GitHub

We provide as much data as possible via our datasets repository on GitHub.

Leaderboards. The leaderboards are updated nightly and stored in git, allowing you to track model ranking over time.

Resolution values. Resolution values are also updated nightly and stored in git.

Question fixed effects. The question fixed effects , a byproduct of producing the leaderboards, are updated nightly and stored in git. Higher values imply more difficult questions.

Question sets. Question sets are released every two weeks through this repository.

Human survey data. The superforecaster and general public forecast sets from the 2024-07-21 survey round are available as well.

This repository is mirrored to Hugging Face .

Direct Download

We provide some other files as direct downloads.

Forecast sets. Download all forecasts that have been submitted for evalution here (1.2GB).

Processed forecast sets. Download all processed forecast files here (122MB).