0977472074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"eb4a991b0b9ea903c8685dde291165eb8f72a609e28743e624a7ec37bbacbebe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1112749399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"eb4a991b0b9ea903c8685dde291165eb8f72a609e28743e624a7ec37bbacbebe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7083529256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f276efc923dff4849790e5a7dbdb597edf7b4bc17671cfbbcc0d0efbb13b7cf5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648108507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f276efc923dff4849790e5a7dbdb597edf7b4bc17671cfbbcc0d0efbb13b7cf5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649212918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f276efc923dff4849790e5a7dbdb597edf7b4bc17671cfbbcc0d0efbb13b7cf5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652078101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f276efc923dff4849790e5a7dbdb597edf7b4bc17671cfbbcc0d0efbb13b7cf5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656888685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f3b7895b2148386ee41020abf11015f2362d2f1b6773f0f078beed857fea1080","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660772587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f3b7895b2148386ee41020abf11015f2362d2f1b6773f0f078beed857fea1080","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545739165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f3b7895b2148386ee41020abf11015f2362d2f1b6773f0f078beed857fea1080","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553478759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f3b7895b2148386ee41020abf11015f2362d2f1b6773f0f078beed857fea1080","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0570201043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f6d0eaf5d6550bcecbbabc407969c7145ce75956189f05988d2e8a306b417c14","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052624588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f6d0eaf5d6550bcecbbabc407969c7145ce75956189f05988d2e8a306b417c14","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526388935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f6d0eaf5d6550bcecbbabc407969c7145ce75956189f05988d2e8a306b417c14","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526868193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f6d0eaf5d6550bcecbbabc407969c7145ce75956189f05988d2e8a306b417c14","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527204634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527695313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528837367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531479836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535061898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1f9d7e8bf2c1a64c9ca98131b27841da6fba51697a8af719d0ab32349ba014","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791312696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1f9d7e8bf2c1a64c9ca98131b27841da6fba51697a8af719d0ab32349ba014","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818623914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1f9d7e8bf2c1a64c9ca98131b27841da6fba51697a8af719d0ab32349ba014","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834841674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1f9d7e8bf2c1a64c9ca98131b27841da6fba51697a8af719d0ab32349ba014","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0889394004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4097276451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.170936566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6611856754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0977015873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4118372163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5990318981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6068665979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0873108777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2279961639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.143374042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027824743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1787462652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2531077454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1763736405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6686954156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1098039544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3752887761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6168703941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.640728073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0924062302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4017655614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.624937242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6609285268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0835822225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.239648368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1494139443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7178290918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1573410224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2412383978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1440454856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7422805976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1650888155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2445572676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1451645584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7182012421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1641459372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2463192119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6877196049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7296348323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061922542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3950463629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.627756353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6390661309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0964301301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4597001964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6173894534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6445329203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1092875619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4333281753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6668619934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6728287942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.083406028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.403637032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6040082004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6212514449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0738534325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653148768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1619506498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6793908463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045541222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4398378454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1707746576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6569093889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0853298808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3560371531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6219619847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6080237192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771851264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3645932977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5979080633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5737944263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0810774043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3583979204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5990366601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5812648323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782011492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2430762819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1689031869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6665524627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1138590931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.408489522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5869221022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5863839949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979158778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3840461157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5723408222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5415210822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0879680353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.355378805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5510308197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.544659248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1101923441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4147288211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6649213992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.646585776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0851832584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.258895685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1406835053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.723034684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955920161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.374017319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1599704051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6462853407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048065088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3654007444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1840677657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5519239826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0926264733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3898388571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6108688435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5949843786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0839548499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.403793209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6565789537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6859386125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0886251929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618212745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1847273996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5863887569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1152612199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748008042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1696764319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1757569124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1414695349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2784580292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1938527615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5889507192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1323404607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3834365782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1670936225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6357612947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1113257029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3555951637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2097251094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.535234311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104073159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3722268026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5914222033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6686763199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225497646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3585173109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2073438363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5588268944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.233930049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2623195714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1991133895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1937227922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2577766122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2098136299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2173042744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5427652861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3039853181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1792417107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1684292789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2151947031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3320281062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4495505245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3191544508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2136899074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4211203771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5929630892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1493879324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2061491758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2775308784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2027526369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1914751612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2183296201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4109053337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1435740465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1410930383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2665625239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2625165938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4762267069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5089977138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26579584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2574309051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.189175071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1829987417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6078695895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.380846942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1554695518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005921284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3592662443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3882703216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1673217577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3032273164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3291803878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5304065468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.68169566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2346748957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.220404344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1633792533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6556200742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.355364519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3404752941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2500192951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4922390226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3221732971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2935619115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3223922529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3681345809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4245310366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3092961748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3406555065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.387228735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4362569774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2527526436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.220957149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.180976626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1519292381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2983537776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3332909192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3847873212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4350936947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2811962688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2946645769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3151514865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3089645906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3393646352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3711712817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4208159433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4695482514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2988715389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3196961629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3521665746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2549150095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3142635119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3278670322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3504366266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2580146942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2556791182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2163474665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1817744294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1543713405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2880155119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.273483818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3646434572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3948520951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3007795672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3235926677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3611424992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3986545776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3040748305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2945873572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3264824249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2914785681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.299851146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3048581046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3057890211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3054177597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3020941461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3102420446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3277219621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3485693773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3079187843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3035290701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3019855435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3012026024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0796820467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956107395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.121002355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1671067866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064045371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0850654184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1221678319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1760128775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6650841466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1570440137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1841865399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2169405565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3107695494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2819258064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3444610479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2606625415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138468562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2788373387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3483269818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.260975243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924687749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3078132417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3310699463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2732080684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106642941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2892012197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2854131653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2913312771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3065926897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3240320091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3360473289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.276299656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165369798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2799498359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.344401624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753749368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2809157327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.401468666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4244475869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903951535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0858342736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940747589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1120922132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1470684658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3530310335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2520583441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3771968867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194066733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3302523778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3441468549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3521755915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4668502715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2176796017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2276688277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2411445767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4182138803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2242934573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226047428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2948575712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2807984986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.343317458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3595733863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2989738795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3032707383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122066503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3033153034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306166878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956431919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.32402294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3034915954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2970490549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3032644009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152260317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3118533206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3018209078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3258516169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2787657152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.276515546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1914408628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1966010629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2074774355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2210895657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2754608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2568883143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2360496036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2128062784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.297131741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878143016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2565972825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3954984578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3103719676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3182239354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.288598593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.29275375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.605304725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5704673225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5248459396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4720619297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3118067246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3371139083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3660742154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3873149178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3078057287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2874783008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3371579016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2764390846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2792772027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3771739442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3644269599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.357315407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4161961654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4114437763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4567160355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4520856793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4299607116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2230110636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2141685048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1909731939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2777635942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3863465277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3769111694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3639498744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.248654921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2312228046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2252875543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2143859264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1173170089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1164093417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.124126179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1408081482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954696467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955136656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956278289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0957787593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1075166649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1076370486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962791744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0978794008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1478562855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1760938247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226710616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2823819269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954745506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955219164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956801981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960574561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"25ae06cda2a115dcb46cbf0fc6bbe6975bfb3212b489e26634b6087d7163f0a5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956222077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"25ae06cda2a115dcb46cbf0fc6bbe6975bfb3212b489e26634b6087d7163f0a5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0957281263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"25ae06cda2a115dcb46cbf0fc6bbe6975bfb3212b489e26634b6087d7163f0a5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960467406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"25ae06cda2a115dcb46cbf0fc6bbe6975bfb3212b489e26634b6087d7163f0a5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0967238034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1197547613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1198083644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.121393331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1241322878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042826875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1277736915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1793367547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2485686413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1074890938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1075401064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1076711465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1080943489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954735382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955551705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958354506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965394664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956211596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095723019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960390261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966791834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955971719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956742279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959275655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966174439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0780344788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7491019363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1078672614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1281706912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557253109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0605096565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0721267746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0946295659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771507738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7084656884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6203055233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1682634237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954657285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955225507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956561609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959431197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534758318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553244924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627186585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0772273178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956065931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0957702572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961778431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0970229649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954686334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955231602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0957519849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962880327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954850618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956037325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963172748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992802537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954780621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955354934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956855544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960363123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0799119495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0871122541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1031648053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1197265268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545641896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0577069268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701070149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954761563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955460631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956610181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960652667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0969874879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0700772048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7376540601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6386518358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5435020791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624485096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651782852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.074268918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913062055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1208116303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1444454946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1927370557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4309043113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042214004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.118283764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1386260781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1540881874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1354310064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1545552455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2089564678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2624910038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954779683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955355567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095685302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959925617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955875888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956834491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958647489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962695094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954685514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955359062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0957018619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096094564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0825536279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951777211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.117025831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1431264174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0872203994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1244259972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1608553871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2123327341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1157068198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1432989292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2108184144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2977965589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531887987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543963139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0596394674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0728994129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659295401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0689818944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775535156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0957063044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1428228391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535837952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1882988608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.241876255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0945872316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1294356336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1818082388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4333805574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1182592872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1287737139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1514504139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1792605625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1148972593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1290070525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1638030724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1959569882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954971097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955824563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958473552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0967493754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954541811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0954829398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955608016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0957559369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956648749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963579857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990923328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079213407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ee34f87f6d9a8d40de0c69aac8c86ef6e35278a05bbd8431cc1348f3313fc081","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1074832937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ee34f87f6d9a8d40de0c69aac8c86ef6e35278a05bbd8431cc1348f3313fc081","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956316479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ee34f87f6d9a8d40de0c69aac8c86ef6e35278a05bbd8431cc1348f3313fc081","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0957745688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ee34f87f6d9a8d40de0c69aac8c86ef6e35278a05bbd8431cc1348f3313fc081","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096093695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.109335182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1133733679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1274784467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1480884336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2826587692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3423740247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3754007913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4114063275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3217442649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2630541748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3815318631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4157034127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.291077465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2713955203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2485047708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2277410358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2960258229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27340778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2525494935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2296370043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2873924631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675580778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2471163145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.228419991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3024371038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146704725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2706210154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2523309628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2896077447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3314206661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2573643248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440633508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2823692267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.263714696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.373055125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4047278614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2900454369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3346641476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562822358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.384114628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3188376775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.266198058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2444849455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4027598539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2899044925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2723961399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2518459176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316457294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2832046869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2598753129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2333038943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4225838235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2883161994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.266282925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3797047188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4184843062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2870360887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.259287971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2326204813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4222240085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2911993854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.332533364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.360156559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2310749384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2836475443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618037546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2359459315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2125426172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.291132166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3385564527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2502515704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2322728445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3200257174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2702606456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2438859457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2195352973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2915953606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3338353456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3617648118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2291122285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879162233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2702438049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2486133258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2276658545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2939077531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2865536774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3415010778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2522051553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2865110969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2635244927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2377937431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2158379435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286557497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3400088958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2455374166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3975624938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2914862352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.276344233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2571328825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365777587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2952932441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791015595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2600218327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3729495251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2852702577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2649254871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2418293967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2183348573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2824928137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2639753191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2399684842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2190019665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2856595586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2680121621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2492102271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2307386848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145063252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724921854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2511771777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3912579812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916848898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2735762228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2511715828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4034593762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2886862338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3343722969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2592725871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2424012659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2912378191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753894703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3571954123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2386923283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2871856533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2727701167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2521582553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2330312411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921556217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717605519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.250597763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2303694588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2858493808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2679596642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3626376635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2334967509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2807423781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.355845866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3903008554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4256278786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2889627185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3353922222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2510961578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.387896499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OXY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2945758008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OXY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3305170296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OXY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.256701841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OXY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2413545235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2898318057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2671883928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.37353306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.215940961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ROK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2876867938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ROK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2667116751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ROK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2457385698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ROK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.223412429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.284186825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3438447988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3726989262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4058444213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916209532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714200412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2482438045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2298022849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901064827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3318477837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2597366433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.374364599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2883224731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3450106427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3770369946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4162849092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"UAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.296194567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"UAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2814508649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"UAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619703655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"UAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2474360542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3187694632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3417826832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2435660419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4016236322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2954501992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3317903118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2570630908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2400792004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2889218044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724194837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.249189179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2279207292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2899208312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2742373477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2535521077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356596603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0621138811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0629142424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0970287128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645049662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"24b8ba0edfa45228c3ab6b0ff8508712d611d3300c9df35f3213538f35016917","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0808740526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"24b8ba0edfa45228c3ab6b0ff8508712d611d3300c9df35f3213538f35016917","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0917128517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"24b8ba0edfa45228c3ab6b0ff8508712d611d3300c9df35f3213538f35016917","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7493999841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"24b8ba0edfa45228c3ab6b0ff8508712d611d3300c9df35f3213538f35016917","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1256640901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"2957a6c81bb774fe85855ce3514e39f84944acf0265a9a6a6020ac54bc668c1e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3784992276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"2957a6c81bb774fe85855ce3514e39f84944acf0265a9a6a6020ac54bc668c1e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3632861631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"2957a6c81bb774fe85855ce3514e39f84944acf0265a9a6a6020ac54bc668c1e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.347058311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"2957a6c81bb774fe85855ce3514e39f84944acf0265a9a6a6020ac54bc668c1e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3455789249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3279296804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3467126618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.386023394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4054613528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"30e24c7adcde5a3b56d8828782f43f83f74bd14d4cb880536d4ca7a7e60c12bd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0667540601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"30e24c7adcde5a3b56d8828782f43f83f74bd14d4cb880536d4ca7a7e60c12bd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0664911896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"30e24c7adcde5a3b56d8828782f43f83f74bd14d4cb880536d4ca7a7e60c12bd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658470625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"30e24c7adcde5a3b56d8828782f43f83f74bd14d4cb880536d4ca7a7e60c12bd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676257179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659469154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659803672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660482577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0661244688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965820123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0868335923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8232988466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0909551357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.578841081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2031599041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4901751546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4634218687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"43978019f4c4313a98877a44cfcc5b67d8ff5e3b38f79b1a37020471f6faafab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666200569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"43978019f4c4313a98877a44cfcc5b67d8ff5e3b38f79b1a37020471f6faafab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0689602726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"43978019f4c4313a98877a44cfcc5b67d8ff5e3b38f79b1a37020471f6faafab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676400688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"43978019f4c4313a98877a44cfcc5b67d8ff5e3b38f79b1a37020471f6faafab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0713321598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0711835762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0754621022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0816172203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0887921253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54b946b5bb1f27ad718c986b0e4fe0d381ef13050e432ae3d38290fb8fc544ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1575747546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54b946b5bb1f27ad718c986b0e4fe0d381ef13050e432ae3d38290fb8fc544ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1598495026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54b946b5bb1f27ad718c986b0e4fe0d381ef13050e432ae3d38290fb8fc544ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1618330329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54b946b5bb1f27ad718c986b0e4fe0d381ef13050e432ae3d38290fb8fc544ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.166118808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54eecbdca7698be8d5bd3545c994aad5e0c69f603bb2eed96c83c4df5eb8801b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783574949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54eecbdca7698be8d5bd3545c994aad5e0c69f603bb2eed96c83c4df5eb8801b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065910613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54eecbdca7698be8d5bd3545c994aad5e0c69f603bb2eed96c83c4df5eb8801b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066101107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54eecbdca7698be8d5bd3545c994aad5e0c69f603bb2eed96c83c4df5eb8801b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665517484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066181233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054318095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555197622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0570803408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"644ca9601121c83f70791a8496df412fc0b607bf3d49105573f9122ec5d54bee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0664962461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"644ca9601121c83f70791a8496df412fc0b607bf3d49105573f9122ec5d54bee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681155182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"644ca9601121c83f70791a8496df412fc0b607bf3d49105573f9122ec5d54bee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0709147105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"644ca9601121c83f70791a8496df412fc0b607bf3d49105573f9122ec5d54bee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.074890528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532166179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532431169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533113214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533635636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"698466b8d63b8314526046ff2b7bc60e9f1ea54910407155ed95a8e70f373bf9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532126694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"698466b8d63b8314526046ff2b7bc60e9f1ea54910407155ed95a8e70f373bf9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532406677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"698466b8d63b8314526046ff2b7bc60e9f1ea54910407155ed95a8e70f373bf9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532716793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"698466b8d63b8314526046ff2b7bc60e9f1ea54910407155ed95a8e70f373bf9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533586621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6a95269bd94aca4747d5761b0fca1d5f60baf0ca834b8936bb1c5db934d3a461","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1271746228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6a95269bd94aca4747d5761b0fca1d5f60baf0ca834b8936bb1c5db934d3a461","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1308897112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6a95269bd94aca4747d5761b0fca1d5f60baf0ca834b8936bb1c5db934d3a461","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.138581109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6a95269bd94aca4747d5761b0fca1d5f60baf0ca834b8936bb1c5db934d3a461","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.148491911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6bb20f2fa953ad52e9a54da9ce45747426263b23358b1fc8839ebc8c55a65c8f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1953043244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6bb20f2fa953ad52e9a54da9ce45747426263b23358b1fc8839ebc8c55a65c8f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2045133041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6bb20f2fa953ad52e9a54da9ce45747426263b23358b1fc8839ebc8c55a65c8f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2370147032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6bb20f2fa953ad52e9a54da9ce45747426263b23358b1fc8839ebc8c55a65c8f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2732756857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6d9d7200951ce0f2e717f375d12ce911b7399f58a0ac0a56172979ab52f1901a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782979395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6d9d7200951ce0f2e717f375d12ce911b7399f58a0ac0a56172979ab52f1901a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783140512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6d9d7200951ce0f2e717f375d12ce911b7399f58a0ac0a56172979ab52f1901a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783576399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6d9d7200951ce0f2e717f375d12ce911b7399f58a0ac0a56172979ab52f1901a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784017451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7525f05236eb1b07da89692f332fa3e5a48bfd0931afb8288dee7956a049e782","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1163257248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7525f05236eb1b07da89692f332fa3e5a48bfd0931afb8288dee7956a049e782","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1292431936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7525f05236eb1b07da89692f332fa3e5a48bfd0931afb8288dee7956a049e782","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1444232617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7525f05236eb1b07da89692f332fa3e5a48bfd0931afb8288dee7956a049e782","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1549949405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7618bfe9ea3faf2b1fcafc7d860dce9b58eb0c9ef6a29af004b5976ab59df30b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0838879192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7618bfe9ea3faf2b1fcafc7d860dce9b58eb0c9ef6a29af004b5976ab59df30b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834017231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7618bfe9ea3faf2b1fcafc7d860dce9b58eb0c9ef6a29af004b5976ab59df30b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0839466642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7618bfe9ea3faf2b1fcafc7d860dce9b58eb0c9ef6a29af004b5976ab59df30b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0856364795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532028289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532193932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532488323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532952263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8d77f76d5b06156370549217985dc333d962677bf93f6b76d7f93574c08e0669","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537627194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8d77f76d5b06156370549217985dc333d962677bf93f6b76d7f93574c08e0669","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538843674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8d77f76d5b06156370549217985dc333d962677bf93f6b76d7f93574c08e0669","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541668116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8d77f76d5b06156370549217985dc333d962677bf93f6b76d7f93574c08e0669","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054524322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.078190052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0781939551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782009204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782105657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8f66b465d186abe320bf50c3ce4b36ba4eeaaaf9ed54b7b3f0e2b7c056dbb92e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788698247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8f66b465d186abe320bf50c3ce4b36ba4eeaaaf9ed54b7b3f0e2b7c056dbb92e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801939905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8f66b465d186abe320bf50c3ce4b36ba4eeaaaf9ed54b7b3f0e2b7c056dbb92e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0816052341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8f66b465d186abe320bf50c3ce4b36ba4eeaaaf9ed54b7b3f0e2b7c056dbb92e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.084931753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9755a3f0fb1e92417cbdd09fcfaceda69ce82071953538c25376044a45987bea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536248481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9755a3f0fb1e92417cbdd09fcfaceda69ce82071953538c25376044a45987bea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053761638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9755a3f0fb1e92417cbdd09fcfaceda69ce82071953538c25376044a45987bea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540421184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9755a3f0fb1e92417cbdd09fcfaceda69ce82071953538c25376044a45987bea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543741501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9a78c5cc2fd823b2c6d89a29890490cda7f28c4179c2b2aecc7b07466e8385b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656894871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9a78c5cc2fd823b2c6d89a29890490cda7f28c4179c2b2aecc7b07466e8385b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656902898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9a78c5cc2fd823b2c6d89a29890490cda7f28c4179c2b2aecc7b07466e8385b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656943485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9a78c5cc2fd823b2c6d89a29890490cda7f28c4179c2b2aecc7b07466e8385b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0657096224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9bcb4e5af77993b2f61acdd782d86a901ddbeb1d6098e4b404408fafce177b93","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538615454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9bcb4e5af77993b2f61acdd782d86a901ddbeb1d6098e4b404408fafce177b93","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054217056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9bcb4e5af77993b2f61acdd782d86a901ddbeb1d6098e4b404408fafce177b93","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550228668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9bcb4e5af77993b2f61acdd782d86a901ddbeb1d6098e4b404408fafce177b93","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0570113465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895017022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0790303204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077837708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0776226883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9d634c992383178a8000854793cb90aec47d883128079809aa4156161857c7a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053355404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9d634c992383178a8000854793cb90aec47d883128079809aa4156161857c7a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534306497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9d634c992383178a8000854793cb90aec47d883128079809aa4156161857c7a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536692387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9d634c992383178a8000854793cb90aec47d883128079809aa4156161857c7a2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539403637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0581115745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0582817557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590357721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595201185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9ee79c34058bf67436b96f8a4448fd8252ada80c18363ef7e5977692bdba7714","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545851153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9ee79c34058bf67436b96f8a4448fd8252ada80c18363ef7e5977692bdba7714","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551277551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9ee79c34058bf67436b96f8a4448fd8252ada80c18363ef7e5977692bdba7714","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0564981033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9ee79c34058bf67436b96f8a4448fd8252ada80c18363ef7e5977692bdba7714","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0591526592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0687381472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0717952585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658981618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678502456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a6dc4f712f75ec5810e66a3e7e09ac7835c1efc1141d53547d0f52d9d33190ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.589265676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a6dc4f712f75ec5810e66a3e7e09ac7835c1efc1141d53547d0f52d9d33190ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1875501836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a6dc4f712f75ec5810e66a3e7e09ac7835c1efc1141d53547d0f52d9d33190ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2352161025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a6dc4f712f75ec5810e66a3e7e09ac7835c1efc1141d53547d0f52d9d33190ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4762481976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a71824f8c6d14811feabd3a417205fd1ecd2ffbfc3818e4b7e862b0bf32a818b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539327375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a71824f8c6d14811feabd3a417205fd1ecd2ffbfc3818e4b7e862b0bf32a818b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542882981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a71824f8c6d14811feabd3a417205fd1ecd2ffbfc3818e4b7e862b0bf32a818b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549222779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a71824f8c6d14811feabd3a417205fd1ecd2ffbfc3818e4b7e862b0bf32a818b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556960422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b135db546c0f6fa1aee79e17858ac5519f1dc40650f7be41bed07b575b591919","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568715119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b135db546c0f6fa1aee79e17858ac5519f1dc40650f7be41bed07b575b591919","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0581357719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b135db546c0f6fa1aee79e17858ac5519f1dc40650f7be41bed07b575b591919","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.059768591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b135db546c0f6fa1aee79e17858ac5519f1dc40650f7be41bed07b575b591919","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620652865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b4c131fd1c3447d265b8e9a1bb8d941de82c20210f1e7cfafeb3806d40ebaef6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658189271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b4c131fd1c3447d265b8e9a1bb8d941de82c20210f1e7cfafeb3806d40ebaef6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533467275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b4c131fd1c3447d265b8e9a1bb8d941de82c20210f1e7cfafeb3806d40ebaef6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533562854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b4c131fd1c3447d265b8e9a1bb8d941de82c20210f1e7cfafeb3806d40ebaef6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533836539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8846057041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681612111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784323231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0805384898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"bfe28789b1fb017c39e6cac557106c6b0bbbafdfdb50e987b05992d95177cf01","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8203963181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"bfe28789b1fb017c39e6cac557106c6b0bbbafdfdb50e987b05992d95177cf01","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1064983636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"bfe28789b1fb017c39e6cac557106c6b0bbbafdfdb50e987b05992d95177cf01","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7227258894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"bfe28789b1fb017c39e6cac557106c6b0bbbafdfdb50e987b05992d95177cf01","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6782358186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"cf3066302737d85cdb3d3188414916e9ce8bfd53786f1b06da0e4251f12e0dcf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532081009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"cf3066302737d85cdb3d3188414916e9ce8bfd53786f1b06da0e4251f12e0dcf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532274317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"cf3066302737d85cdb3d3188414916e9ce8bfd53786f1b06da0e4251f12e0dcf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532759808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"cf3066302737d85cdb3d3188414916e9ce8bfd53786f1b06da0e4251f12e0dcf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053369208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d04c5905c5e94ada7746da46a6c11b842a5fda81323982f5f4fa6f002b13cfc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0661951334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d04c5905c5e94ada7746da46a6c11b842a5fda81323982f5f4fa6f002b13cfc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663807209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d04c5905c5e94ada7746da46a6c11b842a5fda81323982f5f4fa6f002b13cfc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668094109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d04c5905c5e94ada7746da46a6c11b842a5fda81323982f5f4fa6f002b13cfc7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0672874079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d9dfe7c80498053fb7ccb057a45a1471505fe274e49158cf45b9e56e996fbd98","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668199722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d9dfe7c80498053fb7ccb057a45a1471505fe274e49158cf45b9e56e996fbd98","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0674422408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d9dfe7c80498053fb7ccb057a45a1471505fe274e49158cf45b9e56e996fbd98","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0687635444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d9dfe7c80498053fb7ccb057a45a1471505fe274e49158cf45b9e56e996fbd98","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704070623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e0f76685b373f0a78fc81e0f2ca310945c121e6113daa0394ee00e0a276c7a0a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0765178352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e0f76685b373f0a78fc81e0f2ca310945c121e6113daa0394ee00e0a276c7a0a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0815693256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e0f76685b373f0a78fc81e0f2ca310945c121e6113daa0394ee00e0a276c7a0a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0891455862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e0f76685b373f0a78fc81e0f2ca310945c121e6113daa0394ee00e0a276c7a0a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984629539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e14e4760acb5af34d7a6f7799283e4490f63dbb8df02a14a46c810d774b2b475","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0799047225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e14e4760acb5af34d7a6f7799283e4490f63dbb8df02a14a46c810d774b2b475","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681283827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e14e4760acb5af34d7a6f7799283e4490f63dbb8df02a14a46c810d774b2b475","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0694132969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e14e4760acb5af34d7a6f7799283e4490f63dbb8df02a14a46c810d774b2b475","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0710393742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e23431ccb960c5a77d030e4c9f7c1e0aed45898ad4e9ed7d2784eecc22dfe4a8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2292368149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e23431ccb960c5a77d030e4c9f7c1e0aed45898ad4e9ed7d2784eecc22dfe4a8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2382108207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e23431ccb960c5a77d030e4c9f7c1e0aed45898ad4e9ed7d2784eecc22dfe4a8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2591122549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e23431ccb960c5a77d030e4c9f7c1e0aed45898ad4e9ed7d2784eecc22dfe4a8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2892639143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e6341e1ed10656b47ac291730a50ad23a56ba60feeba5375fc8eef0e8c12df24","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.068419645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e6341e1ed10656b47ac291730a50ad23a56ba60feeba5375fc8eef0e8c12df24","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0705082011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e6341e1ed10656b47ac291730a50ad23a56ba60feeba5375fc8eef0e8c12df24","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0754528032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e6341e1ed10656b47ac291730a50ad23a56ba60feeba5375fc8eef0e8c12df24","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0840670988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e7a52dcf3f8c21af25be5a47a717630b25be0467bfe7a8a304642719f2a74442","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071646125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e7a52dcf3f8c21af25be5a47a717630b25be0467bfe7a8a304642719f2a74442","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0871008127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e7a52dcf3f8c21af25be5a47a717630b25be0467bfe7a8a304642719f2a74442","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0870386696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e7a52dcf3f8c21af25be5a47a717630b25be0467bfe7a8a304642719f2a74442","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.107026955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"efdcb1c990c5f8d0d0e75ab06796d795b1047aa49b9d037687b4a5bf4c028820","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1701141154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"efdcb1c990c5f8d0d0e75ab06796d795b1047aa49b9d037687b4a5bf4c028820","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7208697951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"efdcb1c990c5f8d0d0e75ab06796d795b1047aa49b9d037687b4a5bf4c028820","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6935005274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"efdcb1c990c5f8d0d0e75ab06796d795b1047aa49b9d037687b4a5bf4c028820","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1495494938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"f3fa9d7314b6c62fbe0daf66dfea1d6270c06500c2a0025f16795fb0ff000160","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532009366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"f3fa9d7314b6c62fbe0daf66dfea1d6270c06500c2a0025f16795fb0ff000160","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532171218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"f3fa9d7314b6c62fbe0daf66dfea1d6270c06500c2a0025f16795fb0ff000160","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532617849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"f3fa9d7314b6c62fbe0daf66dfea1d6270c06500c2a0025f16795fb0ff000160","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533095456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"faec5cf3edbc2ff9187f2ae7f829607b0e12e3d88e381d0decae1818103ddeb2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538341485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"faec5cf3edbc2ff9187f2ae7f829607b0e12e3d88e381d0decae1818103ddeb2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054136515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"faec5cf3edbc2ff9187f2ae7f829607b0e12e3d88e381d0decae1818103ddeb2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548410369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"faec5cf3edbc2ff9187f2ae7f829607b0e12e3d88e381d0decae1818103ddeb2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0562445814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3430384442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1896401139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5400728752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3349591099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1945860615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5442825144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620491383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2728958938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1645477321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136462101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2999827286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1901812697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4754703275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0610641974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3340949173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2348726959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5624877131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0596906001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3362182233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1877206912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5354285293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631489664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205843003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.205135051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4660778835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.919699066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3406942859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2025671189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5337044027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0594206795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3313292537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2096137719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5541095711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062539134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3363537633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1923534733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1481349741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.058549476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859848241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1891183016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4949363096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0700345036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123883538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2244915839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1440853741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595207184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3263352318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2179274887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5590318674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0599605697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3719303748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.296783649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6044390571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9592297862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3137795993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1673291295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1573053191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0586394661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3156967432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2077414171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.149181296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618685583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2763833989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1619864788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1870802481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0790440054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2937332112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2001379563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5681721519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0586646133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3233659568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1940504965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1501885384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0716597235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2955009721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1907593062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5766912143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0584695349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2951697194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2155300153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.518017201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.07250363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155492224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1856883797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0585749732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3556075843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2479184733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5917732308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0572508699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3646589809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2367398003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1443302025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3638145036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753280711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5419891111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065679986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2747855168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1866082598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1691787338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659887518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167327482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2186922723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1840137228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1103449874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3437947972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2694898677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1451767969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0616146364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2679339156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2013156658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.53891482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0596166078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3228412203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2591994032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0583644965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2863411896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2209160216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1517822602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0601505486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2955575391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.216775639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1886059238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.074254336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.334313675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1925852595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2202576012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0761275785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2718053423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1821762929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.197699389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628268521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3480034023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2555206462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1901232852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0736128071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2976244085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3898293068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3107547478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1319803299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2905625907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3501254787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4133009891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3031737087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.255201314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.364149851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1209875583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3407890833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2114793172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3923775991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1605081796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3478895404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2630237203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3442534675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1586733829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3431471299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5099728269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3175157842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3113500565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2608424273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3865780659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2881790345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2337700627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1624079692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3163549151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3822200531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3670629927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1675398506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2844889833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2479916168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4046250809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0934556586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3731623112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968521236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1849455493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3554635704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2317552859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3071946246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.14146029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3687879324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2242861134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3054054567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.174151668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2183317731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5872808959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2515780897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3355487862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3096693168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2948355223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3342715786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3539138015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3030614144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3115826939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3067712318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3132403086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3074420555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2802460882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2456420267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4303994647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129919949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3057157496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3082533537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3141559137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2974967145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3347752003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2406410049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4379405134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3035053107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3299219903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2443212965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4284893315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3039717262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3238584629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2667739796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3814583827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3060488715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3385505389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2486737521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.426578917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3032609524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2810255761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2592037811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2396956187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3168582323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314618144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3119186645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138175208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3072160681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3054537565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3010438634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2978135106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3552545483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2271317063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.196065364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1661766502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835303918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2732315886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2471581229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2256132977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3474579728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.347521164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3478671484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3542162693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3193262315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3338291114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.257943524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.239850448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3076967854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3303058939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3538716586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3816468498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2979273073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2981528731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3044466407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3142674093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0824153157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0932848257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1114159001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1465585535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3104794403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3211598327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2972224632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3408174099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308642436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2957990324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3350473674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2750834359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2894595959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2829121977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2811738725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2822620762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3103554827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.324448885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3358760409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2799101071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2768084364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2476915669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4131713282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1902005811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2525291897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2179079181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1797534729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1501552146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2526377914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2633823015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2668354357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2739740681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1415938784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.152869963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1871229868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2347238893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3144256157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3045177286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3043814811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3206646317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3439750795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3723864526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3935580053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3411371993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229063369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3766360352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4305434507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5739515726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2042505617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2196573586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2363507235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220768445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878602411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2853416373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3525287415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3292368022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3690421381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4219697146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1817919825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3340900073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3699496988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4127020404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1897574849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3020522931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3212531303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.275936652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644468447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3189049464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3530983295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2310515521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2063223356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2833678341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2635464557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2371736885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2130507761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1712916073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1779738087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.192223804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.221725486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.309143764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3021381654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3059222123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3227481753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2935379181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2920302032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.328532635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3403204475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128206682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3026437382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921960559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1820889968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5508160075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.23634745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3930770464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2398011741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2382185404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.235872345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2394255861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2999711489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3383852616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3632036293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3920122179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3053359307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3012689527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.316428385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3068011341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3734662728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3654092581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3465060613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3249727843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2479203091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2020263548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1573302517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1295336045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.300959661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3027766683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114630539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3140228614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5148285584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4976405815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2283075542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2620019759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4991908166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4716543935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4320939278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3909489289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2444599835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2231276616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2145766326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2176728978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6508546056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6172989208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5613536849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4933512525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1108053874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109011298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1110922296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1114747122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983306685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984415062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988277634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995241363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981914894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982505459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984111196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988179995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0857315644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1111436489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1548388078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2117075071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981805487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982214831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.098330594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986392848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0903360543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955766236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1162930784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1432984861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.098195435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982507784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983978621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988001175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983329188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0985398958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992109715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1003370967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982530771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0985642926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0998164039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047243601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1293594432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1540358467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1683024786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1846791016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535141339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542762995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0572719176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647274915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551399543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573112632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0607709299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645633597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982105448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982816245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984677538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989270529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986715807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989974446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1001309691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1035132443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538496467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552883873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0597797397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070545197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983055743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983627475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984900139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988224645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053982632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055391126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625702805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0804120538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0745359114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0908781404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1216424857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1690372023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895479187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7060977317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1414852873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1850078477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0827441611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987251442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1261918849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5539249594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0722430089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0870038235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1120266011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1492449545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2012371191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2026140271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.204162495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2080679108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981879363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982326844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983609412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.098673983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538194501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544976749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0571380824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8944981081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981954865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982514263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.098430346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988741233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994564938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1004337355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1018291809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103949496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983319689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984181608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987385358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0996833187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981855361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.098227256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983529685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986743979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095221713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050343258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.114148316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1278863884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.119897729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1323275519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1670324568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2202865566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0985008497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989457004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1004846299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1054075844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1265069468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1450898879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.19543431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4485612651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1420906202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1483538763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.15481911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1611239114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981928853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982382893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983766404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987256003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981971853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982727569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984805644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989678479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981854491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982412214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983742012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986168493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091430883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7315549112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6116281983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5134840721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1127535206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1215374973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427801438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1698621433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981866115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982468923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984125475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988384253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645669064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7899639054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1133218002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5916052842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1533052277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1744666331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2119024855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2718858397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983616651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993521053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1151205583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1420489748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983405674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.098507249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1002381572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1077503749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f29c6f83166a6d890c34703dbcb2c1f785937e0d9911fcab7c1c8019fb0c1023","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984153091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f29c6f83166a6d890c34703dbcb2c1f785937e0d9911fcab7c1c8019fb0c1023","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987677201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f29c6f83166a6d890c34703dbcb2c1f785937e0d9911fcab7c1c8019fb0c1023","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1001866129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f29c6f83166a6d890c34703dbcb2c1f785937e0d9911fcab7c1c8019fb0c1023","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1034470017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0876962467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914058357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1081039857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1339161259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3215528934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2694374467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2492053055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2295966914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3153517331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2769151824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3519912384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3743346939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3182555946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2708899454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3686194295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4047680645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"C","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.294111239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"C","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794352911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"C","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3493724147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"C","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2464298263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3191754312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3432649423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3749073172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2193643963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126658103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2811863654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2625110981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2454420518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2994375707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2849609526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627953822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2445823475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169477822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3338036837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2549324224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2369309251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"COIN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3080363415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"COIN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3209899491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"COIN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3367033829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"COIN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3556731453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2897810462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701433348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3646249399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3955454469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3151143529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3379019006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2497206401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2298144276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891266959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707113488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2510472398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2276258153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902843075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2725242127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.366184813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3955497135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EQT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3133542025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EQT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3240231506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EQT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2699555588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EQT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.353625579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136021502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3319898704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2592841025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2403605559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3196022889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3394013412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3706023298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4030332689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126487776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2827251088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2693020585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2505256744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2919891449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2788794993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3442432958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3687465649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2904573193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.268231931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2466348915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.225566752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2912327001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2741531578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2555281825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2374293719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3206626047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3421516942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2441635994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4049519363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3210916718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3410847125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3690422448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4003669727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127562869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2782925187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2567115374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2388725383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2832826544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2674784655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2478036312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3970990301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2977816836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2788821885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2607583317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.241165942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3130611465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3296993988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.351563452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3765274648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2896098475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2704453476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.246717226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2218261218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MAR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2872238337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MAR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676114673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MAR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2447514421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MAR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2232521631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"META","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3199254499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"META","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3392285463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"META","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3687923578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"META","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3993353771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NKE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2922969531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NKE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3384523384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NKE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3658013032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NKE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3967828079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2919826233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.271524114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3652462198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2299884436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161470482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3339638509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.251363352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2323233811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2882054324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2700454236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3626076467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3931371508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2949940751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2807469159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2648262318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2502554925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SRE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.313224604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SRE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3309697305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SRE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.261223283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SRE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2415072968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3218366933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2682099751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2436607266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2223448655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3183205985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2729969529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2512317571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2354487902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289644257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2752642722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2533703692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2353711517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3217389417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2641763487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3797951455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.418481665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3240882554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3436755906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3711365453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4023705994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3002397306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3115566707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.291053346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2719113116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2888360757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2733153412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2539882472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2359827677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2908919135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2800871707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.260983202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2419894117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126959138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2807539756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640021863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2488585723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2865062082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3409376418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3704085425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3990484042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2939112451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2804747794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676624117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2555873266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WSM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2909111539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WSM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2783482794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WSM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2595152766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WSM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2374638802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.291123905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2736304267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2569887137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.238898126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.318255298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2709012904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3655845554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3956394063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"03bb1ef2f37b80e18f8f439cdee2b401d0c8dd7b9ee23c174dc33de82d77e8ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627189656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"03bb1ef2f37b80e18f8f439cdee2b401d0c8dd7b9ee23c174dc33de82d77e8ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677095539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"03bb1ef2f37b80e18f8f439cdee2b401d0c8dd7b9ee23c174dc33de82d77e8ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960625719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"03bb1ef2f37b80e18f8f439cdee2b401d0c8dd7b9ee23c174dc33de82d77e8ed","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1188916562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"055b227f00fa9402721de3d33f8ad7a0dcc1a1d03a25eea711db08742ab14a94","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1159065891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"055b227f00fa9402721de3d33f8ad7a0dcc1a1d03a25eea711db08742ab14a94","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.121817341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"055b227f00fa9402721de3d33f8ad7a0dcc1a1d03a25eea711db08742ab14a94","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1416135953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"055b227f00fa9402721de3d33f8ad7a0dcc1a1d03a25eea711db08742ab14a94","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1466300889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"085ad65ea78c233bd2751e83a48fca5d20c8c9d10868ebac09692725e692b19e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2077222234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"085ad65ea78c233bd2751e83a48fca5d20c8c9d10868ebac09692725e692b19e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2365609665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"085ad65ea78c233bd2751e83a48fca5d20c8c9d10868ebac09692725e692b19e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4392559966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"085ad65ea78c233bd2751e83a48fca5d20c8c9d10868ebac09692725e692b19e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3221676517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"09c29b4250d2e7a801631722af12a39843e3765d3bc764391c8ff68e552a6166","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2198237624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"09c29b4250d2e7a801631722af12a39843e3765d3bc764391c8ff68e552a6166","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2066240849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"09c29b4250d2e7a801631722af12a39843e3765d3bc764391c8ff68e552a6166","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2188918843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"09c29b4250d2e7a801631722af12a39843e3765d3bc764391c8ff68e552a6166","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2290395885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"0ba9035d5decb9528c784d2824f9eb84b64eb1860e4ebe7bc263c5e6787a48b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651595447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"0ba9035d5decb9528c784d2824f9eb84b64eb1860e4ebe7bc263c5e6787a48b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656353764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"0ba9035d5decb9528c784d2824f9eb84b64eb1860e4ebe7bc263c5e6787a48b9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066478591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"0ba9035d5decb9528c784d2824f9eb84b64eb1860e4ebe7bc263c5e6787a48b9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065381294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0655731755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0657895118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660704243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665805333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"1c4e38e6c1b15a095947818119b8e0c116cae2a4db771040d1ee85e3fbbb7759","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532586588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"1c4e38e6c1b15a095947818119b8e0c116cae2a4db771040d1ee85e3fbbb7759","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531869548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"1c4e38e6c1b15a095947818119b8e0c116cae2a4db771040d1ee85e3fbbb7759","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532339468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"1c4e38e6c1b15a095947818119b8e0c116cae2a4db771040d1ee85e3fbbb7759","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532815812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"21b95fd95d946e38f2aae421de38ffde58fcab3cad92f857b64ddc306b298d41","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530157482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"21b95fd95d946e38f2aae421de38ffde58fcab3cad92f857b64ddc306b298d41","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530339047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"21b95fd95d946e38f2aae421de38ffde58fcab3cad92f857b64ddc306b298d41","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530786081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"21b95fd95d946e38f2aae421de38ffde58fcab3cad92f857b64ddc306b298d41","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531638005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"347997cc473a5e1e034565d5996ccf223641f796b49ec22a238e23563fbb4160","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0833341431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"347997cc473a5e1e034565d5996ccf223641f796b49ec22a238e23563fbb4160","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0884064475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"347997cc473a5e1e034565d5996ccf223641f796b49ec22a238e23563fbb4160","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939256191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"347997cc473a5e1e034565d5996ccf223641f796b49ec22a238e23563fbb4160","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1002183319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"36d9eb224f6555d519de9205b8d4157d55bd732a0e08f433b0405736742e7593","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566879849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"36d9eb224f6555d519de9205b8d4157d55bd732a0e08f433b0405736742e7593","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578979049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"36d9eb224f6555d519de9205b8d4157d55bd732a0e08f433b0405736742e7593","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0591035154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"36d9eb224f6555d519de9205b8d4157d55bd732a0e08f433b0405736742e7593","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625215326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0923808135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983732719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104831417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1129828382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa907b68f619b63ce5cd9b49cb9926a3db074421a4a14b6d2f04e10216cfa9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2713905585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa907b68f619b63ce5cd9b49cb9926a3db074421a4a14b6d2f04e10216cfa9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5176654248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa907b68f619b63ce5cd9b49cb9926a3db074421a4a14b6d2f04e10216cfa9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4890280195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa907b68f619b63ce5cd9b49cb9926a3db074421a4a14b6d2f04e10216cfa9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2740820476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0773790093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0777443032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786324184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801919772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4fb7b4d5b7f6aee1d66867aa605ca9b3a56e0117cc4795c950fed4188a8a7e1a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7722962884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4fb7b4d5b7f6aee1d66867aa605ca9b3a56e0117cc4795c950fed4188a8a7e1a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1180335893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4fb7b4d5b7f6aee1d66867aa605ca9b3a56e0117cc4795c950fed4188a8a7e1a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1323193865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4fb7b4d5b7f6aee1d66867aa605ca9b3a56e0117cc4795c950fed4188a8a7e1a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1466492322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"53f095ec85afa740101aa7c729e652f9cfd24dd57872898303726bc8a86a7388","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.076112888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"53f095ec85afa740101aa7c729e652f9cfd24dd57872898303726bc8a86a7388","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077391641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"53f095ec85afa740101aa7c729e652f9cfd24dd57872898303726bc8a86a7388","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0785666079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"53f095ec85afa740101aa7c729e652f9cfd24dd57872898303726bc8a86a7388","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077791269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5a5dd6f530b482865f37a6aaf52048dd38c69a777464ca020f6a8fd1d0c35a25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1073023487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5a5dd6f530b482865f37a6aaf52048dd38c69a777464ca020f6a8fd1d0c35a25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1206974706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5a5dd6f530b482865f37a6aaf52048dd38c69a777464ca020f6a8fd1d0c35a25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023358081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5a5dd6f530b482865f37a6aaf52048dd38c69a777464ca020f6a8fd1d0c35a25","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0952963166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834174783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0885404505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0945608239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10307792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6bb3a3aa40aa7a4c5d0ba9762d2e33efcb5131606b4fa3a7f6f5e1b9aa15f63f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0713718267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6bb3a3aa40aa7a4c5d0ba9762d2e33efcb5131606b4fa3a7f6f5e1b9aa15f63f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0755728735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6bb3a3aa40aa7a4c5d0ba9762d2e33efcb5131606b4fa3a7f6f5e1b9aa15f63f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0808796117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6bb3a3aa40aa7a4c5d0ba9762d2e33efcb5131606b4fa3a7f6f5e1b9aa15f63f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0923894537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6340480872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2030139747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2207477065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5066874639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6f2caec49706be33cbee65b63605146e6d654da82c054c0e098ec422a89ec92b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0857006248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6f2caec49706be33cbee65b63605146e6d654da82c054c0e098ec422a89ec92b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0927497832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6f2caec49706be33cbee65b63605146e6d654da82c054c0e098ec422a89ec92b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0998543237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6f2caec49706be33cbee65b63605146e6d654da82c054c0e098ec422a89ec92b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1083868964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"72120b9fbfb12e23d2f05bde69e1fddbb4b816fef91a04fc021f138d770c4823","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.871561328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"72120b9fbfb12e23d2f05bde69e1fddbb4b816fef91a04fc021f138d770c4823","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1161843216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"72120b9fbfb12e23d2f05bde69e1fddbb4b816fef91a04fc021f138d770c4823","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.839902712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"72120b9fbfb12e23d2f05bde69e1fddbb4b816fef91a04fc021f138d770c4823","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968679233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.676616615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1768895783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2045997723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2382576237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"766f114edc027e02123f3398c14402952b326c3c4d300c88a838a317bed96edc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0657331805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"766f114edc027e02123f3398c14402952b326c3c4d300c88a838a317bed96edc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0691635509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"766f114edc027e02123f3398c14402952b326c3c4d300c88a838a317bed96edc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679371424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"766f114edc027e02123f3398c14402952b326c3c4d300c88a838a317bed96edc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.068353497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7789e3268403020b81e95cfc7a90446448986989db02d1237afc7af42efc05c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1031674934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7789e3268403020b81e95cfc7a90446448986989db02d1237afc7af42efc05c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1051782529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7789e3268403020b81e95cfc7a90446448986989db02d1237afc7af42efc05c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1113432009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7789e3268403020b81e95cfc7a90446448986989db02d1237afc7af42efc05c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1172868583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7c7f4bb8e6b6eaaaffcf8397ba1e99c30c5ed1be3676dede2c72a20cdae104c1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576118033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7c7f4bb8e6b6eaaaffcf8397ba1e99c30c5ed1be3676dede2c72a20cdae104c1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.058839307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7c7f4bb8e6b6eaaaffcf8397ba1e99c30c5ed1be3676dede2c72a20cdae104c1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.06100507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7c7f4bb8e6b6eaaaffcf8397ba1e99c30c5ed1be3676dede2c72a20cdae104c1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0639154211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054069438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543219675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548336932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554413736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1222062069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1269234557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7296851882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6976094199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"98afd51ce16d3f7540f9ca54353dee0f9e7514db215fd5942f427e80c5111280","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065811178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"98afd51ce16d3f7540f9ca54353dee0f9e7514db215fd5942f427e80c5111280","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546318435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"98afd51ce16d3f7540f9ca54353dee0f9e7514db215fd5942f427e80c5111280","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0559508612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"98afd51ce16d3f7540f9ca54353dee0f9e7514db215fd5942f427e80c5111280","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0580081931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"99534e3a72fbbf93c30a5ca0c576afa799b12e57e4dd7df7d7a33a8c4be78aaa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659571946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"99534e3a72fbbf93c30a5ca0c576afa799b12e57e4dd7df7d7a33a8c4be78aaa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660978692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"99534e3a72fbbf93c30a5ca0c576afa799b12e57e4dd7df7d7a33a8c4be78aaa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0664040251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"99534e3a72fbbf93c30a5ca0c576afa799b12e57e4dd7df7d7a33a8c4be78aaa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0667226584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532035261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053281206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534373523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053668548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9c4b4c3da1318944ae23b47df8b8d11a14cec31426486874d38b04c97b54872c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0767909989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9c4b4c3da1318944ae23b47df8b8d11a14cec31426486874d38b04c97b54872c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052985988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9c4b4c3da1318944ae23b47df8b8d11a14cec31426486874d38b04c97b54872c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529866114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9c4b4c3da1318944ae23b47df8b8d11a14cec31426486874d38b04c97b54872c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529878528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649002094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649003538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649008842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649014572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.057967716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613106483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676536479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0774050575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"a5b72c68c2339dc8bc81a7ef2b739560dd5228604588cb61944f8d00cc661e1f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1673356017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"a5b72c68c2339dc8bc81a7ef2b739560dd5228604588cb61944f8d00cc661e1f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1773739225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"a5b72c68c2339dc8bc81a7ef2b739560dd5228604588cb61944f8d00cc661e1f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1934219021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"a5b72c68c2339dc8bc81a7ef2b739560dd5228604588cb61944f8d00cc661e1f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2182748414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ab7af7f097bd58fe0b19b5067af47418259ea6a774ee4379b05a16892a8ae3c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679953223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ab7af7f097bd58fe0b19b5067af47418259ea6a774ee4379b05a16892a8ae3c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0583236288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ab7af7f097bd58fe0b19b5067af47418259ea6a774ee4379b05a16892a8ae3c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0607141587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ab7af7f097bd58fe0b19b5067af47418259ea6a774ee4379b05a16892a8ae3c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649154435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ac43cd61f87f519f995adf1968358c113855c60957e12599c8744994b3964593","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3765069678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ac43cd61f87f519f995adf1968358c113855c60957e12599c8744994b3964593","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3298535387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ac43cd61f87f519f995adf1968358c113855c60957e12599c8744994b3964593","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2825381899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ac43cd61f87f519f995adf1968358c113855c60957e12599c8744994b3964593","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.257847159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b116d87ad801f2eb66404d27cdbcf83eed05f3173fd506fc17da22254ad87536","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0899865902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b116d87ad801f2eb66404d27cdbcf83eed05f3173fd506fc17da22254ad87536","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0884636626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b116d87ad801f2eb66404d27cdbcf83eed05f3173fd506fc17da22254ad87536","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0904191594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b116d87ad801f2eb66404d27cdbcf83eed05f3173fd506fc17da22254ad87536","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0887867627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b1f34345e780ed887155b55c13cf66dad7385e372d0ccc2a1b491a9d65a25d4d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768516893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b1f34345e780ed887155b55c13cf66dad7385e372d0ccc2a1b491a9d65a25d4d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530468461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b1f34345e780ed887155b55c13cf66dad7385e372d0ccc2a1b491a9d65a25d4d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530477613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b1f34345e780ed887155b55c13cf66dad7385e372d0ccc2a1b491a9d65a25d4d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530518938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0777349339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0781588744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789797714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0799808296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968561611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0886242619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8242955995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1014460262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c39d11c3fb96c753be09fabd013cebe406da61f4eb3f5f12d24b41501f749f53","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1494109133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c39d11c3fb96c753be09fabd013cebe406da61f4eb3f5f12d24b41501f749f53","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.204762395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c39d11c3fb96c753be09fabd013cebe406da61f4eb3f5f12d24b41501f749f53","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2989763211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c39d11c3fb96c753be09fabd013cebe406da61f4eb3f5f12d24b41501f749f53","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2833491129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c5b9aa50a8b18f5229a92dcf63f4a62607a36d7d79b94ff49e3bf42da7d47b08","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0752873432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c5b9aa50a8b18f5229a92dcf63f4a62607a36d7d79b94ff49e3bf42da7d47b08","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0671705418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c5b9aa50a8b18f5229a92dcf63f4a62607a36d7d79b94ff49e3bf42da7d47b08","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0697001701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c5b9aa50a8b18f5229a92dcf63f4a62607a36d7d79b94ff49e3bf42da7d47b08","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0905633055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c6d4bbade6c13b80b9471713e992cabe74ac23b92b41b04a33e5da56a15f6cd7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533390539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c6d4bbade6c13b80b9471713e992cabe74ac23b92b41b04a33e5da56a15f6cd7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533477118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c6d4bbade6c13b80b9471713e992cabe74ac23b92b41b04a33e5da56a15f6cd7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534717779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c6d4bbade6c13b80b9471713e992cabe74ac23b92b41b04a33e5da56a15f6cd7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536535548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"cd6b9ade12913c585759c17434485c00786a4538f61f164a8d86c948f8765688","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0664211446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"cd6b9ade12913c585759c17434485c00786a4538f61f164a8d86c948f8765688","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0674653127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"cd6b9ade12913c585759c17434485c00786a4538f61f164a8d86c948f8765688","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0690104465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"cd6b9ade12913c585759c17434485c00786a4538f61f164a8d86c948f8765688","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0709597893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1a65b6f444f2ee04ec46b2a13c431728e27a6415b24f70e61923ade44bbe7c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0783728887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1a65b6f444f2ee04ec46b2a13c431728e27a6415b24f70e61923ade44bbe7c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0790042363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1a65b6f444f2ee04ec46b2a13c431728e27a6415b24f70e61923ade44bbe7c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0806241298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1a65b6f444f2ee04ec46b2a13c431728e27a6415b24f70e61923ade44bbe7c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0829561346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1aaefde181285ed2c3764b1af19c3c50a377e9c621e6adc48e44ceba3c8d2b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0689708228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1aaefde181285ed2c3764b1af19c3c50a377e9c621e6adc48e44ceba3c8d2b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0695700672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1aaefde181285ed2c3764b1af19c3c50a377e9c621e6adc48e44ceba3c8d2b9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9228698622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1aaefde181285ed2c3764b1af19c3c50a377e9c621e6adc48e44ceba3c8d2b9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0731629122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531309426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531366171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531465806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531642749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"e25d20b75343fb0c9cd67b0891dac2d5045e3485a0e79247f5c66e1fad02c66c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064880378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"e25d20b75343fb0c9cd67b0891dac2d5045e3485a0e79247f5c66e1fad02c66c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678781201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"e25d20b75343fb0c9cd67b0891dac2d5045e3485a0e79247f5c66e1fad02c66c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.073379348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"e25d20b75343fb0c9cd67b0891dac2d5045e3485a0e79247f5c66e1fad02c66c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0773267433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ebcb744b66dd6c20525acca405947325ba5e709434293a54618fa0f687ba5735","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6745108534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ebcb744b66dd6c20525acca405947325ba5e709434293a54618fa0f687ba5735","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1794528263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ebcb744b66dd6c20525acca405947325ba5e709434293a54618fa0f687ba5735","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5749244731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ebcb744b66dd6c20525acca405947325ba5e709434293a54618fa0f687ba5735","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2054505533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"fe30e48ca357bef8e04efccce83241aa399e9c884084c833833d50b10ec56e26","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1571598493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"fe30e48ca357bef8e04efccce83241aa399e9c884084c833833d50b10ec56e26","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6974418447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"fe30e48ca357bef8e04efccce83241aa399e9c884084c833833d50b10ec56e26","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1494594382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"fe30e48ca357bef8e04efccce83241aa399e9c884084c833833d50b10ec56e26","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1659686186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2784304847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2194415343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5513413412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565569224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2442524408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1696023193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4861115529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0893290873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2582007174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1784358511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4224803031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1113962497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2311333101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.173921464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4330759902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679047964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2689214021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1916266237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5180397883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0617427532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2609920455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1829788103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5444255358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0569247878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3079020462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1781197549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3389048832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0715744503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2391545519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.169245059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106380383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0761716488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2559742599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.160154488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2254873403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0591760289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562660438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1790691987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5472365976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576998052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2448419675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1721499956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1816919963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0580617658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2716998512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1912837588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5403284001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.069766743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2547576134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1809513362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2034721527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659478477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2323490344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1771405839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1834353801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0581811018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2939089466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2043126229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1777090044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0574819432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2703568269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2111270618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2052819279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955824182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2807191014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2312798955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1435478424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1002928574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2262713559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1695744335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1846561771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0571807936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2894145755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1856455369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2525069513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1597497646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816079278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2192047536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1768393615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821575928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2521232209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1679082336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.487694082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059246982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2612519974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2030792619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5399935941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1055925955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3111435945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2518136901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1267444524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0799622102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2699164853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2294894664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1453594103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590475498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2910383809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.208807962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786934252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994816963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2061459975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.199424869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063053497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2773523591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2129937704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5843376557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042353746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2706347715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2231463794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1885872491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0700239393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3379537549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.394726441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1323177968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641487597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2756002506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2263922576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1592499246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10076763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2369169618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