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ForecastBench

Paper

ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities ICLR 2025

@inproceedings{karger2025forecastbench, title={ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities}, author={Ezra Karger and Houtan Bastani and Chen Yueh-Han and Zachary Jacobs and Danny Halawi and Fred Zhang and Philip E. Tetlock}, year={2025}, booktitle={International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, url={https://iclr.cc/virtual/2025/poster/28507} }

Leaderboards from paper

LLM / Human Leaderboard

LLM Leaderboard

LLM / Human Combo Leaderboard

Also available in the forecastbench-datasets repo (601f6d9).

Preprint versions of paper

ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities arXiv:2409.19839