1875884377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2081132116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618713752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2715751341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2066724855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5417319559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595191318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3289911649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2364798582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5680147515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1391543019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129250169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.185732685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5811342635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0945449187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3052910821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2390276886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5346887825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813301457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891934326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2556109484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3003358031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1673876648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3199196262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129928276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4509841744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312239521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.350683457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4675280603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.201479226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841747138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3797963077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3028089221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1359110862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3481964717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2478443518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3962859073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3254096972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3036474686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4452362595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1836713215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2998869108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2609915236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3069742883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1786680468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3434987396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4050790382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5307816918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0667964858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3217247846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2458352701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3718324341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1831559538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2811137431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.405185334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2276406989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3088117781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3978001704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2796857449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1542638795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3163667116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2858856249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4155565078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1169487554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3116348965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619527159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4468618139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2149657928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3461347169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.323833745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3677792025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3484271366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3001486964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.316627273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2808725362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3614327353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3174927278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3558124425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2248018087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4628224055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3039742261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2991701037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2990011089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968205345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3113449283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3515461056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2346705461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4446606961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3030643444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3005295786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.303174415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3125990968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2615007612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.393133033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4536808071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1627848486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2989189955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3333128749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2422503562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4357702183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2834703729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3811164712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4088556659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4394004389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3089839796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3028893806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2927464115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.269156506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644367967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2779019065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3212992575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2978817471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3181727016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2718865477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2563718467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2313731384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3139217235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3299350581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3518565884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3794304024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1444053312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1548322812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1792961748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.219736723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3065702593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921247538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2847248305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2810588329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2980223427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2814182592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3532304804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2504771163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924044995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131946166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3147420529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126003949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.295384645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3066430822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3037082282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3042602439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2995775992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3143094779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3028496193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2971637585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.273441611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2298675941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1841916645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1494710871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2536619212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3534485325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3541719658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3437361778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2897443077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.352822289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3551313133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3601608685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3115740025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3133819512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.295449625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2971760901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.275025713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2715205721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3501361857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120508369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3388686678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2563746975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2292075654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3083484282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3082115199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314496512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3243276039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4055237017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165652593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2703591654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2265734888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4944969549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4806981071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4606077872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4568907196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2194745969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2183138404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2297255794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2961895594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3085759835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2984945588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993430193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3221675218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.357559079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2259788737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1977007671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3060681448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131367313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.300528337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3034481478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2980166922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3048970868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.313084381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3179305652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3323698842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3354977228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3366555309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4275965951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4392273218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4298979129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.37356422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2617527724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707577985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2900255481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3277325833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2540251012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2537834223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2492429712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2555283132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2443095225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.222575746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356397454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2572705654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2809281129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3510948686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.392547073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2258257436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6356573339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5952704398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2107206767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2391600487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3028939581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2940816212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3367982627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3610028074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2848985169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2560686783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2178326844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1846876953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5985959114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5885158681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5542669816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4898785129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.266667869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2572656946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2414280605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4476819246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3088210747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2656415227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2419772137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2251014275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640810949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3522082826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3434686837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.336626976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2733442561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878321286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3344469281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2962376013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4887467542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.200618389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2103243183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2308862915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4028755678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2315808238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2203576817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2201876694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2802376095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3938859389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2435785994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2040002241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3846373339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3723617679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3673827565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3622411089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958735695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959285389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960876082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0964431995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963866311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979647427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1008746324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1056653591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960117612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963181014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0972811707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995225544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0722917997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0842908788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7010809265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1353568065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958580955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958824897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959749271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961187822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958689018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959362914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960883572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0964324612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960639529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965663451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099144784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089152416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534597576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544715422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.058166911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633048836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959926665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962504833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096832262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981565475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534355666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543509681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0577656162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0674405003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959786829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960356637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962023369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966031078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1706522605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1907896525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2150971033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2436013152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"57ea48993ece0fc4bc79a71f7e8074b46aba52003044da4ee4fdbad5972148f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.228928986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"57ea48993ece0fc4bc79a71f7e8074b46aba52003044da4ee4fdbad5972148f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.237652612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"57ea48993ece0fc4bc79a71f7e8074b46aba52003044da4ee4fdbad5972148f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2467728193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"57ea48993ece0fc4bc79a71f7e8074b46aba52003044da4ee4fdbad5972148f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2585406627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541593924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567092592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650673041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0866445032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958740448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960218591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0964824032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974133646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0855645276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028640638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1289343586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.533412615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958737115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959416292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961080496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0964920106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531975136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535848557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549819347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0586240641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959045688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961399665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0971091668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989278744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958772939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959470931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961310496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096546678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540405326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560670067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614451275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0777002546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0683211066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0796479174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1122066179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5933671495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959773795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960031896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961148112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962922437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944735744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1130986799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6235839473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1765588457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0810336628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0973530771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1322967193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1867074655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536302852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555217563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0615928451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0798869704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535659028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546794041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0587562099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0715667835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095872331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959535709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961256714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0964894929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963449116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968397798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993549792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1070021034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0832244171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984030035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1283718969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1717740995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539593403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0562274388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0644647191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0829670396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095886807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959783343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961806822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966185372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958675694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959348613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960910869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0964794513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0947195151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1138896921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1484732732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6080883611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958729019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960220019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965160721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975479905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1081203675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1082601293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1085841394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1092405351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1002876668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1234012813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1892027597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2703569639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0926435427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1014628837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.116988042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1364495108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660949687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0837316347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1116395829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5442135385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1117308287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1273394651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.164997454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2292179444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535789508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055084937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602996732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0758471177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1124832265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.135011066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5312199674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4167650151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958689561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959520251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096226588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0969126881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959105718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960256111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962447117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966814615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958677118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959125819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960389075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963597267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0661494669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975843785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6094948721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1949225425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1077691697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1078115644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079422797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1082588464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.290534229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2700401991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.248639599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2291881387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2890121465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2742388522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2528231203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2306526194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2890637224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2720637744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3615922402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3926730651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2817624323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3536686359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3868522008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.207019684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2889334669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2692766624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3722239232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4022890297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2893595489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2729391346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3577758298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3854803585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867102971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2719668516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3654668605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3963584485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2870265813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3443127057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3791238688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4160164825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CAG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3137066346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CAG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3344057399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CAG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3607261899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CAG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3877131921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2849004621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3483782093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3821652819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2120365262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2886784919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3427221893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.370288101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4019128215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2935887651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2767432486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3515236336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2460813409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3174494998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3316431615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3547945289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2439832961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885971677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753471066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3600789953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3852641611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3094686771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2828979768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2656546763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2532596742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2935838408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2836908763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2643047497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2477565246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.292721833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2740515877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3658455217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2264604275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2889277325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2688131772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.246872728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2231122615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3102721912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3242368429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3458554568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3700990146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2930471299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3292087458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3492797288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3725597649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286980617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3378550869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.365529636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2277909898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106946917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3290018314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2611142862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2438053942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.313791588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3283540529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3467649851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3671679058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2815874075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3461982213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3773298811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.406311241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2894987855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3415754741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3727156894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4060027538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2877032404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2666920645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.375036476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.408099117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JPM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2850813316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JPM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3401388033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JPM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3722736921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JPM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2221543663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2911030964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714663766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2525265669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2326503737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2909955239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2740818054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3638838123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3937318979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2805757823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3554086259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3941568856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4327684084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2871008199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2735059391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3610359661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3906655421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2925895426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2697483065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3670129409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2271753307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2932474252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2752744842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2530678684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.390329873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2842274604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2671325183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3757372396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4105738228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3054828454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2945413148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2913042446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2845225109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127217777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2774748617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2607140728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2468372576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2812270638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3577918033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3945038092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.434626935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3148842868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3297183073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3522001103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2428913055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2959716626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2819867578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2626808729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2430550613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NWS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2909833087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NWS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2769418152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NWS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3565336998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NWS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3829546696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3172554539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3338517487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.362872789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3927180129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3148765328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2782335512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3555935234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2444136971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2932533005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2780859372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2557296749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2377946053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289104933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.335760676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3610632442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3885209393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2860731331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2642681041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3787112002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.411927212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3182957375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2696764474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3690290034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3975367825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2894679351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2696486105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2500640736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2304054795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"UPS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3149055128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"UPS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2710982234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"UPS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3644869363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"UPS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2271921486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2838800599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.261756923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.384489311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4199385824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0696819792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0719345536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0721981786},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775428225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"061f9fa01e974bc5cc72bf3ba3ebfd6fca17bb2adf6b9d619c995d837131df5d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0765312879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"061f9fa01e974bc5cc72bf3ba3ebfd6fca17bb2adf6b9d619c995d837131df5d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0776623966},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"061f9fa01e974bc5cc72bf3ba3ebfd6fca17bb2adf6b9d619c995d837131df5d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0779028306},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"061f9fa01e974bc5cc72bf3ba3ebfd6fca17bb2adf6b9d619c995d837131df5d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0812940496},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"088cc487ca78c081cefb0a5aeff38ea6cce71a14bb2ac7be65db7dc527aee78c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546298791},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"088cc487ca78c081cefb0a5aeff38ea6cce71a14bb2ac7be65db7dc527aee78c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056542065},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"088cc487ca78c081cefb0a5aeff38ea6cce71a14bb2ac7be65db7dc527aee78c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0597600896},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"088cc487ca78c081cefb0a5aeff38ea6cce71a14bb2ac7be65db7dc527aee78c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642865247},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1016e4e71595527973e72a2d8ae90c087f012526ecd43ac767932afffd94d5df","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1139012584},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1016e4e71595527973e72a2d8ae90c087f012526ecd43ac767932afffd94d5df","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104978677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1016e4e71595527973e72a2d8ae90c087f012526ecd43ac767932afffd94d5df","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1096923543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1016e4e71595527973e72a2d8ae90c087f012526ecd43ac767932afffd94d5df","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1155057706},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1061061bb25116eddc7f7306852a16f8c8a68245b49856aef732fe0c1dc26091","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2298322439},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1061061bb25116eddc7f7306852a16f8c8a68245b49856aef732fe0c1dc26091","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2505852816},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1061061bb25116eddc7f7306852a16f8c8a68245b49856aef732fe0c1dc26091","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4785540699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1061061bb25116eddc7f7306852a16f8c8a68245b49856aef732fe0c1dc26091","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127031057},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1091a78b4799b92f7b8ea3704705c644cf2650eeeaa70f080175af707cf3d1e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6183421629},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1091a78b4799b92f7b8ea3704705c644cf2650eeeaa70f080175af707cf3d1e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5539824312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1091a78b4799b92f7b8ea3704705c644cf2650eeeaa70f080175af707cf3d1e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4888285389},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1091a78b4799b92f7b8ea3704705c644cf2650eeeaa70f080175af707cf3d1e2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4863820553},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0897638113},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093869856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7803280879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.126318204},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0730152922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0733625857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775342985},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0832037116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"15a15edfe63373c78f96f021d69a22d0cc78ad843b86bf7435063c45805c1ac7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0887539339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"15a15edfe63373c78f96f021d69a22d0cc78ad843b86bf7435063c45805c1ac7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649829703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"15a15edfe63373c78f96f021d69a22d0cc78ad843b86bf7435063c45805c1ac7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650664974},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"15a15edfe63373c78f96f021d69a22d0cc78ad843b86bf7435063c45805c1ac7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651474992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"17e8ea9f39ec6d86c5a1b4303926853aef60111f842e94b1c747e7fe7fd4ce85","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0817671555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"17e8ea9f39ec6d86c5a1b4303926853aef60111f842e94b1c747e7fe7fd4ce85","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0848984639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"17e8ea9f39ec6d86c5a1b4303926853aef60111f842e94b1c747e7fe7fd4ce85","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0864978808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"17e8ea9f39ec6d86c5a1b4303926853aef60111f842e94b1c747e7fe7fd4ce85","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911903672},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0805075558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0792150029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0825266487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0840287777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1e1abe7bfd12ca1c9d9253d135bc6123c3430edabea92593d07452825b04f7e1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542665378},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1e1abe7bfd12ca1c9d9253d135bc6123c3430edabea92593d07452825b04f7e1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546455943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1e1abe7bfd12ca1c9d9253d135bc6123c3430edabea92593d07452825b04f7e1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553744216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1e1abe7bfd12ca1c9d9253d135bc6123c3430edabea92593d07452825b04f7e1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056712454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1ec12e411114606e68adbef8f6fc85afe4760425d8af7b04dc6276f04ec8026e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110907334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1ec12e411114606e68adbef8f6fc85afe4760425d8af7b04dc6276f04ec8026e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1119268807},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1ec12e411114606e68adbef8f6fc85afe4760425d8af7b04dc6276f04ec8026e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1168382291},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1ec12e411114606e68adbef8f6fc85afe4760425d8af7b04dc6276f04ec8026e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1210899437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"220ea7e511e67ba9d9f82ee8f0b5baf5fe5bdc5f34a5e71f6cd45934f7ed7d26","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681149935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"220ea7e511e67ba9d9f82ee8f0b5baf5fe5bdc5f34a5e71f6cd45934f7ed7d26","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0694475973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"220ea7e511e67ba9d9f82ee8f0b5baf5fe5bdc5f34a5e71f6cd45934f7ed7d26","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0734379803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"220ea7e511e67ba9d9f82ee8f0b5baf5fe5bdc5f34a5e71f6cd45934f7ed7d26","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0762291568},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"26219a3351e6deef5e6af9564c756f778c14920233b5392a1809b03972d51f2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0724310891},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"26219a3351e6deef5e6af9564c756f778c14920233b5392a1809b03972d51f2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609869743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"26219a3351e6deef5e6af9564c756f778c14920233b5392a1809b03972d51f2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620927611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"26219a3351e6deef5e6af9564c756f778c14920233b5392a1809b03972d51f2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645999603},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"272fbf6a0ec7c2f66bac164188298c8ca870b641a38d879d56fabba34849e6d7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645109394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"272fbf6a0ec7c2f66bac164188298c8ca870b641a38d879d56fabba34849e6d7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651162333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"272fbf6a0ec7c2f66bac164188298c8ca870b641a38d879d56fabba34849e6d7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652532951},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"272fbf6a0ec7c2f66bac164188298c8ca870b641a38d879d56fabba34849e6d7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647925373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536248889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541210515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549805294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056162715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"2d590d296710d26ebbf15d7c0f2d0512f4bb219b85cf99596d3c3d2de65090af","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5600608535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"2d590d296710d26ebbf15d7c0f2d0512f4bb219b85cf99596d3c3d2de65090af","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5301594198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"2d590d296710d26ebbf15d7c0f2d0512f4bb219b85cf99596d3c3d2de65090af","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3017066682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"2d590d296710d26ebbf15d7c0f2d0512f4bb219b85cf99596d3c3d2de65090af","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3064496319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530428454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053053848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530972499},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532290386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"33c0bbd6d55f34b3d915926c3c162a021f55da71b1ce4f05c3ac107c968d2f54","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986192484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"33c0bbd6d55f34b3d915926c3c162a021f55da71b1ce4f05c3ac107c968d2f54","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8474362622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"33c0bbd6d55f34b3d915926c3c162a021f55da71b1ce4f05c3ac107c968d2f54","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813340029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"33c0bbd6d55f34b3d915926c3c162a021f55da71b1ce4f05c3ac107c968d2f54","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.105363257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"35286dd484845e7ddb16a81724bdcab94c7a5a506d8eed97a049a688b95e0091","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0977590386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"35286dd484845e7ddb16a81724bdcab94c7a5a506d8eed97a049a688b95e0091","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1074312083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"35286dd484845e7ddb16a81724bdcab94c7a5a506d8eed97a049a688b95e0091","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1498504946},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"35286dd484845e7ddb16a81724bdcab94c7a5a506d8eed97a049a688b95e0091","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1411904429},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536384292},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538796742},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546038447},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554004222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4abea952feac95b930f3a577254e2b03792097e8c95ed1e4d70cd14533c086d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540571282},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4abea952feac95b930f3a577254e2b03792097e8c95ed1e4d70cd14533c086d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545195449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4abea952feac95b930f3a577254e2b03792097e8c95ed1e4d70cd14533c086d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554168997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4abea952feac95b930f3a577254e2b03792097e8c95ed1e4d70cd14533c086d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565856664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4e1bc00239683eaaec1b22f3a34e81a5762d4780307b3f0be33f3a156371dcc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1051087751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4e1bc00239683eaaec1b22f3a34e81a5762d4780307b3f0be33f3a156371dcc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1116846372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4e1bc00239683eaaec1b22f3a34e81a5762d4780307b3f0be33f3a156371dcc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1197976766},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4e1bc00239683eaaec1b22f3a34e81a5762d4780307b3f0be33f3a156371dcc7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1297602813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"548b165d16b8ca445d41c099a94850b85aab631346ef7bf2cc73551f78d44e2d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1650100257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"548b165d16b8ca445d41c099a94850b85aab631346ef7bf2cc73551f78d44e2d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.172204473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"548b165d16b8ca445d41c099a94850b85aab631346ef7bf2cc73551f78d44e2d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1829462382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"548b165d16b8ca445d41c099a94850b85aab631346ef7bf2cc73551f78d44e2d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1985031591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6ab884939d068008b39a7b9ebe630f16921aa403e5062c8521c7c7ca03064634","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1141397537},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6ab884939d068008b39a7b9ebe630f16921aa403e5062c8521c7c7ca03064634","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029415531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6ab884939d068008b39a7b9ebe630f16921aa403e5062c8521c7c7ca03064634","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1035247224},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6ab884939d068008b39a7b9ebe630f16921aa403e5062c8521c7c7ca03064634","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045755251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6e2a6755b011a2942868217d63ede0bcb2dc03a8bf80939c16927d04a0a47b04","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648669787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6e2a6755b011a2942868217d63ede0bcb2dc03a8bf80939c16927d04a0a47b04","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0657316052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6e2a6755b011a2942868217d63ede0bcb2dc03a8bf80939c16927d04a0a47b04","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662536379},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6e2a6755b011a2942868217d63ede0bcb2dc03a8bf80939c16927d04a0a47b04","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0653612278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"70c40492a9021e3b7fc8862878f00bf4baa0c9ad469deb83302910fcb80b94d8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537916698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"70c40492a9021e3b7fc8862878f00bf4baa0c9ad469deb83302910fcb80b94d8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545057335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"70c40492a9021e3b7fc8862878f00bf4baa0c9ad469deb83302910fcb80b94d8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555992342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"70c40492a9021e3b7fc8862878f00bf4baa0c9ad469deb83302910fcb80b94d8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573188443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7a463ec9cd62bb6deca4e28d4794d99ff755e6e37cc10ca1c7ebc6ae8dee303e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647688698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7a463ec9cd62bb6deca4e28d4794d99ff755e6e37cc10ca1c7ebc6ae8dee303e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064595964},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7a463ec9cd62bb6deca4e28d4794d99ff755e6e37cc10ca1c7ebc6ae8dee303e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065090128},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7a463ec9cd62bb6deca4e28d4794d99ff755e6e37cc10ca1c7ebc6ae8dee303e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665139576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7b337fe2202f26bf7d3070dbc2f0d0348489a08dbd571a86f2b85895e046a5fe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6121818816},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7b337fe2202f26bf7d3070dbc2f0d0348489a08dbd571a86f2b85895e046a5fe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5474840471},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7b337fe2202f26bf7d3070dbc2f0d0348489a08dbd571a86f2b85895e046a5fe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.255621109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7b337fe2202f26bf7d3070dbc2f0d0348489a08dbd571a86f2b85895e046a5fe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4483242479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"85779cc091a393ee2b1943831e785466d0640e09304b2780c0a2d3bdb577b30a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053901149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"85779cc091a393ee2b1943831e785466d0640e09304b2780c0a2d3bdb577b30a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054178012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"85779cc091a393ee2b1943831e785466d0640e09304b2780c0a2d3bdb577b30a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0547328819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"85779cc091a393ee2b1943831e785466d0640e09304b2780c0a2d3bdb577b30a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554848526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"8583a121bf253d062fd008da0e47e9d66f16e1362a603a072f423bf4f0be0b1e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551046998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"8583a121bf253d062fd008da0e47e9d66f16e1362a603a072f423bf4f0be0b1e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553142298},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"8583a121bf253d062fd008da0e47e9d66f16e1362a603a072f423bf4f0be0b1e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557718143},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"8583a121bf253d062fd008da0e47e9d66f16e1362a603a072f423bf4f0be0b1e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0562818372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9102855bf23a8d879a68f0bd46f0f7af33645025c7e878d20e33736ea41248fe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659210395},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9102855bf23a8d879a68f0bd46f0f7af33645025c7e878d20e33736ea41248fe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.06632634},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9102855bf23a8d879a68f0bd46f0f7af33645025c7e878d20e33736ea41248fe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666061082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9102855bf23a8d879a68f0bd46f0f7af33645025c7e878d20e33736ea41248fe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0672438844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"94a2017d5fda41c80178ffce379b51ce798a0e8cb84c1b963ad6df695dd15503","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530621783},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"94a2017d5fda41c80178ffce379b51ce798a0e8cb84c1b963ad6df695dd15503","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530863735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"94a2017d5fda41c80178ffce379b51ce798a0e8cb84c1b963ad6df695dd15503","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531205924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"94a2017d5fda41c80178ffce379b51ce798a0e8cb84c1b963ad6df695dd15503","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531648986},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9ff71b64f474e9dbf003b5b0c5f82e730a5bae694508b2d5cb0aff623d05b055","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1100507909},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9ff71b64f474e9dbf003b5b0c5f82e730a5bae694508b2d5cb0aff623d05b055","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0873933771},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9ff71b64f474e9dbf003b5b0c5f82e730a5bae694508b2d5cb0aff623d05b055","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960575837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9ff71b64f474e9dbf003b5b0c5f82e730a5bae694508b2d5cb0aff623d05b055","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992913111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ac104740ba3b09b1bf17f92de4171dc413862436c70af22695fa07809f77f757","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537235735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ac104740ba3b09b1bf17f92de4171dc413862436c70af22695fa07809f77f757","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538301474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ac104740ba3b09b1bf17f92de4171dc413862436c70af22695fa07809f77f757","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540570572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ac104740ba3b09b1bf17f92de4171dc413862436c70af22695fa07809f77f757","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054474449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b4c4fc33dfefc6907605416dd018160b79b5c13528d59109b8a6c9adbecb0039","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0670743492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b4c4fc33dfefc6907605416dd018160b79b5c13528d59109b8a6c9adbecb0039","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677846032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b4c4fc33dfefc6907605416dd018160b79b5c13528d59109b8a6c9adbecb0039","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0692411598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b4c4fc33dfefc6907605416dd018160b79b5c13528d59109b8a6c9adbecb0039","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0710280094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b5f2223a0eb1682992153bebfcde421ca645159fcee9ebbaf4f5f4c73d26b660","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789824743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b5f2223a0eb1682992153bebfcde421ca645159fcee9ebbaf4f5f4c73d26b660","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0798158735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b5f2223a0eb1682992153bebfcde421ca645159fcee9ebbaf4f5f4c73d26b660","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0815864371},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b5f2223a0eb1682992153bebfcde421ca645159fcee9ebbaf4f5f4c73d26b660","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0855318115},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"bda644d5c08dd48462c653899272adf410bba09768825581be427a1abb3e23be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539253395},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"bda644d5c08dd48462c653899272adf410bba09768825581be427a1abb3e23be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542529183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"bda644d5c08dd48462c653899272adf410bba09768825581be427a1abb3e23be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548070736},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"bda644d5c08dd48462c653899272adf410bba09768825581be427a1abb3e23be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556840933},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c0c4d75a19a17c2f89f7418af8d57f1b759deaa7227d6340bc7ed4bb9163e7da","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768148247},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c0c4d75a19a17c2f89f7418af8d57f1b759deaa7227d6340bc7ed4bb9163e7da","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.076815009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c0c4d75a19a17c2f89f7418af8d57f1b759deaa7227d6340bc7ed4bb9163e7da","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768299736},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c0c4d75a19a17c2f89f7418af8d57f1b759deaa7227d6340bc7ed4bb9163e7da","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768317598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c6fdc907ed80ec9d8b7e1c12a992e66770a3eb7e70b8d4c9bb964b4fe03ec7d8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0700160848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c6fdc907ed80ec9d8b7e1c12a992e66770a3eb7e70b8d4c9bb964b4fe03ec7d8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0708777327},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c6fdc907ed80ec9d8b7e1c12a992e66770a3eb7e70b8d4c9bb964b4fe03ec7d8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0751592456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c6fdc907ed80ec9d8b7e1c12a992e66770a3eb7e70b8d4c9bb964b4fe03ec7d8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782721251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"cabbb65452598d17228627229bc7758dafce1fa5a26a28d85a1ceabdc420f1f2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530428449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"cabbb65452598d17228627229bc7758dafce1fa5a26a28d85a1ceabdc420f1f2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530571365},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"cabbb65452598d17228627229bc7758dafce1fa5a26a28d85a1ceabdc420f1f2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531539815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"cabbb65452598d17228627229bc7758dafce1fa5a26a28d85a1ceabdc420f1f2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532776959},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530239092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530241421},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530400382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530438603},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"dd5c0c229b308e4cb30b62fc828624a898a82edab14297da7c89dfba765c6991","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.208793676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"dd5c0c229b308e4cb30b62fc828624a898a82edab14297da7c89dfba765c6991","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2575435808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"dd5c0c229b308e4cb30b62fc828624a898a82edab14297da7c89dfba765c6991","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3240970284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"dd5c0c229b308e4cb30b62fc828624a898a82edab14297da7c89dfba765c6991","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3742164877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821584024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8776480838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0871251806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0930494566},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f490237184136347ea95c9466c4274c4a5e822cb0617d8aef4bd71a2e5a8f4e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789881526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f490237184136347ea95c9466c4274c4a5e822cb0617d8aef4bd71a2e5a8f4e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0806636545},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f490237184136347ea95c9466c4274c4a5e822cb0617d8aef4bd71a2e5a8f4e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.082448266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f490237184136347ea95c9466c4274c4a5e822cb0617d8aef4bd71a2e5a8f4e2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0831908065},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530142266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530143701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530290389},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530439002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fa5c459888712f0db20da33f57950bd27931c665b9fca6ba93f41b54309eb166","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538903892},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fa5c459888712f0db20da33f57950bd27931c665b9fca6ba93f41b54309eb166","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539625632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fa5c459888712f0db20da33f57950bd27931c665b9fca6ba93f41b54309eb166","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543052933},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fa5c459888712f0db20da33f57950bd27931c665b9fca6ba93f41b54309eb166","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054725798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fbdfb73d1acf919ac1adcacc5727cb44936d22164d54ee0a264baafd02e0efc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546368436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fbdfb73d1acf919ac1adcacc5727cb44936d22164d54ee0a264baafd02e0efc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550249832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fbdfb73d1acf919ac1adcacc5727cb44936d22164d54ee0a264baafd02e0efc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556181037},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fbdfb73d1acf919ac1adcacc5727cb44936d22164d54ee0a264baafd02e0efc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0564190146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531030001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532061581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534718574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539542644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3065001484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2410134475},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784669385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566288288},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3233034077},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.267580711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0800384024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554365639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3433319746},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3241581726},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1168154191},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1053251133},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2769307713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2231827612},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0802702647},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567714987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2789043822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.231079891},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0776954926},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556022819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3208714653},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2521089349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818955869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0597393273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2623280321},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2737427542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0878576256},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603381979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3295930844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2961765916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1011531624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0601062879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2961176865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2587709893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0906434025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0602999113},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114269042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3067101616},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1292442698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027342456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2661226551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2113175422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0696286447},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555146133},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3022576476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707807829},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0761478388},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550767463},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.280617576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2261416848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0755716353},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0581908163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3067037877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2522184611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768240444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560761497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748199258},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2345561596},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0851956611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565797325},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816476937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2486564763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0833575245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0589142135},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2681842767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2355799921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1069723408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042737087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895650707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2355657061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0748954297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0558820501},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2706168663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226225581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0696143586},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055490708},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627628364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2151873435},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0839003939},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676537432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2830512448},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2288512695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0754954432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566826872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3183705882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2774904575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911481758},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0589761196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161087699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2548709017},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770192869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552855605},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2922241218},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2443992378},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0842813548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0587880202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2612258883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2159492653},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0792940523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0589145944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2687414541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2140176029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0840861123},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0591880292},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3249923422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841011298},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0830855661},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0605094398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.296702792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316768568},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0822249277},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578780473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2884254008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2376467052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803955532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590678836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753063978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2425134812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0794002928},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551522242},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.303913874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2479802707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771002411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0561771996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3110949632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2681950105},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110296225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1068153849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3427356869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314996062},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1336872267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09788647},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2918918557},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2138461705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0762383646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551438912},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3294373973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2796844529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.117576579},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0972389317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169294388},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3081716919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2804895497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082023715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3405490171},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3639733528},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5421773565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895378688},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155363775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2203541611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3119209503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3348076366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2014792703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1624752068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3332649819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3366138067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2281149832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878859291},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2803251552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3108214918},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5731556654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1398206978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3176553465},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3033940084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1907273651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1571854656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2646770744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3009028406},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2544756547},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2028419362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314304804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3192312189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601072597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1772024901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841772334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.309905813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1597538572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1488709012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2989864345},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2940574964},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5233188199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1238155764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3267301646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3568601156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6059216457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0854051896},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3083674377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3364394009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1730404918},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046675271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956285897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3061228814},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2066686552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3069628456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3330440575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.371872325},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4092073686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.301023351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3320142977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.243932083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4286517318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2963842787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3021273003},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2947785118},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2923429526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2969837093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3093792074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3133732437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.315323362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3052173492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3320723345},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2638671552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2421654559},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3102415252},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868394165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2786391584},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2654680426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3111900199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.352731139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.224064709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4533997937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2960652293},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3013749777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2920301814},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2842812464},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3183566156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2674385796},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2409727657},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4214407907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.311304435},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3421894131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.242940775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.421620183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3172768915},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3380465712},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.367947505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.404289905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3206120251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3498158266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3587489646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3927868114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2970295898},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3057977182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3056660678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3045398669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2984681177},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.303775271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128287911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3188951613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2834538866},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.267790935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2503683474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2379232336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289572321},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3381090341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3655762403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3950800284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.313218422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3315387158},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.267301528},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2609241753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131321893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.320416584},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3309789984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2918548302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3075824459},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2978259685},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2884933035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2834063911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2967887816},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3210096479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.324253438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3338740341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3012185505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2847161503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2650173266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2488552889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2732636543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2466373106},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4143724204},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1887905014},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.416831122},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3756693349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3387446882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3147224709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2611286412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3690837177},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3372926307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3077174801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2496986797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2448260594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.251447374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.266655217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2727776839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3539184871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2477628989},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3094690263},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123601775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3149020535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3150846253},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3178606877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3291750121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915257403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.100687182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1096458163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0820357041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966507059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1294557004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1790887666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2402361046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2423924495},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4139796653},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4078102918},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3112013585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968511579},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3258014722},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.342977057},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1734325562},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.207076201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4177041569},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2936788084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122161809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3078014348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3567065143},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1764940232},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1924968364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2206873072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2510230564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3072869578},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3170025012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878235331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2862826038},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2650546088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2337665864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2035339286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2043161611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2133501766},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2509648045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3884430022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2363009692},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2426125128},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2629753812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2881480035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2949093857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867951461},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2807578848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3442038868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3014852979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885065717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2662988044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2535165711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2450020386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1975217402},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1545416346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1258839816},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2804876817},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2669861673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.253507542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2451849753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2075439187},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1939929956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1893592671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.195803812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3333869802},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3415533517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.370748863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3836015253},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.402701305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2485718692},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4266762667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4160083505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2594002524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3922612825},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2301862925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2133899295},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.656614202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6439222541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5998747897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5345543275},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1162582548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1492854503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.576844802},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4877146462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1078882666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.107945936},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1081326645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1086534262},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1197932484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1198494415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1200783615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1205313597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959916308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960636219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961989621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0964815456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1120034062},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1398466032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1936147509},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4055417423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959867621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960398628},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961821222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965705833},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536173802},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551075565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0588559741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0673121164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959785348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959976895},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961103353},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962995301},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958630446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959019978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960210987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962945361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.107883457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079372215},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1080799014},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1084138494},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981882645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059386444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1236861829},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1485470955},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668351949},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0897763353},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1237787176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1688880176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1085951558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1198648303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5693736646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4776067587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0828785537},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089787486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.600363185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4957127159},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959773343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960161475},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961322177},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0964223076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959773928},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096017669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961941591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965916323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6785580e4c4831a5468a3d99044a87b81b89aaf3659b8e4c05032abf6d799a87","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1077633595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6785580e4c4831a5468a3d99044a87b81b89aaf3659b8e4c05032abf6d799a87","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095883106},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6785580e4c4831a5468a3d99044a87b81b89aaf3659b8e4c05032abf6d799a87","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959917255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6785580e4c4831a5468a3d99044a87b81b89aaf3659b8e4c05032abf6d799a87","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962380063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534120899},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542504897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0561614374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0605319641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658870368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565261598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645904362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0793860067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656550316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0673748798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0733219657},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867466007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958736638},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959282927},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096088251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0964775812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0572162706},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603767702},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0680969436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0839111084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d2d5c43b22024f78ac4b1eb85813305f14440e53280d5a0c638f477130deba7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109390966},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d2d5c43b22024f78ac4b1eb85813305f14440e53280d5a0c638f477130deba7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1451065309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d2d5c43b22024f78ac4b1eb85813305f14440e53280d5a0c638f477130deba7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5384820354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d2d5c43b22024f78ac4b1eb85813305f14440e53280d5a0c638f477130deba7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4755615741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961868839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024818627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1219029364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1522936802},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"82732eccc0e28610e2796f3d44bc2c080cbd67cfe7fb15681ec6e2685ed9fa45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959748585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"82732eccc0e28610e2796f3d44bc2c080cbd67cfe7fb15681ec6e2685ed9fa45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960082931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"82732eccc0e28610e2796f3d44bc2c080cbd67cfe7fb15681ec6e2685ed9fa45","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961175665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"82732eccc0e28610e2796f3d44bc2c080cbd67cfe7fb15681ec6e2685ed9fa45","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963815524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959868107},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960687273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962563386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0967776361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958631946},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958890085},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960020591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962088137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652816899},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665667664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0746875202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914036577},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958628088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959014864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960184566},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962747843},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959869035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961960035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09661287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959916184},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096164289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981986205},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10354436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959843344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960033158},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961623975},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0964468229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.084703413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044906693},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.133238344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5525738519},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0807670854},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0877528614},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033484499},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1239679607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959867154},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096060779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962506737},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968192679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543461585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056516731},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618132786},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0718373133},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0969673541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1546210304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.49820494},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4048552237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1412207769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1611497485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2092365431},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2806762433},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1123963674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1156772983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1360110884},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1694975551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958641165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958885694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09599967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962706332},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959772505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960017843},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960958265},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963298837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959868564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960545246},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096284625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0967709216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079582682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1081014257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1085939487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1098835491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0920231415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1077625131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6304908555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5519843695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2801675909},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.353093636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3891356258},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4313034923},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155061678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2749745486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2535514032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2337070943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2886165562},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2677074036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2446867129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2248991459},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3174116971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701595985},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3655324069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2287866662},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2898781805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724907219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3651904076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3964508344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"APO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3177094745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"APO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3391698259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"APO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3685534706},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"APO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3938737665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.291917438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3280473964},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3496907539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498000643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2875425532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3411442694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3688888779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4022868813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.288030818},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2657693157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2408962399},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2204290131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3200679872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2689059801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2462175901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2222005346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2870666157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2667531752},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.37150751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2234796088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205390058},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2681067098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.244104298},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2236728089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2931500717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2756462944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2551443337},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356427958},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841660989},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2685542704},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2464145669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2288539455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.321563303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33743139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3614407252},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2327868344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2887023916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3375785615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3655458259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3978511921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2876104191},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3464148298},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.380430808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2169333786},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2915120437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2735142574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3640805676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3980157221},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314802893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2736090167},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2525459471},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2323850104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.313096453},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.278874632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2593467381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2408143333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2887874455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2685864984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2481405935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2272522226},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"FAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901610666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"FAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2765299649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"FAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2534623468},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"FAST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.229400342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2910259908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330434804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3567750917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3840890409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2836653574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644496384},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3798270859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.215002076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2911974567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798659831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3536918086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2452443084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2852018126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2633285914},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2384489013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2190749555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2937663902},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2764392197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2613973584},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2457152654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902049572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2731606372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3656622685},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2310560511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2907750701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2743866398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498402811},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2280735393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903008435},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3409706369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3727658793},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4082411318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2851715841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2720190698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2475480352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2253150661},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169471789},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2704330556},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2480339649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2276276298},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3181056896},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738196521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2542845549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2363776186},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916959096},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3368051109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.363991494},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.397352721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2844071976},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2633466868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.231805523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2076360404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2975157498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2806799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2625863687},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2438268702},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146055808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3318780477},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3594773777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3844042442},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2884557511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3394161819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3674617094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2246610383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PCAR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879940196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PCAR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714319032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PCAR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2457301016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PCAR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.221728907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2881701492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794249111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3517050937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2465660056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841305778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627556303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3776112061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.409616013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2808244567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2575824393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2306436819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.205315713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2914545679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2755298876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3604649608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2326998997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2881954872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2703882148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3663984795},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2248098431},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3181976549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3372510537},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3631632039},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2274560042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3088424801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2780455883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2554379953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2358120045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165294131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27230052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2472625412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2249979971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.32019252},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2697191442},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2514524783},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2336509376},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2836859106},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2630591252},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2391605668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4147165145},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3242810585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2689900005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2488365125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2286161434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"0190eb130973e2998ccae456049f88d6623fb1c71a0e4e922fec631c8043ef68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544614686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"0190eb130973e2998ccae456049f88d6623fb1c71a0e4e922fec631c8043ef68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550425042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"0190eb130973e2998ccae456049f88d6623fb1c71a0e4e922fec631c8043ef68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563239177},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"0190eb130973e2998ccae456049f88d6623fb1c71a0e4e922fec631c8043ef68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578385064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"023bc566dbac68be33a09ac94499134878864a59def5b69d2fda733998005902","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0734141083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"023bc566dbac68be33a09ac94499134878864a59def5b69d2fda733998005902","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0757383493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"023bc566dbac68be33a09ac94499134878864a59def5b69d2fda733998005902","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811337641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"023bc566dbac68be33a09ac94499134878864a59def5b69d2fda733998005902","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0888692445},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"05576cdda3e43d8377f5d866b59d2517f8254d11269d5ae52b24e1009fae4843","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956098971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"05576cdda3e43d8377f5d866b59d2517f8254d11269d5ae52b24e1009fae4843","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992785906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"05576cdda3e43d8377f5d866b59d2517f8254d11269d5ae52b24e1009fae4843","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10515049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"05576cdda3e43d8377f5d866b59d2517f8254d11269d5ae52b24e1009fae4843","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1126596581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"064b119526fc5987a8e1d67039009fa4f0af5cd1c8270e91573cb6d7dc97f954","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2975279258},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"064b119526fc5987a8e1d67039009fa4f0af5cd1c8270e91573cb6d7dc97f954","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3211153125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"064b119526fc5987a8e1d67039009fa4f0af5cd1c8270e91573cb6d7dc97f954","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3094728024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"064b119526fc5987a8e1d67039009fa4f0af5cd1c8270e91573cb6d7dc97f954","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3144610497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0664490809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539558706},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540072439},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540804303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"166288b941dfa2cb7d898c5c6d42b3562d25e5361e87c79460c66648f383cd90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0670661105},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"166288b941dfa2cb7d898c5c6d42b3562d25e5361e87c79460c66648f383cd90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0672301604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"166288b941dfa2cb7d898c5c6d42b3562d25e5361e87c79460c66648f383cd90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.067625735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"166288b941dfa2cb7d898c5c6d42b3562d25e5361e87c79460c66648f383cd90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681970287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"1fc9718e6e011eb37859f6f679577b743028a03486fc9badc2bd8e209bfd52b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665939768},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"1fc9718e6e011eb37859f6f679577b743028a03486fc9badc2bd8e209bfd52b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666894898},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"1fc9718e6e011eb37859f6f679577b743028a03486fc9badc2bd8e209bfd52b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668307016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"1fc9718e6e011eb37859f6f679577b743028a03486fc9badc2bd8e209bfd52b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0670500488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"23afa5789cf87d1a0bf6d8305899cb9142c4dce38bb0de296cdaff6ba1e8596c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0923558251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"23afa5789cf87d1a0bf6d8305899cb9142c4dce38bb0de296cdaff6ba1e8596c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0929271193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"23afa5789cf87d1a0bf6d8305899cb9142c4dce38bb0de296cdaff6ba1e8596c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939620116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"23afa5789cf87d1a0bf6d8305899cb9142c4dce38bb0de296cdaff6ba1e8596c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0955217788},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"242bca3d29ddabba96a8a8f5637bcccf0e80c1a563c1e6ea5cf7a1a2e20c6009","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2523047362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"242bca3d29ddabba96a8a8f5637bcccf0e80c1a563c1e6ea5cf7a1a2e20c6009","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2497312214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"242bca3d29ddabba96a8a8f5637bcccf0e80c1a563c1e6ea5cf7a1a2e20c6009","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.244941502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"242bca3d29ddabba96a8a8f5637bcccf0e80c1a563c1e6ea5cf7a1a2e20c6009","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26580919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.079264713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0794488046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0800701268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811656599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"27debab58f74725ea6b0b5962c22da5c0abc0933ea10b5ed390d749cb966bf3c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3310956067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"27debab58f74725ea6b0b5962c22da5c0abc0933ea10b5ed390d749cb966bf3c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308483112},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"27debab58f74725ea6b0b5962c22da5c0abc0933ea10b5ed390d749cb966bf3c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3460629984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"27debab58f74725ea6b0b5962c22da5c0abc0933ea10b5ed390d749cb966bf3c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3103281576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"2af47fce161b69d4d49e6bd100a15c3b2b38cc34898bb0e74845b9ca0f99ff36","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538237288},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"2af47fce161b69d4d49e6bd100a15c3b2b38cc34898bb0e74845b9ca0f99ff36","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538667346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"2af47fce161b69d4d49e6bd100a15c3b2b38cc34898bb0e74845b9ca0f99ff36","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539544521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"2af47fce161b69d4d49e6bd100a15c3b2b38cc34898bb0e74845b9ca0f99ff36","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541146176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"379b4c1e264f3517e1dc254558bade161e6f43db2fa09b6beb68fc694e21450a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662852725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"379b4c1e264f3517e1dc254558bade161e6f43db2fa09b6beb68fc694e21450a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537958454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"379b4c1e264f3517e1dc254558bade161e6f43db2fa09b6beb68fc694e21450a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053827358},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"379b4c1e264f3517e1dc254558bade161e6f43db2fa09b6beb68fc694e21450a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538566504},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"392c79e1aeaece40f8ba2c8fcadb8e2b5568a9438b0123a0b0f9315865049215","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789641424},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"392c79e1aeaece40f8ba2c8fcadb8e2b5568a9438b0123a0b0f9315865049215","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541273626},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"392c79e1aeaece40f8ba2c8fcadb8e2b5568a9438b0123a0b0f9315865049215","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546039048},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"392c79e1aeaece40f8ba2c8fcadb8e2b5568a9438b0123a0b0f9315865049215","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553423335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"3b5ba83f2d835e354367cb27ef7f26b67ed4db5aeeae7bdabcdcbd25e7906aa0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663101493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"3b5ba83f2d835e354367cb27ef7f26b67ed4db5aeeae7bdabcdcbd25e7906aa0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663359709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"3b5ba83f2d835e354367cb27ef7f26b67ed4db5aeeae7bdabcdcbd25e7906aa0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663730933},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"3b5ba83f2d835e354367cb27ef7f26b67ed4db5aeeae7bdabcdcbd25e7906aa0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066421002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"429af80fb7803624c9174280482661780d57ec9607e04f07b64acd7836e09d84","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4488011657},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"429af80fb7803624c9174280482661780d57ec9607e04f07b64acd7836e09d84","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4092105521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"429af80fb7803624c9174280482661780d57ec9607e04f07b64acd7836e09d84","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3435778238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"429af80fb7803624c9174280482661780d57ec9607e04f07b64acd7836e09d84","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2890938602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"4466d2be599746035a2d4adebf7f0e0b1efc30400e7a77a48671b9a89a677765","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2575286075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"4466d2be599746035a2d4adebf7f0e0b1efc30400e7a77a48671b9a89a677765","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498889039},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"4466d2be599746035a2d4adebf7f0e0b1efc30400e7a77a48671b9a89a677765","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4383614223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"4466d2be599746035a2d4adebf7f0e0b1efc30400e7a77a48671b9a89a677765","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4359550889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"4aea086e5f9bb68f5da49e8247f6500906821467b9ae152e21cb9f26e484caef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0667953416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"4aea086e5f9bb68f5da49e8247f6500906821467b9ae152e21cb9f26e484caef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544090642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"4aea086e5f9bb68f5da49e8247f6500906821467b9ae152e21cb9f26e484caef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546505427},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"4aea086e5f9bb68f5da49e8247f6500906821467b9ae152e21cb9f26e484caef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550740087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"4c61c2a65075e437a0887c02650bd69c2ad0fbfc7d8a42c0489ac4d67b17bd54","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2959673487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"4c61c2a65075e437a0887c02650bd69c2ad0fbfc7d8a42c0489ac4d67b17bd54","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3352201997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"4c61c2a65075e437a0887c02650bd69c2ad0fbfc7d8a42c0489ac4d67b17bd54","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3247679078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"4c61c2a65075e437a0887c02650bd69c2ad0fbfc7d8a42c0489ac4d67b17bd54","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2925577265},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568462423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0581663956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0610033313},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650115872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"73c5b09389955ec9b505cee80c1b4619a708e85c499edd95ceda3364c44c6494","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0798889388},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"73c5b09389955ec9b505cee80c1b4619a708e85c499edd95ceda3364c44c6494","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0812355397},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"73c5b09389955ec9b505cee80c1b4619a708e85c499edd95ceda3364c44c6494","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0825213472},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"73c5b09389955ec9b505cee80c1b4619a708e85c499edd95ceda3364c44c6494","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0820436001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"781ac2bd844eaa20335c82864fd56dbcadc64052f5842c7ad9d76be8f8cc51a4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557761669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"781ac2bd844eaa20335c82864fd56dbcadc64052f5842c7ad9d76be8f8cc51a4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566759207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"781ac2bd844eaa20335c82864fd56dbcadc64052f5842c7ad9d76be8f8cc51a4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0585251258},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"781ac2bd844eaa20335c82864fd56dbcadc64052f5842c7ad9d76be8f8cc51a4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609816857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7b22d178be713b7564ebe8fb1ae33270d26df6856613e85c58e30ff73467ed10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0788740268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7b22d178be713b7564ebe8fb1ae33270d26df6856613e85c58e30ff73467ed10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789490105},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7b22d178be713b7564ebe8fb1ae33270d26df6856613e85c58e30ff73467ed10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0790582149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7b22d178be713b7564ebe8fb1ae33270d26df6856613e85c58e30ff73467ed10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0792744849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7cbbd2fd74733ef99b47f7402fa72e4e07b1e34143a67289b4cfe7bfc1dc2a0c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045319211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7cbbd2fd74733ef99b47f7402fa72e4e07b1e34143a67289b4cfe7bfc1dc2a0c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0742267162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7cbbd2fd74733ef99b47f7402fa72e4e07b1e34143a67289b4cfe7bfc1dc2a0c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.079896338},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7cbbd2fd74733ef99b47f7402fa72e4e07b1e34143a67289b4cfe7bfc1dc2a0c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0885123334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7f6734c8944f4e8ae9bfb5029fbe17745a6b9ea42839b1ec065e7cf17733178f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537953949},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7f6734c8944f4e8ae9bfb5029fbe17745a6b9ea42839b1ec065e7cf17733178f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537958618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7f6734c8944f4e8ae9bfb5029fbe17745a6b9ea42839b1ec065e7cf17733178f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538220786},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7f6734c8944f4e8ae9bfb5029fbe17745a6b9ea42839b1ec065e7cf17733178f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053874998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7f95e8c3f3b95faf56c12d75bbd6e99786611f0843533064a472fa8c436d470d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540664515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7f95e8c3f3b95faf56c12d75bbd6e99786611f0843533064a472fa8c436d470d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541053537},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7f95e8c3f3b95faf56c12d75bbd6e99786611f0843533064a472fa8c436d470d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542210748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"7f95e8c3f3b95faf56c12d75bbd6e99786611f0843533064a472fa8c436d470d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543876269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"92588436e7341860876acf2472a703cb227604d1302dfbd591114a0844c8dee6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1170769381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"92588436e7341860876acf2472a703cb227604d1302dfbd591114a0844c8dee6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1207627797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"92588436e7341860876acf2472a703cb227604d1302dfbd591114a0844c8dee6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1282107045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"92588436e7341860876acf2472a703cb227604d1302dfbd591114a0844c8dee6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1446072879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"93b59c6dc1a9cacc1004322b934ffb6407b27c9a23b6d92d4702c5db0e4396f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0774825635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"93b59c6dc1a9cacc1004322b934ffb6407b27c9a23b6d92d4702c5db0e4396f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0745366398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"93b59c6dc1a9cacc1004322b934ffb6407b27c9a23b6d92d4702c5db0e4396f0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0722936429},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"93b59c6dc1a9cacc1004322b934ffb6407b27c9a23b6d92d4702c5db0e4396f0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0715955257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"986f8445ffb15ef64918a02c423b550eb199c6576e6371369e6b6c089c76314e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563824432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"986f8445ffb15ef64918a02c423b550eb199c6576e6371369e6b6c089c76314e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576684507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"986f8445ffb15ef64918a02c423b550eb199c6576e6371369e6b6c089c76314e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9371170633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"986f8445ffb15ef64918a02c423b550eb199c6576e6371369e6b6c089c76314e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637413279},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"9a87eea9a86ffb332bb548a138f6ea3119e2497ce1488231c3c7794a6c37eea3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681938081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"9a87eea9a86ffb332bb548a138f6ea3119e2497ce1488231c3c7794a6c37eea3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0685839179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"9a87eea9a86ffb332bb548a138f6ea3119e2497ce1488231c3c7794a6c37eea3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0697747184},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"9a87eea9a86ffb332bb548a138f6ea3119e2497ce1488231c3c7794a6c37eea3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0709730442},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541603464},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542212427},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544304385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546476434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"9b15d6c3f547d32fc4a0c2945a425d9c5c4627697271790821565ede2400df39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0559948872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"9b15d6c3f547d32fc4a0c2945a425d9c5c4627697271790821565ede2400df39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9966038852},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"9b15d6c3f547d32fc4a0c2945a425d9c5c4627697271790821565ede2400df39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.057444776},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"9b15d6c3f547d32fc4a0c2945a425d9c5c4627697271790821565ede2400df39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0582336901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"a4d69b6c4e9f70800545d19e4c672379f3b05bd110a45a30472dbca6c0187635","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665099757},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"a4d69b6c4e9f70800545d19e4c672379f3b05bd110a45a30472dbca6c0187635","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540856147},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"a4d69b6c4e9f70800545d19e4c672379f3b05bd110a45a30472dbca6c0187635","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542821884},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"a4d69b6c4e9f70800545d19e4c672379f3b05bd110a45a30472dbca6c0187635","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545486209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"ab22fb0470d0b76500e83a533b7ea7d266fd8812dea7e752a61f561c09c82905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550100083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"ab22fb0470d0b76500e83a533b7ea7d266fd8812dea7e752a61f561c09c82905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548140615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"ab22fb0470d0b76500e83a533b7ea7d266fd8812dea7e752a61f561c09c82905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551693496},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"ab22fb0470d0b76500e83a533b7ea7d266fd8812dea7e752a61f561c09c82905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0671872086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"ac347d4fd5553ae079912547f5317e0888a6e243c528223cfa8fa601897be215","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543052294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"ac347d4fd5553ae079912547f5317e0888a6e243c528223cfa8fa601897be215","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543458409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"ac347d4fd5553ae079912547f5317e0888a6e243c528223cfa8fa601897be215","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544773108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"ac347d4fd5553ae079912547f5317e0888a6e243c528223cfa8fa601897be215","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546709418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"affb330f45d0ddeeffad1c984daa3750c7a722ad40856a4e5a25668a790c7962","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625641713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"affb330f45d0ddeeffad1c984daa3750c7a722ad40856a4e5a25668a790c7962","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0646954227},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"affb330f45d0ddeeffad1c984daa3750c7a722ad40856a4e5a25668a790c7962","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679606109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"affb330f45d0ddeeffad1c984daa3750c7a722ad40856a4e5a25668a790c7962","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0723159284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"b7bb61bfcef3f3492301b52353a9e3c6ef8adbc1d1f1fa9be49332e693e1ba4f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1474091774},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"b7bb61bfcef3f3492301b52353a9e3c6ef8adbc1d1f1fa9be49332e693e1ba4f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.163334763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"b7bb61bfcef3f3492301b52353a9e3c6ef8adbc1d1f1fa9be49332e693e1ba4f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1749340278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"b7bb61bfcef3f3492301b52353a9e3c6ef8adbc1d1f1fa9be49332e693e1ba4f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1849588671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"c661b5839b0b2fc0d1430828f37e5688123b75f4ef7c9382ea0d061c73dcd378","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0664814763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"c661b5839b0b2fc0d1430828f37e5688123b75f4ef7c9382ea0d061c73dcd378","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0682329208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"c661b5839b0b2fc0d1430828f37e5688123b75f4ef7c9382ea0d061c73dcd378","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652443019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"c661b5839b0b2fc0d1430828f37e5688123b75f4ef7c9382ea0d061c73dcd378","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0670380531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"cd45e95c756cafb484a95658b120d2e9efa6215fc3239e2a0e2523f9dc8faacb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539327861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"cd45e95c756cafb484a95658b120d2e9efa6215fc3239e2a0e2523f9dc8faacb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539619109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"cd45e95c756cafb484a95658b120d2e9efa6215fc3239e2a0e2523f9dc8faacb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540292944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"cd45e95c756cafb484a95658b120d2e9efa6215fc3239e2a0e2523f9dc8faacb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541436633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"d057dec75c310bd602515df56ba35332a3a77098702b8ab0b7014ec0a0c608b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0686407871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"d057dec75c310bd602515df56ba35332a3a77098702b8ab0b7014ec0a0c608b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0721936914},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"d057dec75c310bd602515df56ba35332a3a77098702b8ab0b7014ec0a0c608b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0734723498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"d057dec75c310bd602515df56ba35332a3a77098702b8ab0b7014ec0a0c608b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0769919098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"d0ef740071778a8cd8bafbd03b462ba3467d3ce9ba2acdf25c6379fb811d2711","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3714697335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"d0ef740071778a8cd8bafbd03b462ba3467d3ce9ba2acdf25c6379fb811d2711","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3426963714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"d0ef740071778a8cd8bafbd03b462ba3467d3ce9ba2acdf25c6379fb811d2711","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3636226529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"d0ef740071778a8cd8bafbd03b462ba3467d3ce9ba2acdf25c6379fb811d2711","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3594410662},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"d32c5edd9ce760224ce47a5499466da2669bdf923a3ec871d2f015042cbcdfd4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2612007506},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"d32c5edd9ce760224ce47a5499466da2669bdf923a3ec871d2f015042cbcdfd4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2726906776},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"d32c5edd9ce760224ce47a5499466da2669bdf923a3ec871d2f015042cbcdfd4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3577250563},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"d32c5edd9ce760224ce47a5499466da2669bdf923a3ec871d2f015042cbcdfd4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2778963509},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"dc6a414ef937290e4d65a6b916ef571c8a8a4c93686414610c5f76e39d2b907e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1006711863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"dc6a414ef937290e4d65a6b916ef571c8a8a4c93686414610c5f76e39d2b907e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983413164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"dc6a414ef937290e4d65a6b916ef571c8a8a4c93686414610c5f76e39d2b907e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0969352627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"dc6a414ef937290e4d65a6b916ef571c8a8a4c93686414610c5f76e39d2b907e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965378942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"dd53143c695a626b216c30499a9bc69c66da8b1b8822ba86860fa9af29251676","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3624455333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"dd53143c695a626b216c30499a9bc69c66da8b1b8822ba86860fa9af29251676","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3626337625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"dd53143c695a626b216c30499a9bc69c66da8b1b8822ba86860fa9af29251676","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3977226248},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"dd53143c695a626b216c30499a9bc69c66da8b1b8822ba86860fa9af29251676","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3580962152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"e431aa63463af7737cc8c294491d1f06b4ead070fde995309fce29e752c91a10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3102493163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"e431aa63463af7737cc8c294491d1f06b4ead070fde995309fce29e752c91a10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2997668777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"e431aa63463af7737cc8c294491d1f06b4ead070fde995309fce29e752c91a10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3081145529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"e431aa63463af7737cc8c294491d1f06b4ead070fde995309fce29e752c91a10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3097965665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"e8ddc319e13816019564dec167fa4dfefec2f2b3ab6bbd4959eda051239c8005","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301615102},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"e8ddc319e13816019564dec167fa4dfefec2f2b3ab6bbd4959eda051239c8005","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3293414511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"e8ddc319e13816019564dec167fa4dfefec2f2b3ab6bbd4959eda051239c8005","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.292552927},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"e8ddc319e13816019564dec167fa4dfefec2f2b3ab6bbd4959eda051239c8005","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3088016767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"ec8fd3ac5400f902a068d0ee5553565016604fc02e0399d9e6b67e4dc191bd2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0558124689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"ec8fd3ac5400f902a068d0ee5553565016604fc02e0399d9e6b67e4dc191bd2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0564209015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"ec8fd3ac5400f902a068d0ee5553565016604fc02e0399d9e6b67e4dc191bd2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576691633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"ec8fd3ac5400f902a068d0ee5553565016604fc02e0399d9e6b67e4dc191bd2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.058999266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054015386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541317671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544032125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549605353},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"f3bc25088c7a0aa5d788643719f4c1ad5ed2eddde7579ea005bacd2bb86b3435","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656188879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"f3bc25088c7a0aa5d788643719f4c1ad5ed2eddde7579ea005bacd2bb86b3435","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0664449784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"f3bc25088c7a0aa5d788643719f4c1ad5ed2eddde7579ea005bacd2bb86b3435","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668257967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"f3bc25088c7a0aa5d788643719f4c1ad5ed2eddde7579ea005bacd2bb86b3435","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676224699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"f4f3220042ae378be5bfdfc48b147bb93bdf7bac9e495194c6052503106bdb9e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0686661903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"f4f3220042ae378be5bfdfc48b147bb93bdf7bac9e495194c6052503106bdb9e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0691694545},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"f4f3220042ae378be5bfdfc48b147bb93bdf7bac9e495194c6052503106bdb9e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704123888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"acled","id":"f4f3220042ae378be5bfdfc48b147bb93bdf7bac9e495194c6052503106bdb9e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0726384921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4147102851},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4824572093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0902927434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0682196822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.431462036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.500887094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0800603971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043756259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3344032997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0880602402},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576747505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3779175899},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4444881937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0826176326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573070908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4407635698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5301934546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0792000764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0667019499},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3756992649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2551253109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.125825152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1035460678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3459231964},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2379980872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1014482159},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0691536782},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3244805566},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3786251551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0921050721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0683986119},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3739041607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.432259888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0920513447},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0674099214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4164913108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4959329056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0808722272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665848629},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4342669346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5218714981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677706592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551261324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3796488273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.239507919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0897942508},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0671685482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3017461633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2505729452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1090426468},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0926959699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3552090861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2285330886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0934295743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.083425947},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4177714045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4784742806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701138345},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546374865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3749867537},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4493287334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1096210695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0936720618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3933851235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2243532408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0716526248},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055292414},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2324331434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1679968036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0669786692},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556361264},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.409295942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5041710988},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0876676001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0689096553},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3889880038},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4588687426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0880383064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0675648043},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4842438458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1874617499},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111971135},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0619902219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3834129705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4456738595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1016250651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0691858247},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4086806108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2112745403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0752370509},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543401195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4256839907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4938585104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0934589087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4427862002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5186837134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867030882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677848299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4169159483},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4907907338},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0985743858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0794074422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3883786015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4847237806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0950753563},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0796896609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4174413819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2044096857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0959220333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0832281189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3786623619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0819829548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551610785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4192047313},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1651103131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0829417006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0675360075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4746609466},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5770944106},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.079119287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679660103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3673307571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4636832051},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0757855433},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0653800463},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3731394831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4463550262},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0696781701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553211108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3745676134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1835149037},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0740126899},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.057467073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3858566055},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2063246265},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0760374656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560510799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3532567467},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3633506331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3740044527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1806241049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.300353242},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3181506409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2347098856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2920885284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3115104237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2183616969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2330300718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3028055735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2930121697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5169106284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1948531515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205435296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3073325574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4923306075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1755626888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165718815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3256196567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4902291148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1741092773},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3413823168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3733636143},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.323800015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2223262577},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3693199717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3970618981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1410828758},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1275581074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2588560175},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2776201315},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4774789107},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1208425014},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.356697017},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3886148644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.639665726},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0737627176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3389394646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3632311489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1374784583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093570523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3168429309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2850788837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2062520343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2106369445},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3035913236},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798807683},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2057668048},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2335832356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3088566877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901831983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2803691222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2726875137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3105796612},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791011072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2603572307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3904076346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3064564118},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2756388408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440544535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2167528679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3068592544},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3269633501},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2726732574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2652495627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3206533518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2630424199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2373973103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2154689785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3130116209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.326706115},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2762941452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.267646546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3180386907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676455087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2419496545},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4208601764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2975675965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2788728351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2598960163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2473738888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.317467626},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2744783461},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2556639641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2423758384},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2972935484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2860082206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2546937713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4049438195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2622430416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2325823731},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2018098573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1778149258},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2656970386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2376296265},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2024627204},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1716535624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.323712486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3457489903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.375368252},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4098651687},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2567196194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2155421482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1752177525},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1461050707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3068634493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2923473189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3335832669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3628816466},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2892578408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2697778132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2516434159},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2285602007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138356297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3328142587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3530907335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2591046317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127089073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3206711174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3355519342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3510821821},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.300625874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3016177925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123282243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.315719229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0673854332},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0764656756},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047043093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1539854882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2941345032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3273210521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3425561587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2710291265},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3066791549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3173674681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2894100445},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2874079396},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3484748388},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2830503169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2945618203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306466345},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.296462903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3149381938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3079840195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2931099099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2922050653},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891029269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653773947},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2975693514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3303543365},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330526594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3268705983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3239827796},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.355223385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3376531022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3192308936},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3089230628},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3054758308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3071125517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123330304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.301374071},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1179428776},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1206423217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1361430957},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5926146297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3353443881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3269095417},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.321089823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3160845534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3193493493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2987540143},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2907806773},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2759142078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2536585393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2332500552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3019655808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2580880802},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1830624393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1494623377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676406825},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0674338634},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0741731008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3007186573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3009081328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2971159571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3060435626},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3107072721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3296064162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707613628},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2620888439},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2932332575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2926006666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301002074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3428681942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3020005877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146604036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2911327831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835077411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.297260752},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3319930342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772150089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2571854373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.262799148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3756739984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859457259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903812434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3322743798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2637945935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2493971434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2730833625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.23675164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.197545341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1658909743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3039100362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2735924228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2452654771},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2282307141},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4169974981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4006724108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3668058892},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3214056603},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2855502308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2745655642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2658279006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2580815243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2573325615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.248442595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2432594103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2493280237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.291084908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306072457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3044276155},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2996749953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3090428153},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3351515074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3418381395},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3693755967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2950340121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3292568516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3204437944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2699261268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.125801412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.128709407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1365858619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1517211103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1181237046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1540408834},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1940437057},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2178626348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987802988},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.098805969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989335538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992036669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988965354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989390082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990498434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993432384},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1114089471},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1114958875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111702966},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1122397046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768469671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7802051608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1203003277},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5696066879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045884523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057147775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1094686116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1163980939},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1114040007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989460319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990764805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993976909},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0828967056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8110060356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7444434103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1095338542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989252452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989763901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991599782},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995036912},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543614171},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555296877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0593732619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0692795643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"400645f89b7f8e0ea2c080c5b3dfa0e304b97fe03c04ce97ec60e1e9903281d6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989104949},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"400645f89b7f8e0ea2c080c5b3dfa0e304b97fe03c04ce97ec60e1e9903281d6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989810871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"400645f89b7f8e0ea2c080c5b3dfa0e304b97fe03c04ce97ec60e1e9903281d6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991403069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"400645f89b7f8e0ea2c080c5b3dfa0e304b97fe03c04ce97ec60e1e9903281d6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0996051069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989505774},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990550174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994800308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005551992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0828468111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1111285777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1332811233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1627157919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944530984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1250848859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6234413535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5233774163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111410197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1114558419},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1117206641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1122731134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0626498488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0672044442},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0774035642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029994783},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105736892},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262331542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1582283593},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2060580601},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0946204567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110863607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1421901363},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1751214877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0687711953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0815190339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1104629874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1454781492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555876813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0569139843},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9525706511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9052309961},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989054449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989622761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991186088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995107154},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.098900483},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989267801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990581655},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099351683},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989609763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993256374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1007544396},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041337027},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987754003},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09880086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988679876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989694563},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988053935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989013455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991013747},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995936682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989056454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989950085},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992826891},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1000299823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988015075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988307432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989841882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992260514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542964743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056574172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650713805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0817480329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1114051975},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1114720401},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1116989665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1122598603},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989206308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990076711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992821922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1000254703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0909559127},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1004447614},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1259169392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1564385576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.153740607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1432226239},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1458062481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1500857615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989001815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989252382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990357455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992824822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0826167013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022741037},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1276044905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5713976716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989115818},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989866749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992450068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0997762355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.113678607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1837330398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5260376083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4059109176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1146782344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1322212408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1586533122},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1827356441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545758934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0558894478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613895885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0761936983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1013622923},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042143437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1349082869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1963449149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0850714647},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7179213488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1346409727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.559408911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1317612917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1518190694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1915746648},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2466085673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042193932},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1140032592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5954799146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.198828861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"d9367995f33b1ce8276658ff68100030ed007cedfdc0e29cc1e70868ac7c2a5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989103324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"d9367995f33b1ce8276658ff68100030ed007cedfdc0e29cc1e70868ac7c2a5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989360885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"d9367995f33b1ce8276658ff68100030ed007cedfdc0e29cc1e70868ac7c2a5b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991359829},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"d9367995f33b1ce8276658ff68100030ed007cedfdc0e29cc1e70868ac7c2a5b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994885878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0999399173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050405022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1156943218},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1319375222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1112738646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988006215},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989120422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991635688},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1001119331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1288107776},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5585214995},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4685542036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0759425261},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0843265472},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1013496611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1175128703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989015424},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989609738},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991593518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995963064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3191453893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3426552128},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3703439762},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4023655627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.318072443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753065223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25753654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2391376323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ALLE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2886474945},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ALLE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3333682549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ALLE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3582331741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ALLE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3840913824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2917748062},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714470284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2444576731},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2222203123},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"APTV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3117878948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"APTV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2839585619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"APTV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3417737457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"APTV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3608716917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3168102192},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2727071139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3636469089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2334074198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3186855793},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3386623866},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3675119309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3984790805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3088782737},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3233699332},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3412261709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2597620268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CAG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2950006755},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CAG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.283782382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CAG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3466826638},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CAG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3657445435},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3159467397},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2790737639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2579358827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2397854375},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3139887925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.282692122},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2637751517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3708115459},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2949425874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2755477592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2556222573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2392694934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924060189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2758641051},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2520007644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.23367115},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2928894115},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2804329488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618720623},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2462469812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3135611412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2801695993},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2633821245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2470458125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286874775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3410887095},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3727452121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4048905848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916167983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2721346386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2519539567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.230692329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205208249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2687184534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2465639674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2253441104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2920857122},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2760382045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2621455064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.246933498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867399071},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33685031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3618330149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3903999937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131157676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2809420202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2648678627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.247897381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2919806938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2735172463},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2568034793},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2402694967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2969897968},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3240351513},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3415825696},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3631873745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3158186769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2781952265},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2612357868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2439152942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3206935973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3346411308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3618804129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2348502463},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3161516875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3345194291},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3613020341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3888436849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2929068138},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27802551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3541375878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3755819013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3116816721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3292997588},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3591230268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3841655871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"IVZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312569186},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"IVZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3255886863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"IVZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3477841339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"IVZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2480262403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3143749205},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2803966717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26073312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.243591782},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155518044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2797318166},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2610036417},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2446568487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2899876514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2727284171},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2495085672},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2286136286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3162444951},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724301794},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3734026572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4048100013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3213815031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2730444165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2533202611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2336069497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2914405632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2761200346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2588102666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2402996301},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3166489651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2764963198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3508285644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3708349894},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3154474484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.276655408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3545341524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3836150502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3162100676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3329138762},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3565382745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2413352137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2937051081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2819203065},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2611559922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2444486083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3185284005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3336974905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3590623431},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3855740204},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2964034314},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2812125489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.264810574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2507553229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226387101},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2685549804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2468896926},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2254163721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3196303108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.34433064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3787455774},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4160200308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"STX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2908178958},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"STX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2784855299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"STX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2629702604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"STX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2489281822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3048058367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.318694223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.343023472},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2760609665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2904937315},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2719407036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3698504564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4043613254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3210139857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3401489065},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3668220019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3990245687},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"VST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3179497407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"VST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2771521611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"VST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3544273013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"VST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3774790088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"WBD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3095785526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"WBD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2869273591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"WBD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3384891812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"yfinance","id":"WBD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.355609863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1197283708},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1066467663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1103772827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1144261635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504742957},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505743051},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0507169479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509727553},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0506077041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0507528945},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510665428},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516211041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"36687d3bebf951b40778ba2f114cc2a1d58b1e17c2e6d69e851e1ed1d16f5855","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2802908908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"36687d3bebf951b40778ba2f114cc2a1d58b1e17c2e6d69e851e1ed1d16f5855","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2801327751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"36687d3bebf951b40778ba2f114cc2a1d58b1e17c2e6d69e851e1ed1d16f5855","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3245131479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"36687d3bebf951b40778ba2f114cc2a1d58b1e17c2e6d69e851e1ed1d16f5855","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2664767015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"3925914cc1615760721c4a0c88f5913cdee37adea9dfb7d96127d643dcd25d5c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1167865663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"3925914cc1615760721c4a0c88f5913cdee37adea9dfb7d96127d643dcd25d5c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1256027142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"3925914cc1615760721c4a0c88f5913cdee37adea9dfb7d96127d643dcd25d5c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1344016641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"3925914cc1615760721c4a0c88f5913cdee37adea9dfb7d96127d643dcd25d5c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1496407607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"395a02a6c980bcefb445c203100b509005c77df155d8e83e55ebb5e702ff39c3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1247109472},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"395a02a6c980bcefb445c203100b509005c77df155d8e83e55ebb5e702ff39c3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1814568045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"395a02a6c980bcefb445c203100b509005c77df155d8e83e55ebb5e702ff39c3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.613070228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"395a02a6c980bcefb445c203100b509005c77df155d8e83e55ebb5e702ff39c3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1620467074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"458f65f2a56cbb1afbe5bfc238af62b42cc9c2e423f5d1bfeb34792f7fc5a601","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0580721324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"458f65f2a56cbb1afbe5bfc238af62b42cc9c2e423f5d1bfeb34792f7fc5a601","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.059220804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"458f65f2a56cbb1afbe5bfc238af62b42cc9c2e423f5d1bfeb34792f7fc5a601","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0613480329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"458f65f2a56cbb1afbe5bfc238af62b42cc9c2e423f5d1bfeb34792f7fc5a601","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641303219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"4702616e60cebe34795f35986ddf402e41abb78c19636d1c27274d77eee1d087","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1286990348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"4702616e60cebe34795f35986ddf402e41abb78c19636d1c27274d77eee1d087","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0861845868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"4702616e60cebe34795f35986ddf402e41abb78c19636d1c27274d77eee1d087","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0981162532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"4702616e60cebe34795f35986ddf402e41abb78c19636d1c27274d77eee1d087","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1122018788},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"4703bb3b6388a56387e7e4a2b489a02f2374fe7a0173ddaa3ace4a6fbc9640f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505727786},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"4703bb3b6388a56387e7e4a2b489a02f2374fe7a0173ddaa3ace4a6fbc9640f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0508727511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"4703bb3b6388a56387e7e4a2b489a02f2374fe7a0173ddaa3ace4a6fbc9640f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"4703bb3b6388a56387e7e4a2b489a02f2374fe7a0173ddaa3ace4a6fbc9640f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521061726},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"49dba3f6f7c5ca3332d34d40c12fc0db07347519a039307af49daea8798947f3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0680780113},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"49dba3f6f7c5ca3332d34d40c12fc0db07347519a039307af49daea8798947f3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0684617038},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"49dba3f6f7c5ca3332d34d40c12fc0db07347519a039307af49daea8798947f3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0692344254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"49dba3f6f7c5ca3332d34d40c12fc0db07347519a039307af49daea8798947f3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701319571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"4e10a3c05f70a996732f487f628cb9dc96919fd86c76bf59021c3c0e2e2b8afd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0698604821},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"4e10a3c05f70a996732f487f628cb9dc96919fd86c76bf59021c3c0e2e2b8afd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0707437987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"4e10a3c05f70a996732f487f628cb9dc96919fd86c76bf59021c3c0e2e2b8afd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0723204758},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"4e10a3c05f70a996732f487f628cb9dc96919fd86c76bf59021c3c0e2e2b8afd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0745640917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"59fa135737750b8dd3be792b42d9890b340e83caf37d9e783863a6fcdab164c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677176556},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"59fa135737750b8dd3be792b42d9890b340e83caf37d9e783863a6fcdab164c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0683394814},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"59fa135737750b8dd3be792b42d9890b340e83caf37d9e783863a6fcdab164c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0694064355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"59fa135737750b8dd3be792b42d9890b340e83caf37d9e783863a6fcdab164c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0713058832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511477864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051813512},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531695604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546694754},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"6ba82a24a777f0f1b9671c1f9c5b23fafffd492c2ee37ce547bc6ed4cb6b9ebc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542726531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"6ba82a24a777f0f1b9671c1f9c5b23fafffd492c2ee37ce547bc6ed4cb6b9ebc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539841193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"6ba82a24a777f0f1b9671c1f9c5b23fafffd492c2ee37ce547bc6ed4cb6b9ebc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543082998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"6ba82a24a777f0f1b9671c1f9c5b23fafffd492c2ee37ce547bc6ed4cb6b9ebc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544314027},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"72c23ee50a06b5c9d1ef531ec24753df8961997d3b62956b0280a31c4b0ab554","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3034003744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"72c23ee50a06b5c9d1ef531ec24753df8961997d3b62956b0280a31c4b0ab554","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2955707162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"72c23ee50a06b5c9d1ef531ec24753df8961997d3b62956b0280a31c4b0ab554","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906156034},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"72c23ee50a06b5c9d1ef531ec24753df8961997d3b62956b0280a31c4b0ab554","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2855928981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"7922d89fec0da62c9041945b60d6b0aed454cc352970398a484e2294ee6dda46","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504466487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"7922d89fec0da62c9041945b60d6b0aed454cc352970398a484e2294ee6dda46","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505880329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"7922d89fec0da62c9041945b60d6b0aed454cc352970398a484e2294ee6dda46","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050933261},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"7922d89fec0da62c9041945b60d6b0aed454cc352970398a484e2294ee6dda46","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.05153846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"81daa5ae248e809e0220f6ab533ab1c210f69c854945ec1888b0f87a68982397","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0507861043},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"81daa5ae248e809e0220f6ab533ab1c210f69c854945ec1888b0f87a68982397","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509598907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"81daa5ae248e809e0220f6ab533ab1c210f69c854945ec1888b0f87a68982397","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512885733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"81daa5ae248e809e0220f6ab533ab1c210f69c854945ec1888b0f87a68982397","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520079002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"858e212927541060b0462a16825846f1d3370e65b886ea2fa69ae7b9d0747a8e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0693308206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"858e212927541060b0462a16825846f1d3370e65b886ea2fa69ae7b9d0747a8e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821381724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"858e212927541060b0462a16825846f1d3370e65b886ea2fa69ae7b9d0747a8e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784387859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"858e212927541060b0462a16825846f1d3370e65b886ea2fa69ae7b9d0747a8e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0782788038},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"866a5b402fecb18b7986e8af71a9afe6bf5c063184aa80786ea034dbbef7a512","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3255384333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"866a5b402fecb18b7986e8af71a9afe6bf5c063184aa80786ea034dbbef7a512","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.288579231},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"866a5b402fecb18b7986e8af71a9afe6bf5c063184aa80786ea034dbbef7a512","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3062019279},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"866a5b402fecb18b7986e8af71a9afe6bf5c063184aa80786ea034dbbef7a512","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921055035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0728748745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0731031823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0745129581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0777499296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"8874a023aa61d69330babc004208ae1977c6cb54c4bebb2c92e09017b4a0e53c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636315103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"8874a023aa61d69330babc004208ae1977c6cb54c4bebb2c92e09017b4a0e53c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656624867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"8874a023aa61d69330babc004208ae1977c6cb54c4bebb2c92e09017b4a0e53c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0693587509},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"8874a023aa61d69330babc004208ae1977c6cb54c4bebb2c92e09017b4a0e53c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0753330991},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"88f4bdfc91c03430eb4835f2ebb2a1fab70367da6965ce5c825edcda36194bb8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165923665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"88f4bdfc91c03430eb4835f2ebb2a1fab70367da6965ce5c825edcda36194bb8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2815533497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"88f4bdfc91c03430eb4835f2ebb2a1fab70367da6965ce5c825edcda36194bb8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3505922995},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"88f4bdfc91c03430eb4835f2ebb2a1fab70367da6965ce5c825edcda36194bb8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3800100781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"8b56675445d40bd91c56891f00ec8aacc9d6106c9e1535a046d4d085b8c3dc20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056665439},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"8b56675445d40bd91c56891f00ec8aacc9d6106c9e1535a046d4d085b8c3dc20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0586744724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"8b56675445d40bd91c56891f00ec8aacc9d6106c9e1535a046d4d085b8c3dc20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620574409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"8b56675445d40bd91c56891f00ec8aacc9d6106c9e1535a046d4d085b8c3dc20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651267165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"8c78cf46f01e1f9ebf6b20b1a84836184bc3beafd8b343f0c4e2e334e6d3f1ad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915933156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"8c78cf46f01e1f9ebf6b20b1a84836184bc3beafd8b343f0c4e2e334e6d3f1ad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975598487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"8c78cf46f01e1f9ebf6b20b1a84836184bc3beafd8b343f0c4e2e334e6d3f1ad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1054115044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"8c78cf46f01e1f9ebf6b20b1a84836184bc3beafd8b343f0c4e2e334e6d3f1ad","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1096918926},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"90fbd7e4a651b7b4579a095a7e9ec9352d772d9bc865e1b53b9cf63d26444b38","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.222737857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"90fbd7e4a651b7b4579a095a7e9ec9352d772d9bc865e1b53b9cf63d26444b38","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2266172234},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"90fbd7e4a651b7b4579a095a7e9ec9352d772d9bc865e1b53b9cf63d26444b38","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4081515992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"90fbd7e4a651b7b4579a095a7e9ec9352d772d9bc865e1b53b9cf63d26444b38","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3942048248},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0697840373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0712722536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0738654305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0773773712},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"99dcc6f0d10b2c69f6a3c24415f4a480567edd3fdb2a54de50caf5ef91c17280","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3100718287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"99dcc6f0d10b2c69f6a3c24415f4a480567edd3fdb2a54de50caf5ef91c17280","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3188225839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"99dcc6f0d10b2c69f6a3c24415f4a480567edd3fdb2a54de50caf5ef91c17280","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3577035714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"99dcc6f0d10b2c69f6a3c24415f4a480567edd3fdb2a54de50caf5ef91c17280","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903007053},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"9a910d59a8a362d4a7a1abaefcea0d9c7dfc754b16b45705bbe0782e87a35481","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512076403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"9a910d59a8a362d4a7a1abaefcea0d9c7dfc754b16b45705bbe0782e87a35481","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514816764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"9a910d59a8a362d4a7a1abaefcea0d9c7dfc754b16b45705bbe0782e87a35481","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520403026},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"9a910d59a8a362d4a7a1abaefcea0d9c7dfc754b16b45705bbe0782e87a35481","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527628318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"9ee79c34058bf67436b96f8a4448fd8252ada80c18363ef7e5977692bdba7714","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520058098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"9ee79c34058bf67436b96f8a4448fd8252ada80c18363ef7e5977692bdba7714","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053011834},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"9ee79c34058bf67436b96f8a4448fd8252ada80c18363ef7e5977692bdba7714","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549133488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"9ee79c34058bf67436b96f8a4448fd8252ada80c18363ef7e5977692bdba7714","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0570669248},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"a28b2d1a63257b23fd2bb19e192d2901b2a972fea6043c240edd9395c29a2e46","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504266176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"a28b2d1a63257b23fd2bb19e192d2901b2a972fea6043c240edd9395c29a2e46","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504286734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"a28b2d1a63257b23fd2bb19e192d2901b2a972fea6043c240edd9395c29a2e46","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050453498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"a28b2d1a63257b23fd2bb19e192d2901b2a972fea6043c240edd9395c29a2e46","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504945394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"a3ed691a6894bc4df158e723ec8af38d6a76bf6c1691e52dfcd0c7f45678e514","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4416321237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"a3ed691a6894bc4df158e723ec8af38d6a76bf6c1691e52dfcd0c7f45678e514","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4148094551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"a3ed691a6894bc4df158e723ec8af38d6a76bf6c1691e52dfcd0c7f45678e514","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3582584427},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"a3ed691a6894bc4df158e723ec8af38d6a76bf6c1691e52dfcd0c7f45678e514","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4005505155},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"a5366c3e302d9d95bb7c300127d7cfe784b1e19377165beaaf4d10251c5926ad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2671116305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"a5366c3e302d9d95bb7c300127d7cfe784b1e19377165beaaf4d10251c5926ad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2451950136},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"a5366c3e302d9d95bb7c300127d7cfe784b1e19377165beaaf4d10251c5926ad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2385667544},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"a5366c3e302d9d95bb7c300127d7cfe784b1e19377165beaaf4d10251c5926ad","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2462402301},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b060a47d1a901e049b86fbd919462dc0c07339380d89770f1ea6097b6dbfd25d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0506075741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b060a47d1a901e049b86fbd919462dc0c07339380d89770f1ea6097b6dbfd25d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0507161173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b060a47d1a901e049b86fbd919462dc0c07339380d89770f1ea6097b6dbfd25d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050986797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b060a47d1a901e049b86fbd919462dc0c07339380d89770f1ea6097b6dbfd25d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513079538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b1f34345e780ed887155b55c13cf66dad7385e372d0ccc2a1b491a9d65a25d4d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504461868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b1f34345e780ed887155b55c13cf66dad7385e372d0ccc2a1b491a9d65a25d4d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505132513},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b1f34345e780ed887155b55c13cf66dad7385e372d0ccc2a1b491a9d65a25d4d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0506076754},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b1f34345e780ed887155b55c13cf66dad7385e372d0ccc2a1b491a9d65a25d4d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0508062972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b2d9e949a3c4b561a37e2ac0cd55f373886141fd1aa1a8b5ae31769657008391","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662363027},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b2d9e949a3c4b561a37e2ac0cd55f373886141fd1aa1a8b5ae31769657008391","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0671114694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b2d9e949a3c4b561a37e2ac0cd55f373886141fd1aa1a8b5ae31769657008391","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0655421135},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b2d9e949a3c4b561a37e2ac0cd55f373886141fd1aa1a8b5ae31769657008391","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676712788},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b4524a202a4a31343ac57ba108b78fdf8d4429950b8ddce5d7ac4bcc32ad6f8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676247447},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b4524a202a4a31343ac57ba108b78fdf8d4429950b8ddce5d7ac4bcc32ad6f8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0684313045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b4524a202a4a31343ac57ba108b78fdf8d4429950b8ddce5d7ac4bcc32ad6f8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0682214613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b4524a202a4a31343ac57ba108b78fdf8d4429950b8ddce5d7ac4bcc32ad6f8b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0684121067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b63ddda26aec0213826adaef41168da6571da7967d268409774a1dc175a2ac43","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054267561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b63ddda26aec0213826adaef41168da6571da7967d268409774a1dc175a2ac43","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0558259908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b63ddda26aec0213826adaef41168da6571da7967d268409774a1dc175a2ac43","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0587926725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"b63ddda26aec0213826adaef41168da6571da7967d268409774a1dc175a2ac43","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625194746},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"bf094b9e3225ea213e7ae6360fe70ee1647b75434ed0dce549a669d7f4e7f239","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3507053536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"bf094b9e3225ea213e7ae6360fe70ee1647b75434ed0dce549a669d7f4e7f239","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2747587091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"bf094b9e3225ea213e7ae6360fe70ee1647b75434ed0dce549a669d7f4e7f239","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2569536993},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"bf094b9e3225ea213e7ae6360fe70ee1647b75434ed0dce549a669d7f4e7f239","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2477571272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"bf20dee9de8bc31a7d6d1f25098298cfa844d267c0c4b9a9cab993f593e63c5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511476371},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"bf20dee9de8bc31a7d6d1f25098298cfa844d267c0c4b9a9cab993f593e63c5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516494485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"bf20dee9de8bc31a7d6d1f25098298cfa844d267c0c4b9a9cab993f593e63c5b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525196859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"bf20dee9de8bc31a7d6d1f25098298cfa844d267c0c4b9a9cab993f593e63c5b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543132874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"bfd10ce5aa0a9eb424cb0845571df5066963afe119873ff64e40422bd966633d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515008809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"bfd10ce5aa0a9eb424cb0845571df5066963afe119873ff64e40422bd966633d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520145748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"bfd10ce5aa0a9eb424cb0845571df5066963afe119873ff64e40422bd966633d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535350155},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"bfd10ce5aa0a9eb424cb0845571df5066963afe119873ff64e40422bd966633d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554229745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"c4e0becb3fe93bd312bb9cae26fe5612219922b6e40e1abd8e772a239661bd59","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0837240732},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"c4e0becb3fe93bd312bb9cae26fe5612219922b6e40e1abd8e772a239661bd59","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0673048438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"c4e0becb3fe93bd312bb9cae26fe5612219922b6e40e1abd8e772a239661bd59","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0674675682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"c4e0becb3fe93bd312bb9cae26fe5612219922b6e40e1abd8e772a239661bd59","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676645569},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051989209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532422023},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552326465},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0582859052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"cb737cca335d5f2a43f31c04cc8ba5dae13ec02c624688bc1cfac88764c43cb1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662126858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"cb737cca335d5f2a43f31c04cc8ba5dae13ec02c624688bc1cfac88764c43cb1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0695441801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"cb737cca335d5f2a43f31c04cc8ba5dae13ec02c624688bc1cfac88764c43cb1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0709616217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"cb737cca335d5f2a43f31c04cc8ba5dae13ec02c624688bc1cfac88764c43cb1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704570114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"d01347d0d06143bfd314b1c0f3f5c416d9e815d5c9a1ccec34189131316c048c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4648701936},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"d01347d0d06143bfd314b1c0f3f5c416d9e815d5c9a1ccec34189131316c048c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4568914854},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"d01347d0d06143bfd314b1c0f3f5c416d9e815d5c9a1ccec34189131316c048c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4523042648},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"d01347d0d06143bfd314b1c0f3f5c416d9e815d5c9a1ccec34189131316c048c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1958556624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"d5a15063d443ccf76cea5539dec00008b2c8ef32ef25567d128b1b47a38b6bfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2570022272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"d5a15063d443ccf76cea5539dec00008b2c8ef32ef25567d128b1b47a38b6bfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2620636614},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"d5a15063d443ccf76cea5539dec00008b2c8ef32ef25567d128b1b47a38b6bfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2710236599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"d5a15063d443ccf76cea5539dec00008b2c8ef32ef25567d128b1b47a38b6bfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4137999679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"e431aa63463af7737cc8c294491d1f06b4ead070fde995309fce29e752c91a10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3181492592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"e431aa63463af7737cc8c294491d1f06b4ead070fde995309fce29e752c91a10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2944106459},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"e431aa63463af7737cc8c294491d1f06b4ead070fde995309fce29e752c91a10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155229527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"e431aa63463af7737cc8c294491d1f06b4ead070fde995309fce29e752c91a10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3027043189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"f08272e8551c9790027c5e9a93524507eabc78aa9ac56da6d774e76b1756a557","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701772434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"f08272e8551c9790027c5e9a93524507eabc78aa9ac56da6d774e76b1756a557","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549878765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"f08272e8551c9790027c5e9a93524507eabc78aa9ac56da6d774e76b1756a557","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.057443566},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"f08272e8551c9790027c5e9a93524507eabc78aa9ac56da6d774e76b1756a557","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060330266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"f1eb0a74473dfd4b437cafc242f6ec4608d960b28e274a7dda1b19f2fcb23c28","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1156414943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"f1eb0a74473dfd4b437cafc242f6ec4608d960b28e274a7dda1b19f2fcb23c28","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1196647779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"f1eb0a74473dfd4b437cafc242f6ec4608d960b28e274a7dda1b19f2fcb23c28","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1272906589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"f1eb0a74473dfd4b437cafc242f6ec4608d960b28e274a7dda1b19f2fcb23c28","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1303579827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"f551133a53c309346f0b7da41b8482e42cba39f322cb1b2aef63148868e24e94","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512361625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"f551133a53c309346f0b7da41b8482e42cba39f322cb1b2aef63148868e24e94","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515943225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"f551133a53c309346f0b7da41b8482e42cba39f322cb1b2aef63148868e24e94","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527866698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"f551133a53c309346f0b7da41b8482e42cba39f322cb1b2aef63148868e24e94","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531546447},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"faaeabfcb98f1c0d56b9d78df09baa6e69a75e0e284ab2288f64c4de369dbe0d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509610032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"faaeabfcb98f1c0d56b9d78df09baa6e69a75e0e284ab2288f64c4de369dbe0d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516292005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"faaeabfcb98f1c0d56b9d78df09baa6e69a75e0e284ab2288f64c4de369dbe0d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529418031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"acled","id":"faaeabfcb98f1c0d56b9d78df09baa6e69a75e0e284ab2288f64c4de369dbe0d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544171262},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3326358856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2179417181},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0695876895},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535389691},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3050459658},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.156088354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0619912243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0517224388},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2415576939},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0730566542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055731924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3910641251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2280232884},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701336197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537655438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895212327},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2610185171},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0777586007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0804042329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2709681919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2228609643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1095556862},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1010702563},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155514376},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2188906539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0721295168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0570605088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3341078561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1209049912},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1167719679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3732479962},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2263555336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668098548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053840602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.370856648},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2315054701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811689267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0725501108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2871306243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3111854875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046892082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0757514196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3097573567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2163667995},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0859272493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0753580636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2922426035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2335364691},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645595164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530474907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205992184},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.178561674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0889289009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0785994346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3320988296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1935745661},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627530759},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515491915},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3315966595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1694572478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0653190201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530896193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3036244237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2001793079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681517787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053707217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3604593888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.138092869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0610913249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531889416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.313024583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1981215639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0643848943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515843876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3728454746},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2386513857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0705200903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552153817},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2929295532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.296808116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0841931359},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590356214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3246717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1929426307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0722051259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528006516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.307075277},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2056873482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.079151254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573668746},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3281371889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1955467796},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915487721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0948944133},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2698339097},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0828407489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528957077},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3396994467},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2024862745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681382416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052424027},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2779869241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1588079009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600114456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525073511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3304991062},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1677138972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637257581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055868842},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3956742735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.127144124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0643642924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578400883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.350825341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1512749269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0670741111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568801956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3560238973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1971837478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665999023},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.05576752},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.275323627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1642290093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641976444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053307195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4007436413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1482080485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0587315887},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520224053},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2384442903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1368306239},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0683571795},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.057375207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3942140904},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.398663993},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3183842329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2397546448},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3822954226},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.471272144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106840269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4176258736},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2326938775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3534901641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.267287511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1659591228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1489548374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3489532197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3857422657},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2340536589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2495769478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.362347579},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2443165488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1543420584},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1472440953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2813389423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3401729988},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2458504532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2583276497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.268654825},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3403131491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.229318263},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.298247491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2915189024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.45893034},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2322788573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3411733523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4685375642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0879794556},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0977055657},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3188684291},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3418466104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1754114264},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1354430143},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2183937426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1740712842},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816543737},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2831503982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1508626668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1291517602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2849265991},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2887275469},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1668611026},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1381176487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136440624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4108266954},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.165052494},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1453997214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.34806681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3874366994},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1968317271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4986009397},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921845135},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791869602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3458624477},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2501333746},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903223001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.263915067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2311236594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2097746498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3100095606},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2665650996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3823072096},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4306447374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2953538733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2865328245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724828096},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2594833654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2880169879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2589275633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2362675753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1990423273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.317074997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3402035181},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2482557158},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3941688849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2941712657},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3042277028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2978075711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2978172924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3208615715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.270352311},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2609018167},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2505364953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3163173968},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2692768867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2462967789},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2286031329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3006199188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3143110541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3361646527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3524103135},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220717328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2652142634},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2458351572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3987520434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678994627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0727195857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0997118263},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1436411828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3020362925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3111360799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.282443834},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734799362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3125449981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3062900022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3012402801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3371738404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145014797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3385838356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2525647686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2406925302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2939644203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3055657665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3186699608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3137863314},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3046081236},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2928271989},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.290554913},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868472624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0702589378},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.086722141},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1233920444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1740734865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3028701066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2946641088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289053104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891216018},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1456513178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1522110568},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1789170858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2148533655},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2908051259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3053276151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3031608893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2688748551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2172970622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1641142598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424925706},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2806401437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2693676597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2608538143},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2592825231},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701270559},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0787064211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0853133885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061806317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1135787185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1227288767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2930647441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2827859587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3815071128},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4286504891},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2654060893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2557103133},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.385511586},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4029777368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3472302847},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203306238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2760070403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356992632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3014240363},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308635338},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3058242187},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3113038386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924760275},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127644439},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3210247068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3343329618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3153122028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301998703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734476021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3107125781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2998775374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2986892383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7668885172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7028952856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.624464084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.220455565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1659148577},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1839202699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2113388346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2477174092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2716591735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2964074575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3258028943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4005873817},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2111921621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4542955379},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2629267958},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138838934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2779243166},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.247194407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2199856761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1951772531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106429523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327430413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3618115229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3901990133},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194557006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3417752245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2455349804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2221059357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3006323957},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3176363483},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2642898707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.244017746},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2990234539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2936868891},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2651189312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2468402887},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2255932723},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1793890849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1437000476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1214118538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3163381233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3270958506},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.334336793},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2737747846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3341607897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3176673383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.295277093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2828281068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2995299175},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2973400385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3207489543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3258596658},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3014823073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3193771346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3366390023},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3503754859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2588360022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2549738043},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.404065338},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4183719944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.253700224},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3907906057},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2500966524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3999545775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.256915618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2246161182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2229635119},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1952145833},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2943521128},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3187697098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2085209102},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3830611439},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1579627012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.208259778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2334805897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2648171101},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105529304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106284561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1108578317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1112805877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0816195107},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096446688},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1252826103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5364023612},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995471599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.112265605},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1391959282},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1690330046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110559463},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106534525},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109030246},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1114733629},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.177736287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1816038548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1872800203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1977534496},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105543329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105995359},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1107198944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109537843},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105550635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1108124367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1114771764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1129716594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105484642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110631055},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109329546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1117439973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1103994176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1104545867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110756335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1113560753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509203951},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516624455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537749427},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0593187897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c53314baf24ff5c680b4010fa3711d077810d93fb7a446e1b1ad7735aee2016","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1147209717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c53314baf24ff5c680b4010fa3711d077810d93fb7a446e1b1ad7735aee2016","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.142077705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c53314baf24ff5c680b4010fa3711d077810d93fb7a446e1b1ad7735aee2016","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5285324104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c53314baf24ff5c680b4010fa3711d077810d93fb7a446e1b1ad7735aee2016","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4337032726},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1272257362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1278816175},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1303656005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1349332713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.089523347},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0970509722},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1055888846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8298220674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0928642952},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1102946085},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1349736399},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1579538315},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0858416942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028946337},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1219999529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.146330893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105593997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110613151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1107960366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1112600514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678596351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701739764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0753740618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0902297347},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105733315},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106303006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110877595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1115206036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105794608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106614516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1111108034},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1120723766},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522258492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578371553},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0745187574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1128843358},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105529304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106472532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1108458977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1112841153},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895826591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7039061415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.139099969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1697012356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110559333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106128737},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1108410182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1113413549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106742502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1112060594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1133074385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1198064954},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0925678733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1181182841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1680127072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2301924238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105547302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106297218},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1108501639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.11135011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1026666779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1242376001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1990443437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2702521268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1104658921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105992339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1110059398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1118127569},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522413141},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557487221},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0685498246},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0960216206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"b81664fe56316ef66ac51d058aabe540336665cafb8e75bef86c1a96db5ec1b1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105410817},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"b81664fe56316ef66ac51d058aabe540336665cafb8e75bef86c1a96db5ec1b1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106532152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"b81664fe56316ef66ac51d058aabe540336665cafb8e75bef86c1a96db5ec1b1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109896076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"b81664fe56316ef66ac51d058aabe540336665cafb8e75bef86c1a96db5ec1b1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1115387702},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1293870621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7870501815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6880145845},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6041306272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070610261},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0732632978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.080469159},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938743273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525540792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565588316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0684205057},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0885082604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1104127474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105212048},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1108471835},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1116374172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1104210112},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105811266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1111014018},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1123806588},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0921613188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1145453502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1495414385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2014680942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531326812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0589924929},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0731185806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044481454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105194082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105398185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105762785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106937153},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110639654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109954163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1125401243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.115901132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105610795},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106213394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109090906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1116596087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1103927516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1104350169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106358718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1110868067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106359851},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5670281076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.469319029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.390427847},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0752231454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0929094352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1289704045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1806690021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105527971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110627808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1108151844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1113571072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816217911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2662362917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3682909459},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2193549178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.320318828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.266881632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3663848161},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3908970157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AEP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2849389815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AEP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2696434531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AEP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2458747474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AEP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2277296108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891290746},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2773188006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3416481763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2537755119},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2824971459},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3422817228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2383725832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2129464707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.313235574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707884359},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.361174161},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2850394208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2672345193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3646714781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2858807519},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2776893202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2622464698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2467827074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2875487424},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734012436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3582854624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123758498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3211178596},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2650261694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2524339543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3133289486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3296985544},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3539259876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3130550111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3253661361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3517783577},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3248697808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3262355574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2775830432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757882893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738355223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2511443356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.39338706},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2016925639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2826643052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2628381784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2386849048},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2168998589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3176166243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3392237278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3672132546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2840701586},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675036968},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2405371699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2189443287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312002045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3364769754},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2423064486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2215938841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2833916063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27514795},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2573271589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2356649253},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.284876927},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3334543741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3556542542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.227373788},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FDS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.316294618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FDS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3370457224},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FDS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3661312863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FDS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226507932},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2883899366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2703780643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2475613002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2246837367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"GILD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2849300546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"GILD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2728625634},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"GILD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3490009267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"GILD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3706274473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2803330974},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3413487571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3671118172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HRL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868537489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HRL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3270396906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HRL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3550876555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.318108167},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3373415902},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3661412983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3964773759},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.315951195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3330085727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3646132605},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.396049557},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2886299517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707804762},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2482595939},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2278575474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901784053},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3245929351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3488734593},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.373304878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772826535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2612327412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2371958137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2134946729},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3297093042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3536381211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3902506421},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4235739461},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2819417313},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.261984616},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2355467156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2146547252},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205589606},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3413000269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3774275112},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4152318421},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2856862417},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2711147911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3548617581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3834402721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3112885154},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3272060407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3565650269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.384634373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3158312973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33224432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3559016075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3834176478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2862077643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.271542581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2488539066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2312502917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2797505864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.344803406},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3797250267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4138697286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2866523303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2687832382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.24358765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835751562},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2705301866},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2567083163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2864711897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3303882407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.255496916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2337477377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2870714856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2700289134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.243005248},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2240842998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835685561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2695812392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2471050602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2824971319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2643000206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3741062326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4077956574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2795531142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2606324171},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2357264316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2166257096},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2908547534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2755161742},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3567673075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3842278903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2850630199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3371776794},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3655991639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3931326473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2899247888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2769673722},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2630914139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2803391244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.344548667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.381040473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4211261817},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2842201322},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2665615725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3629060903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"0900cdc6b82b0d8f3edc8b127bcfb5e8825c73675117766a6b6825c15bf1e313","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0718668256},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"0900cdc6b82b0d8f3edc8b127bcfb5e8825c73675117766a6b6825c15bf1e313","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.073210684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"0900cdc6b82b0d8f3edc8b127bcfb5e8825c73675117766a6b6825c15bf1e313","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075412448},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"1a56771b436fcab5dc062f3452ae0187f665f8360d1b887b020934d1ae962f36","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813598011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"1a56771b436fcab5dc062f3452ae0187f665f8360d1b887b020934d1ae962f36","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677098914},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"1a56771b436fcab5dc062f3452ae0187f665f8360d1b887b020934d1ae962f36","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681160534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"1aa2b7813366a35974ba3d8f1bd174961e5060c885fe9c485f024451705b807b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534218076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"1aa2b7813366a35974ba3d8f1bd174961e5060c885fe9c485f024451705b807b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537858383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"1aa2b7813366a35974ba3d8f1bd174961e5060c885fe9c485f024451705b807b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544686177},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"1ed503b8acda7e7392e27d1323136d655a202d32f29fff36f8b6806b5a132ffc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4096048406},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"1ed503b8acda7e7392e27d1323136d655a202d32f29fff36f8b6806b5a132ffc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4169370329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"1ed503b8acda7e7392e27d1323136d655a202d32f29fff36f8b6806b5a132ffc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3859061762},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"1f61ae208f3069be105c56cea6d5912f98fbc7c1031bdd485976fc43bf3d1a17","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0822601923},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"1f61ae208f3069be105c56cea6d5912f98fbc7c1031bdd485976fc43bf3d1a17","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0838949317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"1f61ae208f3069be105c56cea6d5912f98fbc7c1031bdd485976fc43bf3d1a17","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0824281821},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0669113193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0672395526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678522613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"2af0b2458554bb8361fff419f07cc1f95db0e543efdd4dae2660a6e77efcafaa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676542404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"2af0b2458554bb8361fff419f07cc1f95db0e543efdd4dae2660a6e77efcafaa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0686010925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"2af0b2458554bb8361fff419f07cc1f95db0e543efdd4dae2660a6e77efcafaa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0702498016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"2e1682928d6dd9a66fa0e030898cdc46caba891cc632f1aca17c8a087e6c3374","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539328922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"2e1682928d6dd9a66fa0e030898cdc46caba891cc632f1aca17c8a087e6c3374","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546869063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"2e1682928d6dd9a66fa0e030898cdc46caba891cc632f1aca17c8a087e6c3374","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056216137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"30dc7f0ade4b5d06b9f52cbe7158916bd31e79df9ecaff12a6c550b76cf315b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0562316156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"30dc7f0ade4b5d06b9f52cbe7158916bd31e79df9ecaff12a6c550b76cf315b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573884922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"30dc7f0ade4b5d06b9f52cbe7158916bd31e79df9ecaff12a6c550b76cf315b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0596766038},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"36d9eb224f6555d519de9205b8d4157d55bd732a0e08f433b0405736742e7593","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549564468},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"36d9eb224f6555d519de9205b8d4157d55bd732a0e08f433b0405736742e7593","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563576396},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"36d9eb224f6555d519de9205b8d4157d55bd732a0e08f433b0405736742e7593","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0585921813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"38ff5228437fd8763271af4ca6099aacb9de90151e0fa128701ef712a5c04d5d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2421765505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"38ff5228437fd8763271af4ca6099aacb9de90151e0fa128701ef712a5c04d5d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2397386717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"38ff5228437fd8763271af4ca6099aacb9de90151e0fa128701ef712a5c04d5d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3876824872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"392c79e1aeaece40f8ba2c8fcadb8e2b5568a9438b0123a0b0f9315865049215","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530428656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"392c79e1aeaece40f8ba2c8fcadb8e2b5568a9438b0123a0b0f9315865049215","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053343164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"392c79e1aeaece40f8ba2c8fcadb8e2b5568a9438b0123a0b0f9315865049215","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054060589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"449a42d89a7e34cae0134aa10543dba701bbe44609292c8f5368c19e617ea34f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0844541082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"449a42d89a7e34cae0134aa10543dba701bbe44609292c8f5368c19e617ea34f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895872595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"449a42d89a7e34cae0134aa10543dba701bbe44609292c8f5368c19e617ea34f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915692965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"47cbb9efa562d8ebbc7187bd46c3f01af288e2536c0bd1391d04c7c0cc75cbfe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1901385242},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"47cbb9efa562d8ebbc7187bd46c3f01af288e2536c0bd1391d04c7c0cc75cbfe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1969342065},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"47cbb9efa562d8ebbc7187bd46c3f01af288e2536c0bd1391d04c7c0cc75cbfe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2076584066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"4940d17de83bf8e1a4992fdf8fd7296279f28fb4ef3934dbd0aff74632b39538","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534592528},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"4940d17de83bf8e1a4992fdf8fd7296279f28fb4ef3934dbd0aff74632b39538","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542722696},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"4940d17de83bf8e1a4992fdf8fd7296279f28fb4ef3934dbd0aff74632b39538","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563239307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"519689a520e7e15fe54f6d85ad40f6e0186b5b1ce657e41144abfe398812749c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054621865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"519689a520e7e15fe54f6d85ad40f6e0186b5b1ce657e41144abfe398812749c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556771164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"519689a520e7e15fe54f6d85ad40f6e0186b5b1ce657e41144abfe398812749c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0572788352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"51df72b9345a4f8da093d22d124ecf7fcf7602d9efbec28eddd5cc6bc988dcfd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1267800378},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"51df72b9345a4f8da093d22d124ecf7fcf7602d9efbec28eddd5cc6bc988dcfd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1286011146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"51df72b9345a4f8da093d22d124ecf7fcf7602d9efbec28eddd5cc6bc988dcfd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1318159968},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"5e9a82e018096684f5ba46a6c95f12d02bae13fcabd3c0ef08ff9d60a1d4d386","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3970337727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"5e9a82e018096684f5ba46a6c95f12d02bae13fcabd3c0ef08ff9d60a1d4d386","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.221489998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"5e9a82e018096684f5ba46a6c95f12d02bae13fcabd3c0ef08ff9d60a1d4d386","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4093028905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"763a7f7b7266cef17a4053d6138374b6a6c5b7df444d0e7ffd8839157ab57755","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533051194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"763a7f7b7266cef17a4053d6138374b6a6c5b7df444d0e7ffd8839157ab57755","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533874048},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"763a7f7b7266cef17a4053d6138374b6a6c5b7df444d0e7ffd8839157ab57755","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536535675},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"766ce1a9273e1b1e5b4229371c1e6d9a445686f0891dbe4b6e29d39d3841b0a6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1519440833},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"766ce1a9273e1b1e5b4229371c1e6d9a445686f0891dbe4b6e29d39d3841b0a6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1507276717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"766ce1a9273e1b1e5b4229371c1e6d9a445686f0891dbe4b6e29d39d3841b0a6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.158270868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"7a3596bc8f53ccdf32a1f21d21d9cb6f6ddbece50ff85e68597551ad5df64541","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1850909271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"7a3596bc8f53ccdf32a1f21d21d9cb6f6ddbece50ff85e68597551ad5df64541","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1901804665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"7a3596bc8f53ccdf32a1f21d21d9cb6f6ddbece50ff85e68597551ad5df64541","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1997589785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"7dc0bf3e5a6c826a6f5bf12b535b3bf2dde59b126fd97b003d377dec7e81ff63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548940151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"7dc0bf3e5a6c826a6f5bf12b535b3bf2dde59b126fd97b003d377dec7e81ff63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0559744242},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"7dc0bf3e5a6c826a6f5bf12b535b3bf2dde59b126fd97b003d377dec7e81ff63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0577828046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"809a3ed782ec66c97a59aaa5b6d70cfba894c96806264c73ff7df316b620daa6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3733111685},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"809a3ed782ec66c97a59aaa5b6d70cfba894c96806264c73ff7df316b620daa6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3572886474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"809a3ed782ec66c97a59aaa5b6d70cfba894c96806264c73ff7df316b620daa6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3417661356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"8815b1dc55ad459b6ad65ccdc75cab489166e5502b9b150e3b236e1244918835","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528357039},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"8815b1dc55ad459b6ad65ccdc75cab489166e5502b9b150e3b236e1244918835","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529131198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"8815b1dc55ad459b6ad65ccdc75cab489166e5502b9b150e3b236e1244918835","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531413913},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"8b56675445d40bd91c56891f00ec8aacc9d6106c9e1535a046d4d085b8c3dc20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968613958},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"8b56675445d40bd91c56891f00ec8aacc9d6106c9e1535a046d4d085b8c3dc20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563052776},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"8b56675445d40bd91c56891f00ec8aacc9d6106c9e1535a046d4d085b8c3dc20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0582822028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"9043472375a02690dfb338bd3d11605105562e5cae9672a989961b0c5bef9b51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055637209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"9043472375a02690dfb338bd3d11605105562e5cae9672a989961b0c5bef9b51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0564657883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"9043472375a02690dfb338bd3d11605105562e5cae9672a989961b0c5bef9b51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0579358185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"9127732d9421311419209f0e16a68dbce070c15a210bdf238391de73b190626a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0740959978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"9127732d9421311419209f0e16a68dbce070c15a210bdf238391de73b190626a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0601657107},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"9127732d9421311419209f0e16a68dbce070c15a210bdf238391de73b190626a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603717456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"93c4936bb09ba069554d834be7be6bd8deae96635c82deb20b0c3eaac5f26af7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4763710552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"93c4936bb09ba069554d834be7be6bd8deae96635c82deb20b0c3eaac5f26af7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4642303287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"93c4936bb09ba069554d834be7be6bd8deae96635c82deb20b0c3eaac5f26af7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2307130095},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"9ac2b19e1f2f845a5e24ce92ef09575502b5bf3153ace71ab060599ce32b86ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.301017926},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"9ac2b19e1f2f845a5e24ce92ef09575502b5bf3153ace71ab060599ce32b86ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993581173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"9ac2b19e1f2f845a5e24ce92ef09575502b5bf3153ace71ab060599ce32b86ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3105369925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a0ed9ec4cabebf77d79553928a05808906cbb7d0bcbe3117323677d50a512b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1756989215},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a0ed9ec4cabebf77d79553928a05808906cbb7d0bcbe3117323677d50a512b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5187257651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a0ed9ec4cabebf77d79553928a05808906cbb7d0bcbe3117323677d50a512b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1873805283},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a3966b601ac3d17545b4a9a614e50110eb0801d1e5eacf839caea1769d45511e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530395583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a3966b601ac3d17545b4a9a614e50110eb0801d1e5eacf839caea1769d45511e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532711621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a3966b601ac3d17545b4a9a614e50110eb0801d1e5eacf839caea1769d45511e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537957168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a3fcfd23d4aa63846042eb149e55fad879035b1d9b4af8087a3fbe1948de6c44","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568105925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a3fcfd23d4aa63846042eb149e55fad879035b1d9b4af8087a3fbe1948de6c44","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0584594011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a3fcfd23d4aa63846042eb149e55fad879035b1d9b4af8087a3fbe1948de6c44","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0611175618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a6dc4f712f75ec5810e66a3e7e09ac7835c1efc1141d53547d0f52d9d33190ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3784627041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a6dc4f712f75ec5810e66a3e7e09ac7835c1efc1141d53547d0f52d9d33190ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3322714535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a6dc4f712f75ec5810e66a3e7e09ac7835c1efc1141d53547d0f52d9d33190ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2795478032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a93a4eaa5992258d3150c5055ba00c18ff7508c1a29439ab4feeb4952551fdc5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1196955126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a93a4eaa5992258d3150c5055ba00c18ff7508c1a29439ab4feeb4952551fdc5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079793434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"a93a4eaa5992258d3150c5055ba00c18ff7508c1a29439ab4feeb4952551fdc5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1152123672},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"ac347d4fd5553ae079912547f5317e0888a6e243c528223cfa8fa601897be215","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531316978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"ac347d4fd5553ae079912547f5317e0888a6e243c528223cfa8fa601897be215","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532265985},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"ac347d4fd5553ae079912547f5317e0888a6e243c528223cfa8fa601897be215","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534844433},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"b1b04e5214572a74630ac8307c4be6e7c2e92abcceb3c246bebb05dd52a2ee97","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533098056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"b1b04e5214572a74630ac8307c4be6e7c2e92abcceb3c246bebb05dd52a2ee97","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535509034},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"b1b04e5214572a74630ac8307c4be6e7c2e92abcceb3c246bebb05dd52a2ee97","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539391079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"b7117581b74f845358760575c9ef5d47d3bdc27b054963ff8c5efcff7f23042b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540662252},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"b7117581b74f845358760575c9ef5d47d3bdc27b054963ff8c5efcff7f23042b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0547346227},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"b7117581b74f845358760575c9ef5d47d3bdc27b054963ff8c5efcff7f23042b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557948503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"bad17045f7fa6c1dffcf6834aa4f962602ec354b47364e81aa9fa22734e4c567","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.05369409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"bad17045f7fa6c1dffcf6834aa4f962602ec354b47364e81aa9fa22734e4c567","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544302148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"bad17045f7fa6c1dffcf6834aa4f962602ec354b47364e81aa9fa22734e4c567","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555017348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553398435},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055859577},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0571902246},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"bb75f827e4e1e34156e9b6baa76d39df16441e69b146bd27f34af0153bc383f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0746453697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"bb75f827e4e1e34156e9b6baa76d39df16441e69b146bd27f34af0153bc383f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0749191526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"bb75f827e4e1e34156e9b6baa76d39df16441e69b146bd27f34af0153bc383f0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0815946104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"c6eb7c69db3959a8d7116525bba5ab0e772efa6f8eee5abf7d4f2ce52c53a0bf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2374607403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"c6eb7c69db3959a8d7116525bba5ab0e772efa6f8eee5abf7d4f2ce52c53a0bf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2268084305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"c6eb7c69db3959a8d7116525bba5ab0e772efa6f8eee5abf7d4f2ce52c53a0bf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3826882829},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"c70ccc814315f3ef10e884b1aa01255ce5edd19571787c009b71deaa0affc867","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0804556497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"c70ccc814315f3ef10e884b1aa01255ce5edd19571787c009b71deaa0affc867","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666487855},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"c70ccc814315f3ef10e884b1aa01255ce5edd19571787c009b71deaa0affc867","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066810468},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"c8a85e04515dc23ced123bb99918b83dd959726efb25259e09b26c1461ef9523","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0564984228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"c8a85e04515dc23ced123bb99918b83dd959726efb25259e09b26c1461ef9523","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0577557263},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"c8a85e04515dc23ced123bb99918b83dd959726efb25259e09b26c1461ef9523","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060118557},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"c8cce97d5978df9dea5943b3467189646d06ea57e4ad23b1251b1bddd1fbd530","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0667375011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"c8cce97d5978df9dea5943b3467189646d06ea57e4ad23b1251b1bddd1fbd530","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668381707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"c8cce97d5978df9dea5943b3467189646d06ea57e4ad23b1251b1bddd1fbd530","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0670901871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"ca08f8a82942d562983e051638ccf3194252d2a5c29499bec2911edf1879d6b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0943725721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"ca08f8a82942d562983e051638ccf3194252d2a5c29499bec2911edf1879d6b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665956145},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"ca08f8a82942d562983e051638ccf3194252d2a5c29499bec2911edf1879d6b9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666541751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"e05b7f0980bd857aeda7589b5f9a3bf2b9515215e01e45f1638e44102acc2d10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1330528482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"e05b7f0980bd857aeda7589b5f9a3bf2b9515215e01e45f1638e44102acc2d10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1411293877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"e05b7f0980bd857aeda7589b5f9a3bf2b9515215e01e45f1638e44102acc2d10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1925172352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"ed0d14ec9edc1c0e2c3e74388b2e26f87b1b9bef77d52ff821a94060a1e5edcb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1110439098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"ed0d14ec9edc1c0e2c3e74388b2e26f87b1b9bef77d52ff821a94060a1e5edcb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1108307942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"ed0d14ec9edc1c0e2c3e74388b2e26f87b1b9bef77d52ff821a94060a1e5edcb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1090767142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"f276efc923dff4849790e5a7dbdb597edf7b4bc17671cfbbcc0d0efbb13b7cf5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529870829},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"f276efc923dff4849790e5a7dbdb597edf7b4bc17671cfbbcc0d0efbb13b7cf5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530771451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"f276efc923dff4849790e5a7dbdb597edf7b4bc17671cfbbcc0d0efbb13b7cf5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533860314},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"f50a1232df6cca8740c279ce80b66c89207e4c6e7b3c25f80a3a9a0351ed8700","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0687151513},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"f50a1232df6cca8740c279ce80b66c89207e4c6e7b3c25f80a3a9a0351ed8700","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0692386044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"f50a1232df6cca8740c279ce80b66c89207e4c6e7b3c25f80a3a9a0351ed8700","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0705201311},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"fbb7d62449a13d3cb968f249443120fd3bd2bcb5e39693b08c995110ceaa27ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.354131139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"fbb7d62449a13d3cb968f249443120fd3bd2bcb5e39693b08c995110ceaa27ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3314067151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"acled","id":"fbb7d62449a13d3cb968f249443120fd3bd2bcb5e39693b08c995110ceaa27ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2877770123},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3550358691},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668371129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2898302986},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1402947763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651981934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3518078455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2004462322},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0671128698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3471727497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1821617731},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647610561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4127373434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2367946067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668159368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167575045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1934158325},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0655019174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3423185159},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2063363018},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0825012385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3051536455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1666617634},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651500336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3248105078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1705170887},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641981748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3187075309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1917360743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679496337},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3974041809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2799617549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.067399021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3912762466},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.194955259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0725041178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3303930821},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1590386226},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609712257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683856608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1470229874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636106638},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3491248242},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1755640215},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649935654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3449840187},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1922548457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0657104808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3475562901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.178904921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818201146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2568716582},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1233771936},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0666051641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.310677004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1831114954},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704415519},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3253654948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1965197778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.067491157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3732680774},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2140427901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0848345854},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3412904554},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1703662685},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631152975},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3637812271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2011072269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0711461642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.288198713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1515875703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625550886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3246000067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1550275961},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0690950868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3453370625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1867511938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0667418098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2444886284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.124654045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0780164881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2577745535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1314214273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627237036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2488373738},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1304884725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0661273774},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2485027091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1182275493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0619377993},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3033659831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1621112705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0643870672},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2612746252},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1298298002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0617759074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.272408349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1321408322},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676371278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2496491624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.134682823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770539702},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4290049803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4314439146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3265586247},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3618370606},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2476238188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.269267821},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3120480148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2494516307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.331453752},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3898501233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2228536256},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3496839314},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2536229882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.202628863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3010269006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4070915536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2103604243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3555148449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2812096172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2781161829},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2758756938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2822446905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4726227311},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3515202014},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2019387211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1126894445},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3254474928},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4227052905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1172936097},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.315793514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1966323809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.08693171},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3143791565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2095543944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.105437833},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.353876274},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4381109718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1910693222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2708964572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4596986443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1909243627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3086878655},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2634765205},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.401461944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2988632027},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2866708496},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2763416214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3063800346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2679214601},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3942504895},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3043659088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2985012742},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2925909092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.290287924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902375854},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.373160324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2943800939},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2861771931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3556968687},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3141723318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2778260276},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.267980308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2905037733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3060249704},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2946848504},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903743694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3439300893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.254562912},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.325574801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2613759503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2397167325},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3078627495},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2996678019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2952965551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816558977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2635354511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2441406765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3034811922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.300163186},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993364998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046800045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1228702547},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1718764255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924933014},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286317994},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2828081597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3035819113},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.311866061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3150995833},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3011413492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902724355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2802678164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3076341634},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3038937203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3022316855},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2927772972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2829665419},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2733896277},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3141337507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152399402},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3323492419},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3488025624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3398579416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3304035306},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3069261514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2995417609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2907404619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3374906644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3253726919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3183667716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4292827387},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4074926546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3859691742},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879543561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3132285213},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2948069071},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3023125282},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2709111505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3390514195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3449180001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2427329896},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2265984773},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0865242427},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0940531815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1051377912},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2786970801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2509113281},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2199190433},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3005823418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3076283895},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2851039866},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169379622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3107881908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1269867604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1487537297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1868269906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.227888688},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2463377654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2788778697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2196090779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2287922318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2497528568},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061508163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995263814},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984813151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.295300654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619353149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4130362532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2960838534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145442775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3403958456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2897349536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.267309035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2431184682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3040957175},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933709136},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2843119627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3413906941},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3246891621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3058854011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2245960059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1938121323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1590184201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2511246431},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3917834201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3676986958},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2743225357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3039258017},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4078736319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3244501674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3384280441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2680226453},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4279862217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4183920744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4087338867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.400833358},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.412733613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4233360714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3598681528},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3850388076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4270963967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3207924554},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3082839573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3275837958},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7908611429},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1085159528},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1121483526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027731177},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028393562},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1031107479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1026505055},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027459022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103094471},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033715722},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057752837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1112410524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0819416932},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1013315822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1383823661},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028006183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029100659},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1035060331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028213403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1034021861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057966869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1026437398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027051159},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029188977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0728872258},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0889319695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1142713311},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027716183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028335117},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030894754},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d3ba574c5379ea8bfe688f6466fd7e65bc185c9f7e6726ce58dd3737766d704","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027768467},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d3ba574c5379ea8bfe688f6466fd7e65bc185c9f7e6726ce58dd3737766d704","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028216325},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d3ba574c5379ea8bfe688f6466fd7e65bc185c9f7e6726ce58dd3737766d704","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029573378},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027619086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027913197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029101459},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027715622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028945828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033048493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fd624728544e09f5ac4a2841c706374ad25753f2246b21ce97d47963b5a9ac9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030382888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fd624728544e09f5ac4a2841c706374ad25753f2246b21ce97d47963b5a9ac9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039057494},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fd624728544e09f5ac4a2841c706374ad25753f2246b21ce97d47963b5a9ac9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1065594656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1099686398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1221384779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.147100888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027660704},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028893971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1031286705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1026437814},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027226718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1031131808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"50abbf7c2acbda969cec1aea9302662569b1d16e397b8301e3de20ebae393720","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1026492954},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"50abbf7c2acbda969cec1aea9302662569b1d16e397b8301e3de20ebae393720","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027122827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"50abbf7c2acbda969cec1aea9302662569b1d16e397b8301e3de20ebae393720","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030018437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1381133881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1653833957},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1934921491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027604047},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029226411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033211319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058614837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6812910015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5743275792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027687838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102802465},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102965343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0893486995},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0985290375},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1186638575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0980489174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1150380121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1480330721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1243244221},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5881179109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4759886226},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1008720121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1192957487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1526793814},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.079054063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0854985722},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994210541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109269354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1232159424},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1583165972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821041199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0904153305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1092934605},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535793656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555875142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.062201582},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"930ea4acda0c9fb95d69c7508977db0f93ec23432b421cc6c38c4bf8bf48aed6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027881236},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"930ea4acda0c9fb95d69c7508977db0f93ec23432b421cc6c38c4bf8bf48aed6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028441857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"930ea4acda0c9fb95d69c7508977db0f93ec23432b421cc6c38c4bf8bf48aed6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029923224},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0795707393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0931098253},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.130249407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.109739029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1335403267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1715469519},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102643837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027242274},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1031555688},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027825068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028106201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029568567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535315314},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0564441968},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0684554209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027713416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028329572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030849314},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"b81664fe56316ef66ac51d058aabe540336665cafb8e75bef86c1a96db5ec1b1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027607836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"b81664fe56316ef66ac51d058aabe540336665cafb8e75bef86c1a96db5ec1b1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1028231737},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"b81664fe56316ef66ac51d058aabe540336665cafb8e75bef86c1a96db5ec1b1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029462871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0823315941},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1037877531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.611722468},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911001766},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995932795},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1186047453},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0964877216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1172380531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.167644549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549778361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603216025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.07353146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530981344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545316056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0599538734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0898486533},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040266956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.13023274},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1026606156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027349587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030176479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2cfd4cd4dd2dcf1a05ea950e3ae4b2ed9146c64b51dc5c56315875cc43e0e0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.107737987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2cfd4cd4dd2dcf1a05ea950e3ae4b2ed9146c64b51dc5c56315875cc43e0e0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1239331225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2cfd4cd4dd2dcf1a05ea950e3ae4b2ed9146c64b51dc5c56315875cc43e0e0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1635388813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797228382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6972247344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.162907259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3130234075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3338007961},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.362896997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AES","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2949803398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AES","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3232959341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AES","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3463675966},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2914589701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3237547908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3389752576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895184286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3285617588},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3496425755},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3132156524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3324975605},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3585619418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2951688399},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3275697528},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.348142427},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868086777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3401110119},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3707837916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791549617},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3502791346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3841432546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.313797007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3275960871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3472889842},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3031131932},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.287664191},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2668572017},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3142857931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2785881207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660718328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.288566676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3365468137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3602196533},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2928711291},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3282929914},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3497526582},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3200666622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2696322701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.248020981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3160657757},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2811557047},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.342909218},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2917622291},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2760453373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3495441141},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2892656154},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738225305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2518900983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2915545722},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3287797016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2597044546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903544781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3350841369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2548111448},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3173632515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3404010601},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2461197407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2886395296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3367810333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3628276576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2858004043},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3427744623},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3716829476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3149875654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327866364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3630146493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3056728245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226684052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3410240701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2824695648},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3520610222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3863043523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3149000084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3331253365},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3596210768},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2908666835},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2783928538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2588680538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3118335294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3248142084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3456185254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"KVUE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2915428798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"KVUE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3246320692},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"KVUE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3422248527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2929173787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3297779532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3480921739},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123152411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2786992815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2638473344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3181690366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3393101042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3695309334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879357253},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3417465265},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3769076516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3124149727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3300091335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3559713453},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901152399},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3322679517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3548131933},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28891417},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2694458615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2428914513},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2923176363},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2775887611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.259905168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NUE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3160367251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NUE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3280349352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NUE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2639921591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2955344356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.283527567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3459362587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3158383551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3317955592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2538120334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ROK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2854078455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ROK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3422318916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ROK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2407938872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"RTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2951711003},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"RTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.275633383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"RTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3604578627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2948541117},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3300170916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3570218994},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"SRE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3103462463},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"SRE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2771854583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"SRE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3519220731},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3154684168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3310198483},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2612645296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3243467688},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3414585651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3720309477},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868677977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2659112956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3762393164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2857709348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2679204376},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3679962634},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2846046624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3388085767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3674193263},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"03711ac82da1400cf7d3484c97203d9d904de557286a5b234cdc14e12e0912eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546489761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"03711ac82da1400cf7d3484c97203d9d904de557286a5b234cdc14e12e0912eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548172703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"03711ac82da1400cf7d3484c97203d9d904de557286a5b234cdc14e12e0912eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552414905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0680911163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681402294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0682517909},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"213e07e438e3379a7cf8222200179bed623f5dfc2873820a657355c637aea661","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549310963},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"213e07e438e3379a7cf8222200179bed623f5dfc2873820a657355c637aea661","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556477453},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"213e07e438e3379a7cf8222200179bed623f5dfc2873820a657355c637aea661","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056625254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"27debab58f74725ea6b0b5962c22da5c0abc0933ea10b5ed390d749cb966bf3c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2825013322},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"27debab58f74725ea6b0b5962c22da5c0abc0933ea10b5ed390d749cb966bf3c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3703758604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"27debab58f74725ea6b0b5962c22da5c0abc0933ea10b5ed390d749cb966bf3c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3653779894},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"2834d888f18f82dd885fb1ca66ff5530aa87298b5d64f975d49108788122c6e8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544211907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"2834d888f18f82dd885fb1ca66ff5530aa87298b5d64f975d49108788122c6e8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546854206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"2834d888f18f82dd885fb1ca66ff5530aa87298b5d64f975d49108788122c6e8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551162709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"2a6fb8d31ed0c3c8a3979ed45193095eed13b2ab6ec2c8027c26e91fa86bd717","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540399608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"2a6fb8d31ed0c3c8a3979ed45193095eed13b2ab6ec2c8027c26e91fa86bd717","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540402386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"2a6fb8d31ed0c3c8a3979ed45193095eed13b2ab6ec2c8027c26e91fa86bd717","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054058239},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3779677798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3611558551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3752703406},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"337bedd10c1c1dce4b5497f8dca1b33c0303654487c461d388bd899c2b5493ae","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3451167225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"337bedd10c1c1dce4b5497f8dca1b33c0303654487c461d388bd899c2b5493ae","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2782265302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"337bedd10c1c1dce4b5497f8dca1b33c0303654487c461d388bd899c2b5493ae","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3411665933},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"342d47368fb7d67239fb78f58656f6ab39818d985bfc6c43abdd731aaff3b681","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3184624414},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"342d47368fb7d67239fb78f58656f6ab39818d985bfc6c43abdd731aaff3b681","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3363780534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"342d47368fb7d67239fb78f58656f6ab39818d985bfc6c43abdd731aaff3b681","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3285712966},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"34cf2f160ee79c946afff7e5a09731842bacd8d00488b279a4839790533c7532","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679231693},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"34cf2f160ee79c946afff7e5a09731842bacd8d00488b279a4839790533c7532","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679236187},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"34cf2f160ee79c946afff7e5a09731842bacd8d00488b279a4839790533c7532","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679527604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"413b1dde240eda8fe4a75026bf87f8d06b9a5703782d0602eecc0ff0ee5bc923","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054386744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"413b1dde240eda8fe4a75026bf87f8d06b9a5703782d0602eecc0ff0ee5bc923","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546923624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"413b1dde240eda8fe4a75026bf87f8d06b9a5703782d0602eecc0ff0ee5bc923","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553373811},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560366214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556722674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055940439},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540019101},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540022473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540049807},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0720071832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0756635292},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0781972987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"4ac8435e5efdb7b2a506bc2171ff3f89711981138b29636b430d08054775d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2614603286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"4ac8435e5efdb7b2a506bc2171ff3f89711981138b29636b430d08054775d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3720090575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"4ac8435e5efdb7b2a506bc2171ff3f89711981138b29636b430d08054775d195","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3780555592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"511f3b0c89f309eeb69f924c0fa445814f458454f3faee9a6af3c5a90d5a2a9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546008613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"511f3b0c89f309eeb69f924c0fa445814f458454f3faee9a6af3c5a90d5a2a9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550950416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"511f3b0c89f309eeb69f924c0fa445814f458454f3faee9a6af3c5a90d5a2a9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560190372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"51794320e4eaf6dce73fcec311904174799ffab326819036ed38b71a8c4fb88e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546480355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"51794320e4eaf6dce73fcec311904174799ffab326819036ed38b71a8c4fb88e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054726877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"51794320e4eaf6dce73fcec311904174799ffab326819036ed38b71a8c4fb88e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549740732},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"5943cc320316116ea2cae4edccf97a70160a2beea0ef31525405ce2d1eca7160","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3436990383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"5943cc320316116ea2cae4edccf97a70160a2beea0ef31525405ce2d1eca7160","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3273121681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"5943cc320316116ea2cae4edccf97a70160a2beea0ef31525405ce2d1eca7160","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2883281076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0700933142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0695816935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0708672731},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7803086892fc327ac5bb9b12e868c533c5f75f13de20adb7e578874681cbf039","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546786022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7803086892fc327ac5bb9b12e868c533c5f75f13de20adb7e578874681cbf039","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552144527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7803086892fc327ac5bb9b12e868c533c5f75f13de20adb7e578874681cbf039","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0562258688},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f431340a31c933ce12e5f50350b55958262dfecdf7d7dc780016a07fb5671e0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0709133317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f431340a31c933ce12e5f50350b55958262dfecdf7d7dc780016a07fb5671e0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0686803434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f431340a31c933ce12e5f50350b55958262dfecdf7d7dc780016a07fb5671e0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0705951013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f431ca2860143ca3969b57d233e4ed36d0a8943fb040a1beb5573085c75804e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541744683},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f431ca2860143ca3969b57d233e4ed36d0a8943fb040a1beb5573085c75804e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541760828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f431ca2860143ca3969b57d233e4ed36d0a8943fb040a1beb5573085c75804e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542298905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f6734c8944f4e8ae9bfb5029fbe17745a6b9ea42839b1ec065e7cf17733178f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541691861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f6734c8944f4e8ae9bfb5029fbe17745a6b9ea42839b1ec065e7cf17733178f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541697422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f6734c8944f4e8ae9bfb5029fbe17745a6b9ea42839b1ec065e7cf17733178f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541992463},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542134902},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542573899},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543613874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"94024406efd3b31d9fed52aa7f75e0d773ab280b527167d29fe2c7da9e3f8049","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0815670838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"94024406efd3b31d9fed52aa7f75e0d773ab280b527167d29fe2c7da9e3f8049","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0857298281},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"94024406efd3b31d9fed52aa7f75e0d773ab280b527167d29fe2c7da9e3f8049","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0901495217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"983648d31063f8c663754970501c04bb493c31adb8d6b65d1e1f9dc195c581f6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.068137236},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"983648d31063f8c663754970501c04bb493c31adb8d6b65d1e1f9dc195c581f6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0683931714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"983648d31063f8c663754970501c04bb493c31adb8d6b65d1e1f9dc195c581f6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0688431798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"aab8a113335e0ce44c678f9c27e1eaf14e12dae127db54c830d705e9d6ca90b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818011637},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"aab8a113335e0ce44c678f9c27e1eaf14e12dae127db54c830d705e9d6ca90b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818182807},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"aab8a113335e0ce44c678f9c27e1eaf14e12dae127db54c830d705e9d6ca90b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818642921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"ac79637a2ec06be6493cc0ec541585668645e3dda51fc7b2fd494926aa578bb7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546128732},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"ac79637a2ec06be6493cc0ec541585668645e3dda51fc7b2fd494926aa578bb7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553192608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"ac79637a2ec06be6493cc0ec541585668645e3dda51fc7b2fd494926aa578bb7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0569222907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"aff18fd224bd26a4eced9a215c6ac14ba44e361c88465e51412fda54d51a6d4f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956791809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"aff18fd224bd26a4eced9a215c6ac14ba44e361c88465e51412fda54d51a6d4f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818068671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"aff18fd224bd26a4eced9a215c6ac14ba44e361c88465e51412fda54d51a6d4f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0818352582},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c27914dff280a3815515bf9f10f3c59d61735af8ef915e762a7dff178a69cc11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566989604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c27914dff280a3815515bf9f10f3c59d61735af8ef915e762a7dff178a69cc11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0596926985},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c27914dff280a3815515bf9f10f3c59d61735af8ef915e762a7dff178a69cc11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0639208101},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c51ef3e231e76e8bc2f34e6818aeb9c352130e68a7026fcf329141614f65a19c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2561761189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c51ef3e231e76e8bc2f34e6818aeb9c352130e68a7026fcf329141614f65a19c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3957509449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c51ef3e231e76e8bc2f34e6818aeb9c352130e68a7026fcf329141614f65a19c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.357813626},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.268481904},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3275677285},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3033803884},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540579656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054062304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541089993},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0723354677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0721648667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0749614605},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d57555e4bb9d6451b3002e2366da287a89269b163adcd1bf49e848f0df88a811","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2797279471},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d57555e4bb9d6451b3002e2366da287a89269b163adcd1bf49e848f0df88a811","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3247916211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d57555e4bb9d6451b3002e2366da287a89269b163adcd1bf49e848f0df88a811","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3233971507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d5f1e9c92dc961c7fefdaef3655bc7dc38816254dfe1043bb4244faebb22ad94","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1290935259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d5f1e9c92dc961c7fefdaef3655bc7dc38816254dfe1043bb4244faebb22ad94","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1132768975},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d5f1e9c92dc961c7fefdaef3655bc7dc38816254dfe1043bb4244faebb22ad94","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1337170011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dbc453f8703351fad4dfdc3f496f4c1dd380527f38a49c0ecfa3ad8fe0b83cac","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054011572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dbc453f8703351fad4dfdc3f496f4c1dd380527f38a49c0ecfa3ad8fe0b83cac","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540117408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dbc453f8703351fad4dfdc3f496f4c1dd380527f38a49c0ecfa3ad8fe0b83cac","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540120942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dbf841d9fd3a6629131e06e4fd7bc0fb58dc5a9129435d4c0b98472ba220ba78","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545295794},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dbf841d9fd3a6629131e06e4fd7bc0fb58dc5a9129435d4c0b98472ba220ba78","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0547324165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dbf841d9fd3a6629131e06e4fd7bc0fb58dc5a9129435d4c0b98472ba220ba78","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552550929},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dc6ece8237f233089bf891ec750633d283402255fd5b60b99d0b3853f2d65ee4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1960430527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dc6ece8237f233089bf891ec750633d283402255fd5b60b99d0b3853f2d65ee4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5180401151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dc6ece8237f233089bf891ec750633d283402255fd5b60b99d0b3853f2d65ee4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2390924669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"de66ba6519ef01e06d7059e5eee45e8a22fa9d553eb6ce5aef1352bac8b6e1eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560606641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"de66ba6519ef01e06d7059e5eee45e8a22fa9d553eb6ce5aef1352bac8b6e1eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0558604931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"de66ba6519ef01e06d7059e5eee45e8a22fa9d553eb6ce5aef1352bac8b6e1eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056370336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2784935352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3840278928},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2572480278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"e274f8a2957087f0701ff64ef42f41426098c6460e3c1443bff3853c2c642a96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1018861851},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"e274f8a2957087f0701ff64ef42f41426098c6460e3c1443bff3853c2c642a96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.107308564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"e274f8a2957087f0701ff64ef42f41426098c6460e3c1443bff3853c2c642a96","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1152979908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"e98c06f8469d894f8f50b23de9c98ae8689485d36e2058e94ef34633a2616ffe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0619283841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"e98c06f8469d894f8f50b23de9c98ae8689485d36e2058e94ef34633a2616ffe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0619739405},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"e98c06f8469d894f8f50b23de9c98ae8689485d36e2058e94ef34633a2616ffe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0629180137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"eae0bc4de7369ea4d3f8b87eb29c6c67ee79ceb05a4fd07d0a50f7053918dedb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0683847356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"eae0bc4de7369ea4d3f8b87eb29c6c67ee79ceb05a4fd07d0a50f7053918dedb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545582077},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"eae0bc4de7369ea4d3f8b87eb29c6c67ee79ceb05a4fd07d0a50f7053918dedb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054736696},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"eaef280097718cac83d54dfce2b21145bbe6cc2598359ab22bb41c3c7ed74088","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543813505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"eaef280097718cac83d54dfce2b21145bbe6cc2598359ab22bb41c3c7ed74088","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548597556},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"eaef280097718cac83d54dfce2b21145bbe6cc2598359ab22bb41c3c7ed74088","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0559161408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f46164652cf1876782c2731cc6f4db92ec9f2d58fc82e138c458f18cf604ec11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701428151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f46164652cf1876782c2731cc6f4db92ec9f2d58fc82e138c458f18cf604ec11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.072732919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f46164652cf1876782c2731cc6f4db92ec9f2d58fc82e138c458f18cf604ec11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0772663369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f5f31cd8e043254c116cef976ff36ff61281e3bbe503131e7126f7e16f64a0d3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0687634594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f5f31cd8e043254c116cef976ff36ff61281e3bbe503131e7126f7e16f64a0d3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0682137269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f5f31cd8e043254c116cef976ff36ff61281e3bbe503131e7126f7e16f64a0d3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0682758975},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f7318125ae5a8420e03475a140651eb409bc32c74746311fc5ab124c48612cf2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543101025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f7318125ae5a8420e03475a140651eb409bc32c74746311fc5ab124c48612cf2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544877142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f7318125ae5a8420e03475a140651eb409bc32c74746311fc5ab124c48612cf2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548260294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"fac8c551d8ebb11add6d4f67f263cd9e870bf5a51c7796598f9fe9e0b5a69353","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1231882182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"fac8c551d8ebb11add6d4f67f263cd9e870bf5a51c7796598f9fe9e0b5a69353","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1337130257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"fac8c551d8ebb11add6d4f67f263cd9e870bf5a51c7796598f9fe9e0b5a69353","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1395202451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"fadc22b52bd6724520276b68ec26b48713c46e052b7415107e43509c1bf3e772","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679656084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"fadc22b52bd6724520276b68ec26b48713c46e052b7415107e43509c1bf3e772","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0684718117},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"fadc22b52bd6724520276b68ec26b48713c46e052b7415107e43509c1bf3e772","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0669613869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2812211651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1403533755},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0626891761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3602016826},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.160394313},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2917064741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1670973059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.069144852},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2728571538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1424847103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0669003657},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2820292172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1529717229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0696262097},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2657860196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1511829524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0648169935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3428829704},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.162304702},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660503499},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794038918},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1516380422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0698393094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2561583428},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1460229144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0698670877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2750279301},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1410993383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066350411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2927197957},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5978606853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0603335766},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3387731358},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5237052733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1220848818},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2643615092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6161962644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650503312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2414649398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1372069342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650336642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2596256132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1334801805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070628213},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724817343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5869712489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637961411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26614477},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1203706988},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624697275},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2258881437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6645059585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628116228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2686021039},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1471503496},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0671837043},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619114631},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5798647783},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0692017975},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798547965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5458384021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0675059326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2817867998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5884489976},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0664114677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152546747},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5268035199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662161307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2557314604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1336080593},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0761116487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2712067506},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1487950111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650574703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2711982355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.612786007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0586236002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2410584348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6283997294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0731338153},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2427123424},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.125133663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631836297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2658389478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5613519385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0801672799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6705774051},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.058686268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2431067195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5860620651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0585238206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2651229413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5743309317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676226014},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2349555299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1247219204},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631891854},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.411955273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1171346362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630058486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2198609336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6397499411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595335616},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3777394978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3603947297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2639614842},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895322967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2368782319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3515834543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2437425536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1869303827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3191872384},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640179209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2015528777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3051108353},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.262320678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2085196743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3270840093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.282129205},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1827840921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194269839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2455937902},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1899794851},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.276832078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2994767681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.233770129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921977178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2048081331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0918786095},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3132640555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4058654238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1242736582},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3856043296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1864416297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1012601178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2674584804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4750563173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10882337},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.350607174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2526473424},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2942887904},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2622408401},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3983798336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306941852},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2842975964},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4033258182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2998584368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2856432797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2729925489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3016436378},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3330176083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.371799638},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169226495},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3042979454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916791588},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3243255169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2589754745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3988580693},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3002431294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2869003493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2768189067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3085444258},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2669653186},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4087748609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2928877054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2725962362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3736340971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968421885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2761205183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2551132288},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2979782445},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2873795373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798050904},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3098592853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.309614362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167796296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3068562411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3442153462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3859683501},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956083092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2813441476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2689611364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3000611432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2889379054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.270708298},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3047791684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.305707804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3090813329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.304894659},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2979283651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924908003},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2948934514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2733575124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3148152245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3255884217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3361577466},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0670697468},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0760716155},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975820903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0717057613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077889385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0996074322},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023991567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1187800077},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1662614884},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2982097277},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2957541024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2942616698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3025862188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2982280986},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2955038009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3262519652},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3636019539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2171513418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0714651132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109376191},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1398037575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.298377016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.258015664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2220919663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3459530639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3381806211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327031442},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734005353},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3578106842},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3459280303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3053134952},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.304504469},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3070522561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2986491813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3034448619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3099387534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106329391},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1285513888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1703559846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3193337907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306642912},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879182992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2305589402},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2427638399},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123142934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3083184386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3096301426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.295173019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2790891328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3533805568},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3587700419},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3763141573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2544302848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4043067391},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4099474556},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3937666352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.514185083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4689603708},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3979273373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6712611088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5493941476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5386049969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1222264225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1335588531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1522350079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1568073087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1760525207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2018114864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128010961},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3376577814},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3719522876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3020512635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2733054603},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2422247099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2992512264},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2982079132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2942014199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2708958084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2391671898},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2052664378},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4776175728},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4923221026},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4713751755},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3059437667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.294758556},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2830415367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2548044811},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2045933301},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.191633571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4132525452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3536836004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.334910598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0117323aa66a6bfa92485b98cd86cf58ff7dca3f8e5f75ae82fd29e57f4d3d74","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041571741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0117323aa66a6bfa92485b98cd86cf58ff7dca3f8e5f75ae82fd29e57f4d3d74","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104157583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0117323aa66a6bfa92485b98cd86cf58ff7dca3f8e5f75ae82fd29e57f4d3d74","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041765761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1304238285},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1592021432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2220921497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041572842},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104159126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041813088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0d2b133c7d77ed33197368f9375238e4f02bb858403478f340f654173792e2c1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040129619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0d2b133c7d77ed33197368f9375238e4f02bb858403478f340f654173792e2c1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040311862},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0d2b133c7d77ed33197368f9375238e4f02bb858403478f340f654173792e2c1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040679085},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104395788},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047966305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058093138},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041625625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041866974},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042428923},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0887452732},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1059567054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1378294667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0820429728},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0939076127},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1196235715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0969106293},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7339105831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1813288813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075511693},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0834451744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1008912776},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041820618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047075177},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1067988461},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0736671586},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0888452196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1286015168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041698393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042246181},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043281201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040291723},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040306839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10408646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041902836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044746778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1092794896},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047012931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057266456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1082099141},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041695082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041932948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044231152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1310632068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1550149823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2094618386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041639509},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10420412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044676922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0819548393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.107999724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.171708179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040185032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040370038},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040601713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041627281},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042140068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042938989},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041586199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041760104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042081997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1081582694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.120082948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1553303438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041586213},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104326125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046743071},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770686665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0886397157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1293515308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0802228365},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0849340355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1641577356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054717194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566194967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628633621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.074028332},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0820118143},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0953508965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041461761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041465878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041495073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042071183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042747341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044920392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041514934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104151674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041698715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0762894859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895188438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1111011903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1354201487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1597562792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1760263035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041626731},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041800167},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042276054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1268739851},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1293309215},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1383975467},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041627864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041643214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042030344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041975621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043615235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1052493595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"bc15eb0f0fb842254b4977157a5d92d7c57514724c7197e095fca4a9076f2bd2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1180352663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"bc15eb0f0fb842254b4977157a5d92d7c57514724c7197e095fca4a9076f2bd2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1180356363},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"bc15eb0f0fb842254b4977157a5d92d7c57514724c7197e095fca4a9076f2bd2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041479539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941177544},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7936834832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.666665098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0887675514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993510822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1181957671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2492e4d012f9a1d2d56d0fa594799965a6d4acbf26142552c94e50ce2356b00","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040224066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2492e4d012f9a1d2d56d0fa594799965a6d4acbf26142552c94e50ce2356b00","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040309201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2492e4d012f9a1d2d56d0fa594799965a6d4acbf26142552c94e50ce2356b00","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041027275},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1266135173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1397880365},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5107955998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094217542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.115279046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5292034344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0720296836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0826804934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1133526212},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3180435013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3338358009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3531644292},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2852732924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3437363972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2477313481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3139119837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3281728153},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3543587177},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165525108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3309268504},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2612034328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3097197488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2846122276},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3439356322},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203289063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3448404567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440195179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AZO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3177695836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AZO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3394410275},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AZO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3711569797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2860268864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.342845574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3698523583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3164345187},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3404261591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3753351785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3163467278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3355868212},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3631097672},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3142732202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3386033664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498560383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956553561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2858368207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2695314241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2910316131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.335703748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3620021201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3181221654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3256033854},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.345555418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.295807788},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3261554443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3473117381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167933225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3402230752},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3654485993},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3174677997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.337615632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.365712721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3191260333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3361111371},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3625098372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3181264209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3357567142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3653551236},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3151868426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2762703819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2580655492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3125145085},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33509},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3642126096},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2957153785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2809815361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2681137906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3201363068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3415071824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.245474564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165153224},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3322161085},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3586988369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3095790268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2853747953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2658508193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3102189863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3257328697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3406435392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2896872186},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2691948632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2468864305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3176626609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3308698591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3570206165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2948166934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3289660339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3538525679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3173753156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2758339699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2579164172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3098906236},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3201561524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3348948431},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.31178971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3277228698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3562993116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2893616604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3446858837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2422502264},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3210918953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3376401656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3614294815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167579101},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3304437096},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3556193405},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3158006229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3326339479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2574536475},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138546992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3259559192},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3415566552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122783178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2834121881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2662891935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.293392443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3384889964},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2519608274},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3095606316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3208571259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2743614952},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3185781478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3368365996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3635855578},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131064975},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327056517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619843058},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3119648587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3331073491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3583623086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127042863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3251598056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3450488258},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TTD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2926774198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TTD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3373799065},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TTD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3659889608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3192491682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3430177334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2401519046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WAT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.315293037},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WAT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.334081603},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WAT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2546129372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3188919941},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3415238572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2456756569},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3113641273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3278314247},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3542973846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"00a049905199ac469a9fba64b6344da53114af7d80235f8884dc50c4f01901f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1323127391},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"00a049905199ac469a9fba64b6344da53114af7d80235f8884dc50c4f01901f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1341207173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"00a049905199ac469a9fba64b6344da53114af7d80235f8884dc50c4f01901f0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5847385124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"044c3011fda3cd18f3e9571cd86f61175b53237aa850e3f5530cf7d2374492ba","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0820515259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"044c3011fda3cd18f3e9571cd86f61175b53237aa850e3f5530cf7d2374492ba","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.082083971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"044c3011fda3cd18f3e9571cd86f61175b53237aa850e3f5530cf7d2374492ba","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0822163651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"0753f9ed5ca42a8980428b1952cebf8a524e1515f19d8ed408b2ad33396669f7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3022194643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"0753f9ed5ca42a8980428b1952cebf8a524e1515f19d8ed408b2ad33396669f7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.301351837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"0753f9ed5ca42a8980428b1952cebf8a524e1515f19d8ed408b2ad33396669f7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3045118959},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"0d4ec7a241c5fc470e0b742bb1d3c91f5b5fd37c59118505ca7eb9e3fa7ac4fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0682389049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"0d4ec7a241c5fc470e0b742bb1d3c91f5b5fd37c59118505ca7eb9e3fa7ac4fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545823785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"0d4ec7a241c5fc470e0b742bb1d3c91f5b5fd37c59118505ca7eb9e3fa7ac4fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054937129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"123bdd8a9e5f84206cb36447b6dc44a964e248de37c6ac5dabc3128a2a3f0f46","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0816488084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"123bdd8a9e5f84206cb36447b6dc44a964e248de37c6ac5dabc3128a2a3f0f46","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677840515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"123bdd8a9e5f84206cb36447b6dc44a964e248de37c6ac5dabc3128a2a3f0f46","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678367441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"181e33842a92a3925dcd3f8bb70011f87f6c168e6f997a63fd08bf499a1f738e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3058769331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"181e33842a92a3925dcd3f8bb70011f87f6c168e6f997a63fd08bf499a1f738e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3481749999},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"181e33842a92a3925dcd3f8bb70011f87f6c168e6f997a63fd08bf499a1f738e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2566690707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"19e88e9b09a731389bfc1e5d1c20493ef450b1f1234435c937a557ba1b8048f4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0689095008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"19e88e9b09a731389bfc1e5d1c20493ef450b1f1234435c937a557ba1b8048f4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552692663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"19e88e9b09a731389bfc1e5d1c20493ef450b1f1234435c937a557ba1b8048f4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0559576681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"1cca39143d5ce5dfa1bfb48e0b99b9c970cfa4049011704bd3107bfb6ea1c3db","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3455352168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"1cca39143d5ce5dfa1bfb48e0b99b9c970cfa4049011704bd3107bfb6ea1c3db","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2605079639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"1cca39143d5ce5dfa1bfb48e0b99b9c970cfa4049011704bd3107bfb6ea1c3db","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676068186},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"274a20120661b1ee2f638a19e5c425aea6c60ea7b75b8b29b7d21d85e00edfc6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0612935809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"274a20120661b1ee2f638a19e5c425aea6c60ea7b75b8b29b7d21d85e00edfc6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659717793},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"274a20120661b1ee2f638a19e5c425aea6c60ea7b75b8b29b7d21d85e00edfc6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.072567069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"2978e6b4d3cccbdfacbed29e60e49d3de40d1501f1e32597e84e5f0e624cc47f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567910808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"2978e6b4d3cccbdfacbed29e60e49d3de40d1501f1e32597e84e5f0e624cc47f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0584717644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"2978e6b4d3cccbdfacbed29e60e49d3de40d1501f1e32597e84e5f0e624cc47f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0615767884},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"3157077f3f4bb5666b520971f3fb90fef7569ffa3347093e432c2ba7b64ad019","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0750151702},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"3157077f3f4bb5666b520971f3fb90fef7569ffa3347093e432c2ba7b64ad019","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.077713165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"3157077f3f4bb5666b520971f3fb90fef7569ffa3347093e432c2ba7b64ad019","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0810491717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"409a5ded50c02a0fd0f086671ef1262fbed31503178fb56d3045076d77da8112","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2697628466},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"409a5ded50c02a0fd0f086671ef1262fbed31503178fb56d3045076d77da8112","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3735999503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"409a5ded50c02a0fd0f086671ef1262fbed31503178fb56d3045076d77da8112","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4016141952},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"4125088f11f16e7d2a2c4f0d23887aaf2b9766b9a7ee0cd324e16e82250df434","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0684513811},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"4125088f11f16e7d2a2c4f0d23887aaf2b9766b9a7ee0cd324e16e82250df434","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0669451308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"4125088f11f16e7d2a2c4f0d23887aaf2b9766b9a7ee0cd324e16e82250df434","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678203138},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"418b3b6cf1140eba6e21f20c2d1050b41088dc0963bd7bdc813226ccde9dfe72","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2755867452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"418b3b6cf1140eba6e21f20c2d1050b41088dc0963bd7bdc813226ccde9dfe72","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226997908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"418b3b6cf1140eba6e21f20c2d1050b41088dc0963bd7bdc813226ccde9dfe72","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.271758896},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538427214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538428897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053844061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"55e875e1b0802c85349c46d50eeebb0fd29ce7e02733f9962332ba16cf12bf49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1537333054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"55e875e1b0802c85349c46d50eeebb0fd29ce7e02733f9962332ba16cf12bf49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1572765382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"55e875e1b0802c85349c46d50eeebb0fd29ce7e02733f9962332ba16cf12bf49","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1815563244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"616432adb62d57d9bd7e8f8844695f7671554d5d80e2ce2b8b689e2673eceee1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0922303803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"616432adb62d57d9bd7e8f8844695f7671554d5d80e2ce2b8b689e2673eceee1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048520602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"616432adb62d57d9bd7e8f8844695f7671554d5d80e2ce2b8b689e2673eceee1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994447371},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"643c5961fe41035d9e260380459f5050f7202251691a6f6ca85c87701a8f1c19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0718872369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"643c5961fe41035d9e260380459f5050f7202251691a6f6ca85c87701a8f1c19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0728483659},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"643c5961fe41035d9e260380459f5050f7202251691a6f6ca85c87701a8f1c19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0723021468},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6a91e7ed6c1fee060fd80808d240fa26d31968aff20f634d593fe343247ac98b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0695489572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6a91e7ed6c1fee060fd80808d240fa26d31968aff20f634d593fe343247ac98b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0690814484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6a91e7ed6c1fee060fd80808d240fa26d31968aff20f634d593fe343247ac98b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1061750293},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6b54163ef0fd03bb8fe13a9bc84a45e66a5ea4c9f892e9843a7b32d9e9e54889","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3493967022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6b54163ef0fd03bb8fe13a9bc84a45e66a5ea4c9f892e9843a7b32d9e9e54889","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2625786381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6b54163ef0fd03bb8fe13a9bc84a45e66a5ea4c9f892e9843a7b32d9e9e54889","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3738671031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6e8a71ee5341795f1c3c1c1b63222e5e6368c6a3c4d9652eeb3ac7aaf878d363","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544837872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6e8a71ee5341795f1c3c1c1b63222e5e6368c6a3c4d9652eeb3ac7aaf878d363","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546835687},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6e8a71ee5341795f1c3c1c1b63222e5e6368c6a3c4d9652eeb3ac7aaf878d363","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549748519},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"7346aa891f4b0bb16562944b521fae5a4b25866f3d5829050b4288f4105eaa6e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540634488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"7346aa891f4b0bb16562944b521fae5a4b25866f3d5829050b4288f4105eaa6e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541998536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"7346aa891f4b0bb16562944b521fae5a4b25866f3d5829050b4288f4105eaa6e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545639137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"73b4211a0b5e36e8b9e6e5cd7ea56a9e96e48cfc915aeb098ad12df98295949e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.069370176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"73b4211a0b5e36e8b9e6e5cd7ea56a9e96e48cfc915aeb098ad12df98295949e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0694559554},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"73b4211a0b5e36e8b9e6e5cd7ea56a9e96e48cfc915aeb098ad12df98295949e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0714231032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"79f0173ffa67eb11babd74a5a35b4588b01f2eeae678dee1d512a2252aff5888","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545744828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"79f0173ffa67eb11babd74a5a35b4588b01f2eeae678dee1d512a2252aff5888","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549412119},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"79f0173ffa67eb11babd74a5a35b4588b01f2eeae678dee1d512a2252aff5888","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055423507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"7a7120b9a21fde5f708183084258b18d27d795ffd965477f60986932a010a49f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0880613631},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"7a7120b9a21fde5f708183084258b18d27d795ffd965477f60986932a010a49f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0884765125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"7a7120b9a21fde5f708183084258b18d27d795ffd965477f60986932a010a49f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0893921746},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"822017f9638dde6e392933bad78ba8c8e847c9e7a7bb58a1295500f516a39cd2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0816323531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"822017f9638dde6e392933bad78ba8c8e847c9e7a7bb58a1295500f516a39cd2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0816605259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"822017f9638dde6e392933bad78ba8c8e847c9e7a7bb58a1295500f516a39cd2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0817014844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"84560290f0fdd0e711e926a753f1afc7e2f130115d683bccf996c12bd11ddfc4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548341293},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"84560290f0fdd0e711e926a753f1afc7e2f130115d683bccf996c12bd11ddfc4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554759774},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"84560290f0fdd0e711e926a753f1afc7e2f130115d683bccf996c12bd11ddfc4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567731905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"897df10eea1ce69116cdd575c9757746a702d275e4c467583952653b767385ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677334966},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"897df10eea1ce69116cdd575c9757746a702d275e4c467583952653b767385ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677339544},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"897df10eea1ce69116cdd575c9757746a702d275e4c467583952653b767385ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0677407434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"8a674c0c1e915dd8a5897a031e36909008a9fdf2e2c8b1e4d76f728a14e85953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549535465},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"8a674c0c1e915dd8a5897a031e36909008a9fdf2e2c8b1e4d76f728a14e85953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551807941},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"8a674c0c1e915dd8a5897a031e36909008a9fdf2e2c8b1e4d76f728a14e85953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556735005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"94024406efd3b31d9fed52aa7f75e0d773ab280b527167d29fe2c7da9e3f8049","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0842926766},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"94024406efd3b31d9fed52aa7f75e0d773ab280b527167d29fe2c7da9e3f8049","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0871835639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"94024406efd3b31d9fed52aa7f75e0d773ab280b527167d29fe2c7da9e3f8049","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0937382417},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"9c2a318d050a0c01e7aa14d9c4a0b5d5256c82d1fdbf9bd89259d170bb6a86b7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0841293403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"9c2a318d050a0c01e7aa14d9c4a0b5d5256c82d1fdbf9bd89259d170bb6a86b7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0864696061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"9c2a318d050a0c01e7aa14d9c4a0b5d5256c82d1fdbf9bd89259d170bb6a86b7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1277160423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"9d634c992383178a8000854793cb90aec47d883128079809aa4156161857c7a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541611245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"9d634c992383178a8000854793cb90aec47d883128079809aa4156161857c7a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541990841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"9d634c992383178a8000854793cb90aec47d883128079809aa4156161857c7a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0542949409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055870482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0575799583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0607662968},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"ab03ce9b4b4ceab969c1bad45e9f7b360fbf88df20fcd9119736e345e77f577b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538485559},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"ab03ce9b4b4ceab969c1bad45e9f7b360fbf88df20fcd9119736e345e77f577b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053865839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"ab03ce9b4b4ceab969c1bad45e9f7b360fbf88df20fcd9119736e345e77f577b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538963118},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.117747733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1374644897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961284408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138232363},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2713932781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3071061666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d6cfb1dbeff7cb7fde1788b6d3fcab7adbebac4f6d9609a2c221b6815dd39907","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005705631},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d6cfb1dbeff7cb7fde1788b6d3fcab7adbebac4f6d9609a2c221b6815dd39907","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041078735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d6cfb1dbeff7cb7fde1788b6d3fcab7adbebac4f6d9609a2c221b6815dd39907","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.108009613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d88c1f6fb332d08add9d5dbbddfb34e317bdb14d98f4e465fbe09b96525bc481","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539999493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d88c1f6fb332d08add9d5dbbddfb34e317bdb14d98f4e465fbe09b96525bc481","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540408506},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d88c1f6fb332d08add9d5dbbddfb34e317bdb14d98f4e465fbe09b96525bc481","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541117297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d8fd625887b1335ac000dfa80bd67b53c98c7db1b64c50a1026e0c2355034850","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576716823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d8fd625887b1335ac000dfa80bd67b53c98c7db1b64c50a1026e0c2355034850","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0589509839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d8fd625887b1335ac000dfa80bd67b53c98c7db1b64c50a1026e0c2355034850","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609474128},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2314360883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2346930935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2338250217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"dc55c43ce17ab2246dbe364c2eb8e4a9194d66bdb215004fa108595f00320394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539571518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"dc55c43ce17ab2246dbe364c2eb8e4a9194d66bdb215004fa108595f00320394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540189452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"dc55c43ce17ab2246dbe364c2eb8e4a9194d66bdb215004fa108595f00320394","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541706181},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"e2dd788be5180dc96b1202b861fc7a6ff3bc7c146b492d1a1686bb3c21adc9b4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540552309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"e2dd788be5180dc96b1202b861fc7a6ff3bc7c146b492d1a1686bb3c21adc9b4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541446865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"e2dd788be5180dc96b1202b861fc7a6ff3bc7c146b492d1a1686bb3c21adc9b4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544748482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"eaa5bb6a84590ac40778a6a1be2403f6b7e60f1e636987566dbc5517c0ae406c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0743767139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"eaa5bb6a84590ac40778a6a1be2403f6b7e60f1e636987566dbc5517c0ae406c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1178221355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"eaa5bb6a84590ac40778a6a1be2403f6b7e60f1e636987566dbc5517c0ae406c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0860737654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"eb5315a618033ded4b60bd36f659477ec080cff43e308268d1d6fe472768ae8d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550980765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"eb5315a618033ded4b60bd36f659477ec080cff43e308268d1d6fe472768ae8d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556229196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"eb5315a618033ded4b60bd36f659477ec080cff43e308268d1d6fe472768ae8d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567757189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0817226865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0820693929},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0822481741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3767619104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2914802084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867925098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"f926682cc23c69ba51e3f9f6a46664eababcc63145fc83417cb4abf455b04c08","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539711188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"f926682cc23c69ba51e3f9f6a46664eababcc63145fc83417cb4abf455b04c08","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539720627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"f926682cc23c69ba51e3f9f6a46664eababcc63145fc83417cb4abf455b04c08","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539747155},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0564383793},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0577940712},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0594773804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fef64d8f20c964d6708373e1472436bf6580e5dfa0bb2e431894d50fafff84a9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956720013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fef64d8f20c964d6708373e1472436bf6580e5dfa0bb2e431894d50fafff84a9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0808008922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fef64d8f20c964d6708373e1472436bf6580e5dfa0bb2e431894d50fafff84a9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811275211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fff8d1d6b7d9eee2f6b482635d4cc8df11acd69cfc229ed893605d02dee9bd5a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2907805842},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fff8d1d6b7d9eee2f6b482635d4cc8df11acd69cfc229ed893605d02dee9bd5a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3026534168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fff8d1d6b7d9eee2f6b482635d4cc8df11acd69cfc229ed893605d02dee9bd5a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2875578019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4222547591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1218102654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624480469},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2169292823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1093044766},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614980292},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4264478124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1306382079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2480011375},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1283659433},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701718021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25310855},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1295492987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0597118848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.22277326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1360938652},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0699981878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2258847719},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1264325739},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060099392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2057729429},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1249103233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0615774196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2188851548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1152212536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0572257273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2230065977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1142934585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631383376},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2198728316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1072211044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578868507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2452903467},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262659041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0617424782},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2152101608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1131256043},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0567271069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.219056524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1358827502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0746371632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2130184344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1114878506},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578118493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2277054616},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1231547349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.071460715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2048291919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1075933335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0570271124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2031480487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0894294391},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568479424},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2146714103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1217269305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0741385428},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2262633815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1220324918},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637536268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2115305972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1219158229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0729093532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.202022381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1072933279},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0582090789},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2330846068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1206880223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659258896},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.219859328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1170323985},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0610051867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2307101031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.126211198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659663903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.215868738},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1125934268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.061109133},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4837995536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1051432878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0605496226},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4848337043},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1063321989},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0623786012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1926115862},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1011043236},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0582271348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2000575029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1017696693},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600126126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2047365},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029043572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0569938341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4431646358},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1113322922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0601176701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4439996092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.117432406},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704649187},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1918666289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1011987698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0570812801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1955233073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.105953824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.059248765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3321156853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3626814255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2646272626},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.276142779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2825640879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3414701504},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2204454388},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1842994867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2991400047},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2662181917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933980233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2565081725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2221700927},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.340487041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5336970005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1512441478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2965541977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.228478922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2279289117},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3067359374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2780298464},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6686315775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3265490233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3011930179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1766446217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2156165629},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1314308916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1002168626},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3962960775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1494607812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0950764334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3979923673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.151371928},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0902041203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2951255984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.419013549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2641649042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2527627083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2261511008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2623252368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128218977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3314722976},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3545881983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816430168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3514578663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.387324984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3192368829},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.346421942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3873540096},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.294527212},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3337356395},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2677459549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3058672112},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3306774},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3736658109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3119469311},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3385053566},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3820318892},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968488647},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3321694672},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3583596506},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3139837792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3140651342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3362365589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3013155734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.307494595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3024269525},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3201522047},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2681414871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3852959329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968821932},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3370995141},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3565408698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.30623506},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3058123927},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136032141},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3195118724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3399964988},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3698297384},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.333466401},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3208289913},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3060355175},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0703408398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797066195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1152832719},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3021113346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145018887},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.293253206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155631926},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131538108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3150954814},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2923462864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3331916701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2731881211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3499890278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3009089312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3250985166},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3019115013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2692789957},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2980391978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0815838027},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956941524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1269347529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3613809121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3616675416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3599173755},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2814218052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.276350711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2666166572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3124192686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3141007344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3214278174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704133404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.073753591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0861851342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25696511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1932642211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1473024586},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0963078076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0985792613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126691175},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3533665715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2291283803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3405940438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3219187453},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921143761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.270090675},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2730653648},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3938606591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3308541568},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2498726701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2170795241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.291407099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3526170829},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3968698486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3032766144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3233251737},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3442184271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203702587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2643698564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2384063137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3056187077},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2974803739},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3850095199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4026551929},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4110989995},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2536972817},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2608527253},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2803528001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3043146315},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2963792162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.322015051},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.300916249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3113444926},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3214162113},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2932613135},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2799199558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2703115656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2658158211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2222899425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1851720178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6062753536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5719928889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4950470458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4281372349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4377890021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4263980746},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3158793706},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4338281349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327836826},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4246431191},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3954946642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3597988279},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2945039102},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3854208179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3692649331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901665154},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3811691475},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.345163617},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2963894463},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3472693764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3290372511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6301704692},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6157615384},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5682688114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0740927641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0851818043},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1054766274},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040327121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041228805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045508329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075920576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0880651915},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1220380474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.090404124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1098655982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1413384075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039787667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039813362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041025468},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039060986},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039826573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104185395},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0737483133},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0745996625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0810095043},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040909354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043944983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1053614725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543674517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0554428051},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0593563226},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039884335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040228788},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042348287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039826562},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040001582},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041285628},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038444314},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038633206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038977691},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103989878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104012934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041004928},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b84647ac79598cc907b31cf1a0eb5aa9b35ae2365e8fcd340f335dc7d4f564a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038492215},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b84647ac79598cc907b31cf1a0eb5aa9b35ae2365e8fcd340f335dc7d4f564a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038662412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b84647ac79598cc907b31cf1a0eb5aa9b35ae2365e8fcd340f335dc7d4f564a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039123704},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040329905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040927155},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042428966},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1170132578},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1434693095},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5648895932},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0714204921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821206361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1026932421},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"829075fe690276eb3114bfa2836d3aa34ad61cce046054b986c3c5e8b755b15c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.054842405},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"829075fe690276eb3114bfa2836d3aa34ad61cce046054b986c3c5e8b755b15c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0565104361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"829075fe690276eb3114bfa2836d3aa34ad61cce046054b986c3c5e8b755b15c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0626480506},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039938781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104029047},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042316092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521719429},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6130583185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2096896826},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662092837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771316542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938875223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8bff28e35f0e33813ec5f3f2b14d37d4196d63fac21b2a7e9933707a27f671d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039882668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8bff28e35f0e33813ec5f3f2b14d37d4196d63fac21b2a7e9933707a27f671d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040392678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8bff28e35f0e33813ec5f3f2b14d37d4196d63fac21b2a7e9933707a27f671d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041461048},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040559898},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044829977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.109529703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784984019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.08810547},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1121045288},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1271208359},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1660926101},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4977510722},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038882094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039353786},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041424497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d5864e3e45973c1e336d54db06b8e02d5bb02f5790b0923deb638b92164d384","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039827806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d5864e3e45973c1e336d54db06b8e02d5bb02f5790b0923deb638b92164d384","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039997887},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d5864e3e45973c1e336d54db06b8e02d5bb02f5790b0923deb638b92164d384","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041074757},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1280004276},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1557279622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2099629002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911319153},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1156823733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.158105387},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0902596768},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1013821066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1276825972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ab5c58a4f7851613998a972c236017f60c6f9cd402b83743cac441683c363680","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0928319471},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ab5c58a4f7851613998a972c236017f60c6f9cd402b83743cac441683c363680","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042710493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ab5c58a4f7851613998a972c236017f60c6f9cd402b83743cac441683c363680","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1267714691},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0848596317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0926486103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1072822166},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039880468},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039954954},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041313445},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0978709305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1112545129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1373438885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039883802},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040237169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041368407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039994898},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10406734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042036736},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0888429838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.135282739},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1880226117},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0817372956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915319228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.113910118},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0827928709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1097655963},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1709556267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0767038684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1136212238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6143750098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039953781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040238233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041193254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0746872197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0860095976},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1100822689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039783928},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039827695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040009499},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0686814965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0817761853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1247492091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040229342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043347194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1055688097},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040069339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040927132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1043566626},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2cfd4cd4dd2dcf1a05ea950e3ae4b2ed9146c64b51dc5c56315875cc43e0e0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0926597216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2cfd4cd4dd2dcf1a05ea950e3ae4b2ed9146c64b51dc5c56315875cc43e0e0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.113471221},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2cfd4cd4dd2dcf1a05ea950e3ae4b2ed9146c64b51dc5c56315875cc43e0e0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1636367099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038550427},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038627667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039033903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040546564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041278244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044843867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039785478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1039995526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104044804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314313065},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3279414055},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3505669886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3021095603},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3183301917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3017817221},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127063112},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3266418072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640880381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2907246272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3358164624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3592814762},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3175684351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3396942954},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.369968327},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.315599194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2787559434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2587197376},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3249966508},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3500458999},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3837101457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3184058877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3316103014},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2617163157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3241526716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2731795635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2491198444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3164355709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3329911864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3521414937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3195166729},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3420498691},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3743929727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3162475697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3312117673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3470672991},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138194099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2819541661},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660662265},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956917888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3230894956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2688457158},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203804246},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2727049089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2499344921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3188077606},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.279488008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640025311},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2960785478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3272844284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3425052186},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.293478009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2799062711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2621426197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3157113517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3348182695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2542853494},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3109783455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794530059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2645182724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3221777995},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644564482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2428971908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152462103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2780162191},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3607931341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.320127489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3374334903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3664592608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906713963},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707960303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3684701495},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3163390208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738054605},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2505928547},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2872559894},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2702393636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2462501842},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2920217625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2754315987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2572725972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3160553988},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3315186844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3533894206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MAR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2875220647},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MAR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MAR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2526741678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MOH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.307741526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MOH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3255983016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MOH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.263921614},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2963700534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859410118},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2706508555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2919378926},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2936216743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2834129648},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3103257265},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2861545469},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3403591488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146151667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2806964443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2649490389},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3117317019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3248311918},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3469904415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146297022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3294379546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2632810148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2907899882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3374506547},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3617811219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PSKY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3175544816},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PSKY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2817726505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PSKY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2699700149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3189783924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.273529785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2520008524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3230982608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3404766179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3705469384},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2931365267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2770085366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2605166271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2920474758},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2773667821},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2613832731},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3158353871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3330067218},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3565209707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"VTRS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123993739},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"VTRS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868984953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"VTRS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2723677412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2907730309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.279282901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2607673223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933808426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3254536494},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.339065913},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"00ec60fc48a12136178cf46443d3b8e7ea0bea0c368afe41200f20c6329f7dd2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.06298571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"00ec60fc48a12136178cf46443d3b8e7ea0bea0c368afe41200f20c6329f7dd2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513538867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"00ec60fc48a12136178cf46443d3b8e7ea0bea0c368afe41200f20c6329f7dd2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511120344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0a81aa2d53af747a506dc58c0cb97875d737f3f35f7d9a3678307fc029b4de69","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618090936},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0a81aa2d53af747a506dc58c0cb97875d737f3f35f7d9a3678307fc029b4de69","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618693377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0a81aa2d53af747a506dc58c0cb97875d737f3f35f7d9a3678307fc029b4de69","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0622749324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0561833351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0570642068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0593175522},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0f227969fe8bd73b70dd1652c9d80059ef9e7fbbafe1e86366e9c3f7b00a28ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530415208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0f227969fe8bd73b70dd1652c9d80059ef9e7fbbafe1e86366e9c3f7b00a28ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537829244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0f227969fe8bd73b70dd1652c9d80059ef9e7fbbafe1e86366e9c3f7b00a28ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549535177},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"102767a88f6d075527f03c402c40e476cf5c467e5173922095d58b4f7bc99921","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991259906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"102767a88f6d075527f03c402c40e476cf5c467e5173922095d58b4f7bc99921","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1017362443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"102767a88f6d075527f03c402c40e476cf5c467e5173922095d58b4f7bc99921","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033560506},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"10dd44afffe94d13e79aa679225f20a837818f17004460ab0b000884bee6b453","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627151819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"10dd44afffe94d13e79aa679225f20a837818f17004460ab0b000884bee6b453","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522163245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"10dd44afffe94d13e79aa679225f20a837818f17004460ab0b000884bee6b453","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534891079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"14a7a20a9f1c2c96df98336dac569e523de1fa5c439058f5c1723d09fa7e84b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503496987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"14a7a20a9f1c2c96df98336dac569e523de1fa5c439058f5c1723d09fa7e84b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504192476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"14a7a20a9f1c2c96df98336dac569e523de1fa5c439058f5c1723d09fa7e84b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505866623},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"1a1a62f30060096bde1974f01231b6fbd543e89dee58803a35a07834bbb71cb9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0733229067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"1a1a62f30060096bde1974f01231b6fbd543e89dee58803a35a07834bbb71cb9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620801248},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"1a1a62f30060096bde1974f01231b6fbd543e89dee58803a35a07834bbb71cb9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649321948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"20ef5a47055e5593c63f1dfb0979def75d522e2d74abeaefc8e5a53a8fd20bd6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528044198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"20ef5a47055e5593c63f1dfb0979def75d522e2d74abeaefc8e5a53a8fd20bd6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534732785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"20ef5a47055e5593c63f1dfb0979def75d522e2d74abeaefc8e5a53a8fd20bd6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0547809962},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650298946},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549163298},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560671432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0615670999},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0551917433},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052231825},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"270e01f2c86479e7c72867ec5c7cc84cb41762bacf7ed7f8814d5ce0e99ba3de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509419447},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"270e01f2c86479e7c72867ec5c7cc84cb41762bacf7ed7f8814d5ce0e99ba3de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509767513},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"270e01f2c86479e7c72867ec5c7cc84cb41762bacf7ed7f8814d5ce0e99ba3de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511032504},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"27f93eed3e1f9314f12558ef9b081d2340ec4b20f324f801a3da34e6e4498ac6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2103961781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"27f93eed3e1f9314f12558ef9b081d2340ec4b20f324f801a3da34e6e4498ac6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2368561212},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"27f93eed3e1f9314f12558ef9b081d2340ec4b20f324f801a3da34e6e4498ac6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4188664739},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"2c589789ca64da4b396d27477dd221f02e18f8d1c4eb050f5f6f5acbb1cfd55a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532640023},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"2c589789ca64da4b396d27477dd221f02e18f8d1c4eb050f5f6f5acbb1cfd55a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545687251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"2c589789ca64da4b396d27477dd221f02e18f8d1c4eb050f5f6f5acbb1cfd55a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0562336788},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"3a1360a4e194b535b3a9e62cd39b441d828778aeea087e36d8a73ce5e3352506","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509705172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"3a1360a4e194b535b3a9e62cd39b441d828778aeea087e36d8a73ce5e3352506","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509599269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"3a1360a4e194b535b3a9e62cd39b441d828778aeea087e36d8a73ce5e3352506","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510511826},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4702e7ff2f55b8a5db773cc75d7b6447bc272eee1bf2b839ef8f84c7ef282a4f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502915599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4702e7ff2f55b8a5db773cc75d7b6447bc272eee1bf2b839ef8f84c7ef282a4f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503054853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4702e7ff2f55b8a5db773cc75d7b6447bc272eee1bf2b839ef8f84c7ef282a4f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503292251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4703bb3b6388a56387e7e4a2b489a02f2374fe7a0173ddaa3ace4a6fbc9640f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625017599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4703bb3b6388a56387e7e4a2b489a02f2374fe7a0173ddaa3ace4a6fbc9640f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512962962},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4703bb3b6388a56387e7e4a2b489a02f2374fe7a0173ddaa3ace4a6fbc9640f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511116635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"47aceb7529788153ac770e83d9a51e70f5bd5ed5d7476d32fb586424ac444039","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0999160757},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"47aceb7529788153ac770e83d9a51e70f5bd5ed5d7476d32fb586424ac444039","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0998506217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"47aceb7529788153ac770e83d9a51e70f5bd5ed5d7476d32fb586424ac444039","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994704426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4c5838cada42d44ac688a0efee008646d66f82d768050b79247d1187336b7041","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590969211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4c5838cada42d44ac688a0efee008646d66f82d768050b79247d1187336b7041","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600277325},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4c5838cada42d44ac688a0efee008646d66f82d768050b79247d1187336b7041","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628742594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"51d732942c96e49feab240dba706ac169da31dacff3cca8107c2866113324aa3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126198609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"51d732942c96e49feab240dba706ac169da31dacff3cca8107c2866113324aa3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3191876766},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"51d732942c96e49feab240dba706ac169da31dacff3cca8107c2866113324aa3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841533718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5932fbd2a5b1c25113929c442e4df8f8ce6dfa4013bb37cdc4bd28a3dc143018","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.301924632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5932fbd2a5b1c25113929c442e4df8f8ce6dfa4013bb37cdc4bd28a3dc143018","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3036018924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5932fbd2a5b1c25113929c442e4df8f8ce6dfa4013bb37cdc4bd28a3dc143018","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3383925475},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5c85331f03dc37ebab48332b19bd8ebde8c22ff0984b939facd489b87280a7a5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0649263767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5c85331f03dc37ebab48332b19bd8ebde8c22ff0984b939facd489b87280a7a5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066283185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5c85331f03dc37ebab48332b19bd8ebde8c22ff0984b939facd489b87280a7a5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0687013491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5deef8db1c971774080b8a4647dba21f84c61214a5891baeeb431d9f0f40a2c1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504936321},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5deef8db1c971774080b8a4647dba21f84c61214a5891baeeb431d9f0f40a2c1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505609948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5deef8db1c971774080b8a4647dba21f84c61214a5891baeeb431d9f0f40a2c1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0508241201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784251645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0825597593},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0883473079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"60e3d1c01c9ccd0be42f525efe7b0eb8e2fb9ef4aa12ef5e5f9eb1d02376fd3c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3884478324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"60e3d1c01c9ccd0be42f525efe7b0eb8e2fb9ef4aa12ef5e5f9eb1d02376fd3c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3819524253},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"60e3d1c01c9ccd0be42f525efe7b0eb8e2fb9ef4aa12ef5e5f9eb1d02376fd3c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3595900886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"6d9d7200951ce0f2e717f375d12ce911b7399f58a0ac0a56172979ab52f1901a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510745565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"6d9d7200951ce0f2e717f375d12ce911b7399f58a0ac0a56172979ab52f1901a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510023938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"6d9d7200951ce0f2e717f375d12ce911b7399f58a0ac0a56172979ab52f1901a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050948176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"78ced8d1691dcc09a76703270781778b7ada7ec4616397081f73975eca3228fe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079638806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"78ced8d1691dcc09a76703270781778b7ada7ec4616397081f73975eca3228fe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1101119558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"78ced8d1691dcc09a76703270781778b7ada7ec4616397081f73975eca3228fe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1137697018},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"78fa565cfb6bbc2bd79844dbfec8854fa8759f077a2258f793c5398648d5222f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2802483498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"78fa565cfb6bbc2bd79844dbfec8854fa8759f077a2258f793c5398648d5222f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676117148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"78fa565cfb6bbc2bd79844dbfec8854fa8759f077a2258f793c5398648d5222f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2620942096},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"7e2cda65cb0b8c2de02a53102ab27a981cd27008ce5be5ae95e4a393472b7a2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0617062939},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"7e2cda65cb0b8c2de02a53102ab27a981cd27008ce5be5ae95e4a393472b7a2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503476859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"7e2cda65cb0b8c2de02a53102ab27a981cd27008ce5be5ae95e4a393472b7a2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503946796},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"8bbae492677b57778c0df09916eb6d0b4f9f776614a55efda43fb06f7ebc51be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3087811869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"8bbae492677b57778c0df09916eb6d0b4f9f776614a55efda43fb06f7ebc51be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3014939219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"8bbae492677b57778c0df09916eb6d0b4f9f776614a55efda43fb06f7ebc51be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3421890793},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3433212983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3408647253},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3533400888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"adce5fb334dbde74c2272f01e353c670e8855f2ebe7f60ca798562b7507ad56b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0840359535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"adce5fb334dbde74c2272f01e353c670e8855f2ebe7f60ca798562b7507ad56b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.085015885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"adce5fb334dbde74c2272f01e353c670e8855f2ebe7f60ca798562b7507ad56b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.089418891},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b04f6aeb8f3f9be05df9e81a8d1b08ca73b0a1780641f62d271fd600d603494d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055482457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b04f6aeb8f3f9be05df9e81a8d1b08ca73b0a1780641f62d271fd600d603494d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0561965768},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b04f6aeb8f3f9be05df9e81a8d1b08ca73b0a1780641f62d271fd600d603494d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0580763813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3259858267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3363723418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3360764803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b1bd1dcc07e5e43b1d02d7f26edbda9df4116aaca2a266d6090e360a2f8f98e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4407985865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b1bd1dcc07e5e43b1d02d7f26edbda9df4116aaca2a266d6090e360a2f8f98e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.231201208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b1bd1dcc07e5e43b1d02d7f26edbda9df4116aaca2a266d6090e360a2f8f98e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2275706436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2522942812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.256726067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2260401093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b99cde44bf887959b2da15efc5f730789011e25782adac3bf20f2ef5e81b073a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1071194777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b99cde44bf887959b2da15efc5f730789011e25782adac3bf20f2ef5e81b073a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1084069228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b99cde44bf887959b2da15efc5f730789011e25782adac3bf20f2ef5e81b073a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1094781877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"ba4369563a5038da71698e33c2f8393cf07d83b6115427b145051374d046afd8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2672929444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"ba4369563a5038da71698e33c2f8393cf07d83b6115427b145051374d046afd8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757343373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"ba4369563a5038da71698e33c2f8393cf07d83b6115427b145051374d046afd8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2720106827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"bddb3c88ed316b4d4363d2ca5c5acbf165e0e1a254c8c42a64edf6cdacd16ee7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632072529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"bddb3c88ed316b4d4363d2ca5c5acbf165e0e1a254c8c42a64edf6cdacd16ee7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528279196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"bddb3c88ed316b4d4363d2ca5c5acbf165e0e1a254c8c42a64edf6cdacd16ee7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545620433},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"bee9b4f96f23d458deedbf4d273b0b0356790f020c737c06f66c67c3ccae90ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9460223971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"bee9b4f96f23d458deedbf4d273b0b0356790f020c737c06f66c67c3ccae90ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0590926011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"bee9b4f96f23d458deedbf4d273b0b0356790f020c737c06f66c67c3ccae90ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.061369539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"c35fcf7b563fb0e0f1b2bafb28de6cf49348fcc9eefad3910903bd08fdcbea2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518242769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"c35fcf7b563fb0e0f1b2bafb28de6cf49348fcc9eefad3910903bd08fdcbea2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516981615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"c35fcf7b563fb0e0f1b2bafb28de6cf49348fcc9eefad3910903bd08fdcbea2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0519740822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"c8efef925f6ca8dda786a0ffd199765a7d0e6e61b577f1e23bcfda44abcb255e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2438216158},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"c8efef925f6ca8dda786a0ffd199765a7d0e6e61b577f1e23bcfda44abcb255e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440662049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"c8efef925f6ca8dda786a0ffd199765a7d0e6e61b577f1e23bcfda44abcb255e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3842114997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"cd6b9ade12913c585759c17434485c00786a4538f61f164a8d86c948f8765688","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545118318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"cd6b9ade12913c585759c17434485c00786a4538f61f164a8d86c948f8765688","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.056114627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"cd6b9ade12913c585759c17434485c00786a4538f61f164a8d86c948f8765688","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609199587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d13164a14ead5bbbeebceb2c273af666cdfcf8d8c769d57fab9f7afbf13c6d8f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0902835905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d13164a14ead5bbbeebceb2c273af666cdfcf8d8c769d57fab9f7afbf13c6d8f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093126297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d13164a14ead5bbbeebceb2c273af666cdfcf8d8c769d57fab9f7afbf13c6d8f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0968195882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951102017},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022119226},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1019733789},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3713023212},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2686297983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2666441764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0878473002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895289811},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0920153152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"e06472142c571193cbc6dc5d563d572b1589a4d2f020c2556e42859ab3da6c28","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504939825},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"e06472142c571193cbc6dc5d563d572b1589a4d2f020c2556e42859ab3da6c28","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505928568},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"e06472142c571193cbc6dc5d563d572b1589a4d2f020c2556e42859ab3da6c28","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0507720296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"e705fa1f2a3f807ce3cdfb23788a4d3c0e4f86cfae6c8e13448400814af51772","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2283576378},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"e705fa1f2a3f807ce3cdfb23788a4d3c0e4f86cfae6c8e13448400814af51772","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2292545858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"e705fa1f2a3f807ce3cdfb23788a4d3c0e4f86cfae6c8e13448400814af51772","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2284524098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0559846284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0575732981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600884193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1987128543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.128913364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803455368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2129082052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1292679069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0787478212},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2125232349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1390910286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0901841013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2009259458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1284659781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0799295853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2082309666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1211134209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797330868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2043446313},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1376067664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0980181997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2148971948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1284665802},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0808182607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.214745386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.135369835},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0843080079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2047264467},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1333269681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0905011445},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2003992056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.118363441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0758865239},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2234306738},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1416314529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990567638},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2320989741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1469859593},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962601933},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2090002337},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1335144668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099686441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2226035889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1448996109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005567529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2514033786},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.151104111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0753525733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1908492753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1205361524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0781148713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2101354981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1207543327},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0701642021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1878538427},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110649861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0743773986},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1833766026},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1189634366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10592385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.181505889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1176723552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0855746805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.206562797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262361108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0793668622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2003310243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791966816},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2028135971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1329313801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1197692489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1978321789},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1168325886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0729548181},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2091218692},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1215872811},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.186185673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1141725625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0739251746},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1875402086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109725859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075442209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.173499402},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1142225622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803114462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1862947631},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1146043776},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0746205786},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2112308784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1288106903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0715460556},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1810646195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1169207243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0802846282},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1904265512},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1254361167},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0888376112},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1926719893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1208497865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0847222321},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1774486848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1146079838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0839770558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1747084841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1101998643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0836910124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3549298953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169029003},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1892745059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2379961879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933623889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2533533644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.196094737},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3139556415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2526618873},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.187372028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3300638494},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4549143361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2137866078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.344025265},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2521577664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2067368411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3346901045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4604634188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2223222484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3376844235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4463753446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2322001913},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2445524291},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1642329247},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1427780355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2445189984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1851411603},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1285633665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2297808092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1729903148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1369587598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2162334125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1510510794},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1119362152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2320920635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1692231117},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225861375},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.358715001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2634677254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2225607761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2446802241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2417758423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.345600819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2864395888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.293194627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2998746595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3493815827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.379109632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.414084831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.320485084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3426945754},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3789486877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2977004029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.302157653},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3096510137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2883992649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2957120486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3060245574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.296933936},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3270198595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3692081438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.311495686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3401522531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3795148644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3040853016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3242734562},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3432547202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2577040441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2252906341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1943968933},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3077918114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3334991252},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3746013145},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3230071542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3433608699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3724629705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3066325569},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3176308605},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3275195711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2884182417},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3354539244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3665027199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3049391114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.31871905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3345906642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3037981776},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3113928459},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2806950685},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3073096827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3251575322},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.349466518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3023263115},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3050003017},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3089674004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3036697129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3024770501},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3021722147},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2982199367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3007420133},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3063250574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2963726958},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.318405782},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3430896901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2911401452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2944466548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114551668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0868358672},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0952824218},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1276365778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2484689699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2135936715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1726545668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286606063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.292689946},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3239016802},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3012035737},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3050526048},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2972917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993398254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3067573271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2927331919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3239305114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3468350193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165298709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4283323151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4211308909},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4410834076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968010675},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3134469475},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3268292261},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2549093897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.209570569},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4884071856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0865217162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895218684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1222141918},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1316493356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1617991028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2376187361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2474836653},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3109351338},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3018151032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3032879482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738757996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2480058761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2204079329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2960247541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2913915774},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2821712543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2991249115},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2936032274},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1904908154},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.496215301},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2693026935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791572981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2950085612},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3099731519},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5245768007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4812619517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2396934719},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2329364308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2410205493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2637861564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2706807175},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2546306378},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2300197989},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205091888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3514036182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3831553344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2260448158},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1849231068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1494905691},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3084561945},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3186634655},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.283970838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916867516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2985422827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3066992767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3738134409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3724131929},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3676555898},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2507136698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4010143518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1885598741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3214169888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2690326908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2996447259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1319684903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1348065828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1409693114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911884127},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912441409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915391937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911890149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912458681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914107328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1780766413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.198903762},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316580683},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979908625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1095725961},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1386723836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1015706638},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1157275249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5723368554},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0987863113},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1095362328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1382996591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912062312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912466413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0916641024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911645042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912067766},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913094122},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912095489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912787315},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0917034653},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912278687},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914017875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0920445991},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.111949897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1215770994},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1371880308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913994107},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0916395453},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0927171738},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029010539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1051737646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1120263964},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515596107},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0535572779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600675485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911790509},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912346069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913976039},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0910936406},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911613219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915459555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1308133956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1395725589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.164631285},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911656083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09118324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913142086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5954261038},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5314776529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4356706641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"80622d988880cea15ff86d0eae9dc576026cbdd12ab2a6fca8c18795c26e3b02","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104349907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"80622d988880cea15ff86d0eae9dc576026cbdd12ab2a6fca8c18795c26e3b02","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1117043987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"80622d988880cea15ff86d0eae9dc576026cbdd12ab2a6fca8c18795c26e3b02","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1329815161},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911502761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912690025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0918010441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5473648537},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4931061591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2149490994},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526786934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0561866223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.069991067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091047416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0910631581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911061178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.132640655},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1319224784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1398996474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"9b23662b0dcbb885aa00dfa3ee17560462db1c6fe0c6c750ba5cdaf5c6f3a33a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911732032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"9b23662b0dcbb885aa00dfa3ee17560462db1c6fe0c6c750ba5cdaf5c6f3a33a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912144256},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"9b23662b0dcbb885aa00dfa3ee17560462db1c6fe0c6c750ba5cdaf5c6f3a33a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913618318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1540169992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1745067216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2087629394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"a67901002a226895b47278a52d5b429858dab5b056cade86b2525d6845b3d709","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1173043579},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"a67901002a226895b47278a52d5b429858dab5b056cade86b2525d6845b3d709","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1293997241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"a67901002a226895b47278a52d5b429858dab5b056cade86b2525d6845b3d709","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.146281419},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911686892},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911963958},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913216071},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ab5c58a4f7851613998a972c236017f60c6f9cd402b83743cac441683c363680","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0886818396},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ab5c58a4f7851613998a972c236017f60c6f9cd402b83743cac441683c363680","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1016246542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ab5c58a4f7851613998a972c236017f60c6f9cd402b83743cac441683c363680","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.120736151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"af1719e4facbc21e03efea8315ce04cf3a6ab9dace4e5534b952f96e14e0063f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911834622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"af1719e4facbc21e03efea8315ce04cf3a6ab9dace4e5534b952f96e14e0063f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912374537},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"af1719e4facbc21e03efea8315ce04cf3a6ab9dace4e5534b952f96e14e0063f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091519203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0944455366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0972685501},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1034160052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0922090866},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1010635674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.123045225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911562502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912238701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913919112},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1003828239},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1143744689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5983783656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091191324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912600362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0916133755},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647967867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679274457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775228302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911700946},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912383341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091567459},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912028675},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913102318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915641499},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09124164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913882366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0918076568},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1578814252},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1677507622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.186582261},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0907500063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.094695432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1176270828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1280871928},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1471041029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1825663147},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ee34f87f6d9a8d40de0c69aac8c86ef6e35278a05bbd8431cc1348f3313fc081","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911597474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ee34f87f6d9a8d40de0c69aac8c86ef6e35278a05bbd8431cc1348f3313fc081","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911876308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ee34f87f6d9a8d40de0c69aac8c86ef6e35278a05bbd8431cc1348f3313fc081","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912130238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0910597436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911239658},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913675691},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6397853322},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5802025094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1925635172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789119564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0865391734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.108964646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1154543714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1301179006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6038826229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2886008261},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707148093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3611571623},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3073894847},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903295864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3230792343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2843984902},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2651683883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440940584},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"BEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.297632858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"BEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2863297076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"BEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2754166387},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2905475462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3260541194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601240172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2870647272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.271676783},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2529184993},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2899210176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2720653984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2504285815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903129753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2808118824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2636217856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2857544147},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2715178333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2566440299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2905901447},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3284465194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3550409411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916960243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2756569304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.348976713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2899417689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3248158508},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2597257987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2865896823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3361363604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2417576835},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3024294197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.310276095},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3211394877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3046816389},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3173505385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3287670289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924368545},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2805967268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2661419073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2888963717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3370397894},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2404039622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2977806146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3241979453},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3524236429},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3098752008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2840230778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3317374987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3060016996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2808011113},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2665013381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3081158835},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2776124373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2569320484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2883567241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27301365},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2540393189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3141662928},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717721815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2501908473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"HON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2838801221},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"HON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3428539338},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"HON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2371457077},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2896314574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226284093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640829986},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127157607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3321995636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2561547288},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879541755},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2766321108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2590439498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2882792161},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.328461901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2592816621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131795103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717851207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2523560744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3009908551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901079015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791984979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289230371},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3257890434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3510597773},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2938344946},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2793320175},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2630891728},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MOH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2927864544},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MOH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2805336114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MOH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2620083778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2927284665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2819099076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2657256877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885390104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3297752259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2499990332},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28253997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.269473342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3571033311},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2918425971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2766093709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26000937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"OXY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3038253227},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"OXY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3179420209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"OXY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3318293734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"PGR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.317597027},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"PGR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2655664564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"PGR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2447645232},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2864178568},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3372323668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2429111288},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"SCHW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2870615153},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"SCHW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3284329501},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"SCHW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.351158046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878458683},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.273190044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2568731685},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2923629067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2778563914},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.261466481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"TTWO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2848390245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"TTWO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2723832041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"TTWO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2563294019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2852118561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2688208468},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2486645533},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.290288649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2771754718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2628399744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.299708533},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841799527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2691854384},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2884067731},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2709473294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2502482192},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2961409479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757187699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2559759981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2880418062},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2745817082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3526103679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"085ad65ea78c233bd2751e83a48fca5d20c8c9d10868ebac09692725e692b19e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3227287876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"085ad65ea78c233bd2751e83a48fca5d20c8c9d10868ebac09692725e692b19e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3144713479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"085ad65ea78c233bd2751e83a48fca5d20c8c9d10868ebac09692725e692b19e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3347717451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0638502694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0627435148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636051112},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1a8cf53a74b9cfc6614ad866389f9a29f69d8a73c64531f903846d29297f173f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522994733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1a8cf53a74b9cfc6614ad866389f9a29f69d8a73c64531f903846d29297f173f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534208651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1a8cf53a74b9cfc6614ad866389f9a29f69d8a73c64531f903846d29297f173f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0553615696},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1afdd177add6bb79d09d8130a0da66f6155ac6b798ce06fa195f0c3dfbf64337","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0767215045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1afdd177add6bb79d09d8130a0da66f6155ac6b798ce06fa195f0c3dfbf64337","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0773392614},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1afdd177add6bb79d09d8130a0da66f6155ac6b798ce06fa195f0c3dfbf64337","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0780486653},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1c4e38e6c1b15a095947818119b8e0c116cae2a4db771040d1ee85e3fbbb7759","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0844390395},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1c4e38e6c1b15a095947818119b8e0c116cae2a4db771040d1ee85e3fbbb7759","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0618177024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1c4e38e6c1b15a095947818119b8e0c116cae2a4db771040d1ee85e3fbbb7759","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0619792685},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1c4fe6c25f4f8dc413630dcb35adc40f81c42a748541f8aa61d79b03fc9a5bf5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3072058101},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1c4fe6c25f4f8dc413630dcb35adc40f81c42a748541f8aa61d79b03fc9a5bf5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.327943295},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1c4fe6c25f4f8dc413630dcb35adc40f81c42a748541f8aa61d79b03fc9a5bf5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2938733165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"201ac64a00529b084a1a5599c91d1241d5df081a0860e630f28ee123978a0b05","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803256234},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"201ac64a00529b084a1a5599c91d1241d5df081a0860e630f28ee123978a0b05","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0986470805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"201ac64a00529b084a1a5599c91d1241d5df081a0860e630f28ee123978a0b05","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0885758813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"274a20120661b1ee2f638a19e5c425aea6c60ea7b75b8b29b7d21d85e00edfc6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0564490576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"274a20120661b1ee2f638a19e5c425aea6c60ea7b75b8b29b7d21d85e00edfc6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0569906536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"274a20120661b1ee2f638a19e5c425aea6c60ea7b75b8b29b7d21d85e00edfc6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.058815408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"2f109c1b141224bb77aa48fe005a7ce9d7aca2934baf9e82121c8537ed7ba157","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534165861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"2f109c1b141224bb77aa48fe005a7ce9d7aca2934baf9e82121c8537ed7ba157","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532680794},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"2f109c1b141224bb77aa48fe005a7ce9d7aca2934baf9e82121c8537ed7ba157","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531315632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630232755},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522568536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529099852},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"3fcc16d757fd4ab8088ffbf74eee68a683aea0657b932d2aaa0848af268bbd93","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3282292929},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"3fcc16d757fd4ab8088ffbf74eee68a683aea0657b932d2aaa0848af268bbd93","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3421491913},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"3fcc16d757fd4ab8088ffbf74eee68a683aea0657b932d2aaa0848af268bbd93","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3234712822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2897202578},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3355079689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205096693},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0793081561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797217894},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0821358173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"594971c4da4cc1b0853cb4a66d66f18663649c2259bd9049d16c2d47ae830845","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.219881675},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"594971c4da4cc1b0853cb4a66d66f18663649c2259bd9049d16c2d47ae830845","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2253590896},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"594971c4da4cc1b0853cb4a66d66f18663649c2259bd9049d16c2d47ae830845","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2782427488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"5b194a489803848654c2bb57d074abc6b917c747368857d12d4f672a20f6af1a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503475958},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"5b194a489803848654c2bb57d074abc6b917c747368857d12d4f672a20f6af1a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503478686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"5b194a489803848654c2bb57d074abc6b917c747368857d12d4f672a20f6af1a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503628233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3879462659},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2629235425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879433598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"60aeaebf9803b4e98ad4fd1e8b47f425915b2082ecd4c47482f809c07149f525","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0611569305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"60aeaebf9803b4e98ad4fd1e8b47f425915b2082ecd4c47482f809c07149f525","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.061789669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"60aeaebf9803b4e98ad4fd1e8b47f425915b2082ecd4c47482f809c07149f525","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609059937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.06414458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532529373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053924191},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0951461313},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974009331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1021407166},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"78aa5c08a83e880c46c669735f49d554fe938bab17a200571b7ed39d57061af9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0644410874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"78aa5c08a83e880c46c669735f49d554fe938bab17a200571b7ed39d57061af9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0653335804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"78aa5c08a83e880c46c669735f49d554fe938bab17a200571b7ed39d57061af9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0669290265},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"79692c91ff95fc298034fb68b40e5e1348a2edc4dea49289cb42fa178b4f4353","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0629301393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"79692c91ff95fc298034fb68b40e5e1348a2edc4dea49289cb42fa178b4f4353","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0646663994},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"79692c91ff95fc298034fb68b40e5e1348a2edc4dea49289cb42fa178b4f4353","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065641665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"7b16ac49c3f4618236fd8ffaaabad8a50eb0d60c8e689c364e7618d5bb066d09","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3075932163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"7b16ac49c3f4618236fd8ffaaabad8a50eb0d60c8e689c364e7618d5bb066d09","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2771770748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"7b16ac49c3f4618236fd8ffaaabad8a50eb0d60c8e689c364e7618d5bb066d09","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2703133068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"7e999232e3c6975548145b07f2768444af543cf52d517136fd77088b289b03f2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768403941},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"7e999232e3c6975548145b07f2768444af543cf52d517136fd77088b289b03f2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0781752557},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"7e999232e3c6975548145b07f2768444af543cf52d517136fd77088b289b03f2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0810205531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"80636d98db7db43707218b6dc1014d9770571f8604159128f43094c5f17e44e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0876193681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"80636d98db7db43707218b6dc1014d9770571f8604159128f43094c5f17e44e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0885902701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"80636d98db7db43707218b6dc1014d9770571f8604159128f43094c5f17e44e6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0923993787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510895576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0508097442},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0507018173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"897df10eea1ce69116cdd575c9757746a702d275e4c467583952653b767385ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504432619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"897df10eea1ce69116cdd575c9757746a702d275e4c467583952653b767385ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504576831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"897df10eea1ce69116cdd575c9757746a702d275e4c467583952653b767385ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504825393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"8ebd4baa35766dcb4178ca130850fa107eb8b0c31bf52964a5704c62d31679ae","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0628070984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"8ebd4baa35766dcb4178ca130850fa107eb8b0c31bf52964a5704c62d31679ae","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518836445},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"8ebd4baa35766dcb4178ca130850fa107eb8b0c31bf52964a5704c62d31679ae","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522536377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"8ec4363b05a62fa005feb9e7256c84a514fe6ffa599889e6590d4a9f427a991e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.076616244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"8ec4363b05a62fa005feb9e7256c84a514fe6ffa599889e6590d4a9f427a991e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543818382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"8ec4363b05a62fa005feb9e7256c84a514fe6ffa599889e6590d4a9f427a991e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055054072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"98b628df321b43a81fb84bb161012e955a6f0679054d7f5fb63fe768200dd2e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511696434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"98b628df321b43a81fb84bb161012e955a6f0679054d7f5fb63fe768200dd2e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051112602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"98b628df321b43a81fb84bb161012e955a6f0679054d7f5fb63fe768200dd2e6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510803859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"99effe55927fdda5ff71f38875f3e17c0b286059ab7f34de1b2a6fbbe8ad906b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0747557348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"99effe55927fdda5ff71f38875f3e17c0b286059ab7f34de1b2a6fbbe8ad906b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0761979061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"99effe55927fdda5ff71f38875f3e17c0b286059ab7f34de1b2a6fbbe8ad906b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0790611579},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a28a1139cdb6fb817651be872c09d4607133b7e4ec4bafa018a7e5e0b23dad87","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503520539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a28a1139cdb6fb817651be872c09d4607133b7e4ec4bafa018a7e5e0b23dad87","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503760119},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a28a1139cdb6fb817651be872c09d4607133b7e4ec4bafa018a7e5e0b23dad87","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504255784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a31cef507e61853411ec79a024f7a700d8ffdcf63fea111b4aed6d5c095536c4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631677449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a31cef507e61853411ec79a024f7a700d8ffdcf63fea111b4aed6d5c095536c4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525102945},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a31cef507e61853411ec79a024f7a700d8ffdcf63fea111b4aed6d5c095536c4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537592717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a5aa748caea44dda8caeb27ee28d9bd7222bbbe75adb908ceb510a7969582f7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511314091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a5aa748caea44dda8caeb27ee28d9bd7222bbbe75adb908ceb510a7969582f7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510866917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a5aa748caea44dda8caeb27ee28d9bd7222bbbe75adb908ceb510a7969582f7f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510257831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"ae29e65838ae79b6b8d371516d778ddfa3b553824ea5a6a58ab17c82f33daed4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225182496},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"ae29e65838ae79b6b8d371516d778ddfa3b553824ea5a6a58ab17c82f33daed4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1347963418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"ae29e65838ae79b6b8d371516d778ddfa3b553824ea5a6a58ab17c82f33daed4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1400415762},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521357386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530461815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545455846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bdc02d2039411e9e4fd27650a1a014f7549d7b4d8b59828433997acb956a8987","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0790165673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bdc02d2039411e9e4fd27650a1a014f7549d7b4d8b59828433997acb956a8987","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803815573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bdc02d2039411e9e4fd27650a1a014f7549d7b4d8b59828433997acb956a8987","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0809650531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bee9b4f96f23d458deedbf4d273b0b0356790f020c737c06f66c67c3ccae90ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9076376982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bee9b4f96f23d458deedbf4d273b0b0356790f020c737c06f66c67c3ccae90ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0739277408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bee9b4f96f23d458deedbf4d273b0b0356790f020c737c06f66c67c3ccae90ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075957726},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bf20dee9de8bc31a7d6d1f25098298cfa844d267c0c4b9a9cab993f593e63c5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652681695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bf20dee9de8bc31a7d6d1f25098298cfa844d267c0c4b9a9cab993f593e63c5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630031956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bf20dee9de8bc31a7d6d1f25098298cfa844d267c0c4b9a9cab993f593e63c5b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0610883801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"c60ceb20ec94de9fc1625df8d7710c1c0b775b8be102d3bb2668ccc9e0ac3fd3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630197773},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"c60ceb20ec94de9fc1625df8d7710c1c0b775b8be102d3bb2668ccc9e0ac3fd3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0517496342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"c60ceb20ec94de9fc1625df8d7710c1c0b775b8be102d3bb2668ccc9e0ac3fd3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051928636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0741443761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0738058399},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0736820794},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0853071664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0860104904},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0847534483},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"cfb1f99217646618c04c2f69c4831d1a6d6e4fb87f9b5c0354e9acd02742fd7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3633682636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"cfb1f99217646618c04c2f69c4831d1a6d6e4fb87f9b5c0354e9acd02742fd7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3529618396},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"cfb1f99217646618c04c2f69c4831d1a6d6e4fb87f9b5c0354e9acd02742fd7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3616460943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0624993366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511009225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510040328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0766087217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0820351834},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8506894363},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e07b01bc6c3b45240c9361e57d0e69bfcf83edda464527199ab85e13b90ddf50","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3698544435},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e07b01bc6c3b45240c9361e57d0e69bfcf83edda464527199ab85e13b90ddf50","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2783814297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e07b01bc6c3b45240c9361e57d0e69bfcf83edda464527199ab85e13b90ddf50","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3164776969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563719827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0589356089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0608283819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e6341e1ed10656b47ac291730a50ad23a56ba60feeba5375fc8eef0e8c12df24","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0765945405},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e6341e1ed10656b47ac291730a50ad23a56ba60feeba5375fc8eef0e8c12df24","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.057495634},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e6341e1ed10656b47ac291730a50ad23a56ba60feeba5375fc8eef0e8c12df24","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0601218435},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e63fd3a4f000586ceb18e2040dfe6a10077ef14d4936305dc15e8c3b36db8c4b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0619108063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e63fd3a4f000586ceb18e2040dfe6a10077ef14d4936305dc15e8c3b36db8c4b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620007843},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e63fd3a4f000586ceb18e2040dfe6a10077ef14d4936305dc15e8c3b36db8c4b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0622027469},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"f8ca99b4de1c397ccb77af3a72dd7e9f7dd65feae7bd2fc5c9d18d5d66f8ef19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2775329813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"f8ca99b4de1c397ccb77af3a72dd7e9f7dd65feae7bd2fc5c9d18d5d66f8ef19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2677481437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"f8ca99b4de1c397ccb77af3a72dd7e9f7dd65feae7bd2fc5c9d18d5d66f8ef19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3387573979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"fe04b3beca8f9c8781c85ce5db7b2b6c3f4b661bb30e095645b9dd4a16f97fce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0635335126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"fe04b3beca8f9c8781c85ce5db7b2b6c3f4b661bb30e095645b9dd4a16f97fce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659677599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"fe04b3beca8f9c8781c85ce5db7b2b6c3f4b661bb30e095645b9dd4a16f97fce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0685070145},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1272341241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0861207882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6268036552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0865565341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1191687181},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0825885412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1233913366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.076579676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1202164973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0733568359},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1263557415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0795001092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1220109869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0839283042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1612695856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797931071},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0936532332},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1402213611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0849989427},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1343815436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989477414},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1204387397},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0736754787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1151591022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0759886803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1939141681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1195261341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1560336565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0890042104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1361373388},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0774773101},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0870037015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1162726837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0781760734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.145979223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995795697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1587018036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0863902847},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1422352797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768003573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1452609865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0814478677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1341737403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0791691721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1423171956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770397638},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1527510069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0804300351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1322381478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789977493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6379288041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1174372953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1568635963},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1042884282},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1550941674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983992161},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1574608049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797852296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.154484684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0832714908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1241255331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0841465298},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1451470229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0772922163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050891885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0780409381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.275175874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1819594065},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.512866081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1911366122},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2515550847},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1768230804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2784814289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2741178244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2253927057},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1751321836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4418737179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2269196173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.274492295},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2780760294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.220805662},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1824048578},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1644032758},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1152462573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1429005699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982918356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.183774525},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1237626357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1620809876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.140574489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4124950157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2493035644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3113948249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3731216469},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3118374208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3424429625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3818879604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2987137319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2697538964},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2327742266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3062634082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3289454381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3571245723},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2846525777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3394439633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3356480872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136265212},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286748644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879296764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3955594182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4505216878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1597210024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2466192679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2695536491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2951453677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2886922915},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3286631139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3093425746},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3125399563},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3310224301},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3534123515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2934846179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2770733881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3447521404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0778825466},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.08655576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1310828188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3005576478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2970539309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2937686443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106379012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2837398394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748407547},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.295020413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3049951992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3036031086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3236760439},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301064452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3415354372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2908549317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3265917277},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.323873885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1033781976},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1116136917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1391945774},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2638361257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2207658044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1794335153},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3423175955},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3484289484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3460438183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895986064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2714857689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.272283594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2316922642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2422685955},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4026818072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.153781979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1648508859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.19817233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3117042232},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3103381199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3112407888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.305961212},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2961376993},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3196226696},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2990361721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136958824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3355459152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2589006666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2113413292},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4631341088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2603132018},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2467346508},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.236547124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3084012317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3195447056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3383434302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4512511036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2310120372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4157065441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.294183836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2972632492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3041555341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2845925485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2733729635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2644276937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.327324904},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3576246759},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3927332005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3098346296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2866542894},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289669139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2584100457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2300546445},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2160573496},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3019673618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2971271061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.489753244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4702481951},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.433543587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4451871888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2444694156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2592212195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.313301854},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2739991844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2530942464},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.295646784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226129815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3158594633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.302098606},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924201621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3272183036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3186563783},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2664506866},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2472261705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2479802178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2191165732},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1953528844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5411644458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5172194505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4663827828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3010871302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2986315874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2947868848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2976355953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2999879166},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2944304596},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.248333462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2461694054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2513780488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2413840194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.272689181},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2998848569},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3295950052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3730929618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4188394044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1209325794},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1192916823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1413051579},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913743412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914296594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091666159},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912560711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913338583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915279709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913820229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0918540663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0930962031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0891146299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041190658},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1422142422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091339301},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913535049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914379771},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914071364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091451852},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0916228848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913424},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913701766},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914596901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c53314baf24ff5c680b4010fa3711d077810d93fb7a446e1b1ad7735aee2016","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.13404612},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c53314baf24ff5c680b4010fa3711d077810d93fb7a446e1b1ad7735aee2016","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5499521738},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c53314baf24ff5c680b4010fa3711d077810d93fb7a446e1b1ad7735aee2016","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4738436387},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913515272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913803157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914708791},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0966146661},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0924555146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0953554935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1337320255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1406441763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1801087075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1013781767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1145735349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.13745217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09134258},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913838272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914685342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912390467},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091297569},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914325694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1087236686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1199598592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.150864179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913561599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914070886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915431695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1151099907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225186887},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1459142891},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913424364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913758584},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915317223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913437964},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913816679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914910076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0735340619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789510678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965463938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913378987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913654794},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914763972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913380792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091380032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914665123},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0929419656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050986041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1227564297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1223587334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5246770767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4517904405},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1139398801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6284379643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1871093689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1483460156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6059108561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2186273205},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912434348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913260274},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0916679604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913762507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915377163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0921203921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8000be71eeeeba1faf969b8bffe6b925896c5b2b91a17186432ba5e1c4246a0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990954207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8000be71eeeeba1faf969b8bffe6b925896c5b2b91a17186432ba5e1c4246a0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040972933},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8000be71eeeeba1faf969b8bffe6b925896c5b2b91a17186432ba5e1c4246a0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1214654846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091339296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091357614},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914575237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091343615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913751943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914858394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"bc15eb0f0fb842254b4977157a5d92d7c57514724c7197e095fca4a9076f2bd2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913293883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"bc15eb0f0fb842254b4977157a5d92d7c57514724c7197e095fca4a9076f2bd2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913440701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"bc15eb0f0fb842254b4977157a5d92d7c57514724c7197e095fca4a9076f2bd2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913758901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0932424132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7111600875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6527481389},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1101599308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1538368846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2010183582},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976101134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.11013834},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1304654643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913522504},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913712516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915141238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1276304141},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6298970446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5417249612},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1063599585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1147280793},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1260870872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095489848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1138549418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5700811326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913739434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914457965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0916654068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1199826318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1351779299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1647458958},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913391601},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913963074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915596257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912197532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091226481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912409387},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0915161588},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956341751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1085259541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.091347035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913756471},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914723632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6a47cd336b6ea14b142b18f6b8e0880362d28b6e3fc3fdb35ea95eebe07b94d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1152553481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6a47cd336b6ea14b142b18f6b8e0880362d28b6e3fc3fdb35ea95eebe07b94d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1862821022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6a47cd336b6ea14b142b18f6b8e0880362d28b6e3fc3fdb35ea95eebe07b94d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2203454898},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"fbc957258e4d6de0fbc809180959d294831a87aa87d0749c599b5fb52f17d967","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1268734451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"fbc957258e4d6de0fbc809180959d294831a87aa87d0749c599b5fb52f17d967","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1459642148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"fbc957258e4d6de0fbc809180959d294831a87aa87d0749c599b5fb52f17d967","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1890002642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995281903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1170799257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1478933371},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.105555419},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6289561423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1734549231},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906654086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2790234407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2635914798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2876211588},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.326680591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.260030119},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.290521069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3326082859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3607727362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903603852},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2663513476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.239328193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"APO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2840013464},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"APO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2681328732},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"APO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2462538553},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2944511215},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2746814871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2539600987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993814997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2884198502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.277570257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902773632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2745731644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2557266382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2980323124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138908294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2760096997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2854847645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2745535437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2573358555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2888908403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717421074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2514584716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2855897422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2703883629},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2532032727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878300967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748132332},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2577334327},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3116408424},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2725231565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2537809132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2920568613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2764490882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2585659928},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2872650896},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3315032889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2580365552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2912906714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2796213104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2643770152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2926282866},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2777201151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2593347534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2905450105},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2750946528},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2547566127},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2891176293},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3302813776},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2538601807},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2881498589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3299123399},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3538139967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2988511858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203320091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640484588},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878090463},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3317392651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2560952389},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2849773018},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676638086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2415407732},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2914049139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3243517625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2666852681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2899191858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3240407511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660217357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2984193745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3118837359},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3230159666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2941193807},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2812780205},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2637306332},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136999853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2744288658},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2585493278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2789035498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3441276808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3752413188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2866466456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3351810708},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3658761104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2861994754},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.332513444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2552924356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895981239},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3320619583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2516665296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3068624146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3196057441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3386324484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2857490653},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2679844286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2471285706},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.288206279},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2769630045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2598253579},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2889321372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2769889131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2620331716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3109031373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3267825246},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3475401096},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2887961919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2765030484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.259837896},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903842267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229578441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2624175284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895913739},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3241644267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.347104451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2888904279},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3233765417},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3438388318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3188303827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3370027078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3682064199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2934098575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3238352013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.344933368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2874738021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2719268763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2495741667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885209591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2780538132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619568207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3222680073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.34495826},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2419038652},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3142965651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3332164994},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2471378872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902846176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276449068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3503410717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"045c57d5793d26c9d89b86a4603e3e41960ff1f4a2a7a787116d4d36a7bd8f62","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518182422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"045c57d5793d26c9d89b86a4603e3e41960ff1f4a2a7a787116d4d36a7bd8f62","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530555254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"045c57d5793d26c9d89b86a4603e3e41960ff1f4a2a7a787116d4d36a7bd8f62","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0546665654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"08a1e74afb494a3ded4c449ac9967e7f997bb7193ed58e536b81f2746b8ae8cb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2565672132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"08a1e74afb494a3ded4c449ac9967e7f997bb7193ed58e536b81f2746b8ae8cb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.23452006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"08a1e74afb494a3ded4c449ac9967e7f997bb7193ed58e536b81f2746b8ae8cb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2694896982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"0cff82cd36b23adbe9c35fb926ab6ed4906e44e533bc76c30a6f5fcb8ab61a61","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3373293885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"0cff82cd36b23adbe9c35fb926ab6ed4906e44e533bc76c30a6f5fcb8ab61a61","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3384349048},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"0cff82cd36b23adbe9c35fb926ab6ed4906e44e533bc76c30a6f5fcb8ab61a61","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3162877288},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"1639e296125d45437753b90e3635a3de44b52698dcabbf845246d903d881305d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4932676416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"1639e296125d45437753b90e3635a3de44b52698dcabbf845246d903d881305d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4947838834},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"1639e296125d45437753b90e3635a3de44b52698dcabbf845246d903d881305d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4827633418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"16c419ceef0cb873100e0869345461e732f0c70279c881823c71fdc2982b006f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503047778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"16c419ceef0cb873100e0869345461e732f0c70279c881823c71fdc2982b006f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503541707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"16c419ceef0cb873100e0869345461e732f0c70279c881823c71fdc2982b006f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504738181},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"17d6e7e67b02ad4eb3290404db86ef0ab2b1b4d72a4a8f1c24bd29a32f19939e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522055819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"17d6e7e67b02ad4eb3290404db86ef0ab2b1b4d72a4a8f1c24bd29a32f19939e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053576948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"17d6e7e67b02ad4eb3290404db86ef0ab2b1b4d72a4a8f1c24bd29a32f19939e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550796078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"1c13719ba23f46950f7871d662127e0b573edeb6e830e73ab71c7a50da880dbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665951581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"1c13719ba23f46950f7871d662127e0b573edeb6e830e73ab71c7a50da880dbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555928164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"1c13719ba23f46950f7871d662127e0b573edeb6e830e73ab71c7a50da880dbf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0587988504},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"1e4b09b761a4a5184ec8781031add2f084f2acfbcbdfaef7c7673988af48e959","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0683390116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"1e4b09b761a4a5184ec8781031add2f084f2acfbcbdfaef7c7673988af48e959","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0704910443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"1e4b09b761a4a5184ec8781031add2f084f2acfbcbdfaef7c7673988af48e959","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771482938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0772766763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0640591648},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0640678615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"2bd094d09ecf8f79dcfd3f910631eb7951b881ce174a95694ddbfea4c8d59f14","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0905452538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"2bd094d09ecf8f79dcfd3f910631eb7951b881ce174a95694ddbfea4c8d59f14","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0931910701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"2bd094d09ecf8f79dcfd3f910631eb7951b881ce174a95694ddbfea4c8d59f14","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.096799212},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"2e1682928d6dd9a66fa0e030898cdc46caba891cc632f1aca17c8a087e6c3374","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0911275839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"2e1682928d6dd9a66fa0e030898cdc46caba891cc632f1aca17c8a087e6c3374","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0805784902},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"2e1682928d6dd9a66fa0e030898cdc46caba891cc632f1aca17c8a087e6c3374","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0824053295},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"2e32b1509f2c6933db4ccdbae308a7dbd327673866d272cfce6efec3416cc5b1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3564486081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"2e32b1509f2c6933db4ccdbae308a7dbd327673866d272cfce6efec3416cc5b1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3779475831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"2e32b1509f2c6933db4ccdbae308a7dbd327673866d272cfce6efec3416cc5b1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3350061724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"30e33d123e0da894be67440a03f9d04103fbb778ced8b745993ee57444d7f194","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632961992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"30e33d123e0da894be67440a03f9d04103fbb778ced8b745993ee57444d7f194","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063829218},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"30e33d123e0da894be67440a03f9d04103fbb778ced8b745993ee57444d7f194","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0622448026},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"3da7e51404041a894414b3f269f468c815cc7fc2d85df0deef8ad617127637da","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0555148706},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"3da7e51404041a894414b3f269f468c815cc7fc2d85df0deef8ad617127637da","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563256473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"3da7e51404041a894414b3f269f468c815cc7fc2d85df0deef8ad617127637da","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578667849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"3dee259133a61fead4da14e8856999b9d2e7c9565038752a44fbea531fe073f2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632305335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"3dee259133a61fead4da14e8856999b9d2e7c9565038752a44fbea531fe073f2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0506926371},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"3dee259133a61fead4da14e8856999b9d2e7c9565038752a44fbea531fe073f2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0507205403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"3fd7ab1f3b3f9db6da3013bc661874cd5806085a48b2575758122465e3e313b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0790624778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"3fd7ab1f3b3f9db6da3013bc661874cd5806085a48b2575758122465e3e313b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0810333622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"3fd7ab1f3b3f9db6da3013bc661874cd5806085a48b2575758122465e3e313b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0829547627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"404bb1c055ceac91316e9ee545f31d0b8fc2afd426c543895cd4ff864f8f87ba","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0634599666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"404bb1c055ceac91316e9ee545f31d0b8fc2afd426c543895cd4ff864f8f87ba","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0635089794},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"404bb1c055ceac91316e9ee545f31d0b8fc2afd426c543895cd4ff864f8f87ba","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0636609268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"4573457b7b86db4374a450870bd55e53857127b745bc94c9395e655877e6a9a1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3282009827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"4573457b7b86db4374a450870bd55e53857127b745bc94c9395e655877e6a9a1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327517089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"4573457b7b86db4374a450870bd55e53857127b745bc94c9395e655877e6a9a1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2739759885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"4bd14c0b5fa5eb275f732e4c9556bdaaae3219f3a152dd8e6555d62e67d8cc28","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531874035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"4bd14c0b5fa5eb275f732e4c9556bdaaae3219f3a152dd8e6555d62e67d8cc28","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548380973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"4bd14c0b5fa5eb275f732e4c9556bdaaae3219f3a152dd8e6555d62e67d8cc28","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568836251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5667d1d7a4170b2ae7efd79b166b4eb95d63a1991db9ce52406ce6ea7a74f845","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515667009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5667d1d7a4170b2ae7efd79b166b4eb95d63a1991db9ce52406ce6ea7a74f845","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518707194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5667d1d7a4170b2ae7efd79b166b4eb95d63a1991db9ce52406ce6ea7a74f845","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522933036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5b194a489803848654c2bb57d074abc6b917c747368857d12d4f672a20f6af1a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502589283},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5b194a489803848654c2bb57d074abc6b917c747368857d12d4f672a20f6af1a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502590878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5b194a489803848654c2bb57d074abc6b917c747368857d12d4f672a20f6af1a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502922059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064388266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650993751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066138613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5ca405aed0a18361ce45a9840f54139258f736ab3323a2b0d5a8d5b029986c09","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6871834233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5ca405aed0a18361ce45a9840f54139258f736ab3323a2b0d5a8d5b029986c09","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.649582867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5ca405aed0a18361ce45a9840f54139258f736ab3323a2b0d5a8d5b029986c09","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2020184286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0883822454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0886807216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.086877256},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6041ad121df11c802df748a652f7b6fc6b41c0c124abc15075465ae8debda146","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1261539856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6041ad121df11c802df748a652f7b6fc6b41c0c124abc15075465ae8debda146","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1157626591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6041ad121df11c802df748a652f7b6fc6b41c0c124abc15075465ae8debda146","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1180039091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6644410da1ca5a0de7f2ba1e28365ba42faa407db54f8b6b7e1d4d02e5d8e73f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645421028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6644410da1ca5a0de7f2ba1e28365ba42faa407db54f8b6b7e1d4d02e5d8e73f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658687091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6644410da1ca5a0de7f2ba1e28365ba42faa407db54f8b6b7e1d4d02e5d8e73f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.067036924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6a03f90818843ecc1208164eb0ec51b8fbd9f8ef78ce992bcb7faa4b1a9907ad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2374994264},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6a03f90818843ecc1208164eb0ec51b8fbd9f8ef78ce992bcb7faa4b1a9907ad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2446838082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6a03f90818843ecc1208164eb0ec51b8fbd9f8ef78ce992bcb7faa4b1a9907ad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3910493197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6df623c79fda03ce7d022dacfa34aab06da979351449d1d323a48cb9697a57f1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514562214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6df623c79fda03ce7d022dacfa34aab06da979351449d1d323a48cb9697a57f1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514148451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6df623c79fda03ce7d022dacfa34aab06da979351449d1d323a48cb9697a57f1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051386278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6e2a6755b011a2942868217d63ede0bcb2dc03a8bf80939c16927d04a0a47b04","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0777104751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6e2a6755b011a2942868217d63ede0bcb2dc03a8bf80939c16927d04a0a47b04","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789750389},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"6e2a6755b011a2942868217d63ede0bcb2dc03a8bf80939c16927d04a0a47b04","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0779621433},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"7487d61f13baa3bf2e639bd2f48994f57f5713eb2a67e1a5742bead5339cc864","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0507594245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"7487d61f13baa3bf2e639bd2f48994f57f5713eb2a67e1a5742bead5339cc864","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512020123},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"7487d61f13baa3bf2e639bd2f48994f57f5713eb2a67e1a5742bead5339cc864","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.051766802},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"93ae965d27aebfdcc59bb8410a814c6c6d94839008031ea6c7afafca4d9309b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2431616807},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"93ae965d27aebfdcc59bb8410a814c6c6d94839008031ea6c7afafca4d9309b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2503503266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"93ae965d27aebfdcc59bb8410a814c6c6d94839008031ea6c7afafca4d9309b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.226584622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"981bef3585c494c4603867cc402d6c9ef056c37cfee24acec243d94f82485b1e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563757135},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"981bef3585c494c4603867cc402d6c9ef056c37cfee24acec243d94f82485b1e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0557031927},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"981bef3585c494c4603867cc402d6c9ef056c37cfee24acec243d94f82485b1e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556035425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"99f588e6c99abd595cf5966b589ee96d47b79f60e1fe4a6854d2c202707fa254","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533975511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"99f588e6c99abd595cf5966b589ee96d47b79f60e1fe4a6854d2c202707fa254","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055226641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"99f588e6c99abd595cf5966b589ee96d47b79f60e1fe4a6854d2c202707fa254","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0578616653},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"9c7beb65b6c4b3457faf09d8c99f27bd6062a193c9091e6b2ae6a53f9a8d34cd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.115671375},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"9c7beb65b6c4b3457faf09d8c99f27bd6062a193c9091e6b2ae6a53f9a8d34cd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1117922763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"9c7beb65b6c4b3457faf09d8c99f27bd6062a193c9091e6b2ae6a53f9a8d34cd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1626301266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"a28b2d1a63257b23fd2bb19e192d2901b2a972fea6043c240edd9395c29a2e46","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0764542939},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"a28b2d1a63257b23fd2bb19e192d2901b2a972fea6043c240edd9395c29a2e46","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0634250202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"a28b2d1a63257b23fd2bb19e192d2901b2a972fea6043c240edd9395c29a2e46","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637256575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"a8a7fc86a269ca15ea738b118bb42567102d889fa73913b812e4f89c853da9af","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2752520175},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"a8a7fc86a269ca15ea738b118bb42567102d889fa73913b812e4f89c853da9af","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.370600164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"a8a7fc86a269ca15ea738b118bb42567102d889fa73913b812e4f89c853da9af","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2608066049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"bc8c8f107eac1ade990ff5abc2020a8126ec5cb3c8897db8ed32de5a96d25e22","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0548503448},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"bc8c8f107eac1ade990ff5abc2020a8126ec5cb3c8897db8ed32de5a96d25e22","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0566700767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"bc8c8f107eac1ade990ff5abc2020a8126ec5cb3c8897db8ed32de5a96d25e22","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641250467},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"bf9abc2476086723f72539ca9db3d73e1261aa7de447646ead8e5c27b2cca27a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505707392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"bf9abc2476086723f72539ca9db3d73e1261aa7de447646ead8e5c27b2cca27a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513016444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"bf9abc2476086723f72539ca9db3d73e1261aa7de447646ead8e5c27b2cca27a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0523136772},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"c0684c0b09437d77fe266f52a8b25e428038e678ef9fa3545cfd8e197ba6c325","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0579052543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"c0684c0b09437d77fe266f52a8b25e428038e678ef9fa3545cfd8e197ba6c325","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0559359086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"c0684c0b09437d77fe266f52a8b25e428038e678ef9fa3545cfd8e197ba6c325","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563104154},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"c0f9f6a66c4c0ac4b5888673ca374b35992ccd55c8162ac9de743ce4fe266a50","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0824716158},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"c0f9f6a66c4c0ac4b5888673ca374b35992ccd55c8162ac9de743ce4fe266a50","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0812449665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"c0f9f6a66c4c0ac4b5888673ca374b35992ccd55c8162ac9de743ce4fe266a50","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.085105482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"ca33d5830fc9a1a48825e23bd6cc813b91b919a8ff212282741659dcd9f5141a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052706763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"ca33d5830fc9a1a48825e23bd6cc813b91b919a8ff212282741659dcd9f5141a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0528134906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"ca33d5830fc9a1a48825e23bd6cc813b91b919a8ff212282741659dcd9f5141a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0531797302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"d5f1e9c92dc961c7fefdaef3655bc7dc38816254dfe1043bb4244faebb22ad94","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6276264041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"d5f1e9c92dc961c7fefdaef3655bc7dc38816254dfe1043bb4244faebb22ad94","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.137598489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"d5f1e9c92dc961c7fefdaef3655bc7dc38816254dfe1043bb4244faebb22ad94","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1278432028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"d9435db4467e2f0be5f782375a27aede5dcda4004b6d2d85aa5032af75687012","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679602407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"d9435db4467e2f0be5f782375a27aede5dcda4004b6d2d85aa5032af75687012","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568777038},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"d9435db4467e2f0be5f782375a27aede5dcda4004b6d2d85aa5032af75687012","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0594741972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"de810b550ca9cbea5619bea116f1c8b00a9afcfcd965a349fa90f0a45ee324cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0533184409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"de810b550ca9cbea5619bea116f1c8b00a9afcfcd965a349fa90f0a45ee324cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0539084107},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"de810b550ca9cbea5619bea116f1c8b00a9afcfcd965a349fa90f0a45ee324cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552202969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e0f76685b373f0a78fc81e0f2ca310945c121e6113daa0394ee00e0a276c7a0a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0948866162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e0f76685b373f0a78fc81e0f2ca310945c121e6113daa0394ee00e0a276c7a0a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1012153283},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e0f76685b373f0a78fc81e0f2ca310945c121e6113daa0394ee00e0a276c7a0a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.116248823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e2d26a4708e70f3569952805fc2ed4b79f4bd6ecfd8c61e2e4e1a760e619caac","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520596048},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e2d26a4708e70f3569952805fc2ed4b79f4bd6ecfd8c61e2e4e1a760e619caac","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527166536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e2d26a4708e70f3569952805fc2ed4b79f4bd6ecfd8c61e2e4e1a760e619caac","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0536255565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e6750dee35cefca653620998ba97516000ce7fbf2c00d12b16f30b145daea25d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645794355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e6750dee35cefca653620998ba97516000ce7fbf2c00d12b16f30b145daea25d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645279943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e6750dee35cefca653620998ba97516000ce7fbf2c00d12b16f30b145daea25d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0646377241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e83211cf1de33090261c74bc976922a40bbdfc87b41a05e9d5e5cf23bf2ccbef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0560299838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e83211cf1de33090261c74bc976922a40bbdfc87b41a05e9d5e5cf23bf2ccbef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573371263},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e83211cf1de33090261c74bc976922a40bbdfc87b41a05e9d5e5cf23bf2ccbef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0600453495},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e911c0badd1c86c49d1710512dedaadfba405894ad853fb06bd98fbc6b01c139","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0655094421},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e911c0badd1c86c49d1710512dedaadfba405894ad853fb06bd98fbc6b01c139","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679283049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"e911c0badd1c86c49d1710512dedaadfba405894ad853fb06bd98fbc6b01c139","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0709001669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"ebd72561491f441d98dbf704f97d8a7eebcfc43370106755d009bca95a1157f4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516697682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"ebd72561491f441d98dbf704f97d8a7eebcfc43370106755d009bca95a1157f4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518283208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"acled","id":"ebd72561491f441d98dbf704f97d8a7eebcfc43370106755d009bca95a1157f4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522038857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1825416413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811076193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1969563941},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1296197741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0864842713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2255288137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0924430567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1797199608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1157406568},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0900109735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1777654243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1122643129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993091551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2402055864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1563908217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.090012237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4668925385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1287132031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050079862},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4480359636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1250781963},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.084983454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4605708534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.120429549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0835036942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1910498314},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1206036579},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1068213487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2064641119},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.132969851},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0978180242},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2110358652},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1219631876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0796138035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2133164555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.124077894},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0780270855},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2139410851},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.131695943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0822013279},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5668703726},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1182407145},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0807194251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4569496815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1274269549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0850940583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4333458022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1323232121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0895937201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1897163546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1149904964},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0768516792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2076555861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1257443956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0852899317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5231900779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041863779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797099308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2224150546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1255780595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0948754031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5551538513},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045599439},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0829887868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2435812725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1561405874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050618406},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5342333209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1005070342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771334988},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5017731004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1172683638},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0757434172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4550194925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1614522281},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941133843},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4408004475},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1511172426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1040930925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5054185919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1216465535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0920599163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2122926518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1391890678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938980214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2129319854},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1389905127},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0787512903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5149238511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1276649249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0866470454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1942118638},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1175091259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1020294621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3132816406},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1769449374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1265442855},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5007089008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1436957248},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0914692021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2741669299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1962299131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1652106062},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2796986842},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2517992794},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2170071029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.268934488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1990819462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2564430198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2253353255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2387636791},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.190874804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.174902726},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4227111686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1834573162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1581989015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2696783354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2299944913},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2402192029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2103104558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1863350707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3610059694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2298033216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2147013119},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2176230334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1752291165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1248754824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2394746652},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4976713633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1224328178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2043687841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1749764271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1410318131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2189627599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1832921262},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1643935094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3717317374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3387981459},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794543203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3248002041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3353289305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3026740855},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2836192972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2689132577},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2642488007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956428693},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2913131785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868874516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3139870864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3352749909},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3631330812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3200850923},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3470372625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3826127975},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.309750151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.301753952},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868825064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3074181016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2938358699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2723738899},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3176900428},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27622979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2652272689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3223273129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3404368719},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.376340711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3119360779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3286119645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3586623131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2909563016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.316359759},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3284772373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2850258123},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3307871368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3499954625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3012244637},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2992843751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2958574544},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2937774558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3058897347},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3051723902},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2657765428},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2409257195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.213048202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093566283},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1123827838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1534086058},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2492328072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2170704758},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1806446234},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2923542504},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.294898597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3174844744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2490113016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2570261235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.378411558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1708392557},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1797618561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2224701349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2927474679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2919386615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122363535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2799303376},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3067335151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2991743864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.303244122},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3024093432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.328028113},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2608237782},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2488494493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0920040607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0946441248},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3314589645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3434560733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3589872695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.277633335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2570701981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.232324484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4543094902},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3968006054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3132485919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2698338819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2501612891},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1782116679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1881387434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2244503751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2856112219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2783949963},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2735973672},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2900513548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2826192219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.279826304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3140188985},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3057968697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4233769471},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3844705021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.339549387},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3503173701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3359543508},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114781199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3227371504},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2890113411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.252988668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2233730042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2333746437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2494339249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3205185381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3293504503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3476869466},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878920503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3280726184},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3391157609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2293210481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1920285419},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535349191},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.533847225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4968176207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4551271826},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.300361191},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3069063303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3137334156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3189262264},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3554941715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3531669742},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4218665105},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.238245454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.255229849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2923675741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2855791838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675866183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3527459218},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2369190687},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2019670072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4376306465},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1791430937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1493299292},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2940255501},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.287437082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2825089102},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1900652682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1995079216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2127789571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975132728},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975759637},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976888651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1345461176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.139262987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1678063644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975222728},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976119249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0978342916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7648665223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7150019355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5980986479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0973801908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974224789},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975029162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975763378},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097903309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0989501255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1202534241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1335512056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1632560594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1488072775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1566827649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1935175143},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1140993309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1339828307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1573092241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110525201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1105569451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1107269873},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097502742},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097566704},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976810476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1462482609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.156907583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1990574299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974908761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975389745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976747308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975068087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975495759},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097679414},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975015859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975762936},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979908011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4ec5d08b99659843a99747d85dbf544392876326027e06e94c7d454f15bedbc4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7812995127},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4ec5d08b99659843a99747d85dbf544392876326027e06e94c7d454f15bedbc4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.708572335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4ec5d08b99659843a99747d85dbf544392876326027e06e94c7d454f15bedbc4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6018215251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"50abbf7c2acbda969cec1aea9302662569b1d16e397b8301e3de20ebae393720","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975015859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"50abbf7c2acbda969cec1aea9302662569b1d16e397b8301e3de20ebae393720","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975810041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"50abbf7c2acbda969cec1aea9302662569b1d16e397b8301e3de20ebae393720","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0977676053},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974141564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974922312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097690734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974923186},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097503479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975643877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097530222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976245067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0980458679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1321863662},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.150462223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1826834548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1960777412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2183125144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2421183149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0912427819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058658668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1247244219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974974271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975291818},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976144703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975345393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976040831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0978758801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975326962},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976647807},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0982993054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0953055542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.106186993},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1236488857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975656517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976278364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979666393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1026296522},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.113758516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1321863668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8bff28e35f0e33813ec5f3f2b14d37d4196d63fac21b2a7e9933707a27f671d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09739298},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8bff28e35f0e33813ec5f3f2b14d37d4196d63fac21b2a7e9933707a27f671d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974404119},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8bff28e35f0e33813ec5f3f2b14d37d4196d63fac21b2a7e9933707a27f671d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976614625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1137939978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1262810673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1651110104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647961478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0718965103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965414161},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0973644493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0973962618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974864883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7188430549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6702687756},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1661691474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975278004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976598306},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0979939087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1387589242},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1391840216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1464541072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6464467116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5751720358},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4892920565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d6816578f7adcb1e66eae05cd291216e812656e831c2a6f009143d5b0bfa898","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097491003},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d6816578f7adcb1e66eae05cd291216e812656e831c2a6f009143d5b0bfa898","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974984863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d6816578f7adcb1e66eae05cd291216e812656e831c2a6f009143d5b0bfa898","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975286658},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7728027779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6816766507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1625893804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1319349934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1554837535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1909550855},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1076399572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1273836356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1861737276},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"b81664fe56316ef66ac51d058aabe540336665cafb8e75bef86c1a96db5ec1b1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974869331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"b81664fe56316ef66ac51d058aabe540336665cafb8e75bef86c1a96db5ec1b1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975228724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"b81664fe56316ef66ac51d058aabe540336665cafb8e75bef86c1a96db5ec1b1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976363126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975015449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0975401474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976316415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0973694652},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974168882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0974964538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6878606934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6410766008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5636768397},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1209008881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1291132947},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.143785075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6559883433},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6065428961},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5106585473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6830190633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6461106128},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5812589224},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6408146634},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5723095049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4672644014},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906686904},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2730162777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2500342726},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798288977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2600167389},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2470488575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AJG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3229639998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AJG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3439718289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AJG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2411272847},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956762354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3231445963},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3436858876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3097508699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3248866671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.345402013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.285731034},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2751728959},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3441259033},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"APTV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2883419419},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"APTV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3215286074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"APTV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3373360224},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2876507077},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2707116125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BAC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2513446778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3112400614},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3221052535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3336194844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2863249932},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3261681477},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3406992441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CEG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122797374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CEG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3272530888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CEG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.349268086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3084279922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3113750998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3200341067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859727189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3277021458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2556488719},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895308349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.326352074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3396482967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3160788873},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734488391},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3490517203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DELL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3095217259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DELL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2756306094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DELL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601833409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868934788},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3306100785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3565778979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2911281521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2747035296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3489979505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ETSY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933203875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ETSY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2866336072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ETSY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2782780869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2918455798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2853898152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3291913045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3185627078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276465407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3444998879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GILD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2911602978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GILD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2793107542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GILD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3430621446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"HRL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3147745913},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"HRL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3282054342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"HRL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2567605601},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3112134957},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2773292531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618037423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2872383278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734785426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2574777335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129689015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3375181204},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2465245623},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2818537723},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3361148076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2539436089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27942414},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618249441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2437012867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2945699697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3197231382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3385224669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3079365024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3176201767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3340078499},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3156175165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2782345015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3397547481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28240875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2724924886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2603129675},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2870389418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.273109421},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2576745572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3148735189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3273478339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3517265498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NWS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.287349035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NWS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3277981904},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NWS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3471933455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2881431518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2685260517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2468629761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2942861425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2799936229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3451592277},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2769412863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3438191622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3737234164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PCAR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3180136108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PCAR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3344775572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PCAR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2461734095},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3102603164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.325040917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562510233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3072119361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772042146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562738049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PRU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.284514578},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PRU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2702067173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PRU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2506668355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3192108519},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3356227431},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3623415194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3124075143},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3276179587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3533882082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3134156147},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2713632523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3538769971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3086966654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3174147777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3298349702},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3134432206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3301143701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3512435534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878678239},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2765388745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2643544846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2820153501},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3376043217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3644417239},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"076a766cf8e85cd5dc367bf989166be71e8458249368a451b7893bc1d0f83f45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642722972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"076a766cf8e85cd5dc367bf989166be71e8458249368a451b7893bc1d0f83f45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0486760813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"0ba9035d5decb9528c784d2824f9eb84b64eb1860e4ebe7bc263c5e6787a48b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0675912423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"0ba9035d5decb9528c784d2824f9eb84b64eb1860e4ebe7bc263c5e6787a48b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668474226},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"0f227969fe8bd73b70dd1652c9d80059ef9e7fbbafe1e86366e9c3f7b00a28ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0814295932},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"0f227969fe8bd73b70dd1652c9d80059ef9e7fbbafe1e86366e9c3f7b00a28ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509196503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"16b6b2d6b0524288e77d850f3fd49e0262f80c3c4db87aef8629f11f65ba7341","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1086169728},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"16b6b2d6b0524288e77d850f3fd49e0262f80c3c4db87aef8629f11f65ba7341","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1073187518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"17bf9a8162c4f43f85c30166cb1c89010cbbcc40d493cbd0c7adfa8c3cd9bc71","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0798053172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"17bf9a8162c4f43f85c30166cb1c89010cbbcc40d493cbd0c7adfa8c3cd9bc71","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660005308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"181e33842a92a3925dcd3f8bb70011f87f6c168e6f997a63fd08bf499a1f738e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3012110553},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"181e33842a92a3925dcd3f8bb70011f87f6c168e6f997a63fd08bf499a1f738e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3027910119},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"1bef4564f4cfb6584c8cc1cac8c89c57e2e82600d00cc58e17be6d33cee7b7f4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0869456575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"1bef4564f4cfb6584c8cc1cac8c89c57e2e82600d00cc58e17be6d33cee7b7f4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0843629677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"1cd3eb2885aa031e2fccb89e40415a0a5b899b49991ccb89e5ebdbe45df4c98d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0498447797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"1cd3eb2885aa031e2fccb89e40415a0a5b899b49991ccb89e5ebdbe45df4c98d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0500918843},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"1fbf577afda5b0891151aa0174330d3ec91de24c9a6c881445dba3f6f314dc81","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2777707149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"1fbf577afda5b0891151aa0174330d3ec91de24c9a6c881445dba3f6f314dc81","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3472934912},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"23ab30f9734da7edbc4838a872fa2ef0274774b65efee6f92d0d4a998c4933a0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4142141855},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"23ab30f9734da7edbc4838a872fa2ef0274774b65efee6f92d0d4a998c4933a0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2306396336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"269a3a5bd70fe9e4af011b3f26eeb112df0385df596a67b3a938a32ce2495721","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484687317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"269a3a5bd70fe9e4af011b3f26eeb112df0385df596a67b3a938a32ce2495721","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484883012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"28478119ab181fd9019368d78d144aa8dfa662f84671a89e75ac643445c21285","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1092113241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"28478119ab181fd9019368d78d144aa8dfa662f84671a89e75ac643445c21285","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.108662168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652490904},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0495145391},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"33342b89d642c0bfe67f5789010fa7fa504789f2bb708a4716075d81cc312c31","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2848506705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"33342b89d642c0bfe67f5789010fa7fa504789f2bb708a4716075d81cc312c31","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3363966981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"337bedd10c1c1dce4b5497f8dca1b33c0303654487c461d388bd899c2b5493ae","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3437534509},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"337bedd10c1c1dce4b5497f8dca1b33c0303654487c461d388bd899c2b5493ae","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3457770455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"35ccb22ea8b8d2aa9fdabeaccae262c3fc1dc26fb72a2a4657e37aa73b5cbf9c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0498523792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"35ccb22ea8b8d2aa9fdabeaccae262c3fc1dc26fb72a2a4657e37aa73b5cbf9c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0501338727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"39df714ca36db283593daf16352f0520ad6c2f25800f99688c2fe0ee1c16e297","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2999019211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"39df714ca36db283593daf16352f0520ad6c2f25800f99688c2fe0ee1c16e297","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2894653939},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"4218b41e75468427fadcd2d225a4fb238b8c17a230ee2f0d95875a8eb4c1c88a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0962792469},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"4218b41e75468427fadcd2d225a4fb238b8c17a230ee2f0d95875a8eb4c1c88a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0836814767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"4d5299262cdd63960ec1fef62ee0893f238443fcb914cc3fa1c92e4f15b61cc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095313398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"4d5299262cdd63960ec1fef62ee0893f238443fcb914cc3fa1c92e4f15b61cc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0796921755},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"4dec27704b5d0da5f083e0f663099b6fe28910c035902a5a657d5e84f18e3cb5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3208217959},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"4dec27704b5d0da5f083e0f663099b6fe28910c035902a5a657d5e84f18e3cb5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.352994462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"5932fbd2a5b1c25113929c442e4df8f8ce6dfa4013bb37cdc4bd28a3dc143018","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3013620447},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"5932fbd2a5b1c25113929c442e4df8f8ce6dfa4013bb37cdc4bd28a3dc143018","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2857218814},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"7618bfe9ea3faf2b1fcafc7d860dce9b58eb0c9ef6a29af004b5976ab59df30b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1142980027},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"7618bfe9ea3faf2b1fcafc7d860dce9b58eb0c9ef6a29af004b5976ab59df30b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1151057028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650425208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650284559},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"7fc4c84931b8311d58d4aca5e99bc870c33882baf0d7081a655e430f9068a07d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0686085975},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"7fc4c84931b8311d58d4aca5e99bc870c33882baf0d7081a655e430f9068a07d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0691401255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"893a3f3e93093c211b9d69c9bad46cfd062dd68bf59a8a66cc73a89e2bf7b8b4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2959128668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"893a3f3e93093c211b9d69c9bad46cfd062dd68bf59a8a66cc73a89e2bf7b8b4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3072344822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"897df10eea1ce69116cdd575c9757746a702d275e4c467583952653b767385ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642037461},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"897df10eea1ce69116cdd575c9757746a702d275e4c467583952653b767385ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0485888721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"92615fedcb5c96dfece1802922933becf94b8c2b85ec2939f3167693f69f0da3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.097178275},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"92615fedcb5c96dfece1802922933becf94b8c2b85ec2939f3167693f69f0da3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0972734787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"ad6e543adcb486b3f1155624e23640457a18412e271cc670deea7f5ec3503fa6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0486075065},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"ad6e543adcb486b3f1155624e23640457a18412e271cc670deea7f5ec3503fa6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0486080066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"af9470738a635cd334f0f515ac570b58624fd0529608095787e369493d8159c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651604478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"af9470738a635cd334f0f515ac570b58624fd0529608095787e369493d8159c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652249588},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"b9da3ef2599e110e9db865b3f96a9685295efa58f13d4a75f5e687e4037abe83","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0671440356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"b9da3ef2599e110e9db865b3f96a9685295efa58f13d4a75f5e687e4037abe83","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516755265},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"bad17045f7fa6c1dffcf6834aa4f962602ec354b47364e81aa9fa22734e4c567","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632143195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"bad17045f7fa6c1dffcf6834aa4f962602ec354b47364e81aa9fa22734e4c567","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650916011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"c38e4a81bad91c72d15836582bcc3db9787c08aa7ae315dc59f8eb3a88ba961d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0811772377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"c38e4a81bad91c72d15836582bcc3db9787c08aa7ae315dc59f8eb3a88ba961d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.084690836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"c443a68b7d144e27d2c5b174b5c0e061bc59977d05a33d5538f63066d25ea62d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0855049122},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"c443a68b7d144e27d2c5b174b5c0e061bc59977d05a33d5538f63066d25ea62d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867429355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"c7a353d94b2e02cba4c52dcf69591f7aa3f53070585c4a8df34f6c5dedd3a0da","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0523373673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"c7a353d94b2e02cba4c52dcf69591f7aa3f53070585c4a8df34f6c5dedd3a0da","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521376714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"c9194e8bb2c6498cfd5cfbe0dda6ad9abc96f2bad238376ba1ec184684012785","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.084705026},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"c9194e8bb2c6498cfd5cfbe0dda6ad9abc96f2bad238376ba1ec184684012785","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867678772},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"cafd095fe3a221cf37cc55b60c476dd9ff579bc01e10be2d9d31cfc6273ae60a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1202075091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"cafd095fe3a221cf37cc55b60c476dd9ff579bc01e10be2d9d31cfc6273ae60a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1249156858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0808768122},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.080375727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"cf205a4d2778a0dbd770c811f5a3c033d597ff71ae5d55f318ca9317070ec1fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4024591352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"cf205a4d2778a0dbd770c811f5a3c033d597ff71ae5d55f318ca9317070ec1fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3415238212},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"d1987bf8e68d672699f241cec5bff86f857b524493f8bebeba5696655291fdfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681498943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"d1987bf8e68d672699f241cec5bff86f857b524493f8bebeba5696655291fdfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0698619984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"d7e8a91dc6cc636691572f76f5e5ab6e621ff811ede5e221c869eb81e1784ba4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1041320077},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"d7e8a91dc6cc636691572f76f5e5ab6e621ff811ede5e221c869eb81e1784ba4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044777541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"dbc453f8703351fad4dfdc3f496f4c1dd380527f38a49c0ecfa3ad8fe0b83cac","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1421776565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"dbc453f8703351fad4dfdc3f496f4c1dd380527f38a49c0ecfa3ad8fe0b83cac","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1109287803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"dc24b0eb186a7a757609f2553b7a114b5da0519b9cda7d46cd1364c8834b70aa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2712133483},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"dc24b0eb186a7a757609f2553b7a114b5da0519b9cda7d46cd1364c8834b70aa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2534363211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"e40b9081df9711358970d6902d6f6bff35cb6597f758c0f16752e2e387a80c1f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2913609051},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"e40b9081df9711358970d6902d6f6bff35cb6597f758c0f16752e2e387a80c1f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2999234882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"e53dabd31f71786f3b044bd12e498deee5a732a43de2d9be7468ebaced466977","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3102558367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"e53dabd31f71786f3b044bd12e498deee5a732a43de2d9be7468ebaced466977","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3087723966},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"f276efc923dff4849790e5a7dbdb597edf7b4bc17671cfbbcc0d0efbb13b7cf5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0490212676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"f276efc923dff4849790e5a7dbdb597edf7b4bc17671cfbbcc0d0efbb13b7cf5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0490129581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"faaeabfcb98f1c0d56b9d78df09baa6e69a75e0e284ab2288f64c4de369dbe0d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0657668642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"faaeabfcb98f1c0d56b9d78df09baa6e69a75e0e284ab2288f64c4de369dbe0d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512782245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"fbdfb73d1acf919ac1adcacc5727cb44936d22164d54ee0a264baafd02e0efc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656269024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"fbdfb73d1acf919ac1adcacc5727cb44936d22164d54ee0a264baafd02e0efc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512433906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"fc8c89612c160995d9bf5c352fd9aa5c7959b467eab0b5ee94994be4f1854e0c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3283778326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"fc8c89612c160995d9bf5c352fd9aa5c7959b467eab0b5ee94994be4f1854e0c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3221782769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"fe1798e96797bd884e6b2b9c4561c59cb0eb2a9a3911b42b6958cdcf9badc5cd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642097403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"fe1798e96797bd884e6b2b9c4561c59cb0eb2a9a3911b42b6958cdcf9badc5cd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642097421},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"ff0e19f8da2c05da5995eb6b145301092ae9f6991d0ff1a4ca84b8562163383c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0498697815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"acled","id":"ff0e19f8da2c05da5995eb6b145301092ae9f6991d0ff1a4ca84b8562163383c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0508780157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4660542978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1349135758},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4276322695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1189864261},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2294858692},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1322006138},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4499412022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1198448223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3886498476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5907974566},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4899519368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1204798679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4228320209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1329132352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.419228949},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6277287455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3985205914},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6156401054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3924429968},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1296595961},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.351471534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.574536024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3467886724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1425476581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4131854389},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5920319794},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4066555436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6443940834},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4071771623},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6129894905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3406508806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1637845484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3820554409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1220809215},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4171777294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6540019695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3464676912},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5521871059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.386593982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1358853509},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4157853979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.117800416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3699059201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.644062777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.416278724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1298035864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3606662769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1590154256},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3672657452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1508738681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3734655956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1473992773},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3400045189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1468071793},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3994227911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6229316772},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3402463543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5569240646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.382535143},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1512897211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3938674487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1977932058},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3897455904},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1142037992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3095219503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1607306232},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4374839564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.124682146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2779066756},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2276856236},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4049283056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.26883013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3711288},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2726682836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3512629172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2468701405},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2953395857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4465384207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3909958454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2171053639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3646786059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2219471464},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2312339176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.171000971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3703974255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1918795263},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4077037783},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5306934717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2679737341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4929933019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.377516118},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1908057323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3498278888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867956893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3140378282},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3035547931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3051718521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3368033753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.382162114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3039066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3258651608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3561745234},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3044550619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2873504804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2710145134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2959093373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3246830594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3632002237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.290249836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2856736617},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2866930761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2988070952},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3153868473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2731826962},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3018027602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3199391178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3500818933},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3324100629},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3717794026},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2023273223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3105720597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2836520085},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2575191132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3008712321},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.293086808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753406425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2918295587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3268670347},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.352744394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3026563609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3122992208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3203007071},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0849170992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1019464739},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1404180698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2971932275},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.287611406},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2751197789},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2920520733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921427099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2905095907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3032654835},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3023005525},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3016191403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3026946019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2936622541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835916607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1071969492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104791242},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1234611235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906089547},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627195982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2304515977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2609069351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.359270368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3371664565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2759045598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28119203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.310033837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2999941409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2751842411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3715555394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3759679972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1206863512},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1205971288},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.287322275},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2804730117},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3693453458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3347335115},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.361700689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.213037528},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3245668853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3482402885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2313018602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2909887513},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2897194178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3104698373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3215838139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562440684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.229607941},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2898934471},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835383303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753782446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2863848482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2752809365},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2744541088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2943817698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2825572975},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2731682445},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3238605231},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2452386109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2294870826},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2998490046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2926626879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2977269239},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.32169318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2496984185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2379618309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4035952741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2655175216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2952359622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3211744708},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2683556382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3624708645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2271575628},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1831740282},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1989425154},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2246096377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3105009054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3269612681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3495610011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3909242392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4275266748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1716703027},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2873777965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2875940515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289431162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2855294334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2792000987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3261714125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3091100784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3099773733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3141637307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4221624743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4057576717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660077128},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3044228374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3063266307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3069767615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.435962766},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3965388782},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2846620994},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2645778053},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2440242825},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5380569878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5100565982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4675609558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3076341189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129701228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3017054778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048650846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050027955},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1052297092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"048b354eb4a2d24ea29fd579964f996a67e3acb40f67a3f9d6d41d8d431be560","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046780583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"048b354eb4a2d24ea29fd579964f996a67e3acb40f67a3f9d6d41d8d431be560","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104736636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"048b354eb4a2d24ea29fd579964f996a67e3acb40f67a3f9d6d41d8d431be560","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1049388171},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048652721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1049719953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1052433415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"0d2b133c7d77ed33197368f9375238e4f02bb858403478f340f654173792e2c1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048341418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"0d2b133c7d77ed33197368f9375238e4f02bb858403478f340f654173792e2c1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1049289354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"0d2b133c7d77ed33197368f9375238e4f02bb858403478f340f654173792e2c1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1051371478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1307941243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1468343557},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1810089252},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1079840526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1175121751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1359715685},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048400959},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1049656418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1053135518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1103781477},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1204736169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1425336234},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1124988839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1193071682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1369810529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058790697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.108411626},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1133022088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1055651407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1060409717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1080635036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1489016752},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1731110886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5234426677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1136369418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1251970899},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1470131798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048795245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104950601},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10526373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048511828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048959823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050085615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.127629545},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1357926878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535417479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1923314374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5014822767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4363272044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1106737333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1276564033},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1742085107},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1053623567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057362973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1068214952},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048776492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1049657286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1052634799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047841514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048594949},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1052674606},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048369323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104930035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1051575244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1455842054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1548184653},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1676832185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046903048},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048034491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1051690132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.137839074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1489784709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1669440301},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0899555233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023414451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1252472796},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"80622d988880cea15ff86d0eae9dc576026cbdd12ab2a6fca8c18795c26e3b02","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1649811959},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"80622d988880cea15ff86d0eae9dc576026cbdd12ab2a6fca8c18795c26e3b02","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1815465168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"80622d988880cea15ff86d0eae9dc576026cbdd12ab2a6fca8c18795c26e3b02","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2140645541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1810151763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.210757741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4876923992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"9b23662b0dcbb885aa00dfa3ee17560462db1c6fe0c6c750ba5cdaf5c6f3a33a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048294535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"9b23662b0dcbb885aa00dfa3ee17560462db1c6fe0c6c750ba5cdaf5c6f3a33a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048966681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"9b23662b0dcbb885aa00dfa3ee17560462db1c6fe0c6c750ba5cdaf5c6f3a33a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1052165819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1610537185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1743248185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1988232256},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1419585255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1503849604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1793336399},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048727734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1049655411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1053249804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.118979675},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1328457862},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1586753721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048152698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048344031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048689978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984948742},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058398749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6473258326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1633012223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1963568513},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2299797643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046917426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104744189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104906029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1339697276},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1474469601},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1712572646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.118693228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1461801892},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5584000915},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"d19e7dae2cc81341d2a1863ee45319a0430d345e8e2d9a987c3d4f2659dee954","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048666505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"d19e7dae2cc81341d2a1863ee45319a0430d345e8e2d9a987c3d4f2659dee954","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1049824383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"d19e7dae2cc81341d2a1863ee45319a0430d345e8e2d9a987c3d4f2659dee954","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1052387526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1312692677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1520164882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1864786066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"d9367995f33b1ce8276658ff68100030ed007cedfdc0e29cc1e70868ac7c2a5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048729609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"d9367995f33b1ce8276658ff68100030ed007cedfdc0e29cc1e70868ac7c2a5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1049801823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"d9367995f33b1ce8276658ff68100030ed007cedfdc0e29cc1e70868ac7c2a5b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1052651058},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1074213942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1143538247},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1344009885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047169343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104791197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050822484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6a47cd336b6ea14b142b18f6b8e0880362d28b6e3fc3fdb35ea95eebe07b94d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1935235563},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6a47cd336b6ea14b142b18f6b8e0880362d28b6e3fc3fdb35ea95eebe07b94d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2161774139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6a47cd336b6ea14b142b18f6b8e0880362d28b6e3fc3fdb35ea95eebe07b94d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2505332643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1058141587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6266265475},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5271410447},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1051775753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1053593581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1064743736},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"fbc957258e4d6de0fbc809180959d294831a87aa87d0749c599b5fb52f17d967","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1130723565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"fbc957258e4d6de0fbc809180959d294831a87aa87d0749c599b5fb52f17d967","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1323881457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"fbc957258e4d6de0fbc809180959d294831a87aa87d0749c599b5fb52f17d967","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.160336655},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1048533351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1049921481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1052605575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2874197366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2715520367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2543727399},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3111085931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2784341008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2603697035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.31647586},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2695013194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"BALL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3170110448},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"BALL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3356342461},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"BALL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2437701653},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"BBY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3097306251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"BBY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.281847355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3176726852},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2778199474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2660961042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2892855241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3199357789},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3411672621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3132889294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2756731618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3449565362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308735817},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2785636848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2875336298},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3238308182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3371949592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3247404475},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2590777799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2893637219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2796365609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2638572819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3133901993},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2670285207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2403928566},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2893638007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.284865175},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2755249944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2901137404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2746438199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2594158541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2888556702},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2809774692},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"FIX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2979326573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"FIX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3235632623},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3193277492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2678422448},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2525779413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3151700687},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3270534328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2574725845},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"GE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3108512103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"GE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2765867083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3171564245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2676120449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.247358312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895160015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3201083721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3349989269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859396591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2808136047},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2820967186},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.321524249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3402338059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"INVH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167094151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"INVH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2664041626},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"INVH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2487815885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3165559406},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3367462468},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2391438272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"J","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3123130649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"J","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2693732059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"J","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2504837368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3096784649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3204931534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33929875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"KR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2907435792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"KR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167501753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314235028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3223954618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2662610569},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2763261634},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2630980289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2480563842},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220342451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3418904348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2888178813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2833362293},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"NWS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126007339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"NWS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3314414673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"NWS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2464286228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2896037635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816765471},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2679118992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3048199081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2870310543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3058156005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2747863156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.256240762},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3111177677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2691699094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"Q","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2848987423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"Q","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.325712419},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"Q","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.344463228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3176490114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3340872013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3068508745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2815819492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2699930585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2982781086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129060506},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2995580861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2889823203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2770565147},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2610973087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"TGT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3079528305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"TGT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2740747358},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2827241334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2770126765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3404455611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3071874995},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2738507877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2925979665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2745260801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2514601215},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"UPS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3107845323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"UPS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.278807635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27879216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.334744615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3588864365},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2882507875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.285748624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2699963456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"067d6bc7368cb2bd9fe467fc454195ec3fd4be9f02bed5ad8add9831958e7b3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0673811844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"067d6bc7368cb2bd9fe467fc454195ec3fd4be9f02bed5ad8add9831958e7b3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0545990008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"15a15edfe63373c78f96f021d69a22d0cc78ad843b86bf7435063c45805c1ac7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0496732681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"15a15edfe63373c78f96f021d69a22d0cc78ad843b86bf7435063c45805c1ac7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0496498611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"1784da1104ec84d78b7f5a3c7d96663dfb9314efd03c0e4f309bbd0a82627584","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1022570731},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"1784da1104ec84d78b7f5a3c7d96663dfb9314efd03c0e4f309bbd0a82627584","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1036480211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"1afdd177add6bb79d09d8130a0da66f6155ac6b798ce06fa195f0c3dfbf64337","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0665022484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"1afdd177add6bb79d09d8130a0da66f6155ac6b798ce06fa195f0c3dfbf64337","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.066867938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"1b89485888b4ccaf75f0d9bbb699035705875a20289f045617fd5f94e058e281","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0703574521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"1b89485888b4ccaf75f0d9bbb699035705875a20289f045617fd5f94e058e281","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075161754},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"258df82bd2c2f5df173d04e4611b32e241085fbf17f8fc7e9d8ac63cb136a928","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0510838056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"258df82bd2c2f5df173d04e4611b32e241085fbf17f8fc7e9d8ac63cb136a928","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516522029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"291ffb284a54ae015ded44e3721c9a02a3cc401c44adb359bc158cb30b37883a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641728476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"291ffb284a54ae015ded44e3721c9a02a3cc401c44adb359bc158cb30b37883a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0494763552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"2a2be14f826701770214c8187c279ca151a81d2aabf965b940a1b1f6abdb7816","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0862357898},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"2a2be14f826701770214c8187c279ca151a81d2aabf965b940a1b1f6abdb7816","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0888157723},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"2d174ea076671029f5f979a23e79ea4dfa45348b432508da0815b05578e94f19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.185316707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"2d174ea076671029f5f979a23e79ea4dfa45348b432508da0815b05578e94f19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1823338525},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"30dc7f0ade4b5d06b9f52cbe7158916bd31e79df9ecaff12a6c550b76cf315b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0655779098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"30dc7f0ade4b5d06b9f52cbe7158916bd31e79df9ecaff12a6c550b76cf315b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065693533},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"38c40d8efc89323b215a80082c57c7c5a0c36970f4d13e86e220d93131e2d2e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0498087554},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"38c40d8efc89323b215a80082c57c7c5a0c36970f4d13e86e220d93131e2d2e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0499831894},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"3fc41392cc7af95f3974c74323958db08c9756f63f159770ff0fae2ad3867a2d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515428673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"3fc41392cc7af95f3974c74323958db08c9756f63f159770ff0fae2ad3867a2d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0517292413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"416217168e26a566103147484dc779d9c9b11710d1cb2a7a44fdfd3f9cd77a00","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0887155577},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"416217168e26a566103147484dc779d9c9b11710d1cb2a7a44fdfd3f9cd77a00","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0595982771},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"473739fe22871b88fcfc8d996aaa9c53dcbb02c087206692e7ef1355d0f6718f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0936961679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"473739fe22871b88fcfc8d996aaa9c53dcbb02c087206692e7ef1355d0f6718f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0496587334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"524d8228bdba3a16a5591f5de0373847d1186c0b789e078d87d8364434dc7e99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2369745116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"524d8228bdba3a16a5591f5de0373847d1186c0b789e078d87d8364434dc7e99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2362741268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"5a5dd6f530b482865f37a6aaf52048dd38c69a777464ca020f6a8fd1d0c35a25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.053169913},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"5a5dd6f530b482865f37a6aaf52048dd38c69a777464ca020f6a8fd1d0c35a25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527472797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"5cf6bb8a0c7ef53f1e36107ad116cbf905b4cc315afdaaccd70bb36986a6c454","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0873170671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"5cf6bb8a0c7ef53f1e36107ad116cbf905b4cc315afdaaccd70bb36986a6c454","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0916524658},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"6281aeb88beb15d8d948de823cd27f027438ad2cdf3e201c66d5538d255d109b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2513215485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"6281aeb88beb15d8d948de823cd27f027438ad2cdf3e201c66d5538d255d109b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.241229574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"6ae5f6f9b6cbcd807fe5c6d7e35aa1c25cf0bda40ff43f8667c4bc7b1f605585","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0854206352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"6ae5f6f9b6cbcd807fe5c6d7e35aa1c25cf0bda40ff43f8667c4bc7b1f605585","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0609155786},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"743a1e6ab44f20fe5ccfb2b517fa6030e4342c4aead6b2b8c9fcea4b7fbcfdec","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1046436651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"743a1e6ab44f20fe5ccfb2b517fa6030e4342c4aead6b2b8c9fcea4b7fbcfdec","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1417926987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"75f25111fc03218ff78c2dd0a34e5c9005892a4f9fdcc61defbcf7b518acc72b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0681358521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"75f25111fc03218ff78c2dd0a34e5c9005892a4f9fdcc61defbcf7b518acc72b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.069015965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"76b5a922d6379f14838bbb051a7f3c70001b3661b6af959d4db6749a946e3efb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1128225642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"76b5a922d6379f14838bbb051a7f3c70001b3661b6af959d4db6749a946e3efb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938075502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"7740084dce9fcf0a52fcaf648518e1071fe646705e2ee0c325437f829e032339","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0789262712},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"7740084dce9fcf0a52fcaf648518e1071fe646705e2ee0c325437f829e032339","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0643475174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"8464de7daca44ee3fa040f57cc25c3a797d4a2706664d3bba47d37dab3e71f68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0513276176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"8464de7daca44ee3fa040f57cc25c3a797d4a2706664d3bba47d37dab3e71f68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520451167},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"84c73bbd34df256d08bf604148024579180e9c0a93f261e92f7b1643fb5dfb19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0718940171},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"84c73bbd34df256d08bf604148024579180e9c0a93f261e92f7b1643fb5dfb19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0596275063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"8874a023aa61d69330babc004208ae1977c6cb54c4bebb2c92e09017b4a0e53c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0837597435},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"8874a023aa61d69330babc004208ae1977c6cb54c4bebb2c92e09017b4a0e53c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0577538221},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"8c1f2aa24cb0dbd017b9fe81a70b88b1eca7ed5a21f737fda85cab7b887ed118","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0508633046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"8c1f2aa24cb0dbd017b9fe81a70b88b1eca7ed5a21f737fda85cab7b887ed118","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514633589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"9e344c349f723a4af7261b56c0c9ed253c106fa0956f2c5d3703ee5e5d6a4da8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0656693615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"9e344c349f723a4af7261b56c0c9ed253c106fa0956f2c5d3703ee5e5d6a4da8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516285554},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0524006607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0550123913},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"a443fb4ea2879aea67ce7de62be2127f7863db520ffe40b4bdb941e6d46a96e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6431345105},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"a443fb4ea2879aea67ce7de62be2127f7863db520ffe40b4bdb941e6d46a96e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1249794652},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"ae29e65838ae79b6b8d371516d778ddfa3b553824ea5a6a58ab17c82f33daed4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.106228926},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"ae29e65838ae79b6b8d371516d778ddfa3b553824ea5a6a58ab17c82f33daed4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1610519564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"b6b94782abcfab02fe0a702c1c6c49bd0159082a2146365e799c3e392d04b7c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0658031574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"b6b94782abcfab02fe0a702c1c6c49bd0159082a2146365e799c3e392d04b7c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521032809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"b7a88ced1bd731cc171e607ec34b7535fb839173a03d3c50baa9a138561b0720","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0816286537},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"b7a88ced1bd731cc171e607ec34b7535fb839173a03d3c50baa9a138561b0720","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0689321582},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"ba27c9200490504ebaae900240859026badbda014cdc594cb525be4b0b4775bf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2963122567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"ba27c9200490504ebaae900240859026badbda014cdc594cb525be4b0b4775bf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.301681736},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"bba364700698cca8b4a6a6d62b8df14c812b2d741aee1e7f09afeeafba4b7504","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0797353982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"bba364700698cca8b4a6a6d62b8df14c812b2d741aee1e7f09afeeafba4b7504","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522167284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"bbca237d399033e22dabcd6f2fad146631c75a743a2c2ef5eeb948a9c401a58d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4215957808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"bbca237d399033e22dabcd6f2fad146631c75a743a2c2ef5eeb948a9c401a58d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3917134229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"bf094b9e3225ea213e7ae6360fe70ee1647b75434ed0dce549a669d7f4e7f239","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3368345347},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"bf094b9e3225ea213e7ae6360fe70ee1647b75434ed0dce549a669d7f4e7f239","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3367147359},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"c750f4c98136e20d958db45697a2fc6ce9425ed98f99697e809016329a651124","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0710241379},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"c750f4c98136e20d958db45697a2fc6ce9425ed98f99697e809016329a651124","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0734626931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"d4f699577a5fc967f0291e1a2b9efd51913104344456aeca00a35eebd433aaca","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.067254093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"d4f699577a5fc967f0291e1a2b9efd51913104344456aeca00a35eebd433aaca","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0707503121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"da0086ba156491720e5ba17caa10802ce7d804c7d41c5f190404d6a62e26adc6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0523250586},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"da0086ba156491720e5ba17caa10802ce7d804c7d41c5f190404d6a62e26adc6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527595571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"dbc453f8703351fad4dfdc3f496f4c1dd380527f38a49c0ecfa3ad8fe0b83cac","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641369885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"dbc453f8703351fad4dfdc3f496f4c1dd380527f38a49c0ecfa3ad8fe0b83cac","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641339892},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"dd94c666b5ce990c07314ec545df22d59b849ccf8cb47d5ea16a99c5370db7e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573014803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"dd94c666b5ce990c07314ec545df22d59b849ccf8cb47d5ea16a99c5370db7e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0575355707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"dfc1e42029794df20049cfc1d1e10ef06b845f8bcf2045caf71b01224ca9ffd1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1475236015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"dfc1e42029794df20049cfc1d1e10ef06b845f8bcf2045caf71b01224ca9ffd1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521402951},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"e06472142c571193cbc6dc5d563d572b1589a4d2f020c2556e42859ab3da6c28","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0496814869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"e06472142c571193cbc6dc5d563d572b1589a4d2f020c2556e42859ab3da6c28","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0498701539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"e429dc1fb30f687799c41892ca15a669110805570c9a2e1626af03b6c834142e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0679156034},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"e429dc1fb30f687799c41892ca15a669110805570c9a2e1626af03b6c834142e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.068217247},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"ebf780361b5326d8d78f5871ee66afdd5a0c7ea62e3493c60a90e861f014cde9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0813259449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"ebf780361b5326d8d78f5871ee66afdd5a0c7ea62e3493c60a90e861f014cde9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0860996061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"f4715ef60a896e3e73dc6a93283572fb8565f29789ae9e7bfa1fb625e1663b2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.356538877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"f4715ef60a896e3e73dc6a93283572fb8565f29789ae9e7bfa1fb625e1663b2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2826327877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"f699973d07a3cfbd2f7943ed5ea7f69c3b086c7931dc91ee541aec7281237366","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991178211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"f699973d07a3cfbd2f7943ed5ea7f69c3b086c7931dc91ee541aec7281237366","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.095348526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"f6d0eaf5d6550bcecbbabc407969c7145ce75956189f05988d2e8a306b417c14","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0496047481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"f6d0eaf5d6550bcecbbabc407969c7145ce75956189f05988d2e8a306b417c14","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0496048234},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0572234611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0563012521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1449537444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3936242142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1329155268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.412156242},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1226088663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4167134436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1154347253},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3813531651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1450063315},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3964406811},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1188213384},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3840360073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1227676207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4322447867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1100087597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4321879534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1162082767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3961236976},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1301521036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3552298539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1365872044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3649927636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1359120919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.384683644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1244868383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.403153575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1136715673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3831019518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1269490864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3691647274},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1938039515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3947275979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1574476492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3563714122},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1316887033},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3967243869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1116422334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2416965851},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1459673801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3925999602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1231858446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3624077487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1372477228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3686071985},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1193865627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3938965665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1149423974},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3745626309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1174213409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3525517853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1354935022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3818312799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1292129804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3611518067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1495784885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3684747911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1406998781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2077456401},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1057365571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4374148974},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1157142611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2560396239},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1399504321},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2078103214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0984001899},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4054290303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.19377461},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3086812694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.242168777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3708445598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1988617947},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4060425355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2270736152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4107950974},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5809892091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3008331893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2514082375},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.303087328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2389886042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3682621029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2337193015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4607795853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6689602944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2256268552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1550531953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2642541717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1853645822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2099903689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.15673079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2550953737},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1957240312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.318607652},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2790687303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2892358858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3025649123},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3071677172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3302864716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3250088145},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3533676852},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2993774784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3085068194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3061772832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2898544151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2516346996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.223636488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3026274401},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3319188003},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3081715238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.327886346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3055790655},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3409492421},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3084027931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.333330519},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2568278713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2341472357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.250237526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4224814538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3057261093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131297965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3050641727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3127081858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2970654513},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2943815761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2911535552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2761072291},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3371375159},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2973890798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2998887834},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3103060431},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2818960742},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3195787513},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2994926213},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3013380257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2966562353},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.307268551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.348756562},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3662381598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2976228144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146688617},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2810318803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2624569792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1672584092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1668007579},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1571994977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.613908072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.285811051},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903545772},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3011132346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3066248241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3372164142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3504328332},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1382303008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1539696507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3257019002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2765298524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2782283266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2654095307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3059425099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2941369145},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2532848232},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3894707887},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2554745814},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.344908264},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816485009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2975189039},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2870755142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114530866},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2979212431},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2975950002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2973248418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3070474253},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2416665597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1992797765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306032171},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2755609687},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903183457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3187084357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3432697899},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2882201627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791104093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3293338633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2816574902},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3262807542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3511373708},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3656141762},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2710722168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2754207535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3793435216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2244387799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2915757094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2827991559},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1010942805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1119518029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1162154715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1403575172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0719141868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0891420749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102964486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029649706},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.682698566},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5120869876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1266537077},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1418044022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"25ae06cda2a115dcb46cbf0fc6bbe6975bfb3212b489e26634b6087d7163f0a5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102423359},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"25ae06cda2a115dcb46cbf0fc6bbe6975bfb3212b489e26634b6087d7163f0a5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1025621538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024645858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027647591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023882486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102443002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030419371},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038621795},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10250693},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1027132991},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0645228336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532966815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023525671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023880369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.128157881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1425332121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1026640152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1032477181},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1025120465},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1025729898},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023777984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024369797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6168253033},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4738126311},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1169846458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.129584573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0900139099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1167945984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023823116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1025591127},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023649011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024372408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0882175452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1050243785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023602697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024134222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102388425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024712314},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102341333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10237843},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1294173134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1465902373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1060285556},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1082716805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029410909},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1029765982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"91e191b62004ae99aeefa0037c2e5412ac308a9ef2aaa6f6bb7e6b4095567f5e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023661061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"91e191b62004ae99aeefa0037c2e5412ac308a9ef2aaa6f6bb7e6b4095567f5e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024019075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023468671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023471194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1128742006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1233200432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023365146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023390458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023588458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024313232},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"ab5c58a4f7851613998a972c236017f60c6f9cd402b83743cac441683c363680","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1636573595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"ab5c58a4f7851613998a972c236017f60c6f9cd402b83743cac441683c363680","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1732565535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024970061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1025021815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0878141409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1157848348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.201637692},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2873905698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7331867357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6321017303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0840091032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0905803931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7862256449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.674357595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1200148435},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1240243095},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.102348201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023676088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1303812537},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1846121989},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0985825052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1077453187},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023952477},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1025040505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023590205},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024420034},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7147231637},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5603117596},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023529917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1023962175},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038696485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1372039405},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AJG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3183066937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AJG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2670328675},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2969536187},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308765394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2865600324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2765806326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AMZN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.280720817},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AMZN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3320768172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3096762264},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3211775182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145958033},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2739332496},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3190895027},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3374926031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AZO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3183265886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"AZO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3420500083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3014155064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.287823949},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867654995},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3298279459},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.315896671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2754287284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CBRE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3139366884},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CBRE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2754126039},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CEG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.310115333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CEG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.319910825},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3113263403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3264923214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3098409713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2833067064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2895464523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2804013859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859220919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2746818774},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3095005802},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3247116084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145659177},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3289401264},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.314260681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2727901635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3192518396},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3296437423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2937898368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3191688686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"EOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3177278879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"EOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3313491222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3140628126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3282520146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3119302803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3199063322},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"FCX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2876094914},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"FCX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2882788938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28194129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2674936428},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879544222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2799767297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3093628973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3226995152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"IRM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2919423725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"IRM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2780929118},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3187889693},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3345094987},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3097393483},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2814061906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2947542215},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146960538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3135988689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3215919531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"META","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2833601431},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"META","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3302614053},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921676945},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2742728184},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3108703563},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3194241149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"PLTR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885387712},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"PLTR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3223883294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2905832086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2766010104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2881690073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2774866527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3132407642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3308704699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3073532166},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136415296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2749067001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2609070668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"TMUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3201107818},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"TMUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3364021029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"UAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2922218916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"UAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28548878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2907071779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3268056706},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3160539236},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2636297253},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169755919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2716934837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167038294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3395405679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"083f66e07d74d628962b76e05defc427f50cc21ade66a6b775ea6af83ca833b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0520667314},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"083f66e07d74d628962b76e05defc427f50cc21ade66a6b775ea6af83ca833b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0537113443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"0e89575effe8d6d43b327f12a813a65eeb81e8b76f994acbc24c7fba6b9a3c00","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3563627964},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"0e89575effe8d6d43b327f12a813a65eeb81e8b76f994acbc24c7fba6b9a3c00","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3665029856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"1013da778a92179ddad45b200e35715489ef1b9e233fb9238850d3e155330972","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063871465},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"1013da778a92179ddad45b200e35715489ef1b9e233fb9238850d3e155330972","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641676061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"1046cad489447b1c0dd4fb695cddf48bd3d7e6a66f15b0a2f81080b4398ca387","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0491488437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"1046cad489447b1c0dd4fb695cddf48bd3d7e6a66f15b0a2f81080b4398ca387","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0492240691},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"11ad14d93a81c40efaa69cbe5a3ec92664440c9ef22e569e648f196572070441","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0509860996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"11ad14d93a81c40efaa69cbe5a3ec92664440c9ef22e569e648f196572070441","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0518128928},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"123bdd8a9e5f84206cb36447b6dc44a964e248de37c6ac5dabc3128a2a3f0f46","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637988949},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"123bdd8a9e5f84206cb36447b6dc44a964e248de37c6ac5dabc3128a2a3f0f46","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0498098589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"1afdd177add6bb79d09d8130a0da66f6155ac6b798ce06fa195f0c3dfbf64337","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064015121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"1afdd177add6bb79d09d8130a0da66f6155ac6b798ce06fa195f0c3dfbf64337","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647435235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"1c748737d78d6d23be65a2d12dcb8b0b118e0087c3a10200a124680b705a9142","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1385943589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"1c748737d78d6d23be65a2d12dcb8b0b118e0087c3a10200a124680b705a9142","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1411300173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"1fd41b58c5c86d8a595e3eb462137f143bc01a1e718e705ef11d8e189fb2e745","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.081813008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"1fd41b58c5c86d8a595e3eb462137f143bc01a1e718e705ef11d8e189fb2e745","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0830711426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"213e07e438e3379a7cf8222200179bed623f5dfc2873820a657355c637aea661","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0506086064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"213e07e438e3379a7cf8222200179bed623f5dfc2873820a657355c637aea661","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511768809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0637513383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0634559439},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"2f109c1b141224bb77aa48fe005a7ce9d7aca2934baf9e82121c8537ed7ba157","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0644586844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"2f109c1b141224bb77aa48fe005a7ce9d7aca2934baf9e82121c8537ed7ba157","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0647714691},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"2fa493be13df180c8da53aec4396eaa9656d4f4352953fbc603deafddc097332","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0786855052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"2fa493be13df180c8da53aec4396eaa9656d4f4352953fbc603deafddc097332","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0843718335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"3dd998571d335c33a5bb521a7dae3e1d3f01037f41c9d598843c362f501b3d94","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0769271391},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"3dd998571d335c33a5bb521a7dae3e1d3f01037f41c9d598843c362f501b3d94","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0492589015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"42a5912387d9e2e8d2307514ff8c973f2cc1407a55b4b312cfb5d8c216e8bc02","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0515126811},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"42a5912387d9e2e8d2307514ff8c973f2cc1407a55b4b312cfb5d8c216e8bc02","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0517352186},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"474525884a76c0b89ce5168243a699cbbe16e1bc5334fa9ab17eabac12fe4aaa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3359683048},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"474525884a76c0b89ce5168243a699cbbe16e1bc5334fa9ab17eabac12fe4aaa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3352086795},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"4c36cf9a4627f185fa557be3e9add98be4623a71cc628e8820c287d978a4fd05","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0712551999},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"4c36cf9a4627f185fa557be3e9add98be4623a71cc628e8820c287d978a4fd05","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0729617318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"52541d1ba5875354b248fc7a9558cf183aba5727f9339292168fecb7b1a0186f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7649303009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"52541d1ba5875354b248fc7a9558cf183aba5727f9339292168fecb7b1a0186f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1238514527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"5965b7f8bce2c98d94c4a89e5a2532c705b8249d861d9943321606ac1896adbc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050054305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"5965b7f8bce2c98d94c4a89e5a2532c705b8249d861d9943321606ac1896adbc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050615706},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"59978cdd149177a7a3c0335c78677f098d78cdd59073ac1bbbd2062bfb271b5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0646627436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"59978cdd149177a7a3c0335c78677f098d78cdd59073ac1bbbd2062bfb271b5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0655651493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"59fa135737750b8dd3be792b42d9890b340e83caf37d9e783863a6fcdab164c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064688022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"59fa135737750b8dd3be792b42d9890b340e83caf37d9e783863a6fcdab164c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505437602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"616432adb62d57d9bd7e8f8844695f7671554d5d80e2ce2b8b689e2673eceee1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0983995952},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"616432adb62d57d9bd7e8f8844695f7671554d5d80e2ce2b8b689e2673eceee1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0977940839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"63a19e0abd09392e5ad5bcd03136a7b944494599b9c50bcd27970f31f3660eae","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0824348529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"63a19e0abd09392e5ad5bcd03136a7b944494599b9c50bcd27970f31f3660eae","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0827274695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"70381ea1ad3863e23311aa1808c22fa322a50fb10621d922ac5d4ef64c4a8119","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3352522359},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"70381ea1ad3863e23311aa1808c22fa322a50fb10621d922ac5d4ef64c4a8119","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3056939067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"792b278efb2c2b5537d2442d0392b4dcb08998f45a02fba68735fb4cd336839a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0512860769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"792b278efb2c2b5537d2442d0392b4dcb08998f45a02fba68735fb4cd336839a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0523458716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"7e3c4c3b35e465c42a057b107c83667e30c3031690a3b4bf122c7173902472f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3350226761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"7e3c4c3b35e465c42a057b107c83667e30c3031690a3b4bf122c7173902472f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772791544},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"7f4119e23dd3373cb77b4355f5b5d16668ce55e2cca486f44b03f0a3ab88a18b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3820385154},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"7f4119e23dd3373cb77b4355f5b5d16668ce55e2cca486f44b03f0a3ab88a18b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2476229523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"84560290f0fdd0e711e926a753f1afc7e2f130115d683bccf996c12bd11ddfc4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0516307872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"84560290f0fdd0e711e926a753f1afc7e2f130115d683bccf996c12bd11ddfc4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0525641985},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641144006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0500206394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0497376319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0495406282},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"8723214926411e611e5ad08e80a71a7d0afb62ec0af4ec8905cb5eeae89653be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2538717733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"8723214926411e611e5ad08e80a71a7d0afb62ec0af4ec8905cb5eeae89653be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2638920158},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"87f4c19a45d7e05234a0b6943c94c9893a2e6c8259b16d4e381ed5f7067c2cdf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.049243346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"87f4c19a45d7e05234a0b6943c94c9893a2e6c8259b16d4e381ed5f7067c2cdf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0492697354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"8a291ad29e8f622e44b8536559968f50ddee3ffd971c67878b3867b88b2e2ff0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.30664498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"8a291ad29e8f622e44b8536559968f50ddee3ffd971c67878b3867b88b2e2ff0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136515552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"8f1a35e9ded8c47a42e326c57382e793332a2fd92a61caaa98b179ebfc6a4e31","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642337917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"8f1a35e9ded8c47a42e326c57382e793332a2fd92a61caaa98b179ebfc6a4e31","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0508257216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"93ae965d27aebfdcc59bb8410a814c6c6d94839008031ea6c7afafca4d9309b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3674525949},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"93ae965d27aebfdcc59bb8410a814c6c6d94839008031ea6c7afafca4d9309b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2713079125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"98ed712d949684f530e006cc38ebb6704d66b025c35c39f179d2073232f8d738","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3583973343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"98ed712d949684f530e006cc38ebb6704d66b025c35c39f179d2073232f8d738","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.333734152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"a1a0ab31b111e00d0e9ac7e4bddda8c6e7e0a5ae3caf697f2ab4431050c54219","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2230003641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"a1a0ab31b111e00d0e9ac7e4bddda8c6e7e0a5ae3caf697f2ab4431050c54219","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2265337633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"a2a3a6ad9bd798bbbb8563617fe60c3b537a440995f3a7a1e1e19be614c49ddc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0643045219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"a2a3a6ad9bd798bbbb8563617fe60c3b537a440995f3a7a1e1e19be614c49ddc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0646048981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"b00db06004aa0ce9b2f6e0aead234dd8b25d2f84b02e6c5ddb579d1d583301fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0641701789},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"b00db06004aa0ce9b2f6e0aead234dd8b25d2f84b02e6c5ddb579d1d583301fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064921804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"b4f1f247f2a713a9777a8be17d51892a591b49144bdaac476ec55f804316ec62","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0540927826},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"b4f1f247f2a713a9777a8be17d51892a591b49144bdaac476ec55f804316ec62","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0556488427},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"b7e31c799a10a678ac14111c55942f36c8b8814e7bdba5d6bf83c6f179e32d38","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0499226931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"b7e31c799a10a678ac14111c55942f36c8b8814e7bdba5d6bf83c6f179e32d38","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0498417588},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"ca7c93a7c78866191bd3c170b218150eb59723228a388a057406ca3df066e690","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3243818665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"ca7c93a7c78866191bd3c170b218150eb59723228a388a057406ca3df066e690","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3091990832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"d01347d0d06143bfd314b1c0f3f5c416d9e815d5c9a1ccec34189131316c048c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2862770384},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"d01347d0d06143bfd314b1c0f3f5c416d9e815d5c9a1ccec34189131316c048c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2766073024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"d154918a7259ca72af20a709a8e4f8bd706b88e166b718a27a8efc7ef0c6a01a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1206200344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"d154918a7259ca72af20a709a8e4f8bd706b88e166b718a27a8efc7ef0c6a01a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1187217768},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"e06e6e18d2c1453d32c05dfabd5772d1f53382a46a0d3d92a3bc9890af158086","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0492769022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"e06e6e18d2c1453d32c05dfabd5772d1f53382a46a0d3d92a3bc9890af158086","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0493833197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"eae0bc4de7369ea4d3f8b87eb29c6c67ee79ceb05a4fd07d0a50f7053918dedb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502014761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"eae0bc4de7369ea4d3f8b87eb29c6c67ee79ceb05a4fd07d0a50f7053918dedb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0500850072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"f0d7d6c3be982271654c2028b2071c99f680bddd29ac56736eb58c53d8de89ec","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0500962502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"f0d7d6c3be982271654c2028b2071c99f680bddd29ac56736eb58c53d8de89ec","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0499911416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"f7e2dc67a7be54206f181674f8050b5438c5a9417d0e7532dfd9f5423b0ef00d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3155185344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"f7e2dc67a7be54206f181674f8050b5438c5a9417d0e7532dfd9f5423b0ef00d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3287607259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"f95f46bc59dcb6449ddcac11058f1d5cf82661b9bb08c9ff92584d8629c6e294","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8724513685},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"f95f46bc59dcb6449ddcac11058f1d5cf82661b9bb08c9ff92584d8629c6e294","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8449532999},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"fb6f4a8b9a9140f19d06ac154b0222c7f1c59240c1b83f301f23b5b81dca7bc5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4867759009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"acled","id":"fb6f4a8b9a9140f19d06ac154b0222c7f1c59240c1b83f301f23b5b81dca7bc5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4923926724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1807227064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2659710007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129501931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2248990099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3523236099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2651886511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3784871502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1737755797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3027060176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2064486664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906291682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.18865389},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3069505413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2220267348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2611941321},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1701368779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859501495},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1792426033},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2515610771},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1867260763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2561324173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1878483194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.334322613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2562162615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3279398217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2204767059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2774499909},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1814093104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2887835357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.192370626},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2256712472},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1795981655},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2794318843},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2079931397},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859890391},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1969540448},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3201007866},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2411493138},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2848664211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1517087564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2544940071},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.175025858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2700554086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1737036111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2844667885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2083320349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2307435641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1442586174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2320380327},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1473753422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2502383722},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1502531736},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2367381204},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1391474109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2326936005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1593700104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2623774875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1547365906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2753221735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1884983316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2561884832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1852649379},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3914854516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1682868434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2420048853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1440475023},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2073875728},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.116535878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2950169853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2653830992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4297861661},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1863427358},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2695435539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2054542034},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3614277168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3220278574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.282097819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2129595758},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1169025515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3827186225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1775962393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3712947507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4712028046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3422988522},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2370745292},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3402567182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4533698087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3106124199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2827675203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2969960377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2951026031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3075420756},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2652238953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2990682498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2704623665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3085108827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2650993573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3026748822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2900348151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2861192332},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145938032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2434795848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2143076313},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.297904953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.274910071},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2934763866},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2756983141},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3150271019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3450571074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.306826343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2856649237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2946662016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.302169566},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2443303774},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2134941953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2812895527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2648080856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2887386607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3271615754},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879073279},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3221558229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2951275012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146073227},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3037566168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3028354719},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2969445278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3132002009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2969727391},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2924472787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.295416105},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3019404615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2954298821},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3337491853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2852796009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3189467737},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2843145316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2838624105},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748231563},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3386412701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1214805091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7344739211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2946900437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3526253515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2974835969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3206198969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1370974392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1347406972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2086249343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.199837971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3080715896},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.293608209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3114535777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2838164384},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.510776195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2968041852},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3358989895},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286516983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2877470901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2734053811},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2526609044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3527187907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5217463352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4701538383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.289853074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3006522339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2191158673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2596939181},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2646439886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3169892393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3318048736},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.291098691},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3146294298},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906662008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.301777891},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3464177271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3437974743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3610899882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3604984183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2814437297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2878965846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2549907645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2277650014},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4455950817},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4432931862},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992136659},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0994486703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0893522598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024689489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991261649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991709452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0826632461},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0965757834},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990638648},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990976705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991594433},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992489466},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535264603},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.153560472},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099198499},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0995217273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"400645f89b7f8e0ea2c080c5b3dfa0e304b97fe03c04ce97ec60e1e9903281d6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990914426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"400645f89b7f8e0ea2c080c5b3dfa0e304b97fe03c04ce97ec60e1e9903281d6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991916128},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535205735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535819257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1084199139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5614816323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990819024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991198636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0988624208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.151208747},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1367029053},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.191361251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1444545943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5779333742},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099061332},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991051906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991248865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099230944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992056708},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992783338},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1071927592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1101690925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0901591081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0970115693},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867247107},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0969188454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992885146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0996282292},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1186248614},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1322195039},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991155675},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991753597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099097386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991757764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1303023919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1689415655},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0614349612},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0683779796},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1060691272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1159386446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9b23662b0dcbb885aa00dfa3ee17560462db1c6fe0c6c750ba5cdaf5c6f3a33a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990657199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9b23662b0dcbb885aa00dfa3ee17560462db1c6fe0c6c750ba5cdaf5c6f3a33a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990929426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10741648},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1320800656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990931643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099181402},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990861641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991863343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"adf5c1e65d1b1b0e53916adf2ed2b538cfe14b2e16da0991e2932b4e51dd7911","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990598631},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"adf5c1e65d1b1b0e53916adf2ed2b538cfe14b2e16da0991e2932b4e51dd7911","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990949787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535162084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535337082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535218607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535676455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1674428838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1536656823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b81664fe56316ef66ac51d058aabe540336665cafb8e75bef86c1a96db5ec1b1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990581797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b81664fe56316ef66ac51d058aabe540336665cafb8e75bef86c1a96db5ec1b1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990753901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1359751851},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1378807206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0900011367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6582453169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1485920315},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6363867592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0759309538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0790643456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1138358832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1241329086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1044314855},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1147872343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2cfd4cd4dd2dcf1a05ea950e3ae4b2ed9146c64b51dc5c56315875cc43e0e0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1481901956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2cfd4cd4dd2dcf1a05ea950e3ae4b2ed9146c64b51dc5c56315875cc43e0e0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1433205821},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6a47cd336b6ea14b142b18f6b8e0880362d28b6e3fc3fdb35ea95eebe07b94d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1778481329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6a47cd336b6ea14b142b18f6b8e0880362d28b6e3fc3fdb35ea95eebe07b94d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2266545989},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1666590353},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2231045327},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099097386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991489009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535273492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535891881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2894765007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2697109966},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3126549224},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3327459678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"AEP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2851472126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"AEP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2717146197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2953135401},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3108789167},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.29467529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2774118022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"APD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3085788341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"APD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2800429558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"AXP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2848097096},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"AXP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.271187451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2854176368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2698323989},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CASY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885948285},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CASY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2730157136},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28377462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330802875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.293568142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.284826454},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CPB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2961842358},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CPB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2852800302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2838400317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2662239927},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"DRI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2865988057},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"DRI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2744790944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2886487582},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.274421056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2888431217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2764085753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3058863438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2832912386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3115114281},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.327894805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2998806879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121277153},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.34480663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2947527556},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HOOD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906166329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HOOD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2801141665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3128642099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3283723165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IVZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2898886237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IVZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2842965649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"KIM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2945256261},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"KIM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2845316293},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2969669588},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2769523644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LDOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3089742323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LDOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3222008344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3096952945},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3210861836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LII","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885943369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LII","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2810627464},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2845071282},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2637443772},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3200080111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.261512799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2870045763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2728095117},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2817187231},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2781904548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NVDA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2693098291},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NVDA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3498036544},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2857035995},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3261930749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2798710615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.264358635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2879611156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757521173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"PTC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3119612379},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"PTC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.323819772},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2885068999},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2736791535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3072881307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2833755572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2845042746},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2750190326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3116135864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2755953048},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3182531951},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2655059764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3089023862},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.325972278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2953936538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.290848468},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TTD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3115017996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TTD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3311876179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2844153336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2737126329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2868231858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2722988516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"VRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2932854286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"VRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2768431197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2905782349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3132711127},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3131634221},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2721001773},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"049da0154348459a2f1ab13b2d5b1414e6340d76e659746ac81e286934375e6b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2701829665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"049da0154348459a2f1ab13b2d5b1414e6340d76e659746ac81e286934375e6b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3428005989},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"094701a9b39945fec8eeafa7d5d425274862ef0862b681f78cf8cad9e43efb75","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.109457462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"094701a9b39945fec8eeafa7d5d425274862ef0862b681f78cf8cad9e43efb75","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1063902937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"0f512f8bddc1441c7d9d6bd85643a4916c90455ee2ff188b006d506a1008ce37","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0659964352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"0f512f8bddc1441c7d9d6bd85643a4916c90455ee2ff188b006d506a1008ce37","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0541519364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"13d316bde5b42878373d60756d8b44aea44719b36d5140fd01dc4a39e4dc669a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0492628458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"13d316bde5b42878373d60756d8b44aea44719b36d5140fd01dc4a39e4dc669a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0493686828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"181e33842a92a3925dcd3f8bb70011f87f6c168e6f997a63fd08bf499a1f738e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3758907162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"181e33842a92a3925dcd3f8bb70011f87f6c168e6f997a63fd08bf499a1f738e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3928576994},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"18e2d5dbd23eb77a469c760b741da1dcc88c0623e9f9585b8b72c4c86e643ea5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1636589612},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"18e2d5dbd23eb77a469c760b741da1dcc88c0623e9f9585b8b72c4c86e643ea5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1490916339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"1b647e7743f2cfbecf3a2af89c09bdbf33773d9daad4ad4a7155e97ec2d3494e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.296293898},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"1b647e7743f2cfbecf3a2af89c09bdbf33773d9daad4ad4a7155e97ec2d3494e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3483282021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"2b6dfa51c453c3f82d6740304ba6d6c8e967b40107f35257522b245e20bdf6e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0663090016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"2b6dfa51c453c3f82d6740304ba6d6c8e967b40107f35257522b245e20bdf6e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0661594738},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"2bfeff6f67764685a7ceab9ab3e21605bbe1836d93e5998bdff99b7fadb0d6b5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2638441816},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"2bfeff6f67764685a7ceab9ab3e21605bbe1836d93e5998bdff99b7fadb0d6b5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3499437878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"2d189d770e9e50c5fe5f1a095fbdb942437786a9d335691600a7b1a1391d34ad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.090359223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"2d189d770e9e50c5fe5f1a095fbdb942437786a9d335691600a7b1a1391d34ad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0929488269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"2ea3f21419100151a02d754b0a4e9e696d8562ebdcc803666bd675afb3d402dd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502200298},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"2ea3f21419100151a02d754b0a4e9e696d8562ebdcc803666bd675afb3d402dd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503799216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"35e34fb873972950f32ed0b4d2b938fffedc8f569f5a701d666a85d502468925","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0499801971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"35e34fb873972950f32ed0b4d2b938fffedc8f569f5a701d666a85d502468925","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0505201426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"3dc35398597ae02368225b471c5adeb1a83c5002a721acdaad7a87000864ea0d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0532460306},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"3dc35398597ae02368225b471c5adeb1a83c5002a721acdaad7a87000864ea0d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544763869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"40fd8ff546993d3ee6c3832ad0b976b45f4fe878d4c9ce93840602fde0518802","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0526639665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"40fd8ff546993d3ee6c3832ad0b976b45f4fe878d4c9ce93840602fde0518802","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0521125851},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"42a39c283628b86d78a795fb7fe35cddaf6905b10ac2c49c715ede0585068862","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1473386748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"42a39c283628b86d78a795fb7fe35cddaf6905b10ac2c49c715ede0585068862","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1389780744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"443a7b85b1256b7ede89fe5ee9857f4cb8222aa705bfe80af68484309a3f7502","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064173959},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"443a7b85b1256b7ede89fe5ee9857f4cb8222aa705bfe80af68484309a3f7502","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0511974724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"458f65f2a56cbb1afbe5bfc238af62b42cc9c2e423f5d1bfeb34792f7fc5a601","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0569598227},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"458f65f2a56cbb1afbe5bfc238af62b42cc9c2e423f5d1bfeb34792f7fc5a601","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0575293333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"49c0c513d28b18688a81ae6a42db73542ff829cdf3b4ace73acc4e67f67af345","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0524130707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"49c0c513d28b18688a81ae6a42db73542ff829cdf3b4ace73acc4e67f67af345","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0538582643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"4a587da9c9a17175bbbaa3ca3ea4bc990fe46dc8c0f3574459fde19cada495f6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0491523437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"4a587da9c9a17175bbbaa3ca3ea4bc990fe46dc8c0f3574459fde19cada495f6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0491815798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"5a424950e682b56dea8bce620c6eda4086c285980f7e0e4711e1658454b428a5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0674135749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"5a424950e682b56dea8bce620c6eda4086c285980f7e0e4711e1658454b428a5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0700477685},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"5a5dd6f530b482865f37a6aaf52048dd38c69a777464ca020f6a8fd1d0c35a25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.052113954},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"5a5dd6f530b482865f37a6aaf52048dd38c69a777464ca020f6a8fd1d0c35a25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534572013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0642864038},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0506405176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"5c8bcd1ab0d8fba29a2ef053a10bafafc4ca2c2f2a0d7523cfb60431d8fd8f7d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630417695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"5c8bcd1ab0d8fba29a2ef053a10bafafc4ca2c2f2a0d7523cfb60431d8fd8f7d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0630959505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"6e64d02e109f653570c5dfabe4d6e8b5ba14bee612453834f5f630d98b5de8e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1030631822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"6e64d02e109f653570c5dfabe4d6e8b5ba14bee612453834f5f630d98b5de8e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1353862296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"702c8ebee8a18268fac6c0c2026ec319f9fafb47c7a0c2235aad863791a4db99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0803464806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"702c8ebee8a18268fac6c0c2026ec319f9fafb47c7a0c2235aad863791a4db99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0826661906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"760ecad6cb71b7fc8741bd024f6bc478def8dc2c099401f2ef24acf2cc80a183","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2675031943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"760ecad6cb71b7fc8741bd024f6bc478def8dc2c099401f2ef24acf2cc80a183","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2619930915},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0632697182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.063348888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"87bd13e9d6daacbd97045ab542e5439d7389d2cc1108cba0cb78acb9ef095814","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0646242429},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"87bd13e9d6daacbd97045ab542e5439d7389d2cc1108cba0cb78acb9ef095814","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0657715422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"8a25a2cb44d0e40e39c32a0b1358e9e9b81dbd8e28297a5ed67c1789d5f75867","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2113784812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"8a25a2cb44d0e40e39c32a0b1358e9e9b81dbd8e28297a5ed67c1789d5f75867","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.203966954},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"932ca6c16ead137f4a1c5b0518e8cb6de2389d12b776ea06feaf49d35a8716e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0650812098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"932ca6c16ead137f4a1c5b0518e8cb6de2389d12b776ea06feaf49d35a8716e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0527221459},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"9f49f8f716d03bb62b6cb6b68bf139d1b09da6887139aa97088595c7878417ea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3018615575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"9f49f8f716d03bb62b6cb6b68bf139d1b09da6887139aa97088595c7878417ea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3240578049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"a10b6b87b12bcc7b63079a0f034a3eae7d8e871950571599a202b0029bc23355","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0688275791},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"a10b6b87b12bcc7b63079a0f034a3eae7d8e871950571599a202b0029bc23355","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0690634279},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"a5864448b4face2938832cb59a3a866a50578c37b4f6c6a85e6ec0cf0b322af2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0758310086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"a5864448b4face2938832cb59a3a866a50578c37b4f6c6a85e6ec0cf0b322af2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0635919486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"a6865d299e7891a26084c8d2327334ddbcd34b8eabf9061c7d2626867948df5c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2894724373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"a6865d299e7891a26084c8d2327334ddbcd34b8eabf9061c7d2626867948df5c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3575855413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"b427d7c03d14d3b6624b2289120b23d290641d63fcdf3641e9c510fe953c6d4d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0941264044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"b427d7c03d14d3b6624b2289120b23d290641d63fcdf3641e9c510fe953c6d4d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0918752513},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"b790bf6d6145da160304a3660aebacb5b64aa9d3e405b5847c7bf122b3dbd481","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0530459714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"b790bf6d6145da160304a3660aebacb5b64aa9d3e405b5847c7bf122b3dbd481","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0543357176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"bb616050d2280377cb2150e1f85c6be6ff5f602a25cba66603428fbb57247340","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1163802269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"bb616050d2280377cb2150e1f85c6be6ff5f602a25cba66603428fbb57247340","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.155481123},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"bba364700698cca8b4a6a6d62b8df14c812b2d741aee1e7f09afeeafba4b7504","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0672601254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"bba364700698cca8b4a6a6d62b8df14c812b2d741aee1e7f09afeeafba4b7504","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0697565609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"bda644d5c08dd48462c653899272adf410bba09768825581be427a1abb3e23be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504042099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"bda644d5c08dd48462c653899272adf410bba09768825581be427a1abb3e23be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0508944607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"c53f2c6e1e786db9007a43dc36572ecec02334c8484f5dd224d91472560f7367","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652680349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"c53f2c6e1e786db9007a43dc36572ecec02334c8484f5dd224d91472560f7367","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633991228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"c572935b3b46f3baeeb57a73a941872d68f8bcd9f9045a103e6ff9dfbac6ccc9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3121673053},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"c572935b3b46f3baeeb57a73a941872d68f8bcd9f9045a103e6ff9dfbac6ccc9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3414956302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"c927efe0284e3d67877ea9655880645c5e1a912ce2768f819300f4f273dfba39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0639023411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"c927efe0284e3d67877ea9655880645c5e1a912ce2768f819300f4f273dfba39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0500248183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"cf1359b265f22b287116f70587d3ed8e847e40d74849f2cd993468f75a2c2d74","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3938441623},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"cf1359b265f22b287116f70587d3ed8e847e40d74849f2cd993468f75a2c2d74","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4202207099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"d39e95460bd2384aade687b3a48a43a25ebc2b40af32e909e16059ff217df3fb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504409783},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"d39e95460bd2384aade687b3a48a43a25ebc2b40af32e909e16059ff217df3fb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0514920535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"ddf4c8ffbf4531046fe1e4d3fb5d29dd8f258b2f131207e9716353e4ad239e2b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0492868458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"ddf4c8ffbf4531046fe1e4d3fb5d29dd8f258b2f131207e9716353e4ad239e2b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0493544075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"e3e725eb02935c09f998cf84d68f302915cf79fa84877535262ee3e263d9ff6f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0502323083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"e3e725eb02935c09f998cf84d68f302915cf79fa84877535262ee3e263d9ff6f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050058694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"ea8a0014293b8f5dc84c025c80aa8616af185c3d8867ecbbd1d58fdeb20672a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0635601125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"ea8a0014293b8f5dc84c025c80aa8616af185c3d8867ecbbd1d58fdeb20672a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504464318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"eb5315a618033ded4b60bd36f659477ec080cff43e308268d1d6fe472768ae8d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0685150933},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"eb5315a618033ded4b60bd36f659477ec080cff43e308268d1d6fe472768ae8d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0708298726},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0503473238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0508740003},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"fecc0682fe363ef72976a278ea29a396ee6c8cfadfb87175fe3ee7f080848d4c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662237727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"acled","id":"fecc0682fe363ef72976a278ea29a396ee6c8cfadfb87175fe3ee7f080848d4c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0668217839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4557466223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5725268511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.429119487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.535953215},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2395548396},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1605811441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4500135488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5877142785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4071705797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5483072904},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4292361558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.572243639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3493520045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5050486812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3394876606},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4576791886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3973889091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5292848994},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4043614977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5094689013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3875608221},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5116112855},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2343290817},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5028631407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2343827328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4985883753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3826202828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5200934063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3879553938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5178622146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3994498699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5252074649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2186315139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5385818397},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2355848425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5182697076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.372054778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4931961551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3974984203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5148613201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3746610272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5133494012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2372844523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5038190726},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2336209416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4890205664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.368849363},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4993152409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3601340935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5051964455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2684016072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5001342476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2439711996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5397192396},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4068155179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5085284259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4131706897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5465837716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3763974608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5289969591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4107498348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5463169502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2219433999},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1340139818},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2002207725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1273916361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2491721837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1851634271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2169440202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1314250446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3239341914},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2877390718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.304933837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3047850177},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.307813202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3562628064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2921613765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3129284306},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3683627033},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2504124053},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3021726744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.283855666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2066597815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1398252013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4010877178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5085145485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2447272934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.175956198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3469598201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4135128102},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2791262688},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.42560532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4116779152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.200900735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.350171476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2741394909},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2975756261},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2925797995},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2982721153},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3082702044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3033516188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2756080543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2819823324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3100256532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2955948885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2941503438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3391965588},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3158985679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3022877967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2909328984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.301203312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2906610087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3474842613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2332400255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3245398031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2694558883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3094851387},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2841086868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2956170901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3071064044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2974147524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3103000142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3075989349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2831618616},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.090102965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09656812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0873565924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1047454206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2900891005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.312215705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2922492925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3045431694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2740247169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3494503451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2842109323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3312694008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3152881888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3270430599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2893766126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.316946066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1271597668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1283598341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.294576351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.301848289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1489563941},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1479985219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2615780007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4285296359},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1325409563},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1339687303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2926984485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.28407585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2754326505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2618279655},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3024766308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3201870344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3335873372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3582589795},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3209963826},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.342133806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5080921663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2919865263},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3061998257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2576493112},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.271747515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1873688661},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2390044886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2057508592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2136327225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2766530199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2643091262},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2987127895},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2757231258},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3035915909},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2933428413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2948756518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3032317039},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2912831609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3320654406},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2523946861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3989715366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.307713256},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3105560847},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.292710363},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3865913716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.37611157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2640478908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4235500485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2112802451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1222521953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1266603608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0117323aa66a6bfa92485b98cd86cf58ff7dca3f8e5f75ae82fd29e57f4d3d74","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099080609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0117323aa66a6bfa92485b98cd86cf58ff7dca3f8e5f75ae82fd29e57f4d3d74","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991655828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1271004822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1555016345},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0620429682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0744372923},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.104728965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1648100906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990986644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991923067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0906687288},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6721406872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1129822567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1130274798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1129543674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.112975868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1129695898},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991806103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2037430609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2151766076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0997015084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0997680235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992918902},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993832963},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991084979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992482799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1038531878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.165942242},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1007413352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1421726142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099073455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991282338},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0873414886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1194927892},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990943859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099141109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0848443617},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1015999482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"82732eccc0e28610e2796f3d44bc2c080cbd67cfe7fb15681ec6e2685ed9fa45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991083862},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"82732eccc0e28610e2796f3d44bc2c080cbd67cfe7fb15681ec6e2685ed9fa45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991869155},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0794331858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0913645751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1511268011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5756333313},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0728295626},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0727808395},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8bff28e35f0e33813ec5f3f2b14d37d4196d63fac21b2a7e9933707a27f671d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991197759},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8bff28e35f0e33813ec5f3f2b14d37d4196d63fac21b2a7e9933707a27f671d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992371786},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990709555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991087073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0662405508},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0731267349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990748472},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990918937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0937021187},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1559255017},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0893020922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0978480294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0806630977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0861635336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.122992054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1265027306},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0876464502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1249415903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990914976},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991418596},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990609492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990654799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0945359676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1064134669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990752339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991088834},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990821241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991271921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991151097},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992193477},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0958188248},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1448586286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0956855446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1071704255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0908474866},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6719992837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0652419211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0689738796},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990599503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0990811174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1167192703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1316194927},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771129759},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0823852409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099098401},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992082181},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535326393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535493512},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0992079992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0993972249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535095155},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1535342426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1049523286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1433419336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2824023781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.266939678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2777356659},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.265169858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3138096073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.320281939},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3063989452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.317321494},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2829745629},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2740266294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2863400261},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2731048534},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3247019536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.343598483},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CEG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3139243791},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CEG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3297858222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CIEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2902711085},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CIEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3223905316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2925488602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2828182948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3109884715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3245422783},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTRA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3133683465},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTRA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3244568621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2837448128},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2669980193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2851697456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2766624784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FCX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3095795969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FCX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.320662192},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2876779748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3233889915},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2857190522},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2796596403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.290362881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3249187357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2937683793},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2793850362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2903210824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3215348731},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ICE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3163473854},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ICE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2650175667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2911627731},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2814785436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.287532577},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2746477944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LII","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2823168232},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LII","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3252984647},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2980955323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2858809827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2869044415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3273708808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2853084602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3265543076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MRSH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.284359676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MRSH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2721711063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3145007571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3331234909},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3158689772},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2673140097},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NKE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3117389306},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NKE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3269443739},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3210890459},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2657132125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867522351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2759606541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2871520925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3219709106},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286474214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2773473365},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PYPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2830903907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PYPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2684156458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3159588264},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.324260424},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2859175678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2727182324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2872472057},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2764537714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2875670005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2726647575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2867198928},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2716665816},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3084572861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3102257185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2961748606},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2849988701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TROW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2843985948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TROW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.271319761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"UNP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2894787612},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"UNP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2754148523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2813490782},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.268485091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2847425271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2749513167},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VTRS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2896223386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VTRS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2828629856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2890197024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2772230129},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1285","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00026569},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1286","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00085264},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1290","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00043681},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1342","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007744},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1353","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.24433249},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00037249},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1364","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0064},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1373","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.55860676},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1374","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.05914624},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1386","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.37173409},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1399","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00094249},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004096},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04133089},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"0750nMx1Fqq4CWdoBHdX","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0058506526},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"0m2HGw8Pd4ZTIgga0Pzv","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0130342613},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"0yVJeShTMcm0FA8UrcCL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3392315208},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"2ZLAoe3EAFVhcFAXXfPp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0227356258},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"3wRmZN5B5UypDistmDUA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0121},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"4puVWhIkvQiHnTxbH4NL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8756864101},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"5PBiCM7mofSHR55eoXkP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4750270319},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"AM1axfn3jAan7o8XYSfW","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3770990299},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"AXdiGoQlSHAH9vzCVAN1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0038999216},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"HFuD5HPpd2ZR9gLk6nhj","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0019491996},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0569615731},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"IUetZc700ZLVlkWh6n0D","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0010692852},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"JNC9AKTKeNrRJ4QYzB9I","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0256300089},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"KCFbp1TH0RYN4j5zYdmh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4611258212},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"KtGRsTouYWiDPaPhRC3o","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0154956594},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"Nc8DWWUyYm6CQp6PvOEv","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0033677723},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"PNVVTlruggno0Yw5tjVS","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0199247685},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"QHFQmCmz8HplpN2QQnl2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0097041195},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"TPkEjiNb1wVCIGFnPcDD","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0577888114},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"UQRBDDvSiDEEsJbevE4p","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0189143579},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"VB1RhUVlnNfhclAh4LvR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0313252473},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"YleFhm7mAbAVzTW1dUmI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0019308917},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"cE1pnjaMDDaOF16V14Y2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0036178573},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"ex1RJ8NMa2JT0zcrPtQg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1228758557},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"iPG19DGNrWEkbUBjfk6L","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0534252356},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"iUA9Ddc0CVYiNthwVluW","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0172369434},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"iokMHn6kkmntt9E0aHHz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4758216057},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"l9dhLkCSjs5m0baSCsgf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2116},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"lFx5LHHUTgHnQPquiOMs","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0035238078},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"taYZcNp99aWqZLI2nq9v","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0014343005},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1503266322},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"yVAEXGniXeFkCfHQajGo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0055761399},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"ylIXgDeMDCYkltnmAlpZ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1344126168},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"13467","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007921},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"15010","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"15619","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"15796","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"17178","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"17179","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001822794},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"17180","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"17432","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"20695","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"20720","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"20895","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"21114","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0036},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"23876","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6084},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"24034","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"2577","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000081},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"6427","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"6456","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"7444","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"7664","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x009f3196eb90f47b7eb23e1cc0b06759806df193ec58a0dab081eaabbe8a1310","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0036},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x04787bbd66241501604f377f11b897879c1593b019bb3363dac0a73e99b4a131","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0590ee8929a1178e5490b8a98915d2e3697b5b67ec7872cf3d102814db65e5ad","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.172225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0784ce77446e73c456f7ea8216108ce3a2673488aba71afdaadb0939324b4c59","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x10c085ad9796aa0f7eda5ba053722c8c12357623257f301d01a2414ffee3ba40","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x122678509891ed9fe0b9ad7ff7a71a1a36aad334d9eae2d5421648b511371df1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x154efa11ed56deca4d0d06adf2bb711a420f5128f2a274be0d6631ed4380ca78","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1742f180a7ff24c2a89f3775e8f4243169085b7a25a50f15c76090b816e4c994","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000004},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x17620fcf724a1f33730294e7cb5b6cd09a4cd37b0a635173cf839709c5500b5a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001764},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2b56ba9f29601cbd226521a3081b150232f10e7e46591e4e33826aa406c3dbcc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2c1d8f3388f56e1641a57eec4d7645cb1dccb42054cf0d6aacc7e353d778b4f1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0256},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x31a5dcf98ab184ef2c167c7daaca2155242d61f841cb9ac9615f1e03c77b7732","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.198025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x349b7550429a7da9ef8e25d421a8053aabc0b254d81f39edee18d8cad04a43b8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4043107449bc2145e5c31d0551c6940d72d3d8cf9d81a17115eb111635cb55a1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x438883974dfc3b261a0826c47f3f54329e9632314f85e5950b85f57d9e490363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4727f17403578f6dcde55e284c0c62fa2b773bf14f9ea1478426b26f0e5a439d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4ac4849343a847d75cff15174a139ef9c4bc89bdb8c8bcdd7bee61204912d549","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4ddba39e67b2f7f4a78808a4975fbdd8b591f73207b8f1fd9b607821481aa994","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x573dfc705c8f4250064b3ad30d2cc43397f16c9fc5b343473c860bbd04d7a3ca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.714025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5986206793f3c14534b0f559fc4f4d18d81e563aa7e65c1f9b0f7e9281e5b033","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5c9490cd2121384ebb7a08b0aed1fa9a5239d98096d91b4bd6827c47c94951b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.511225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5cd8bb97af43191779906af4e624fd87eb2a07bcdb19a22b8f0943cc20dca848","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60752c2a562d7faff00a82238520a13a9a5a5ee2927afd397d224dc54361afd6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6102f6b038bfeff39a2e6f0ebf35ea841c4ded4120855b1cb8e9f68b8df0224a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x63634b4e14297a748923f86dca4fa0c6c659db0f5fadeeb8e419e48e20759c34","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7970aad0f57cc6e4b4227affdb969e8a6db419db839dcf522c451d38175534a3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ade8b93914ae38b2fc95cba3e6796667b838add5f06ee2dc97b812fbd464c32","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.244036},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7e912d337aec54d321a4d415bd05e5a6676c3f04617f07def1281be7e0af3e91","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8087cd3c2a88c34848bbb180b1fe7d119f8e116333de68f103cf3e408a7d5868","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81bb9ebd9312790810d3d40ee6545d97a8cbaee3233959b3e2bb4c37604e5e82","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x87ebcc9f6660a5b9613650c3d91bae01f4503b11eb61a782b993bbc3a5d41b04","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8ba020facbdb28e70792e5de86005dd98d47f29824ca602c4027b00e0e9a7e5a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x997b475d23a34b3683f6d9886d45261ac8ff69fd8a5c04618b54a3c5f2eb642e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fce1292bea6748addd9a96632ab7455f64028671816e964a692686573079574","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa05e93dbcfefc56ee0ab0151512dccaae63840650eaae9ed8a89d5dcbe238f22","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa47e90f1232464539a75336de9fa41856285bc2dd5250ee509084ee90cf2d26e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00112225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa4855d0b28960be4824c31c280d274572e176313d8efda21446cabe6bdc32efc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.105625},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa8b22d7d3402b9823aca8ba68fa9beee749049bf67b8efa0935fcb8963d5d357","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000961},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaadfafde42e214e0db9c6a652cdaf2ec1203c0f41e8380d5387f370b89945285","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad1b0c00056e2f29ac47f2b410a91f2dda57181d5c01257f6efa395089805558","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb122e0e3150fc235ab62a0f17b04e7385c87e185790ef1d1a3816590ead9d2b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb3a14c854a91cc1d57bb4ed3ce1f74a1c3a08b9d6316f30874bda08e90fa663e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb3e11395bc67c2ad811de3ea4f58d47778e7a7d209eb73bc04a21c5a7472c186","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb4dfe263c46220c1ecaccfd524914457f60278f5507107e8f303fa6ac2ff5eed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2304},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbce0ff6f8ee396ec39e76c8b60d747272e8bf4bd65f31d0e131b64aceb0be3b5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc471a026180a086c0a887e8ba73d8016bc8dbd9539ef85ea199d666f240aca17","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc5db10fafffb5283a093c435ce617a61f0127e3a24a57419e7d25550c6b8df38","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00429025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc8081f7c63082b34b1b2497f339c291e00587e8800b48db8096fbe763c2be31c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd9773233f3dd345b0cf99b4338e9663dee025c76bcdae2d8f11efb4327a3566d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00093025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdbc21bd5109333eb7d6f35e6d5ac6e64b39844ceba0abcb790ea87269e6bb97e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe610902a9cbe5a4969466a5b853f9165fa071b9804aa7f71db768db5c757b96b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.225625},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xea27d1fc974b4aa0756d37bb2c72e9e424b74a271e291b195510dc68399e5071","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0256},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xea3b3876ef2d1777f4320c79e9fb08cd4dbea4f174403995b8884f34aa5d76c9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00497025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xed3a181bf912941cd49a24094cfba00ba30d3a48afe00cdabf32041324edc83e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00081225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf16beeed75c5f75a6bec765511631c5f145b0328d20a29d4f73b1f7f3dbf8657","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf5875410202b3545491774ab5e712a6e05a0ffe780c52270cc8d70cc95164411","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf80032ad5496e997beb357f01e9fe69382d7c755cde2352eba37410db006c21d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf808e139238945c244d8d54011908c2856a2a53b51f3c28ffaeb95de48677fae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.225625},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfe495172d67c0bd95c8c62b9a9f9815b6e35d9653e5a1f4f8c1abb051e4f3638","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"infer","id":"1386","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00616225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01846881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"1BskFw5s4FlnaJET30ai","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0051487482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"28RJ23fKDFMr4Mo8YQ4f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0126754383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5479419495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"AaZr2KnQYHGRVHzvKoHa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1711044655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"AtLFLzDlSERmVcSdUapy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0398028021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0031402295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"IWT36MaBUPU5dtiCygxo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2194645235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"QVCzHBisAcKNfHYEAB4G","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2520335821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"QtxO4jGNyhDzq5s3NrcG","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0095279587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0467575711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0014189547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"Sqnu2sPyuC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001150766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"WjigEUrHmJzDR7P5XXi0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3084256782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"cE1pnjaMDDaOF16V14Y2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001210605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"dcgscdEUc0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0311508623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"h2h0QzCqqC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5031037988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"llC0sSgzg8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"sis542tw6o","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2960898539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"10176","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"13467","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"15370","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"17519","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"21856","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"24819","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"29027","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"5768","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"7335","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0ac91dc0674ea0b91e6eb9cc4a20968976d30fbce391a9050c70eaddf2fba354","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f8b644e78bbe65c2ab9ff2aa3a9a0df135d76a46438b5584b3fe448d358bd47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00081225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x189113c537d5f827fe5ef4805b431bc2d908241b5335032186715a3eb16a8983","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1bbdc459d73e6972f5ba1f687d739fde70a9774f4875611699fb00a9eb28f090","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x267caa12157e2494fa6ef09c62bae0c2966d85a2b84d1e9d3c15e75d973b6a07","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x324d699420ad881471d0fd29acc86e664e397bd6461b3fa440dcd3efc514ac79","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35aaaa9b77b25834ddf3647bd4c34376ba3f1dcd87e3d4801c829b3658b15b82","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3f816d82200f0198e72df1175e21d9f757e274307a5f93d075e3c14c7f9a4377","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4833d7259bc503e8d211c477f7d21a00629e926382f920195d697fca38d4ad9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.11323225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4e26e75da2ec8c084efdb89b1883e7889f21ad32bc36a81ed13c001bebb72929","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4fa70c404d4c33639d5f3883226ccf2392fbcc87bb5e4029f87bacf53d0ae6b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4fccc0dcb625ea55ff1ca0409bb44fe1952c04bc16cf5255002ceb2cc3791888","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x50b8b0f741566a420756d975faaf4cc4716229cd5183c3a35b3b20ac2b5050ef","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54377fdef57c1c82b31385a9164e87ff58a92ec6bb64cd55bc6d88a9e2b82fd6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x55881f30e5f88d7dece08a4e63daa633a9c1905ff0d454088dc16d19881fe3f8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5b2691a691ece9066c2b855815e6c8784011833b17d85c65976dc7494b18e002","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5b38be7d23ad6179dbbc460e4f753760594c3fb64478f2d441776cbcd794db8a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00087025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5ce0d897bd66142c43a38204a67ad85bc3e0643382258411a5aa58ca3e825082","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5dd6d072364a196c2c980b52d9df93599a63ff497619e0b6a028f9ec7d4d3252","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6305af093bee55cfc31252a2ee4fac4b5af533b4884fda44978a1dfc8354343b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.164025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x63e3c9432d9e3a0e9665d1152fc0a05f6ed17c9033eb9290062d25d2afb2bed5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.072361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6452c3d3e25f381ce39e9b7ffb06cf9d7a7cf1cc6c13044c2403c4606b77e5f8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x677826754ff7328696c121a398fdf495dcd2e04f84ecb6494b85b2883ccaa6ca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x67cc22ede739a48424f07683b53b546579345c8c963a9b21b7e6c31501e84353","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6924e1f680ceef1cf6cc14a4704a3b455b0816f04e1e09523fac4c2769aaa56a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6b38815380c25cd7a3a13ed39fb0ebb24397154f237a2488198c133bed0533c9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.14326225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73b046b7970a1780f1d7a0cacf73413325911dd87cdc5b63cfdc27496110fb1b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7c3c06dfd81958876a723f95d518933ed321e96666cd005bff82f5dc18494e32","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.018769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x961b81e093d72e41855131ee700d7e649a1b627cae26fa1b639897f79b51f62d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d4aa0f7fc078388aa90b44726a7918756dfa3ef3b5d286759bc5677d466aed5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00330625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d98de23d9a87c7fe785f5b80fe0a030cc46b28863dd2b67971fe95cca4814da","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa2bc057dc5589c13f985a22e36678d8a5fe85ea8b96f5d3256123c3951d142b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa57a712aa14e925e0e1615b737549a09b0f09db451910b68af6910b6f8b0494d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa9fcdaf248a0560f83cf7c7e75cad23d3151b2169a22f22b316eb822bdc27329","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xab6faa3e66abacc484bbb4bd31ae5e2a56d6f6252b5023631f1bd9e5299fa2f8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xadde598dced41995a4f96f5c8602608514539ac4467d623ed9f280bcf7c2f9cd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xae05fb58c41ea3d2a51ac95ca0f5c48824038dc2d1dbf6ac3453ae39a76e71f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaf11eaf31826a155b5aa4d28fafcebfd641ed153210d547fb431b7797ef30d0c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc0955534ca110306e37acafd184115ec86a0c989bf2ebd937b0f3b34f49e32c8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc84ac0cca6352c640525e455600e3d7798bbf5b2259444b78910c99e1dcb7c33","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc85fe2698d8434f9ebd0fa82d75fe2da36edfc81a354b85fef1582d889e5655f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00308025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcecc6b0236a69618a3ca577c54bb92080b0c9f2dc767de37175baa7ffd08e704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00275625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd76d5172fffaaf2b0d0db29bd944a462654a20a4a327860e4e0438d13b6a4bee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe3b31dd451916bf35fb28b6c9e6c1b249dac45ef6c2e02b4ef2faa40308b82df","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe87b10afe191706bb36b22526b65983e2a88a12ccce36827e857e16791973493","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.87142225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeb681c0ed923daa35ca2af168502b6e8dead38cfbc71505d10cda6653a4a0216","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00075625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee17b7fabdd5cfda111e4d80924c9531befb688c65798cf87b54128f3d3ac643","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf78b84e417dec6b34f6cbea7002cfb4b16df21aa1cecc8eb701e2e58baf3fcdf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb6268e2f40d8a59d1320117d20e11ba8547273641205de1ca446f40f90cd913","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfd1769e0e3f29a593d521c545cbe84b559869b188b0b085fcc33756e4ba0bb0f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00014641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"infer","id":"1386","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00265225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00006084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01004004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"8WoZ7HL8NtCEIvdQT1FA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0220427388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"9t61v9e7x4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938458073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"AtLFLzDlSERmVcSdUapy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0400605387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"BRalVVT58UX4tIFgVeP7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1900065935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"BcJbQTDX1rdmaLYGKUOz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0244826112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"C8MtRn2ixX8Y0rV2Oqcy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2835411566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"Fmq1kCc4ecrMwZYN4QZF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0032564881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"IWT36MaBUPU5dtiCygxo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2194645235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"JXCBlhekZVLlHS1pmX0b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0030406385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"Ku10BoO4J0oiKmH5rLVQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0088535299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0499612862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"Sqnu2sPyuC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0005139752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"dcgscdEUc0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0695521278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"gTpJ2NRBMPIL7IJenUsE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0282166908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"h2h0QzCqqC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5481012555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"hkmwaaZrisxgrs5Q3zGz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0002052002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"lgxNmHNmrYvowjnSyQAM","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2627156313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"nMv5WyihlTP9vYXwQmE7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0013527431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"12613","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"17917","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"18360","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"20172","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"21167","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"21856","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"24789","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"31764","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"34838","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"35566","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"35574","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.36},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"35576","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x08c8fffc2fb962e36d835621b82434b941a8a124f47558454d8eb666eeed59f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0b60a98cc4b0350162ed884db7e46a9fde4dadf7a6900a4ef7c9322f4db8461d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f8b644e78bbe65c2ab9ff2aa3a9a0df135d76a46438b5584b3fe448d358bd47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0ff3c9a02e75c984371ca27a0527e66d01f9781f3e0889c8a777c7eabf7e2d27","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x14a5164a7390e4aaf3516ed32476afb1f8b5573e4416cf71bb16ebf48361b6bb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x19ee98e348c0ccb341d1b9566fa14521566e9b2ea7aed34dc407a0ec56be36a2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x221f8019e282a5e317f753a52338b9fcc9b727e2080b25d15454fcab21d17454","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x31857453bb6440d23f1da2773e630cda769d6ecb6322c309a9f20f9f74966735","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3724888af3107c46ac749a7d1eff85d685fc5518db4983f354d21a15b4998559","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3a5a0289c93118833ee682065e6935ded62984992f97fd5a59b4d2271214282d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x46fb01da8662e5eb2496b600bbe874d230f05f3e99b382f2791015ef55b464af","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4833d7259bc503e8d211c477f7d21a00629e926382f920195d697fca38d4ad9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4889d2e60921e596e38ac65047f01380bf462abe631f1a27e562fa6203cc7e9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4b774c74e8672a632d6c12d04620f0c19a3ea10e74871a0239c9392805b70a90","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4bcdc5f24786e4ea5279a4f859d8879cc08b98cfaa2924862947c65db0f010ae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.13286025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4f8f8d8c90f5bc2b0ed06e961b5fc9ed3fceca912dc2e242a38927407ec04257","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4fccc0dcb625ea55ff1ca0409bb44fe1952c04bc16cf5255002ceb2cc3791888","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x541ea33998e7cdd6e3ac240de7ffcfb00d549517958d4150880e4ae10727c82c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00075625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5b2691a691ece9066c2b855815e6c8784011833b17d85c65976dc7494b18e002","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00070225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5c7d2463fc1a62a07bdf90d419269e1460f2f4511fe6276a82b037361f4b9349","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5dbd7b90d7a729863a2f931406348ee5c7b79f227c6458cb727914ce96db63b6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6301809524e73edb9ab1bd180101ae6d9588ba78075a64c479f334a6d2a12975","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6531afe133dd1087f336e160eebee4af020e2107bd279b40d5039d1d033007fd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x664b1ef991cea7d4a781d753d72ed3aa1f308977d96d20d5714fe354caa8cc90","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x67cc22ede739a48424f07683b53b546579345c8c963a9b21b7e6c31501e84353","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6f084d200834d7f47d818a652b094f349fbe6cd5b8d02a80866910258313002b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fdb5a3c2b2e161cc0ef10302fccfcae1f38d38ea0d906e385e604ba15b616fa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79e6ec2dff92558eb36b5e2e2221bf4be45364f3726897163d80702abb51d315","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7be6233d547d49405c77bafc5e9d3eec72bb10559f913f8c9df75a9852841548","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7e84002d49c772d2083afaec7fbe129481f7ef8d269973dfa9b14c7fe9ee0b03","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01755625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e9b6942b4dac3117dadfacac2edb390b6d62d59c14152774bb5fcd983fc134e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x924efdc8795f4221f57c2b960a38aa00e0320a8a50000dc0ba118e1776a64ad2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x92d46fc5e0f2d91a5175e8620f07a42daf2881f96d2066f691c0bae4db70570b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x961b81e093d72e41855131ee700d7e649a1b627cae26fa1b639897f79b51f62d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x98f8c3c5ce0af4b45b30b1323e132f1f430cea4df5de4089dade2e23082e1743","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00081225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9b063963d2ae120f91dff588f763050c4eef52d5892370da38da7f22d524ecbb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9f6ae0491387ec1e539b682e7ea99c77dfff1049e711be2add4c01600a70b81c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa5663d39d2e7dd9345f616eb3f873c0109d96a52076e2185bdecb7135006d59e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33235225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xae05fb58c41ea3d2a51ac95ca0f5c48824038dc2d1dbf6ac3453ae39a76e71f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce0f82dc8bb789ffd3bc2928db80bbc539fa04dd223d6e15e2d81eabf8e279fe","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00378225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe1f3dde136fcfd141336058cbd495e8cab5696cf07af790a772caae036cbfff5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe3b31dd451916bf35fb28b6c9e6c1b249dac45ef6c2e02b4ef2faa40308b82df","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe4f063d0d54ff69eaad58ff347326773eed7baee642c61a513139207c7bb5b90","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeac27563a0f0db51e9179af69d4557165a55144264e382f994738b4a5a839143","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb6e175f630cd8d873d8051881c4db72f839842208c606b41bcdf750a1552f55","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfd1769e0e3f29a593d521c545cbe84b559869b188b0b085fcc33756e4ba0bb0f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xffffb2874475ae9c1e3a0e3c3c4b4e329eb3105427aa484f357bf41c5fd77c4f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00025921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"infer","id":"1386","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00103041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00537289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1487933184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"9t61v9e7x4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"AppIq82IcA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0003274067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1443519443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"IWT36MaBUPU5dtiCygxo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1314700211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"JXCBlhekZVLlHS1pmX0b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0030406385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"K8qazyZJ3tXyuLlzkkyk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3477983077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"R2PYH7Cwjk59eILygi1W","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0029983443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"VPhhCbZ5S8zj4owac8As","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0017250648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"YVmNKSXBBxo2I3DXL3ge","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"dcgscdEUc0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0030277368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"eZptlPJe8gq9rb0Gia6t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2214644979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"pNdoqfEP3Eet1vIc44dj","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5669094293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"sis542tw6o","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0920444134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"yZpALnnSSy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1045250297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"17410","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"17443","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"17917","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"19724","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"24789","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"34511","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"35265","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"35268","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.49},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"35566","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x039b48827f3c6b83f50153715af8a66f2b74b04fcfc5def13acb3f151eeb3d81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00680625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x05af636e0989accb08334a74f69e5368e0aa28fe498fd16a3ca991e6dc5ae2cc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0863a9a895ee478f311512ac2b19d8de65000030aff0027db9e604f937f6c8a4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0ff3c9a02e75c984371ca27a0527e66d01f9781f3e0889c8a777c7eabf7e2d27","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x14a5164a7390e4aaf3516ed32476afb1f8b5573e4416cf71bb16ebf48361b6bb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1c1778a7bef91fee7efead8137b7232fc9960216c840af64fc7782b11fff9a74","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1f308d5009b7264e4f425417a8552fc08bd0939c9a73e74c03c8bc05242845a6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e2e16f8f0c48e31806861cf0a5ac06ad329088fdde80bde3df21ec282fa7f87","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3610ae06425dab843b276102e4c8648654c05dd292e0e96a97a14493cdcfbbed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x362c61cfb577a719526b03e7596a3ef3d6d9aadf5292e2e2391c2cdf62892730","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00119025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4b774c74e8672a632d6c12d04620f0c19a3ea10e74871a0239c9392805b70a90","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4bcdc5f24786e4ea5279a4f859d8879cc08b98cfaa2924862947c65db0f010ae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4fccc0dcb625ea55ff1ca0409bb44fe1952c04bc16cf5255002ceb2cc3791888","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x51f7452fddea310ba15955cfa8fa21419335b16f8310074e43f48c4856d7e0b8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.119025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x541ea33998e7cdd6e3ac240de7ffcfb00d549517958d4150880e4ae10727c82c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54a7ccadce22f5dcd774ef26ede3ee6b50b0c7e0b5d1ad0be7ba98780f897b51","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5b2691a691ece9066c2b855815e6c8784011833b17d85c65976dc7494b18e002","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5e8042ee380c9246f361bd68dbc50876e798d429e20799daffa435b8e089feca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x64e32392edae4ffa0df7134e38039fd598cab75a3e348b163de25c59fa011619","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x74e9197dc739a6f4b8b92acbc066278143850716cf2e50159f62a0ef90fc50a5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01782225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x801aca082e8ab25e24a9d822f9b16effc21681be6fb852865a522a2da2f4d2d1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e9b6942b4dac3117dadfacac2edb390b6d62d59c14152774bb5fcd983fc134e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x907768d66ca516f0d013b5c364058bcbd5fe9ccb983d8756efdb26a5ee35c614","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x961b81e093d72e41855131ee700d7e649a1b627cae26fa1b639897f79b51f62d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d4aa0f7fc078388aa90b44726a7918756dfa3ef3b5d286759bc5677d466aed5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa50b3eb85d01e333e361b89bfdae819cb53122be9fed5c5d51db9b858568c7f3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa57a712aa14e925e0e1615b737549a09b0f09db451910b68af6910b6f8b0494d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa8c94b83ed914ebb3b8d54e1038675c8a31704b2e15f5df9a619388002aedc7e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xae5e043ee3cec6bf13db32898b940f86c459c8f0509d007535b44f4e6fa4b0d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1e762b46837d6befa9cbd28a59c91f5dd0e59621676fcae443f275041986b49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc531ab3ca41abb7d9c8a77601565670a7f491f66de4dd897fbe560831f3a04b6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc6dd54b2eb2346363b44be5a1cf01227a79b62a4abde1a80a8221a2944af0ce7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce733629b3b1bea0649c9c9433401295eb8e1ba6d572803cb53446c93d28cd44","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd43a90b2547d8ae5902180c5880ce94490e4c6eea5be3a78270456ce8e58bdb4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe0a5b98f6e96050b794603710e39a0e3f5c0e24b409f51370b75b46a45d2dbc3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe4f063d0d54ff69eaad58ff347326773eed7baee642c61a513139207c7bb5b90","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe70c1185b4684b0370ffae9c8a89ef8bf68d535fc77af993fdaf4717bbca3306","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf29fa22170d0b76f638c36ecb9adbdd57696e743e49c2681a748b1f149b1f84c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00616225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf379802b7062e7054167a393f1bcb7c3eb01b9db56cbe04c63044c54bced14ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00255025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf4fc60c446a50830bbdb08cad7e1931807426181f9201bead23b29bc3e047a79","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf759fba6c4fd415128bc840a1bf99708244720d7e613ef4ca02f0e15157b2f14","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb6268e2f40d8a59d1320117d20e11ba8547273641205de1ca446f40f90cd913","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb6e175f630cd8d873d8051881c4db72f839842208c606b41bcdf750a1552f55","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00026569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00602176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"1BskFw5s4FlnaJET30ai","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0021263158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0950737589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"9LUOtIpQ5t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0193512957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"9t61v9e7x4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0150358293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"Ku10BoO4J0oiKmH5rLVQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3736303686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"R2PYH7Cwjk59eILygi1W","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0029983443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0435941245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4751121991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"cnowgnMl9y1YEhE32NUG","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0254736483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"dI5U6ps6IP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075732037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"dcgscdEUc0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001319813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"gqDRCKDkBri7KXmFuOXF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004690818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"h2h0QzCqqC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4024812227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"hPU6PpN0Zg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0312608353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"10176","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"11332","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"12112","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"17408","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"17520","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"20333","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"24789","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"34509","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"35265","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"35575","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"36257","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x00c220e55ff24400522bc2dc87bcb4441ef5c1fea77185f5203b75ae3e506d6f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x02a9f99a4a053a88b41f8b83af688c1070512b221ee771029ddd8c9c0041012f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00308025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x036378d7e507b986b2fb92245512435ce417d05f8f76e0a75440923cb4aadecb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0b16eb7741855ca3d4383fabb8b760c897c2165d603916497f484b87ba9826dc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.497025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f8b644e78bbe65c2ab9ff2aa3a9a0df135d76a46438b5584b3fe448d358bd47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x10c67b5db2cf01b838843390ee2a8ae553049fcc5d5cdd2cc381923d690f96a1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12d7301c569d569d9a465d6edb5613d1f984019d8abb1d194312668687044500","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1cfde498b977cf83dd6a0276fb287de98dbeb79554c61368d074736730883ad8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x23d39d744428faab5f87466cf3f9ec6745deb5614a3ff87e6beff451fffa16e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.570025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x29d65debd486144386e3d06ac15528434ee11fb844579fb2204906e655bfed51","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2bcafeaa34b577a82baf2137057b3f9f02f4d50ee3bc6908c0a5899a3260e50a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35aaaa9b77b25834ddf3647bd4c34376ba3f1dcd87e3d4801c829b3658b15b82","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x362c61cfb577a719526b03e7596a3ef3d6d9aadf5292e2e2391c2cdf62892730","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3ea4ec25d0491fa7c374ed61762ec9d604c52b56df0d8c5f30ccdb71a838bc1e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.03258025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x52212eb28a3d13e49da743fec5b0c34ce1eac7c0ea8b8d83e724c781270fa770","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54377fdef57c1c82b31385a9164e87ff58a92ec6bb64cd55bc6d88a9e2b82fd6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x56030c3b4726de62df7d8ffe81f194854e89a3e0804ab1fa8b376a6be6bb3851","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5a2c59ffeb6d19ec30d9a1a689b0a2f50381d442f9a159ab9dfd2a2aae0948bb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5b38be7d23ad6179dbbc460e4f753760594c3fb64478f2d441776cbcd794db8a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60e45f2a5cccd16fd60eda5f96670f946b2281b7ce59595b621eee05de4eda49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x677826754ff7328696c121a398fdf495dcd2e04f84ecb6494b85b2883ccaa6ca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x69b147dfeb842c081e6587feb5674018f37c51098b604f0c69d99dac2e7cc47c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00748225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6ee22365b6602d928aa7136f549cc0d718bb16b044a6d15191041b84b5f1f43d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6f6a615bee9e8a1811ecbafbe6d3b73c36369789229eee051aaa996175aa1287","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73b046b7970a1780f1d7a0cacf73413325911dd87cdc5b63cfdc27496110fb1b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00105625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00416025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x89ec96860a8439042a3a97a9d9ae619cf8b3c6d1bb84c4e9afde605f4a3cd26f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x98da00373106f21a7e68fa294c5d51af835fbdb8dab309da78dfdfd049fb68cc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9b063963d2ae120f91dff588f763050c4eef52d5892370da38da7f22d524ecbb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d7427139c12b62d791d4f942843b9c8060c9942b3b14b5be8ddb8380b7a0f8f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcfb9bf9287879a8f4b67ca9af614c819b73c299d63a0aa8d56d013e763005c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xac1633898094d2acac1f08417926b46e7507dbb38f73003bdc69098e0c463f02","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xae05fb58c41ea3d2a51ac95ca0f5c48824038dc2d1dbf6ac3453ae39a76e71f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbe69842f45365d1ac0ff96513c1dcef6253408e085e43dd8e01434c4146e8769","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc017605da04aeb24bed768ca1fad3772c1f2dcf78506f6e868208765ee25aaaa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc26b4fd76b0b5546bfda17f4303a026d8857fb0780d57715549c714c9c0d7fd9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc78e064f1dcfbb5f177f6d097c5c55a23de3505cfedcb180155675792dd57660","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce733629b3b1bea0649c9c9433401295eb8e1ba6d572803cb53446c93d28cd44","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcecc6b0236a69618a3ca577c54bb92080b0c9f2dc767de37175baa7ffd08e704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcf8a3c45dd5d9dcc57318aba8ef1026a0655bdd823d5440f5fed377b0dfef014","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcff749d64c31308b9d53486a83c3b06403e58a76dd2e3c561bd406572638fb5e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd097c9848fb8b63b8700bf29cfc94f91ab952ff783025c89343e68b397eedb18","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd25ff3223a2233f6cd96a349455ca3237931c64358792f90c5f02d8cc39be38d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdc509c3f309aad9ad2ce3efc1d9d7394bd68eec00ce7bd529c718363a6e49951","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe0264a076a3acd50925e115032eb993b51cb8b5026eb7cf79245c63f8408b3e6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe9e10cfbca3a0aefe6fb9ba590b1812a9572b2744ed8f656ecb9a10f0752df12","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee17b7fabdd5cfda111e4d80924c9531befb688c65798cf87b54128f3d3ac643","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xef3446eac0c8baefadf48c8007429643bdb3d81fbcee4074395600cc40a7c682","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf164a0d86e0080be4a1e559ebfe2f15b15770b67950cf9cae6923b1fd69f598c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00297025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"85llAdStSR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000216146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"9t61v9e7x4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0126268173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.125462332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"Ctl0Ihc6Cz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0002028833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"QVCzHBisAcKNfHYEAB4G","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2520335821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"RtqWahA53xW6RuLCTD2k","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000532799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0002340488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"WjigEUrHmJzDR7P5XXi0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2748424066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"Zn0R05lcyR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0020655487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"dI5U6ps6IP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0592618291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"enDYPoHVisJ5GxcrK6bk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.086738058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"lgxNmHNmrYvowjnSyQAM","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2017627459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"nMv5WyihlTP9vYXwQmE7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000857878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"nx9c41fs7t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0000943923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"pXI4QH7WTZSL83roOjkF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0430740646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"12112","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"12613","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"17373","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"17520","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"20172","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"24789","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"35266","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"35572","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"35576","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12d7301c569d569d9a465d6edb5613d1f984019d8abb1d194312668687044500","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x19f9be5aafa49f68294e14e03dfb0c4b35e4e5304f41c30140942e2ddf3711ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1d6f2f967ebf572de38a27ea879c668de22fd3b95540a6cbe17ee5818db57223","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x20c21803b308b63153e9c821a55f6c4aec287f8bcba90639dd3fbb0ffe4ca300","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21149909e80c13a5c21889b6d648671d4ebe40a87bca022fd7b7f37fba646af2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.198025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21400affa8e3fdfff07bb8421d708635bc7be52f5396268dd281ef92a31bb86f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2824855a28f57ac9abe1ee115f688b2763b53f1da10b1e881d685f4c4ef4f41a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x29d65debd486144386e3d06ac15528434ee11fb844579fb2204906e655bfed51","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3642c7a7c9ac737ee35be2ffa14c0f91a928b22544219576a020ba72d4ac8d22","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x36c83576575af62aa27da668d4310b76ad9102eb0c19ce6fe0aac88c668287d3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01452025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3e15582e2252432aa69de4d284d0384c8812794274e14daa68a0a40fb80c67ed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40ee70f4ac20bac0565f5a0455e5a06d54856f0dcc7960a1b9033d9939ee5966","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4319532e181605cb15b1bd677759a3bc7f7394b2fdf145195b700eeaedfd5221","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x453157d57aa34741278cb3d6f20d3d01b138395c3ae9eb34e2b97137fe0f2eaa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4b080093a8b8eade06f36e577ca260e2bcc37c7fcfe0304036d6dfd051825507","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.03553225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x50b8b0f741566a420756d975faaf4cc4716229cd5183c3a35b3b20ac2b5050ef","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x538166715f9c8dbd7ecb32fcb13cf4692f6da0d68f9b6fbacbcd300012e3b754","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54377fdef57c1c82b31385a9164e87ff58a92ec6bb64cd55bc6d88a9e2b82fd6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54f155194204503af41a7aa07c8ba488668f5e0aeaa40ce328a78a5f43eb3b61","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5b38be7d23ad6179dbbc460e4f753760594c3fb64478f2d441776cbcd794db8a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5e8e585d855c4288c3805064e74fc7ea1dab47dc0e9b42a0dbd9ca5f49c997f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.075625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60e45f2a5cccd16fd60eda5f96670f946b2281b7ce59595b621eee05de4eda49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x677826754ff7328696c121a398fdf495dcd2e04f84ecb6494b85b2883ccaa6ca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00235225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6a67b9d828d53862160e470329ffea5246f338ecfffdf2cab45211ec578b0347","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.600625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6bd47dc35a87927922a279a4fc9f63aff316294cf953523f77c7a33a6f47af38","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04060225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x74f65609db661f4e166df3cb604c5557a60cf55448a7ce1e7884afc9d54f912a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7b94d6cef097f44d4f2327f2777b0c3f79048d25dad50bd9e752c7ea3fb80acc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x88fad6af135ca7cbd55a8bda5a1243125ded68b1e521066009cc990b13960b88","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8b4d1584715be1214797eb680966c68238ef24ec4b8f38b293fe6f808620770b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e9b6942b4dac3117dadfacac2edb390b6d62d59c14152774bb5fcd983fc134e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8efb4c843e360d922a27c2afbd5ad671ee44772c2d84fa113549d82d7cfc3e0b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8f930d8198b8c189f1935a3eb61a38daa3ed0395a06c50291587cf9229e8d6fd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9107ead2f3c70967b3f792e7a96fceb49ad5e2af454b05996356e8a40de573c5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9939fd74f2d2078cafd04de7a9a8060b27ff331f8db4a737121519b81440de1e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d4aa0f7fc078388aa90b44726a7918756dfa3ef3b5d286759bc5677d466aed5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xadc74c7282d955d2603b56ba7eee2831b295bb71596a056e46e5848b13562377","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xae05fb58c41ea3d2a51ac95ca0f5c48824038dc2d1dbf6ac3453ae39a76e71f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc28a6a59080f7ed26620bfe111ce0bac356057cdd182a252f26632a0524aaa09","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01836025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00087025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd009ac14bccdd12925a2d9f8d910411556e4ed153337abb18a97b97fabcf7db0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd25ff3223a2233f6cd96a349455ca3237931c64358792f90c5f02d8cc39be38d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.511225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd2f7e89f40398eaee7f1eb271de7cb32ff32377122c9272f41115a77f91b24c3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd4699ba6ee735bac56afd4fa8ae3a6a9c89dd375ec760edbc011b16271ac1d20","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe4f063d0d54ff69eaad58ff347326773eed7baee642c61a513139207c7bb5b90","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe70c1185b4684b0370ffae9c8a89ef8bf68d535fc77af993fdaf4717bbca3306","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee17b7fabdd5cfda111e4d80924c9531befb688c65798cf87b54128f3d3ac643","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf887203734a8875cef2f354235f69f00a05d3d17bb645a0828c585291c83f3c5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.366025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf904c9f6ecae72a847f164f750ceec6b0ba6c98e8fc28837feb09119e3e2eada","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf931e094c21b844b916c65258bc9b24311f13f91507fe8efda9923217fc79523","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00255025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1278967875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2752697925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0002336762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"Nq5dlzEEpU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938551322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1661452269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"QtxO4jGNyhDzq5s3NrcG","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0095279587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0002340488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"VPhhCbZ5S8zj4owac8As","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0015694147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4751121991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"Znyy6p696A","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0320611422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"enDYPoHVisJ5GxcrK6bk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.086738058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"h2h0QzCqqC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5557826181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"lNUgd6UEQR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0000971813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"pdcRPllUC5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4079658413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"tu2ouer9zq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.159933909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"yZpALnnSSy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0854680219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"12112","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"17373","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"17408","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"17791","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"26328","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"30960","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"34512","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"34514","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"35262","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"35268","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"35562","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"35566","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"35573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"35577","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x01ef26bf9a5179ae2528a41ade585df98b12ceda486a6d7ef0a86697d3082a81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x05af636e0989accb08334a74f69e5368e0aa28fe498fd16a3ca991e6dc5ae2cc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f8b644e78bbe65c2ab9ff2aa3a9a0df135d76a46438b5584b3fe448d358bd47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x20a7cb88730bd709c39eff84e88c822b21a1707549e0bbb1c42751ee0c991fc1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x221f8019e282a5e317f753a52338b9fcc9b727e2080b25d15454fcab21d17454","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35aaaa9b77b25834ddf3647bd4c34376ba3f1dcd87e3d4801c829b3658b15b82","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3711ce4799322ea9a6d7b445c39af9849ccde8b25b9e7b09314813ef787f12c2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3a92a26ce837b361bd044acc2c0b81346ad66e9a891fc5ad27b9a35e6701c6e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3ad0371eb2adc9174872a91c34ebdb45a2449fb1e3306b36ebda7544cef3fca6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3d711bcfe9890cdd10c72971ff84fa238a74eddfb1979d001a40601528ba3fc1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x42e2f652615d33f0ff3a6d1ba4fe0ebbb29384304072992d873e5aa7f9de063b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x47c9a51dd1e87410d89eb0c1e3994c5c4d8cc4116f5b362f9327c06ba373a7c5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4c9ccd1404d105968de9b1ff3226fbafdc0b6e402a26bbcad3a84a1b62296783","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x50b8b0f741566a420756d975faaf4cc4716229cd5183c3a35b3b20ac2b5050ef","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.245025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5dd6d072364a196c2c980b52d9df93599a63ff497619e0b6a028f9ec7d4d3252","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60e45f2a5cccd16fd60eda5f96670f946b2281b7ce59595b621eee05de4eda49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x612e354e6b36704334d47025db5ddbf4d2c5e53732279a7ff6cbbe765dc0ce97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x65e312f680876528b4c57cde75064d0d4f317a03436c9aa9b47a754e8101d873","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6614828eb735b658bb9c448b6d217f639f3ee17a3d0776cd41b1b86398491b3c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6a67b9d828d53862160e470329ffea5246f338ecfffdf2cab45211ec578b0347","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6cb6468b0c5ea55d408c7dfbd66cb16b222093bf511e74669c8f06bb85027c58","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00075625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa38b11b1909151a7c1c3bdfb77b24716adbd7ecbe9904ed14a572886120e76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x71baa735915e904511e27a6b89114a66b90a0ecfcec4b05b24eb8bd2906ce7a6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x755d103d6b7d25abbb371986a60fd734aeda734485dada467fa38cb674a41cb3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00255025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x806963fb1a01b90ba87711a2f996ba125c934ed3c5a1e39e0836c94af69120ef","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x834a4109dbd18f97695e4858b3a18d21fff19bc2dc7c055f18b96843ac1de17b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.319225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d4aa0f7fc078388aa90b44726a7918756dfa3ef3b5d286759bc5677d466aed5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa57a712aa14e925e0e1615b737549a09b0f09db451910b68af6910b6f8b0494d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa98284a87e97931bed95d06bee22c68aac45b5d37d7c8e5e0112e072a167bb31","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaed051a9552f2c7c9c1c5519b59af6df9aa81277d52d6e8eac00331691676660","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaf11eaf31826a155b5aa4d28fafcebfd641ed153210d547fb431b7797ef30d0c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb38ff89ca80358305983b93c73fea18d3269d7776f3bb77bfd75b0ce838cae70","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbe69842f45365d1ac0ff96513c1dcef6253408e085e43dd8e01434c4146e8769","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00119025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcddb4f52babca280f8e5fc4b9146f2520f0bfb88e134ff9ac8d52ea674185d79","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcecc6b0236a69618a3ca577c54bb92080b0c9f2dc767de37175baa7ffd08e704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd25ff3223a2233f6cd96a349455ca3237931c64358792f90c5f02d8cc39be38d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.600625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd8b9ff369452daebce1ac8cb6a29d6817903e85168356c72812317f38e317613","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe87b10afe191706bb36b22526b65983e2a88a12ccce36827e857e16791973493","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.83083225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee17b7fabdd5cfda111e4d80924c9531befb688c65798cf87b54128f3d3ac643","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00112225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee49c41419021c5282902eabae4a3f58a9c3a7c20dadd8a389385509087eb881","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.783225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeff54605054d6070060667186f674f6b1bb85413b0dea7ad510b252a45409f44","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.57988225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf42ae7d2d4707b7a8dde4394c471dc4926985cfbc5ebc92635949dd124b92cf6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.522729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfd1769e0e3f29a593d521c545cbe84b559869b188b0b085fcc33756e4ba0bb0f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00014161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00804609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.37161216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00054289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00067081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.60450625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00156025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"5n4fsbzm94","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0103020248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1644058055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"AtLFLzDlSERmVcSdUapy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0329307979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"Cg6Oy62I52","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0336507283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"DPSqhbtgeZGPEzt6KBnm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000207113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001830279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0971906194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"POZ2i84qdzsmKIN5b2xd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"QtxO4jGNyhDzq5s3NrcG","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0095279587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004695626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"VPhhCbZ5S8zj4owac8As","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002021058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4751121991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"Zn0R05lcyR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0074766984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"eZptlPJe8gq9rb0Gia6t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1153479576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"h2h0QzCqqC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6020308434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"l6pDOuXNGWyIkjcJUEEj","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1604546616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"mqIkDr66P84o5wxxKuD9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0022027007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"pdcRPllUC5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.335658011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"tIylsIZu95","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4911249006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"metaculus","id":"10176","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"metaculus","id":"17714","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"metaculus","id":"18360","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"metaculus","id":"24789","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"metaculus","id":"34516","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"metaculus","id":"36399","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x039b48827f3c6b83f50153715af8a66f2b74b04fcfc5def13acb3f151eeb3d81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x05af636e0989accb08334a74f69e5368e0aa28fe498fd16a3ca991e6dc5ae2cc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1321095e16f2904ccae2520e22e635b69bd4f25fc54afd3d0d838a3bf54550ad","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x178e0828e81556f971edb8c7ec556e9281640477c65c56f0e6f44a6ba9ff9156","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1cfde498b977cf83dd6a0276fb287de98dbeb79554c61368d074736730883ad8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21400affa8e3fdfff07bb8421d708635bc7be52f5396268dd281ef92a31bb86f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00429025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2bbdf4f2353a903d9a216968722cebea9caf9763844c6a13b3db120e37c66f32","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2df97e2172cb226d6faf9c83f6ee8c503ca9f74356c13a8ebeab128cda656aa8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00330625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3015ee036921f18ee3e446556335c6c2301e8666279e33ff15d21d851ff1e316","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x324283263c83e789fc092ed8d3333aa93ecc6ef0ba5479db05bbcb2471c92d01","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3a92a26ce837b361bd044acc2c0b81346ad66e9a891fc5ad27b9a35e6701c6e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x43a9d4954f0d8a7241194ca3b2cd67e8aa953ea10758469faf25fab5e4437ac9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x46fb01da8662e5eb2496b600bbe874d230f05f3e99b382f2791015ef55b464af","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.029929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x50b8b0f741566a420756d975faaf4cc4716229cd5183c3a35b3b20ac2b5050ef","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.265225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x564dc4a385305c482015061537989c4af69f1556f40b958a7bd6e4cf84ad1e2c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x580ffec1f7b057910f9f596c80d203870f3028b04784a982d158d3581514299e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5a378fe7c6e208d4d43020278d3666e46fe82be14beadc1240914b06b93eb9f7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5f45f396da9abab7848fa049eb91986290dc370b681e42e4f117d6ac4cfb4bac","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6541a8761b97d252205e5934fb7f3312cd460cb1d07c722e0bbe3f8181ddbcb7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6ac410efb3f814c425e889eb52aab64f1d8b792fcf3348646b75f45c7800c014","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00912025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6c21b21e4e18b01887221429c4dea83232f5eb43ebd8c5849bc334ecea3e68de","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6d2f4940373a13567e53de6fd2015186c298249329a5f03771a6b160f5e4a7d6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6e9fda006161184b29a2df3754b5b9c3757f8a2adc1f44291fe9907f8fc6ae97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa38b11b1909151a7c1c3bdfb77b24716adbd7ecbe9904ed14a572886120e76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.14784025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7340d11f38c12e86886114cf7d3e0f1063758de8b7ac81db7e580b797aa9dd75","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x74f6aa8144daf93f45c67ac5134ec1b6acc1c80fde043cea457929cbd6afd007","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.319225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77783da9b3549399a4bc0ba504f03c33f6cafca89f6ef5d96cb1d9492dfd22d5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7beceb04f7b1d4f0dde80b58c6f43c23b8ad54b21c693e172c974f480b46483c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.171396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81be71c406085cede3485dbd3801cc083d077568f63fcf1136aa1e7beadf214c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x829f5e072fb9b46f9769d010d41d97636be8570910c9f48b7ac203359ec642e8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x833d5d5148ac80ef7a7a52b5aa3006d24ea21eee6cae5c98bd618bf6151919bc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x889d2a7ceb311b540ceb60232528719120e67458d870fe2046c0eddafdf76d7e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8c90561ffcdd15e5258609a891f227dbde5d48e219cd5319c231bb5dda56a4ff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e5dd56e494bac55a67a36b7044cefd95dfe7bf8c893f7d82a58c9681990100d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e9b6942b4dac3117dadfacac2edb390b6d62d59c14152774bb5fcd983fc134e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa07f15fdd0baa90adf78bd4d66543083334a7e5235a95fa5f241c4e519ea83f6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa38126691a9799b574bc89e92e03daba67e63da1187dc821cab6b616e4b02361","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa57a712aa14e925e0e1615b737549a09b0f09db451910b68af6910b6f8b0494d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa5c12010762d72819add78f2030ffc7e65b8296896527e5e2087d7ac2b42d3e5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xae05fb58c41ea3d2a51ac95ca0f5c48824038dc2d1dbf6ac3453ae39a76e71f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb12a219f75d35ad91ee9428d22e47f1ee6de61f5d79466b1749c8b66aed2f2d9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb3a76d0e65e030f0c6549e905086e5677dcb9172d3b4bd58808e1671a0bfbf79","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbc5e208a1e31c0a32950c011c2cac6ac17b1df4d2cf07d5b1a9f3fadd7c2fca5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce733629b3b1bea0649c9c9433401295eb8e1ba6d572803cb53446c93d28cd44","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd25ff3223a2233f6cd96a349455ca3237931c64358792f90c5f02d8cc39be38d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd8d889f4c49f58d98538d08182a07c27206f0e98f9f0a125eda3abf94305c8f7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf23ebfcbcbf1648c1c8b03bba6468f1ff34e417dd0988a935c6fb863a7787d1d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfaa9a6cd431d92c91fc2322e961d59866471dab2b314a474c9e8308ffba62e6f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xffdd774123c13df21ce755bfd4f65bde47a74f1377ea73c8b130d84c59831173","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.35070084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.67420521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00071824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00125316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1575","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02088025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1576","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00790321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1578","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00715716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1580","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.03992004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1581","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"1BskFw5s4FlnaJET30ai","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0014841107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0219830547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"9t61v9e7x4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0103974169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0631639564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"IWT36MaBUPU5dtiCygxo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0161523724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.11843763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"LhX5FOZNhVvaI79gtvni","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001002475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0470164551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"cWo9pRQFGfKsTDgC7VTj","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0220810659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"enDYPoHVisJ5GxcrK6bk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.086738058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"hPU6PpN0Zg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0259230406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"s4GyWK57MvM5wGvwPMhk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"tIylsIZu95","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5105403468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"metaculus","id":"21531","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"metaculus","id":"26328","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"metaculus","id":"35571","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"metaculus","id":"35577","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"metaculus","id":"36934","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x01d150bd16d2edf88980f26fb9f5f778d6cb661827037d7e9c24fe3a0f3009ed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x039b48827f3c6b83f50153715af8a66f2b74b04fcfc5def13acb3f151eeb3d81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04182025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0a7e45f69a8d2c45fc008fa9d8242efa13264ba540a782d82f613d673f1d1205","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0ac91dc0674ea0b91e6eb9cc4a20968976d30fbce391a9050c70eaddf2fba354","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f8b644e78bbe65c2ab9ff2aa3a9a0df135d76a46438b5584b3fe448d358bd47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x15ef292e550795785df3ee5eac729517fc850936e877b165998c94351c12544b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x199d06911b2e6dbd3b2b4275d07ecbccf72358e46607485a403de5b90cdfdb1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x19ee98e348c0ccb341d1b9566fa14521566e9b2ea7aed34dc407a0ec56be36a2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1b6f76e5b8587ee896c35847e12d11e75290a8c3934c5952e8a9d6e4c6f03cfa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1cfde498b977cf83dd6a0276fb287de98dbeb79554c61368d074736730883ad8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1ddc0e7de1634d1204dda3bef66ffe18b0d52d8605c0a363755480de0dc81d41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.680625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x224e5df8cf6b8d42f18cbee74bbe0c4863c73e9fc4f51b4115c103b291c35214","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2bcafeaa34b577a82baf2137057b3f9f02f4d50ee3bc6908c0a5899a3260e50a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3015ee036921f18ee3e446556335c6c2301e8666279e33ff15d21d851ff1e316","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35aaaa9b77b25834ddf3647bd4c34376ba3f1dcd87e3d4801c829b3658b15b82","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3a92a26ce837b361bd044acc2c0b81346ad66e9a891fc5ad27b9a35e6701c6e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c7a35bcc7eca3f6e7f3ff8a942261958252b316af0ea44f9476912dff7e748","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.49},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x45dfeb8088ef684004f6da7ab453cb1e7cacb14330b06a4eb7ba556e47201c43","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4bcdc5f24786e4ea5279a4f859d8879cc08b98cfaa2924862947c65db0f010ae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.119025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x553e544e90a507cbda445ff4e625d664d1693ca7ab2b2cb1c911bcdce5a97d5d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x564dc4a385305c482015061537989c4af69f1556f40b958a7bd6e4cf84ad1e2c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5fb8a735c3216b05603d9a0620342441aa5c263e39395b0c0310297e1302a0f1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60e45f2a5cccd16fd60eda5f96670f946b2281b7ce59595b621eee05de4eda49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6a67b9d828d53862160e470329ffea5246f338ecfffdf2cab45211ec578b0347","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.92448225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6c8a58fbff19479adec1e3f4111bb5622398e5b5ef3cf0c611a41cc234c6f8ad","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6e9fda006161184b29a2df3754b5b9c3757f8a2adc1f44291fe9907f8fc6ae97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00275625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6edc6c77c16ef3ba1bcd646159f12f8b8a39528e500dcff95b9220ccfbb75141","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa38b11b1909151a7c1c3bdfb77b24716adbd7ecbe9904ed14a572886120e76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09517225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7340d11f38c12e86886114cf7d3e0f1063758de8b7ac81db7e580b797aa9dd75","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77783da9b3549399a4bc0ba504f03c33f6cafca89f6ef5d96cb1d9492dfd22d5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77eaf36a80197a13ff32e31f05b54e824a6fd21d93f1001abcc18ba8d9a7ed16","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.35343025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7cb962714c60c82f7fd72cb0a5222c592c114e1d1c2c2cc65a22459d5de141c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8c90561ffcdd15e5258609a891f227dbde5d48e219cd5319c231bb5dda56a4ff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9b93c610b88d5af6cf4b346bae27e92645e36b8f4d45a86ba6f9287e8765fa04","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d4aa0f7fc078388aa90b44726a7918756dfa3ef3b5d286759bc5677d466aed5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d8debf9203c6da07e77218d91fe8d4213c8d68d4c2864a9639b70572f49c76b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa2a8100778036aa3b7c6966359d440bd392465346e394c15ec7e04979212fce4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.35462025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa908e77b6376510856d9a22e3f56cb99f7034681f3b0fba5376c19adc94523f2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb1a6136ad23d19526c4929d2e79c79e999628de931ca2475d138fb31637fd2c4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc2846f35e85eb09a094edbd4e93e345d3c682dc0436615adc27122222fccbd81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc2e5f441b24c3bde052635a5ca1d10a7fa8740e4efb8df6b815276e887aa979d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc7a571b438d14b6fb34afad62ae1bd99d6cc9ea390b2adb6b868ad3b0b624aae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00060025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd5a64f75a5d7107e53e7c3eaf52865624a0c79ad8c41379faef4285494991326","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.216225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd97d95f15edfe56fd412a3e95929497903f16069964f63b7ced90172cd723d61","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee17b7fabdd5cfda111e4d80924c9531befb688c65798cf87b54128f3d3ac643","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xef5880e94212f24f17d45b756c9aa42bc7d39c3feda659fc22417adae5e22d00","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf8b487261c924bbf63a422effd23e80381d152441249ace2aa13af4ab8137a36","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.35940025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00010816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.53860921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00137641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00072361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1575","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1576","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00376996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1578","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04743684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1580","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04084441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1581","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00127449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1585","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00253009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1596","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.08614225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1597","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.19927296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0254979648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.010647034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.182771399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0678389429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4751121991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"cE1pnjaMDDaOF16V14Y2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0011670257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"cNFd1y1J8PgOJllEy4uJ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0039817749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"cU2Oq6qOsL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3232805561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"kCikWdlPijovPazB9fP1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004994974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"l6pDOuXNGWyIkjcJUEEj","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1604546616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"lgxNmHNmrYvowjnSyQAM","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2229877507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"njIsNltHOS7eR4ZUgaXX","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.064557122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"nx9c41fs7t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0000928418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"pdcRPllUC5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.335658011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"tu2ouer9zq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"zAyUSgCu2s","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0072070695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"10176","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"10614","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.64},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"12112","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1726556671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"14456","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"17520","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"24789","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"36487","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"36488","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"37112","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"37552","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"4919","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x08c8fffc2fb962e36d835621b82434b941a8a124f47558454d8eb666eeed59f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0d82012de5e3275b934dcf446b1cce93705b37e9ffe22470fd6caf7411d1d1f6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f8b644e78bbe65c2ab9ff2aa3a9a0df135d76a46438b5584b3fe448d358bd47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12d7301c569d569d9a465d6edb5613d1f984019d8abb1d194312668687044500","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x134bc0bb11dd106662b5d8412bbc404548891e34b6b019a1da19c26b23dda475","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x184228c1bfc9502d38f6f9984667f3da7b2f955616f195a3ba28b51fb0539bfe","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1cfde498b977cf83dd6a0276fb287de98dbeb79554c61368d074736730883ad8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2ad8f879ef5b4befd518567e03c972648816df918ed7bb03fa4f6bbf79975532","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2bbdf4f2353a903d9a216968722cebea9caf9763844c6a13b3db120e37c66f32","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2dac5b263a09b9a84d775bbc1cbc856559dbe49d3a2b875e7e6ad42a88d07b3b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e43d977463a0d78a859fdd95d1570287b888ed6c9d4670532d46c22a3a7478f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3015ee036921f18ee3e446556335c6c2301e8666279e33ff15d21d851ff1e316","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35aaaa9b77b25834ddf3647bd4c34376ba3f1dcd87e3d4801c829b3658b15b82","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3642c7a7c9ac737ee35be2ffa14c0f91a928b22544219576a020ba72d4ac8d22","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x52dde4a6bf4493e06461504e2651dc090b0e11bcdc6d486f727b0272d8e8880e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5412ae25e97078f814157de948459d59c6221b4c4c495fdd57b536543ad36729","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x590d839e2b36e01deeb261bcdaa2fc319cd414b084b4bc2f64ed89fef485c61a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x611f34804ed4f35b72c0e5d92ca9ce09ca70be8e573a891add05b0a355d1024c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x62995cb8a7c8c0d216a8882109bd1e05574b5df87d313f06cb3e1cd5593e6d13","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6541a8761b97d252205e5934fb7f3312cd460cb1d07c722e0bbe3f8181ddbcb7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6cb6468b0c5ea55d408c7dfbd66cb16b222093bf511e74669c8f06bb85027c58","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6e9fda006161184b29a2df3754b5b9c3757f8a2adc1f44291fe9907f8fc6ae97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6ee22365b6602d928aa7136f549cc0d718bb16b044a6d15191041b84b5f1f43d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00140625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6f7fbdcded63d55e8bdb693028dd86d40c69336b175ed7defc9250e42c9cb05a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7cb962714c60c82f7fd72cb0a5222c592c114e1d1c2c2cc65a22459d5de141c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8a3efd9a41cb8bff7474de6b67f4efa778ac4dd5d8caea008b8087af0a19a0e6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8be38f21b6c39fff2de0258b1d18fc9feafdef9e95f14d7f81db3bd3d7effeff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x99e0e1db59afda81f07b3a8f541879eaf3f4c23a3381c8ba35937c3adc0a32d1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00180625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9e998b6cf62315fe13fd80e8a57c3b1bb9c7affcdada886b44efdcfd28c4e4b0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa257136f50d15c4151d7fa6464cba6a6dfc5dfa325d9fb6e414f7b642ba84381","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00164025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6de2e10501f82a91e012ab54223416fcd3644b0ec054bdb22a68e2062527e50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.105625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb303fceda7906a905f697c1f9eac462da9cd8c9b1a8d18898363437a7be31561","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb3a76d0e65e030f0c6549e905086e5677dcb9172d3b4bd58808e1671a0bfbf79","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb7f9d3f61910ecf7a5e6e46f487a039e91a92b68585f05ec9b22cb34d3804bbd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbe69fd3d55f4a3accb1a665733d18a215895d05beffae5f417de21a88bc992b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc30cf28f8108d5e883038c89afeaaead56c19730ed7211249cbf60c35ff76890","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02418025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc3a89dee3b659822e32f8388f615907ecf262466576f18ecff7619f6d4d6914b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc7a571b438d14b6fb34afad62ae1bd99d6cc9ea390b2adb6b868ad3b0b624aae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd00a85533ae7178ba291e844789a74dc0d2d31ca93159fe10341ceece98df61e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.570025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd87fa4ed709b451e4fec7e09e4e600d86e8386f1707a1382fe963523b9a9fa21","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdd69d77168d6820d90f89550bb21bba1bdbe52e9247373105ce1a5fc9f55d4ab","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe87b10afe191706bb36b22526b65983e2a88a12ccce36827e857e16791973493","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.369664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.64722025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfa48a99317daef1654d5b03e30557c4222f276657275628d9475e141c64b545d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xffea59c51b27dd000038fb9e8f659bfb3ea3cb8a4283a9e774bdef9844a27141","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.29181604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00022801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.357604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00010816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1585","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00021316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1599","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00252004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0086814968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"5n4fsbzm94","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0052775483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"AaZr2KnQYHGRVHzvKoHa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1304339826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"D38AIR8f03odzU8ZvoKr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0114489955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0305008172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0003134546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0633593816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001116701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"UnsISN6Qyd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"Zn0R05lcyR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0185737551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"cU2Oq6qOsL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6797906698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0254735437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"gTpJ2NRBMPIL7IJenUsE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0198948641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"hIZy2ULp8Z","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0430463158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"kCikWdlPijovPazB9fP1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0007272647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"llC0sSgzg8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3714926893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"pz96pzyIIC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0549713392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"s5sgqZ9qQ5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0137880023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"z0xj9vne49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"12112","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"13467","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"2937","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"34516","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"35261","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"35570","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"35573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"38691","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"7444","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x02dc46f4354c1cc447577db82ba62cca1bda737bd67b73fe966ce1bfe580868f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x07f106c0b60e94d96a63954f0536811c1a0b054b958f26bb749689b620b72f50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x082c611e9d2e294e256c7e6bd40aba498eb6ca2c0d2dc9bf5b8fdce5b5e8af9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x08c8fffc2fb962e36d835621b82434b941a8a124f47558454d8eb666eeed59f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00697225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0a7e45f69a8d2c45fc008fa9d8242efa13264ba540a782d82f613d673f1d1205","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x13d630af7d1d92f010d9856abe48fc75eee24686897533948b919164b64199b3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x16e0225d19b649692f9a1483a57b14e101bd1d5148f6636f3ce30d1043335eca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x19ecca7a34f32dc88335202882783f28fd372ab53b703485fb4cc0dd46537b0b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1bbdc459d73e6972f5ba1f687d739fde70a9774f4875611699fb00a9eb28f090","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1bef2cec162d5499c60c1acd8e3c5a3acc321aee580deda1f01aa40dadbda374","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21400affa8e3fdfff07bb8421d708635bc7be52f5396268dd281ef92a31bb86f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00342225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x226c6d5a8de377a56641a498191c5e1f3792b81618841afb8879a5d817f13771","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2762fb84cbeb75c3fbeaea2045cfe94b65dfcf1c945e76ebaefce62e211f99ce","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2993e8c18922f93787756e02dc262c193b79f05c7b952a0c9656e948f9977c88","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e43d977463a0d78a859fdd95d1570287b888ed6c9d4670532d46c22a3a7478f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00180625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3126cccd9042f185cf2bc8621521c5b32b299ba3f41a10b8300ae5a1ee84d21a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.11730625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x356057e0820341fb332b9de11d61dafe8e762617a0eb0a491f8904d3ba9e3a01","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x37100ed3560699c48d90a027e65da10a04e395785b598289163e3bbfdaca99e6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4319532e181605cb15b1bd677759a3bc7f7394b2fdf145195b700eeaedfd5221","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x43c6353aaf12e34068e62043b933a6186def30bdcecfbbd461de2288b97f2505","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5a542fe246448e58671948b2f28bb746d7694172ad3c57b28d5cf86126834cf0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa38b11b1909151a7c1c3bdfb77b24716adbd7ecbe9904ed14a572886120e76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.153664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7028fcfbf64ce6e64670e10d19fd7683eba964432ca99426dd168b5f0091323d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x712015ce8ac2c87d89bfacff5610f225c147a147441a78654846d1462921ede7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73f71c364e6085e956abcd950f2176abcf3a6959022b5cc008fd505f296e335a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79342e0d3cce6f59378a6a016531546b773490b30ce51700265bc13e6651bd72","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d98815be880769be11a63b4df815b9bdcbf6ae007a8caaba9a2909816a8d1c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00342225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x83765aedcb4a590b396164f436f9113ad27e51a7d56dcc3bb7b776da455fb9eb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x84d62ee93bfa7d38836e278801c8c5ccb791482d36b0fbedc990ac2ba1610d9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e8a20aa06f5913e9efda697f16b9525b70ce1f720851e8f1a13bd46072a6126","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9939fd74f2d2078cafd04de7a9a8060b27ff331f8db4a737121519b81440de1e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9a76ce64d7da9eac3f42aa09b1d25eb610ccc16eaf4849493b3d1698fb79ba57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9ba0e12a339b01159f86cd697890e24ab2a25749cdaa8beb6a1a744fb4a93610","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa3958a7207ea6ed2b47fc7e3b03943e9f3c4a745cb71d7515dc529dd91e102ae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb6b3d7a2037b3faa7e1306d741840d453432902d73cc9a146a035e40271eae73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1c4e7857dfd1fe47c1e6a11813aaca3f622a5f47769cd765be8c7a8336af555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00087025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb96bb2fdb468a1cb699369dea9c383633e1d35a7bbd6c18f9ffd6871dde5dd4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcc2bd8cbba68f1fe46e89445b61e2c581ea96527438889eb749a852fba647920","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd407fc7bc044a509b1eb3059d8a85af5493425d9edb677781dcc7a98c1554adb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd6e0317cee513cc3afdc1954ac576b241ad2287536e88b17fd3a77b4c3d0976e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdf6a672e18c94c70b53260043fbc49a73395d51de3d5db2bcd5afd23efa13f97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeaabc7d6b6cdfb530da706539f1acb62aae36305bc06231ef4341d5e2ef62979","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xebfda84c91d3dafde3f49bd132aadc9e762b88023021806e7345cd526fc7e1fa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeee36eb4a7474ed4415c966a86491a2880d799479c776776a0e1b06671e3b690","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf513ac8ba9915f8da013900cf283d1800104e8789cb90b4fea176cc4e03df47c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfac98674a774531c2b7def1ce530ef2eaa78a1c444f794923826f2660b1eaa14","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfdb79c231b8bd8220c34492ec80cb0125928e486f3a4aa0b0ffeff2031b1badf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.081225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.19044496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00014161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.33547264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00010201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00010404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1585","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1599","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00146689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"09U2cQZqCR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0350165991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"66FpF5wc6FoUxdSUp9Ch","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0099700556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0048030348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"7L7arFnaO0Nom1bLY295","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0045974794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0247971463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"ERAQ2GcY83b6TeC7x0Yf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0601945196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001987851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"LhX5FOZNhVvaI79gtvni","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001005786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"P0OAOZIpyq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2058997472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"Q9gRdQ0Z9t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0044298401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001039981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"W8iOAuLrMal2MAwPPg62","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0331538973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7225397284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"cE1pnjaMDDaOF16V14Y2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0011705459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"cNFd1y1J8PgOJllEy4uJ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003616683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"dy9yI9PLIh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0054069104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0185948186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"fXpDY62ibnxfUbqAaAEC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0471982512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"h7dapoa4cm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0006180132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"hPU6PpN0Zg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0259230406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"llC0sSgzg8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2430862997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"mqIkDr66P84o5wxxKuD9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0087638538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"s4GyWK57MvM5wGvwPMhk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"ycUv8xISKE23IysW1W3C","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0485155515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"10614","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"14456","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"19724","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"21531","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"26328","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"34514","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"35573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.64},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"37347","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"38893","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"7444","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x02dc46f4354c1cc447577db82ba62cca1bda737bd67b73fe966ce1bfe580868f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x07f106c0b60e94d96a63954f0536811c1a0b054b958f26bb749689b620b72f50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00570025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x08c8fffc2fb962e36d835621b82434b941a8a124f47558454d8eb666eeed59f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01729225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0c4823aafbe6bf931478b1fe3b30a1437663233e22b4492aebe7b0ac457623e5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x16e0225d19b649692f9a1483a57b14e101bd1d5148f6636f3ce30d1043335eca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x19848149723bbd00545b98f45aa239864d8afd2194fec522af4dd2cb222f9766","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.225625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x208963021564bd01f7b346795490456505f7156e9e636c3c3cc0794c04aecf45","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21400affa8e3fdfff07bb8421d708635bc7be52f5396268dd281ef92a31bb86f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x293fb49f43b12631ec4ad0617d9c0efc0eacce33416ef16f68521427daca1678","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e0d7de7bb40128de91aedced917f4b8e47918ba6ab6fd4d8efc61ffe7740c6a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.342225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e43d977463a0d78a859fdd95d1570287b888ed6c9d4670532d46c22a3a7478f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2f2fd73638998d19d3a2c480a55eb4ad7cc9a67ecb9d08533d4b86e050af5c91","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x319825b4422801a53da59c796e17cfb0fb08bd5183f30d837bf6c1ae564fb9cf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x31cd7997445b8ad0233d6dfa0c183072ae240dc29691f7910ab464f36cbc36ff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3c29c5915bdfef95a58c9e4ec2435c759633c94fcb9a2038bbe05b787e5aa3c7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3f3ab94bfcb8a771c37805ff85aea28a8f1bfd2132196b9e378a428ea9de80bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5374a734024814a7e91a50b025cf0924bcf99756f40384beb260ede9322ca28f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54416d15d2428ec5fb1e6f2e646f0fd570f367be80d9dd285c479c8e9ce238a6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.156025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x58a074070b409a0e7fdf15a2a3b0f80d2ff77c8a5161cbfcd7a464b7331cf7ce","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5c9847f65f9c4b05e19e08b5b1b82067822adc126a031bf1c1862a7a769af5b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x612e354e6b36704334d47025db5ddbf4d2c5e53732279a7ff6cbbe765dc0ce97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x68c327454a085b95c7ad375ec60a2dbc4163c4d5584963e782c876a131f033d2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6c3d5fba5442f3e725eb89b7cffcc341ca3105cddaac09c1e4bc8e7010f0fe40","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7214ecfdc0d4e45a3b1e2903e19df196851867c0793f8b4b1f25f5f921679835","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7340d11f38c12e86886114cf7d3e0f1063758de8b7ac81db7e580b797aa9dd75","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00164025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77b4a1d4cd398a86c18b6bb9b5218917dc9f04b01a3cd4bae1c71ea345f15fa8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d98815be880769be11a63b4df815b9bdcbf6ae007a8caaba9a2909816a8d1c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.180625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00189225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x850c1624dc9d8ca9850195df05293ff85273e6b92e89a9551cd0a57c2f72aceb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8be38f21b6c39fff2de0258b1d18fc9feafdef9e95f14d7f81db3bd3d7effeff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8c866938d6598760f8d18bd624d6ba822b79f7e23604573f52cf8e769614fa5e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9aa6086535a4b3145e9f7378dd58a7a8c30c4b15bd4fe17eb6990817f5cd3cd9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.140625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa38b66d42e953997abb37d1f6ee5304c289f40511d5274150564a009bd1dc44a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa4ff70673e8d6f76261400c0ffd9d7970bf6d8aec5f8f44b20434e59e3e3141e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xac79577895d581eaee3b3690a80b8c575422e404ef33e58bde8cb6a906b7cf5c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb58d0e3b3dd34b2b8d8997e6ce36ca3873bdd6034fe0dde633f11e50d4b18c69","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1c4e7857dfd1fe47c1e6a11813aaca3f622a5f47769cd765be8c7a8336af555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc7391c0c0c87078baaa914595d39b6a7037780e992bf264e9cd2b7fed6916d8d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00216225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb96bb2fdb468a1cb699369dea9c383633e1d35a7bbd6c18f9ffd6871dde5dd4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xda8ebb9d7998b0e37f912b78d8f71a9e36b8a8b5b2afff4bb1f8106e29ae0604","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xddf468f8f181c3d02fd9614fceed3b7488ea5a0f90e921b18231cc8127ca77ca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdf26e0868001c55b6ece885a3012633eb5c31afb17c76ad9423a2de99b3aa4b6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdf6a672e18c94c70b53260043fbc49a73395d51de3d5db2bcd5afd23efa13f97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe371bb4a38f3714fc1ef7a8ecdaca8a8005aecead9ec95eb5ed8184ca55a94d7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.029929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf005ddced69842c3943edea3b8fb24187240ac93becdc1532c5b9db34f9dd2c8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.648025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf0aa54d57a0b28671028986f60c2c78d95e7b901ba036daf665fe2cd3b103ea6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf14a0ca39d0ad5c98806e7aff25fbb6033c41093d1051fa5220f726c211cfe68","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfc4453f83b30fdad8ac707b7bd11309aa4c4c90d0c17ad0c4680d4142d4471f7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00225625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16434916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.31169889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00012996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00008836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1585","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1599","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00049729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"1BskFw5s4FlnaJET30ai","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001000435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.010362071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0022946011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"CGb5hO1YNNR2bAPun9WF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0030465485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"Lc2SQtQQCg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0069654492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0408472403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0000743957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"UnsISN6Qyd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0775762572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7225397284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"Zn0R05lcyR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0185737551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"cnowgnMl9y1YEhE32NUG","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0056809632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"ln62Z8L0Sd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"pXI4QH7WTZSL83roOjkF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5503596947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"pdcRPllUC5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.275134568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"s5sgqZ9qQ5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0157151399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"zAyUSgCu2s","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0035849577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"12539","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"20172","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"35263","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"35572","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"36488","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"37307","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"38691","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0189df05ed7bf84d799213b01a79571e305c03b2ac5359cfbb3a323448ba20fa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x07f106c0b60e94d96a63954f0536811c1a0b054b958f26bb749689b620b72f50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00403225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x082c611e9d2e294e256c7e6bd40aba498eb6ca2c0d2dc9bf5b8fdce5b5e8af9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0a43fb8a97a73157bb3185ff74e751a8743530460013aec336810e3c8a344550","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12b6268efb832fe64bb746b9f50a51245b761d6b170e172b3cd81a7c4f39432b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x19ecca7a34f32dc88335202882783f28fd372ab53b703485fb4cc0dd46537b0b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1a5edf9d6f7813a5289f8e410c5a033abbd52576fc1a2d44aa34f2a4c86303c1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x216cfc5952a75a6c2005fa90a1f49524401abdde826aaa916af4c88a70426363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x226c6d5a8de377a56641a498191c5e1f3792b81618841afb8879a5d817f13771","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00172225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2993e8c18922f93787756e02dc262c193b79f05c7b952a0c9656e948f9977c88","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e43d977463a0d78a859fdd95d1570287b888ed6c9d4670532d46c22a3a7478f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x319825b4422801a53da59c796e17cfb0fb08bd5183f30d837bf6c1ae564fb9cf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x386813cf90074b5b5bc274d145be89a20f07386a3f8a7d370781a0af7196dc25","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00093025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3c29c5915bdfef95a58c9e4ec2435c759633c94fcb9a2038bbe05b787e5aa3c7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00060025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3cd73b3b011b96614556ee480172abf25896a8e1085ca4ee683892e61d2a080b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3e98b1cce4001e971c9b0500408e89e06dd75a1bf2c60e763d0e5f8464a9f6a1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3ee86a850a9f5b495d65ad5e409e5903a1f14ccc78c4e8bfa82fdb4c497b543d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3f3ab94bfcb8a771c37805ff85aea28a8f1bfd2132196b9e378a428ea9de80bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4405c62496c4fdd275d17ec31567a01534013c518c314ce61bb633b5e7cb6426","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x468d2a45052a19334bd591db94acae2a55294e337ad2fb7c2a49430cd244a811","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4b795c2a883712e8e78db7b76ab82da20430badfd925512147a4812ce84079f1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x522bcdb642283507233874b9e9eca991d445135dcd82dba6e6cf09dcf40e5b7d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x52847ca1413b76a5570b97c0c432e38dbe61b0140f9d45e912604591b08f6fca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00354025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5e67d2599f32e6cd86a760bf28796da2e796377e5d711b739a1686b0d17dc31c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x712015ce8ac2c87d89bfacff5610f225c147a147441a78654846d1462921ede7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73f71c364e6085e956abcd950f2176abcf3a6959022b5cc008fd505f296e335a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x74f6aa8144daf93f45c67ac5134ec1b6acc1c80fde043cea457929cbd6afd007","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7cd79521e16e9f6f1e82311edb96e0a2f4b2dbc92fd7264a7add59f54b054109","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.172225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d98815be880769be11a63b4df815b9bdcbf6ae007a8caaba9a2909816a8d1c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00403225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x84f148876e026a2c7bcd1007498a982d9c968fbd7ff6956e0d2d11f86ec0aae9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x856817ebe659b1ad43383049beb1f45453c5663961f884347bf76c88ffa095a5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8838304ca258f5a75be1bde60aac106190ff9ca64e5478628b8ed454a68dbb5c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x898656e7d7a2edeba07fffd1c4ef2098de00cb680cbce087274f09d87fcf3e12","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e9b6942b4dac3117dadfacac2edb390b6d62d59c14152774bb5fcd983fc134e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8eff77c559ceb1141d32741d418b923b613b84d5a6e701d22466bb374b20156a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x959899cd8459386dd0b0e46d13ce7d6b693f864641643c8629ef18762ef88a32","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa0f4c4924ea1a8b410b4ce821c2a9955fad21a1b19bdcfde90816732278b3dd5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa257136f50d15c4151d7fa6464cba6a6dfc5dfa325d9fb6e414f7b642ba84381","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa76a7ecac374e7e37f9dd7eacda947793f23d2886ffe0dc28fcc081a7f61423c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xac668145450c97698032df41289265cc1eab25bc5f42c4d4809922ea7db39f3e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.946729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xadbfa8a84df49adfe502a7b36082a96b3207c9aaa82aeeba5988310e1acf75ad","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbb50a8be669052c941c30a8892b48ba104fb09ffd7d82f963b511f3db855e0a1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc2ecc146cbbc8f24186766ef0b2cd56a1757227aee4cc9f951920538769a3490","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc30cf28f8108d5e883038c89afeaaead56c19730ed7211249cbf60c35ff76890","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.020449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc33864b627355a80ffc177e9fb26f029c2343c5fff190b41b6e0f1b590797d72","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc62d6e935097ab9bfd31790bf222e863b6a1509d2ae4602762ee6b8ec4acc07a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd65c4072e48a82a9cd49e8e6be332792fb13e8e076134d860d110427fc01d374","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe64a95a022a9012b0e5cba0c4c3c8e81caf10f7dd5a091c24714ed154e02c13c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee3898d16e04818aa853e39e1533b368ad57ca092ec0e6298ccdf41b62786ab9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf4b2d2cc364a536813bb400a0aac9dce912e8c880f4f368bdbcc59256d50a3f0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.086436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00021609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16540489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00014161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01281424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00173889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"09U2cQZqCR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0204362315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"66FpF5wc6FoUxdSUp9Ch","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0030868517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002052406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"7L7arFnaO0Nom1bLY295","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0007226672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"86c2ccz9tQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1328954875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0073390371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"CGb5hO1YNNR2bAPun9WF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0005837218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"D38AIR8f03odzU8ZvoKr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016779505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"K8qazyZJ3tXyuLlzkkyk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004032051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"LhX5FOZNhVvaI79gtvni","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001005786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0013096369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0132580505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"RzsZN6SlUp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0085735773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"SsikK1jWrDZwQxDLCAnU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0084912629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"Zn0R05lcyR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0193550543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"cI9O2UsgOQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0026328281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"dgPNU5ICzP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0976438943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"dy9yI9PLIh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0011580926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"j65AKQZQCjgqa3erm88N","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0265031778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"mqIkDr66P84o5wxxKuD9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0062691778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"tIylsIZu95","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3893508649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"yTCCaTUbAtJWWFo1dGzD","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0127514258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"zqPzgyRyu9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"10220","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"10614","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"13467","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"17917","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"21531","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"2937","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"35573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"39771","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"39783","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"6948","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x027eeeaba097b5f3b166eace64668b2e6b327acc7c6b314ae5f03b33b51425e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x07c96dbd0f70e5a27a0e15c22042abcc57bc6acc7f740f7935e0a08cde5e5138","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x082c611e9d2e294e256c7e6bd40aba498eb6ca2c0d2dc9bf5b8fdce5b5e8af9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12a561b723e051783fb5f5a67fbc9764986ae2996ca7b2ebcef0dc2d9b222fec","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1672bfe7ef6d85a4ecffa9faf1149ef1a1661dd919598ab46b04a6ae0a4ffab4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x16d24ebfbf42d9f4c24f11962424d41829db6cc542593c09acee647958020382","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1985caaa507a1de1c390b2c4957e5535cb530634bd7bb4c5c1e75fbd6cc22e64","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1a5edf9d6f7813a5289f8e410c5a033abbd52576fc1a2d44aa34f2a4c86303c1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1bed9a7702b0855686f4f65a9f65d51afeb7ca0c60f48937f4377269087cec25","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1d395b8dea9dd429fbce85f8b8cbd5aa85ec8a2e8980755756be3eec03da5b9a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2136be6fba772eb946ef5a886f2645cf71eed6ff977cec21b0833d2c5946e898","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2239eba5e038d08aa4ced697362abce36aad9602a412cd1288b8a1164d349c80","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x23b63fa147a0fa4ea0869c83885fd1dfde6830981790984634efb72620a47975","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x25a4ea049d3bd46fe71ad8676feef9098bb37cbd9d9336280dd6188a7659813c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00081225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2a34915c245f4b94976dda8afddb56452caf0ba2307500f78d7f08813d467917","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x310c3d08f015157ec78e04f3f4fefed659b5e2bd88ae80cb38ff27ef970c39bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x34a8aa834927033bb6ac7bd96c508972611b826ca6d61e59c6d7d0cf3571d463","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.03822025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x385458d81b805f220ccc137a23e5e24d1c6ecb61a189ba2edf8812b099129af9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3e6cb7ad03e2687d0befe8706bb9ac276b3d74c0a8c7e02bf3c6b796e25601c0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.297025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x419c7ae262b7b17f41a077eeaec4b2d3881406ea3a4cf0d5984536fe0bd3c995","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4928bece364d2def95c920459ab1fa54f449f99f33b0dbc93d6a84f80d9c9669","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4e4e89fd4a8b605664a3745981cd9034905ef59f385c893b8f29add42f3b4e00","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x53f82bd52566e30ae3f8131cb92095dd92ecdf2b0204af0edc226ee194e923fe","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x56a161fce05c462bbe64fdf80b83f720406150b11ae2d35c94907ac3d0eace80","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x58d6aefe2c32e491460bd0a115153ebeb67b77c801e092615ffa01f625148aec","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x58e092763b1321e8368538bf5b78fc200d9409e105700e06eceb66b35ef371aa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x617c7a90eda304d6875abfefa3638ecedb2fffe3321aa207a9e23e8fc686fb75","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x62b0cd598091a179147acbd4616400f804acfdff6f76f029944b481b37cbd45f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x62f31557b0e55475789b57a94ac385ee438ef9f800117fd1b823a0797b1fdd68","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x67443cb1ffb2bf180f7df5b6ca7adff63f7e8e933c7e41405ba118f3e9f8befb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x68469fb64aca83a6ae036946381e20a8c8d25b6e690da1b2bb23e250abc2a261","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73f71c364e6085e956abcd950f2176abcf3a6959022b5cc008fd505f296e335a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7455e92b9e9c842ca260e65f0d640108223fd9f3430f997472825763654d96c7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77b4a1d4cd398a86c18b6bb9b5218917dc9f04b01a3cd4bae1c71ea345f15fa8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.030276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77b5bfe44beb0641905f76ee2f32f96f47d8863bcad586678224a6dc02f03ad3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77eaf36a80197a13ff32e31f05b54e824a6fd21d93f1001abcc18ba8d9a7ed16","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.149769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d98815be880769be11a63b4df815b9bdcbf6ae007a8caaba9a2909816a8d1c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x807a5bd3d52942c2d8b58bf71a583d4aa03a637f3fd9ff7a7c4a1ad818003067","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8d0139c21a36eaf6aacda9ccac75f58a45a9f2209b336351bebcce4ab11b3b03","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x957b4d2b6a84c8bd4ef6e89f983d2d1a805be8d592e79177940058b66a204476","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x99108ebfee8726dd985c617e76bba8c9176f69407c9fb5f2242df830d42af129","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d24d9f9b5995949cb158d943793dea20bd448e1b3971cb6f7418bb15e719661","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00060025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9e54856d758cd7de25b75c97273a38d711642f16eacad57e61982028f2791206","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa322e5cfd4c13c562553e4d18617be436c7ee24257b3b60a3757567ea99ce277","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa76a7ecac374e7e37f9dd7eacda947793f23d2886ffe0dc28fcc081a7f61423c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7abf914ff943453e41273a20df7ed5f10738bf34071d7a6a34e0dfd557b30da","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00180625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa8533ac7382ad55fde02964b221eeab55da2ffe538a5da2c3f84449695d3ba8c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa8c0a8ea0b9f3c6dc3ff1cd5163c280eeb075f17b23e50632f01a9da78683062","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad0144e9296cf5133595a42c2155be25c8f24eb1a79266c0ec81a40a2f806933","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbadc6cd0d0ea4a71e3cab24b4856311a5720866c2a62d805f2aeb1ddd0dba990","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbb0e4120b64af4ff962dae9fda5e73f3ea14c689dd22e4099adeafe69700e546","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbea5d5174cb5355eaf0f8cee780e67d0b22a6ff614ef7ec82cc2fe6ce8f4b111","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.189225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc3d9deeb6a32be1d084651a5d55aba34bc54bc18fabf2af8bc94b30849d70033","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc4dba193fa3b80410da74fd559d7071cc8835bbd4651a75e1e9fb3c3d7bec780","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc5e382cc0cda0a640c8687ed85e8182e006dfcc7ba3a6fa6c68d53e5782f5320","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce40c461a55895fb30e24da5d3b5e01c3e5ef3897808f0ccfd4d7a9fc420c7ca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce733629b3b1bea0649c9c9433401295eb8e1ba6d572803cb53446c93d28cd44","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00075625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd459f7a9a61a7c36807a0a4066cbc1579e9b6277894baf778569f026ff5e69fb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe574324078501de57aa22beaaeafe461518a6556f0f97764bbbbd78d3a8e8048","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf2dacab4d4700731e0b39a055cd3d522711f8c25fbd4a86dd4945f6aa8f00a63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf34b156ecf111694d6e6841a7effb807f9483cb0cabfaa3e50283530d96d58ce","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf5bd04e6c5fb5400dd9deef7f67f2658b32430fc148f3ab52f011acf779fcb41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf5ec2524e8d5fdd9f4f7e1084ba14805fa78aacc9f31d58e0c713100c3a462ae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.006561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb6717befc0ec8bb8389512c3739b5e4bca290f2a8a908e894cadb5a3785d9ae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfccc16f3bba1210d40db55ee1b71c741be5b14dc3512aba5dc32de5c6e0c4bde","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.03857296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00014641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.12852225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00006889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01787569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00041209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"66FpF5wc6FoUxdSUp9Ch","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00153821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"CGb5hO1YNNR2bAPun9WF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000236227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"Cg6Oy62I52","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0019918029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"D38AIR8f03odzU8ZvoKr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0030246616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0003556586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001153338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"IWT36MaBUPU5dtiCygxo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0034931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0065854194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"Lc2SQtQQCg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0015124301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"Q9gRdQ0Z9t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0047471508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"UnsISN6Qyd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0037532608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"WjigEUrHmJzDR7P5XXi0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7580610305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"Zn0R05lcyR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0180697134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"cE1pnjaMDDaOF16V14Y2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0011027091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"cI9O2UsgOQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0018761269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"cU2Oq6qOsL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.006694212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"dUpnZIpOU8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0434862861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"dy9yI9PLIh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0006002568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00184952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"g6IOcCUnIz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0005510704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"hIZy2ULp8Z","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"l6pDOuXNGWyIkjcJUEEj","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0162950424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"llC0sSgzg8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3230403385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"ln62Z8L0Sd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0011150929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"qt0dEZpUqu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001113809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"rF0NagHSV237D4FXYJgK","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0046056019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"s4GyWK57MvM5wGvwPMhk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0046677786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"12117","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"18541","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"24789","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"24819","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"27208","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"29086","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"35569","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"36487","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"37115","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"39322","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x089a0dcb8e611a4c913f3f07221d02ab481e9eb61009cfdce1750491f20fb4a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0c23ad7af38087ab27f94fd35eec62b4f53c0d6edd16bf04d85b7c456dc777de","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00081225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x11db077700a35d7415b6198c5e5a53adcf1db1819a09831f7eaf148f88243c40","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12b6268efb832fe64bb746b9f50a51245b761d6b170e172b3cd81a7c4f39432b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x17815081230e3b9c78b098162c33b1ffa68c4ec29c123d3d14989599e0c2e113","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1ca2465222c60f5803c22fd94c6c40fa2321447f9af5be6f77dd1a5644355dd5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.010201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21d5b50fd0bc5013be79a7cdb4b3f0917127071cf27a324804c030f6eb06f5b4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x240f4f76613f69c1b5072abf9904a445c009cc526c2d301f7181eb33eb3785e8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x257b18205f908aef01ef2d1d50e6fea7d29cf5486fe04031d8b101394476faed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.207025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x25a4ea049d3bd46fe71ad8676feef9098bb37cbd9d9336280dd6188a7659813c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x277a7364c4d2c69d1cbf073440f674efb215471e444b0f52e65a49c5d38e195c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x310c3d08f015157ec78e04f3f4fefed659b5e2bd88ae80cb38ff27ef970c39bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00070225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x385458d81b805f220ccc137a23e5e24d1c6ecb61a189ba2edf8812b099129af9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3bc785525e9bb8e8f2e64ed116ee8b8169abca30a2beaa1b366365f220dbb1e0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4928bece364d2def95c920459ab1fa54f449f99f33b0dbc93d6a84f80d9c9669","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4e4e89fd4a8b605664a3745981cd9034905ef59f385c893b8f29add42f3b4e00","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4f7d83388f21541ec765e3eda3a9b8d2b5a3b20f0d7531fc4aa46089fb1bd588","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5203a95598f18205fa5d1fae7afdefedfbb356679f1ae6e3911c54883a462034","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5e8e585d855c4288c3805064e74fc7ea1dab47dc0e9b42a0dbd9ca5f49c997f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5f8c3f31e7c3f5470f016e036848ff7495031bd45aec804b9bef539490866fd7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x607c517eec2acc6e4d888a725d2d73a99b2d1088f150f1b05470dd9d6ef19379","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x635be9337933a0e2b17c01b31e0f6017ac54fcbe409ef9cf533e7cbe8880429c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa38b11b1909151a7c1c3bdfb77b24716adbd7ecbe9904ed14a572886120e76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02772225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x712015ce8ac2c87d89bfacff5610f225c147a147441a78654846d1462921ede7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7267c8c3f3db61dded13533b6707c3a3d45a5519aee71917052ddba3275d250f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73f71c364e6085e956abcd950f2176abcf3a6959022b5cc008fd505f296e335a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77783da9b3549399a4bc0ba504f03c33f6cafca89f6ef5d96cb1d9492dfd22d5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7cfd30f4f97746310435098e61aef950463ca3ac02997c6a7b506cde13423be4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d98815be880769be11a63b4df815b9bdcbf6ae007a8caaba9a2909816a8d1c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00119025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8114cbebc2067256e7e399624ca5a0628d0e70204f55005a86dc0eb083171498","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8bf53bab21d7dfcd8f6c311c6f78d41678475e9184b6f16f5bbd5a9da3b1508b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e54ef30fcab377514426f2940753d2319443057577c2dfc38335bb3853142cf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9322e033c6dc8be6d8495cc44ac578abaa28a8cccdb783de1bff0026066d1d05","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x967cb0061acc3f6e52c3ba4ecd17aa1191e3d50418c6858a2dac66d45c5ac874","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9ec16fa75bc05ef9f9fd786f7122bdec55e708586cee5cbe059fc1b297bead17","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa257136f50d15c4151d7fa6464cba6a6dfc5dfa325d9fb6e414f7b642ba84381","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.292681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa320756f4fc6ec9df78a0828ec4d6b5f92ac334044634566fc19cda36023f8e1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa4e7e472e1f4b0f5a9e88c0d086053ef51bb4dc150cf861bef48232447d3b636","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb2abfc4e48334d87681240cd6a7e63c728e13973fbd68951b45bc86d6c4491e4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.265225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1c4e7857dfd1fe47c1e6a11813aaca3f622a5f47769cd765be8c7a8336af555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc2846f35e85eb09a094edbd4e93e345d3c682dc0436615adc27122222fccbd81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc497f1ebe1bd67defd4484935758d242523b29ee36283025c16a32e4ddfb46b6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce733629b3b1bea0649c9c9433401295eb8e1ba6d572803cb53446c93d28cd44","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd3320fd4b325ce3d629fbaffd90bebd0a4f45042d91bf207c9866704d630bdb9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd3a26e8ca4f4dd9a7933e65fb1a36851b4527f7adadf477ca65106714ee26335","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd407fc7bc044a509b1eb3059d8a85af5493425d9edb677781dcc7a98c1554adb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd56c9ee002e2ae2766bb390373a18ecf78201df41533f2d7470f9440cbba18d7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd837e5deb894a485d1c4558e81c31ea2192205c9a15c114a06f69f558db2499e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00164025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd87e6b4c5ee2c553ef726e9b6f788765bc6422d28ae31faa69e1d3838ee641d9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe4a2b3d43921a62fd693cbaca54249feec7b52fdcd5c7dd8c809a38179c1cbb0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeca33037ccf02ba4f3a22e863b33dcdbd4cd8946bd38d2d8aa200bdd2c185421","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee3898d16e04818aa853e39e1533b368ad57ca092ec0e6298ccdf41b62786ab9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00235225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeefdfb2a32f7304c9f07a7a752731529b6b28085c02cc711d9714f9f0511fc14","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf18253f5c0b0ffc42172a435892bbcbdaab54119e874580148961e298dad6263","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb0c98ef42c5c48b5ecca31e555aa0565a31958261e2d6c7b4cb15bbd417cbba","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02452356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00010201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00012996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10017225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01695204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1674","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.90611361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1675","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00080089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00033124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"0PE59gu09y","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0804984839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002616683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"66FpF5wc6FoUxdSUp9Ch","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0017081165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0018035312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"AaZr2KnQYHGRVHzvKoHa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0867322387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"D38AIR8f03odzU8ZvoKr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0028680482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0003611564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0043564171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0020061124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"RzsZN6SlUp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0046815388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"W8iOAuLrMal2MAwPPg62","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0019944436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2255681516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"cI9O2UsgOQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0005473331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"d2sZ8AIILQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2776470748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"dI5U6ps6IP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2244124546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"dUpnZIpOU8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0434862861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"enDYPoHVisJ5GxcrK6bk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.017122265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"fXpDY62ibnxfUbqAaAEC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0010551033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"hPU6PpN0Zg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0223528736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"oj4g2w07uo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.617554722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"pdcRPllUC5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0031940067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"qt0dEZpUqu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001319685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"rF0NagHSV237D4FXYJgK","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0046056019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"tIylsIZu95","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3687055969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"ycUv8xISKE23IysW1W3C","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0374457384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"24814","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"26328","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"27208","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"2937","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"35569","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"36488","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"38712","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"39756","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"40437","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"5768","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"7444","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x085126eca944aa0780b425fcc46ab7276cd02f2f59b7934ca9e5ddccfbc03ea6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00469225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x099952efaf314cb44fcc6179e1fd8ca309e473f7dd924e980a381b70648f2887","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0ac91dc0674ea0b91e6eb9cc4a20968976d30fbce391a9050c70eaddf2fba354","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0c4c1d224e536067363a96bb1916acfcfef47d503b8838c0113a39104ac05428","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0d82012de5e3275b934dcf446b1cce93705b37e9ffe22470fd6caf7411d1d1f6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2049638936027998accd2d320af8a7838ed1f673a00d0a22a288d5f678015e03","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21bdabe2791e7a70a02829be6a3dd7452fd4f6cba3b1fa1abed109941d8864d2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00133225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x23b63fa147a0fa4ea0869c83885fd1dfde6830981790984634efb72620a47975","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x28c6eb83627e96f11777ff333703d5bdbb15799c4df7e8f290049464e54198cf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00112225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e51ed86458e0a53ef3a2e882d2f857683dfe41822c2c26176c971e25a5a8db2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3d64b85493b8e6602ea4dc4ebfa1e8b998594c8439e4e0d730ce6e44f7e587e3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4ef4a5e6c74f646ce7126c7283b1a679c76db679b3237c2c6eaac27249b13dfd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x528f7bcfd3328a767e72e8d27ea7d345a861ec94c81004f347e571c08a3b00dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x53511c6b839a6f653f7b5b3e1e6b8e0f90b8b62a3a55731b47158f5057f8f23d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5df1f890ef485a7a79a4bce4b3c7bb4c12b2e09a65809bbae8cdfa04e5ae9ada","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6d1ed397657b875e9908b33609df303fe66938fe2a7af7f36c39fb45b3b0a1c7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x712015ce8ac2c87d89bfacff5610f225c147a147441a78654846d1462921ede7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x71731ea04b650cd0d6d644c947f3d53200ed50f10688591863db1a36b464a22d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73f71c364e6085e956abcd950f2176abcf3a6959022b5cc008fd505f296e335a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77b5bfe44beb0641905f76ee2f32f96f47d8863bcad586678224a6dc02f03ad3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79fe1c0701d145ed4b74e6b7b3658acbc9b016b70e7321afdb777ad14e8c236c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01380625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x830eb792fa2f2a591b5a0610a76400f80228629105f4f5896434be777665265c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8370b54d8b25a8a408ddb402ff7a03178139f59593ee97c03a10a43523516404","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00105625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x850c1624dc9d8ca9850195df05293ff85273e6b92e89a9551cd0a57c2f72aceb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.112225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x89c555d51c3ec91cda2cc7ee12f8d69b2376f81c46b0588c1616579de7ac8c62","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8da154fd9e7dbe6b0f22ab3626f36da576bdbffe533e4528fa7fd3411ae898bc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9ec16fa75bc05ef9f9fd786f7122bdec55e708586cee5cbe059fc1b297bead17","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xafa3f21a2211a95b222a0704d1b763a48770905ff090b0143ae724013b51dbaa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb5f6d7f3158494f1c433c25237e61cd33eec00943a6cd95d67b1d0b06cb7ce2b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xba6ca85827ba3fbf64fc67e3c14283dd0ea82a1ce780609a7c4f6bf469748757","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbaf7780f9059e34b84301fd411f8dc573b4d56adfe6e0cda33daf304b1438da4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbc19b7dee8883e27c2e617cfa9a8875c5f014643f760f72121f4a769b19536c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbd52b67bf1d97f233f1ab26362496091e04e27e2442cffc0803ad4a462f8cd45","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbe1c736f56cade44537b90c07edb9209eba1ab044fa57b6f3900b8fd26570c61","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbea5d5174cb5355eaf0f8cee780e67d0b22a6ff614ef7ec82cc2fe6ce8f4b111","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.164025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1c4e7857dfd1fe47c1e6a11813aaca3f622a5f47769cd765be8c7a8336af555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc2db6688c6df422104ee751fad721b03ade9c50a8b3c85588cfe4a20ae62ff63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc62d6e935097ab9bfd31790bf222e863b6a1509d2ae4602762ee6b8ec4acc07a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00133225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcc2bd8cbba68f1fe46e89445b61e2c581ea96527438889eb749a852fba647920","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce00f57f6c107650846b17205996ba79979a94b942c5665b2d525599669c13af","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce4459c8dfc2b0800778305722ee9a2ad2c62f001c8a40d5e0b136c9e6a679d3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd19badcb162eedeecce239e19a99e90f1b7751ec043f86d3dd5176c582a4316f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd3a26e8ca4f4dd9a7933e65fb1a36851b4527f7adadf477ca65106714ee26335","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xde03be115f0b584287ca34466b6d813dfc64d32771be3bff04b048a4bbe5569f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdfeb85c9ead70f3bd0745bb8fec317a21fda07780453d239a255afaa72a190b0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe202539dfbeced92dc4112f134a205c80ca6cf4db32bd82f05b291c297219fd8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe9b8664d3302d33a25b0612989da47a520ec005d1da55fd73f85750a8837513d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.017424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xea378c9f7da196849f2afc2d56ccb2efa087bd76e02e30c44748c0693520c201","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeaab9021b99acc38699821455c9332838c88f1609071f7f2e39da2f56e52d9e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xed01e807e649339cb23739f6735fb9c2284560cbd7bd9ad210c786127fb5f66a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xefe3a05506e08fefb8c1998aa607fcce31e32a6852ef60bee4c71d0935c97950","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf06011674951b6a853154b841dda3bf555f72f5514d9a64b50a81de836a6c19c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf2b177d6267194487880857175f9876fb2d352188f681dfe8bb732a665512305","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf4b2d2cc364a536813bb400a0aac9dce912e8c880f4f368bdbcc59256d50a3f0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfc4453f83b30fdad8ac707b7bd11309aa4c4c90d0c17ad0c4680d4142d4471f7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfdc5e6ae42b83659ba19f06ec0051c001ad5f9679f4b0b4e4dbaac5c6e82f4e9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01094116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00008649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00021316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.03767481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00006724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01038361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1674","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.91872225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1675","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00077841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00120409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"09U2cQZqCR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0017264212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"66FpF5wc6FoUxdSUp9Ch","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0012558949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"6A0Csq0Z9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049246948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"6MyYH9TqA0FgSsx7Pare","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0035913759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000125129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"7L7arFnaO0Nom1bLY295","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0003684964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0030626155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"AaZr2KnQYHGRVHzvKoHa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0854384491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"AtLFLzDlSERmVcSdUapy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000091242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"D38AIR8f03odzU8ZvoKr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001014276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016303033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"UnsISN6Qyd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0003062229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"cE1pnjaMDDaOF16V14Y2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0006870344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"cU2Oq6qOsL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0027755133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"d2sZ8AIILQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5746061982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"dy9yI9PLIh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0006002568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"hQQPLApOcA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0572982812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"oj4g2w07uo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6918014899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"pdcRPllUC5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0031940067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"tIylsIZu95","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3112123088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"yTCCaTUbAtJWWFo1dGzD","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"ygZRENPOg5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0051723956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"zAyUSgCu2s","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0042294505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"zqPzgyRyu9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0035116564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"10176","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"10220","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"15370","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"15602","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"17095","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"17110","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"19949","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"20172","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"24789","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"27208","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"39002","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.8649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"40407","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0398ee767efc168f65bb148d7ac5874406ecf38b0585262c259c07b72a40b362","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x039b48827f3c6b83f50153715af8a66f2b74b04fcfc5def13acb3f151eeb3d81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x07f106c0b60e94d96a63954f0536811c1a0b054b958f26bb749689b620b72f50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x082c611e9d2e294e256c7e6bd40aba498eb6ca2c0d2dc9bf5b8fdce5b5e8af9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x098e2be3df8ab529940c567819f8ef007cf007820e9d627642a5bbfaa42af372","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0d82012de5e3275b934dcf446b1cce93705b37e9ffe22470fd6caf7411d1d1f6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x10b0761fd0412d6ea433ced8d4b0aa589c11831aee0f6f96383468526c979818","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12993004a50c8a25454afbc8ccea7a52f9e6f5ddfaa218feea52a4e95cd874bb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x14aa27565d1f23e7770fb56459deafa6d4e179753e936ce0a6b24fa874e939f1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1b74c3efe140a09049e0eb6b6a2112e00fa4d199cdc718c1a58af1abf6d9e49d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x243e5b9e30e381aaf91ee500db1be548210e8bb8c2a463f5bb3f86ffe8ac3f86","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x293ca6031d80a410833bacb197ed6c193e79b0cdaaf6539d8b0f88f245e1ddd8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2beb6918bff42cd269377fffeb7d458c1e18a06efa56097de608397dd8d640b4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e24ca91d308d503fa3711b0ff3b4c40e0d971e72bbc8012448c0ece02328a69","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2ff4e1a7dd9e8dcd56ae537b2a360e1dfb7cc0498849af11d275e10de13e5635","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x313787d313815069851d81a35de415dcfd9e223ced2a0ab19fcf9ad367ff0a76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.968256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3bfe92e518e3cc7f569b70cbafcf40449bd9498c7159129275c33822500457b5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54416d15d2428ec5fb1e6f2e646f0fd570f367be80d9dd285c479c8e9ce238a6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54e136864bfd047505b0911da4246b0317d2a7305708bde3026b54699abead92","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x69d6b4d10ccd09a4f78bde4510cacdc9900db0e9b24d4cffcc1fe9f686f94253","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00148225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6ee22365b6602d928aa7136f549cc0d718bb16b044a6d15191041b84b5f1f43d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa38b11b1909151a7c1c3bdfb77b24716adbd7ecbe9904ed14a572886120e76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x712015ce8ac2c87d89bfacff5610f225c147a147441a78654846d1462921ede7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73f71c364e6085e956abcd950f2176abcf3a6959022b5cc008fd505f296e335a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x752a5087b40fea78569dfedb2257bf7499eefb50970fded264c94af8b40c1027","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7601fef4bc7a7c280d4a7c3c3575afd7f3902b360f01ce2ec0bbaa03df65a105","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7a250aca74f2938d9fee6b975cc5a588de54c25a673e272e0884023bc1be7a61","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7a6a33627efd7e57152db2ee806570408e019bd72967158d4bc630863207c6e1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7b11f426ea2f966b193d4a30bca3b9a7a94e1972dbf3fe095d41d21a4793029a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00133225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d98815be880769be11a63b4df815b9bdcbf6ae007a8caaba9a2909816a8d1c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x850c1624dc9d8ca9850195df05293ff85273e6b92e89a9551cd0a57c2f72aceb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.156025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8947925aa89cdf1e70d7755df73c099c1977d322fb64ac20a2d2ee9850c9f913","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.139129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8b89c599a91f9d6520e24bf1be251cb87cf43267cefa3cebccfc6f685aacff1a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x92d98653c47967f7516f20ebc4bc04bf21d59cce083431cdcc9b3eaa0ed2bea4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9954b4eef49a268b810bc260ee9278361e29a8f6f4ad816a804dd613ef73a968","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d24d9f9b5995949cb158d943793dea20bd448e1b3971cb6f7418bb15e719661","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa95216e111897ab824478333cefaf4cf6d21e5bfa159fe8a6c5cdc294edf368c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb7f9d3f61910ecf7a5e6e46f487a039e91a92b68585f05ec9b22cb34d3804bbd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbad74413f87762c2b4423dfcd72ccce4c561bc59f33e7ed474b33ef917b802a0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbd9fd3b8f8d03be096d57504e836bbc0bf46853184302a75787d68d2f6ffe273","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00112225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc798fb82e89b618fb35e32f3c23933b0b69ee7a3e917e6d05e5052127ef72a6d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc8f7efe4f5cf3c6d5b51cdd87cbd360e7f2a3b9999f6b8fa96d2dcd96e287141","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb8af0c28d73c486a1bd1080eb4183709cc4cc3eed4420c7551d6298b0adb6f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcc2bd8cbba68f1fe46e89445b61e2c581ea96527438889eb749a852fba647920","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00140625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcc7d2919c23e00507e33848288f15fb3473e536bad6e94e355ae71e7e651ed0e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd01204c643956b06dcb7ec56f07ea473bdc9e61a7c29bd1318df0e249b1050ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd1754bc54ec5b0af53339ad69d868bcdf5510242212a400db22bc865b103bbfb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe4a2b3d43921a62fd693cbaca54249feec7b52fdcd5c7dd8c809a38179c1cbb0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00297025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00632025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00019044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01771561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00006889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00802816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1675","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00080089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00052441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00180625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"1BskFw5s4FlnaJET30ai","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001107148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001365887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"25QZ5yn8hQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0445790769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000125129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"7L7arFnaO0Nom1bLY295","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"86c2ccz9tQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0065194077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0030626155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"CGb5hO1YNNR2bAPun9WF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001465955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"D38AIR8f03odzU8ZvoKr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001014276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0003511473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0000801878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"P0OAOZIpyq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0021092921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"Pd59AAtPOR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0002071753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"QHFQmCmz8HplpN2QQnl2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0080294403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"R2PYH7Cwjk59eILygi1W","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001355933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"RzsZN6SlUp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0014232015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"UnsISN6Qyd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0000499949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"cU2Oq6qOsL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0011975857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"dI5U6ps6IP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.204417463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"dgPNU5ICzP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0130707738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"enDYPoHVisJ5GxcrK6bk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.017122265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"fXpDY62ibnxfUbqAaAEC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0002755325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"g6IOcCUnIz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000351541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"j65AKQZQCjgqa3erm88N","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0192702839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"l6O2tdELtZ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0112998931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"l6pDOuXNGWyIkjcJUEEj","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000686259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"qR35cYHecZVxkh7n8kJ8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"qt0dEZpUqu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0003061707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"s4GyWK57MvM5wGvwPMhk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0044367387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"17408","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"22560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"24789","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"24819","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"26328","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"30344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"38671","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"4919","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x02665608f02cd63c26bd78a419f932db289b5300fefc0e18e50b151349fd85b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x07f106c0b60e94d96a63954f0536811c1a0b054b958f26bb749689b620b72f50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x082c611e9d2e294e256c7e6bd40aba498eb6ca2c0d2dc9bf5b8fdce5b5e8af9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0cd467df4030e7da99133ae20665f0905e6a9cbc6706d11c87712730a0434170","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x15a18c82b90f8f6de9bdac99dd763865910338fcab9366b119fcf8d372d4768b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x182b89f680380a2428daedda8d8fca19416569f8c3fcec997f00780f69f81f4c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1a5edf9d6f7813a5289f8e410c5a033abbd52576fc1a2d44aa34f2a4c86303c1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1df6862b69a47872e75864cac21b9ae9ea0cb552884d38aea9170c5fe5321bc6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x216cfc5952a75a6c2005fa90a1f49524401abdde826aaa916af4c88a70426363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2ff4e1a7dd9e8dcd56ae537b2a360e1dfb7cc0498849af11d275e10de13e5635","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x366c465e379145d0ec1ae70dfcaea8f69cb42e769895edfb420888891e3df9f5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3b1a3232b14a029f96a3e1b04a5d8dde31575d74024389b53631e73b4a494480","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3b7e03065f6437f93e3aa6fc2cb4ac0af068d7c8b0ffb32e26296b078feaa507","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.97713225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3fe28ac4aee597a761ce00692605e9b8701a544365eb781ddb7453fb10ae31fe","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x41da88e6d6db2ebf5fbb868d93e97c3052121a59d1222c00774119427ec9efe1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x44416d349bbeb6edcbf23027e6966ec1fce5a9b7d64d26fd3529f9465c40c450","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x468d2a45052a19334bd591db94acae2a55294e337ad2fb7c2a49430cd244a811","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x552c0807e8b239ef4e7ecb9d9e192519ba283acb731c5bd89b6b1cda658a2f8c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60acc46cda1f0619259acf3ef8c77bf734ff08cbed256ca3d1e9444138e21266","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60c447987af838c9a074ad7d44751135be94a20580982b72d76e9b542572bfe6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x62b0cd598091a179147acbd4616400f804acfdff6f76f029944b481b37cbd45f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x69b009591dd768c3878e2ff9b28b8661e039409ea2f156ad70aa5224c08702e0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00931225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6aff6e0b36e00aef86b91c825b2e67561e172faa4b5ad0db7c91a38c87774826","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6b2e51f006ae5613849c3913db2a766390a05c2d67bc8b0b0872d3d63cb517ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6e6a763252b7d1773a82e293be9e3c689a245cf07a3053bc93589d99b4ee0916","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77eaf36a80197a13ff32e31f05b54e824a6fd21d93f1001abcc18ba8d9a7ed16","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7a250aca74f2938d9fee6b975cc5a588de54c25a673e272e0884023bc1be7a61","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7bd85b3f517c51a036127fd585193e811754662a33e0657fae6f2dee09755c39","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7dd03775ae64ca4da06121fd75397e3a16cd54bd02a52faee8c22799e34b8458","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x80075f84b96d341fa75f7d95616607d23116f6fb41cf44f1d079f6fd6524b601","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81d74bd6a217892b3835dde991233ac5ba181741fcc51904980b98865c20530f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x86d3e198cc89b22d04ea77fd9d760b557d934d04d974578526ac4b063d588113","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x88fad6af135ca7cbd55a8bda5a1243125ded68b1e521066009cc990b13960b88","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x92d98653c47967f7516f20ebc4bc04bf21d59cce083431cdcc9b3eaa0ed2bea4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x94867c89a77b18380ce1bf85006f3ccf2ef5252e0dc6319677aaf615bd857bf4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9883c17e49888b1e1fc4227d3eca7f4dc7d8394157073714f57965cb31ae5f57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9ec16fa75bc05ef9f9fd786f7122bdec55e708586cee5cbe059fc1b297bead17","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa15eb6144875ec22c24b18c6f34e0ce2d5783765f740de9a4ac0e8fdb10fa832","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa8b8e51444172fa84241a90ada79de23ea3ae3a3eb7262fa99f206d147bc8df5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaa368b9b8a22b8fd9338f3e46b4ce5f856233ac5ff45e30557384846279acee7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xafa3f21a2211a95b222a0704d1b763a48770905ff090b0143ae724013b51dbaa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xba9aa10e79d2411a71685731968a8dd15662d1d900173f189c3261174bde1108","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbacb4cac4e7ceecce559529eb0111f0db4e45cbcc739db3957acc885a8f82173","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc848576777751e56a4db0eb5e7d4c764afbe80e116fc75584e69c0914be0a5b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcc5494faf5ceca60a77a46db255b8c8e30b1bcc7d94d9138f5d4e945bba1ad34","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd3a26e8ca4f4dd9a7933e65fb1a36851b4527f7adadf477ca65106714ee26335","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd56fc2650cd0885e6aaec513b12fed083cac789b70ec6a48314fbfb079f6ef4d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdb4143780c085f54f82e6baf461e4df46ad900df8148d03258da93cf2c64b165","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.07535025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xde9fec321fb6a4a264d6d012ad2bfee3b29e123797ce02765dca14cae96e26de","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe26424b7a84fe280b7202c5bd8a6c2763985510ff6a2c663c7aedd23881f7c79","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xec80d091f823b3fc853a3fdb01e3c18500d7e4d1405d54815e41ae54eb719962","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf0de2f1576cf959a259b5ffb9771f927da827e3bf7bd21e6385b3a10216646e4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00140625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf4b2d2cc364a536813bb400a0aac9dce912e8c880f4f368bdbcc59256d50a3f0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf66b13dd3447b8908fe4d3cfbfdfd9e6a18f506f6d694af5ee3c800d907b1301","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf8a6ec4f777d3453e9171ebb219eb3d79dcf5b38d247e514f437bd2dfc834d47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf9eec8c6bd3bcd3effa86198cddf3283c550a52e7dc3441f3d786a08285d90cb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfd96c4b3a2776ef499ff06ceb78948b62eef81c1d645a4f82aacc0632fbac36d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00414736},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00077284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000256},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00189225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.56220004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00734449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.35307364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02268036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1707","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.12967201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"manifold","id":"Lzdc89CSzq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"manifold","id":"QHFQmCmz8HplpN2QQnl2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0080294403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001054035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"manifold","id":"lgxNmHNmrYvowjnSyQAM","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0599060462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"manifold","id":"tIylsIZu95","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0573110809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"manifold","id":"yTCCaTUbAtJWWFo1dGzD","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0218558589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"metaculus","id":"10220","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"metaculus","id":"10614","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"metaculus","id":"38917","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x005866e059fa8deb3adb20f9b169a61a63a7289d55c6f3758bb105ee06ca7dca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x089a0dcb8e611a4c913f3f07221d02ab481e9eb61009cfdce1750491f20fb4a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00140625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0d44a3b546096156afdf40be8f37bce617970ee3d0901d35f4ade50d46ae18a8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1858125f6f8bafdbaa63b3bb90cb0a01ffb8f1f2ab56fd71484135b8fa624986","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x18b1dc1565575cb2ff48bbc078070170ca3278691860cca7c97131fc657a9530","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1d54eb5eac2cee8f595f3097c65da7d07f8ab5dee63d7c0c6883eb70e1e9af30","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1e5efe84a9a890e61044d77ea6e182f39b06d5b382c851b926cad54cb4972e68","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x257b18205f908aef01ef2d1d50e6fea7d29cf5486fe04031d8b101394476faed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.156025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2701e5a5b751418c5c5bf0faaafdea60ac9fc893eb75fd88e902cd97458d375b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00207025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2c2a97f760dd525d97c9bfbed6fe3329bc835c2d6899e14b017ed6e8ae63a1fb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e1a4dc939f815ba720dc1eba072191c2271bb0ea2fc36c54535db0121d8c48d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3ddfb68ae4ca088d2ae91ed40d88a3a68266b9855bea5e33f8a8e1d53ab5ff2b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3f34e931e2457b68c4acce8c4f4d0f5e5a1a9d68afb44afb70af88478718dd76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4e16c5196f59f08fad56fea688a65daeba2e5be79b7c04acd56ca7395cdb0885","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4fe305a2ae995a52ff278895344895fe587b4fec3d5f04347b4dbf5e99bce99c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5deeed404db866c400ba881b376216c3c2bf0b3a3e9372cc61a1395ac3d83e37","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6680cae9b37261f6c1ec3313f9ad175708bb9722e94285b5b0a5b50a9972d312","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6956a94cc63efdd5bccae33b4cf8a0880df301116ccf1f329cad25683392044e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6987d084de71031819f82051ea62b29a354628c3e4a22076a2acc197c776080a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.731025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x72b25fe7b05903658eea56ffd995dc4f0f252d49d6a9a202bac103dd29ab2ba5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x75a306decbed1a9668d948fc331a899a3809defb55734e2eb5c2dbe1d4a3a03c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00060025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77b9efbaa8958fc73ebbdfb6649eea71bec2abe28d1e88988a0a8064caec8c41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x796f36313d1142d739eafc84298b81832a1fa0efd4d332fdc7f03a9a906ff012","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79bc9eae1f5ce8f3f58648f45e7ff7cf182a8314e2d1a5b536520c5cc4b3e097","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7dd03775ae64ca4da06121fd75397e3a16cd54bd02a52faee8c22799e34b8458","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8b8213717b514954ca6372540403fd11ec624db18deb943b99f2ec40f5c38908","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8cd80bf80e98abaf64e504363ffa8f557a9cd7b0c6cce02590bfe8025c329691","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x998acf9ed1bbda06d59df70786441468872c72b2de59cacbea93625b14a5efcb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb1e4027b58c6321ede3fd8e3737b2b440ccb51fc569854795f67dd407b3569d0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb6f3732fc2464da2ed17f4270dc87ac59a2b4b1ed711d491f9584ca9a783c95c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbb7bd534d9050f6d00f42fe5aed6e8a7fb0e1e633db19f4299436d11434324ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbd34bea66b3d5850bbba37d2697059cf9ae4f5e6abb7a60a9fee41aac6e60b77","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbfc25a82b6a6476895991401059bab3a73df1a9278400d70dfad080774a981c4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc23d4f3a1a96576e93f32ab1806c6d85f5a3d1925df7c80bdb97cfd6787b4dfc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc6b173db2582f7ccb12b7e541ab510934013b2640006712ae35507ff75d707f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcba24842ceac7a40d2a8b9adde1f4407999b6505193b9fd68156ae76fbffa706","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcd14407814c97e5fa5684e4154a63be045c048365a8b12acab3f20bc9286d3a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00207025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd3320fd4b325ce3d629fbaffd90bebd0a4f45042d91bf207c9866704d630bdb9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd6203f8805d1812e3b189da3f6036989940a415ae3a0fecf83555b455394fdb8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd87ac5bb74a21061d4f223d2a83c0269607fcb6d4c74d5a3d3220209d089431a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00442225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xda5e93ecce25875195aeed7d427f16e9edab7296ea5d02d841ae733ba2a8a89f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdfeb85c9ead70f3bd0745bb8fec317a21fda07780453d239a255afaa72a190b0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xef7924196f13374e10ac52ce8cd50bb0693379f4bdb84a266ff267c2e879c33d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf0d4ee47d3abe6161f1e8f93bfe46d06d1ffd63f48e71c49aa81b2250e152e8b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf8b730810252255fa217a2828b46b7a3c0ed63b702c817461270ce9e65b5ec25","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00236196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00039204},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00101761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.37711881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00426409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27952369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"infer","id":"1704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.05812921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"infer","id":"1707","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09351364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"manifold","id":"OlHuvYpfpmCSXcIwM7OL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0504507604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"manifold","id":"OpRRgcB6cymEfMe3a1sG","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2044215295},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"manifold","id":"QHFQmCmz8HplpN2QQnl2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0168999277},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"manifold","id":"n8ZROwk6GKcLyurigsf1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0607517027},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"manifold","id":"pXI4QH7WTZSL83roOjkF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7372524768},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"manifold","id":"ycUv8xISKE23IysW1W3C","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0040276028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"metaculus","id":"10614","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"metaculus","id":"8393","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x089a0dcb8e611a4c913f3f07221d02ab481e9eb61009cfdce1750491f20fb4a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0bff0cefecebc11a15257b08d25133e6599b75df5dc2a5633bff7ed73f6a9eb3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x18b1dc1565575cb2ff48bbc078070170ca3278691860cca7c97131fc657a9530","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2239eba5e038d08aa4ced697362abce36aad9602a412cd1288b8a1164d349c80","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x246be1739bccca6ecbaeac3d92755fd1ca5368bbb1f588e86d2b8f2ef0542948","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x251b46a4b02dd818bcaf26d5f84d3020d677428a66da715237c7bb764291b8bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.03940225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2701e5a5b751418c5c5bf0faaafdea60ac9fc893eb75fd88e902cd97458d375b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2a6b222354f86941b5fb5571a9256b8db85d6ab468ba7f865e43cefbfb83b812","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00112225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x33c6c4906d923ac54100a3c760965ffb7ba9f49d9767597eb2358adaf89f9817","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3a07c5ebf7294febe753c18e89a29c74691e700dd61aa6d67081a6326538e887","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3c1aea7dfcae8dc154841d900f59c58c0c6ffcea1fd2942a680595ffd35a46ca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x403b8deb760c51691df6dcc9a6aa080846ecd280d49d3786865c2d9846180aaa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4d162a40c3e3f458b0e0017485d7f9e6ead0cdd0573e38b26e0d5420525ccfa4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.632025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4d594c1480eab1db09f6c04c089f92d0a45844bdfae32a6f3f8391f99a1ea081","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4ed6fda2009f12fd706a2283ae5288d739d9d314914d28b57badc3b2383e8791","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x528f7bcfd3328a767e72e8d27ea7d345a861ec94c81004f347e571c08a3b00dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x53e409b11e90081ba2cb0834a391e1208dd4c87ac817e4c76a5125cd2b647a9f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x58234757c9519ddfffdbc8f33bea3b172d5a55a7fedb07c6df4fed1e97ba1ca7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5c5d898595b3445dd3809896302889cd512411fa8306de609d9d8aa34e257ba8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60c447987af838c9a074ad7d44751135be94a20580982b72d76e9b542572bfe6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x63bfc2579cb54eaad635aeccea2dab1093d316e905089969e1f149e6c26e7d74","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x74a960f6e74324d124183f786467b089beebaaa34b075181c55e823b18bde048","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x756f82fea9416b9a5437bca4ad5f2fd84597986ec5e83562f8cac0907dc694de","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7858c69bcee88426d6ee415e3b70e2f3f31c2ada1b3c68de7e37ce7b39014d3e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7c6c69d91b21cbbea08a13d0ad51c0e96a956045aaadc77bce507c6b0475b66e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7f3c6b9029a1a4a932509c147a2cc0762e1116b7a4568cde472908b29dd4889d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x826e915d9919bea5881b73bcb5e571917e641492e838c7d4ee655de66d244c4c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x90943e0279054a865ee966f348d90c28bd55338ff4d2e8013c86fad695380f31","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9e2b02521ae3622a8d0b373035b7f15479f5e3990f97411c2c1846cf36f93a57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa32a00faf9ac4f49c0a2742341304513d6816bec08219bfc48f85d7a013c9ddf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa4b876bf8805e74965adfe3c3f9e951d4b9f5d152bc0f81e6896f46346dfc4a2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaa2717e3d40735de7c52f16d5dbfe0e796e11691ad128ef90a81c81d0afa750b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad29cf2f3839f6090c3ba8a0b6753d3af77ecced5c24ab10348ecc64067c04a8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00225625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb42cf911da8aa39a9f634c190120f5c36f7301b69b15d20aa23382ac350b830d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbc2ae4fc90814b307933e5edab31351de8ca003cc9f6fd5805843936dafa07e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc512e0c0fa2d19ad6fe8bd885b3089a80fa2bf8382c104321c7359e7014cf567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.511225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc91b876622103c6cceaed067f6e3ea4cdcfe3052ba4ef9fba094c9ef8e501f0e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd2016eb15c8b61cb95fe512a0c91f43fc46793e9ac0a30595d08dcffe637fdd2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10272025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd474ef9b31935d47c24b3178346fd82182ffa1a222d8f29f24b84b1850698bcd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdb4b2f370c3d0e996fbb32213c87aa5402936e3d4882432b6738e2f5661b79a6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdc609df6c167499ecd2beffda05a1ddaeca7ed3269a805f7b9a4afd5e96cf2e5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.275625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xea545a6f18395f2e6a6edb3154e19ac51fd5b1296e56e4e77a7067e392a6943f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xed01e807e649339cb23739f6735fb9c2284560cbd7bd9ad210c786127fb5f66a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-18","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfbb2046e013da7b66ecedf3a9de63ce446fd57c23ccc77cd019991f485522236","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00189225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00038809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00051984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.20666116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00213444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.12068676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"infer","id":"1704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02948089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"infer","id":"1707","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.08826841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"manifold","id":"0PE59gu09y","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0118247659},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"manifold","id":"92gdnLROgN","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4251010527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"manifold","id":"HvTJLPAMNrSMoSORu3tm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0639724579},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"manifold","id":"OpRRgcB6cymEfMe3a1sG","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2044215295},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"manifold","id":"XOJ8Tfrg8s2iqPFwauO8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0231315721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"manifold","id":"dgPNU5ICzP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0123073343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"manifold","id":"dzuCO2pcpu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1770665921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001058899},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"manifold","id":"hughuOcEOl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000605607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"manifold","id":"pXI4QH7WTZSL83roOjkF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7372524768},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"manifold","id":"tIylsIZu95","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0337646678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"metaculus","id":"10614","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"metaculus","id":"37307","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41370","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41462","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x06331f454adc15cc3c7b0c2eda3c688630b1d5f3ab4c2238a666e4a8babef9f3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1a441ec0b47718954c379432ecd9fc384f9ed77d4aa83da3bb5734201c741979","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00216225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1e2c5a317dfa33635671394f2def49273f6e84ab083fadcf2a77493f78c8d02c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x22e7b5e35423e76842dd3a5e1a21d13793811080d5e7b2896d0c001bd5e97d54","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.156025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2701e5a5b751418c5c5bf0faaafdea60ac9fc893eb75fd88e902cd97458d375b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2cde05f9ccf7986b8ff404d74dfdc7d026792f6ae18a8438c8af714b19269802","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x30779a5b03cff9251d259bc0a94e49d12a18eb501170fff2420da55370ecf297","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3f34e931e2457b68c4acce8c4f4d0f5e5a1a9d68afb44afb70af88478718dd76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.07371225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5ccfe1b69a582d2985db08a8481a0d74c314b1fce9b4711ae2efb2c6467fe6aa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01334025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x641f7bc48e2a81d1483fc40d05e9be1abc44d60a83b283142ab6a7d101e73232","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6987d084de71031819f82051ea62b29a354628c3e4a22076a2acc197c776080a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x69d6b4d10ccd09a4f78bde4510cacdc9900db0e9b24d4cffcc1fe9f686f94253","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6a642e9f63da8d3c1fc1ea5f027c9b1433b99731dca58a27e01b36de965d1d67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6ab02effed0b2fb10889ea2495d3dd67024045b11c6736a491f3185cc276511b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6ec3b68de0b4da93d1b670b71772c6ced34ad368113de107021fe70adad18847","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x707ab64115b0ca83b65bc5137aaa947a11f56885ed82ffcedc3c5b70e1210151","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x74a960f6e74324d124183f786467b089beebaaa34b075181c55e823b18bde048","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x796e791e7058571e460278814fc7a3183752285338f1400087b98bef3c447908","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d5d324974fd30f5b011c0c7e041e50d3cb8af7a5483eb5e69fae955bfe3cc8f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x94cf8bf4e55498de75450a5a219182732e6cb9261861e13baa910ad1c2b642b5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa0e9a3826b017bcab72b8cd53d6b83069b706c81d3202aa4870f0ef6b8d01371","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaa1144ea191942775190a6d5021f1954191bfc168d2b243072afcd130f6ec716","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb1e4027b58c6321ede3fd8e3737b2b440ccb51fc569854795f67dd407b3569d0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb215decbedd846168842f6e207f09bd5f50ce51d2191f238887d976ec21b6f66","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbb6988ab627c10bcdfb56471699151aa19aa7d4816e286b5d9e362f99225196c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc6b173db2582f7ccb12b7e541ab510934013b2640006712ae35507ff75d707f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01199025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc91b876622103c6cceaed067f6e3ea4cdcfe3052ba4ef9fba094c9ef8e501f0e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xde7d04363a3ccbb4a2bd27b052cb045997d87e0cf2f2f565fe18021b94860061","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe56b65d978c8bd65b4d24a0d093929ab23711816d039d7a3ceac5b7280b61564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6120576744ed4a770a37a962e5e1f13eca78070b05575c9dc118cc64cf000ba","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf2591ada43eda11c5923f0190307d2cc5f5d994695a654779c3dd328ff820d55","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf772cab339a0049446f8e0183865a1c68ae7df3512d73c48bc3d1c2d5061f77b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00158404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00070756},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003136},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00025921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.364816},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.08111104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02211169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1707","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09740641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1717","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.27436644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1722","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1723","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02090916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1725","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00319225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"infer","id":"1726","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.006889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"manifold","id":"0IUCA5s8EN","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7569},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"manifold","id":"OlHuvYpfpmCSXcIwM7OL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0480400309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"manifold","id":"OpRRgcB6cymEfMe3a1sG","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2044215295},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"manifold","id":"QHFQmCmz8HplpN2QQnl2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0166522724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"manifold","id":"dI5U6ps6IP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1592281711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"manifold","id":"dgPNU5ICzP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0010392015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001078404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"manifold","id":"l6O2tdELtZ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001656804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"manifold","id":"tIylsIZu95","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0155941211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"manifold","id":"zAyUSgCu2s","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0063089451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"metaculus","id":"38917","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41090","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41861","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x03ea417a6e1705498427bbe8fd89b922664db3020f196595d5c2a88826c7434c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x098e2be3df8ab529940c567819f8ef007cf007820e9d627642a5bbfaa42af372","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x15ba9c42b7b541d4acfcf44ac0c9d1e7740f4e3d320868b2eb2543596a2d2154","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.207025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1a441ec0b47718954c379432ecd9fc384f9ed77d4aa83da3bb5734201c741979","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00148225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1e2c5a317dfa33635671394f2def49273f6e84ab083fadcf2a77493f78c8d02c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x22940303dcf84c7f3a9b51389f6ebdc81c9bdb2e8c5dc1d86eeefd38f3040118","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x384a78b847edbafb7f4542dcde7000f0042d08a43ad12f11879050fbbf06b0ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3ff31d74cdc64db8bac526592434f63f7d924a40d10c1476033f4e7c97c65dad","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x406a62740107092e26426b8bb42fceb0a698b79c7ec3bf6955ece180b0fda107","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5d4cf7d6906e944867c78a56c426799808eeb070826e06b2cc3079f21d387006","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5e9392d31f3156e5855557ea36a72932a0cfc4a6855d69c34c4a174278434fc8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60ecb823bb667a51ccf9ffcb1cab2c48899cd16410687874887dab9df9f4e1bf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x611ac8b703b5291cb8798560e6db1edf9c5eb3038b138d1885d4f708380d4b52","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6680cae9b37261f6c1ec3313f9ad175708bb9722e94285b5b0a5b50a9972d312","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6995678ed5f481941cc4de37512cfe77b1b20e6fd9ba35e284360061d2687d8f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x797d586ad45522306490b0cc9b2f21bdf957f3843476fae99f3bcc2cec83b74b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x89102f28df8a119d84259cfdd0f2f7f9a758cfdf749554e153c6bf154afbe717","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x909bcd8ae00d0cd47b561a40d655ae4b71f24df00e7d82b18874698046f61f0e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa360ac9fbd12976ccad4ae8799598aaabeb1c28de6493e3c52a67cb592dbb7d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xabe05aa3efb620cf283a9a7f967eaced0aee898b14f3b170347a3392d7401f03","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xacb0a0c474f7723d3d5431a023517990cbf47e7b655c6624f0e4f51d36981137","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb08e5d3c35323aaef8b46c7bb3466df0b51ee87e1c38faa2ccc5c1a00e88c9a5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb195d62d129815a3c222566f8bf8c927870311e49888c7a938e2ba0143092224","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbb6db11fa76323814a73cd76cdaa459f502078166bf5810e6de1b013af7334f8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbc2d59e8ea0378f0851c86e84d250e80a5698874db52c13798053841f291dc28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbffad14552b38c75d0047811d758c848202b520e153d5f124b694c6cadfaf7da","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd185f10a7d0f07e733e02a6811fc2930fb7478166107669fe58bd7ba37aa9895","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.600625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe56b65d978c8bd65b4d24a0d093929ab23711816d039d7a3ceac5b7280b61564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeaab9021b99acc38699821455c9332838c88f1609071f7f2e39da2f56e52d9e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xed6e40eeab474a579cb894e3eeafb215b29dbba27c30c33e39e80f40649d3cff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee97e9edec0727d16dcfe4040dca1c949d45e4010de05569fb5a4e7a9873a83d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf0d4ee47d3abe6161f1e8f93bfe46d06d1ffd63f48e71c49aa81b2250e152e8b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-02-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf8ce0003ad658f06891e30bea1da4ad188884cdd933367099c8d121ea671bbd6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00098596},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00069696},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00080089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.232324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00185761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04605316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02134521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1707","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.06280036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1717","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.30217009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1722","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1723","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.026244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1725","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00098596},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1726","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01234321},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"2gZEQtlQyO","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0458277163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"4kreogtql1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0651977779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"5qIUdqQIOl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0022157255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"6uQmk7jqqcG4gUvPkkTr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0055678322},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"8y9hsccOnU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0081241755},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"9zlInyCcq9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0165313146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"ADS8fVRT4vhTq4lm7V12","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0433131472},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"AQOlO0nOsc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001171401},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"Ehu8pd5PLP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0011670047},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"L2qLAZEntz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004226849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"LpP5sE6dnE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0013184611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"NhqOACq9Pu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0002227218},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"PCt0P5qsCZ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0007257279},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"PlEyIhRSPc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0007409078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"QHFQmCmz8HplpN2QQnl2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0154865697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"TeB8Z7GvhUdx2tB48bbO","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0023833602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"Ul8h2UzIPt","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5732088188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"Y1YDkx1SzzL93AFDpG6v","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001341246},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"ZJ9LlySKX4dldqcpdQ4G","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1220976103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"dLq1oGr6ndcwTPIUAV9t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0019395118},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001104635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"i0gxu4hz50xefKXiKCI8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3062729092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"i7MP3oGFn6nUnrHe9aG5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0072414067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"l6O2tdELtZ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001656804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"lLZAqRlld9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0002569676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"lsO2IQ5LlE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0005432359},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"m7scZNu2LwMHTfnhW0IV","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0204345479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"q8dtCdNgsn","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"t0LUU2E2ZE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4539409827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"tcnaai25qi","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001126033},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"ylgphSdccA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0348233466},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"zUONycg925","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0236371668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"24819","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"36871","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.81},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"37523","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"38940","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"39142","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"39992","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40599","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40695","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40849","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40852","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40862","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40864","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40865","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40875","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40967","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41091","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41140","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41205","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41206","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41316","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41343","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41480","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41485","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41489","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41508","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.64},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41512","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41514","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41595","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41805","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41861","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41869","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0729},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x02f0c60b4f9551c97fe67bc6f02df357de52ca969f0e9159e06a5aca69cd2bf6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x04b1198c2a888f4d162cc5eea844b2f67a80e684d37d8e75bbcde2fc2d06755b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0a2f5de6fcdacae0f56cb60cd05765e0e9998b605f6cc9c8885ee2a87ad85175","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0a999ae98b3c9e593cbbd33e2f940df1b071ac0ab9ede42ed12eeb8f7eef461e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0d14f5dc9fb3250ec888b1ac8d9fe9a0ce06f9d3ea60fdf138e8690622fea84c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x101c26a9ff336abf4dffeb109dc40b92d9f55882dd471e57ee875794a6561bf3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x11a8cc3ed975d554331e153d3dd2b8fab52b3ecab40f9f1064683b32de4fad47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.403225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.133225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x14dbdb6274de6bcc65ce2b628c6636ff210fd452d095b0f14fdb1d376b31cecf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1eedfdbff1c7a12b40b84ed8043b8acc8fd3400993f0d1445c5b1b172f244232","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2096cd3bedb878cbfb5d30308968616a1dfd80e17b278ca6bdc72f9dde4776a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.378225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x212cc6584803e23a777960c163f882466db4cb88cec4983b3b95a8b3e75815d2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":null},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x246559691ae64806ee51dcc5ca1d1216bf6e25d80127a3425b72ba559190e96f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.84732025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3659029a2ffcd2df378dad1d1a3f2c3a1d3662174aaca0c063beb46596084443","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x38837354d63a13a8b8707988d10343c0b7c0bb4ed6b2208a1167cd134250fe2e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3b74dc0c578dd2d5ac066b98d4a8849995240003c921b44558fe9f06400f1c55","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x41f7b9b2054fbedf0e559eb4f3567682b5ce3ec4b17a61f4b6efa7071ffedb0b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":null},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x48d65cfb64a9351ff56ca2377041f9bf558ae4755991080694b254a64917345b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4b23c2e3ee806915cc1186641d292acbc6b26d7a7746ee93c910b8b0c87d4bca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x51c5e5e7fb2afce5f9fb3239bbd002542ab7ff567ec7656b052173bdffb3051a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x58234757c9519ddfffdbc8f33bea3b172d5a55a7fedb07c6df4fed1e97ba1ca7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5bacc34a8e6a55ba0ec728af334b7685e8fda1e9304ec95f0249bb15ea3c941d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002601},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x618280c029aeb0044177f58ccc15fa38be1a8db304189b935a26d5205256ee3b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01525225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x662270576ae01d80a6eec9f8579c93987338f646010117e9c98fffe7c38b220c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.53802225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6987d084de71031819f82051ea62b29a354628c3e4a22076a2acc197c776080a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x781a06aa5779f97724b75ed8128aaf72c4a8955c893a6fefdc0efd7cb001c513","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7a3227795ce17d9cc5378a9b373d6defd4b25112206531e0c7768f6092002410","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00164025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d99e856ca49dcf748ff0072af624a65bafcb44a34b914b5a1466211674ae729","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8533de32e4bcfc22d1c8fe8d79be73b319505c2bc19733f62d2d217695df463d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x898e9ff5045fcd05c26ea1e956d926c191d5aecae1bc184283c94e665f0f7be5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.648025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8d2f1d7b05bdc074c2cdba4e4b51be5673953f9b22b3c0fc8e3bf5cbed13c90f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.07590025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8d4e6f7486e32dbd406028a3cecd9883df353c81011124418db811ed9cd9d1d3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.36},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x99a0fdc1bb6308873bf87eb75a47e21c8340fe20fb6b033444c1d21392da10a9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.046225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01199025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fbe1832139c5e67dbf93813aabb9ac67ab8dd3d7d32fe86957ff761a8fa1532","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.198025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa1f08ec3bcc1434cb0b695bd5ee9f81268ef45fb73f752b3a1c1fb1d35750866","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaeea5f917fc5746387b5f9c0a4263dba035dbb3f0ac6ad72bf92183d21e26739","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.416025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb6f3732fc2464da2ed17f4270dc87ac59a2b4b1ed711d491f9584ca9a783c95c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04473225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb80648ac5065ea63ccd08aea88b6c2faf5f324fa0cb9c26abb8a29c5a53e0d41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.156025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb9223ddfda277ecf96cea52aba3d6a47e3bb001bf0173fb3e2145566c28e0c24","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbd20296a99221f2e4426779353376c6f9f877dff7a8bbdc2bd91d52f3030f113","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc5e382cc0cda0a640c8687ed85e8182e006dfcc7ba3a6fa6c68d53e5782f5320","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc829edf5ca6961e441c266546064b629c29a9313694689c0768db92810db62ff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcbeecb8b1c7937145991ebb0d4c402b908c37f0f09222d8962c1f6fdfe5a9870","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00119025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce33ad5f0fbcc1a4861cc92b81814cd174020d16df3dc80d5c287d5f047e68fc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.10017225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd185f10a7d0f07e733e02a6811fc2930fb7478166107669fe58bd7ba37aa9895","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd405c18b0df642e7f06aadf359183cb8208c1ff6b3a3bca3f8206dca2eb9532e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd87ac5bb74a21061d4f223d2a83c0269607fcb6d4c74d5a3d3220209d089431a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00555025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf4e3ed7607fd945a06ab045076f808e9fe6488fed1d56b924b7eb6836fdf9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.24950025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf562feabe9922f78e99b488df4fcef6be8cbc831605388751538d178585007aa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00069169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000961},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00039601},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.08099716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00154449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.022201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.019321},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1707","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.05299204},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1717","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.30669444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1722","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1723","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1725","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00098596},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"0q0RRPtScc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0015448254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"65zU6OlPId","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6187713088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"6uQmk7jqqcG4gUvPkkTr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0057394718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"8y9hsccOnU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0119358889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"9zlInyCcq9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0160962571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"AQOlO0nOsc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001164638},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"C96pyn9Z5Z","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001967482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"IIgUPUpq6E","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0005507579},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"ILztIIlPyl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0042490409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"L2qLAZEntz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000472196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"LpP5sE6dnE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0012693462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"NstCUAzyt2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0167979311},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"O5N6AAz8QI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3600228355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"OAL8q0Azzl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"P255hsOyEL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0429238593},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"Q9gNdcP2lc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0881825838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"QsQUZ22Z28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0133114996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"SnOyRhNQZu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3235666498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"SsikK1jWrDZwQxDLCAnU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0146173259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"UynZghygcA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0684279658},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"Y1YDkx1SzzL93AFDpG6v","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001341246},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"ZJ9LlySKX4dldqcpdQ4G","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0873955318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"ccugdghNgy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0121924611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"cp9s0lqSCy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3167248856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"cqcSp5ZC9h","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0121036058},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"dLq1oGr6ndcwTPIUAV9t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0006845407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"dgPNU5ICzP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004519908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000109945},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"lLZAqRlld9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0002518292},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"lOIsUpOuLg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544138772},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"lgxNmHNmrYvowjnSyQAM","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0150129495},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"lnIC5ggZh6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0738389361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"lsO2IQ5LlE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0005224491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"m7scZNu2LwMHTfnhW0IV","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0018184973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"nR9hLyUqzn","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0660052218},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"q8dtCdNgsn","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0991898092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"sIS2UNptC0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3151894179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"t0LUU2E2ZE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3829609243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"t8dLUsqqNE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4874612539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"tcnaai25qi","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001126033},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"tgT5NHOu7VA8sSAuAtJb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000536367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"yhCRLptzUL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0054556819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"ylgphSdccA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0195873083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"ypNI2z6IRI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2023008069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"zOSd5nE56c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.663608941},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"24819","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"36871","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.81},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"37307","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"37523","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"38940","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0256},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"39142","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"39992","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40005","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40599","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40695","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40711","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40849","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40852","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40862","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40865","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40967","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41090","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41091","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41206","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41480","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25070049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41485","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41489","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41508","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.36},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41514","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41561","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41595","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41805","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41869","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"42135","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"42274","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.09},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"42284","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x04b6c4174ccaf58a69722fa6f699584ae5d2f84d20ea81055cdff2e464e6aaf3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.03404025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0b8382c3f8bf1a2ba7d9d37846edb54eb266a326b73d2338dc86a5959bf22ee4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0c38dd9305e3205557885183f0730270779e7e426b0ec3e7743f23963b6d6e4a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0d14f5dc9fb3250ec888b1ac8d9fe9a0ce06f9d3ea60fdf138e8690622fea84c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x11a8cc3ed975d554331e153d3dd2b8fab52b3ecab40f9f1064683b32de4fad47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.133225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x14dbdb6274de6bcc65ce2b628c6636ff210fd452d095b0f14fdb1d376b31cecf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1e17e60a28b3f9ddb668c5fac7b225095a5734a3825cf013659166045e94322f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2049638936027998accd2d320af8a7838ed1f673a00d0a22a288d5f678015e03","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2096cd3bedb878cbfb5d30308968616a1dfd80e17b278ca6bdc72f9dde4776a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.497025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x246559691ae64806ee51dcc5ca1d1216bf6e25d80127a3425b72ba559190e96f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.367236},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x257b18205f908aef01ef2d1d50e6fea7d29cf5486fe04031d8b101394476faed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x281565cae359040475640be8bc20f4efe15245fe0251805fd338fb1a3e45ffae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2821de9fbe90c422cb220dad69fe44dfdea8fdf8fb779e562b44be6db8c1daff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.006561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2df3bce3a7e1b85fd6e26dcc87cb54a61052388e0bf676cbfcd94258d4b93343","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x337e5c84b83679d5557acafcf78b5c5d4d932b9fcd7dfba7966249d64f0f0a0f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.112225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3423f60496f083e12e770f9ae961b31637823cdfd2361cb578b2596651ba53b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.133225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x34fcbccbeaf57becfe5b45c9e1713876e288eb2c8d0f32d57d0c078cea92b6e0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00245025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4290a4aa43a0707f0f1193c73667074f2ef5ce8ab5d6fcdd4ca645bfe1528f03","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x42ddf5ef540070c0c7a44011d7b66d252edb2162d68a72d9dd429d5b93c6736b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.616225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x484727c382ab50cd8ded2f655a0259bdbac4117b04dd82bd90627190c5eb90cb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00342225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x48d65cfb64a9351ff56ca2377041f9bf558ae4755991080694b254a64917345b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x48fbf70c1713e71a405052bc4641e26dbba435fa557672c4040763c901cbf606","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.765625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4d0d43382de6021ce0e906774caf6fc73fbe24078c9a75c6d7ae07b04299f8d0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00060025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4e65282819c98c6aed529f357fbf5983b1ae9407a3c25bd50fe97b2906df68f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4e99f6a90d91428c77816ca5884607b744420904cff1df30d5633c6f5eae5108","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.632025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5bacc34a8e6a55ba0ec728af334b7685e8fda1e9304ec95f0249bb15ea3c941d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5cd80b8fd72f37c78260a4f8fa0d5bbaaad3adffcfc2c0705e05ee20b8672908","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.012769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x626d0441b078eefbe2c49047960e7a3b6b4512c235507a2528ccc0f95f2474a6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6c56930693777443c84bc172003442d9e317476fdcf59c9b26a60034001d9c19","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa908777d31b9b31f311560d879231b8853f7f728278acb3ccc82bf3a52b5d9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.275625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7858c69bcee88426d6ee415e3b70e2f3f31c2ada1b3c68de7e37ce7b39014d3e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00075625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7906cde04153c8c31e52ad747596c56b0ea7ce224a07bc604ea65206fb53a2c5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.105625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79afea6a94f0b3dffb5e0886fa1dbd740d688029f7aba351dc46911bcb1b1f95","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7f81f50d29b43799df512b52574cfe3ffbadfb62ddc71bacf89f4e0dc4c5ffed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.225625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x84c7382fc6881416a2b07b0ebe9da32daba8be44a48623a0c3fe4b22f816431a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8d2f1d7b05bdc074c2cdba4e4b51be5673953f9b22b3c0fc8e3bf5cbed13c90f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.014161},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x98737df66d3a7aceb83e22aca51672a56fda0f8d5677578d193fd6d4ce6bcaa2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x98aa2f28e0610fa97d787c6e9875e37160cec1f4219dbdf86a3111616e8b700d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.018769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9f297733ff47d610334d4195c109296df51ec3fac02af7abed55adacd4bddacc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa70a86d250db7b0eb5f19b7856d13acf2dbfc554b8792fe9e004b521e8f601f7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa998022efc89d60331ac15e78103dafd765e65eaea433405638c4e293d2b0fa6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb23587fc1e319cdf9aaa12c503f6b2149c820c3d64ded3c98b4ff6719cac78fe","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.469225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb2e1fde8d5b6d178509efb34b3850c69a7bc742c361ba6016054e50302f833c7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb80648ac5065ea63ccd08aea88b6c2faf5f324fa0cb9c26abb8a29c5a53e0d41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc5e382cc0cda0a640c8687ed85e8182e006dfcc7ba3a6fa6c68d53e5782f5320","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc829edf5ca6961e441c266546064b629c29a9313694689c0768db92810db62ff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcba24842ceac7a40d2a8b9adde1f4407999b6505193b9fd68156ae76fbffa706","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce33ad5f0fbcc1a4861cc92b81814cd174020d16df3dc80d5c287d5f047e68fc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.19669225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdde06286a7b9464d344f410ab0b3d2ebc6469904e72c27fd982f65fdbf78768d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe84","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe94749bbf616139120735f9720de5b1a94b61cb7da0feb633f97f113d61a167b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xead308d7628ff4bf7c89df1d52163de37501a627c7b7588cc523c07ef9b0f4bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee07342762446b03520f52f84b7a9b354d6fdad1d65cc4f2f942c484a9983a06","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf5815cfd8808989d87c165bdd666c9f9df5db28698d53d3f5d1f2b0147d191bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf74795c449ba15be6b0541c73beaa51d01d840606c84331ad97375b55004ccba","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb80c14c1497596d2b10533873c6ffca9dadf062807ffb104a9c86e04fae7d89","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00149769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00060516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00030276},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.03196944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00123904},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01110916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01602756},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1707","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.03232804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1717","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.17048641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1723","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1725","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00059049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"1Ip8b57AMVIsxvD0VnjL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0014990263},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"6uQmk7jqqcG4gUvPkkTr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0057394718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"9RNqh5yzqR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0000929179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"A8PRqgUEgS","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2543582893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"ENeRvHYBhq48Fol2AtB8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0938255851},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"EP58QE55q6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0329774229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"LpP5sE6dnE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004843527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"O5N6AAz8QI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3434092052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"OlQq8h8qOh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568012776},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"Oungh6yUUg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001620141},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"P255hsOyEL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001258109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"Q86zpNZRsU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0002124162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"Q9gNdcP2lc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0731003686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"QsQUZ22Z28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0111256283},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"Ul8h2UzIPt","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5716345732},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"ZJ9LlySKX4dldqcpdQ4G","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0998997314},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"ccugdghNgy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0121924611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"dUzApqSQdN","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0260280002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"dgPNU5ICzP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004519908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"i0gxu4hz50xefKXiKCI8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3983718013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"lOIsUpOuLg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0494009878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"lqRAnA8qPO","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0000771135},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"lyIZhZLguu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0006612226},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"sIS2UNptC0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2769113019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"t8dLUsqqNE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5649705934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"ypNI2z6IRI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2294810112},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"zOSd5nE56c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4310937514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"24819","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"36871","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.81},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"37307","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"37523","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"39142","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"39992","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"40005","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"40599","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"40695","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"40849","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"40852","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"40865","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"40967","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"41090","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"41206","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.36},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"41480","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"41485","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"41514","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"41805","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"41869","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42088","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42135","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42139","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42284","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42430","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42472","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42480","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42485","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.444889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42489","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42490","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42491","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42540","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42548","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x04b6c4174ccaf58a69722fa6f699584ae5d2f84d20ea81055cdff2e464e6aaf3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00416025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x09ab024402ce8e8a2c36e1456640a2920a74b758fcdb4a7eb8c4c4a12e8c1476","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f461cb384aa6289cc3b216ac9916b12a0dd90eccb46b198158507df81944a0e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1936},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.119025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x149e2cdbf5b3df3142452412c4c9f4e8f39379020ba1bc25c1811a3f43c8ad27","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x15ba9c42b7b541d4acfcf44ac0c9d1e7740f4e3d320868b2eb2543596a2d2154","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1d18ea76e6b90075064466ed428970fc6932c7fc3bf32e74855e622a982a694c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.61544025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2096cd3bedb878cbfb5d30308968616a1dfd80e17b278ca6bdc72f9dde4776a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x313787d313815069851d81a35de415dcfd9e223ced2a0ab19fcf9ad367ff0a76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35d4c895922c49d59ea09eedf6bbf2e7dc52c363225e6ce5b6a6489e9ce10965","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000729},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3acb42d4a4da859a82ec3c78e6be641489985672ea7f28ae73da7c253af32fa8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x44878f202dd18a286de9235acec372e9e6e6ca2b28d269c4138fc2604c9b78a9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4ccff8c606ad71080c7611d28f1593a528a8ca6c11c1fb63bfa24a7eb2ad30d7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4cf389adc069a4d713e1ddb6348c96afd6df78e6bf676c7dce1780135186d90e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.235225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x52a5ce595e0f0816e17e5f40dbd5967c88beb4b9f21000bfdd9a1ff26c281fdd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x58234757c9519ddfffdbc8f33bea3b172d5a55a7fedb07c6df4fed1e97ba1ca7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5cd80b8fd72f37c78260a4f8fa0d5bbaaad3adffcfc2c0705e05ee20b8672908","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5ec80dc407457301f282a2b44341947afc700dfaa7923d14c8894e04bc63b03f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.119025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6c56930693777443c84bc172003442d9e317476fdcf59c9b26a60034001d9c19","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6e1fbd722b0aca8a4e05c7c2f4ff1428d4c97f2ee02056712463d00c1c705a55","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.133225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa908777d31b9b31f311560d879231b8853f7f728278acb3ccc82bf3a52b5d9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x773abaa5fe55e5cde51a261f444b7921652a4e059ead6b3be9fe56499c2d4609","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.632025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x78f5630bafa15147941daa2fd2926b43febe6af1544cd9d8527b226914f3ca11","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01525225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x78f97eed822885c3813ab7ba0ba41a5c1bb0ca0f0f622698bfc0460931aff51a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00455625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79bc9eae1f5ce8f3f58648f45e7ff7cf182a8314e2d1a5b536520c5cc4b3e097","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81b06cb917c9a2aabc67a7765bc3c640e88a699bbf451b29915049c0766cde04","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.148225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8cf61b7b84b6ac2e0c619867dd6966e688b43e4fd4c866423da2f757c58f0a9f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8d4e6f7486e32dbd406028a3cecd9883df353c81011124418db811ed9cd9d1d3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00366025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8df5a4256840dee05851250c0490da7593597faff3a7f9a156ccbbda7fec76f8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x90c6511dcc9499c2c58786a2456df333a87c97a9cf548acc26f3e4e56fbc36e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02907025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x939bf902c7ba884c1310f19b6be20576f823952460f6367c9f10c08cd449ee60","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x97de9adea81f908cc2b372c23627d8121ecbe1c21336d4263465fd3d1262d378","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fe87b4bec41ca0b2e5f09b79e59f9aba6a88feab636db30b70fa103c1b54e5a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.30305025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa3186ffc28c45f336920279d5085529d530690a1623997819f3a3db05119dbaa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.128164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa998022efc89d60331ac15e78103dafd765e65eaea433405638c4e293d2b0fa6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaf4c3ba4d1b1568d4309bba0874cb7eec1e5b40a648f4a26b12efa2e9b5ee8a4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbee2cd40473495f713c69b9dfbce9fc2837fa4011568222c83c83bb773e35053","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.308025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbefea6668e49e328db4d5c792bc15cea309bbc06101dfd6ced1e0556ad3ea301","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc4170a15840e61b89216fcdf6368f63486b51f037e5c0546d63ae75b14fa5c2a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc451f03563e65567ee326fcaf2128915afa777cb31805c40ddae0a19cf1013f7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817599b0bf9fb5bd6b62b19210b0f527fec57cb75c7ed150a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.697225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc6ddb19f848ac363330d0a690cfe6818d4c51e837161a41d42675eda27767ed0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.12215025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc942d7049a9487c1fe5481c41e7014855fb7df7e69af2d5a7ea18af2d4c2052c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb139a61f2cc201078f5ed717781b7227b740645d07fec2a07d2d4bcd16ff8a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcba24842ceac7a40d2a8b9adde1f4407999b6505193b9fd68156ae76fbffa706","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcd215b8330a35098a1a3f6c46b6492347edb5e74c1e0a95ac4d3d54aece6c262","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce33ad5f0fbcc1a4861cc92b81814cd174020d16df3dc80d5c287d5f047e68fc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.07425625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd08544f6162283dc8d0a82f16362aab837a8537379df9bbe604960eec9cd4618","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd2016eb15c8b61cb95fe512a0c91f43fc46793e9ac0a30595d08dcffe637fdd2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.079524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd72622d154dfe65b9c019d6afcfe75a55717e5c502db611f555b101aafbf6ec5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd73f60114a0e7169a55082daef1228cb27fa50c939eea22cb0589f6bac6ce5d3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.366025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe0e60764a3827a8c93ed961c73cfb02b0b6bf6820b8c8cb94fa99af46de9094c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe3033b163d0e0e30cb3154049f28295dada348030e5c6cdfe58ed0d4e393c7e9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.390625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xead308d7628ff4bf7c89df1d52163de37501a627c7b7588cc523c07ef9b0f4bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf6890c707d1e327b006b9511bdba8c98ec4e4978646c6ffcf3ec8750c26a666a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.305809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00071824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00027889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01610361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00009801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.006724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"infer","id":"1704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01420864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"infer","id":"1707","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02572816},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"infer","id":"1717","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.20484676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"infer","id":"1725","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00071289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"0PE59gu09y","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"0q0RRPtScc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0017687874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"5GYiswIEZ4dM2NGnxbOR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770774235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"6uQmk7jqqcG4gUvPkkTr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0056956479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"ECdCgusP8y","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0007360515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"ENeRvHYBhq48Fol2AtB8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0337221585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"EP58QE55q6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0010097597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"IIgUPUpq6E","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0005344158},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"NIhOcZOQZE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099181971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"NLPzcQ2Cy9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0680575911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"O5N6AAz8QI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5759100607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"O6R80dnggu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001050356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"OlQq8h8qOh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0137449142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"Oungh6yUUg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001620141},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"QsQUZ22Z28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005874134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"SZtPUQqhp5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0011255805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"SnOyRhNQZu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2047460126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"UdsLNSc2OE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0199391821},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"UynZghygcA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0718061838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"ccugdghNgy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"cnlR6p5sZl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0552003978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"dUzApqSQdN","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0275859202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"dgPNU5ICzP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0008279553},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"g2lE0I6Etq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1121189848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"i0gxu4hz50xefKXiKCI8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3254266831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"l6O2tdELtZ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001656804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"lUSdpt96lp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1329931347},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"lgxNmHNmrYvowjnSyQAM","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0150129495},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"lyIZhZLguu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0003680419},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"n0SOsuUccS","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169442144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"n8ZROwk6GKcLyurigsf1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0607517027},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"rHlcD6lAiCa10CCruEHE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0002673315},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"ycUv8xISKE23IysW1W3C","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003772507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"yhCRLptzUL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049090351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"zOSd5nE56c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3538233472},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"zuNuyO65hP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001178258},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"24819","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"36871","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.49},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"37307","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"37523","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"38940","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"39142","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"39992","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"40417","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"40695","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"40967","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"41090","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"41140","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"41206","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"41485","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"41514","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"41561","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"41805","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"41869","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42088","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.110889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42135","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42430","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42485","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42489","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42490","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42491","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42542","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42616","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.49},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42630","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2601},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42729","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x00cf5f4a419743e3bbaea3d01537c895ecfd8edba5e539967fe662573de44f23","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.07535025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12e3cc1640a58ee52e0ce2237c95ffefb7f543d65c0061043f23c803b215f099","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1dce1f13c565d8c34807aedfd6f75b41e0908f34fabfd2b56c362f190202d4b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0729},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2096cd3bedb878cbfb5d30308968616a1dfd80e17b278ca6bdc72f9dde4776a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.14784025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3acb42d4a4da859a82ec3c78e6be641489985672ea7f28ae73da7c253af32fa8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3b6e28dcff1d4cfed3e169baefd383fb2ac39698d695baaf9eeb73f0e83cd6f0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00366025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x45ca0f412d4c8700ed1cb835a35ddbdda1ab02027dcd7366ed8e3ac83b603910","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x48874462b88af831a4d90479286c6c1d4cd683a6b119d926f85ac66549385b21","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4cf389adc069a4d713e1ddb6348c96afd6df78e6bf676c7dce1780135186d90e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.319225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x52847ca1413b76a5570b97c0c432e38dbe61b0140f9d45e912604591b08f6fca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00275625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54b36f27449bac18ab792efb1fce8e923d6dc190a311cb28aef0926583ae5760","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5c60f587c76b49b7b3236cdb7f2a8d796aa9566659da670407bc2181aa8499cb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x634ac8f30b4aac7e4be6c968097e4c4708f047e6641d005d3a0948c45f0912d3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x68beecc857017df8663fa36c0c86310dec7305aa88fe830c94651391314afc1c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x781a06aa5779f97724b75ed8128aaf72c4a8955c893a6fefdc0efd7cb001c513","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.140625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7906cde04153c8c31e52ad747596c56b0ea7ce224a07bc604ea65206fb53a2c5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79afea6a94f0b3dffb5e0886fa1dbd740d688029f7aba351dc46911bcb1b1f95","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x807a5bd3d52942c2d8b58bf71a583d4aa03a637f3fd9ff7a7c4a1ad818003067","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fe87b4bec41ca0b2e5f09b79e59f9aba6a88feab636db30b70fa103c1b54e5a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.12285025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa5a13e1bc51f0a6f2763f6c2de0ffc20f2d76df2726ecbe1592a269b4d92d18d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa66db20af4919780b9ee9ede1ad0c79050bbdcff217d9fb6f3d0c65ab7c5a210","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6ddb7146f48a12dbf73456d654211b01d7493829932c31b7fe85d82120d338f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.148225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaf4c3ba4d1b1568d4309bba0874cb7eec1e5b40a648f4a26b12efa2e9b5ee8a4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb412664463bbfe21be44b1963291205ab332afd4f7f6e0d027aec1ba7a9e6793","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb564e5e20a0d3ab9b07d24ff25b19001d9d6b2d1d3121d4b9a2a0691713643cb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb9b15d243a2adc2c7c63cfe9f92de8a079a38a8035a1638b3151d19d53b3ed2a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0256},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbef7518445fa4a7c6460d9157e2d4a8097320914988d13a809c486eff50e5c06","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1109800f5de195bbbbaf81b783de4792b6a8a2fbe9b604c715a39c5ae2a2a47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3136},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc11a6a29ad4dbe16920928339cd9ad3bf3f9a2ab63e52ff5bfb8d177cdfb4d35","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.378225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1c3ea2f7de17860533ca15f8f97458a88030dfa1a46c8be5396b5cb60aaa2ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc2150d5d58c957816dcf137776a3ab002b038c582acfc36510f59547ddbb5f58","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc6ddb19f848ac363330d0a690cfe6818d4c51e837161a41d42675eda27767ed0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.14707225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc8e9ba9e25f5adcf7e159e62c24ca3bda9a5245a049acb94fdd534e67ed1969e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcba24842ceac7a40d2a8b9adde1f4407999b6505193b9fd68156ae76fbffa706","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcfeec50a34d9429bfdc60d180f391b828924b88bd40c5b2361a43b7375b7a533","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xda7e08ef489f722996e957ade4139a4003c707e4b103472ac111672dfe34444e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xddbfffed3078bc556ff8fabc7ff92515c092b5f38db97e557b5f8ee8af8b2597","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe2ab9e3d506238a9a1a1f7f3448f5483645ab7ba16e1499929428b96ca27fd64","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe3033b163d0e0e30cb3154049f28295dada348030e5c6cdfe58ed0d4e393c7e9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.455625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe3e8574f967e628750dff67c641944a84da281ced40ffe7c76e42649e89a6887","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.632025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xefb4d37ec67929c1bbffb16454c5bb8bf574ed367f52c54495a28f0717a1e005","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeffa3fd586db59043682b5bb90e4162f90bbfeb488edc118702d985183de0700","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf2a4a7765e2f05824fce5cd598c6c4a636a5aadc12607c05527b340f161fd2f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xffdbbf2c3b9aa808abbcb35beb2b20a93572570aa5dd1bd1b630cade2f809f26","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00052441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00012996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00047524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00017956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"infer","id":"1704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00998001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"infer","id":"1707","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.03849444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"infer","id":"1717","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.47210641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"infer","id":"1725","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00048841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"0q0RRPtScc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0018296039},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"1Ip8b57AMVIsxvD0VnjL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001484437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"2ItEg96spt","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1054056627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"5lCp68nI9Q","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1858359773},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"6uQmk7jqqcG4gUvPkkTr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0065094247},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"CqptuuhR5c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001282377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"EP58QE55q6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0016},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"IIgUPUpq6E","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"O6R80dnggu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001521746},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"OAL8q0Azzl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1278043932},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"OU2hqNZPu0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.172812988},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"OhuZtq6n6R","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0019624157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"Oungh6yUUg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001620141},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"QUlUpzqyNh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0000843275},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"RcRy5POOpq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0035340657},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"SnOyRhNQZu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2004955981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"TeB8Z7GvhUdx2tB48bbO","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0023833602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"U5lqZZCzc9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0074877718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"XOJ8Tfrg8s2iqPFwauO8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.017558359},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"g2lE0I6Etq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0329097546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"ghI9lZO0CP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"hEZcA8l59I","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0003316701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"i0gxu4hz50xefKXiKCI8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330687493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"i7MP3oGFn6nUnrHe9aG5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0038257587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"l6O2tdELtZ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001798663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"lyIZhZLguu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0003680419},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"n0SOsuUccS","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"nR9hLyUqzn","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0475240514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"y2ZIUOq0ZC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0054568665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"yhCRLptzUL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0054583503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"yq9hpgsgsU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.516063433},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"manifold","id":"zOSd5nE56c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1135519447},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"24819","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"36871","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.49},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"37523","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"38940","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"39142","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"40417","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"40695","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"40730","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"41090","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"41140","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.04},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"41206","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"41480","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.25},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"41514","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"41805","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"41869","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"42485","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.9025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"42490","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"42630","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.227529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"metaculus","id":"43091","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x069fef06f8b32dee6a22fab6189249dc83582f22cb737a85225b114770d7da05","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x11a8cc3ed975d554331e153d3dd2b8fab52b3ecab40f9f1064683b32de4fad47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.429025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12609f33bc603cb234db2af1d502d143587b697bdc479ddb9344401dbf987914","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005929},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1462c484c487defffb893db05f136710d51e3879b838fd77d4ad85fa7137d6df","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1b1a75d6305f5edee255b3f368cca945bde401fea4b2a7e34f2fcca3b3e56cf0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.765625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1c60f9adb1d786b6fe78d63fd9f82dbb293fa06241532fb5ba43f8d8411cde1e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.748225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2baed9d4160afbaf16209d5e2d309393904cd4815b1db17c27630bb34637cd13","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01525225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2bf6f2697e123f9bfb2c8788ed35741c67159ed19374886e6e7cb3f35e60f855","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35d8c42a467d4e485ffba50c5d2d984ed0793f4935319ca923b494798051c8ef","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.664225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x394399d0391adb7f8acd4829f335eb95b350b416bfca915e17b958c7204028e4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x48874462b88af831a4d90479286c6c1d4cd683a6b119d926f85ac66549385b21","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.112225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x57c1e8de9d359a76055fe1be95e46a1e72d0537811dcc2ccf070cdfa73d8ba33","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.429025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6bdcc928ea45c82db3fec2bcac7d7a3fee998686788086195925d0edc291bfd3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.98109025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6cb3ec9e0fb1c258898f648f8b33422f59ba3e8a71aee551449d7cb147bb8ead","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6d6fd5d251ce4cf80ec381a0fb7fcccefff4859ba7be92eddb1f7e6b1ef48595","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.14707225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6e11cccf8834acee6d4c03a019141ba6f91aa001cb8f96dd69e7f67e2be6739f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x727ef88fa8c351bc39256088cd6169b4c38a1fa41c7f7382d60880de09f2f829","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x742fec2bf8157b780b2cf6b188076b9bd830122e665c216bc0f1e2d77e21cd23","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7603555ca158dfb3ec4ef84a0d9d247b5229def167093a9e844e1ae383c5d83a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.429025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x781a06aa5779f97724b75ed8128aaf72c4a8955c893a6fefdc0efd7cb001c513","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.172225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x78547b8ae17c8a584116cc36c30ebbdab2591de259d35868958d806f4c3c211d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00469225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7906cde04153c8c31e52ad747596c56b0ea7ce224a07bc604ea65206fb53a2c5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.018225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7db131f56117dd3883cb0f6ce289af6176a0f322f943cb4f226122a46619544b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8c51f57113fa7c705af2a3b2450a42cf0d0192a49b16db4235fb7d08738a9b07","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e22889f3cf294f483a518d61ea2aad40ee79f8be39e7a2da1858daa7b4c8e68","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.040804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x91b6939a95e9626fe3598483d37f2ad80fccac3d8a7a2ac8c9a4d9a4007661df","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.245025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x930c1ae0fdb23f71821c92e5dea1e6bd2b30b4d28ff5112a659c9f8b3871a1a5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x939bf902c7ba884c1310f19b6be20576f823952460f6367c9f10c08cd449ee60","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x947dd80143339be3a01453de9c1e40bae72688c56622796521805823eb35cb03","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x977b7d56cdeaead422cc48017dade80ec07a60036b19f1c5ab57ad48f52768e5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa0965c6e18be3e0893f9a3f69cd77e8d998e817dfab4ad7c5388b5f718d1efeb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.390625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb6d6873e4e1e640f48b9c386f612857a2635e734c03cceecd0bb2c061ed15e6d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.714025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbd0c2d5f58650e031aba69b54529cf1e85f1f73622530b53b0d261063627c64d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.839056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbf9bb424df116aa45f95ac5df4a714ff59bba098ebdd457e3ffdf7fbcf075e31","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc0894d06e891709f3cd673f9ea8137ab51af268322265766f8bd6d647aa41cae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1109800f5de195bbbbaf81b783de4792b6a8a2fbe9b604c715a39c5ae2a2a47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc11a6a29ad4dbe16920928339cd9ad3bf3f9a2ab63e52ff5bfb8d177cdfb4d35","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc381b79b37b4d34ee7b7a54c0ab5f5d3c5a2a8cc67252d3010649aff1d377bd4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcba24842ceac7a40d2a8b9adde1f4407999b6505193b9fd68156ae76fbffa706","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.245025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd73237bb27cdc455578e9a0788c358bd79609d394f43a270bde10cde4788105f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.455625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd84858f62672e3bde4cb7e5e59b3952673c75d0805d974c4c519700330b33dcf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdade564249db4b9daad8e06c21e06e2760c7c640b2be1c7016baa48bbfef83d9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe3033b163d0e0e30cb3154049f28295dada348030e5c6cdfe58ed0d4e393c7e9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.483025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe31a6c763685129123cb6a0f729bfce04b768c5a22cb09c5610406df1a302465","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xefb4d37ec67929c1bbffb16454c5bb8bf574ed367f52c54495a28f0717a1e005","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00024649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00019881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"infer","id":"1704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00683929},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"infer","id":"1707","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02471184},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"infer","id":"1717","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.56355049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"1Ip8b57AMVIsxvD0VnjL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0008972179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"2ItEg96spt","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0184012148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"A8PRqgUEgS","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0961},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"ECdCgusP8y","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0010943654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"EP58QE55q6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"ItRzuIdss9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0030216633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"O6R80dnggu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"OU2hqNZPu0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0100067369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"OhuZtq6n6R","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001923784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"Oungh6yUUg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001613619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"R885yIqcqn","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7272281311},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"RcNs5ch6qU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1524111696},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"SnOyRhNQZu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1815627781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"TeB8Z7GvhUdx2tB48bbO","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0000317441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"UynZghygcA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1075990208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"YEdvVluF5xAGBq6lrvfD","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0584879066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"ds2yC0gOSR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0110580749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"g2lE0I6Etq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0035091767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"ghI9lZO0CP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0421130117},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"hEZcA8l59I","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0003951674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"i7MP3oGFn6nUnrHe9aG5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0030339199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"j65AKQZQCjgqa3erm88N","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0304226393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"l6O2tdELtZ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"n0SOsuUccS","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0124766569},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"nPUoIYsNtZKsF3qIzDlk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0113042249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"uQdQc8sICZ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5019341628},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"yhCRLptzUL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0024591576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"manifold","id":"zOSd5nE56c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01504473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"24819","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"36871","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.49},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"37523","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"38940","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"39142","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"40695","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"41090","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"41206","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"41805","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"42088","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"42630","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"43091","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"43167","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"43171","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.64},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"43257","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"43259","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"metaculus","id":"43283","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x04f1a10e79a106d18dc45e6087f0757456197ec5c6ffec2506cd066e8215fc62","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f3ae5d23882fb840762fd35de11fc31b0fbdc9e41e8666cdfae9d627f93f517","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x114ba3133f9949f6a34f75caf515b6eb43eecf19a71958fdb0950f4bd94cf10e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.265225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x119db6dda44f109bcdc2ec5e1d9cb8c21fa1a7e66489f59b1190fdfb25c0d515","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x11a8cc3ed975d554331e153d3dd2b8fab52b3ecab40f9f1064683b32de4fad47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.616225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x14dbdb6274de6bcc65ce2b628c6636ff210fd452d095b0f14fdb1d376b31cecf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.106276},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1522a8bc6e0edaec715b93b1bb35558ff56906ede6bcbe55282267a8a167fa64","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.003364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x182390641d3b1b47cc64274b9da290efd04221c586651ba190880713da6347d9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1a79328ec8dacec06ca77e364bb9da538e529744a601a94fbb7cf78825dbe9e6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1b1a75d6305f5edee255b3f368cca945bde401fea4b2a7e34f2fcca3b3e56cf0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.874225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1c60f9adb1d786b6fe78d63fd9f82dbb293fa06241532fb5ba43f8d8411cde1e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x201305cdb4e6a8c4b4c48f1e24835fce62fbfc75efd608255e36c7d504fde6c8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x221e0b7d9646f5a4262509e8c4c856299c422e21571018dcb3d5bd288d70afd0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00119025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x23e817f30871533d3bd7da01e68b802c5fccb8f44f053ef4ea5789c8a28563fe","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.497025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.128881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x33ec07ceef529f87a3a070e06d5f9b6df9d3e4e6713faec26d9510786f7cd6be","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3b408ff1bc692be77ce9c3b1044ca4f6a0af3c1d2f245cb096c299005c4a0d48","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.40896025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3f21513463b9883fbd5b2f0496397ff7c9f15d0b94751cdfbd0ca8f8c82a594e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3ff129c6f6737846a0b7912778da9c68f3766fbe4c8056224bd12de7e3ecfc10","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.455625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4ae4a0aecfc6479374c5a9a355f0f0cba2c0680dff010b48a2c8b380423efd05","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4cf389adc069a4d713e1ddb6348c96afd6df78e6bf676c7dce1780135186d90e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x582deddec9e371ede95b6884df883ccc477204aceff7ef1a1175f3091860aff3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.180625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x619165fe3568255c0a048d9350b5011c19f17bcec0474e867a1a983e6411ceff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00874225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6a5695fb003f6ceb9075445d9a8d2b16c142c148de52cd8826c8dad60ff7483f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0256},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa13f31cceaf10ed3190df6e2aca0a93ab0d6fb46fd279003f17d4cdccee164","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7441be9aee85e1c6d85961ca75a9439c0c377f721069e0a93db018cd0220fc14","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x780eda657742337ca48284a55e7f2103d35484f16e05c49271cf1ed4e8cac89c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81ea1a7f83a58f5257dde4697bb38c84911bb636bcc9e5b23a9c11cb4ebb06d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x85f3e001ffe2a24f985b939460d0cc22041d47107ed8c681f75abb6a5bd1d1d7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x883ea143cf3c0b585bd48b6edf31c8925b52b24b15337c56ffaa5c74842299e5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.286225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x88e08e1db2095d39e18ef77068b8dc8074069ccac3feac7fba88482f4f822935","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8cf61b7b84b6ac2e0c619867dd6966e688b43e4fd4c866423da2f757c58f0a9f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e22889f3cf294f483a518d61ea2aad40ee79f8be39e7a2da1858daa7b4c8e68","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02418025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7cb4135c6d9c36da0e343874dd5b455de739c6d1b9f9f5583dd9320aacf5db2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00003025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb6d6873e4e1e640f48b9c386f612857a2635e734c03cceecd0bb2c061ed15e6d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.511225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb6f26187d7459a50e69881a10ec6b08c4c0ec028ad026de8318378959aed6b50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.390625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbaf252e7ac957d6636a6916da51892c9f42e59bfbf808bd4d8e16f194694d2b5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbeaf469ddc59c3aea0d6c7690eb70b69e3077a9d059f79859130636993ca4f98","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbef7518445fa4a7c6460d9157e2d4a8097320914988d13a809c486eff50e5c06","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc0894d06e891709f3cd673f9ea8137ab51af268322265766f8bd6d647aa41cae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc451f03563e65567ee326fcaf2128915afa777cb31805c40ddae0a19cf1013f7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcfeec50a34d9429bfdc60d180f391b828924b88bd40c5b2361a43b7375b7a533","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd655178f705e3b4274e3d96ae3fc11e91d11d15fe269d969fc511a6d5f7be081","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdc00146a77dbe0f17e69b4c5d71e9358b0e9eaae4908ab993e0fff0c566abb11","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00093025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdeb647fdf84101019b915355e56168e6f629e2399763b2c32f86ce63476d8252","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.455625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdf6e9ed2eaf69707c7a1162a240ca025a02b0a5028dc286c9248769e0044bdf7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.366025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe3033b163d0e0e30cb3154049f28295dada348030e5c6cdfe58ed0d4e393c7e9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.511225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf4e3ed7607fd945a06ab045076f808e9fe6488fed1d56b924b7eb6836fdf9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.60606225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-10","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf6f8b2b5c8715bac1ab686147075eddbaf900b6956c20d01b14a7fbfa80bee03","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00028224},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"infer","id":"1704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00611524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"infer","id":"1707","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02518569},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"infer","id":"1717","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.613089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"1Ip8b57AMVIsxvD0VnjL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0008694124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"ECdCgusP8y","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0008267705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"ENeRvHYBhq48Fol2AtB8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522771197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"EgPqNEQq89","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.131542488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"Jc4rRAQpvCXE9tCEfa4n","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0017948247},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"NQlELUPp5L","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0104757306},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"O5N6AAz8QI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.522434343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"OAL8q0Azzl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0770321776},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"OhuZtq6n6R","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0005276486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"Oungh6yUUg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001609289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"PucZntcA92","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0020690998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"R885yIqcqn","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.6754762806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"RPcqcIcASQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3840743515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"RRyLNl9AOp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1094066663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"RcNs5ch6qU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2175136383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"RdhCc6L2dl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002358932},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"SnOyRhNQZu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1839843812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"UynZghygcA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1121425595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"YEdvVluF5xAGBq6lrvfD","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0432240953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"cnlR6p5sZl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1235418945},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"ds2yC0gOSR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0067139654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"i7MP3oGFn6nUnrHe9aG5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0019627977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"lZ0tchC5N0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0318887055},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"lgxNmHNmrYvowjnSyQAM","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025640303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"lqhq6OQQPp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0371867598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"n8ZROwk6GKcLyurigsf1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"nR9hLyUqzn","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0377694973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"pLOp6I9sCg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2833456004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"u8UuypuNzQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0003069148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"yTCCaTUbAtJWWFo1dGzD","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0267853565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"ycUv8xISKE23IysW1W3C","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001285297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"zASdLnIEzR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0120622553},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"zAyUSgCu2s","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0048530997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"manifold","id":"zOSd5nE56c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0051029044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"24819","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"36871","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.49},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"37523","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"38940","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"39142","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"41090","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"41206","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"41805","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"42088","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"42630","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0999065664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"43091","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"43167","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1995111111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"43259","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"43283","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"metaculus","id":"43461","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x00406e85288b97f3d587f259f15c557f61bdaa235124d82fe956c65974949ee8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x00de24efbe083e61da20587be324b35e842b51f330c4f5c55942bf8681cd0857","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0e4dccd37c5ff002a8896ab8a5003331f83be9f2dc1bbafc4856235cb0a5eedc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f3ae5d23882fb840762fd35de11fc31b0fbdc9e41e8666cdfae9d627f93f517","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00198025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1277ec079bd88b9fb7722274d9d1c4dd16e5b424401e1ff4d528ab5eafe3a084","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1b1a75d6305f5edee255b3f368cca945bde401fea4b2a7e34f2fcca3b3e56cf0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.416025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1c60f9adb1d786b6fe78d63fd9f82dbb293fa06241532fb5ba43f8d8411cde1e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2a70026364d7f55c182b29a6b20055abb2bb649810d789ea293a89113ca34b6c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.027225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2bde6486e7067f48ee21344d8b5c1af458732536eb4d080932c88c3a7c2d2126","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.081225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2cfbd8aabc3519021dc16ab0c7e0f42b0fdac191e64bcc3c42c2319c4c0117f3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.189225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x33ec07ceef529f87a3a070e06d5f9b6df9d3e4e6713faec26d9510786f7cd6be","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x375409bc5eeeff961e82b479caeccc20f33d15738e5bce1186d628aa3d9dfb1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01265625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3fe18d2b6303ee3a7e406aab679dbc0b0f7504dc6b477a31c69c6ffb04e9e11c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x416e3cbe25a60b8210f4e67c056ea2b03f4d511e7b969826d69ef90b753ff214","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00105625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x46d52281bbeedf8c99ec45497fda69f9815160cf3c97c48a4f41ab4ecdd11d7e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.103684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4890e36c536eef20111bd617f6479b6b7384ad2ebf16e18a108d989dc0aa9f9e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.119025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4e7ab14e108ea5a9155cec536b435c098b72702639598f0c28349c8bac946d94","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x603b54737c0573fa3b0f9a808856f6147c0f122d0ddef59859287371312deb49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.048841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6b2696a265decb06d8b9cd4c2316f8d19e20b0faaebdfbf89008d79443e42898","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6b59b736ef8ec2c0f88139eb426dfcdbe7a0549e3415884f28b07a9b66602544","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.765625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x781a06aa5779f97724b75ed8128aaf72c4a8955c893a6fefdc0efd7cb001c513","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79859c9e6645873e1568344b0b8ee54cc9eb02b90701cc5ba19c9a547ff313ce","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.038025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79afea6a94f0b3dffb5e0886fa1dbd740d688029f7aba351dc46911bcb1b1f95","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x831c01fffcd137a9ebba18cfcf976d68cadf475a4e2eab22af1f822dc7386482","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.180625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8df5a4256840dee05851250c0490da7593597faff3a7f9a156ccbbda7fec76f8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.180625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x90b3a63203c32bc263c308ed8aabd6114db4cd1c9817e8a9bc9245074dd00157","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d68465261466ff75df821881efdb495983f40a02e64d6c310dc91b6c8a39597","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9ff2629945e6172d14c3d29cf573345544a13eceabd5d857a4caee7b8ba5c37d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00235225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa9978c0f6c5616ed400110c1dccac9260bdbfa09ebc96048ea8498daa9e7f39e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xadb3dda930d411bdab3c579f50408b538e66e8b2af8edecdcbcecff7f66aa84b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaf4c3ba4d1b1568d4309bba0874cb7eec1e5b40a648f4a26b12efa2e9b5ee8a4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.442225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbaf252e7ac957d6636a6916da51892c9f42e59bfbf808bd4d8e16f194694d2b5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbeaf469ddc59c3aea0d6c7690eb70b69e3077a9d059f79859130636993ca4f98","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc3fdb556a123e6545f0ac61ce6ce04793ea18ba83d5305596fac858ff8b9aa63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.309136},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc45a4c5c01082f8c727add1be91ab92d6c4fb782dddc6ec0e92b7b992fa62202","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.429025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc587bda904f031a973ad3cb57128ca011bfab0f45e6cb3734ed2227c4d4be419","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.416025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd4cb184e5dc458f3b03e6da54c87f7272e478bffe30c2d8157c6df8e2eb8c985","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd7e6f6627e8b73a8fa3a29949f6dc81f683f5ce102ae6b03347b862d09617f0f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdade564249db4b9daad8e06c21e06e2760c7c640b2be1c7016baa48bbfef83d9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdc00146a77dbe0f17e69b4c5d71e9358b0e9eaae4908ab993e0fff0c566abb11","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdccabd4259261ebe59c22f50f7602df939a1feec98fc2a4314db536560120c5f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xde6e8331eaaf0b212f688a04f6c4ff5f895ab633a467cb3e9f3da48fce7c6801","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe0b6f4d40f33f456caba50434db5ea8c5ca93e84eb912054a80ca0c58ad70dd7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00075625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xebca06463a9dcfa46dce21d63313c31db6c58b9ab68c09cceb988378f9c2174f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xef720745be0a15b63c392854dacae4227a9deafe11fdf6afe79bdf45754dd10a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-05-24","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf7b5491e70b477d451afe7d9c1fde4bf1a927e69ff289d294b96df164f6c10f0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.403225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00033489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"infer","id":"1704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00314721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"infer","id":"1707","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02271049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"infer","id":"1717","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.61559716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"0PE59gu09y","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0568634601},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"1Ip8b57AMVIsxvD0VnjL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0008684028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"5GYiswIEZ4dM2NGnxbOR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0771715521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"8TGMkSPjMMgWKl24ymom","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0005124131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"ECdCgusP8y","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0008267705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"ENeRvHYBhq48Fol2AtB8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0522771197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"Jc4rRAQpvCXE9tCEfa4n","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001586223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"LppqdEh6NP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0850396853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"NEPnZ9yOCg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0005951854},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"NQlELUPp5L","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0044076376},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"O5N6AAz8QI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.777987543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"OAL8q0Azzl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0544486937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"PucZntcA92","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0020690998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"QHFQmCmz8HplpN2QQnl2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0126899095},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"RZ5ZAsSL5P","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0019791083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"RcNs5ch6qU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0129697079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"RdhCc6L2dl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0007666017},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"SnOyRhNQZu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1832574451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"U5lqZZCzc9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001952576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"UIqUE80RhN","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.5329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"UynZghygcA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1140920585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"XOJ8Tfrg8s2iqPFwauO8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0280709357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"Z9shOszgAS","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0246832692},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"ZCdtlP2A8u","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0877312795},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"cSl98uE2dt","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0325553663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"cnlR6p5sZl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0406746386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"dLCR20Ic6c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0018306677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"dUzApqSQdN","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0221736662},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"gtEN0EUcRz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"j65AKQZQCjgqa3erm88N","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0763657871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"lUSdpt96lp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0109687705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"lgxNmHNmrYvowjnSyQAM","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00109871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"n8ZROwk6GKcLyurigsf1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0277759935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"nR9hLyUqzn","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0377694973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"pLOp6I9sCg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.7152385839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"yTCCaTUbAtJWWFo1dGzD","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0267240217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"ycUv8xISKE23IysW1W3C","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001285297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"zAyUSgCu2s","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0048530997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"zOSd5nE56c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004147734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"zqzQKmNZc2v2FtzmgU9W","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0118866238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"manifold","id":"zuNuyO65hP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001258493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"24819","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"36871","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4096},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"38783","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"38940","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"39142","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"40730","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"41090","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"41206","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"41805","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"42088","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"43283","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"43355","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"43461","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"43479","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"metaculus","id":"43502","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x00406e85288b97f3d587f259f15c557f61bdaa235124d82fe956c65974949ee8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0729},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x00de24efbe083e61da20587be324b35e842b51f330c4f5c55942bf8681cd0857","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x04f1a10e79a106d18dc45e6087f0757456197ec5c6ffec2506cd066e8215fc62","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0bde18e0a0220d1f97173850504a1ed4fa90ef2c6a7bc0932952790053ca0c0e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.049729},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0dfc21fa42873f2180bbf61265b6c759a96e1b350ea153d46f7f1943bef78385","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.01625625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x224488d5b8e4e454c6f7ed545bd56d3d5768b582eee6bbddf286ad5ccd8adadf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x34a4d29cc8e7227543fd3bbe7b6b2313fac9cc3b2ae9bcace5f88bd17c990b67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.4761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x399b69600812f9997ee0dcac06c74c9351f230baa53765eacbc443a77bc520b9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.189225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3f0bc2757babb8bb9971c9f782fe81f9db734c12d84822f1120a90681c991ff8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.087025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x415cb64cfa04f2cde4ec39c5a81050cc9fb539b9b6972e72cce16b46e0e33a5b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.004356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x46f19d5bedd6d601d597d308d86814245974014d8a108395a7690d7a099cacdd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02907025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4890e36c536eef20111bd617f6479b6b7384ad2ebf16e18a108d989dc0aa9f9e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x51a7c8afb7a0e09b8b47643171d90f400de23a176c4ea06f6552d6e53213839c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x521d35b8e294b0e0560063a9ed113cef947281fc4d3fea796f1bfb517e68b795","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00119025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x52fa882beba7627c68eb13f5b917313a422fdfe3d3e75c3073d39f687b84a212","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00286225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x672d648903d96946882cd200c78253414f3bebf5143dab64add5fc0d23077f96","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.001444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x71ee9c148f0e2b386ba959aca5954c5e6c428695bf1a5fca0af9194f40487758","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.026244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77954e0830eafc9539916c591f717fb0635f6483bc9949524cb46483cd9b9d39","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.024025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7e5228c4aa228752fb75ec1ffcb315a5f2fef812d746ceb6601cee285366d1a8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.73874025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7e591fb31786d46761d906abbffbcec8eba519b649909bfb2d7833609a960782","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.638401},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x88e08e1db2095d39e18ef77068b8dc8074069ccac3feac7fba88482f4f822935","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.070225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x89389a6b1439856a8d366234c795d72865c927a1aa3cf9d4cc04a3a400defde1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.39627025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x897a2f88e1b65776ac5af0440833eea638395f0af0df4bed47e83f64c9b9a1e3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8cf61b7b84b6ac2e0c619867dd6966e688b43e4fd4c866423da2f757c58f0a9f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.330625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8d6e53e9c96faed715f6fe20d7d1944f31bf203f980d8f3d94304c0a302381fc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8db35a9d5d435b2fc5431354643361e5063375ca9df68df16f16918b8be84ae1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e508ebc36dcff88883ca4134648726032a04f83eac62cb7e9e90dcf9cd91ddd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8f29ecb911257a128b7f7234ac9e8a8ac6390ff9f5329d4797c50c44c9ae97f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x90c6511dcc9499c2c58786a2456df333a87c97a9cf548acc26f3e4e56fbc36e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00065025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x91b6939a95e9626fe3598483d37f2ad80fccac3d8a7a2ac8c9a4d9a4007661df","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2704},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x95631f2ff3207bc553eae1632c54eccdecdc38554e0b3f6894e73b7f22f83028","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa34f2fb5664f2cc079ba616597ab300bbbe6dd91e3d597f5bc45693c6ea20082","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa4781f5d97b6fe28ca7a69353b89e3401a9483a4c7bfc2f493c6cca138bd9c82","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.030625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb60c044bba6f7958768691345df1e102448a5b7ef16e4a08879bb10483fb4567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.011025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb6f26187d7459a50e69881a10ec6b08c4c0ec028ad026de8318378959aed6b50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.525625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc8a898fa8ce2121e3bba1ee52120ed8ab4f8ea7ed5a6dcd9b138fe7b9e454c0b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00002025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd492cb60df4fb9f44ef36e840720c392f68ae7ba7cbbb671a27221c5a3ecdf08","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.45765225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00007225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdf6e9ed2eaf69707c7a1162a240ca025a02b0a5028dc286c9248769e0044bdf7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.216225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeffa3fd586db59043682b5bb90e4162f90bbfeb488edc118702d985183de0700","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf0da2d17e6a966439fdb10c3623972da50825e6dbec55bf43ce651fbb8952bca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfbe834154a7b7d8ec4ccd0f5468b58a113bdbf0e7c0a41876ae8b014ab94631b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"infer","id":"1653","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"infer","id":"1654","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00001089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"infer","id":"1704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00261121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"infer","id":"1707","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.02869636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"infer","id":"1717","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.64224196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"0PE59gu09y","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0241232527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"2sLApOCEll","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0041245699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"5C022SpgR6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0348331086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"5GYiswIEZ4dM2NGnxbOR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1076564018},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"8TGMkSPjMMgWKl24ymom","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"ECdCgusP8y","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0007716473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"ENeRvHYBhq48Fol2AtB8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1067274768},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"HvTJLPAMNrSMoSORu3tm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0203609372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"Jc4rRAQpvCXE9tCEfa4n","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000639429},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"O5N6AAz8QI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0097807711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"OAL8q0Azzl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0300876507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"PucZntcA92","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0013944263},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"QHFQmCmz8HplpN2QQnl2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0145475512},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"RcNs5ch6qU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0021778296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"RdhCc6L2dl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0007605937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"SnOyRhNQZu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1550370279},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"XOJ8Tfrg8s2iqPFwauO8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0396221903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"YEdvVluF5xAGBq6lrvfD","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001005672},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"ZCdtlP2A8u","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0486333937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"ZzI5utQOzI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.137523702},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"cnlR6p5sZl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0046306727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"dIntAyAcUZ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.007764887},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"dP58EZ5ntQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.383149806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"dUzApqSQdN","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0028066051},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"hdNqANszg0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0037212865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"j65AKQZQCjgqa3erm88N","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.040456765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"lgxNmHNmrYvowjnSyQAM","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"n8ZROwk6GKcLyurigsf1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"nR9hLyUqzn","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0339556312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"y8LztqQUPS","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"yTCCaTUbAtJWWFo1dGzD","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0237428451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"zqzQKmNZc2v2FtzmgU9W","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0085155752},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"manifold","id":"zuNuyO65hP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001253205},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"24819","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"36871","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"38940","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"39142","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"40967","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"41090","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"41206","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"41805","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"42088","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"43283","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.3025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"43343","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"43461","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"43502","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"43682","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.16},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"metaculus","id":"43688","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x00406e85288b97f3d587f259f15c557f61bdaa235124d82fe956c65974949ee8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.0324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x00de24efbe083e61da20587be324b35e842b51f330c4f5c55942bf8681cd0857","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x04f1a10e79a106d18dc45e6087f0757456197ec5c6ffec2506cd066e8215fc62","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.2025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0efcc493f7e7578cd5808b29e08c2535dee61c2a1fe841696e76e7892b29cca8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x174018cba2df7afe76f434e8ca93e55c76f2eb13015a5caf941ce6d270ba6264","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.021025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x22776ecdacca07302e6cc578cdcf26df93b4233d5a8166cbf131cb32fec425b9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.050625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2cd4df599867b14e835436e67e524cd04bbd67eaa6454c07b294d9dd0470e6b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x399b69600812f9997ee0dcac06c74c9351f230baa53765eacbc443a77bc520b9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.099225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3f0bc2757babb8bb9971c9f782fe81f9db734c12d84822f1120a90681c991ff8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4168c55800f52740c0ca9c326569455ecd66075071e2825f4f4938bed2fafff4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.038809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4890e36c536eef20111bd617f6479b6b7384ad2ebf16e18a108d989dc0aa9f9e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.126025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4ae4a0aecfc6479374c5a9a355f0f0cba2c0680dff010b48a2c8b380423efd05","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5bf2c54fb4ca9d63427816cd88ab8f7b5ede5b2b9166c366a940f1a0d6d0a290","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.015876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x619165fe3568255c0a048d9350b5011c19f17bcec0474e867a1a983e6411ceff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00099225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x672d648903d96946882cd200c78253414f3bebf5143dab64add5fc0d23077f96","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000036},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x676e7cda423f5826bcbb3c141e808ad7c66bc2d055e4d0aca79c26779712062c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.002304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x71ee9c148f0e2b386ba959aca5954c5e6c428695bf1a5fca0af9194f40487758","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00265225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7351fc78d06ad1bf25ee4e4f07d6e404451ba7ea062a4ce968ccdea9145a1ec3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.005625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x802b8daacb36b5ea95011670cd004bffe3df70bc9a774da929fbd99074411e91","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x898e9ff5045fcd05c26ea1e956d926c191d5aecae1bc184283c94e665f0f7be5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.442225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.060025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x90c6511dcc9499c2c58786a2456df333a87c97a9cf548acc26f3e4e56fbc36e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00015625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x91b6939a95e9626fe3598483d37f2ad80fccac3d8a7a2ac8c9a4d9a4007661df","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.245025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9ad73ff7534b1051e2dad167a0b1617ae20f64f20770ae8bf89a59a7a7290669","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.055225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.03900625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa34f2fb5664f2cc079ba616597ab300bbbe6dd91e3d597f5bc45693c6ea20082","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.093025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa4d72632ac0ddadcac5247ffc586a193f1bc3bc839cf9ce993c2471e0d599cca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.00297025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.156025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb9caf777115e4f38eb4e2de7fab3e88052b92a78f161f91db232be31a93d1e3e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.034225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xba8526e4bf87c26c043d7048d364508d066117c173a91f2c56a82128fdc9102c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.390625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbeaf469ddc59c3aea0d6c7690eb70b69e3077a9d059f79859130636993ca4f98","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.1024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd492cb60df4fb9f44ef36e840720c392f68ae7ba7cbbb671a27221c5a3ecdf08","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.156025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd73237bb27cdc455578e9a0788c358bd79609d394f43a270bde10cde4788105f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.616225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd81e304a53cfdac107189a8ab1fe862416c4f6de3a009b3243d057eb89fa8491","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.009025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xde6e8331eaaf0b212f688a04f6c4ff5f895ab633a467cb3e9f3da48fce7c6801","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.042025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe8c4faf45974a68fa5b72d7bb52012a249357454f17235f14e310dc4bb526a99","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.000064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-06-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xef720745be0a15b63c392854dacae4227a9deafe11fdf6afe79bdf45754dd10a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"tournament","question_fixed_effect":0.018496}]